"She would, uh, not in fact have an incredible amount more luck than you're having, there's context you're both missing that would be needed for- large portions of it, I think. It's part of why I'd have to do something to demonstrate the stranger bits of the story were true, but any particular demonstration would be- revealing of perhaps too much, if either of you were poorly intentioned."
Honestly even there with the literal narrative mostly on her side it wouldn't be- outsized to her. Which is most of why she's being as sloppy as she is. There's only so far things are going to be pushed, here. And she can cope with the places the narrative would be likely to make things go. Which makes it largely a question of- what makes her move fastest in the long run. She doesn't quite feel like she knows just what that is, though. Whether she should move quickly so if they aren't trustworthy she learns faster, or whether that wouldn't work. The time where they know less feels more likely to be the one where they slip up, if there's a way for them to do so.