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I have a medium amount of idea where I'm going with this
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Back already?

The prediction markets though it'd take longer than that. Well done!

Could you all secretly fill out these forms ranking eachother from most helpful to least? It helps determine fair wages and saves me from having to actually track everyone myself.

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Oh no Tiger must have forgotten about this in her plan because she has no idea who on the other team was being particularly helpful or not

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Spoon will quickly interrupt and actually say out loud that they split into two teams of four and wouldn't know who individually did well on the other team and are presumably all incentivised to bias their own half of the team as better for obvious social theory reasons.

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Is four still enough that, counterfactually if someone had tried to shirk, everyone else could reliable gang up on them in the reviews? probably. Is it enough that it's unlikely that the whole team would try to shirk? Well if a whole team had tried to shirk they wouldn't have finished this fast.

"Just list the four on your team then, and if you need to split up into sub-teams again on future jobs do it in a different way so we can compare everyone to everyone."

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For some reason Tiger's feelings claim she should rank Spoon above herself, because he was strong or something.

This is obviously ridiculous she should of course rank herself first everyone would rank themself first the system obviously assumes everyone ranks themself first and it's not even lying she came up with the strategy that apparently outperformed expected finishing times it's perfectly ethically okay to rank herself first.

And probably the consequences of not doing that are that she'd get less money hey feelings do you want Tiger to have less money Tiger will think intensely about what it is like to experience having slightly less money until her feelings stop suggesting that and she can write herself first like a sensible person.

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Actually they just ignore where you put yourself, it doesn't correlate with anything.

For some reason according to studies you get better results if you force people to include themselves in the review rankings. Probably people think about it more if they're incorrectly imagining it affecting their own pay?

He's not actually going to tell anyone that obviously.

"Do any of you want another job? We can keep you as a group since you all seem to get on well together."

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... probably not? I'm pretty tired.

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If they keep non-quarrelsome people in their groups, and reshuffle quarrelsome ones, reshuffled groups will be worse than his random initial group in expectation.

He should want to preserve his initial group to avoid being grouped with people who are quarrelsome and cause unproductive groups. Doing another task together well decreases probability of this group being reshuffled, which helps him avoid quarrelsome group members, and therefore increases his personal income in expectation.

Spoon endorses doing another task if he can convince everyone else to do another task.

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Tiger endorses doing another task if the group can be convinced to do another task.

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If two people independently think the group should do another task if the group can be convinced to do another task, the group thinks it can safely defer to whatever secret line of reasoning those two people both used.

The group thinks it should do another task if the group can be convinced to do another task.

The group thinks it should do another task.

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Great! He's not going to fail to notice what just happened there. He's going to take credit for it. It was his plan all along.

Look at how great he is at using game theory and social manipulation to convince teenagers to want to try hard at their jobs.

What's next?

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Coast of Adventure employs, collectively, thirty thousand trained Vermin Control Officers.

Most are assigned to specific buildings and already accounted for, but around five thousand are on general outdoor patrol. They work freelance, wherever they're needed, and can pick their own hours. Supposedly they check in at some point each day, but in practice about 20% don't. Presumably they're busy doing their important work. We want to make sure everyone is safe inside before the storm hits. Unfortunately, the team assigned with finding all the stragglers is running slower than anticipated.

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Either the task is unexpectedly more difficult, or they're unexpectedly less competent than predicted. Either way, if we reassign extra staff it should get completed in time and if the extra staff outperform the ones who've been doing it all day we'll know it's because those people were just bad at it.

They should all have a tracking device on them, which can be picked up by one of these scanners. Be careful not to lose any, they're expensive, and would result in a serious security problem if they fell into enemy hands.

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There's no good reason any of them can think of to treat this as a team task. They should all split up immediately, to cover more ground.

They agree to meet up for dinner afterwards at least since Spoon will be there it's the kind of thing a group that had good teamwork and therefore shouldn't be reshuffled would do.

They'll each take a scanner and some carry boxes and a quadbike and a map with all the locations on it so they can find the closest one to bring them back to.

Tiger has never driven a vehicle on city streets before and this barely counts and there's relatively few people around and she's not exactly moving very fast and the local laws are heavily biased against holding people accountable so as not to scare people off of doing anything interesting and if she had any medical bills it'd almost certainly be covered by someone else and it's still scary-

No. Tiger's brain doesn't implement Groupthink. Tiger Implements Tiger.

Tiger will request and receive and put on a helmet.

Now, she can go quadbiking.

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Yeah that's a great idea can he also have a helmet?

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Sure. All you had to do was ask?

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Tiger gets a hit on her scanner, and pulls up to her first rescuee.

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He is somehow on a ledge, twenty feet up a rock-climbing wall. There are no apparent ways to the ledge except by scaling the rock-climbing wall.

He does not appear very concerned by the winds, or the approaching storm, or his apparent inability to get back down.

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Why would you go up there?

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Pigeon.

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Tiger checks around for stairs. There are no stairs.

Tiger starts climbing the wall, realises the error of her ways, and climbs back down again. There's no way she could get back down again afterwards, while also carrying the Vermin Control Officer.

What's a person supposed to do if they fall?

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Hit the ground? It's padded. This wall isn't tall enough to require harnesses, according to our safety standards.

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So I can just throw him off the top, and climb or jump down after?

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If you throw me off this wall, I will never trust you again.

I will run and hide and scream. I will make you bleed if I get the chance.

The only way you'd get me into your carry box after that is by winning a claw fight. My full-time job is winning at claw fights, and you don't even have claws.

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What if I tie a rope to the box, climb up with one end, pull the box up, put you in the box, carefully lower it down again, then jump down after?

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