how Merrin came to the attention of Exception Handling
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The protocol comes in phases.  They're approaching the first blood test after the start of phase 3.

There's one particular form of cellular damage that seems to be standing out as the real problem.  They don't have any good way to interrupt it; phase 1 was meant to interrupt a precursor to it, and it didn't.  Three different molecules in phase 3 - plus a fourth molecule added at nearly the last minute, which is what the jump to 21% was about - are meant to interrupt that cascade anyways and without killing the patient.

If this part works, the patient is largely home safe, 91% victory probability.

Otherwise, the patient's chance of making it out drops to 7%; the damage, if continued, is enough to imply cryopreserving the patient, and there is not on paper a backup plan to interrupt it.  There will probably be, from there, a slow decline, as one last-minute surprise-salvation protocol adjustment after another... fails to suddenly be delivered by the Venture Capitalist or Exception Handling.  And instead things just go as expected, getting closer and closer to the borderline where they stop and cryopreserve the patient.

The market's odds of good news are, necessarily, 1:5, or a 1/6 probability.

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Irris has been pre-screened and... does not look super legibly reliable, in some ways?  Irris can't come into the command center, but she sure could come to the hallway just outside (the room is obviously soundproofed) (most rooms in hospitals are, for that matter) and Merrin could step outside to be hugged.

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...Honestly that's better than Irris expected? She has never in her life given any thought to whether she looked legibly reliable to Exception Handling, which means she almost certainly doesn't, you don't get to that by accident. 

She's on her way. She doesn't want to interrupt Merrin, who has not 100% clarified that she's, like, done with important responsibilities, just seems to have time to send her own messages again. But she'll come by the hallway outside and hug Merrin whenever it's a good time. 

[I'm coming over] she texts her daughter. 

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Merrin is not checking her messages right now because she is instead watching out of the corner of her eye for the presence or absence of METAPHORICAL EVEN BIGGER SPIDERS.

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UNSURPRISING AND YET STILL TERRIBLE!!! 

 

 

 

 

as long as they still get a good predicted cryopreservation outcome then she hasn't completely failed 

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This is, usually, where one would suspend a patient.  Instead they're playing it out to the end and hoping that somebody in this process comes up with a last-minute miracle.

In terms of the children's game... you could model it, maybe, as a series of six quantum die-rolls, each with a 1/81 chance of bumping the number up by 80%.  And each time that doesn't happen, the number drops by another 1%.

In the children's game, of course, the worlds actually branch, and you know that some version of yourself, though with a very small amount of realityfluid, saw the number go up by 80%.  This isn't a quantum game, that way; if it was, the patient would pretty reliably experience waking up, albeit not embedded in reality quite as much as before, and if they went on playing games like that they'd find themselves somewhere else sooner or later.

Here, by and large, you'd expect everyone inside the universe as dath ilan knows it, to see pretty much the same outcome.  It's knowable to an ideal agent if not to mortals, the dice already rolled somewhere behind the screen; now it's just playing out.

5%.

4%.

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(It is ultimately okay.  He's not going to end up dead dead.  They're not flirting with Death, just death.)

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Well, Merrin is certainly not going to be coming up with a last-minute miracle. (According to the weird villain monologue she already did that once, but of course she knows she didn't, really.)

 

She's really scared, for some reason. She isn't sure of what. 

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3%, 2%, and somewhere not on a video screen, a sixth-rank Keeper makes the call.  The patient goes to cryo; it's over.

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Merrin honestly has no idea what emotion she's feeling, anymore.

 

Mostly she feels...very far away, and sort of lightheaded in a way that isn't exactly physical. 

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Irris arrives at the hospital, wearing a tie-dyed romper suit and carrying a container of homemade cookies. (A clear container, since this is a bizarre situation where the decisionmakers have no particular reason to trust her, and she doesn't want to alarm anyone unnecessarily.) 

She enters via the usual hospital entrance, and very gently and politely informs the nearest staff-uniformed person that she is Merrin's mother and is here on Merrin's request in order to give her a hug, while definitely staying outside the exclusion zone? 

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Merrin is gently informed - via a message to her cellular texter, based on the correct impression that she will be paying attention to it now that things are no longer happening and will be way more embarrassed if someone speaks to her out loud - that her mother is outside the room, in the hallway. 

 

 

This feels very fake but she will go outside. 

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Hug!!! She's in the hallway, that means crying is allowed now right???

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Well, definitely no one is stopping Irris from hugging her daughter. Irris might have some things to say if they did attempt this. 

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Merrin is not cleared to tell her mom that much about the details of what just happened. 

 

In fact, she is explicitly not cleared to tell Irris any exact numbers on the prediction market liquidity. Which is superheated awful because, like, that's the most clear reason why this situation is so different from all the other times? It was HIGH STAKES and they were REAL STAKES and she thought she could handle this - and she did handle it, maybe, sort of - but it turns out it was really exhausting???

....She is allowed to say that she worked very, very hard on a very, very complicated problem. Which is true. It was a long shot, so they were probably going to lose. And then they lost, which was not an update on anything - probably including her general skill and worth as a person - but it's still really awful actually???

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Hugs. 

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...Oh, yeah, also she was a Sparashki the whole time! 

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She was what– oh right she missed the con today. Is Merrin saying she was already in cosplay before all of the...whatever it was...started happening? 

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Yes!! Exactly!!! And then, well, people went with it. Like they tend to do. 

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Presumably it wasn't funny at the time from Merrin's perspective but, uh, Irris sort of thinks it's funny now? By 'they went with it' does she mean 'there's some sort of Governance-approved conspiracy' because that sure sounds plausible.

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No comment. 

(Merrin loves her mom so much.) 

 

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....Uh, on a completely different note, she supposedly did the work of five people for six shifts??? Some, uhhhhh, some unspecified important people noticed her and. maybe. also. said things about her. Including that they think she should move to Default and work in Default Hospital???

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Oh. Fascinating. Well. Presumably they're offering her a lot of money for that? 

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