to be fair to Cheliax these guys were just as dysfunctional in fifteenth-century Italy
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Antoni is twenty-three when his father dies. 

In most of Cheliax, his father's lands would pass to his brother Galè, by virtue of the fact that he's two years Antoni's elder. Not so in Miravet. The longstanding law and custom of the Barony of Miravet (and by extension the Barony of Conesa; his family has controlled both since the civil war) is that all sons rule the barony. Not the way some places (weak places) do it, where each heir takes a fraction of their family's lands, but in the way of Miravet's ancient traditions, where all sons rule together. The custom well predates the Thrunes, but their great-grandfather fought on the Thrunes' side in the civil wars and secured as his primary concession the right for Miravet to maintain its inheritance law.

(And if some of his family's men die young, it's not as if that doesn't happen elsewhere too.)

Antoni is... willing... to share rule with Galè. (And with their younger brother Joan, he supposes, but Joan is a toddler so it's largely a theoretical question at the moment.) It is not his preference, certainly, but Galè isn't stupid enough for Antoni to have the slightest chance of assassinating him, and ruling together is better than losing everything in a failed attempt to take control by force.

The arrangement doesn't even last a full three years before Galè has him imprisoned in a tower on suspicion of treason. The charges are false, obviously, but he claims to have a witness, and it doesn't really matter how dubious his witness's testimony is when Antoni is imprisoned in a tower and Galè is not. His mother (sentimental fool that she is) objects; Galè imprisons her as well.

Antoni expects he will die there. The obvious thing to do, having imprisoned your brother on trumped-up charges, is to execute him. There is no reason to do anything else. It might lead to unrest, but so will imprisoning him; it might harm your Law, but it is not as if Galè had much to begin with. Antoni is not foolish enough to think there is any hope in petitioning Church or Crown for aid. If you are not strong enough to prevent your sibling from usurping your power, you were unworthy of holding it.

A day passes, then a week, then a month, and Antoni does not die.

He concludes, eventually, that his brother has deemed it safer to keep him out of the way without actually putting him to death. There's no use in speculating about his brother's motives; he speculates anyway. Perhaps his brother is worried that killing Antoni will somehow undermine his legitimacy. Perhaps his brother is worried that one of his sons will be tempted to hasten his inheritance. Perhaps his brother's witness died — but no, he would just manufacture another one, it can't be hard. 

Two years, two months, and eleven days after he was imprisoned, guards in the uniforms of his brother's staff arrive outside his room in the tower. For a moment, he thinks his brother has finally decided to execute him, but then they order him to his knees and demand he swear an oath of obedience to his brother and drag him outside and set him free and command him to leave the family lands and never return.

He stares up at the sky and drinks in the outdoor air and swears to himself that his brother will pay for what he has done.

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He leaves Miravet, obviously. His brother will pay for what he has done, but after two years in a tower Antoni could hardly achieve that if they were alone and his brother were unarmored and weaponless. They've freed his mother, too, and he takes her and Joan and departs for Conesa — it's still controlled by his brother, but at more remove than Miravet. He asks his mother if she knows why his brother has freed him. She doesn't. He asks Joan if he knows, what with the not being locked in a tower. Joan doesn't either. His brother isn't stupid enough to trust Antoni's loyalty to an oath alone; he must have some other reason.

(He will conclude, eventually, that his brother genuinely believed he was too weak to pose a threat. He doesn't expect to ever know if his guess was right.)

He spends the next several months regaining control of Conesa. By Neth he's built up enough forces to begin to launch assaults on his brother's holdings in Miravet. He... is not so unsuccessful as to lose control of Conesa. His brother launches a counter-attack, and Antoni drives him back easily.

A year after his release, he negotiates a marriage with Baroness Constança Berneda, the daughter of a nearby Baron-and-Worldwound-veteran; it'll be her brother who inherits, but with her father as an ally, it'll be easier to raise men to fight for Antoni's rightful inheritance. A year after they marry, she bears him a daughter. (Their son, two years later, will die the same hour he's born, and the cleric will pronounce that even if they did resurrect him he wouldn't survive. They have another daughter, afterwards, and then several long years of barrenness.)

The next several years are marked by constant skirmishes, occasionally successful enough to take small pieces out of each other's territory, usually not. A group of peasants near the border petitions him to stop. He generously refrains from having them executed for the suggestion. He'll stop when his brother is dead.

His mother dies, six years after his release. His youngest sister's husband dies two years later, and rumors accuse her of slipping poison into his meals. That's not Antoni's problem — if she's incompetent enough to get herself caught she can face the consequences — and most likely the rumors will die down when it becomes clear that she's in charge. His eldest sister has a perfectly ordinary marriage, for a Chelish noblewoman, and his middle sister is a priestess; neither of them shows any inclination to interfere with him and his brother, and Asmodeus be willing, neither of them will pose trouble.

His little brother's situation is more precarious. Galè apparently neglected his religious education, in those two long years when Antoni and his mother were trapped in a tower, and now Antoni is paying the price. Joan has none of the ambition befitting a man of his station, which Antoni cannot find it in himself to be upset about, and invents heresies seemingly by accident, which is much more problematic. It'll reflect on the family if anyone notices, but Antoni most of all, and he cannot afford that. He tries his best to redirect Joan towards wizardry — it's not cunning or cleverness that he lacks, but sagacity — and punishes him when he asks stupid questions and does his best to ensure that Joan never ends up in the same room as a priest outside of services.

And he keeps fighting. But Galè is still in control of Miravet, which is the better piece of land anyway, and Antoni cannot muster the strength to take it and cannot recruit any more men to fight for him without a revolt and every day the fighting stretches on there's a greater chance the Crown will grow sick of it all and decide to settle it themselves—

—and then the Four-Day War breaks out, and everything turns upside down.

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He's worried, when he hears that the conquerors are replacing some of the nobility, that they'll look at the situation in Miravet and Conesa and decide they can solve it by installing some Lastman with no right to rule whatsoever. But months pass, and they make no attempt at interfering. Probably they have bigger problems to worry about than a pair of squabbling baronies.

Then the conquerors promulgate an announcement about a "constitutional convention." Antoni is under no illusions that the convention will have input into anything that matters — the conquerors are hardly going to allow the convention to proclaim Asmodeanism the state religion — but they surely have no reason to care about obscure points of inheritance law, so perhaps they will allow the convention to exercise genuine influence there. He's sure he can come up with all kinds of justifications that the conquerors will appreciate for why Galè has no right to rule. He tried to usurp his brother's claim; he has half a dozen acknowledged bastards and far more than that unacknowledged; he isn't even Lawful. Antoni, in contrast, is a perfectly ordinary noble, with one bastard (that he knows of) whom he doesn't acknowledge (he hears this is very important to Osirians, and the latest rumors say some of the conquerors are Osirian). The conquerors can't possibly replace every noble in Cheliax. If they were backing his claim, he could take control of Miravet in an hour.

(and his wife's family is in danger of collapsing and his middle sister is missing-presumed-dead and a traitor to the new regime besides and he doesn't dare hope that Joan has managed to hit on some form of heresy that the Iomedaeans will find acceptable and he has far more to gain than to lose—)

The conquerors don't deign to offer him or his brother seats as nobility. This is, admittedly, a reasonable call on their part, what with how inviting either of them would by necessity involve wading into the mess that is the current political situation.

But the announcements made very clear that each county is to elect a representative by vote of the people. Each barony will first send a representative to an elected council, and from there everyone on the council will vote for the convention representative.

He orders his peasants to vote for him. He tells his wife's father that it'll really be best for both of them if he's elected. His wife's father orders his peasants to vote for an obedient representative of his, obviously, and then orders said representative to cast his vote for Antoni, which had been in doubt. (It will come with a price, obviously, if he succeeds as he must.) Half the county convention seems to actively be trying to avoid being voted any further; he threatens those ones and bribes a couple of the rest and no one else in the county has any ideas better than "bribe enough people to get to the county convention."

He wins easily.

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