Lord Valdur Bromathan's bodyguard: 1d20+0 = 8
As fighting breaks out and spells are slung, Carlos Bevery can't spare even a wince for the Queen and her bodyguard backed into the far corner of the room.
Carlos isn't half the fighter that Sabina Merrin is - very few people are - but his personal history looks less like "become smitten at first sight with going-on-seventeen Ileosa when she arrived in Korvosa, hatch the "tightly calculated plot" to enroll at Orisini Academy on the theory that if he became one of the best fighters in the city, and then joined the Korvosan Guard, and then rose meteorically through the ranks of the Guard, that he could catch the eye of the Queen, and the Queen would request his discharge from the Guard and assign him as a royal bodyguard, and accomplish all of this basically overnight from a starting position of absolutely nothing, which really goes to show the power of yandere obsession[1]" and more like "has spent nearly twenty years working as security for House Bromathan."
Which mostly plays to his and Valdur's advantage, he'd think, compared to Sabina's situation with her own charge.
And which is why instead of sitting near the head of the table, Valdur Bromathan is sitting near the door (if disconcertingly close to far too many spiders).
Carlos has three escape routes planned for once they leave the conference room - one is the most direct route to Lord Valdur Bromathan's quarters in the magnificent mansion, the second somewhat more circuitous, and if neither of those look safe to traverse they'll break for the exit and Vault beyond it.
Or five escape routes, if you account for (as Carlos has) the unlikely possibilities that Valdur wants to visit the kitchens or use a lavatory en route.
"Up you get, sir."
-
1. This is 100% Paizocanon.↩