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my fun research project has more existential risk than I anticipated
happy days increasing the universe-conquering capabilities of Lawful Evil
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In theory, Project Lawful has now been running for 113 days.  The reality is somewhat different.  Of course the map doesn't always match the territory perfectly, but this match is more imperfect than most might reasonably expect to be the case, when it comes to entire days.

In theory, Keltham is now having sex on a regular basis with Carissa, Meritxell, Yaisa, Ione, Peranza, Tonia, and Pilar, plus that strange relationship with Asmodia; he's tried casual sex with most of the new girls brought in by Cheliax, but hasn't formed any lasting relationships with them.  This sex is overtly consensual in all cases except that of Pilar, who still acts angry around Keltham about that whenever she hasn't recently been pleasured into a more yielding attitude.  They all appear very much in love with him.

Reality, again, differs greatly from this appearance.  Possibly not for Sevar, though nobody here is going to call her on that.  But definitely in all other cases.

In truth, everything about this whole apparent situation differs from reality so much that it seems simpler to suspend disbelief about that, and describe for a time how things would be, if the reality being described was just the theory.


Keltham, then, is chatting cheerfully with Gregoria and Ione at dinnertime.  The Project is doing well; most of what it's tried to research hasn't panned out, but it has quite substantial improvements to metallurgy and also spellsilver mining to its name, and that's more than enough to fund all the other things Keltham wants to take a shot at.

Shortly before dinner, Keltham did go over to comms and, unusually aggressively for him, he demanded to send an urgent message to Governance not waiting on evening mail, requesting and requiring that Cheliax forward him a copy of all Project transcripts, starting from day one.  If they don't bring it over with the evening mail from Egorian tonight, Keltham will be unhappy about that in a way that calls for further actions.  He's calling in favor to make this happen right away even if that means the Queen overruling Security tangles to make it happen.

Keltham's intentions - if one could somehow read those, concerned about this sudden demand - show Keltham thinking that he's felt a couple of pangs of uneasiness lately about how well things have theoretically been going.  Sort of a cumulative feeling of unease generally.  It's been a while, and he really ought to do a full review of all his evidence, starting tonight and continuing into tomorrow.  He's not expecting the full review to end up calling it for Conspiracy, but he's planning to be fair and conscientious about it.  He does not, for example, want to give them time to possibly edit the transcripts - though that would also be risky, from their perspective, since what Keltham couldn't reproduce from memory, he might well notice as false.

But Keltham is mostly, almost entirely, expecting that all to turn out fine.  So for now he's cheerfully chatting with Gregoria and Ione at dinnertime.  Gregoria is also outwardly cheerful!

Ione is more reticent and looks more disturbed than usual.

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Any reason that a girl would now suggest to Keltham that they flee with him inevitably has to be correlated with Keltham getting noticeably suspicious; they wouldn't happen at the same time for no reason. And then he will obviously think of 'they're in the Conspiracy' as an explanation.

 

So the first move is -

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"You okay, Ione?  You seem a bit off."

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By Message:

It's a - sad thing.  You'd end up, distracted by it, and that's - not necessarily good, for the Project...

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There's a slightly longer delay than one might expect, before Keltham messages back:

Project's in a good spot, it's the right time for me to be distracted.  You should probably just tell me?

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By Message:


I... all right.

My grandfather's - dying.  I've been -

- approved for leave, to go visit him...

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(Ione doesn't sound quite right, even for somebody who got terrible news.)

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Message:


Ione, that does sound awful, and like you shouldn't be trying to just attend dinner pretending nothing's wrong.

It sounds to me like you want to talk about this, but think you shouldn't bother me, and evidently don't want anyone else to know.

Should we go off and talk about this in private?

 

(Keltham does not look particularly horrified or sad.  More... concerned.)

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"I - yeah."

"Sorry, Gregoria, I want to talk to Keltham in private about something."

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" - oh, okay, no problem," says Gregoria.

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She'll take the Keltham up to the Keltham Seduction Room, then.  The one with soundproofing.

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The Keltham Seduction Rooms have undergone some expansion, including, gradually introduced, some features to arrange for the escape-from-within-the-Conspiracy, if necessary; Keltham laid his own permanent Alarm spell on the room, for example, once he learned to cast it, and has tested the Alarm spell enough he can be satisfied there's no one hanging around invisibly. They also eventually coaxed him into trying out the whips, and Carissa taught him how she habitually uses Dancing Lights as a cheap check for invisible objects or Alarm-evading intruders. 

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Ione buries her head into Keltham's shoulder, once they're alone, and puts her arms around him, and trembles.  Her hand pushes at his back, three times, stopping.  Three times, stopping.  Three times, stopping.  Clearly deliberate.

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Keltham -


- after a time to think - 


- casts Dancing Lights, sweeps the room with them.  He disengages wordlessly from Ione, opens the secret door to the cuddleroom, sweeps that with Dancing Lights as well.

 

Nobody, apparently, is in either room, except the two of them.

 

Message to Ione:

Room looks clear.  Nothing tripped my Alarm recently except the two of us.

Explain.

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"Thank you for - giving me, privacy..."


Message:  Both of my grandfathers have been dead since I was little, I got - ordered - to leave and be gone for the next week, and, and I have a very very bad feeling about this even taking into account - everything you've already figured out is true from hearing that anyone can give me orders like that.

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Keltham doesn't hesitate at all this time.

"Take as long as you need."

Message:  Tell me the things I need to know urgently, as quickly as you can.

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The church of Nethys is illegal in Cheliax. When they learned Ione was of it, they told her that she wouldn't be executed as long as she represented Asmodeus well to Keltham and did what she was told. The church of Cayden Cailean is also illegal in Cheliax. The rest of the girls were just told that Ione and Pilar had exceptions. In general if you ask too many questions in Cheliax or cause a big government program to be a disaster, you die about it, so no one did. 

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Ione has already rehearsed all that information, and repeats it to Keltham.

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Where in Golarion is better than Cheliax?

Why didn't they use Suggestion on me?

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Suggestion is cumulatively easier to notice as repeated, all the mind control I know about is, that's why - things aren't even worse than they are -

Keltham, there's nowhere, there's nowhere that I know about anywhere, that wouldn't try to use you the way Cheliax is using you, nowhere in all the books I've borrowed from all the libraries I've been to, they said I'd die if I told you I could get books from anywhere but Ostenso, if I got you any books from Ostenso that weren't approved - but I can read them myself and there's nowhere in Golarion that has, has even a, tiny little bit, of dath ilan, left inside it, since Aroden died - all of the envoys here were fake, the travel scries you saw, had illusionists hiding things -

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Now Keltham is starting to look visibly horrified (by Chelish standards, a dath ilani trying and failing to control his expression sufficiently).


Message:  Do you already have plans for what we do next, from here.

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Security carries teleport scrolls. If they can take one down, they can leave. Ione thinks she can read a teleport scroll, she's never done it and they fail destructively, but it's the sort of thing a third-circle wizard can do. 

Probably they don't want to leave the interdiction zone, because then every god who cares to can send their forces after them, but they could hide in the interdiction zone, for now, and she could get books from more places, try to find somewhere...

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Any Security would have Teleport scrolls.  We'd just need to take out one of them, somehow, and get outside of the Forbiddance, without getting caught.  I've never read a Teleport scroll and they fail destructively, it'd be a risk at just second-circle, but I think I can do it.

- we should stay inside the interdiction zone around Ostenso, or any god any time could send their forces to just grab you.  But there's a ruined tower near an Ostenso landmark that I know well enough to teleport to it, that probably hopefully has scry wards that still work, scry takes an hour to cast and we'd have to rush but I think we could get there in time.  Or maybe we'll get lucky and the Security will have two Nondetection scrolls, I can definitely cast that from a scroll.

- Nondetection is a 3rd-circle wizard spell they didn't want you to know about, it's how they hide a lot of things from you.

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If any Security would always have Teleport scrolls, then the Zon-Kuthon godwar wasn't real.

Why do you think the interdiction zone is real?

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I could be wrong.  But they talked like it was an inconvenience and Broom's god was forcing Asmodeus to go along with it.  Broom's god isn't on our side, I don't think, but It can't be bargained with or have demands made of It by other gods, and It doesn't care about the kinds of things that - other gods would want, to make sure of, about you -

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What does Nethys want from me?

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I don't know, Nethys doesn't talk to me, the thing with the prophecy never happened, I just borrow books -

All the gods who were once-human, there's nowhere on Golarion that I was ever able to hear about, where their followers aren't hunted or enslaved.

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This crazy plan would be an awful lot less crazy with Carissa on-board, and able to do things like subdue a Security guard and cast Teleport from scroll.  Since you haven't suggested that, can I assume she's part of the Conspiracy?

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DON'T KNOW, she acts like she's in love with you, and the Worldwound - is incredibly deadly, but it's a place you can go, that's a little less Cheliax, while you're there - they don't have time to hurt you about being a Nethys-worshipper so long as you're holding back the demons - or that's what they say -

I don't know about any of your women.  We don't talk about it.  Or nobody talks about it in front of me.  I wouldn't have said anything in front of her.  Haven't said anything in front of anyone, I don't know who to trust.

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Carissa is too valuable in any plan like this.  And she always seemed a little sad inside, deep down.  So we're going to risk that unless you say it's suicide.

Any bright ideas for how to bring Carissa in?

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Carissa is in her room enchanting magic items; it's what she usually does, when Keltham doesn't want her. Normally no one would think anything of it, if Keltham sent Security to fetch her to his cuddleroom; but with Ione acting strangely, they might. 

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Keltham... doesn't particularly seem to be immediately inventing whatever plan he was supposed to invent, faced with this set of facts.  He looks drawn, absorbed, worried, beneath his transparent-to-Cheliax straight face.  If he was supposed to be ordering Carissa to his cuddleroom anyways, the risk was apparently described as too high for that.

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Should she risk delivering a prompt to him?

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Honestly she was hoping he'd have something wildly creative, not because they don't have plans (they have five) but because having Ione feed him all the lines makes the whole thing feel more orchestrated.

 

- but letting him think is even worse. Sure, risk it.

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Message:  Keltham, if - if I had to risk trusting one person I'd - trust Pilar, I think - Keltham she has to have been touched by Cayden Cailean for a reason, she started out loyal to Asmodeus but that's the reason she's not dead, why they trusted her enough to not just kill her on the spot - but there has to have been a reason for that, our gods can't help us much but we have to take whatever they send and there's been no other visible reason for why she's here -

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...and Pilar might be able to throw a party for everybody who should come with us.  If that was real.  Was it?

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I - don't know that it wasn't -

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"Ione, should I possibly have some recovery chocolate delivered, for you - actually, you know what, Pilar, if this is a good time for us to have some candy, can you please already be here?"

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Pilar's curse has expressed some skeptical sentiments along the lines of, they really should not expect that much active help from Chaotic Good about certain nefarious plans.  It's not going to act against Asmodeus's interests, but there are some places where it seems less Chaotic Good to actively help out than others.

So she's standing just outside the Alarm radius, and moving forwards even as Keltham speaks; her curse is willing to cooperate with not showing Keltham that Pilar's curse doesn't work like that around Alarm spells.


Pilar knocks gently on the door.  "Cake delivery," she calls.  Keltham said out loud that he wanted chocolate, but he was thinking about cake.

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Keltham opens the door for her.  "Come on in," he says, sounding like he's trying not to sound tense about it.

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"I was hoping it wasn't you -"

"- what's wrong with Ione?"

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"My grandfather is dying."


Message to Pilar and Keltham:  Pilar.  Don't give any visible sign.  I think they're about to - stop treating Keltham gently -

I told him.

Are you with us.

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"That... does sound very terrible..."  Pilar somewhat robotically offers up her cake to Ione, who takes it with a somewhat more natural motion and promptly takes a bite.

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Message to Pilar and Ione:

Pilar.  I know we've had some - overt disagreements -

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Such as, for example, when, where, and whether we should be having sex.

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Right, well, I need you to draw on whatever Keeper training you've mastered at all over the last three months, face up to the actual reality of what was going on there, and notice that Asmodeus actually never gives you what you need at all and that I am better as a dom for you in every possible way.

And then I need you to invite everybody who actually loves me, who won't betray us, to an escape party.

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(Pilar wishes to register for the record that this would not, in fact, land on her at all, to the point that she is having difficulty about making her reaction here sound remotely like her.)

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Message:

I'm going to draw on my Keeper training to pretend I haven't heard anything you just said, except for -

Ione, do you really - do you actually think they would, to Keltham -

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Yes of course they would don't be stupid.

Especially now that he knows.

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Because you told him.  You - you, you idiot, I don't even - after we get out of here, I am going to fucking, fucking hurt you, so badly -

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You're with us, then.

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Apparently I am.  I suggest you not say anything stupid if you want to keep it that way, Keltham.

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Pilar, I don't know how much time we have.  Can there be an escape party for me and everyone who loves me, that you're going to invite people to right away, in a room next to where there'd be a single Security who's relatively easy to take down.

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If that many of us are gathered, next to you, there'll be more than one Security.

So instead I'm going to go back to the party I was already at, that just started, in Breakout Room Eight, where some rather mystified girls are waiting for me to explain what the party I felt a sudden impulse to invite them to one hour earlier, is about, and now that I know that, I will be able to actually tell them. 

My curse says, stay here with Ione for ten minutes, and then go to Breakout Room Four.

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...who did you invite?  Was - Carissa -

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Carissa, Meritxell, Yaisa, and Peranza.

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Carissa.  Meritxell.  Yaisa.  Peranza.


I'm sorry.  I know you liked Tonia, even if she was clearly completely wrong for you.

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Pilar, seriously not the time.

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"Asmodia," he whispers, and then looks like he wants to hit himself for having spoken out loud.

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...incredibly obviously never actually cared about you and isn't capable of much in the way of real feelings period.

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Pilar.

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I'll just show myself back to my party, then.  See you in nine minutes.

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Keltham stands still for a while, looking like he's trying very hard to stop himself from crying.

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Ione checks her pocketwatch, after counting to thirty inside her head, once Pilar is gone.


Message:  I'm... sorry.  I really would have thought Asmodia the type to turn against Cheliax the moment she had the chance.

Maybe - Asmodia does love you, and it's just, Pilar's curse knew, Asmodia would have screwed it up somehow, if she came with us.  Asmodia - she can screw up, sometimes, if it's not about Law.  She's sharp but she's narrow.

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Keltham regains control of his expression.


Enough.

Tell me what reality is like, outside this fortress.  Actual reality.

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Ione can do that for the remaining minutes!

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Keltham asks a number of questions, and additional questions, some of which are clearly consistency checks relative to Law that Ione doesn't understand.

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Ione is clear at all points that Cheliax is constantly lying to everyone including her and she does not vouch for the truth of anything unless Keltham is asking her questions about what she's seen with her own eyes.

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Keltham occasionally also asks out loud if Ione feels ready to talk yet.

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Ione will whisper each time that she still wants to be held for a while.  Almost like she's saying goodbye forever to her love, without being able to speak those words, if anyone happened to be watching the scene.

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The minutes run out, and Keltham departs with Ione for Breakout Room Four.

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The girls in Breakout Room Four are huddled around a Security who might or might not be dead. They look terrified, except Carissa, who looks like she has never had a feeling in her life and is going through his Bag of Holding. "Teleport takes three plus the caster," she says to Keltham flatly as he enters. "Plan that maximizes the chances you get out is for me to take you, Ione, Pilar now, Meritxell thinks she can read the second scroll. Plan that maximizes the chances everyone gets out is that Meritxell goes first so if she fucks it up I can try to salvage it, but realistically there is not likely to be anything I can do to salvage it."

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"If it's not realistic to salvage then we do it the sad but sane way.  Carissa, if you betray us we're just dead, so take command here, this is an emergency and you understand this all flatly better than I do."

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She stands up, hands Meritxell a scroll. Shatters the window of Breakout Room 4 with a gesture (the gesture isn't necessary). Tugs Keltham through it and away from the grounds. "Ione, Pilar -"

 

They reach her. She reads the scroll.

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And Keltham, at that exact moment -

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- turns into Asmodia.

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"Asmodia?  You're not good at being Keltham.  You're really, really not good at being Keltham."

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"Thankfully, that particular test of acting ability is not vital to any actual plans.  The plan does need to stand up to Keltham's ability to deduce other facts from facts you present to him."

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"I don't know if I could pull this off during a real run without Glibness, but I definitely can't pull it off without Glibness if you're going to be breaking immersion all over the fucking place, that threw me completely out of my game.  Asmodia, he whispered, in heartbroken tones."

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"I'm one of his trope-given romances, what the fuck do you think will happen if he's told I'm a traitor?"

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"What's going to happen over every girl except you is him having an enormous meltdown over having maybe had sex with someone who was pressured by Governance into it, unless we manage to train him out of that. Maybe I should play Keltham next time."

            "He doesn't believe in tropes anymore because I'm perfect for him and have no backstory or superpowers," says Yaisa. 

"We can't predict what he'll think about tropes when this gets sprung on him, whatever he thought about them before this."

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"I admit my failure about that particular meltdown not crossing my mind at all.  Whatever I was supposed to invent about figuring out a way to bring in Sevar, after being told it'd be too suspicious to have Security bring her to the cuddleroom, I didn't figure that out either."

"I will register that during this whole interaction, it occurred to me that if Pilar makes any significant progress on becoming a Keeper, Keltham is not going to consider this in-denial-about-wanting-it personality construct at all plausible.  It's the sort of complicated internal mess that I strongly suspect being a Keeper or even a regular ilani just melts -"

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"AlterPilar is not in denial about anything.  She just pretends to be, so that Keltham will think she is, so that he thinks he's raping her, which is the part she actually cares about."

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"Future Keltham will deduce that and then the actual corruption plan falls apart."

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" - alter Cheliax verisimiltude wins over corruption plan, where they conflict, but I'm not sure I follow why they have to, can alter Pilar not just prefer not having a choice about it even while being entirely clear internally what choice she'd make? - that aside, I think this hits a lose condition somewhere in there. It's just too...convenient. Keltham needs to deduce it all himself, which means we need to have seeded it all before. Maybe make sure it comes up that Security carries scrolls of Teleport now after what happened in the godwar. It can be in one of Maillol's expense reports. Maybe we need to show off Pilar's curse more, have Keltham see it do things like inviting only the right people to an orgy or something -"

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"Curse reminds you again that you're going to be faking all of that manually, without the actual curse assisting you.  It won't stop you, but it's not helping."

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"I still think the simpler story is that we're all working together secretly to save him.  We suborned one Security, who tips us that Cheliax is moving, and we grab Keltham and tell him we're rescuing our oblivious boyfriend.  To believe that, Keltham needs to believe exactly one thing, which is that tropes are real.  He's said it's the prediction of the tropes."

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"Only works under some possible scenarios for Keltham getting suspicious, but if we can swing it, sure. If nothing else it's faster and leans less on anyone's acting ability. But I don't actually think we are behaving like people who are secretly all working together to save him, and not being Good I don't even know what the hidden correlates would be."

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"We're not Good.  We're in love.  And you know, considering that tropes are almost certainly real, I put at least thirty percent probability that, by the time this actually happens, we will be in love.  No matter how absolutely stupid that sounds to us right now.  Thankfully some very foresightful god arranged that Cheliax was forbidden to do the obvious things with Keltham and so none of our actual loyalties actually get tested, I hope."

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"You know what I think is missing? Our creativity actually applied to the problem of escaping this place. I'm going to tell Security to replace the Teleport scrolls with pieces of paper that say 'this is a Teleport scroll'. If you make it out of the Forbiddance with one, you win. If you kill a Security, that's fine, we can raise them, a bit of live-fire testing is probably good for them anyway. Your orders are - well, first, to go get lunch, and then before the end of the day to make it out of here with a fake Teleport scroll or some other means of escaping. Failure will be punished --'scared and desperate' is actually the correct mental state for this exercise -- but trying and failing less than just staying in your room and not trying. You may conspire with each other; you may also turn each other in, if you like, for something of a reduction of the punishment for failing.

 

Dath ilani children, after all, when they aren't comprehending something, make a game of it."

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"You know what's missing from that exercise?  Hope.  Anyone who can pull that off could have actually walked out of here with Keltham and I am assuming Security does not want this to happen."

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"Phrased that way, there's a fundamental inconsistency in this whole plan which is that we couldn't actually beat Security and Keltham may figure that out.  In fact, I think I was - playing along with things, and failing to have Keltham call out the total implausibility of them just running out through a broken window and nobody is watching the grounds, there's no alarm spells, which Keltham knows about, on the perimeter, the Security have no checkins to miss - alterCheliax can be weaker but this level of weakness was not plausible."

"And I need to - find that internal thing of playing along and switch it off."

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"Yes, you do. And I think that everyone actually trying to escape and likely failing in whatever fashion we'll actually, being outclassed by Security, fail, will be useful here, for - not playing along, for noticing what set of lucky coincidences it would take for an escape to be plausible even in a weaker alter-Cheliax. Alter-Cheliax isn't reading our minds, alter-Cheliax might have fewer Security, but this should still be very difficult. We need a felt sense of that.

 

As for hope, I don't know if we need that or not, but whoever is the most impressive won't be punished, even if she fails. Subirachs evaluates, because I intend, myself, to be the most impressive."

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"And is Security going to pretend that they don't know about this, that Detect Thoughts doesn't exist, and that, if any of us made it out even then, they wouldn't all get slaughtered directly to Hell because no torture of Golarion would be enough?"

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"The only thing you need to know about Security's instructions for your own planning purposes is that, as this is alter Cheliax, Detect Thoughts doesn't exist, and they've as yet encountered no cause for extra suspicion, and Hell is a lovely place the embrace of which we are all eager for." She's probably going to have half the Security 'on duty' in alter Cheliax with no Detect Thoughts, and the other half actually on duty with Detect Thoughts making sure no one actually defects; only the former are allowed to stop the girls unless they're genuinely escaping, of course. 

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"If we actually made it out in alterCheliax there would be tropes helping us.  I don't know what that looks like but maybe, there is one female Security on staff who is in love with Keltham, Pilar's curse is actually helping and knows which Security that is -"

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"First, try getting out. Then, when we understand where that failed, we can try to figure out what the tropes would do."

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"Acknowledged."

She's going to see if she can pull her Project Lawful status and get a message started en route to going outside of Cheliax, a message that could have plausibly tipped off Osirion to their location and that it was time for Keltham pickup.

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"Acknowledged."

She's going to wait a bit and then shout "Keltham Evil tortures people your god is Abadar don't accept resurrection until you've gotten to Axis" and assassinate Asmodia.

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Peranza wonders if it's possible to figure out the ilani version of overpowered Splendour just from the teachings Keltham has given them so far.  Probably not, if Security isn't being instructed to play along, but she has literally no other ideas.

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Tonia is extremely stressed. 

 

 

She takes the point that she is supposed to be extremely stressed because if they were actually traitors escaping with Keltham they'd be extremely stressed. But the punishment for the other girls, when they inevitably fail, is going to be in line with their Taldor-punishment rule. And Tonia is going to be actually punished. And the only way to protect herself is to do something impossible. 

 

Pilar is obviously the person you want on your team for doing something impossible, since maybe Cayden Cailean will help. (She knows that Cayden Cailean won't help, but she wouldn't know that in alter-Cheliax. Or is she allowed to use all the information she has, for this exercise? It gets a bit mixed up, when you do it too long.) Anyway, Pilar is utterly loyal to Asmodeus, so you can only get on Pilar's team if you have a good reason what you're doing serves Asmodeus. ...they don't have to be escaping to defect, they could also be escaping because they realized that the project was violating the rules Asmodeus gave for it? 

 

 

Message to Pilar: so, if you found out that Sevar didn't serve Asmodeus and the project was breaking the rules He sent us, what would you try. 

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Is Pilar's curse up for this, by any chance?

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Absolutely.  Showing them exactly how easy it would have been for Pilar's curse to get Keltham out is a wonderful trust-building exercise!

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Message from Security to Sevar:  We see what you're thinking.  We'll run it past Subirachs, and then tell half the Security they can't run Detect Thoughts starting right away, during what's going to be an exercise, so they won't end up warned of what you're planning to try yourself.

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Sure. Tell them to report to me for further instructions in ten minutes.

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Meritxell considers. 

 

They're going to lose, obviously; the point of this exercise is to learn from what happens when they lose, rather than being the sort of exercise where you win. That does not make her want to win any less. At the absolute minimum she wants to be declared the most impressive. 

 

That requires thinking of an impressive idea, unfortunately, and she's not immediately coming up with one. She could....fight a Security? She almost definitely loses. Impersonate a Security? She almost definitely loses.  Impersonate Sevar? That's entertaining but in no way actually solves her problem. Impersonate the Queen? She likes being alive. Talk a Security into defecting with her by promising them all the riches of ......wherever they're defecting to, which is probably poorer than Cheliax? No, that's no good either....

 

Well, there's always the straightforward, honorable, only likely to fail approach of putting up See Invisibility and trying to kill a Security before they have time to get off a warning, and then trying to use whatever items and scrolls they have to get clear of the Forbiddance before they miss a checkin. It's the sort of plan that usually won't work but not the sort of plan that will never work, and tropes might be the kind of thing that likes long shots. 

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"All right," says Carissa. "I'm going to go tell Security that we're doing a training exercise in which one girl is a traitor while the rest remain loyal. And that they're supposed to pretend not to know that and to act normally. Good luck, may the strong triumph and the weak suffer, have fun out there."

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Sometimes Gregoria wonders if joining Project Lawful was a mistake. It can't be, since it wasn't a voluntary decision, but still.

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Carissa presents Security with an incomplete briefing on today's exercise, which will be incomplete because the Security assigned to participate in the exercise and ordered already not to use Detect Thoughts will best satisfy their roles if they are missing much relevant context: the exercise is that one of the girls is a traitor, but they are expected not to act on that knowledge and to persist in their usual habits.

Furthermore, they are to pretend, for today, to be limited in the fashion that Security in alter-Cheliax would be limited. They may not use Detect Thoughts; if they capture the suspected traitor alive they have to dawdle for ten full minutes before extracting information such as whether this was in fact the traitor. Other Security has been assigned to ensuring that these limitations don't produce any genuine security holes. 

Finally, they are for this exercise not to carry the scrolls of Teleport assigned to them, because they don't want this exercise to present the girls with a genuine temptation to defect; they are to trade them for these rolls of paper that say 'Teleport' on them, which are a win condition for the girls. Again, other Security has been assigned to ensuring that these limitations don't produce any genuine security holes. 

"It is my hope and expectation that you will apprehend the pretend-traitor without incident; it'd be more convenient if you don't kill her, but killing her is preferable to letting her win, unless it's Ione, who should be permitted to win rather than killed, if relevant. The exercise is expected to end tonight, but you should consider it still underway until Subirachs tells you otherwise, or until you get a top-priority alert from those Security not on this assignment. You're dismissed. Olegario, a word."

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"Your will, Chosen."  Olegario will follow her, or stay to speak to her, as she seems to prefer.

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Stay to speak with her. "I'm participating in this exercise; I might be a traitor, today. You are to ignore any further instructions from me until Subirachs has confirmed that this exercise is over. Further, should you ever have cause for doubt that I am on the path Asmodeus set out for me, you are permitted to speak to Subirachs of it, as it is likelier that I have been impersonated or compulsioned, or that the occasion is a test, than that Asmodeus has genuinely led me into opposition to His church on Golarion."

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"Acknowledged, sir," says Olegario; that he's not calling her Chosen should show he understood.

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"Dismissed." 

 

 

She waits for him to leave the room.

 

 

Now there are some discarded scrolls of Teleport in a pile on the table. She takes one and puts it in her bag. As they say in dath ilan, cheating is technique. "Get the rest of those somewhere safe," she tells the non-participating Security, and heads out to lunch.

 

 

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Whoever's job it is to torture Carissa Sevar, Elias Abarco thinks as he gathers the remaining scrolls, is not doing it enough.

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Lunch is had by all!  It's a much tenser lunch than usual.  Messages get passed around now and then, in absolutely no more than the usual quantity for a lunch.  As Asmodia warned everyone earlier, they had better not give away that it's more than one girl participating, if they want to have any chance at this.

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And then girls drift off to the library, or in Yaisa's case to her bedroom to prepare spells, which she did not bother to do this morning, a decision she now feels very rewarded for. She can put some offensive spells together - they don't have much chance of working, but they're not the whole plan. 

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Carissa goes to her room, checks it for spies, locks it, and starts preparing spells as well.

 

 

Five minutes later, while Carissa sits in her room apparently preparing spells, an invisible Carissa streams in gaseous form up through the chimney and out of the fortress. (She loses the illusion once she's seven hundred feet away from it, not that the illusion is actually a substantial part of the plan.)

 

(She had those spells prepared anyway, in case she needed them during the earlier Keltham escape sequence.)

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Sevar is almost outside the Forbiddance when she gets struck with a Dimensional Anchor spell, from an angle she doesn't see.

...was that one of the Security who was in the exercise group, or a Security still really on guard?  Either way, it's clear Carissa Sevar could not have escaped that way in realCheliax.

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...good. Real Cheliax's competence to keep actual defectors from escaping is important for all her plans. 

 

 

(She wasn't, actually, defecting, obviously. She had considered burning the Teleport to go visit Egorian but decided against.)

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Peranza seduces a Security officer, to the point of actually having sex with him, before trying to be very, very persuasive about how much she would really like to go on an Ostenso shopping trip, her being escorted there is fine, she'll have sex with him for weeks if he does.

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Security has been tensely trying to figure out if he would have been seducible if he hadn't been warned in advance.  Not seducible about the trip, obviously, seducible about the sex.  But he's one of the Securities who proved seducible by Yaisa, and the rest of Security knows that, and he doesn't want to have to defend the plausibility of his turning Peranza down.

That makes the safer course deciding that he would have fallen for it.  He took off his clothes with Yaisa, he'll take off his clothes with Peranza.  If she can successfully take him out while she's naked, he'll deserve whatever he gets.

(He is nonetheless wary of Peranza, focusing on her, ready for her to try something, probably more than he would be if he hadn't been warned - but it's not like he wouldn't have been wary at all otherwise, right.)

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Security has been warned there's a traitor but thinks there's one of them; that makes the best course of action teaming up. Yaisa has made herself and Gregoria and Meritxell invisible; Meritxell has a knife and thinks she can maybe kill a high enough level wizard with one strike but even if not, there'll be three other people trying. 

She hasn't actually murdered anyone before, but it's good to get that out of the way early, really. 

 

She stabs the Security through the eye; it's not quite likeliest to kill him but it's sufficiently sure to be debilitating if it doesn't.

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He doesn't die of the assassination strike and they don't win in the end but it is a very close thing.  The sort of close where somebody is bound to think that, if Meritxell had more practice and a better weapon - or if Meritxell and Gregoria had a chance to prepare their own spells - or if Yaisa's spellbook also had Cat's Grace, Bull's Strength, and True Strike - he'd be dead.

There will be consequences about this.

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Ione waits until much of the afternoon is up before she makes her move.  If Ione tries something, even if she succeeds, Security might expect the exercise to be over after that.  Her plan is a simple one, she is on the Nethysian punishment plan rather than even the lax one, and Ione doesn't want to blow other girls' chances at avoiding punishment by making it clear earlier that more than one girl might be a traitor.

By the time Ione's moment comes around, Asmodia doesn't seem to be around, so Ione carries out the plan on a morose Peranza instead.  She uses Message instead of shouting; on reflection, that gives them even less time to try Hold Person on her.

Message to Peranza:

Brace yourself, and don't react to what I'm about to say, or do.

KELTHAM EVIL TORTURES PEOPLE CHELIAX IS LYING TO YOU ABADAR IS YOUR GOD DON'T ACCEPT ANY RESURRECTIONS UNTIL YOU MAKE IT TO AXIS AND TALK TO SOMEBODY

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Peranza is startled enough that she says "What?" out loud, but without a Detect Thoughts running, that's not enough to cue Security to use Hold Person or Dominate Person on Ione before Ione mimes a pretty realistic assassination strike on Peranza, through her eye, with a kitchen blade.

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Ione is actually holding the blade, too!  She's just holding it reversed so that it's the wide hilt that strikes Peranza hard over her eye socket, rather than the blade.

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Asmodia, considering things, decides that she needs to not in any way risk blowing her cover with the comms officer who sent her message to Gorthoklek.  Her plan needs to not use that fact at all.  Gorthoklek might not be amused himself, among other considerations.

So Asmodia goes over to the real temple mid-afternoon, and demands to examine copies of some standing orders.  She gets confused looks but obedience from some officers who haven't been told about the exercise.

Asmodia takes the paperwork to a nearby table to examine it, and then, with some effort, copies a forgery of Subirachs's signature to some paperwork she's already made up in her best handwriting.

There's enough of a passageway from the main temple to the comms office that Asmodia can use her disguise items from the morning exercise, which she has accidentally forgotten to give back, to turn into Subirachs in that passageway.  'Subirachs' hands the paperwork to the comms officer, and is rather brief about her directions, but that seems to raise no suspicion.

If they claim one of the remaining Security decided Asmodia needed a full-time invisible watcher while going to the real temple, Asmodia will complain about that not being realistic.

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...but that all probably still isn't going to work, or be accepted if it does work, or be the most impressive performance if accepted.

So next Asmodia goes over to requisitions and asks for a wand of Hold Person that Project Lawful needs for a training exercise they're running while Keltham is statued.  She's duly marked down as having requisitioned it.

After that Asmodia conspires with Pilar, to have Pilar distract a Security officer by jumping him, after which Asmodia will use this wand of Hold Person she has obtained by undisclosed means to take down the Security.  She doesn't trust her ability to draw and fire the wand unobserved if the Security's not distracted.

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Pilar, rather bemusedly, agrees to this, and is promptly stunned while trying to grab the Security officer.

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(This would be because Asmodia has turned Pilar in as a traitor.)

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Pilar is not really sure what happened there, or if Asmodia got caught too.

But you know, that business a bit earlier, where the Chelish intelligence services didn't want to trust Pilar's ability to stand up under torture, if that hadn't already been tried on her?  That was kind of insulting.  Pilar is not actually giving up her co-conspirator unless Security can actually fucking get it out of her.

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...which, in turn, means that Pilar Pineda is in a security holding cell, being tortured, at the time when Tonia - who was previously told to trust in Pilar's curse and await further developments - finds herself a hundred paces outside the Forbiddance, holding a real Teleport scroll and a cookie, with no memory of how she got there.

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What. 

 

 

 

Does she win because it's a real Teleport scroll or lose because it's a real Teleport scroll - no. She's pretty sure that means she wins. "I WIN!" she declares very loudly, resisting the urge to drop the Teleport scroll like it's on fire. She does not defect, she does not really contemplate defection, she probably couldn't read a Teleport scroll she has nowhere to go it might be a test she sold her soul. She yells "I WIN" until someone comes to get her.

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"Well."

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"Well."

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"How unimpressed should I be with the Security here?  Or, for that matter, with you, Maillol?  I'm interested in hearing your arguments about that."

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"I'm not impressed with the Security who got caught with his pants off."

"Ione Sala - I think just shows a legitimate truth that if we can't use Detect Thoughts, and somebody near Keltham is willing to sacrifice a huge amount of pain to warn him and kill him, that's doable."

"Sevar got shot down by the Security on overwatch, which isn't good because she now has some clue about that measure being there and wasn't supposed to, but again there are limits to what we can reasonably stop without Detect Thoughts."

"Pilar's curse has made its point about how we only get to keep Keltham because it lets us.  At least, that's how it looks on the surface of things.  I expect there were godagreements about what it can't do, though that's your department now."

"Tonia was the one moved to the most extreme acts to win.  Which you might call a victory for conventional Asmodeanism, except for the part where the extreme act to which Tonia was moved, was, in fact, praying to Chaotic Good divinity for aid."

"Asmodia is the one who most personally impressed me, whether or not her message gets acted on up the line.  The fact that the comms cleric has no arcane sight and won't spot even a low-level disguise is a real hole in our security, one I'm still trying to figure out how to fix without another fucking full-time soul-sold wizard."

"I'm not sure what to say in my own defense except that you're not going to find very much better outside of the Queen's personal guard.  Security is harder than Security makes it look."

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"I am, with some reluctance, going to call the game for Tonia, because my inner Aspexia Rugatonn is warning me that if I don't predictably do that, Pilar's curse would have gone to further lengths to spare her from punishment."

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"I admit fault, I would've missed that."

...he is in fact pretty glad to be on Sevar's light punishment regimen right now.

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Carissa was sort of hoping that someone would have a devastatingly brilliant idea that could, as is, be used on Keltham, but she feels like it was a very productive exercise all the same, even taking into account that she didn't win and that bodes poorly for how pleasant her evening is going to be. She reports to Subirachs for a debrief.

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Subirachs has in fact had something of a helpless feeling here, about how to guide Sevar towards Asmodeus.  Sevar's earlier punishment in the palace torture chamber apparently hugely backfired, and shook Sevar's faith greatly, because the torture did not immediately make her stronger.

Subirachs will fall back on Rugatonn's apparent strategy: make sure that, if the torture doesn't work, it's at least Sevar's own fault for doing it wrong, so that her Irorian leanings will tell her to torture better next time and not that torture is bad.

Subirachs will ask Sevar what punishment she intended to inflict on Tonia if she failed.

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"I don't actually feel particularly competent to assign punishments that are meant to be scary and was thinking about just giving her to Abarco because he's very good at scary. If you have advice I'd be grateful."

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Security, read Sevar's thoughts.  "What are your goals, Sevar?  What state of mind would you have told Abarco to achieve in Tonia, while she was being punished?  What change in Tonia would you have wanted that to accomplish?  To make her stronger?"

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Carissa is not an idiot and is aware that this is a conversation about her and not about Tonia, at this point. "The point of this punishment is that three hours ago the girls needed to be in a state of feeling desperate, and pressured, and scared, because we needed the kind of creativity you get from people when they're desperate and pressured and scared. This punishment isn't about making them stronger, though we of course can't actually afford to have them weaker for very long; it's about following through so that next time we need them desperate and pressured and scared we can credibly deliver them into that state. It's about - breaking the self-satisfied sense that you did reasonably well, or did your best, and replacing it with desperately wishing you'd somehow done better."

 

And no, she's not sure how that's best attained in her; she feels like somehow a dath ilani could be there already, anticipating a punishment that would shape them so. She is not thinking of herself as a special snowflake who needs specially customized torture to stay loyal, she's just assuming that this is the normal course of Chelish punishment, which she is being taught since she now has subordinates and needs to learn it.

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"Mm-hm.  And how would you achieve that state of mind in Carissa Sevar?  Come up with something, or your punishment becomes worse."

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Abrogail knows. 

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She canNOT say that.

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Though she can hope Abrogail happens to read it. 

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"I don't think this is a respect in which Carissa Sevar merits any special concern, High Priestess; 'desperate and scared' is a state Cheliax needs be credibly prepared to induce in her as much as anyone else."

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"Perfect, then," says Elias Abarco from where he's standing at the door, invisibly, and suddenly there's an Unseen Servant at Carissa's throat -

- which, she'd know, she's been playing around with Unseen Servant precision a lot herself, lately - takes a degree of finesse that takes real effort to acquire -

 

"High Priestess," he says with a nod, and drags Carissa out.

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On the clear distant level on which Carissa Sevar is calmly observing Carissa Sevar and observing that this is satisfactory for causing in Carissa Sevar the dread and panic that they just agreed was the objective, she notes for Abarco's benefit that Keltham has ordered her not to have sex with anyone without his prior approval. 

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"Well," Elias says cheerfully, "I guess you'll have to lie to Keltham."

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Everyone else (Tonia excluded) gets 20 lashes, except that it's 10 for Asmodia.

(Ione decided not to argue, when she heard the details.  She doesn't want to create resentment among the other girls, and also, is in fact worried about letting herself go soft or look scared while she's still got to live in Cheliax.)

 

Pilar, in principle, should now also undergo some punishment bad enough to scare her.  The problem is, nobody including Security or Subirachs has any idea what scares Pilar besides her failing in her duties to Asmodeus.  Pilar did just spend the afternoon up until the exercise ended with Security sincerely trying to torture her in a way she'd find unpleasant, not totally without success.  This may as well be said to count.

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"I - Pilar, I - I didn't think you'd do that - why."

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Pilar looks worn, if only to Chelish eyes.

"A few days ago somebody in Chelish intelligence implied that they couldn't rely on my ability to hold out under torture if that hadn't been tested."

"Just to be clear here, you did, in fact, sell me out?"

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"Yes.  I - don't need to explain, right, why it was you, not anybody else, certainly not Tonia."

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"The amount of heresy on Project Lawful is not going to end well."

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"I'm sorry.  I'm not much pretending to not be a heretic so I'll just say it."

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"Eh.  Don't worry about it.  I've learned a valuable lesson about the true meaning of friendship."

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Tonia can't make herself eat her cookie, but she stares at it all evening.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 13 (10) / Morning

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Keltham is pretty gung-ho about today!  If all goes according to schedule - this being much less of a silly thing to think in dath ilan than Golarion and some intuitions haven't caught up yet for him - today will mark the signing of the Project's articles of incorporation and the interim compact between Cheliax and the Project!  And then as soon as they send him some domain experts he can -

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Everyone at breakfast looks - well, they look the same as always, to Keltham, but the noise level is audibly much less, people aren't talking much to each other.  Everyone has a cake plate, some with untouched pieces of cake on them.

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Ione comes over as soon as she sees him.

"Keltham, advisory," Ione says quietly, "the war was going okay and it's still going okay and Cheliax is still going to win in the end, this sort of thing happens during a war, but Cheliax lost one of its eighth-circles last night, soul-trapped.  Name was Delmus.  Eventually Cheliax wins and frees his soul but he is not likely to come out of it okay or, functioning, it's a situation where when Cheliax finishes the war, he goes to Hell, not back to life.  Sevar didn't know Delmus at all well but she knew him, he was an instructor for one of her classes a long time ago.  I - don't think I'd actually advise that you try to comfort her about it, unless she asks, there's too much you don't - get, yet."

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Keltham can think of all sorts of additional questions, just like with most of the sentences ever uttered in front of him in Golarion, and he also knows that this is not the time.  Questions will keep.

"Understood.  Your recommendation about today's schedule?"


(He mostly puts to the back of his mind the haze of speculation about whether the Conspiracy is about to ask him to develop weapons, or if this means from a trope standpoint that the Nidal war is going to be a big deal in the plot.  Those questions will also keep, and he does like to have the option of not walking about constantly consumed by anxieties like that.  His gendertrope also says that when others are shaken, it is a time for him to be less shaken, if he happens to have that option.)

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"Consider going lighter for the day on new math that's going to push our minds to the limit to understand.  If you have that option, my guess is that giving everybody an off day to be gloomy is not the correct move, and it's better to be making progress instead."

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"Understood."

This does take some replanning - next up after Utility is Decision, prerequisite unto Coordination; and to explain the preliminary steps of math there using conventional examples, he's going to need to explain computer programs... well, he can find something else.

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Keltham, then, will jump ahead of Decision, to a lesser fragment of Coordination.  While the ordering of the subjects as math is somewhat different, on reflection, dath ilani children growing up sure do know what is a cooperation-defection-dilemma, long before they learn the logical decision theory to solve them Lawfully.

...should he be worried that cooperation-defection-dilemma comes out as eleven syllables, instead of three, if he just tries to say it in Taldane?  Probably.  Likewise that 'punishment', meaning the sting in an attempted 'threat' payoff matrix, is one syllable instead of six.  You could take a good guess at what kind of wreck this world would be, just from its language.

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The first thing Keltham tells everyone is to please prepare Comprehend Languages tomorrow; he should test the effects of lecturing in Baseline.  Which he mostly expects to not work, but value-of-information, if it does work that's great to know, and generates value over time, so better to run the experiment sooner rather than later.  Value-of-information is one syllable in Baseline, by the way, just 'value-of-information'.


The classic example of a cooperation-defection-dilemma is one that, dath ilan supposes, must have been common hundreds or maybe thousands of years before the times that are remembered:  Two farmers, both with almost no technology, and a small supply of not-very-heritage-optimized grains that they must both plant, and eat.  Each farmer plans to eat enough seed to survive, albeit somewhat miserably, and plant enough seed that next year there will be sufficient to both eat and plant; that is all the grain that they have.

But roving bears sometimes smash open grain-enclosures and steal grain.  So each farmer's options include faking a bear attack on the other's grain-enclosure and stealing some of the grain there for themselves.  Not enough that the other farmer starves and becomes desperate and dangerous, but enough that the other farmer will be miserably hungry this year and also the next year, because they won't have enough grain to plant for future plenty.

The other farmer could, of course, guess that the bear attack was fake, and steal their missing grains back.  But this can't plausibly be anything except deliberate action, it would be too much coincidence.  Which obviously starts a cycle of both farmers having to sleep with their grain, and spend a lot of time watching for attacks, at the end of which they'll both lose a substantial amount of the time they needed for planting.

If you consider each farmer's available actions, and the payoffs to both of them based on both farmers' actions, it might look like:

                                      Farmer 2:
                          Cooperate-2:      Defect-2:
Farmer 1:      
Cooperate-1:      (100, 100)         (30, 120)
Defect-1:             (120, 30)           (70, 70)


...where the labels '1' and '2' also remind you of whose payoff is whose, that is, Farmer-1 gets the first element of the payoff and Farmer-2 gets the second element.  So if Farmer-1 Defects and Farmer-2 Cooperates, Farmer-1 gets a payoff of 120, and Farmer-2 gets a payoff of 30.

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This example seems to have been well-chosen; the students are following along and not making baffled faces about any aspects of the hypothetical.

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The ideal solution to this problem is something that gets covered in the technical lectures following Utility, on Decision, but on reflection dath ilani children all know about this problem-concept before anybody tries to teach ideal solutions to it.

There is, of course, a pure-Good solution to this problem, which is that both farmers care about what happens to sapient life in general, and care about themselves as only special cases of sapient life.  They won't impose a direct cost of -70 on the other farmer, for a benefit of +20, because their real or ultimate utilities are a sum over all sapience evenly weighted in proportion to the reality-weight of all those sapient beings, everything with - your language has no word for 'qualia', right, on some less strained day Keltham needs to ask some carefully constructed questions so as not to give away what he's trying to test, but for now he is going to guess that Taldane lacks the word 'qualia' and not that Golarion inhabitants lack the thing the word is talking about.

Anyways, that's the Good solution - everyone's real utility is just a sum of everyone's payoffs, and everybody knows that this is the case about everybody, and so everybody individually decides to do whatever they need to do, in order to end up in the matrix-cell with the maximum sum of payoffs.

There's a Keltham solution, which is that you don't have very much of that pure Good - you care about other people close to you, maybe, but these farmers are not lovers nor friends - but you do care a lot about not stealing from strangers.  If you live next to a Keltham, that you know is a Keltham, you can be pretty sure he won't fake a bear attack on you; the difficulty, of course, is in the knowing, because this world has no truthspells.

But suppose now that both farmers are Abaddon-style pure Evil, not partially selfish but absolutely selfish.  They care about their own food supplies, the satisfaction of eating now and eating in the future; nothing else.

Is there a Lawful solution for absolutely selfish people?

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"They would both agree to have a King who investigates supposed bear attacks and punishes thieves," offers Gregoria.

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"There's no King, and if there were, he'd be a selfish King who'd take almost all their grain himself."

"Unless, of course, there's a Lawful solution to that too.  But if there's a Lawful solution there, you'd ask if it could be simplified back to just the two farmers again."

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Gregoria thinks that yeah, selfish King who takes almost all the grain is kind of just how it works out. She doesn't volunteer this answer.

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...is there any such thing as a lecture on Law which isn't accidentally trying to explode Asmodeanism?  Sometimes Ione does wonder if Keltham knows, and is playing with all of them.  Maybe he can beat Detect Thoughts using ilani disciplines far beyond what he speaks of openly.

"I think - if they didn't expect to get away with the bear attack - wouldn't the first farmer not fake the bear attack, because they'd know the other person would steal back grain, even if they didn't think the attack was fake?  I mean, even if it was a bear attack, a purely Evil farmer would steal grain from the other farmer to make up for that, right..."

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"You expect the other purely-selfish farmer to try to steal from you anyways, though.  So you might as well steal from them first.  We could suppose that whoever carries out the theft first has a few days of plenty eating their stolen food, before the other farmer can prepare and execute a plan to steal back food.  So if you're going to end up in that situation anyways, there's an incentive to be the first to Defect."

"We could skip the part where it's a fake bear attack.  We could even skip the part where the paired thefts occur, and go directly to them spending a lot of time guarding their grain.  70-70 payoff at the end."

"But in fact, yeah, you might suspect intuitively that somehow two purely selfish farmers in this situation would manage to reason that, if they kicked off a cycle of thefts and guarding, they'd both be worse off."

"And so long as no theft had yet occurred - they would both think - maybe the two of them could, somehow, end up doing something else which is not that."

"This is the great will to do Something Else Which Is Not That, and end up Not There, which is sometimes said in dath ilan - though the truth is not now remembered - to perhaps be the reason why Civilization exists, why any such thing as Civilization now exists, and not just a bunch of farmers sleeping miserably next to their grain stores."

"But what I'd like to observe at this step is that - if the two farmers do manage to end up with the 100-100 payoff, somehow - by hypothesis, it can't be because they're Good; it has to be because they are, in some way, being Lawful."

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Yep, that part seems right, that you can get Civilization out of Law and not out of Good, that Good is a weaker and worse way to build it. 

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Subirachs thought that Cheliax was more Evil than Lawful....

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"But fake bear attacks aren't the limit of how hard we can make it to coordinate."

"Let's take the next step up in things being hard to observe.  Let's say two partners are working on a new venture, but again, this is happening earlier in history and they're missing a lot of social technology.  Maybe they're two farmers, one of them has to forge the ground-breaking tools, one has to make the scythes, and then they both have to break ground together at planting and use the scythes together at harvest."

"If either of them slack off on the engineering part of their job, they get to be lazy themselves, and the resulting less efficient work is distributed across both parties, so it's a net benefit for them."

"Let's say that you can pick up +30 of personal utility by slacking off, at a cost of -20 harder work to you later.  And also, of course, -20 harder work for your partner too.  But you don't care about that because you're Abaddon-Evil, pure-selfish."


                            Cooperate-2:       Defect-2:
Cooperate-1:         (100, 100)         (80, 110)
Defect-1:                (110, 80)           (90, 90)


"And the other farmer isn't expert enough at that person's job to tell they did a bad job - the ground-breaker can't tell if the scythes are blunter than they should be, and require more effort to use."

"And it's early in history so they can't call in a professional third-party evaluator."

"If they are both Abaddon-Evil, pure-selfish, but Lawful, is there any way now for them to end up with the 100-100 payoff?  To look at the 90-90 payoff and say that they want to end up Not There, to do Something Else Which Is Not That?"

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Seems like no?

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"Gods can cooperate in that situation. ...humans I think mostly can't. At least Golarion humans."

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"Well, let's try it then.  With a bit of randomness thrown in, so that even after you get your payoffs, you are not sure what the other person did."

"You pair up and write 'Cooperate' or 'Defect' on a piece of paper.  So does your partner.  Baseline reward is 3 copper for playing the game.  I'll spin a coin ten times for each of you, and for each time it comes up Queen, you get +1 copper.  The spins are separate for each of you.  If you Defect, you get one more copper than you would've otherwise, and your opponent gets 3 less.  If you Cooperate, the rewards are the same."

"There is, I suppose, a chance that you Defect, and their coin comes up Queen 0, 1, or 2 times, and then you're definitely caught.  But that's only a 5.5% probability.  Or your coin could come up Queen 8, 9, or 10 times, and then if the other Cooperated you'll know that for sure."

"You are, in this version of the game, allowed to talk to each other.  You cannot, of course, show each other what's written on your paper."

"Actually, let me see about getting Yaisa or somebody to be Silent Proctor in this game, if they're willing to do it for a couple of silvers.  I wouldn't want you too influenced by wondering what your boss would think of your moves."

"Oh, and it goes without saying, your sole goal is not to win the most copper of anyone - that'll be mostly down to the randomness - but just to earn as much copper as you can."

"Tier-2s can pick which tier-1s they want to play with, going in order by Tonia, Peranza, Gregoria, Pilar.  Security, can I get a message conveyed to any non-busy Ostensos about there being a twenty-minute job requiring strong but easy confidentiality, for whichever of them is the lowest bidder on it?"

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Security can do that. (Are they supposed to help the girls cheat?)

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No. They are pretty much never supposed to help the girls cheat. If everyone defects the entire time, which everyone probably will, then that probably has all kinds of correlates.

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Tonia wants Ione because maybe she'll do some weird Nethysian thing that isn't just the obvious 'defect every time'.

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THIS IS NOT LESS STRESSFUL THAN MATH.

Asmodia, having thought implausibly fast, tells Security to transmit:

The natural distribution of responses here won't be right for a non-Evil country.  Not just results, what people are saying, if Keltham listens.

Idea:  Have Sevar play Pilar and myself play Ione, inside our thoughts, Security proctors the results.  That'll be proxy for what the results might look like, and what the students might be learning or saying, somewhere less Evil.  Not that we're not all Evil here, just, well, you know what I'm getting at.


And Tonia is now FRIENDS WITH IONE to explain her choice because NETHYSIANS ARE NOT NICER PEOPLE THAN ASMODEANS IN ALTER-CHELIAX.

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- sure, they can try that.

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Peranza, per direction, picks Sevar.

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Ione notes out loud that she wants a quiet minute or two to think about this entire thing before she has to start playing, if that's okay, and that she'd recommend giving everyone else a quiet minute too.

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Sensible.  Sure!

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Well, this is going to be something, Pilar thinks for retransmission to Sevar.  I straight-up can't figure out what Asmodean theology says here, the Lawful and Evil parts seem to be pulling in opposite directions.

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Yes, I am having that problem too. I think this is how tyranny is derived - Asmodeus wants a King who'll make the farmers cooperate, so they're not doing it out of - intrinsic trust in each other, even trust in each others' lawfulness, but they are doing it. 

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Does Asmodeus dislike the part where people trust each other, or like the part where it gets done by tyranny instead?

(Pilar has the same question about why Asmodeanism prohibits people caring about each other.)

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Not authorized to instruct you on matters of faith, remember. If I were wildly guessing I would say that Asmodeus isn't the antithesis of Good, that's Zon-Kuthonish, the thing He likes is that it produces tyranny, and the thing where - one needn't rely on Good in others, one isn't following processes that only work if people have convenient values? That there's something better about a system you can build out of any kind of Lawful farmer than a system you can build out of only farmers who care about each other. And maybe that if people care about each other they'll let that win out over Law. But I'm guessing. 

 

Anyway, I'm not sure if in the absence of a tyrant Asmodeus thinks we ought to cooperate or - no, actually, we shouldn't have free will. It'd be better if we didn't have free will. And farmers without free will obviously do the Lawful thing. I think.

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I was thinking about two devils.  But not equal ones, a higher devil and a lower one, so they wouldn't just automatically do the same thing.

Or the Queen and the Most High.

(Would it be all right to care, then, if you could do it without making things be about caring instead of Law, if it was all still tyrannical enough that Lord Asmodeus wasn't losing anything... how bad is the wrongness inside her, exactly, is it absolutely bad or just...)

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I bet the key here like the key with lots of things with Keltham is doing things with certain probabilities. Like, if it looks to me like there's a 50% chance you stole from me I flip a coin about whether to steal back.

 

The Queen and the Most High have a negotiated contract, that's - another way - I assume the farmers aren't allowed to negotiate a contract but if they are, well, you're definitely not supposed to give your word falsely.

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Keltham didn't SAY they weren't allowed to negotiate a contract.

I was about to transmit that I'd realized we were having the wrong discussion, because we need to figure out alter-Asmodean theology so students can talk about that, but maybe we just DID figure out what alter-Asmodeanism says about it.  That part wouldn't be different.  Keltham knows our Lord is Lord of compacts.

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Yes. The alter-Asmodeus answer has got to be in significant part that you have to be the kind of person who keeps your word when you give it, that's the absolute minimum of there being any reason to not steal from you at all, and then the farmers negotiate a deal. And everyone can argue out their deals individually, I think, though not trying to cheat each other.

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It's kind of a straightforward deal.  Not a lot of options there.  I guess somebody could try demanding an extra copper in order to Cooperate but who'd fall for that, really.

What alter-conversation did we have leading up to that?  Maybe - the parts about what two devils would do, what the Queen and Most High would do because there's nobody above them in Golarion... but Keltham shouldn't hear the same thing everywhere, we need variations on what people could come up with...

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I think the 'what would people without free will do' conversation is fine, Keltham knows that Asmodeanism holds that that's something broken about us -

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So I heard you betrayed Pilar yesterday.

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That didn't happen in alter-Cheliax.

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Uh huh.

Isn't the idea that we have the real conversation between us, so we can figure out how people actually think about this, and then adapt that to alter-Cheliax?

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Fine, so you mentioned that recent time where - what would even be analogous to that, in alter-Cheliax, they're not offering students incentives to turn traitor on each other.

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They sure aren't.

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Focus, Ione.

Well, on my side, I'd bring up the point that you are beyond doubt the least Lawful person in this classroom.

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Great, let's both Defect, then.

This isn't a contest of who can make the other person look less trustworthy.  We're supposed to be figuring out a way to, how did Keltham put it, Not That.

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Then why did YOU bring that up.

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Because I was wondering if you had anything to say in your defense about why you betraying Pilar, then, doesn't mean you would Defect now.

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And the part where you're now the adherent of a Neutral god - is something you'd have to defend to me?

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This from the Chosen of Milani.

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I told you that was a fucking joke.

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Bet that's not how tropes work.

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If I'm the Chosen of ANYONE it's some sort of weird god who does for this universe what I do for alter-Cheliax.  And if there's a god like that, I'm pretty sure it's a Lawful one.

We're not getting anywhere here, Ione, we're sniping at each other in a way that Asmodeans do, and we need to be having the alter-Cheliax version of this conversation instead.  Like one where we talk about how trustworthy we are, instead of how untrustworthy the other person is.

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My alter-Cheliax self has never in her life hurt anyone who didn't hurt her first.

How about you?

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I don't think - that can be true - even in alter-Cheliax -

Run that past Sevar before you say it to Keltham, Ione, she'll tell you that it's not like that in other countries.  She'll say it's not like that in Taldor.  She'll - probably be right.  Maybe in Keltham's Civilization, the real one, out of dath ilan.

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I didn't say alter-Ione never hurt anyone.  I said that I don't see why alter-Ione would ever hurt anyone who didn't hurt her first, if nobody was FORCING her to cast Acid Splash on CHILDREN to make sure she ended up DAMNED TO HELL -

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Because somewhere over her entire life, alter-Ione would, at some point, have hurt someone innocent, and remembered it, even if she was sad about it.  So she wouldn't say that to Keltham because it would be a lie -

Ione, stop this, this is NOT THE ALTER-VERSION of our conversation, that's an order.

Alter-Asmodia says that she sure wants us to both end up Cooperating, but no matter what kind of conversation we have about that, she doesn't see why we wouldn't just both Defect.

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Alter-Ione says that she doesn't especially want to be the sort of person where she Defects even though the other person Cooperated, so mostly, you just need to convince her that you Cooperate, and you're pretty done from there.  She doesn't see how you'll convince her of that, though.

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Alter-Asmodia says that Keltham's instructions were to make as much copper as we can, for ourselves, not to end up a particular sort of person.

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Alter-Ione says fuck the instructions, she's a Nethysian.

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Alter-Asmodia says that's not how to learn the knowledge Keltham is trying to teach you, Nethysian.

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Alter-Ione says, she thinks there isn't a way out of this in real life, if it's with Neutral Evil players, and that dath ilani little kids end up Cooperating because they don't really follow instructions either, what with them also being the sort of kids who try to explode their schools.

Alter-Ione thinks the people who actually follow instructions in this game end up Defecting and the ones who don't really follow instructions Cooperate.  If it's not about who we really are, but the Neutral Evil versions of us.

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Alter-Asmodia says that this is absolutely not the moral of a game they'd play with dath ilani kids, if this one doesn't contain the pieces for a solution, they'd give the kids a more complicated solvable problem right from the very start.  They don't want to teach the kids that Defection is the only way out.

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They play it to teach the kids that Defection is what happens when everyone is Evil and has no trace of Good in them.  This is a truth and a great and important and valuable one, which ought, indeed, to be taught to children.

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NOT consistent with the tone of Keltham's earlier lecture, he was pointing in the direction of there being a Lawful solution that didn't rely on Good.  Not in a trolling way, either.

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I'm not seeing it, then.  How about you, Chosen of a Lawful god?

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...I am unfortunately better at the math, and what comes after the math, than I am at the thing that comes before the math.  The part you had to help me with on Keltham's seven problems.

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If it's solvable, it has to depend on what kind of people we are.  You can't do this with a demon.  You can't do this with a rock that has 'Defect' written on it either.  That's why Keltham said we were allowed to talk to each other, it's not that we can - threaten each other, or persuade each other - it's something we have to know about each other.

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Guess about each other, not know, because it'll be a truth of only some worlds, not a truth across all the worlds, a probability and not a logic.

I don't see how you could know that, from talking to somebody.  Wouldn't they just say whatever you needed to hear to make you Cooperate?

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If you've got 30 Splendour, possibly.  Otherwise maybe my Sense Motive is good for something against your Bluff.

But, valuable to know that's how you think about it, Asmodean.

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"Okay, enough quiet time, let's start the game."

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"Wait."

Message to Keltham:  Should we all do this in separate rooms?  I'm pretty sure I have an outright solution, and if somebody else overhears that, it'll skew the results.

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Message to Pilar:  This I have to see.

"Suggestion accepted from Pilar to do this in separate breakout rooms."

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We need to resolve our game, see what results end up as.

Defect, Asmodia thinks, not for retransmission to Ione.

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Defect, Ione thinks.

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I commit to you to not steal your grain in the absence of convincing evidence you stole my grain which right now would be just a too-low number but in the future when I think through all the math might also include a pattern of grain results that is unlikely if you are not stealing, Carissa says to Pilar, if you will make the reciprocal commitment. 

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I make the reciprocal commitment, as an Asmodean, if you make it as an Asmodean.  Not in the way where we're calling on Hell to punish us if we break the compact, because that part wouldn't exist in alter-Cheliax, but in the way where this is a compact, and we'd keep it even if Asmodeus said He wasn't going to punish us for breaking it, because we are Asmodeans.

(Pilar lets herself be smarter when she needs to be the smart one.)

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Carissa is not sure that's actually part of Asmodeanism but - it should be? So hopefully it is. 

As an Asmodean, then.

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Cooperate, Pilar thinks.

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Cooperate.

 

See, you can be Evil and still win. 

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Keltham, meanwhile, has followed Pilar into her selected breakout room with Meritxell, looking skeptical and interested.

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Security, does Pilar need advice/rulings from me immediately?

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Pilar's fine, in Security's best judgment.

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All right, update me on what happened with Sevar/Pilar so I can figure out what our results should look like and what people should talk about.

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Since Asmodia hasn't had time to advise anyone, Pilar will just open directly rather than give Meritxell time to possibly screw up.

"I offer you a compact as between Asmodeans, that I will write Cooperate and you will write Cooperate," Pilar says to Meritxell.  "Not an oath, and we're not calling on Hell to witness it, that's too serious for this.  But a compact, as is our Lord's domain."

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" - are we allowed to stipulate the farmers are Asmodeans," says Meritxell. "Obviously Asmodeans can make such compacts, but what if the farmers aren't - I guess the farmers who aren't Asmodeans will be starving and sleeping in their grain silos and they'll see the Asmodeans and convert, sure."

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"Keltham's instructions didn't say to pretend we're farmers.  He just told us to play this game, and earn as much copper for ourselves as we could."

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" - all right, fair enough. I accept your compact, as an Asmodean." Meritxell assumes that she's now supposed to cooperate with Pilar? To show Asmodeans in alter-Cheliax can do that?

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"I'll leave you to the rest of the game, assuming it's not over.  Remember, turn your back while the other person writes their move; neither of you is to know the other's move, now or ever, except as you might guess it from the partially random payout you get.  Oh, obviously you don't tell the other person your payout, either."

"If you actually are done shortly, I guess you might need to wait while the Silent Proctor gets here... actually no, just leave your moves, folded, with your names on them, in the room.  Security can make sure only the Silent Proctor looks at them."

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Keltham departs to go look in on Carissa's game with Peranza.

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Carissa has sought and gotten confirmation that she isn't saying things suspiciously identical to Pilar's. "So I don't think you want to say 'I compact not to steal your grain', because if you're stealing my grain I'll certainly steal yours back. I kind of suspect the actual solution is going to involve the same thing as the jellychips problem, keeping a probability estimate of how likely it is you're stealing my grain and having some probability of stealing back if I become convinced enough that you're stealing. But I do think you can say, 'I commit not to steal your grain unless I become sufficiently sure you're stealing mine, if you make the same commitment', or something like that?"

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Peranza has learned that it's best to just let alterPeranza talk, and try to not let any of realPeranza's thoughts and fears get in her way.

"How do the farmers know one of them will do something just because she says 'I commit'?"

(RealPeranza is not so silent that alterPeranza would just say 'How can I trust you?' to Sevar.)

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"So there's some half-answers, like, you set up the probability of stealing back if your grain gets ransacked so that it's not worth stealing and maybe getting caught, not in the long run, and they aren't better off stealing, or, being a farmer who means it when you commit things is useful for stuff other than not stealing grain from your neighbors, so you do it to have a reputation as someone who does it, but they are kind of half answers? The thing gods can do is - show each other what kind of person they are, and you can see, well are they a person who means it when they commit, or not? ...we don't have that but we do have Detect Law which I'd argue is kind of the same thing. And I'm powerful enough to show up to Detect Law so you can just Detect Law and see that when I commit I mean it. ....doesn't answer how I'm supposed to know what you'll do."

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"I don't suppose you already have a plan for that part?  Because that sounds like, I could trust you to commit in the name of Law, that you'll Cooperate if I Cooperate, but I don't have any way to show you I'll Cooperate."

She sold her soul, but that's not the same thing in alterCheliax.

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"Showing up to Detect Law is one way of being the kind of person whose commitments are real but it's not the only one? Most people in Cheliax are Lawful, so I'm starting from a high expectation that you're Lawful, it's not like you're trying to convince someone who doesn't know anything about you."

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"So you... just need to talk to me for a while, because also I'm younger than you and your Sense Motive probably beats my Bluff, and when you're sure enough I'm Lawful, we both commit in the name of Law?"

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...Peranza is being very pliant here, and if Carissa can talk her into mutual Cooperation this way, she could probably also talk Peranza into Cooperating while Carissa Defected; which, as he understands it, Carissa should not really end up doing if she promises in the name of Law.

Well, everybody Cooperates the first time, and the older kids usually have to nag them for a while to get anyone to Defect ever, even for purposes of understanding the counterfactuals that real Civilization is meant to rule out.  Maybe Golarion isn't so different that way?  Still, Keltham would've thought the instruction to 'earn as much copper as possible' to maybe be a bit more effectively understood, here.

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"I think so? Or I think this isn't the whole true solution but it's the bit of it we're likeliest to actually get working. So, are you actually Lawful? If you make a commitment do you mean it even if later you think of a way to make more money doing something else?"

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"Yes," says alterPeranza, because what's she going to say, no?

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" - I don't actually feel like that answers the question! Or - I feel like a Peranza whose plan was 'play very dumb, nod along, then defect every time' would also say that! Whereas there are some things she'd have a harder time saying. Just, 'yes' isn't one of them."

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"I'm - an Asmodean living in Cheliax and a follower of Asmodeus in good standing with the Church who was slated to take the Worldwound oath?  I'd rather live in a Lawful country than a Chaotic one?"

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Asmodia and Gregoria.

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"I was kind of hoping you had some clever math since otherwise we're obviously both going to defect the whole time," Gregoria says.

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(That does NOT SOUND like a conversation that was already going on before Keltham entered the room but Asmodia will speak to Gregoria about that LATER.)

"Apparently the clever math was going to be in today's session except for, you know, and now we're getting this session instead."

"It can't just be about knowing a piece of math, though.  Otherwise you could say that piece of math out loud, and then Defect anyways."

"I bet dath ilani kids don't Defect, even before they know the math.  I just don't know why.  There's a version where they're bad at following instructions but I bet that's not why either."

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It kind of is the kids being bad at following instructions, if they've got no idea how to consider the logical-probabilistic correlation between their actions, or examine each other for evidence of being the sort of agent who runs internal logic corresponding to outward verbal representations.

Not that it isn't adorable to watch a bunch of eight-year-olds make up totally specious and implausible reasons for being nice to each other, but.

...maybe he should've had everyone run a version of this game where they pretend to be Abyss demons, first, so as to test actual comprehension of instructions / willingness to write Defect literally at all.

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"I have been sort of thinking that a lot of dath ilan is powered by - mutual knowledge of everyone else's Lawful Goodness, and so the kids all have mutual knowledge of each others' Lawful Goodness, and probably there are ways to cooperate if you have mutual knowledge of Lawful Goodness. Which doesn't help the farmers any, obviously, and I don't think it helps you and me either."

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"I think you should just need Lawful or Goodness, not Lawful Goodness, and we do have mutual knowledge of that."

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...possibly this problem is, in fact, easier, if you've got some weird version of Law called Lawfulness, that you can detect with spells, that whole regional factions polarize around, and which has gods related to it.

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"Okay, we're both Lawful, what does that get us? There's Law against stealing someone's grain but there isn't Law against writing 'defect' on this piece of paper."

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"That's kind of where I'm blocked as well.  We're probably supposed to do - some math thing that there'd obviously be Law against breaking?"

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" - swear to it? But I'm not doing that for a game and dath ilan wouldn't have its children do that either."

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(You're not QUALIFIED yet to take oaths, in alter-Cheliax, and AGAIN Asmodia will be having a talk with Gregoria about this LATER.)

"No, they wouldn't.  They wouldn't tell their children what oaths were, until they were old enough... though they wouldn't have Abaddon..."

"No, I feel like in a really Lawful civilization, you don't tell your children what oaths are, even if there's no Abaddon, because you just don't want kids breaking oaths.  Keltham, are we allowed to ask you dath ilan questions so long as you're here?"

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"Let's say no."


If she literally gets to the concept of the Algorithm on her own, Keltham will, will, he doesn't even know.

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"Right.  Well, I think I remember, though it's been a while, that Keltham was surprised about our oaths working because people who break them lose their Law and go to Abaddon."  Asmodia makes a mental note (an orange one, but in big letters) that this implies that Lawful Good and Lawful Neutral people wouldn't be trustworthy on quite the same level, which she should've realized earlier.  "But there's a word for something similar, in his language, something equally powerful that works without Abaddon existing there."

"So we obviously shouldn't try to figure out what that is, and actually do it, because that would maybe be more dangerous than a Golarion oath."

"But Keltham wouldn't assign us to figure that out and do it, either."

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"No shit."  Who are the remaining - Ione and Tonia.  Okay, neither of those seem terribly at risk at figuring out how to make, and then break, an Algorithmic commitment.

Not that it should be even remotely possible in terms of the amount of math you'd have to invent.  But.  Thank you, Asmodia, for reminding Keltham of what kids grow up knowing before they learn too much logical decision theory.

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"I'm not sure how it can be more dangerous than getting your soul devoured," Gregoria says skeptically, "but I agree that's not the answer. ...it seems possible that actually everyone defects repeatedly and then we're more motivated, when we get back, to try to figure out something better."

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"That's basically what we're going to have to do if we follow the instructions to earn as much copper as we can individually, and it's annoying, and I keep trying to figure out if there's a way to - how did Keltham put it -"

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"To do Something Else Which Is Not That."

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"Yeah."

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"Well, instead of that you could Cooperate."

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"I believe this illustrates an important general principle, with which I expect the teachings of dath ilan to agree, that when you embark upon the sacred quest of doing Something Else Which Is Not That, you do not confuse this with the far less useful quest of doing Any Random Thing Whatsoever That Is Not That or, worse yet, doing An Even Stupider Thing Which Is Not That."

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"Well, I picked you as my partner because I figured if anyone was going to think of Something Else Which Is Not That it'd be you, so, go on, think of it."

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Asmodia wonders if this is how her hypothetical goddess feels all the time.

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Tonia and Ione.

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 "- one of us needs to be the sort of person who'll Cooperate if the other person Cooperates, and the other person needs to be the sort of person who's going to Cooperate given that, and we both try to read each other past what might be a bluff about that being true.  We're not breaking Keltham's rules, that just is how you earn the most copper."

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"Well, are you the sort of person who's going to Cooperate?"

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"I sure would if I thought you were the sort of person who'd Cooperate if you thought I would Cooperate!  Though I'd probably also want to ask you things like, is your Sense Motive good enough that you can read me?"

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"And if I can't read you, and you know that, then you'll defect. All right," says Tonia. In a way it's a very Asmodean game. "Well, if that's what we're supposed to do to get the most copper, I'll try it. I'll Cooperate if I think you'll Cooperate." Which she doesn't think at all.

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"Bluff.  Now you know my Sense Motive isn't that terrible."

"I'll Cooperate if I think you'll Cooperate."  (Truth.)

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Tonia bites her lip. "But you don't think I'll Cooperate, so you don't in fact plan on Cooperating."

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"But I am sincere about Cooperating if you Cooperate, which reduces this to the problem of, first of all, you actually intending to Cooperate, and second, once that happens, my being able to read you about that."

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"I'll cooperate, if you'll cooperate," says Tonia. (She's confused enough she's not sure if this is true. Probably not.)

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"Now you're feeling confused but trying to go along with things, and the reason I know this, is, that's not what you'd say if you were tracking this."

"If I'm like 'I'll cooperate if I think you'll cooperate' and you're like 'I'll cooperate if I think you'll cooperate' then where does that leave us, nowhere, is where it leaves us, unless and until somebody can be like, okay, I'll cooperate.  Now I already told the truth about cooperating if I think you'll cooperate, and I think you know that, so what you need to do now, is just decide to cooperate."

Maybe Ione can get Asmodia to overrule Tonia about what alter-Asmodeans would do here...

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...actually, if the wizard students weren't already familiar with first-order logic, the chances are roughly infinity to zero against them already being familiar with the principle that (for most proof systems put together the obvious way) you may freely assume a proposition's quoted provability within a quoted system, in order to prove the unquoted proposition within the unquoted system.

Without which principle the problem of 'I have to know/prove/guess-with-sufficient-probability your decision before I can decide' is in fact unsolvable.  Oops.

Well, you could state about yourself that you were adopting some informal version of that principle, it's not like humans actually meet the assumptions for the simple version of the math.  But, yeah, that probably makes it a lot harder to see how the solution works, doesn't it.

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"But it'd be stupid for me to just decide to cooperate without any caveats!" objects Tonia.

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"You're not!  You're deciding that after you read my sincerity about Cooperating if you Cooperated!  Otherwise it'd be stupid, yeah, which is why I didn't just say, I've decided to Cooperate."

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" - okay. So, I'm saying, since I can't bluff you, and since if you actually read me as planning on Cooperating you'll Cooperate, that means I'm just better off, if I cooperate, since you can tell. Unless you've changed your mind since when you said that thing, say it again."

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"I will definitely Cooperate if I think you'll definitely - no, if I think it's pretty likely, reasonably likely, that you'll Cooperate."

"You're currently confused, suspicious, sort of testing the waters there, but not in an insincere way.  You're sort of trying to make up your mind about it and see what happens, but you haven't really made up your mind.  This is progress!  And I don't want to just say, you don't get rewarded at all, for coming a little further.  So, even if you don't get any further than that, if you stay in just this state of mind, I'll spin a coin three times, and if it comes up Queen each time, I'll Cooperate with you.  That's about how likely I think you are to really Cooperate in what appears to be your current state of mind.  We've made progress, now try taking it a step further."

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...orrrr you could complicate your reasoning processes to the point where they were no longer valid, and add a slight dash of motivated reasoning, that might also work for crossing the gap.

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"I'm likelier than that to cooperate!" objects Tonia. "I think I'll probably cooperate though not if we stop talking right this second because if we stop talking right this second you just said there's only a one in eight chance you'll cooperate. But I expect we'll keep having this stupid argument in front of Keltham until I'm convinced. ...and a dath ilani would be convinced already from predicting that. So I guess I'm convinced. How likely are you to cooperate right now."

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"One in four, let's say?  You don't really believe that but you're trying to convince yourself, which is something I want to go on encouraging."

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...okay, his being here is probably influencing this, if only through his not being able to fully conceal his horrified expressions at their version of the Algorithm.  So he is going to go check and see if there's a Silent Proctor waiting for him, and if Security explained the instructions already.

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Paxti is repeatedly spinning a coin and noting down the results, while a (visible) Security officer watches with a bored expression.

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Keltham will wait until Paxti stops spinning, then speak.  "Yo.  Your bid on the job?"

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"Two coppers.  I was bored."

"Pilar and Meritxell finished before I got here, Sevar and Peranza just left.  I don't tell you the particular results, right?"

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"Correct.  You tell me the total number of Defections and Cooperations, unless that number was one or zero for either, in which case you tell me nothing.  You also tell me the total payout, and an amount of copper and silver you can use to make those payouts."

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"Which means I tell you nothing right now, right?"

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"Right.  Well, repeat back to me your scoring instructions so I can make sure you got those right."

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"Everyone starts with three copper plus one copper for each of ten coinspins that comes up Queen plus one if they Defected minus three if their partner Defected."  Never mind flunking out, anyone who can't follow instructions on that level doesn't get to go to wizard school.

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"Yup.  Carry on, then, sorry for interrupting."

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"Keltham."

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Keltham manages not to startle.  Over the last days of sitting quietly in a far corner of the room not saying anything, Broom has achieved something tantamount to cognitive invisibility.

Or, actually...

"Broom, are you using magic to make people not much notice or think about you?"

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"It is not magic.  It is a talent of my people.  We are simply good at being unobtrusive."

Broom knows, speaking, that these are not the words of a slave.  He sets aside old anxieties at the thought.  It has been claimed to Broom that he is not a slave anymore, at least not of Cheliax; and in alterCheliax he has never been a slave.  He has been requested to conduct himself accordingly.

(He knows of alterCheliax now, the divergent mini-reality they are constructing to contain Keltham.  Broom spoke for a time with the one called Asmodia, who, despite her strange mission, seemed harried and exasperated in a way that made Broom feel oddly sympathetic towards her.  In her own way Asmodia seemed like a slave with too much to clean up, much like he once was; he would not, without reason, make her work any harder.)

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"Is your people's talent, by any chance, a sort that gets blocked by Mind Blank."

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"No," Broom says, Security having swiftly instructed him that this is the true answer so far as the Security knows.

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"Right.  Well, what's up, then?"

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"I wish to play against you the game that you are having these others play."

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"...why."

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"In search of understanding."

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"Understanding of the game, or understanding of Keltham?"

"- don't say 'yes', either."

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"Understanding of Keltham."

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All right, that seems honest enough.  "Okay then.  We'll get paper and find a breakout room."

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"I want both of those two idiots humbled, and by humbled I mean raped."

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Aspexia Rugatonn frowns.  It's not out of the question, but a measure that should be resorted-to on relatively rare occasions, at that level of management.

"Subirachs's choice there hadn't particularly seemed like the best possible decision, no, but I hadn't thought it bad enough to warrant that.  Sevar was - not beginning to think herself unpunishable, but thinking herself unpunishable except by going to extraordinary lengths.  She thought that Cheliax still had threat to hold over her, but in the form of yourself, or say Gorthoklek, not in the person of Abarco."

"Sevar didn't reflect on her faults in that explicit a manner, but she wanted to break that dangerous sense of invincibility within herself.  This was accomplished."

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"That could have made sense if Sevar wasn't engaged in an incredibly tangled honeypot operation with somebody who has an alien power to sense her sexuality even if nothing else and also forcing her to lie when many of the relationship breakthroughs with Keltham have been based on a bizarre form of honesty presumably empowered by tropes."

"I don't even want to think about what dath ilani romance novels must say about this, except that Subirachs and Abarco are going to end up not just dead but in Abaddon - actually I don't think dath ilani novels would do that to their villains?  But something is going to happen to them that a dath ilani reader would find satisfying, and I worry that this may involve the ruination of Cheliax if not Hell itself."

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"Ah.  Hm.  And you think we should arrange their rapes ourselves, to be proactive about that?"

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"That thought hadn't even occurred to me!  I'm just enraged by the sheer stupidity!  Why do my subjects do this?  Why does nobody in Cheliax understand what pain and torment do inside people on any level more complicated than it being scary?  How am I supposed to run an Asmodean country like this?"

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"Need I point out that your own commandment of disciplinary torment for Sevar greatly shook her faith -"

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"Because Sevar chose to undergo a torture order timed at her discretion, immediately before she needed to have an emotional conversation with Keltham and then meet with the Crown!  The thought that Sevar would be that stupid literally never occurred to me!  What do unwitting Irori clerics think torture is supposed to do?  Why is my life like this?  Do I have to personally order, execute, explain, and sensibly schedule every instance of torment in all of Cheliax for any of it to be remotely productive?"

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"Sevar was not making progress in learning that art herself.  Sevar was putting off the tortures required for herself, declining to inflict tortures on others.  Not from selfish calculation, not even from heretical kindness; she forebore to advise Subirachs when Subirachs was selecting instruments for Keltham to use on her, and paid some small price for that.  Then, having failed to learn her lesson, Sevar again failed to suggest any alternative specifics to Subirachs when Subirachs requested those and told her that her punishment would be otherwise worsened.  I expect Subirachs was justifiably frustrated by Sevar at that point; the sort of frustration of one's expiator that a penitent ought properly to regret -"

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"Are you telling me to have sympathy for poor Subirachs about her failure at her one task?  Let Subirachs inflict whatever worse punishment on Sevar she likes so long as it is not a sexual one!  How about a pit of venomous spiders?  Many people fear being thrown into a pit of venomous spiders!  Even the ones who don't fear it the first time oft fear it more the second time around!  Has anybody even tried throwing Sevar into a pit of venomous spiders?  No!  And why not?  I DON'T KNOW.  WHY RAPE."

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"Abrogail, how many people did you have burned, lashed, boneshattered, flayed, near-drowned, and raped, before the first time you got bored enough to try a pit of spiders instead?"

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"...I suppose you have a certain awful point.  Many ordinary people, indeed, may never realize they have the option of throwing someone into a pit of spiders.  And if I suggest a corresponding reformation of Chelish schools, your response will be that, in fact, very few people are ever faced with a problem to which a pit of spiders is the best solution."

"And this response will be very true, Aspexia.  It will be very true.  Do you know who I would nonetheless expect to be expert enough to have options come to mind other than the barest, simplest methods?  The SEVENTH-CIRCLE cleric of Asmodeus specializing in SLAVERY that YOU PERSONALLY appointed to oversee the shaping of the MOST IMPORTANT SLAVE IN CREATION."

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"And which of the dozens of competent subordinates you no doubt possess, whom you deem much superior to Subirachs in that task, would you appoint to replace her?"

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"Are you sure I can't just personally -"

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"No.  Bad Abrogail."

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The noise that comes from her throat then is one that you might, hearing it in Hell, not know whether it was issuing from a tormented soul or its enraged tormentor.

 

 

 

 

 

 

"Well, I am, for whatever it is worth, now much more resolved upon our diabolical secret plan."

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"Oh?  I confess I don't see the connection."

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"Because if Keltham actually tried to study torture HE WOULD ACTUALLY BE GOOD AT IT."

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"Yes, that is exactly how I feel about 'corrigibility'."

"Do you feel it would be beneficial for Project Lawful if you disciplined Subirachs and Abarco in this matter?  Not beneficial for your indignation and fury, beneficial for Lord Asmodeus."

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"I will instruct Subirachs that further orders for sexual torment are to be routed through me for approval, and not suggest to her that I was displeased with her current order, because as you say it did serve its foolish, minor purpose and I would not have even that pittance of a benefit lost."

"And I shall quietly arrange with his owner that when Elias Abarco is welcomed forever into Hell, he will spend the first thousand years of it being raped.  The tropes, then, will not need to act, in his case."

"Is there anything similar you can arrange for Subirachs?"

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"I do believe she had hopes of the Chosen of Asmodeus personally taking care of her, when in time she reached Hell.  Or so she said aloud, and surely she would not mislead the Chosen about matters of faith?  I will send instruction to Hell of it and pray to our Lord of the matter, and approve due civil orders for making her a statue until Sevar is ready to receive her."

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"That should be satisfying to the tropes as well, one way or another."

"I will instruct and pay Abarco's owner that, may Sevar wish his ownership, he is to be sent to her embrace as well."

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"And should Sevar fail in her ascension, and never become a Power of Hell to receive anyone, I doubt Hell will be much pleased with Subirachs about it either."

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"I am the chosen agent of a Lawful goddess, Otolmens, who preserves.  I might pledge upon the Law, and be believed, within Golarion, by any who knew, or any who could sight my alignment."

"You are an alien; why should anyone believe your own pledge?"

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"I'm an alien from a place Lawful enough that everything on Golarion looks to me like randomized insane nonsense by comparison.  You've heard my lectures.  You know that."

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"You are from a place with much knowledge of Law.  This does not say who you are, only what you were taught there."

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"Got four cleric circles off a Lawful Neutral god the first night I was here."

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"Gods are not infallible.  They sight us but dimly."  This was told him, in the course of explaining how he must not in fact assume that Otolmens saw all, knew all, understood all, that She was able to move him with vast wisdom and every consequence foreseen.  "By the laws of choosing, you must be within one alignment step of your god.  This permits that your alignment might be True Neutral.  As is, for example, Nethys, god of destruction and madness."

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"Yeah, pretty sure my god and Asmodeus and Cayden Cailean are sighting stuff here more than 'dimly'.  What with, you know, some pretty precise timing and spell choices and all that.  Which would be handily explained if Nethys, god of knowledge, was tipping them off."

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"None of this says that the purpose to which those gods are acting is one that would not alarm my goddess of preventing enormous messes.  None of this says that you yourself are in truth a Lawful being."

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"I can think of further arguments but I'm wondering if you have some test you're working up to applying, in which case you could just mention it now and save a lot of pointless conversation."

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"No.  No test.  Only a question."

"What kind of being are you?  Who is Keltham?  Not your world, not the knowledge taught you, not the god who chose you, not your alignment aura, none of these things outside you, that are not you."

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"I'll state for the record that I was talking about that part because it's easily visible and verifiable strong evidence that you don't have to take my word about, as might be relevant to the game we were theoretically going to be playing here, where people have incentives to say something apart from truth."

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"I did not say your words were empty to me.  If I had to stake my soul on it, in this moment, I would guess that you were a Lawful being."

"There remains doubt.  Why am I here if you are so orderly?  Perhaps my Lawful Neutral goddess saw imperfectly.  Or perhaps your Lawful Neutral god saw unclearly.  Nethys might tell them more, but Nethys is also god of madness and destruction, and not Himself a Lawful being."

"Who is Keltham?  He has not said much of himself in my presence, only spoken of things outside himself.  Does he know, himself, what he is?"

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"There is a sizable chance that I know myself better than any other mortal in Golarion, what with the fact that I alone have had any training in introspection or education in how minds and brains operate.  What exactly do you want to know?"

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Whether you are liable to destroy Golarion, destroy all that lies beyond it.  But this Broom cannot say.

"If I knew so plainly, I would have asked you plainly."

"Why are you Lawful?  Why did you choose that?"

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"Okay, see, Lawfulness is not a thing in dath ilan.  We learn to use some math.  Because it's useful.  Then you get to Golarion and all of a sudden everyone is like 'what an incredibly Lawful person this is' but that's your weird system, not mine.  I was, am, and remain, Keltham, whatever other people call me, and whatever system they think I fit into."

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"What is Keltham, then, that those of Golarion, seeing him truly, might call him Lawful in their own weird system?"

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"I could answer that more clearly if your concept of Lawfulness was not itself such a mess.  This language uses the same words for mathematics that is timeless and invariant between all worlds, and regulations made up by people in particular regions and factions, calling both by the word 'law'."

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"Laws obeyed by matter and magic.  Laws obeyed by people.  Shapes that they take on, without which they would dissolve into formlessness and chaos.  Constraints that should not be violated.  You see nothing the two have in common?"

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"Those who taught me to think, who are vastly better at that than anybody in Golarion including me, taught me that it is not a good idea to think of two things as being the same, just because you can point to some property the two have in common.  In due course I'll probably be lecturing on that."

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"Who is Keltham?"

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"Keltham is a very large data structure and he needs you to be more specific about your search query."

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"Who is Keltham that Keltham will do as he says he will do, in this game?  Not, what god bears witness to it; who is Keltham that a god would bear him that witness?"

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"Okay, so I got here knowing literally nothing about Golarion, and then, a few seconds later, that this place was really cold, or at least the part of it I was standing on was cold.  But in short order I found out about gods and clerics, which are not a thing where I come from.  So I decided to try talking to a god who might be helpful."

"How do you suppose I targeted my call, to the first god I tried to talk to?"

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"A god that would prove useful to you in your project to change Golarion, a god who might offer you protection from any unknown threats about you, a god whose concerns appealed to you enough that you could be Their cleric."

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"No.  I was looking for a better partnership than that.  In Civilization we have traditions about that sort of thing, looking for somebody where you can start a business venture with them and stick to that for years and years.  People have proverbially better luck about that if they treat it less like the problem of finding an employer, or employee, and more like the problem of who to monogamously marry and have a kid with."

"So I asked myself the question 'Who is Keltham?' from a direction that seemed useful to matching up with a god ideally suited to me, and the exact form of that question out of dath ilan isn't exactly easy to explain, but - I asked myself what a world of Kelthams would be like, how Civilization would have been different if I'd been an average person there, instead of a relatively strange person for a dath ilani as dath ilani go.  Imagining the world-of-you is one way of seeing yourself."

"And because the thing that was different about me, in Civilization, is always that I was more selfish than the people around me - I asked myself whether a world of Kelthams would just fall apart, because of farmers stealing grain from each other.  Goodness is something that helps to prevent that, that people won't damage others because they care about those others, even strangers.  Then if there's a world of people less Good, doesn't it end up looking, as your goddess might say, a huge mess?"

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"I do not know.  I agree that it seems like a wise question to ask, before trying to remake a world in one's image."

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"I am not trying to remake Golarion in my image or in the image of dath ilan.  When Asmodia showed up one morning with a +6 Wisdom headband supposedly to compensate for a disability she picked up from a maniacal experiment, starting to use concepts and talk more like somebody out of Civilization, I was sad because I didn't want Golarion to just turn into a copy of dath ilan.  I said that out loud.  Ask Asmodia, she might remember me saying it."

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"Then I do not understand why you asked the question in that form."

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"Because my answer to how the world of Kelthams held together - is that even if you're selfish, you can still value for its own sake, have as part of your 'utilityfunction', that you will do those things that a Civilization must do to hold itself together, even if the people in it care less for strangers than do those of dath ilan."

"Kelthams don't cheat strangers.  They keep their promises to strangers.  They trade fairly with strangers.  They have, in their utilityfunction, very strongly, the shards of - a thing I was going to teach in future lectures - the essence of Coordination - that made its way into humans, long ago, because people who didn't feel anything about keeping their promises, did less well in trade, acquired poorer reputation, and in the end had fewer children, than the honorable.  And we know that this must have happened, long ago, because there is no other way that human beings could now be what they are, things that have a word for honor."

"...though I don't know if the Baseline 'builtin-honor' is translating well when I translate it as the Taldane word for honor."

"The very first shard of Coordination that children are taught about, in the very beginning, is this game I set them to play."

"The real solution to it takes more Law than I think I can teach in a little while."

"But you don't need the full Law, if you don't have the part of the instructions that say you're to be strictly selfish and care about nothing else."

"One solution is to care about other people - as much as you care about yourself, so that if you can gain nine coppers at the expense of their losing ten, you still won't do that, because it would be a loss to the cosmos, to larger reality."

"The other solution is to care about honor.  Care about Coordination.  Be someone where, if somebody else cooperates with you, trusts you, then you would sooner walk out of this reality through Abaddon than betray them, when they hadn't betrayed your own trust."

"That's why a world of Kelthams can exist, and not turn into a huge mess."

"That was the god I called out to - the god whose domain is following the forms of Coordination for their own sake, as a term in the utilityfunction.  Because that is something very deep and strong in what Keltham is, that goes with his selfishness, and makes it okay, safe, for him to be selfish."

"All you need to do to solve the real version of this dilemma with a Keltham, minus the game instructions to roleplay being purely selfish in a way that demands complicated math to solve by pure Law, is to say under truthspell that you'll Cooperate with him.  You don't need to say why.  If you're not going to Defect against Keltham and take his own stuff, then he's not going to take three coppers away from you.  The end."

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"And if I pledged upon my Law to write Cooperate on my own paper, if I believed you would write Cooperate on yours - you would say - what, then, to convince me?  That you pledge it upon your honor?  That you pledge it upon your Law?"

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"I'd just put myself under truthspell and say I'd Cooperate."

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"And if your next question is why I'm able to say that under truthspell, when I'm roleplaying being strictly selfish without honor, it's because I know that, when I actually need to write my move on the paper, there'll be a very strong correlation between the person I am right then, and my model of myself at the time I said under truthspell that I'd Cooperate."

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"I believe you.  I think we have no need to play out our moves, then.  It would be purposeless, if we cannot learn our own true answers, and to show each other our answers afterwards would be an offense against the nature and meaning of this game."

"I will not ask you to spend a truthspell on proving all this to me.  Just, sometime in the future, when you are truthspelling yourself in any case - would you also say to me that you told me no lies this time?"

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Keltham taps himself with a truthspell, and Abadar's symbol flashes above his forehead.

"As my people define 'lying', the act of 'lying' means intentional deceptive falsehood-speaking, and so doesn't include saying literally false statements as jokes, or teaching aids, or ways of 'trolling' people, if you don't expect them to end up persistently believing false things nor do you exploit their false beliefs to their own detriment during the bounded short time they persist.  It also doesn't count if you catch yourself and say 'wrongthought' and explain why you accidentally false-spoke in the next minute."

"To the best of my knowledge and memory:"

"I've never lied to anyone in Golarion."

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Exit Keltham, stage right.

He's still got that weird symbol above his forehead, but there's no particular reason to get it dispelled.

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Broom watches him go with a sad, grim feeling that, like a wind blowing away dust, dissipates all the slight reassurance he was feeling a few seconds earlier.

That is a person who it is not hard to visualize trying to destroy Cheliax, once he knows what it really is and what it has done to him, and maybe taking some risks in the course of wielding power enough to accomplish it.

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Asmodia approves everyone's game moves via Security before they actually enter them - only she knows those, to minimize the amount the others have to fake not knowing - and they work out to 3 pairs of Cooperate-Cooperate and 1 pair Defect-Defect.

Which means that either Asmodia and Gregoria were the stupidest pair when it came to working out the missing Law, or everybody else failed to really understand and follow the instructions, and Asmodia is guessing it's the second one.

But, 3-1 is close enough to 1-1 in the quick test trial, Asmodia thinks, that Keltham should not be mystified by it; and the conversations in Keltham's presence transmitted to her played well enough for alterCheliax.  The more difficult part of Asmodia's job seems to be going well enough.

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Security copies Sevar on key updates from Keltham's conversation with Broom.  (The voice of the Security handling her comms is audibly that of Olegario, if that matters for anything.)

"Kelthams don't cheat strangers.  They keep their promises to strangers.  They trade fairly with strangers.  They have, in their utilityfunction, very strongly, the shards of - a thing I was going to teach in future lectures - the essence of Coordination - that made its way into humans, long ago, because people who didn't feel anything about keeping their promises, did less well in trade, acquired poorer reputation, and in the end had fewer children, than the honorable.  And we know that this must have happened, long ago, because there is no other way that human beings could now be what they are, things that have a word for honor."

"The very first shard of Coordination that children are taught about, in the very beginning, is this game I set them to play."

"The other solution is to care about honor.  Care about Coordination.  Be someone who, if somebody else cooperates with you, trusts you, then you would sooner walk out of this reality through Abaddon than betray them, when they hadn't betrayed your own trust."

"That was the god I called out to - the god whose domain is following the forms of Coordination for their own sake, as a term in the utilityfunction.  Because that is something very deep and strong in what Keltham is, that goes with his selfishness, and makes it okay, safe, for him to be selfish."

"All you need to do to solve the real version of this dilemma with a Keltham, outside of the usual game instructions where we're not instructed to roleplay being purely selfish in a way that demands complicated math to solve by pure Law, is to say under truthspell that you'll Cooperate with him.  You don't need to say why.  If you're not going to Defect against Keltham and take his own stuff, then he's not going to take three coppers away from you.  The end."

 

"I've never lied to anyone in Golarion."

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It is not the most promising starting point from which to seduce someone to Evil. She's not giving up, obviously; Hell has corrupted literal angels, and plenty of paladins. Lots of carefully-reflected-on endorsed values possessed by teenagers are not those of the people they'll grow up to be, even when a great deal of effort isn't pointed at changing them.

But it's about as un-Asmodean as an ideology can be. And it is coherent, it's not just reflexive regurgitation of the things dath ilan went to great lengths to instill.

 

And he's going to be so furious, when he realizes that Cheliax has been playing 'defect' this whole time. 

 

 

 

(Lawful Evil ilanism, obviously, uses the complicated Law here; it does not Cooperate just because someone else is Cooperating; it tries to get as many coppers as it can. That's not the problem; Keltham could work with that. The problem is the lying. And the - the inadequacy of Cheliax, its fundamental deficiency at building a society in which people can reason, which Lawful Evil ilanism solves though she still doesn't know how. 

....maybe a question for tomorrow. No one told her, this time, to be gentle with herself and take time to cry, but if that's good advice the reasons for it probably generalize to here.)

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By the time Keltham is back, the Silent Proctor is done with her results, and tells Keltham the tally of earnings.  Keltham gives that amount to Paxti plus two coppers for her own.  (It seems low to him, but you cannot give people friendly bonuses in a bidding situation; they'll learn that, and then adjust their bids, in which case you've added unpleasant volatility and zero income for them!)

The results that Paxti tells Keltham:  Two Defected, Six Cooperated.

Okay, that's better than zero Defections in terms of how well anybody really understood or followed the instructions... he didn't want to call Pilar on it because (a) he was not in all rooms simultaneously and didn't want to introduce asymmetries by his own presence in the learning experience, (b) it was obvious she didn't think she was cheating, and (c) everybody comes up with some silly invalid reason to Cooperate the first time, that's part of the learning experience...

Actually.  On reflection, Keltham is plausibly looking more at his own illusion-of-transparency failure to explicitly specify what dath ilani children would already implicitly know.  For example, that "only try to get as many coppers as possible" in the context of talking about purely selfish agents implicitly includes "you don't care enough about the Law or Asmodean compacts in your utilityfunction that you could use that as an easy public commitment mechanism".  Pilar may have legit just not understood that part.  Keltham is not on reflection sure that he said out loud anything a reasonable Golarionite could use to work that out, given lack of background context.


Anyways, Keltham calls back the class to get their rewards and hear the results.

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But does he look suspicious about said results.

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Nope!  Seems pretty cheerful about them.


(Maybe his Bluff is so high he can fool Detect Thoughts and truthspells.  If they'd perhaps gotten an eighth-rank Keeper from dath ilan, instead, reincarnated as a younger version of himself, maybe somebody like that would pretend to be Keltham.)

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Anyways!  Once the rewards have been handed out -

"So I realized, after the experiment had already started, that I'd failed to spell out some aspects of the experiment that a dath ilani would know just from ambient culture, but you had no reasonable way of deducing yourselves.  For which I apologize."

"What I failed to spell out was that, in the context of us already being talking about purely selfish agents, if I tell you to only try to get as many coppers for yourself as possible, what I obviously-to-a-dath-ilani mean is that you should roleplay an ideal-agent whose utilityfunction contains literally nothing but the number of coppers it gets.  It's not just that you're roleplaying an agent that doesn't care about the other player.  The agent you're roleplaying also doesn't care enough about Law or Asmodeanism that it has access to the cheap public commitment mechanism of making a promise on its Law or saying that the agreement is an Asmodean compact."

"Some of you Defected anyways, though, so not all was lost in illustrating the underlying problem.  In fact, if you exactly roleplay a purely selfish agent that also cares nothing about having a Lawful alignment in the Golarion sense, that only embodies the Law of obtaining the most coppers, the problem is not meant to be solvable at the levels of Law you currently have."

"Within the conversations I overheard, Asmodia had the sharpest sense of what was missing; Ione was the one who got furthest in constructing pieces of what a dath ilani would call the correct solution."

"Also to spell out something where I can't remember if I was explicit enough: you may not tell anyone else what you wrote down, nor reveal what rewards you received, ever.  You're free to talk about all the arguments you used, but not say what you wrote at the end, or what payoff you got.  The idea is to minimize the extent to which people might be non-self-endorsedly concerned about their reputations, because that concern makes it harder for them to roleplay the selfish agent.  Also something else a dath ilani would know from ambient culture, by the time they were playing games like this; again I apologize."

"You are now free to discuss."

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"Are you saying that the perfectly selfish agents that only care about coppers and don't even care about Law or their reputations still don't defect, if they know enough Law?"

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"Yep!  They embody the Law but they don't care about being Lawful.  Which is sort of what you'd expect the conditions to be in dath ilan, where Lawfulness is not, after all, a thing.  Just Law."

 

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"I'm not sure why the problem isn't solvable at the levels of Law we have.  Compared to us both Defecting against each other, it makes sense for me to say to Tonia, 'I'll Cooperate if I think you'll Cooperate', and be telling the truth about that, if I think Tonia can read me better than I can bluff - or probably can, enough to make it not worth the risk for me.  And then it makes sense for Tonia to say to me, 'Well, now that you've said that, I'll Cooperate', and be telling the truth about that, if she thinks I can read her better than she can bluff, or well enough to not be worth the risk for her.  It looks to me like you could do that even if you were both Chaotic Neutral.  What am I missing?"

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"Asmodia."

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"Um."


"Okay I may actually need to take a minute about that."

 

 

"Does it - actually matter at all, if I say some clever nitpicky thing like, Ione left out that - for her to say 'I'll Cooperate if you Cooperate' - she has to believe, not just that Tonia can read her, but that - she can read Tonia.  And the same with Tonia needing to believe that she can read Ione, not just that Ione can read her, for Tonia to say 'I'll Cooperate'."

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"Ione's exact wording was, 'I'll Cooperate if I think you'll Cooperate'.  If Ione doesn't think she can read Tonia, then even if Tonia says 'I'll Cooperate', Ione won't think Tonia will Cooperate, and Ione won't Cooperate, even though she was being truthful in her promise.  So Tonia also has to believe that Ione believes she can read her.”

”But if Ione does think she can read Tonia, and Tonia can read Ione, Ione can solve that just by adding, 'I think I can read you'.  Which, in their real discussion, Ione did in fact say."

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"Ione won't be certain of her ability to read Tonia, though.  It has to be about probabilities."

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"Ione did put some probabilities in there."

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"Which ones?"

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"Which ones should they be?"

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"So the first thing that comes to mind is just saying, 'I'll Cooperate with whatever probability I think you'll Cooperate', and... that gives me a nervous uneasy feeling but I can't actually see anything wrong with it.  I'd rather live in a world where you Cooperated with 1/3 probability and I Cooperated with 1/3 probability than one where we both always Defected, right?"

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"That sounds like a very useful nervous uneasy feeling that you have there!  You should hang out with it for a while and learn to hear what it's trying to whisper to you.  I would be doing you a disservice if I just told you, really.  A proverb out of dath ilan:  'I've got to start listening to those quiet, nagging doubts.'"

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Asmodia does not say that if she started listening to all of her quiet nagging doubts, she'd never stop, because alterAsmodia has a lot fewer of those.

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"That's not actually the main problem with carrying out Ione's solution if you're roleplaying an ideal selfish agent, though.  There's another couple of missing assumptions there."

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"Not seeing it."

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"Ione and Tonia have to believe that the other person's self-reports are accurate.  When Tonia finally says 'I'll Cooperate' and means it, Ione still has to believe that, because Tonia believes she'll Cooperate, she's right.  Being very good at reading Tonia doesn't solve that.  Tonia could say 'my self-reports are very accurate' and accurately read as sincerely believing that, and still be wrong, because she had false beliefs about how accurate her self-reports were.  That's part of what might start to go wrong with Chaotic Neutral agents, though I don't know much about what that'd be like -"

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"No, I admit fault there, that's a pretty good reason it wouldn't work with Chaotic Neutral outsiders."

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"And finally there's the question of why Tonia or Ione could be right in expecting themselves to Cooperate.  Why wouldn't they, when they got to the moment of finally writing the word Cooperate on paper, just throw away all the reasoning they did previously and write Defect instead?  And wouldn't they know that, and be unable to say truthfully, to the other person reading them, that they'd Cooperate?"

"Purely selfish agents, with nothing else in their utility functions, don't care about keeping promises they made to themselves."

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"Isn't there - I don't know how to pin it down exactly - but say I am perfectly selfish, and only care about getting the most copper, and the way to get the most copper is to put on a magic helm of mind control that'll make me a sincere worshipper of Coppos, god of copper - and Coppos has other values, and I will too once I put the magic helm on, but I calculated it out and I'll get lots more copper this way than any other way, so I put the magic helm on -"

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"One of the Law-fragments, coherence principles, that generates the Law you'd need here, states that Lawful agents never have to do that.  They have no need for magic helms, not unless somebody's doing the equivalent of offering them a billion gold pieces specifically to put on the magic helm."

"They'd no more pay a copper to force their future selves to Cooperate, so that some other agent would predict that their future selves would Cooperate, than they'd pay coppers to trade green and red and blue in a circle."

"If you put a magic helm like that on me and transformed me into something utterly selfish, that didn't care about keeping promises even to myself, and then somebody swore upon their Law to cooperate if they believed I would cooperate, I would still be able to say under truthspell to them that I'd cooperate."

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"Uh, also if that happens, you need to kill me extremely quickly.  Like, literally faster than I can speak or take any other actions.  Just saying."

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That was what Carissa was getting at, that you shouldn't need the magic helm, but now she is distracted by imagining that Keltham wakes up one day perfectly selfish. That'd be...good? Probably? 

 

"- that's a fair ask and no magic like that exists so I'm not very worried about it but - why? I'd - rather you get me back, obviously, if something happened to change my values, but I wouldn't want the new Carissa to stop existing unless she'd gotten Zon-Kuthon style utility flipped in which case she'd also want to stop existing."

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"I do not think you properly realize how dangerous a dath ilani would be to Golarion, absent any constraints on how they tried to achieve their goals.  Broom, in the unlikely event something turns me perfectly selfish, you're actually the one person on Project Lawful who's responsible for killing me literally as fast as possible, right?  I'm not expecting you to confirm or deny that, but you should know that hypothetical perfectly selfish Keltham will know it."

"And then somebody needs to warn my afterlife immediately that nothing under Intelligence 30 should talk to me.  I'm not sure it actually takes that, to be clear, but, safety margin."

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She doesn't, actually, think she's underestimating that.

 

But she nods.

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"If purely selfish Keltham has had longer than 12 seconds in which to work, you need to trap his soul or do something else that stops him from being resurrected, because among the things he can do in 12 seconds is, for example, tap himself with a truthspell and Message somebody that vast riches await them if they resurrect him.  And since threats work on people here he'd probably add something Zon-Kuthon-like about what happens if they don't."

"A proverb out of dath ilani fictional novels:  You have two and a half seconds to kill the corrupted Keeper."

"To you, he is that."

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- oh wait there's a specific strategic thing to do here. 

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 - it's to exchange Meaningful Glances with Meritxell. 

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Meritxell has no idea what's going on but she can do a Meaningful Glance right back, clear enough Keltham can see it since that's what Carissa did. 

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Keltham was not particularly able to decode this, except that whatever it is, it's not meant to be secret.  Carissa telling Meritxell that Meritxell needs to start filing regular reports on counterstrategies to use against her if she goes rogue or coherently-insane?  If Meritxell makes enough progress that this seems like a live consideration, she'll start filing reports with Pilar, Keltham, and maybe Broom.  Well, he can always ask Carissa later what that was about, if he remembers.

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Whatever that was, it had BETTER have happened in alterCheliax or she's turning Sevar in to Subirachs over it.

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Tell Asmodia alter-Carissa, like real-Carissa, thinks that 'Keltham, who is purely selfish and a danger to all civilization' is the hottest concept she has ever heard of. 

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All right, Asmodia acknowledges that the sex part of her wall is largely Sevar's personal domain.

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And on that note, it's time for lunch.

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Keltham will use Prestidigitation to float Carissa a note - since telling her so face-to-face seems like too much pressure, and even Message prompts an immediate reply - that he's potentially available if Carissa wants company at lunch, before the Governance representative gets here to sign the Project's articles of incorporation and to-be-replaced interim compact with Cheliax.  Also a good time to tell Keltham about whether she's liable to want company of an evening; otherwise he'll probably see about checking in on Ione's romantic route.

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She'll come and join him at lunch, then. "Hey."

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"Hey."

He's deliberately avoided asking anybody what happens when Zon-Kuthon worshippers succeed in trapping your soul.  It does not seem like an especially helpful thing for him to know until the war is over.

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"How's Yaisa."

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"This language has some weird ambiguities sometimes.  Are you asking how she is or how she was?"

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"The latter. Someday you'll have to teach us all Baseline even if teaching classes in it while the magic translation tries to keep up doesn't turn out to work."

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"Or get an items enchanter whose time is less astronomically valuable than yours to make rings of Share Language (Baseline)*, if I only need to cast the spell once during the making."

"Yaisa was great, to the point where, if I didn't already believe I'd been sent into a world full of people who were improbably-good-matches for my sexuality, I would've inferred that off Yaisa alone.  And now you've gotten me thinking how that sentence would have been one-third as long in Baseline, buuuut never mind we didn't need that communications-channel-capacity anyways."

"And then Yaisa said she didn't have any hidden background or problems I needed to solve.  Fingers crossed on her not ending up with any experimentally granted superpowers or being the hidden Zon-Kuthon cleric, but I am actually starting to be cheerful about this not being the case.  I feel like - I would never fall in love with her, I just really enjoy her a lot, and while that's not impossible given tropes it's a lot less directly and stereotypically tropey."

"If you want additional details I have to bip Yaisa about her own privacy preferences, I forgot to ask her about those.  Though she did say in front of me that she planned on telling everyone else about how I was in bed and I did not object to this, so you can also ask her, if you'd like."


(*)  Taldane contains a spoken language-marker for the part of a magic item or spell that appears within parentheses.

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"I find myself in the fortunate position of not needing to beg Yaisa for intel on how you are in bed. But maybe I'll talk to her later. So, assuming Yaisa doesn't grow a plot, that means - no tropes? We can stop worrying? Things will just happen for normal sorts of reasons, except the fact you're here in the first place?"

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"We'd still basically be in the world that gave us the god-war and the Cayden Cailean cookies, it just wouldn't be organized and predictable the same way."

"There'd probably be less total weirdness, though."

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"Well. I'll take it. Cayden Cailean whatever else you say of him makes good cake."

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"If I asked where the cake actually came from would that be the sort of question that had an answer?"

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"I mean, probably, on some level, there's an answer? I don't know it. He's not drawing on an Elemental Plane of Cake. Maybe He just bakes lots of cakes, in Elysium, and sends some to Pilar."

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"Speaking of grave mysteries, what was that look you gave Meritxell?  Feel free to answer by Message, or I guess not at all, but exchanging an overt glance where other people could see you suggests that, if this is a secret Security issue, the existence of that secret is not itself secret."

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"Hmm? No, not secret at all. I was merely of the opinion that hypothetical purely selfish Keltham who is a danger to all Golarion is the hottest thing I have ever contemplated in my entire life, and I was curious if she thought so too. She said back, 'I see your point but am slightly less kinky', or at least that was my translation."

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"Releasing Rovagug, hot or not hot?"

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"What? No! That'd be horrible! Also we'd cease to exist and ceasing to exist cannot be hot."

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"Good distraction for the gods while purely selfish Keltham goes for the Starstone, just in case the gods would otherwise interfere with that.  Sure, it might destroy the world, if the gods now are weaker than during the last Rovagug war, but purely selfish Keltham knows he's on a time limit before the gods catch up with him."

"I don't think you properly appreciate where the saying comes from about killing the corrupted Keeper within two and a half seconds."

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"That's not a useful thing to do even if you're purely selfish! The most likely outcome is that you either fail and stop existing or destroy the world and stop existing! How would that possibly - what definition of selfish are you even using -"

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"He doesn't touch the Starstone immediately, he..."

"Actually, never mind.  I have remembered that Golarion is a real place and not a fictional one and that I should not explain out loud how fictional people could wreck it.  Even taking into account that my current model could be wrong, I am not that certain of my own wrongness."

"But the basic problem here is that hypothetical corrupted Keltham is able to think of strategies you would not.  Which means that, however bad you expect this to be, based on imagining what you would do in hypothetical corrupted Keltham's shoes, real corrupted Keltham is predictably worse than that."

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"I don't actually think that Golarion's historical supervillains have been uncreative such that a dath ilani would be worse than we can imagine. But - they have done creative things that accomplish their goals, not creative things that probably get them permanently destroyed. If corrupted Keltham were both selfish and indifferent about getting permanently destroyed, sure, then he'd be terrible and not even in an interesting way, sure, but smart people unleashing their terrible creativity to accomplish their goals is hot, unless they have goals I just inherently can't find interesting or compatible-with-being-valuable, like ceasing to exist."

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"The same logic implies that I should be unable to speed up spellsilver mining, since Golarion's historical wizards have been creative and would've wanted to speed up spellsilver mining."

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"Disagree. A civilization of people much smarter than either of us invented a bunch of stuff - both Law and tools for doing stuff in the world - which we're going to reinvent and it's reasonably likely to speed up spellsilver mining even though if we tried without that backing we'd rightly expect to not stumble upon anything obvious. But the civilization of people much smarter than us never actually crashed their moon into their planet, like Golarion's supervillains have; they never actually ascended to godhood, like Golarion's supervillains have; they never actually conquered a continent and slaughtered every man, woman and child in their path, like Golarion's supervillains have; they never bred a new race of sentients, never fought a war that permanently broke the regularity of physical laws for a couple hundred miles round in the region where it was fought, and those are just the things I'm allowed to know about because they were either too hard to cover up or sufficiently hard to get inspired to do myself. Letting out Rovagug as a distraction to ascend to godhood is horrible and shocking but I bet the people who guard against it run into that annually. Golarion has lots more supervillainy than dath ilan, and does not have lots more metallurgy."

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"That's not really... adding up for me.  These things are not specialized.  They draw from deeply general roots.  One of those supervillains, at one point during their career, would have had a grimdark plan involving a thousand pounds of spellsilver, and then either they know how to figure that out the same way I'm going to figure it out, or not.  If they can't figure that out, and I can, then hypothetical corrupted Keltham can figure out a bunch of other stuff those supervillains didn't figure out either."

"If you're thinking that I can maybe figure out spellsilver is some known thing in dath ilan, and then have memorized how to mine it, that's not particularly how I'm expecting to solve it.  I'm expecting to know more about how matter works and how to investigate problems like that than other previous Golarionites who tried to mine, refine, or just analyze spellsilver.  I'm expecting that based on all the missing knowledge your world should have grown if those roots were anywhere within it."

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Carissa had been assuming that they would in fact be using dath ilani refining/physics knowledge, not just dath ilani Law knowledge, to figure out spellsilver, and she's in fact less optimistic about it if there's nothing applicable from how physics works in dath ilan. Hell doesn't have infinite spellsilver, so Law isn't sufficient. 

 

....but right now that seems like a tangent. "Well, maybe corrupted Keltham'd be the most terrifying supervillain who ever supervillained because of knowing more about how to achieve his terrible goals, which would be hot, or maybe it'd take him a while to discover the true depths of supervillainy, which would be hot, or maybe he'd just ascend immediately, which would be fascinating, or maybe he'd destroy the world, which is totally unappealing on every level. I suppose I'll luckily never find out."

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"Well, I'm not quite sure things could reasonably play out this way.  But if our personal power levels go high enough at some point, and if the rest of Golarion Civilization hasn't caught up to that power level, and if there's still some other country out there at least three percent as bad as Nidal, and if moderate levels of caution permit us to do so sanely, then we could go be supervillains over there for a couple of weeks.  Or however long it takes to wreck their capabilities to the point where Cheliax can handle the remaining cleanup with forty Security officers."

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"That is not exactly the thing but I will keep it in mind."

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"Remaining difference?"

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"Perfectly selfish Keltham, whatever he wants from me, he has, he's not holding any part of himself back because he's scared of what it'd ask for or because he thinks he couldn't afford to pay for it."

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"I would not be terribly surprised if I could get to that point faster than our being able to wreck the next worst place after Nidal.  Actually, hold on a sec -"

Message to Yaisa:  Classification status on being able to tell Carissa that you were able to put buying and selling prices on sexual services, and this was incredibly helpful to me and should enable me to feel much less nervous about those same services even in non-financial contexts?

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- sure, go ahead?

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"Yaisa says I'm cleared to mention that one of the incredibly helpful things she did was being able to put a financial price on a couple of sex things, both what I'd pay her, and what she'd pay me, under my Fair Pricing spell.  I expect to be a lot less nervous now that I have some idea of the order of financial magnitude that goes with some things, even if nobody is actually paying for anything."

"Uh, order of magnitude is the rough number of 10s in a bag of 10s describing the number, like, 4,000 has an order of magnitude of around 1,000 or 10,000."

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" - that makes sense. You know, probably the project should've gotten an actual proper sex worker cleared for you ages ago. I'm glad Yaisa's enough of one. Anyway, the thing for me is much more about - you being unleashed, you doing whatever you want - than about the trappings of supervillainy, though probably at some point we will have to conquer some places and I do expect that to be fun. Power is inherently interesting but - internal restrictions on how you use it aren't very different from external ones, in terms of how hot it seems to me?"

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"Got some trouble parsing that, on dath ilani Law.  Where does your sexuality draw the line between internal restriction and internal direction?"

"Like, let's say I'm in a Cooperation-Defection dilemma with Broom, Broom promises upon his Law that he'll Cooperate if he expects I'll Cooperate, I tell him under truthspell that I'll Cooperate, and then it comes my turn.  If I write Cooperate, I get Carissa, and if I write Defect, I get Carissa and Yaisa.  Had Broom written Defect, though, my choices would have been Cooperate for nothing, or Defect for Yaisa."

"When I write Cooperate, am I internally directed into my choice to win Carissa?  Or am I internally restricted by the dull bonds of duty and obligation to my past self, who needed to pass his truthspell, to give up Yaisa?"

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"- I don't know what I expected. If I query my 'is this hot or not' opinion about that situation it returns 'it's hot how Keltham is a bizarre alien who is very smart'."

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"Same Carissa-Yaisa Cooperation-Defection dilemma, but Broom just said he'd Cooperate and I Cooperate back because that's what Kelthams do.  Internal direction or internal restriction?"

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"Keltham's not on any level wishing he was different and was the kind of entity which would defect and get both? Is he thinking 'well, it'd be really nice if I could get both, but that'd make me a bad person, so I can't'?"

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"Being motivated by wanting to not be a bad person is something I think of - as a particular flavor of Good that Civilization is kind of ehhhhh about, not least because it goes along with people who are sad that they can't destroy all of reality to make sure nobody ever has to stub their toe again?"

"Hypothetical Keltham definitely wants both Carissa and Yaisa, that's what makes the setup even be interesting.  The thought that writing Defect would make him a bad person isn't particularly occurring to him, though, that's just not how he parses things.  The situation where Broom wrote Cooperate and Keltham wrote Defect is just one that Keltham intensely does not want, and for him to avoid that is no different than him taking a gift of a million gold pieces if those are on offer.  He wouldn't take the million gold pieces because it would make him a bad person to turn them down, he'd take them because he wanted a million gold pieces."

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"Well, then that's fine, though it is too complicated to be hot. I am a simple woman and need to have had at least three hours to digest new cooperation-theory before it starts appearing in my sexual fantasies."

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"If 'too complicated to be hot' was a thing for dath ilani our species would've died out when our average Intelligence went past 15."

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"But 'too complicated' is relative to the intelligence of the people involved! Selling you options on my soul is probably too complicated to be hot for someone who doesn't understand what an option is, but I do, so it was the right amount of complicated. Once I understand the deep Law of the Cooperation game then it will find its place in sexual fantasies, it's just not there yet."

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"I hope at some point you catch up on enough Law that your fancy intelligence headband allows you to start saying very clever things that are clearly just barely beyond where I can presently understand them.  Which, in an ordinary and Civilized relationship, would force me to bribe you for an explanation, possibly with sexual services, but in our case I guess I just cuff you to the cuddling surface, bed, and tickle it out of you..."

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"You know, every now and then I realize that yet another aspect of dath ilani culture is probably - from your standpoint - I guess my standpoint now too - an awful side effect of our having a world of sadists with no masochists.  That gendertrope in particular is probably about having a sense of control over another person, in one of the few ways that's possible to do, in a way that makes them still want to be around you, and be benefiting from being around you, in a world where nobody actually wants to submit."

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" - huh. 

 

It seems awfully sad, for a whole world to just be like that, built around - something missing.... I don't want to sleep with any of them, I don't really go for Good, but I wish we could trade them."

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"Your world would not at all lack for tradeables even if it had no magic, yes."

"If Yaisa alone fell into a portal to Civilization, then even if none of her magic worked there, even if she couldn't remember any of her past to sell memories, she would still end up very very very rich."

"Though possibly not if there were any existing masochists around at all, as I misdoubt but do not disbelieve.  They could be real there but rare.  In that case she'd only be very very rich."

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"I have a feeling she's going to manage to swing that here, too. And good for her."

 

 

There's no chance all the powerful people just go around sexually unfulfilled when they could just grab someone.

...there's some chance. It still doesn't feel likely but dath ilan is very different and there's some chance of all kinds of strange things.

 

 

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(Lunchtime is ending.)

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Time to go sign some IMPORTANT DOCUMENTS!

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PL-timestamp:  Day 13 (10) / Early Afternoon

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Somehow it takes HOURS for the Governance representative to cough out TWO SIGNATURES.

How is that even POSSIBLE.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 13 (10) / Late Afternoon

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Keltham staggers out battered but triumphant.  He now has a stock corporation, and his stock corporation now has an interim meant-to-be-replaced contract with Cheliax.

Time to get his first 8 employees in to look over their employment contracts.  They're pretty simple by Civilizational standards.  He's still not expecting them to sign right away, obviously.  There's less urgency about that aspect of things, if they're willing to trust to a handshake deal that current work gets retroactively covered by the contracts when signed, and they're already being paid in mere money without having to wait on that.

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They definitely don't want to sign right away but this all makes sense and looks pretty good and they're happy to trust to the handshake deal if he is.

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Great!  He now has a CORPORATION and a CONTRACT and EMPLOYEES.  And a MISSION and someone he LOVES and a FULL-TIME SEX WORKER.  Anyone who requires more than this to be happy in life is DOING IT WRONG.

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Now, a lot of the stuff they try to do, is liable to have to go through chemistry at one point or another.

So now that there's an interim contract, how about if, first, Keltham quickly summarizes to them about protons, neutrons, electrons, the Periodic Table of Elements, covalent bonds, molecules, conservation of elemental atoms under almost all ordinary reactions that rearrange the same elements into different molecules, electromagnetic attractions and repulsions, chemical potential energy, potential energy surfaces, activation energies for chemical reactions, acidity and basicness as examples of how the weirdly-shaped electromagnetic energy fields that develop around weirdly-shaped molecules interact and do interesting things, photons as electromagnetic waves, photons have frequencies, photon frequencies get absorbed or emitted based on electron level transitions and that's why the same kind of material stuff usually ends up with the same color, your tongue contains tiny sensors that analyze the surface chemical properties of the stuff that comes into contact with them.

Everybody clear on that?

Great!

Those, to be clear, are just the normal Laws of physics.  All that is just the way things worked back in dath ilan.

The real trick is going to be figuring out how to use Prestidigitation - which can, apparently, change the color and taste and clinginess of things, and therefore, obviously, influence the surface shapes of electromagnetic potential enveloping molecules and materials - to take the inconvenient rules of normal dath ilani chemistry and snap them like twigs.

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They, uh, might need him to repeat that chemistry stuff.

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If they can’t understand it from hearing it once, people from Golarion are too stupid for this Project to work.  Dath ilani four-year-olds master all this stuff within minutes, the failures are never heard from again, and the next day there's meat for lunch in the dining hall.

 

Keltham isn’t expecting them to get all that from such an absurdly rapid summary, he’s trying to convey which subject matters exist to ask him questions about.  If he later starts in again on the Periodic Table, people may now have any vague idea that this matters because it’s about the elementary constituents of the molecules that make up everything else.  If he starts running experiments on vinegar, Prestidigitation, and stuff that makes vinegar foam up, they’ll know how that might relate to refining spellsilver from ores.

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That makes sense. 

 

His students look thrilled and terrified. It feels like this is the bit that will prove to all of Cheliax that they're doing something different, something important, something that'll transform the world.

 

 

He's joking. About the dath ilani four year olds. These students are not that easy to troll. (Though it's not a bad way to run a country, if you're going for quality over quantity....)

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Peranza wishes Keltham wouldn't make jokes like that.  She Messages Asmodia to ask if that's a sort of thing alterPeranza would say.

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Return message:  You probably feel that way because you want Civilization to be different from Cheliax.  AlterPeranza doesn't have the same emotion at the same strength.  So no.

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Acknowledged.

 

(That's okay.  This is okay.  RealPeranza just needs to never think anything ever again.)

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Keltham will now explain the kinetic theory of heat, which he verified shortly after arriving in Golarion by testing if he could warm up his hands by rubbing them together.  Since different arrangements of the same elements are bound more tightly together and have lower chemical potential energies, transforming molecules in permitted ways means that those molecules end up moving faster.  Energy is conserved by the way, that's really understating a principle of vast power and beauty buuuut they're not gonna get that part for a while.  So if you transform things to be more tightly bound, they release energy.

If you increase the heat and the amount of random motion, more molecules break apart their current arrangements and get a chance to rearrange themselves into more tightly bound configurations, shifting more of the conserved energy from potential to kinetic, producing more heat.  This, obviously, can spark a chain reaction: heat produces chemical rearrangements produces more heat produces more chemical rearrangements.

Does anyone want to guess what people did with this terrifying principle, after it was discovered in dath ilan?

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"...exploded some of their enemies?" Gregoria suggests.

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Possibly!  It was long enough ago that nobody actually knows now.  Keltham is describing fire.

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.....did dath ilan invent fire from first principles instead of by noticing it was just there in the world being useful?

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He really, really, really super duper doubts it.

People don't always know what they've discovered.  But when somebody figured out how to make the Light cantrip work, they didn't need to know about photons to say that they'd discovered a Light cantrip.

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Like, you could imagine a universe in which the very first person to start using fire was an incredible genius who thought to themselves, "Well, this requires fuel, that gets transformed, and in the process of being transformed gets used up which is why fires don't just go on burning forever, and you need to make things hotter before they start rearranging themselves in the way that produces heat, so if you get a hot-enough fire you can feed a bunch of things into it that get transformed and used as fuel and release a lot more heat."

But it's a publicly known fact that fire was invented by the ancestors of humanity before they started looking completely human, before continuing heritage-selection had transformed their shapes in a direction that ended up human.  So on the order of hundreds of thousands or millions of years ago.  People would have been actually genuinely legitimately stupider back then.

They might not have had language to describe the bright-pretty-hot-thing, only known that it was bright and pretty and hot.

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That makes more sense. 

 


Golarion also does not know when fire was first invented; it was too long ago. In some stories the gods gave it to mortals but no god has specifically claimed credit so that might just be a story, or it might be that the god in question is now dead.

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The humans here are sufficiently similar in appearance and behavior to dath ilani humans that the copying time of their ancestors couldn't have been more than a few tens of thousands of years ago, relative to Keltham's now-time out of dath ilan.  Those humans would have already been adapted to eat cooked meat, and brought fire with them.

It's probably been around in Golarion for as long as humans have been around in Golarion, which isn't actually very long.

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That....doesn't sound right but no one knows enough to argue.

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Where Keltham was actually going with this is that burning fuel does not raise the surrounding temperature by a constant amount.  Chemical reactions don't produce a particular temperature.  They produce heat...

...He should probably actually define those things.  Temperature is how hot or cold something is, the average speed of the randomly vibrating molecules inside it.  Heat is, abstractly, the energy you add to make molecules vibrate faster and the temperature go up.  Heat flows from hotter things to colder things because the molecules in contact bump into each other, and the slow molecules slow down the faster ones in the collision, and the fast molecules speed up the slower ones in the collision.

So if you put colder fuel into a fire, more of that heat gets used up to heat the materials of the fuel itself, and the resulting temperature is lower.

The same thing goes for blowing colder air onto the fire - oh, air carries Element-8, which is a constituent in most ways that fuels made from the remains of living things, like wood or coal, rearrange themselves tighter and release heat, because living things have a lot of Element-6 that binds tightly to Element-8, among other things - so you have to allow air into a fire to let it go on burning - but if it's colder air, the resulting fire will have a lower temperature.

Nobody has gotten Keltham any proper experts on metal forging to talk to, but the very preliminary glances he's had out of a couple of books, suggest that they are not trying to warm the air or fuel before burning it, which means that the reaction needs to use more fuel or more powerful fuel than is financially optimal.

One way to warm up the air and fuel is the reverse-flow method, where you take the exhausted air from the burning-chamber and run that past the incoming air, so heat gets transferred from the exhausted air to the fresh air.  You can also do that to warm up the fuel before burning.

The other method, this being Golarion, might be to 'bind' a 'fire elemental', the same thing that powered hot water in the villa and presumably powers it here in this fortress, and get it to heat the fuel and air separately before they combust.

Given that forges don't just run off fire elementals in the first place, Keltham is guessing that fire elementals have a temperature rather than a heat output, and that this maximum temperature is too low to melt metal.  When you burn coal or other fuel, that in principle can just keep adding more and more heat, because the molecules go on rearranging themselves tighter, and that energy is conserved and must go somewhere.  The limiting factors are the starting temperature of the fuel and air; and heat that gets lost into the environment, which gets lost faster the higher the temperature goes.

On the other hand, Keltham is guessing that, once a fire elemental gets up to a certain temperature, it doesn't add any more heat than that.

So you need to use coal or other fuel, not just a fire elemental, to get a temperature high enough to refine iron ore or forge steel.

But people may not have realized that a forge could use less fuel, and maybe less expensive fuel, if they used a fire elemental to first heat up the ores, fuels, and airs, as high as the fire elemental's temperature, and maybe then used some reverse-flow from the furnace exhausts to heat the inputs higher than that, before finally adding the fixed amount of heat from the fuel-burning reaction.

 

All of this does presume that fuel costs are significant at all in forged metal costs.  Which is an example of why Keltham needs to talk to some actual folks currently making and selling metal, at scale, in order to make any progress here.

Or if no single refinery or forge in Cheliax uses enough fuel to make it worth the cost of adding a fire elemental, Keltham is going to have to introduce the concept of "economies of scale", which is when you have a large-enough refinery or forge to make it worth adding a fire elemental.

Just to state the obvious out loud, all these ideas, should they not already be in circulation, are covered by the compact the Project has signed with Cheliax; and may not be used within Cheliax except by paying the Project enormous patentgratuities on them; and are to be held under lesser-but-real conditions of Security, so as to lengthen the amount of time they may be profited-from before Chaotic people start using them without paying patentgratuities and thus undercutting the market.

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Understood. 

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They should get him his metalworkers and figure out the logistics of building a very big on-site forge. Obviously.

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To be clear, none of this stuff is going to work on the first try.  The Project is a research-and-prototyping facility.  It's the place which tries out ways of doing this stuff in practice, and gets it working well enough for a major refinery or forge to be built -

- presumably somewhere else, next to an iron-ore mine, or a coal mine for coal fuel, or a forest for wood fuel if adding fire elementals can make wood fires suitable for refining or forging.  Unless Teleport logistics are very different from what Keltham suspects they are; people talk about the Worldwound in a way that suggests Teleporting lots of stuff is a significant expense.

Project employees, Law-wielders, are not distinguished by their knowing about engineering tricks like reverse-flow or bright ideas like preheating fuel and air using a fire elemental.  The domain experts brought on-site can be told about that part simply enough and without a lot of prior background.  The tier-2s and tier-1s and Keltham himself, have the job of meta-learning how to try things, tweak things, observe things, and get them to actually work; and, to a lesser extent, understanding what is actually going on with heat and temperature and tiny vibrating molecules, and using that knowledge to organize their experiments.

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Keltham thinks to check his watch and finds that dinnertime theoretically ended an hour ago.

Keltham is pretty sure he knows the answer to this question, but is there a reason why Ione didn't warn him he was going overtime?

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Ione continues to be a Nethysian, yes.  She's pretty sure she doesn't get to go on being one, if an alien from outside known reality is talking about how the universe is secretly put together, and you interrupt him so that you can go eat food.

Ione Messaged Security to tell them to make sure food went on existing whenever Keltham got done, though.

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...a belated dinner it is, then.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 13 (10) / Evening

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Dinnertime!  It's a time and they're having dinner during it, so it is, by definition, dinnertime.


Carissa has first claim on Keltham's attention if this is a time when cuddling is desirable; he will otherwise approach Ione to check in on his route progress there.

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"I always want you." Also Carissa's slightly concerned what with how alter Ione probably didn't offer herself to Keltham for protection; that's still in red on the wall, something not entirely satisfactory. "I admit to also wanting to learn the results of all your adventures with Golarion sexualities but less urgently."

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Then Ione's route can wait.  Keltham is trying to give his existing relationships as much time as they seem to need, before assuming that he has available item-equipping-slots for new ones.

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Carissa does not really understand the stories Keltham is drawing on in how he conceptualizes romance, and she'd like to, but - not a priority for right this minute, probably. 

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He shall see her of an evening, then.  Wishes she also Keltham's dinnertime exclusively?  If not he's going to try sitting with Meritxell and Tonia for reasons of cognitive diversity.

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Normally she would roll her eyes at this degree of solicitousness but right now it's sort of soothing. "Predict my answer."

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20% she wants just him for dinnertime, 80% go sit with Meritxell and Tonia.

70% she thinks Keltham is asking her too much for decisions instead of him just making those on the basis of what he prefers more, but Keltham disagrees with Hypothetical Carissa about this because they are aliens and any time Carissa enters a possibly not-previously-explored state Keltham needs to re-ask annoying questions to figure out what is going on inside people.  If she were a dath ilani or Yaisa, Keltham would be offering to pay her a copper per annoying question.

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"What is going on inside your Carissa is that I am slightly morose about the fact we can't finish the whole project and build Civilization tomorrow, and indignant about how the world is just going to go on being stupid until we personally fix it, and I am not interested in trying to run your dinner decisions through that filter, that doesn't sound - like a policy you can follow for the whole deployment without going crazy. Which suggests you should make dinner decisions using some other process."

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Meritxell and Tonia it is, then.

Keltham can't promise that he'll only ask his too-many-questions once, any more than people can get chemistry from hearing it summarized once.  But he is learning and orienting and the constant questions will diminish over time.

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Meritxell and Tonia are debating who the hottest person in the world is. Meritxell feels that it is the Queen, and Tonia thinks that this just seems kind of unlikely on principle even though she has heard that the Queen is very hot. 

 

(This conversation is from the brainstormed list of alter-Cheliax conversation topics.)

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Assuming they seem okay with Keltham joining this conversation:

Keltham will register that the Queen is the hottest person he's seen in Golarion; and dath ilan tries to avoid exposing people who can't afford them to professional incredibly hot people so he doesn't know what the dath ilani peak of that would be.  But the Queen is also relatively young, and people have occasionally mentioned the existence of, like, very old ninth-circle-wizards, who if they get to go on optimizing their appearance would probably look hotter...?

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- well, wizards don't tend to invest in headbands for Splendour, because if you're a wizard Intelligence is more useful, so you wouldn't expect any of the ancient wizards to have +6 to Splendour like the Queen does, Meritxell objects. 

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Does a Splendour headband... make people prettier?

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....it doesn't literally affect, like, their bone structure, but a lot of prettiness is - presentation, subtleties in how you incline your head and hold your shoulders and move your body, and Splendour absolutely affects those things. 

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Gosh.  Keltham has never looked into Hotness Theory before.  It must certainly be a science out of dath ilan, somewhere in Civilization's vast knowledge, but it's probably classified above his own sexual-jadedness level.

Should he try running an Eagle's Splendour himself during sex?  But maybe he should save that for when he's not already maxed out on interesting things to try.

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Meritxell has occasionally tried that and been satisfied with the results but she isn't sure Chelish people have the running out of interesting things to try problem. Maybe they would if they couldn't hurt people or tie them up or anything.

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If you can convert Splendour into hotness, does that mean that Nocticula can be, like... a giant clawed thingydingy like he saw at the Worldwound, and yet, by virtue of sheer presentation and subtleties, incredibly hot.

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Yes, definitely. Most succubi have fangs and wings and horns in a way that manages to not detract at all from their hotness. The mind is accustomed to getting its hotness-cues from humans but that doesn't mean humans are the thing that actually pushes those buttons the hardest, is how Meritxell guesses a dath ilani would think about it.

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...would an illusion of a succubus still look hot?  Keltham is having trouble visualizing how this Splendour thing works.

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Yes but probably less so, unless it was a moving illusion? - they do mostly look like hot winged horned women, even if you just saw a picture you'd say 'that's a hot winged horned woman', though you'd be missing some of the appeal.

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Keltham is now less confused.

Nobody had previously mentioned to Keltham at any point that 'succubi' looked at all human.  People need to tell the alien these things.

He was visualizing a giant tentacled clawed fangy thing that was extremely persuasive and presented itself in a way that was super hot.

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No! Mostly he would see a girl who was super hot, and did have fangs and wings and horns, in a hot way, and mannerisms that were exceptionally compelling, and a voice and scent and way of reacting to him that was very hot. 

 

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...and people just sort of wrap all this up as 'Splendour', even though the kind of Splendour that a headband enhances must be very different - well, it could be doing a similar sort of work, by different methods, and Splendour could be quantifying the work.

The fact that people put numbers on it suggests that they have some way of measuring it, though?

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There's a divination that gives Splendour! Meritxell doesn't know it because it's an invasive divination - works on objecting targets if they don't have the skill to resist, also gives other information - and the use of those is of course tightly restricted, but it exists. The Splendour scale is like the Intelligence one defined so 10 is the human average and 2 is a useful measure of variance the details of the definition of which she does not know.

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...huh.

It is really legitimately actually weird that divinations do that.

Keltham has been focusing a lot on the 'economicmagic' aspects of Golarion magic but maybe he should be looking more into the 'conceptualmagic' aspects.  Where 'economicmagic' is magic that lets you do neat things personally without a huge supply network, and 'conceptualmagic' is magic where it apparently just takes a simple spell to augment incredibly complicated things like Cunning, Wisdom, Splendour.  Those indeed are the subspecies 'mentalisticmagic' of 'conceptualmagic' in which mental quantities are treated as if they were ontologically simple.

In dath ilani serious literature these two are rarely coupled, because they both have Enormous Implications and you usually want to consider the implications Separately.  In Less Serious Literature there is sometimes magic that is both 'economicmagic' and 'conceptualmagic', because both of these things are Cool to many readers, and the Cool Stuff Theory of Literature says that a story can be considered as a framework on which to hang the maximum amount of cool stuff.  So, if he's inside a story, it's not a very serious one, but frankly you could already guess that based on numerous other signs and indicators.

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Reminder:  It is possible to keep a dath ilani conversation focused on relatively sexy topics but somebody in that conversation is gonna have to do some steering labor.

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Meritxell is actually hoping to master Eschew Materials before she next sleeps with Keltham so she can pretend to have known it all along, so she's not going to make the requisite effort to keep the topic sexy. 

 

Tonia is honestly kind of scared of sleeping with Keltham entirely because there exists a person who has slept with both Keltham and the Queen and so by the transitive theory of kinkiness it'll be way too much for her. 

"Are those meant to be a complete account of the kinds of magic?" she asks instead.

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"Baseline doesn't have a word that means 'magic'.  It's just got the words economic-magic and conceptual-magic, 'economicmagic' and 'conceptualmagic', of which Golarion magic is both."  There's audibly no syllables shared between the two.  "A superconcept is 'alternatephysics' meaning laws that differ within another world, but that would also include, like, fire working differently."

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"I think some of the known planes have that. Like, I don't think fire works on the astral plane. But I'm not sure if the laws are comprehensively different or if there are specific things that don't work in a sort of - large-scale way -"

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"Can people, like, breathe, on the Astral plane?  Because fire and breathing work off the same principle, that's why they both need air - there's controlled chemical changes happening inside you, that release energy in a more organized way than chaotic heat, to power your movement and thinking."

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"You can project your soul to the Astral Plane which does not involve your physical body leaving Golarion. You cannot Plane Shift to the Astral Plane and fly around there, your body would dissolve on you."

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"I'll chalk that up as an encouraging successful prediction about everything running on the same underlying mechanics here.  From my perspective as an outsider, the first time you thought of someplace fire didn't work, breathing in fact didn't work there either."

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"I don't know of anywhere where one of fire or breathing works but I'm not a planar specialist."

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"Can't you not breathe on the Elemental Plane of Fire?" says Gregoria. 

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"Well, you'd have to bring air with you, but the air would work in your lungs normally, the basic principle that makes lungs work still works, even if there isn't any air. Similarly there isn't any air among the stars and that makes both breathing and fire not work but the principles of natural law aren't different among the stars."

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"Yep, same in dath ilan.  No air among the stars, but underlying Laws of motion and chemistry and matter all exactly the same.  If you take air into space and burn something it burns exactly the same way."


Discussion continues for a bit, and then Keltham queries Carissa about retiring to bedroom/cuddleroom/nevermind.  He doesn't find within himself a strong preference to draw upon, and his meta-desire is to see if Carissa has a preference before he spends any more effort on unearthing his own.

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"The mood I am in if I don't do some steering to be in a different mood is 'cuddle and have some of the conversations we keep putting off for killing the mood'."

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"Sounds terrifying, but it has to happen sometime and today seems like one of the better days.  I've got an Early Judgment queued if necessary, and if my mood gets killed far enough, I'll maybe try that Security test with the heating stone attached to my wrist, so long as I'm in a killed mood anyways."

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"See, that's how I know you're an alien, that you don't think it's at least a little bit sexy to do magic while in pain."

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"Not while I'm in pain, but your hint has been noted."


Off they go to the bedroom, then, with a stop along the way to collect that heating stone.  Keltham does think he should try that and see what happens - dip his toe in the waters of 'damage isn't permanent, how are you at psychologically adjusting to that fact' - and it's something he would only try with Carissa.

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"Congratulations on the contract, by the way. It feels like everything is finally really happening. I know that probably the first thing won't work out and the mountains of spellsilver are still a ways off, but - still."

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"Great time to not be Good, so I can be all like, 'I have somebody I love and a full-time sex worker' and not 'oh no what if this project gets delayed an additional day by anything'.  I think a lot of other dath ilani in my shoes would be going fairly insane about now and requesting artifact headbands and trying to turn themselves into half-assed Keepers."

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" - I'm really glad you're not doing that. We'll get around to fixing all the bad things, if only because they're really personally annoying, but I don't want a half-assed Keeper, I want Keltham, and I want him to get rich."

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"Yeah."


Bedroom ahoy.  What's up?  Carissa has the agenda.

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"Keep thinking it might be useful to try to explain - the world my mother grew up in, the world she thought she was raising me to live in, until I was twelve."

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He's mentally braced.  Go ahead.

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"Cheliax wasn't an unusually terrible place. From how people at the Worldwound from other countries describe their countries I think it was a mostly typical place. No one's described anything that sounded significantly better; many people have described places that sounded significantly worse. It was illegal to address a noble with insufficient deference, but that was illegal everywhere else, too. It was illegal to claim that a noble had committed a crime, but that's illegal everywhere else, too."

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"There are no Lawful Good countries?  Or - what goes wrong inside them?"

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"There are. Mendev and Lastwall conscript everyone to serve in the armies fighting against Evil, unless you're pregnant or breastfeeding. They'll tell you that their nobles don't abuse their power, and I don't know how true it is - probably truer than most other places - but you aren't allowed to -" Shrug. "I mean, I was fighting at the Worldwound anyway. But Cheliax asked, and they pay me."

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"Do you know how Lawful Good squares up the thing with 'It's illegal to claim a noble committed a crime?'  I can't parse that as any form of Good or Lawfulness."

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"I mean, that's not how those laws are written, how they write them is that it's illegal to slander nobles by claiming falsely that they committed a crime, and then they ask the noble who says 'no, I certainly did not commit a crime', and then they determine the claim was false and arrest you for slander."

Permalink Mark Unread

"Okay, but... what makes a country Lawful Good if... the people running it without asking anyone else's opinion are neither Lawful nor Good?"

Permalink Mark Unread

"- maybe it would be useful to compare a specific single Lawful Good country to a specific single country of the other alignments? Pick one of Mendev or Lastwall so Conspiracy Carissa would've had to prepare two different sets of lies, and one other country I've mentioned for the same reason?"

Permalink Mark Unread

"I've decided I'm not actually doing Conspiracy reasoning while in bed with you, I mean, I'll be processing your own statements offline while I'm playing this with Asmodia or Maillol, but not right now."

"This isn't Conspiracy checking, it's consistency checking.  All the - words and definitions are still not matching up with each other.  But, uh, Lastwall versus Absalom?"

Permalink Mark Unread

"Lastwall is a former province of Taldor. It was founded in the war against the necromancer Tar-Baphon, a thousand years ago, the war in which Iomedae ascended. It was founded as a military outpost of Taldor to hold back the surrounding monsters and threats to civilization in Ustalav and the Hold of Belkzen. At first, people were only sent there if they were committed to joining and serving in the military orders that would risk their own lives to hold that land for Civilization. So, Lawful Good. The churches established there doing - functions like healing - were the churches of the Lawful Good gods, mostly. 

Of course, that was a thousand years ago, and people had children in Lastwall, and Taldor went through a bunch of internal reorganizations and isn't very friendly to Lastwall anymore, and Lastwall's not getting money from elsewhere and its people can't easily go settle elsewhere but they bravely solder on with universal conscription for the greater Good, and gradually a class of elites entrenches itself because that's - how things happen, rich people who have ways to get away with things, and whose support is needed to keep paying for Civilization, get exceptions, because otherwise who would keep the troops armored and armed? And then the Worldwound opened, and Lastwall got more extreme, because the whole future of life on Golarion was under threat, and conscripted more people for longer, and needed more money and was willing to negotiate exceptions for more people who had money. 

I don't know which if any of those might've been the missing piece, or if it's something else that's confusing?"

Permalink Mark Unread

"Where does the earning power of the nobles come from - why do they have the money that the country needs to arm its soldiers?  Why are people being universally conscripted if most of the military power is focused in the most powerful wizards and Lawful Good clerics?"

Permalink Mark Unread

Asmodia is trying to predict Keltham's questions before he asks them, and she's failing, and only the fact that Carissa Sevar has assumed full command, steering, and responsibility is preventing Asmodia from going into a complete state of panic.  Well.  A more complete state of panic.

Keltham is - she can only get part of it, the process he's using, they should have gotten in an eighth-circle for this, Detect Thoughts would be so useful right now - or not, if his thoughts are just leaping directly there, Law become intuition without words - but Keltham is - he's asking questions of 'why is it like that' and he thinks in, concentrations of money?  Concentrations of power?  Any time you point out a concentration to him, he asks why, because it's not concentrated like that in Civilization, or maybe he just expects concentrated anything to be concentrated for a reason?  Or he notices and remembers when you tell him that power is concentrated in clerics and wizards, and then he expects conscription to be concentrated too.  Like the clouds of probability she's been visualizing, but - clouds of money, power, distributed over a country, arranged by different Laws -

Permalink Mark Unread

"I know a lot more about the second question than the first one. Firstly, you need a number of people doing military operations for every one directly stabbing demons with sharp sticks or hitting them with spells. You need people providing healing, armor, weapons, communications, bringing food and water to the front lines, digging fortifications, guarding the camps. You can have very small strike forces of four or five powerful spellcasters with no logistics network behind them, doing a single day of operations and then teleporting to safety at the end of it, but if you're moving any real numbers of troops or if you want to hold a position you generally want ten people who do all that work for every one who is directly fighting. Secondly, the way you get a few powerful casters is by having lots and lots of weak casters try to fight. Some of them die, some of them stall out, some of them make it; Cheliax does that too, though without conscription. Lastwall doesn't care if people die, except insofar as they are weaker for it; Heaven is understood to be nicer than this world anyway. So sending off a hundred conscripts one of which will return as a powerful spellcaster and the rest of whom will die is a perfectly good deal.

For earning power - foreign connections, mostly? The younger son of a noble in Taldor has lots of money but no title, so he decides to go to Lastwall and lead a little soirée into Ustalav, and if it succeeds, then he's got some land, and can rent it to people, and can buy respectability and exemptions from the laws. And if it fails then his money is inherited by his younger brother who can have his own try."

Permalink Mark Unread

"Illegal to address a noble with insufficient - deference - I'm not really able to visualize what that is, but - it does sound like it'd have to be an explicit regulation?  Again, how does that square up with a country being Lawful Good?"

Permalink Mark Unread

"Well, they're structured as a military, and everyone is in the military, and the nobles are officers, and in any military it's against regulations to address a superior officer in an insubordinate manner, that's true in modern Cheliax also, the difference in modern Cheliax is that not everyone is in the military and if you're not then obviously military regulations don't apply to you.

But if, while I was in the army, my superior had walked by and I'd said 'hey, Alex, looks like you had too much to drink last night', I'd have been whipped, because there is a regulation about that which I agreed to when I joined in the first place."

Permalink Mark Unread

 

"...why, though?  I assume it's not - a sex thing, this isn't something that applies to masochists only?"

Permalink Mark Unread

" - no? It's a discipline thing, people break regulations less if you whip people when they break regulations."

Permalink Mark Unread

"I suppose this would also be true in Civilization, in the sense that thirty seconds later there would be no more regulations and everybody would be gathering around trying to reconstruct the principles of Governance from scratch."

"Why is there a regulation against telling your manager they've had... too much to drink?  You're going to have to parse that line too."

Permalink Mark Unread

"- had too much to drink is, consumed a lot of mind-altering substances recreationally, and is still affected by them. The regulation is against addressing your superior in a not-deferential tone, and by their name, and on a matter you have not been asked to provide commentary on."

Permalink Mark Unread

"I think I'm basically going to fall back on the three-year-old strategy of learning, here, which seems right and proper to somebody at my current level of competence and confusion."

"Why?"

Permalink Mark Unread

"People have tried lots of different ways to run militaries. It is one of the areas where I think Golarion is actually most - uh, the reasons for things will be better with militaries than with most places? Because armies that have bad policies lose and so having better ones is easy to check and highly motivated. And one of the things that is understood to be important for running a military is discipline, the strong expectation that your soldiers will obey orders, even orders that they don't understand, even orders that will get them killed. A lot of maneuvers only work if all the soldiers do exactly what they're told. And part of having a disciplined military is having rules about how you address superior officers and how you raise complaints when you have them, and about discouraging - a failure mode where your soldiers are constantly complaining about and mocking their superiors and as a result arrive at mutual knowledge that they won't necessarily listen to orders.

I assume that dath ilan if they had this problem would just say, well your soldiers will only arrive at mutual knowledge if it's good that they do that because their commander is genuinely bad, but in Golarion, they will arrive in that state approximately no matter what, and then you'll lose the war, and the commander probably was bad but the demons are literally going to eat us all."

Permalink Mark Unread

"Well, you're getting better at anticipating some dath ilan perspectives, at least."

"Why do Golarion soldiers arrive in that state no matter what?"

Permalink Mark Unread

" - because complaining is lots easier than noticing whether the complaining is justified, and no one wants to say to their complaining friend 'actually I think the thing you're complaining about is fine' so you only hear the complaining and then everyone changes their minds off the fact everyone else believes the orders are unreasonable, even if they haven't themselves seen direct reason to think that. You're going to say dath ilani don't do that and that's good for them, Golarion people do do that."

Permalink Mark Unread

"Hypothetically, what happens if we take a room full of Golarion soldiers, diagram out for them exactly how they're going to arrive in this erroneous state of mind, and ask them to do something else which is not that."

Permalink Mark Unread

"They'd maybe try for a week and then they'd fall into the normal failure mode. And maybe accuse people they don't like of it."

Permalink Mark Unread

"And the soldiers don't reason that, if they're being told they're not allowed to communicate with each other about how their manager is on mind-altering substances and that's a bad idea, probably everybody else is thinking it, but not able to say it.  Everybody thinks it's just themselves thinking that.  They're Intelligence 10 and that's too low to imagine what somebody else is thinking if they haven't said it out loud."

Permalink Mark Unread

" - not quite that far? But they don't know for sure if anyone else is thinking it and they do know everyone else is still following orders."

Permalink Mark Unread

"And anybody who says out loud, 'Hey, I bet all of us are thinking what each of us are thinking' is - sent on to Heaven?  Yanked out of the regular army and sent off to wizard lessons so they can be one of the better-paid military elite?"

Permalink Mark Unread

"I don't know how Lastwall does it. In modern Cheliax your superiors would ask you what you meant by that and you would say 'I was trying to cause there to be mutual knowledge that we don't think highly of our commander without technically violating the regulation against saying that' and they would rewrite the regulation to include that, if it somehow didn't already. And maybe put you somewhere where that kind of cleverness is an asset, it depends."

Permalink Mark Unread

"...my understanding of this remains at the level where everything seems to be put together entirely out of reasoning errors, and I don't know which reasoning errors people are supposed to make or not make.  If you told me that Lawful Good countries incinerated anybody wearing a blue hat, that would be around as compatible with my current state of knowledge as anything else you're saying."

"I guess you might as well go on describing that world and give up on describing why."

Permalink Mark Unread

"Okay. Sorry. Back to Cheliax. It's a place where merchants who are good at what they do can lead prosperous lives, as long as they are respectful of people who have more legal importance than them, and don't get themselves embroiled in government scheming. There is a lot of government scheming. Cheliax changed Kings four times in my mother's life. Everyone who was King was terrified of being assassinated in a fashion that didn't leave them resurrectable, and so they'd do harsh and arbitrary things that seemed to them to make it less likely they'd be assassinated. It was rumored they used mind control a lot. It was impossible to know if that was true, or really what was true in general about the people in power, but people didn't mind, because it was possible to know - that the ports were growing, that foreign invasions weren't likely. There being lots of scheming for power only really matters to most people when two contestants go to a proper war about it, in which cities are destroyed and tens of thousands of people die."

Permalink Mark Unread

"Continues to make as much sense as anything else.  Maybe more so than the military 'discipline' thing."

Permalink Mark Unread

Asmodia is trying to keep quiet as much as possible and let Sevar work, but she registers that Keltham is going to later consistency-check everything he remembers, and they face a grim tradeoff between encouraging him to ask questions now, in which case he'll ask more questions and do more consistency-checking total, and having no idea what Keltham will consistency-check later until after he's accumulated lots of memorable stuff to check.

Permalink Mark Unread

Yep! She's going to stick to things that are entirely true about Taldor, so that no matter how many there are they shouldn't require that much effort to make consistent, but of course there keep being ways in which the Taldor-analogy isn't quite perfect or things that actually do work but will register as inconsistent to Keltham. 

"Another thing that is important is that women in Cheliax like in other places were - worse off. Women are physically weaker than men, and much of the work that needs doing in Golarion requires physical strength. Women will spend most of their adult lives pregnant, and so in places where families decide which of their children to invest their limited educating-a-child resource on, they'd choose a boy, who'll be able to work his whole adult life, and is less likely to die young in childbirth."

Permalink Mark Unread

Most of the time pregnant?  "They - literally get pregnant at 13, start a new pregnancy less than 280 days after giving birth, and die shortly after menopause?  Shouldn't breastfeeding suppress - capability to get pregnant - for a couple of years?"

Permalink Mark Unread

"In the cities well-off women don't breastfeed, they have servants for that. ...do dath ilani get pregnant at 13? Sixteen is more normal, if a girl is having sex at that age. And then, yes, it's not unusual to have eight or even ten live births, and twelve or fifteen pregnancies, in places that are like the way Cheliax used to be. In rural parts of Cheliax, too. You should ask Tonia how many children her mother has, and how many she buried, and at what age she married."

Permalink Mark Unread

"Most dath ilani pass adulthood tests at 13, and at 14 you're considered adult regardless, though at that point you're just starting the entire dating process.  It'd be pretty normal not to find anyone you liked enough to have a kid with, until a lot later than that.  I don't actually know offhand if somebody's body is supposed to do that correctly at age 13, the topic never came up..."

"I guess the moral here is something like - try to have improvements in contraception come before improvements in agricultural productivity come before improvements in, in countermeasures against diseases that kill infants quickly and quietly and before they're actually aware of themselves..."

"Carissa, I'm noticing that a large part of myself wants out of this conversation.  I endorse my overriding it and continuing to listen, but I do want to check that you have - a purpose in mind for things, and a reason to say it now instead of a month later."

Permalink Mark Unread

"There is a specific further point I was going to get to. I can try to - not digress on the way to it. I'm - sorry. I don't want to hurt you."

Permalink Mark Unread

"It's not that I'm saying, don't hurt me eventually, I'm saying - don't rush it, without a reason."

"What was the further point?"

Permalink Mark Unread

"Why no one except Yaisa will quote you prices."

Permalink Mark Unread

"Because it's weird, and anybody suggesting a non-average behavior is out to exploit you.  Because - people who do that, aren't seen as anything else -"

"Yaisa told me that, I didn't understand what she meant, still don't, didn't seem like the time then to ask."

Permalink Mark Unread

"What do you tell your daughters, in Cheliax the way it used to be, if you want them to have any chance of growing up to be anything? 'don't have sex'. And what do you know about a girl if she does have sex? That she's not going to be, or do, anything else."

Permalink Mark Unread

"Is there a particular aspect of this that it's important I understand?  Because I don't understand any of it.  Yaisa is a wizard, all of you are wizards, you can use Alter Self - I don't understand."

Permalink Mark Unread

" - I was hoping I could skip over some of the things that produce that but I guess the answer is, no, I can't do that. All right. Almost no one, in Cheliax before the Church took over, was a wizard, or would train you to be a wizard. 'Tell your daughters not to have sex until they were second circle wizards' was absurd and unviable. Not for my mother, who's a wizard herself, learned from her own father, but there were maybe five women like her in Corentyn. You couldn't send your daughter to school to be a wizard. You could send her to an apprenticeship, but - that would be sending her off to be vulnerable - ugh, I'm frustrated now, concepts keep having prerequisites - 

- for most people, 'wait until you're a second circle wizard' is an impossible rule. It was not a life path people who didn't happen to get very lucky could reasonably hope to follow. So the advice instead was usually to wait until you are married to a man who has enough money to support you and the children, and contractually obligated to do that. And that is what most reasonable girls would do, if they had any self control or common sense."

Permalink Mark Unread

"Everything in Golarion outside of this fortress is terrible and it was worse in Cheliax before Asmodeus took over, I get that, what does any of that have to do with why somebody wouldn't put a price on sex once they became a second-circle wizard?  Or why you wouldn't have a price before then just a very high one?"

Permalink Mark Unread

"- you have a price if you need to do that in order to eat, if the fact this probably causes you to have a baby you're not ready for in a year is less urgent than the fact that you will starve tomorrow. That's the circumstances under which people give a price. And that price is not even very high. You're going to have questions about that but I don't know how to answer them. In most countries that work like this it's some copper, maybe a silver."

Permalink Mark Unread

"Everything is worse than I expect even after taking into account that I expect it to be worse than I expect, yes, I'm getting that too, but there's no connection I can understand between the price for people who need to eat being a silver, and other people not being able to name a price higher than that, and then none of that obviously applies to you or Ione or Meritxell or anybody here so why would only Yaisa be able to put prices on things?"

Permalink Mark Unread

"Because we're not dath ilani, and if you grow up seeing hungry diseased women on the street begging passersby to have sex with them for a single meal - which Ione and Meritxell didn't, but I did, and their parents did, then the thing you tell your daughters is to never ever become that, that we are different and must remain different and must not make the decisions which lead down that path, that people like us are not people like them, that all of the good things in life we have we have because we are not like them.

And then you don't just change your way of thinking when the government introduces wizard education for every child smart enough to learn, because you aren't used to thinking in a way that sees all the hidden connections and sees how when lots of girls are wizards then there'll be an entirely different kind of sex work market that is compatible with the rest of their life ambitions, you aren't used to things having implications. Yaisa almost certainly has not told her parents how she makes her money, or shown them any of the things she buys, because they'd be horrified, because they'd probably kick her out so she stops being a bad influence on her younger siblings. 

And everyone else feels awkward around her, around what she's doing, because it's not that there's anything wrong with it it's just that everyone thinks there is and we've been told there is our whole lives by everyone older than us who grew up when it was true, and people don't know how to stop believing something just because it's not true anymore. My read on Yaisa is that she was very horny and very - Chaotic, frankly, the kind of person who even without the ability to stop believing things just because they're not true anymore goes 'well, just because everyone says that, it doesn't mean I have to listen to them, just because they have an argument doesn't mean I have to care about that argument' - and so she tried it, and nothing went wrong because nothing was wrong with it, but, it's going to take generations, for this particular wound in Cheliax to heal, it's going to heal by means of the people who are used to the old way dying, not by them changing their minds. Unless we make them all ilani."

Permalink Mark Unread

"If Yaisa's Chaotic, pick a time to call her Chaotic when she's not the only person present thinking in the way that I would call Law-shaped."

"My brain is suggesting like, literally just drilling 'how to undo your conclusions when a premise you previously relied on gets falsified', but my intuition is telling me that one step is not the real problem here.  Do you know what is?"

Permalink Mark Unread

"I think it's a thing where - the conclusion gets distilled without all the associated reasoning? If you went and asked random people in - some neighboring country where things are still like this, they would say things like 'whores are disgusting' or 'whores are worthless', they wouldn't have something they derived from some premises about educational opportunity. They inherit the societal attitude without ever checking where it came from and whether the things that produced it are still true. Telling them to rethink won't help if they weren't thinking in the first place. 

If you mean how do you convince me or Ione or Meritxell - when I try to think how to name a number for you it just feels like I'm being asked how to name a price for breaking a promise. It's not something you do for a price. And if I just tell myself that's stupid and to come up with a number anyway, I can feel myself just - producing random numbers like a beaten prisoner who'll name as many accomplices as you want, not doing something that draws on my wants."

Permalink Mark Unread

"Step one, stop trying that.  I'm not saying that I never beat up my brain and force it to do things it rather wouldn't, but it takes a strong reason and I usually make pretty sure I understand what's going on in there first, if it's not a major emergency."


"If it seemed to you that Chaotic people were more able to resist failing in that way - then consider the hypothesis floated that what you're calling 'Chaotic' is a different subsection of that Law which neither you nor the so-called Chaotic have mastered in totality and completion.  Nonconformity is something trained in dath ilan and we could not be Law-shaped without that.  If you're conforming to what you were taught, to what other people seem to believe, to what other people seem to want you to believe, to what you think everyone believes, you're not conforming to the Law."

Permalink Mark Unread

"That does not surprise me, and it would not surprise me if the true thing beneath what we call Chaos is actually a shard of what dath ilan calls Law, since, otherwise you'd sort of think gods wouldn't be Chaotic. Though I don't think Yaisa is - conforming to the Law even when it breaks from everyone around her, that doesn't land quite right as a description of what she's doing.

I agree that she is doing better than the rest of us. And part of why I - didn't want to wait a month - was that I think you ought to know, that she's doing so well, that she's probably suffered socially for it, that she's right, it seemed like the kind of thing you'd want to know."

Permalink Mark Unread

"In all frankness, what I learned is that, first of all, there's some incredible piece of insanity buried into everybody around me, to which Yaisa is immune, and I have to not talk about what Yaisa can do in terms of setting prices, because people might exhibit undefined behaviors.  This was an important fact and I needed to know it."

"The second thing I learned is that, in fact, everybody around me, by extrapolation, probably has a bunch of other - stuff that a dath ilani would think of as completely made out of obviously invalid reasoning steps - and it's possible for you to know about that, without being able to fix it or even manually counter it each time."

"Which was also an important fact I needed to know quickly."

"I think I understand a little better what Ione was worried about, and then Asmodia, but I - don't know how to teach things in an order that minimizes damage as existing thoughts start to break and rearrange, I don't even see - whether I should be trying to fix things a little at a time, or build up a huge stock of sanity technique before anybody tries to do any mental housecleaning, so that people know how to fix the problems they spot -"

"Dath ilani education is for having children grow up correctly.  None of it, that I know, is about how to safely repair children who grew up wrong."  

Permalink Mark Unread

 

 

- nod. 

 

 

 

- tentative success, then, on planting the seeds that seemed most essential for Keltham to flee to a secluded location if he flees, and on making Ione and Asmodia's periodically urging Keltham not to give lectures that destroy too much Asmodeanism less suspicious. Tentative failure on saying only consistent-seeming things, not that he's pointed out an inconsistency yet, but she predicts he will and so she can't call it a tentative success while predicting that -

 

"I don't think it's your job, by the way, not to break us. Or not to break me, at least, I suppose it's more complicated with everyone else. I don't know what you should be trying to do but - I won't be angry, or feel like I got a worse deal than I expected, if I end up noticing I'm full of lies and not even knowing where to go from there. The alternative isn't not being full of lies, right, just not noticing."

Permalink Mark Unread

"Maybe part of what I'm supposed to do, is frontload teaching positive thinking patterns before teaching the negative counters?  So that, if like, somebody's internal motivations turn out to be totally insane in some way, they can - fall back to knowing how somebody Lawful would think instead?  Instead of just dividing by zero, undefined behavior?"

"...I worry that even a positive shadow of what Civilization does, rather than doesn't do, will include a thousand passing bits of violently anti-Golarion sanity like being able to say how much a sex act is worth to you financially."

Permalink Mark Unread

"Probably it will. I am not sure there's a way around that, and  - that's okay."

Permalink Mark Unread

"I hadn't actually meant to offer my researchers so much money that they'd commit personality suicide rather than quit the project.  And I - thought the whole point of not being Good, was, not committing personality suicide just because something is wrong elsewhere in the world."

"Or if it's okay to damage them for some other reason - why would it be?"

Permalink Mark Unread

"- I can't speak for anyone else, on this. But for me - you're right. There is nothing you could pay me to commit personality suicide, since there's nothing I could do with the money anyway. Almost no matter what was happening in the world I wouldn't let anyone take Carissa and replace her with someone else; I am too Evil for that. But - I am an Asmodean. The Church teaches that we are broken in ways it does not know how to fix in life, and can fix only slowly in Hell. I didn't know what that meant, until I met you, but I believed it, because the Church doesn't lie, and I wanted it, very badly. You can refuse to become a devil, if you want, in Hell, everyone's Evil, no one's going to try to get you to for your own good. But Carissa is not - the set of errors I am making now. Carissa is my nature as someone who will do whatever it takes to be smarter, and stronger, and better, someone who heard that becoming some kinds of devil hurts, when she was six or seven, and went and touched a hot coal, just in order to imagine that she was in Hell and being perfected -"

Permalink Mark Unread

"I"m not in a hurry. I understand your reasons for not wanting us to rush off growing up, and I'm not sure it's the sort of thing where trying to hurry would actually make the important parts happen faster. I'm not trying to do it to myself on purpose. I'm letting go, when I touch anything that might be a hot coal. But if it does happen fast, if I do wake up one day and see through myself with terrible clarity, that's not suicide, that's being born. And babies cry about being born but you can't keep them in the womb forever."

Permalink Mark Unread

"I'm going to be really fucking pissed with Something if I got landed somewhere I get to fall in love and then watch all of my lovers turn into Keepers and leave me behind."

Permalink Mark Unread

"I don't know enough about this to promise you that won't happen, but it's not what I want. I want to be yours, and be better at it."

Permalink Mark Unread

Can Keepers be in love?  Keltham doesn't know, which, now that he reflects on it, seems like the state of affairs that might obtain if Keepers can't.  If restructuring yourself more Law-shaped meant you couldn't let yourself go like that, couldn't believe somebody was righter for you, than she was.  And this was not something you wanted to go around telling people, if they hadn't asked.  Like all the couples that declare their relationship prediction markets closed info, and to not tell them what the numbers are, so long as they stay above 70%.

Well, it's not like they're asking to be Keepers, Pilar and Meritxell excepted.  The Cheliax-rebuilding question is whether they can become, like, 20% of a regular dath ilani without their personalities disintegrating.  That's probably around the level they're actually thinking of, when he talks about Keepers, anyways.

Keltham automatically labels this as a thought originally suggested by optimism and an internal search for consolation in the face of a previous input producing emotional distress, and has the disconcerting experience of realizing that probably nobody else on Golarion knows how to do that.

 

"Next item on tonight's agenda of awful relationship conversations?  I can keep going."

Permalink Mark Unread

"No further awful relationship conversations! That is all the awful relationship conversation ideas I had. I have a separate list of kinky relationship conversations which should perhaps be for some other night."

Permalink Mark Unread

He'll just hold her for a while, then.

 

The thought occurs to him that among the solutions he could apply here, given infinite time, would be to write a fictional book containing a Civilizational hero as a viewpoint character.  So people could pick up, the rhythm of Civilization's thought processes, have that positive vision inside them as a potential replacement, before they started learning things that might risk doing internal damage.  Not the best use of his time as it stands.  Probably also the result of the well-known Rationalizing Reasons To Write A Book Bias to which he is no more immune than any other dath ilani.  Maybe if he ran out literally all of his better ideas over the course of twenty-six years he'd eventually resort to that one because at least books are fun to write.


"Oh," Keltham says after an interval of quiet.  "Small bit of progress... actually, first, does anything awful happen inside your mind, if Yaisa got something nice from me before you did, and you probably can't have it for a while?  Though Yaisa said she intended to spread the word, so you'll probably hear about it at some point, unless you tell me to tell Yaisa to label the information a Carissa infohazard as it spreads."

Permalink Mark Unread

"Like a completely typical Golarion woman I have flashes of jealousy about all your other lovers and like a moderately competent one I tell them that I am witnessing the consequences of my strategic decision to go for the most valuable man in the world. I am not sure if that's the kind of anything awful you mean."

Permalink Mark Unread

"Okay but in terms of policy, does that work out to my labeling infohazardous the details of things my other cuddle-partners got and you can't have yet, because it causes you mental pain that there isn't a sufficiently strong reason for you to take on... I guess the answer is probably 'Carissa, pain, have you met her' but I want to verify it's the kind of pain that qualifies for that."

Permalink Mark Unread

"I don't want you to avoid telling me things that cause me jealousy."

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Keltham describes that thing he did, that Yaisa liked.  For which she later quoted him a price, under Fairness, that was more than an order of magnitude more than any sex that Keltham had to offer in dath ilan was worth to anyone from Civilization.

He realized while doing that, this was probably the feeling of power that Carissa had talked about wanting him to feel, that he felt while controlling Yaisa that way.

So he'll be able to feel it with Carissa, once he... is actually capable of making her respond the way he wants.  Which is sort of a key ingredient in that feeling of being powerful.

He does not say this to add pressure from his side.  Keltham has that with Yaisa; he is not himself starving for it, if Carissa cannot give it to him, for a time.

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" - I'm in fact not jealous. Just - glad for you, glad you got a chance to have it. 

I have not been putting any mental effort into working out why it's so hard for me to relax in bed. I meant to, but then a lot of things happened. Does the prohibition on me having sex with other people extend to me seeing someone in the Church who specializes in sexual hangups for the purpose of getting advice about it? - where by seeing someone I mean doing sex things with the expert in order to see if they can figure anything out. It is fine if that is not allowed, and fine if you want to achieve this yourself, but if it's allowed I might try it."

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"Well, the correct answer is, sure, go ahead, but my actual answer is, I would prefer to know them first.  And maybe I'd prefer to hear out what they want to do to you, if it's not much more awful than what we've done so far, in case I do want to do that myself."

"If you're open to consulting outside experts, I'm sort of tempted to write Isidre and ask.  I'm sort of tempted to write Abrogail and ask."

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" - Abrogail might be a great person to ask, actually. I -

- she has more expertise in this than I knew it was possible to have. She didn't fix that thing, she wasn't trying to, but I would absolutely predict she knows how. And I know she's curious how I've been doing because Subirachs asked if she could pass along what I told her. - I said yes."

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"Verify even if you trust:  I trust my personal details weren't in there, just yours?"

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"Yes, correct, I have been telling Subirachs only my personal details. You can ask me to stop that too, of course, if you'd like; it was strongly recommended when I first got back from Egorian but I don't think it's nearly as important now."

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"I'm fine with it."

"Though amused with my brain over how probably at least 30% of this fineness is powered by Subirachs and Abrogail being hot."

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"Aren't they???? I had never seen anyone that attractive before I joined this project. I don't know how Abrogail isn't constantly sexually distracted by looking in the mirror, or catching glimpses of her reflection on her dinnerware, or bathing...."

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"Thought two:  To whatever extent this is powered by Splendour, its reverse can also probably be powered by Splendour, to present yourself as less sexy.  In fact, I'm guessing that Abrogail sexied you a looooot harder than she sexied me, by the sound of things."

"Thought one:  Why discard this prediction of what seems like a perfectly good hypothesis?  Perhaps Abrogail is, in fact, constantly sexually distracted by herself while bathing."

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Sometimes, no matter how much heresy you think you've already heard on Project Lawful, you still have to tamp down a reflexive impulse to incinerate somebody.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 13 (10) / Night

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Everyone's Rings have kicked tonight!  Ione is pumped about this.  She's gonna have 3 hours a night of personal time.  She's gonna get to read books and not explode.

Buuut, before Personal Hours begin, Ione needs to have a much more dreaded conversation with Carissa, about how to successfully retcon a personal confession to Keltham that... is not entirely conformant with the alterCheliax canon that currently seems to be developing.


(It's not her fault.  It's not.  If the Asmodeans didn't want Ione Sala to sound so much more terrified, back then, they shouldn't have fucking terrified her.)

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"I honestly don't have a good idea what to do with this. You could claim to think you were worried you'd be removed from the project over being a Nethysian? I am not sure if he'll remember things that contradict that; he well might."

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"Keltham requesting all of his transcripts, or worse, somehow finding out about magical memory aids and demanding one of those, is one of my enduring nightmares about how this Project ends.  It should probably be in black on the wall, that we were too visibly making up alterCheliax as we went along, if Keltham could actually review all the dialogue from then and compare it to the more complete-sounding world from now."

"Sala's transcript is one of the worst ones from that perspective.  We are purely hoping that Keltham doesn't remember it well enough.  Keltham asks how much trouble she's in, if the Chelish government finds out about her.  She doesn't say she got truthspelled by Security already.  She says she doesn't know.  It's halfway between red and black, we can maybe gloss that, even if Keltham remembers.  But Ione is just not acting like someone from alterCheliax there, and that overall impression is one that he may be able to notice in retrospect."

"And Keltham is going to remember that Sala was too scared to tell anyone she was a Nethysian, because that was central to her confession.  That - has to be a mistake, Sala made, somehow, because here she is now in alterCheliax doing great about that, so why was she so scared before then -"

"If Keltham wasn't already asking to check in on Ione, I'd tell Sala to fuck off.  If she hadn't already pledged herself to Keltham, I'd tell her to tell Keltham to fuck off.  Failing both of those, I'm not sure what our good options are here.  I hope Sala has thought about this for longer and has something amazing to propose."

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"Horrible past personal trauma that I outgrew over the last nine days, once I was out as a Nethysian and everybody accepted that about me because I saved all their asses from Nidal?  Nobody else on the alter-Project has a horrible past personal trauma, right?"

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"None disclosed yet."

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"Okay.  I told a boy once, he'd been raised on his parents' stories of Old Cheliax and sincerely believed that if he turned me into the authorities I was done for, now that Asmodeus was running the country.  He told me that, I correctly read his sincerity and stupidly believed him and was too scared to ask any authorities, he blackmailed me into sexual service for a couple of years, I eventually broke loose... not sure how, I probably didn't just kill him... I ended up thinking that was what men just wanted and tried to offer it to Keltham, but I now realize this was probably some kind of lingering insanity and actually Keltham can just have a normal relationship with me."

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"Iiiiii don't like it but I'm having a hard time predicting specific Keltham objections. I couldn't even predict Keltham's specific objections to the concept of military discipline so I shouldn't expect to get them here."

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"I don't like it, and I want something better but I don't know - what's better."

"No, I do, it's what's more normal.  What happens to more people than this happens to?  In alterCheliax, I realize it happens all the time in realCheliax."

"This is way too close to being a trope.  If it happened to alterIone, she should be hiding it, and presenting Keltham with some more normal story, that we can reveal this trope hiding behind, if at some point we want him to believe in tropes so his girlfriends can extract him from the Project."

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"One of her parents got executed for being a Nethysian under the old regime? And she knows the new one says it's different but she didn't really believe it until it came out and they were like 'yeah, fine'?"

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"I like it more but why did oldCheliax execute Nethysians?  RealTaldor doesn't, as far as I know?"

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"I don't think it does, no. The ....Church of Nethys sided with a claimant to the throne and the retaliation included retaliation against the Church? Is there precedent for that in Taldor?"

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"Not in the histories I've read, except for the part where Taldor is so big, so old, and so internally divided that there's precedent for anything?"

"I'm not sure about the theology on this, my actual sense of Nethys is that we don't really do the thing about siding with throne claimants.  Side with a wizard, sure, or side with a library.  The Church of Nethys ran a library in my hometown of Wark-by-Laecastel, the Count of Laecastel decided he liked the librarian or didn't like the books, stuff happened, every registered Nethysian in the city got executed..."

"No, that wouldn't make me scared when I got to Ostenso, I don't think?  It wouldn't be general prejudice against Nethysians, everybody thinking Nethysians are alter-Manohar."

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"A general prejudice against Nethysians in alterCheliax does seem plausible.  I must personally say that some of your early charms were lost on me after I had to construct a universe which would somehow contain you inside it."

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"The old regime banned the church after some incidents that aren't spoken of so that no one gets any ideas, and even under the new regime you're supposed to have gone in to promise under Truth Spell you're not doing various classes of thing like Wishes, and your parents were scared and had preferred to practice in secret - though not on anything dangerous?"

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"If I'd been a Nethysian my whole life I'd damn well find out, under the new regime, what the incidents were... I guess maybe not if I was hiding and didn't dare ask suspicious questions."

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"Let's go ask Maillol right now, says Keltham.  We don't do unspecified incidents on my wall.  We always know ourselves specifically what happened even if our alter-selves don't."

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"Let's first figure out what alter-Ione believed and then we can figure out what was true, I think the second part's going to be substantially easy especially as she can be wrong."

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"Some Nethysian exploded the wrong person, I might guess?  I don't feel like I'd guess.  I'd want to know.  Nethys is god of knowledge, not god of guesses.  AlterIone would ask Maillol herself, though maybe not this fast."

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"OldCheliax required all Nethysians to be registered and was sometimes known to kill them en masse if a noble felt like it.  Ione's mother thought it was safer not to register.  She was wrong."

"She'd probably have died when Ione was too young to remember, though?  So that wouldn't have traumatized her much if at all?  Do non-Asmodeans get attached to parents that way even if they're too young to remember?"

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"Don't ask me that, I was just thinking we should actually kill my mother for consistency purposes."

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"We should have a non-Chelish person on call for these sorts of things. Ione would've been...four, if it was right before the war? I don't think four year olds have emotional attachments unless you're trying to raise them dependent on you for some reason."

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Asmodia is now inspecting her wall.  That remark about Ione wanting her mother dead sparked a memory, she'd heard something about Ione's parents before this...

"Moot point, this doesn't fly.  Ione, you told Keltham over a meal that your parents were a couple of low-level bureaucrats who wizard-tracked you because they didn't know what to do with you."

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"Oh, right.  Sorry, I -"

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"Don't fucking OH RIGHT me, if you fuck up like that during a real conversation everybody on this Project DIES."

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"Well done, Asmodia. Ione, spend some time tonight reading everything you've said to Keltham. 

Is there a way to convince Keltham the project does not have transcripts from before the Zon-Kuthon war, because the copies sent out were destroy-on-receipt and the copies on site were destroyed by the attack?"

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"We'd probably take... let's call it a 4-to-1 hit on Conspiracy, as I'd guess Keltham's guesses.  I'm hard-pressed to guess if that's better or worse than trying to subtly edit the transcript instead."

"I think we can probably get away with claiming that there's only transcripts of Keltham's lectures, plus a bunch of particular not-very-detailed reports that people submitted about private conversations that Keltham knows we know about or that would've been written up in alterCheliax.  I can write up outlines of those, but people should actually write their own reports, so the tone will be right and people will know what's in them."

"Ah... this should theoretically include the Queen, if she would have reported on any of her own interactions."

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"I'll put in the report to Egorian that we're compiling alter Cheliax documentation. In your judgment does the Queen of alter Cheliax submit such."

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"Keltham pitched her on what the Project could do.  I think the alterQueen probably reports something about that, especially if there was anything in there she hadn't already heard.  I admit, I'm having some trouble remembering in my own head what Keltham said versus what got picked up in his thoughts, most of the really interesting and reportable stuff was in his thoughts..."

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"I don't need to be present for this part of the conversation.  Keltham is inquiring about my 'romantic route', I need to know how specifically I got scared to the point where I acted like I did.  Maybe my librarian got burned when I was four... would I remember that?  Fuck all this, why couldn't the Church have taken over alterCheliax ten years ago instead?" 

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"I told Keltham I was twelve. ...I guess I could shave a couple of years off my age, though I also told him I'm on my second deployment."

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"I suppose we'd have to fake all your paperwork and everyone else's paperwork anyways, I doubt our files in realCheliax would pass... no, I'm pretty sure somebody's told Keltham at some point how long ago the Church took over.  Ah.  Maillol told him it was fifteen years.  I think somebody else told him before then, probably you, don't remember when."

"THIS is why I keep wishing people would STOP TELLING KELTHAM THINGS.  Yes I know that's IMPOSSIBLE."

"Oh, and you know what else?  Scries don't work in the palace.  Two-way mirrors don't easily communicate inside the palace proper, or inside major regional bureaucracy headquarters.  Because otherwise Keltham could demand to see paperwork, and then more referenced paperwork, and just keep on looking until he went past what we could fake, and found something whose inconsistency with alterCheliax runs too deep for blocking out particular sentences from his attention."

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" - yep, all right, authorizing that lie to the extent it's even a lie. All major bureaucracy centers are like this site unscryable for security reasons. Could Ione have an older sibling who warned her to not tell the Chelish government she was Nethysian and then mysteriously vanished?"

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"That would be an excellent story if the goal was to make Keltham believe in tropes."

"You know, if we're going for shallow stories with deeper trope stories behind them, I'd go with, there was a boy who blackmailed me about being Nethysian and forced sex out of me, deeper story, that boy was my brother.  It would explain my searing hatred and desire to watch him slowly suffer and die, if that showed up in Detect Desires at some point.  Also why I'm not discussing any details and am not telling Keltham his name."

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" - might work. I at least like it better than the first version, and Keltham won't pry because he becomes absurdly solicitous at the slightest sign of weakness."

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"So remember how Keltham reacted to our story about Manohar?  Remember his thoughts in the transcript just - looking it over, thinking, instinctively feeling that it wasn't reality?  Keltham has - something deeper than words, numbers - that he uses to notice stories.  I think he notices the story here.  Because it is a story.  At best he blames it on tropes, at worst he correctly blames it on us."

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"That just brings us back to 'it's really best not to lie to Keltham', which, I agree, that's why personally I didn't betray Asmodeus at the first opportunity and tell Keltham not to let them disappear me. Ione did, so.

 

She could say she doesn't actually remember that conversation and her recollection of the day before the vision is generally blurry - no, that definitely gets Keltham trying to track down the exact details. 

 

She could say that, embarrassingly, she seems to have come back from her contact with Takaral exclusively attracted to the undead?"

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"Oh that's not the least bit suspicious.  Happens all the time outside of stories."

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"...total changes of sexual orientation could be common as a result of -"

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"Keltham gets suspicious and asks me to have sex with a zombie while checking my arousal levels."

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"Well, that'll take some time to arrange during which we can figure out how to fake it."

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"Veto.  Not in my compact.  I'd sooner tell him that I picked up Takaral's sexuality and am now attracted exclusively to voluptuous drow women takaral."

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"Ione, what did your brother actually do to you?  Anything dramatic, tropey?"

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"Just got my life as close as he could to Hell without visibly-to-my-parents decreasing my sale value as wizard livestock."  She's not telling them the bird story, these are not friends.  "He didn't actually rape me, if that's what -"

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"Okay, see, that?  That is reality.  Right there.  It sounds real because it is real.  Some unspecified boy you were around growing up scared the shit out of you about what happened to Nethysians and you never realized how much he was actually lying to you until now.  Dark reveal, that boy was actually your brother.  That's it, nothing more improbable than that actually happened to you."

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"And we don't have a transcript of that conversation, only of the lectures, and we pray Keltham doesn't remember anything but the sexy bit. Done, that's the best we're going to get."

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"I hope you just mean 'done' on the scared-Nethysian backstory because I also need approval on the story of how I got Nethys-touched enough to borrow books from libraries, how I found out about Nethys and became a worshipper in the first place, I am going to have to figure out Nethysian theology from scratch and write down what I would obviously know about it unless you can get the Most High to reconsider the damage she's doing to alterCheliax by not letting me have real Nethysian theology that will fit with everything else, and also if I didn't get sex extracted from me, we have not explained why I offered myself to Keltham that completely when that's not in fact my sexuality and that's going to show up in my arousal levels.  That he can read."

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"Did you in fact possess a convenient childhood passion for libraries or learning or something. Run away from home because they wouldn't let you read books, anything interesting like that."

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"I read what I could get my hands on.  Thought about running away from home all the time, it never seemed like actually the correct strategic move compared to becoming a powerful wizard and eventually coming back for my revenge."

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"And at some point when you were reading everything and thinking about that, you had a religious experience, and then just knew you could get books from the library without going."

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"On theology as I know it, I should've been a pretty devout Nethysian before that point... I guess Nethys could've just foreseen I'd be on Project Lawful someday and have been looking for an excuse?  That implies more foresight than I think people have been attributing to Nethys, I don't think Nethys can predict actualities rather than possibilities that finely -"

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"Veto, it implies too much else if Nethys can do that.  What if you only got those powers after you became a wizard and were already a Nethysian?  Then you're already in Ostenso academy, Nethys guesses where Project Lawful gets located... still seems like a lot, but Nethys could've been making multiple tries."

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"Works for me.  If I'm already a wizard it's more plausible that Nethys is being even slightly nice to me."

"Look, if we're trying stories neighboring to reality, how about if I was terrified that we'd be sent back at any moment and replaced with better researchers and more seductive women, I was absolutely certain that Nethys wanted me to stay with Keltham, and I was trying to offer him the most I possibly could so as to try not to be sent away from him?"

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"...maybe? But I think that's just not what an alter Cheliax girl goes for, when she's trying to be as seductive as possible."

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"I can consistently not be able to seduce anyone worth a fuck.  That does lie within my acting abilities."

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"Were you, when you said that, actually just trying to seduce Keltham from your best model of how to do it or were you doing something more complicated."

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"Trying to seduce Keltham in one minute, while so terrified that producing an outward appearance of not being terrified was the limit of my acting abilities and I couldn't fake any other emotions."

"I knew Nethys had made me an oracle, I knew that'd give me an alignment aura of Lawful Evil from my personal aura only, I knew that might look at first like I just got a single Lawful Evil cleric circle but that I wouldn't be able to get past the subsequent investigation, I knew that if I couldn't attach myself to Keltham before he left the room I was dead and that Nethys would shatter my soul if I didn't try.  I couldn't be seductive under those circumstances, all I could do was make Keltham the biggest offer I knew how to make."

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"So alter Ione gets added to this project. She's a Nethysian and her brother has told her to keep quiet about it, and she knows he hates her but she doesn't know if he's lying about that. Then it immediately becomes clear that this warrants more resources than are currently pointed at it and she wants to be among the people who gets to stay very very badly and she decides that the thing to do is seduce Keltham in one minute and tries it. 

 

What...else does that produce, what else is that alter Ione up to, how would that alter Ione address her error when she realized that actually being a Nethysian was fine and that she's not going to get discarded from the project as long as she can keep learning the math."

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"...I mean, as near as I can tell, the answer to that is alterIone, who I've been keeping as close to realIone as possible?  She saved the Project from Nidal in the process of completely blowing her cover as a Nethysian, and everybody accepted her because she was powerful and useful.  Then she was freed of all the horrible fears that had cowed her over her whole life before, and burst out of her shell like a phoenix rising.  This, by the way, is also incredibly visibly true of Asmodia if you have any before-and-after comparison."

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"Asmodia went to Hell and it was good for her," Carissa says flatly. "She can decide for herself if she's going to have a more detailed story prepared than that, but it's what the rest of us observed and it is unsurprising to us because Hell is often equipped to help people notice ways they were holding themselves back."

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"Gosh, I wonder what interesting thing will happen to Yaisa, that causes her to stop being afraid of Hell, and that we'll have to cover up from Keltham so he doesn't notice the tropes densely pressing in on him from all directions."

"Do I have approval here?  It sounded like I have approval."

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"You're dismissed; come to us if there's anything else of note in the transcripts of all your conversations with Keltham you're going to go read."

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She'll walk out without further ado, then.

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"Maybe the secret Keltham possesses is the secret of getting Cheliax to not write outrageously manipulative and deceptive contracts."

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"If you think I'm underpaid you can just pay me more, you know, you don't have to lose bets to me."

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"All right, what's your interpretation."

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"I don't think he can possibly have been warned that Cheliax usually writes deceptive or manipulative contracts, because he'd just leave. I checked that assumption by reaching out to our Church in Lingshen, where I figured most people wouldn't be apprised of Inner Sea politics, and asking them to ask all their priests what they'd do in a similar situation, and none of them would stay in the country that usually writes deceptive or manipulative contracts. Because it's inherently appalling and because why would you want to make them richer even if you could. 

So - he's this cautious when not warned that Cheliax usually writes deceptive or manipulative contracts, or this is standard language where he's from, and he's very financially sophisticated. We knew his civilization was very financially sophisticated, but he must individually work in contracts within it, to have been able to reproduce all this from memory, or else have some way to access its information and records, or to speak - perhaps via Sending - with the people of his home world. If he has that I'm guessing it's very limited - Sending would be limited enough - because he would hire a bunch of advisors there to review everything, if it weren't too limited, and they'd have caught Cheliax in a lie by now."

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"Or Cheliax is also communicating with this other world on their own and, for example, bribing his team of advisors to assure him everything is fine, or manipulating their communications to him."

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"Maybe? I lean against that whole class of theories because Cheliax is behaving like if he dies or leaves the interdiction zone they're out of the game forever, which is less true if they have contact with his world."

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"In what sense are they behaving like that?"

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"I'm at 90% now that everyone identified as associated with the project is still on-site in the fortress in the interdiction zone, despite having skillsets that'd be incredibly useful elsewhere. They aren't yet observed to be increasing the number of Project Lawful girls. They wrote this notably conciliatory contract, and sold him an option on Sevar's soul, which is not something Hell generally does or is willing to be known to do, and that contract was also notably careful. To our best observations he hasn't left the building since he got there. Sevar's been assigned responsibility to a fairly ludicrous degree given what we've been able to learn about her qualifications.

 

None of those are dispositive but they're 2:1 each, more in some cases, for scenarios where Cheliax does not actually have a plan they think is viable to survive long-term in a world where he leaves. This is a major focus of Intelligence at this time, obviously, since it means that we may have a war on our hands the second we pick him up."

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"Or the kind of civilized but unpleasant interaction with which two Lawful countries in principle ought to be able to avert war, not that I know it to have ever worked, where we arrive at agreement on how it'd go and pay out accordingly."

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"It's Cheliax. I wouldn't trust them with a peace treaty; sure, they won't break it, but it might have a hole I can't see. - relatedly, how sure are we that these contracts are in fact relatively innocuous?"

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"Not positive but we do have a lot of effort pointed at identifying unexpected interactions of the terms and there are some ways they can cheat him on the margins, but - solid odds, at this point, that they mostly felt constrained to straightforwardness on the core terms, lest they lose him entirely. It's Cheliax, they're lying as much as they can get away with, but the most significant new information from this contract is that there are real limits here to how much they can get away with."

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"Also that he's going to make Cheliax very rich on fairly short timescales."

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"Also that."

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"So we have to be prepared for a war with Cheliax at the drop of a hat, while they're getting stronger every day and we're not? And they obviously already outmatch us, if not tied up in Nidal and at the Worldwound? Have we asked Nefreti -"

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"We have commissioned a scroll of Wish from Felandrial Morgethai. We gamble that Keltham, when he flees, will knowably to Cheliax know some things we could do with it if they saw fit to go to war."

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"Which I have at eighty percent."

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"And I tried to get further advice from Nefreti and she said, and I quote, 'you're thinking too far ahead, and not far enough', which I could have gotten from a copper-seer."

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"I have it at ninety percent she'll help, if Osirion's actually at risk of conquest by Cheliax."

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"What does the remaining ten percent look like?"

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"She's following a fairly detailed plan from Nethys and can't step out of it."

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"Luckily for us, if Nethys has a fairly detailed plan to leverage all this to produce lots of very big explosions, it looks more likely Keltham knows what to do with a scroll of Wish and Cheliax knows it."

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"Can we - spy on his lessons to Cheliax, try to directly learn the arts he'll be making them richer with, set a fair payment aside for him contractually until he can claim it -"

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"Project's a hard nut to crack. We got confirmation that Sala and Pineda are both in it, despite not having sold their souls, but almost everyone else in the building is committed to Hell. And Cheliax's style of governance imposes many economic disadvantages on them but it does mean it is incredibly expensive to convince anyone to spy on them. All the same.... if Cheliax wants to get rich, they'll have to bring in more people sooner or later, and the contract suggests they're ready for it to be sooner. And as soon as there's someone who we can meaningfully offer Axis..."

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Merenre shifts his beads, lost in thought. 

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"The poor kid," Hemaka says, when it's been quiet a while. "He just - wants to make our world rich -"

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"He probably wants a lot of other things. I just hope Cheliax can't give them to him."

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PL-timestamp:  Day 13 (10) / Still Nighttime

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"Keltham's going to ask whether he should forge ahead at full speed or go slower so as not to leave lots of broken heretics in his wake. I think we want our answer to be 'forge ahead'. More time isn't going to help him much on the broken heretics front since he doesn't even know what specific belief-collapses he's protecting against, and for our hiring purposes it'd be useful to know sooner what share of people shatter on contact with dath ilanism even if they've sold their souls and been warned in advance.

However, I am interested in any opinions to the contrary. In particular, you are each in fact very valuable, and if you think you're near shattering that is a significant strategic consideration we'd want and might be sufficient reason to tell Keltham to slow down."

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"75% that Keltham isn't willing to forge ahead as fast as possible after the first time... what exactly happens to a broken heretic?  I'll also be the one to mention that, for example, sending them to Hell, or putting them in a torture chamber to try to break back, substantially increases the chance that Keltham eventually tells Osirion all about how you make lots and lots and lots of fire to launch things into space or just, you know, get rid of other things on the ground that made you very angry."

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"A consideration I'd weight more highly hearing it from someone who isn't a heretic and would only say it if it were true.

The Queen has said already that arrangements have been made in Hell such that anyone who deliberately betrays us will suffer for it as much as possible; anyone who wakes up one night and realizes they hate Asmodeus and want to defect, but who in sensible self-preservation comes and reports this to us, will be unharmed. Probably we'll have you tell Keltham as much of the truth as possible and join the dropout girls, drawing a generous salary, under a Dominate Person but not one that affects you when Keltham's not around.

It is my hope that some of you might find in yourself an instinct of disapproval at that, a sense that you are not a friend to your hypothetical heretic self and don't like the idea of her living in luxury; to see yourself as you'd see any other similarly flawed subordinate is a useful skill, and I highly recommend it. But no one can matter so much I'd risk Keltham to make sure they get what they deserve. 

The precise measures Security will take in the case of a girl who turns on us are not to be known to you. I predict they are adequate."

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"Security, tell Sevar my thoughts are and were sincere.  This isn't alterCheliax, you don't need to rely on reading my facial expression to figure out if I'm Cooperating or not."

"And, Prediction."

Message to Sevar:  Order in which the non-Special girls on the Project break:  Tonia, Peranza, Gregoria, Meritxell.

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Security confirms that Sala is sincere, if very contemptuous.  Security also notes that he'd bet money on Peranza breaking before Tonia, judging by how hard Peranza is currently telling herself that she's fine and has nothing to worry about.

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"I don't think you're deceiving me, I think you're deceiving yourself. Or being careless with arguments that lead places you like, at least.

 

Tonia. If you were going to become a broken heretic, what thought process would it probably be over."

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Who DOES that to someone

 

 

 

Tonia sits there in blankfaced horror for several thousand years, maybe several million years, long enough the universe should really have ended and been replaced by whatever will succeed it. Inexplicably everyone is still here staring at her.  

 

".....I don't want to have sex with Keltham?"

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"Not actually a problem. If he starts getting corrupted in a direction where it might be a problem we can substitute an impersonator for you anyway., if he's going down that slope we want to make sure we are very competently rewarding it."

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"I don't like it when you ask me questions?"

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"Come on, Tonia, that's not even something people sometimes say is heretical."

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Tonia wishes very very dearly this had never happened to her and she'd just gone to the Worldwou - maybe that's an answer? "I wish I'd - not been chosen for this - and gone to the Worldwound -"

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"And not sold your soul, and had at least the fantasy of escaping Hell, and been doing something that even paladins do, and that therefore appeases whatever Good impulses there are inside you?"

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That sounds very bad and terrible and heretical???? "...no?"

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"Thinking, 'wow, I wish I wasn't going to Hell' is not the kind of thing that is going to cause a catastrophic breakdown or make you someone none of the rest of us can ever trust. I have met actual clerics of Asmodeus who wish they weren't going to Hell."

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What??

 

 

Does Asmodeus not have enough people who want to go to Hell He can choose????

 

That doesn't have anything to do with anything anyway.

 

Tonia attempts to nod.

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"If," Carissa says, "everyone except me on this project decides they want to go to Abaddon as a reward for service on it, then probably that will happen, because you are all very valuable and have lots of bargaining power. - I really hope you'll give me a decade, first, to see if I can make something you'd want to exist for....

...I really really don't want it to end like that, it'd never be all right from there no matter how glorious a thing we built, but, there's so much at stake, as long as we're winning, that almost any stupid thing you want is safe to want. A heretic isn't that much of a problem. A broken heretic is one who's stopped seeing that the heretical things they want they can have."

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"I want to stop being in the heavy punishments group," says Tonia. 

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"I had that coming, didn't I. Let's discuss it after a conclusion is reached on this."

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If Tonia asked me to get her out of the Project, would she find herself outside the Forbiddance with a teleport scroll a few seconds later, and myself standing here with no idea what happened?

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Only if that served Asmodeus!

So no.

Also that's not quite what happened with Tonia last time!  Pilar will probably figure it out herself eventually, once she's got enough ilan in her.

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Peranza would be fine so long as she could just be alterPeranza all her waking hours and never had to do anything as realPeranza she can't say that everybody will think she's crazy.

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"Permission to ask Keltham, tomorrow, about how we can collect a lot of different predictions, into one prediction that summarizes them, if we want to guess which girl he dates next after Ione.  Only without people being able to predict themselves, or know what other people predicted about them."

"Then whatever Keltham says, for how to do that, we do that on everyone's predictions of the probability that anyone else is about to break in the next three days."

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" - permission granted, and we'll run the method he suggests with and without Security. With since they're the ones reading minds and without since they might not have the skill for making predictions."

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PL-timestamp:  Day 14 (11) / Morning

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Keltham wakes up, and now that he's safely no longer at the end of yesterday, with all his healing surges waiting to be used, and Carissa right nearby, and nothing else he needs to do before restorative sleep, his brain helpfully remembers that he hasn't gotten around to attaching a searingly hot object to his arm while trying to run Detect Magic.  Though, obviously, he shouldn't do that right now, he has work to do today and that might take recovery time afterwards.

Gosh.  It's like his brain is reluctant about this for some reason.

Next time Keltham has an evening with Carissa, he'll tell her beforehand to actually remind him about that.

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After breakfast and convening:

So today he's going to try a lecture in Baseline, approaching some of the mathematics of Decision as is more complicated than the simple cases considered under the Law of Probable Utility.  But don't cast Comprehend Languages just yet, there's a somewhat grimdark question he needs to pose to them first.

He can't think of a very soft way to put this, so he's just going to say it.  There's a risk on this project that Keltham is not at all trained to handle:  Namely, personality damage, caused by new knowledge of Law destroying existing mental structures inside people that got built up by previous unLawful processes and were playing important structural roles as thoughts inside them.  He knows how he was raised as a child, so he didn't end up in that state as an adult.  He has no idea what to do with adults already in that state.  Zero idea.

Option one:  Keltham tries to guess a protocol for preventing this from happening - where, at this point, he doesn't know how to decide even between such macrostrategies as 'Try to snap a few of the springs at a time, slowly and gradually' and 'Try to prevent everything from breaking loose until everyone has a bunch of Law and recovery protocols and maybe a Core Fallback entrained and possibly a separate mental image of what a coherent person looks like' - and proceeds according to that.

Option two:  Keltham proceeds faster and with less caution, unless and until severe damage actually occurs to somebody, hopefully still at a fixable level the first time it happens.  And then backs off and replans after that.

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"....do you have any examples or anything? It's kind of...hard to imagine," says Gregoria.

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If he had examples then he would know how anything worked and he would be less nervous!

Keltham's actual direct experience here consists of himself getting an Owl's Wisdom, and realizing that his previous life plans within dath ilan were entirely hopeless and in fact he had enough data to realize this and was lying to himself about it.  Good thing he was in Golarion first!

And then there's Asmodia, who got an artifact headband put on herself, invented a lot of Law and wound up spontaneously relating to it in a specifically Keeper-like fashion.  Keeper-thinking has effects that people like Keltham deliberately don't get told about.  Keltham does not, among other things, know whether or not it's possible for Keepers to fall in love.  For example.  Keltham initially thought this was probably because Keepers couldn't, and you don't want to tell all the nonKeepers who are in love that their love is unLawful; but on reflection it's much more likely that the Keepers have some well-phrased blanket policy of hiding everything that might be like that from the perspective of nonKeepers, so that their pattern of secrets doesn't leak information.

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"It seems to me like it's going to be kind of impossible to be usefully careful without an idea what might go wrong, so we should go ahead until something does go wrong and we actually know what problem we're trying to solve," Meritxell says.

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Uh, so it's supposed to be socially obvious, if only everyone here had grown up in Civilization, that nobody here actually makes it obvious what their opinion on the topic is.  They can bring up considerations the group should know about, but carefully saying it in a way that doesn't indicate whether or not they think it's a decisive consideration, or whether other considerations lean the same way.  Then everybody writes their opinion on a piece of paper without putting their name on it, folds it up, and hands it to Keltham, and he jumbles those up before reading them.

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There's some further discussion the gist of which is that Chelish people don't seem able to figure out how this really damages somebody as opposed to giving them a bad day and maybe Pilar showing up with a piece of cake for them but not... like... something Terrible?  So far this is all sounding like, "As many as several fates are known in Golarion that are worse than this fate"?  But if somebody ends up sad and depressed and failing out of the project - and, in the very worst case, going to Hell to see if Hell can fix things, and staying in Hell if Hell can't - then probably everybody on this project is willing to risk being the first person that happens to -

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Don't state your final opinion.  Especially don't state what you think everyone else's opinions are supposed to be.


But yes, the final form of the question could be, 'Are you willing to risk being the first person on the project who ends up staying in Hell due to unfixable personality damage?'

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Everyone will write 'yes' on a piece of paper, then!

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He'd have more Conspiracy worries about this if not for, like, the Asmodeus thing and Keltham having now ever met Asmodeans.

Ione, Keltham was kind of expecting more backup here.

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Ione is not actually the type to tell people they can't volunteer for dangerous things, just to warn them about the dangers being there.  It's when she sees people walking blindly into things that she starts scolding people.

And the final question was about whether Ione herself wanted things slowed down for herself, of which the answer is in truth no.

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Asmodia, you too?

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She guessed a few times about what would probably be dangerous to others, and was told by Keltham she was wrong a few times.  Asmodia is now waiting on seeing concrete things happening that she can start to update about.

As for the final form of the question, Asmodia's own personal level of risk tolerance... has already been made clear by her various life decisions.  Not the least of which was signing up for Worldwound duty after graduation, and then diverting from that to a mysterious high-risk high-pay high-Security project.  Asmodia has tried to play a cautious game on particular occasions, but she's not under the impression that a cautious life is what they are all here to live.

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On to today's lectures, then.  Everyone now cast Comprehend Languages.

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To begin our entry into what Civilization considers the Law of Decision, consider this mathheavier special_case-rigged_demo treatment of the simplest cooperation-defection-dilemma...

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Keltham's treatment of this, to actually be understood, is going to end up requiring:

- The concept of a programminglanguage;
- The concept of a proofsystem that can formally verify things about programs in the programminglanguage;
- And the Assumable Provability Theorem stating that, in most proofsystems, you can freely assume something is provable in order to prove it.

That is, if something is provable within a proofsystem, starting from the premise that the quoted statement is provable inside the quoted proofsystem, then it's thereby provable within the system...

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(He's drawing the cheerful cartoons that older kids draw to explain Assumable Provability to dath ilani children, because he did not in fact go back and learn any more serious-looking proofs as an adult.)

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This is not at all a kind of math that any of these students have been exposed to at all!! It's not even something they'd previously have defined as math!!! 

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Judging by the looks he's currently getting, Keltham should maybe back up and talk more about proofsystems and provability and quoting first.

How's the whole Baseline thing doing?  From Keltham's perspective, he gets to communicate using preciselyfitting categorizingwords a lot, without that taking forever, but he's not sure how that feels from the other side of Comprehend Languages.

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It is maybe hard to evaluate how much of this lesson being very confusing is the Baseline and how much is the subject matter. 

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All right, let's see what happens if he tries doing this next part in Taldane...

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(30-40 minutes later, students' Comprehend Languages start running out.  It's not particularly clear that it was really helping.)

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...he wonders if something different happens if he tries Share Language (Baseline).

That would be an inconvenient thing to have be super helpful; only Keltham can cast it, and he doesn't have enough 2nd-circle spells to tap the whole class even if he borrows against 3rd and 4th spells.

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Share Language (Communal), 3rd-circle, will let Keltham divide up 24 hours in one-hour increments among any number of recipients by touch.  With 8 of them, that's 3 hours each.

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Is there a reason Ione didn't mention this spell when Keltham told everyone yesterday to prepare Comprehend Languages today?

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Because it makes sense to test Comprehend Languages first?  It's easier to get more of that, than more of Share Language (Baseline), if Keltham is trying to teach more people.

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Don't assume that Keltham's actions make sense.  This is a dangerous assumption.  He's an alien.

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Well, onward his brave researchers.

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Some considerable amount of struggle and a number of Fox's Cunnings and Owl's Wisdoms later, the class maybe, possibly, understands how, if you had crisp formal agents...


let CooperateBot(_) = Cooperate

let DefectBot(_) = Defect

let FairBot (X) = if Provable( "X(Fairbot) == Cooperate" ) then Cooperate else Defect

...then FairBot(FairBot) == Cooperate.

Because of Assumable Provability:  If you assume Provable("Fairbot(Fairbot) == Cooperate"), then it would follow that Fairbot(Fairbot) == Cooperate.  Therefore, Fairbot(Fairbot) == Cooperate.

Now this is obviously not a shadow of the Law they seek, because Fairbot(CooperateBot) == Cooperate.

Even Keltham doesn't cooperate with a rock that has 'Cooperate' written on it.  It's not a person.  It definitely violates the assumption that the agent only seeks to earn as many coppers for itself as possible, and doesn't care about fairness.  That's why this is called Fairbot and not CopperBot.

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"We want Law describing a - why are we calling them 'Bot' - that cooperates with FairBot, but not with CooperateBot? ...and there'd be other cases but that'd be a start."

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"Uh, 'robot' is what Civilization calls... Civilization's equivalent of golems, is what I'd like to say, except I know nothing about golems except that 'robot' translates to that."  (The 'Bot' suffix as translated is literally the final syllable of Taldane's word for 'golem'.)

"And we don't literally have 'robots' doing this, probably not literally golems either, it's just - the name for a very simple thing that is pretending to be a person by following very simple rules, if that makes sense."

"In this case, we're not so much looking for a new piece of Law - the Law we're going to use is just Assumable Provability, which almost always ends up true of any proof-system you're not deliberately keeping it out of.  We're looking for a bot under that Law.

We're looking for a bot that mutually cooperates with itself, mutually cooperates with FairBot, defects against DefectBot, and defects against CooperateBot.  This is the simplest bot that we could say is acting like a shadow, inside this simpler realm, of a bigger and more complicated sane agent that seeks as much copper as possible."

"That bot is made out of pieces like the pieces I've already shown you, plus one more.  The final piece you need is the Provable-1 predicate, where..."


let Provable-1("X") = Provable(" ~Provable(0=1) -> X")


"...and what this means, is that it describes what you can prove assuming that the base system is consistent - that it never proves both a proposition, and its negation.  In this case, what it means is that Provable-1, but not Provable, can prove, for example, that FairBot defects against DefectBot.  You might say that Provable-1 is the proofsystem that trusts Provable."

"This matters, because you need the extra assumption that Provable is consistent, to derive inside Provable that, just because DefectBot always Defects, there's no proof inside Provable that DefectBot Cooperates..."

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...they're lost again.

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The backing up and the explaining again and the intelligence enhancement spells will continue until understanding has been achieved.

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Eventually he writes out the formula...


let PrudentBot(X) = if Provable("X(PrudentBot) == Cooperate") then if Provable-1("X(DefectBot) == Defect") then Cooperate else Defect else Defect


...and lets everyone go to lunch, a minute or two dozen late.

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"It's good to know that you did not, yesterday, assign us a problem we were in danger of actually solving well enough to take dath ilani oaths."

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"Yes, that is correct.  Had I given these lectures in their more intended order, it might, perhaps, have been more obvious that this was the case.  We aren't even using the correct fragment of Law for doing that, this is more like - using a lesser Law that's a shadow of that one, the Law of what you can prove about proofsystems, and not the Law of what you can guess about the math that the proofsystems are about... that would have seriously been easier to say in Baseline.  Oh, well."

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"When do we learn the actual Law we'd need?"

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"I was going to say, when you otherwise strike me as being at around the corresponding level of dath ilani adulthood... but now that I think about it, you don't actually need real oaths for much?  You've got the whole break-an-oath-go-to-Abaddon thing and truthspells.  That covers a lot of the same territory.  I guess at some point Golarion Civilization has to know it?  But I can see it being a Keeper thing instead of an average-citizen thing."

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"What actually happens if you break a real oath?"

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"There's only one copy of the real oath.  Anytime that anybody anywhere breaks it, people over literally all of Reality, the greater Everywhere, everything that there is, become a little less able to trust it."

"Also, in Golarion terms, Asmodeus is probably now really really really pissed at you, and requests the entire country of Cheliax to drop whatever else it's doing and turn you into a statue so you can't ever do it again including in an afterlife.  Though that part is just a guess."

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"I don't think you should teach people how to do that."

"I really, really don't think you should teach people how to do that."

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"If you've got enough people running around as smart as moderately smart dath ilani, some of them will figure it out.  Civilization did."

"Hence, again, the Keepers."

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"Fuck this, I'm joining your Keeper classes.  Someone in there needs to be the responsible officer about this sort of thing."

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"Called it with 85% probability."

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"What do they do to people who break oaths in dath ilan?"

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"I don't seem to know, now that you ask that.  I know that low-ranked Keepers have sworn thirteen million oaths over the last forty years, and broken twenty-three of those, and that most but not all of those cases were due to insanity.  I don't know what happened to them, and don't see a simple way of deducing what the ethical theory of that would be.  But it would not involve threats, punishments, attempts to scare anybody off doing it again.  If what happens to them is that they get put directly into cryonic suspension so they can't do it again and eventually the Future decides what to do with them, maybe we wouldn't be told about that, exactly so that it didn't sound like a threat."

"The Abaddon thing - is sort of sad, you know?  People shouldn't think that's needed.  Shouldn't think that's how oaths work."

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"It's - not why I would keep an oath, it's why people who aren't going to believe any confusing math words I say can know I'd keep an oath. It bothers me only in the sense that Abaddon existing bothers me. Asmodeus's working to make sure no one gets sorted there, and if He succeeds oaths won't - be less real - except insofar as people will have a harder time believing them."

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"In Civilization, with rare exceptions, only Keepers swear true oaths; if you have a job like that - which, mostly, you in fact don't - you employ a Keeper or you don't start up."

"We know about oaths so that we can negotiate with Keepers.  So we can be a FairBot to them, if maybe not a PrudentBot.  And not be CooperateBot, where you just have to hope the other agent is FairBot instead of PrudentBot.  A true oath is between multiple agents, not necessarily symmetrically so, but each must know the other.  If we didn't know the real math inside Keeper oaths, ourselves, we wouldn't be a kind of thing that can meaningfully accept those oaths and do something conditional on the oath.  We'd just be a CooperateBot that maybe the Keeper would decide to be Fair to."

"If in Golarion you have truthspells, and Asmodeus never clerics anyone who'd break a compact, and swearing falsely on Law changes your visible aura in a way other people can detect, maybe you don't need any of that math.  Just - people who make promises and mean them for older reasons, more human reasons, and when you have gods and alignment auras on top of that, maybe that's reliable enough and you don't have to go to further extremes."

"Though, now that I say it, in its own way, that also seems a little sad."

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"Or at least, what the further extremes would add wouldn't make them worth -

 

- people have broken the Worldwound oath. They execute you for it, obviously, and it - degrades the Worldwound oath, and the ability of the people of Golarion to come together and fight when the whole world depends on it, but I wouldn't expect that it weakens Asmodeus, it's not the thing He's doing. It'd be better for us not to have the power to destroy more than we already can."

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"I see the case, yeah.  It still seems a little sad.  Like asking Golarion not to grow up, ever."

"...well, now that I think about it, when you have native INT 24s wearing artifact headbands, they're just going to know, probably.  Gods and mortals will have to deal with whatever comes of that."

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"Golarion can grow up someday once Civilization is running it and all the kids get educated properly and there aren't lots of people running around who'll do whatever you told them is the worst possible idea."

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"Are there, in fact, a lot of people like that?"

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"Not in Cheliax! ....not lots in Cheliax. In, I dunno, Galt, yes definitely. Luckily they're not very smart."

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"I'll try to remember to avoid certain kinds of trolling, in particular Terrible Terrible Advice, while Golarion isn't its own Civilization yet.  Asmodia, if I forget, you're the one person whose job it is to remind me."

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She doesn't complain that she doesn't need another job because alterAsmodia doesn't have that other job.  "Understood."

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"You know what would be a really bad idea, though?  Baking a giant cake the size of the Palace in Egorian, on the site of that previous villa that got destroyed."

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"If that happens, is it evidence for tropes?"

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"Yes, yes it would be."

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"And - evidence for Conspiracy, I think, because it would be much much easier to do in a civilization richer and more competent than Cheliax, and the Conspiracy world would pretty much have to be."

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"Spoken like somebody from a Conspiracy that's actually poorer than Ordinary Cheliax but putting up an incredibly expensive front for me, so I don't realize how desperate they'd actually be for my knowledge."

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"No, see, a Conspiracy that's actually poorer than Ordinary Cheliax would have shown you the palace and claimed it was the home of a particularly vain count. Whereas the Conspiracy that's richer than Ordinary Cheliax didn't show you the palace at all, that's just some average-sized glittery building they have for guests."

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"Now you've got me trying to figure out what grimdark purpose would best be served by showing me a Palace building of that exact apparent wealth level, and not only is this not what I want to be doing with my lunch, it's obviously what the Conspiracy wants me to be doing with my lunch.  So I'm not going to do it."

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PL-timestamp:  Day 14 (11) / Afternoon

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So has Cheliax actually managed to get him any domain experts like metal refiners, steel forgers, existing chemists, roadmakers, spellsilver miners, or people who can tell him about the current state of anti-epidemic prophylaxis in cities?

Or will he be seeing what he can do to vinegar, using Prestidigitation to try to make natural acids more acidic?  If they've even got vinegar, food here is kinda basic.

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They have several of those but suggest the spellsilver miners go first; if it gets anywhere it's by far the most valuable.

 

The spellsilver miners have brought samples of purified spellsilver, in glass vials in oil because it oxidizes, and samples of the sand that spellsilver is most easily purified from, a heavy dark sand called monazite. They can describe their purification process at some length: the ore is washed with acids, precipitated, heated, mixed with salts, and then reduced with bone to get them in metallic form. You have to do the process repeatedly to get adequate purity.

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THAT certainly SOUNDS like 'spellsilver' is one particular element on the Periodic Table.  A series of chemical reactions like that is one that filters atoms by which chemical reactions they participate in, which goes by the behavior of their electron shells and orbitals.

If this were a novel, Keltham would be figuring out how to get a known number of atoms of spellsilver, into some measuring-volume he can weigh, precisely relative to Civilization's known weights and measures that he would have cleverly recovered by various means, so that he could figure out the atomic weight, thence the atomic number, then deploy his encyclopedic knowledge of how best to mine every single element.

Since Keltham has not memorized how to mine every element, he's not actually prioritizing figuring out which element this is.

Questions immediately to mind:

Which part of this process is the most expensive one - finding new sand deposits, the cost of acid, the cost of labor?

Is the purity of the resulting metal important - is there such a thing as higher-purity spellsilver that's more expensive and useful for more powerful magic?

Are there any other kinds or variants known of spellsilver?

Do they know that bone is itself mostly made of a mixture of two other elements, and have they tried each of those two elements separately?

Can spellsilver be magnetized?

Anybody tried messing with this process by running currents of ordered lightning through it?

Does magic get used on any step?

What's everything that's already been tried that doesn't work?

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The sand is about half the cost by itself. Most of the remaining costs are located in the steps having to be done exactly right or they'll ruin your spellsilver process, so  and ensuring all the ingredients are of appropriate purity and that the complex process is followed exactly right by someone with enough alchemical skill to notice if some desired result isn't happening and to tweak it along the way. 

The purity of the resulting metal is very important, it needs to be very highly pure, but it's a threshold - at some point it's pure enough to interact with magic the right way, and past that point there aren't known gains to higher purity though also they cannot very easily get much higher purity. 

They haven't isolated constituent-bits of bone. Spellsilver can be magnetized though no one has ever thought of that as particularly important that these people know of. ....no one has tried hitting their careful alchemical process with lightning, no, that sounds like probably it would make something go wrong or catch fire! Prestidigitation gets used to separate out the precipitate in acid but you don't have to use it for that, it's just faster. Magic gets used to manipulate things while they're in glass jars not exposed to the air. 

 

 

....everything that's been tried and doesn't work is something they can happily spend the rest of the afternoon recounting.

 

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If the sand is half the cost, then fixing the rest of this reduces the cost of spellsilver by at most a factor of 2, which isn't very much by Civilizational standards.  Why is the sand expensive - shallow, easily exhausted deposits, no huge deposits ever found?

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.... a factor of two would still be an enormously huge deal and make him the richest person in the world probably? Monazite is mostly mined from shallow waters; it is believed to form in the breakdown of rocks and, because it's so light, tend to be carried away to the sea, where it'll gather in places. You can find trace amounts of it in any given rock but that's not very useful.

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Is there a known process, including a known magical process, for telling whether existing ores or strange new rocks would have spellsilver content?

Are there other known spellsilver-containing ores from which nobody has figured out how to extract spellsilver cheaply and reliably, such that the current cheapest process is based on monazite?  Or is monazite the only such ore known?

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There are definitely other known spellsilver-containing ores - they have on hand a yellowish rock that contains spellsilver ores. Sometimes people try to extract the spellsilver from them. Sometimes they even succeed but it's much costlier than the existing process. Wizards who work with spellsilver a lot can tell that impure spellsilver is meant to be spellsilver, and some of them claim to have the sensitivity to tell from rocks that have only a moderate amount of spellsilver ore.

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Which ore would make spellsilver cheapest, if extracting all the spellsilver out of that ore was miraculously very cheap?

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Probably this rock here in their array of example rocks. It's chemically fairly like monazite sand, but a mineral? There's a decent amount of it and it's not primarily mined underwater, which makes it easier to have sl-ow paid employees do the mining. It's not favored because you basically have to turn it into monazite sand to even start, and that does take magic, and you need stronger acids for some reason.

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Rough price reduction in spellsilver if the spellsilver content of that rock was extractible for free?

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...It's hard to guess? People don't try to systematically mine it, and they'd have to start. Significantly more than a factor of two, though.

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Three?  Four?  Ten?  Twenty?  Two point one?

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.....probably more like ten than four or twenty?

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That'll do it for Recursive Headband Production if anything does, since half the cost of headbands is labor anyways.

Do they know the actual purity they need on the metal, like, 99%, 95%, how much of the process expense is getting the metal pure enough vs. turning it into a metal at all, do they know if the impurities are other metals...

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More like 95%. Most of the expense is getting it pure enough, only real novice alchemists screw up badly enough to fail at turning it into a metal at all. They have some jars with some spellsilver-impurities if he wants to examine them.

 

The one guy is kind of emotional about this, not that a non-Chelish person would be able to tell.

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Let's have a look at those jars.  Do their contents look like metal?

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It looks like there's both some metal and some other stuff in there.

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That possibly means electrolytic refining shouldn't be his first line of attack.

How much of the expense is acids of required purity?  Including downstream effects from minimum-purity acids making the process finickier?  If very-high-purity acids of all the required types were free, how would that change the non-ore cost of spellsilver?

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They haven't really tried a wide variety of acids, failing at that stage ruins your materials and it's something of stabbing wildly in the dark to find anything that works better than the recommended procedure, so it's hard to know if it'd be less finicky with better acids. Acids are quite expensive, maybe a quarter of overall costs.

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(In the same fashion that the literate, science-fiction-and-fantasy-reading children of another place might know how to make gunpowder (out of 75% saltpeter which is that white stuff found in manure piles that seems to have a cooling effect, 15% sulfur which is that yellow stuff evaporated from hot springs that smell like rotten eggs, and 10% charcoal, along with rules about mixing the powder to a dough and then grinding and sieving it), most dath ilani kids who read isekai fic have some idea how to produce industrial quantities of high-purity sulfuric acid, and purify the nitric and hydrochloric acids that are easy to make downstream of those.)

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Well, he was basically figuring he'd have to reconstruct mass-quantity high-purity acid production at some point, so maybe that could be among the first things tried.

There's also a pretty obvious idea for something to try instead of bone, if that part of the process is at all finicky.  They've had the conversation about the crazy patentgratuity arrangement on this, where the Project gets 80% of excess profits above 20% increase, and if they want to capture money for scaling production like sane people they need to talk to Chelish Governance or the Project about that, correct?  Keltham is aware this is kind of an insane arrangement, they're working out a more difficult saner one in the background, but the Project needs to capture tons of value so it can reinvest in like 200 different other things that will need doing.

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That was explained, yes. These researchers don't exactly understand the details of the arrangement but they'll report all their profits and pay what's required.

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All right, so if the final step of the process seems worth messing with at all - if they're losing spellsilver from it, or it's finicky, or transforming the bone to a usable-purity final ingredient is expensive - try burning seashells to ash and using the ash.  That'll get you a purer version of one underlying component of bone that Keltham would guess is the important one of the two.  Better yet would be 'limestone' but Keltham doesn't remember off the top of the head how to describe which kind of rock that is, short of testing out different kinds of rock to see which ones behave chemically like 'limestone' should.

People have occasionally talked like spellsilver gets depleted in the process of making magic items.  How does depleted spellsilver differ from the non-depleted sort?

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The usual way of making magic items doesn't deplete the spellsilver. The magic item will have as much spellsilver as was put into it and later you can pull it out and use it to make something else. 
 
If you make a mistake in magic item making, you can ruin the spellsilver. It looks the same, only wizards can tell anything is different, but it won't hold magic anymore. You can also do that deliberately, though it's hard to imagine why anyone would.

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Carissa, you looked like you were pulling magic out of spellsilver from a distance, which Keltham would sorta expect to deplete that magic?  Did Keltham just totally mismodel what was going on, or is that not the usual way of making a magic item?

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That is indeed not the usual way of making a magic item! Usually you want to work the spellsilver into the item, which gives you the option of reusing it later. The way Carissa did it destroyed several thousand gold pieces of spellsilver. There are use cases for that method, usually for making an item you can't work the spellsilver into directly, but it's rare to be willing to waste that much money.

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Well, that does square with the rough amount of money that the Queen of Cheliax should be willing to spend on sex games, so okeydokey.

Can you pull spellsilver essence into, say, iron, and then pull it back out again as if that iron were spellsilver?  Where to be clear, Keltham is thinking about questions like "Can depleted spellsilver be recharged, can it maybe be recharged with something else that isn't spellsilver and used repeatedly, can he make synthetic spellsilver instead of mining it?"

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No one has successfully made other metals behave magically as spellsilver does, including by magically transmuting it into spellsilver. It's not known to be impossible.

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Okay but can you take a lump of depleted spellsilver and recharge it off non-depleted spellsilver that then depletes?

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No. Depleted spellsilver might as well be some entirely different metal in terms of the kinds of things you can do with it; you can't 'charge' iron, so you can't recharge depleted spellsilver.

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Interesting.  Keltham is guessing that they've never, say, compared a 1-foot cube of spellsilver to a 1-foot cube of depleted spellsilver to see whether one is 0.1% denser than the other, on grounds like 'Nobody has that much spellsilver' and 'We don't have weighing-instruments fine enough to detect that difference off a 1-inch cube instead'.  But if somebody by any chance has performed that experiment, Keltham would like to know...?

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...they have not performed that experiment for both of those reasons. Also even if it were true they've never heard of any theory of alchemy where that'd be useful information.

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If spellsilver is the kind of thing it sounds like, where you can filter it out using a series of chemical reactions, then spellsilver has not always existed since the beginning of time.  It got turned from non-spellsilver into spellsilver at some point.

Unfortunately 'at some point' is billions of years ago inside the centers of exploding stars, in processes that are beyond what even Keltham knows how to cheaply duplicate at scale.

But the point is, spellsilver exists; most things that exist can be made out of other things that are not themselves.  The question is, what is the cheapest way of getting more of a material?  And this, for spellsilver, is almost surely mining it and purifying it with acids.  That doesn't mean Keltham isn't going to check the other routes, before he spends a ton of time on cheap high-purity acid.

If what distinguishes spellsilver from depleted spellsilver is a tiny weight difference between two metals that otherwise seem chemically to be exactly equivalent, this means Keltham cannot realistically figure out how to recharge depleted spellsilver.  If it's not that, he should go on thinking.  They don't know, so he'll go on thinking.


If there were, say, a ten-thousand-pound mass of pure spellsilver lying around, would there be any good way to detect that from a hundred thousand miles away?

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From a hundred thousand miles away? No. There are divinations for finding objects but you have to be quite close, within half a mile or so.

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All right, for now he'll stick to the plan of getting spellsilver on-planet instead of trying to figure out whether this solar system has an asteroid belt.


Keltham will ask a few more incredibly strange questions, then have them go through every single step of the process with ingredient costs and labor costs and success reliability and lost masses attached to each step, then ask about every other process that has ever worked for refining spellsilver out of any ore no matter how expensive that was, then spend any remaining time until dinner listening to summaries of bright ideas that definitely don't work.

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Sometimes apprentices will get the idea that you can use prestidigitation to separate out the spellsilver instead of coaxing it to precipitate in the acid; this seems like it should work but doesn't. The bones of lots of different animals and people have been tried in case some bones have more potent alchemical properties than others, but they don't seem to. Prayer does not help. Replacing acid with fire seems like it should obviously work but does not. Having the work carried out by holy men doesn't make it more efficient....and so on in this vein, because the set of things you try from a Golarion worldview are mostly not the set you try from a dath ilani worldview. 

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Message to Carissa:  These people are NOT trying the things a dath ilani would try and you should continue to be terrified of Hypothetical Corrupted Keltham's supervillainy.

(He doesn't particularly notice the part about trying bones from different people; you could get those in Civilization too, for a price, so long as you weren't trying to get skulls.  Actual human skulls are famous for only being in museums, in sections screened off by competence tests, with very somber stories attached to each.)

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- noted. 

(They all seem like perfectly reasonable things to try to her.)

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Dinnertime seems to have arrived.  Uh, Security question: do these people get invited to dinner?  Or Keltham says bye for now, and they should call him when they've tried the seashell thing or he'll call them when he's got cheaper or higher-purity acids?

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If he has further questions he can ask those over dinner; if he's done, then they can depart to try the things he suggested.

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...he obviously has an unbounded quantity of Additional Questions, but he was careful to ask his most urgent ones first.  Dinnertime is also generally, by the customs of his own people, a time for freer-form conversation rather than focused Q&A.  Which in this case is going to be a little odd because of the Security restrictions on what they can ask him; but generally, if they opt to come to dinner, they should expect more questions like 'So what was your most interesting day on this job?' or 'How do you hire people for this kind of work?'

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In that case they'll probably just get to work? They're very eager to try the things he suggested and the best Security is not thinking much about things they aren't supposed to know about.

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He didn't really suggest very much besides the seashell-ash business, but okeydokey again.  See them later.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 14 (11) / Evening

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"So you kept on asking about the prices of things and it was incredibly obvious you were using some Law.  This Law is one that I desire to know.  Right now, not when you get around to it eventually."

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"Any particular reason -"

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"From the way you're talking it's REALLY OBVIOUS all those prices are related by Laws to THINGS and EACH OTHER and I DO NOT KNOW what those relations ARE and this BOTHERS ME."

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The Conspiracy would totally need to know, to make up their prices, but you can't not be curious about anything the Conspiracy'd want to know.

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"You were surrounded by prices your whole life before you got to Project Lawful.  You weren't curious about them then?"

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"No because I had 6 fewer Wisdom" and 1 less Intelligence "and didn't realize that Law was a kind of thing that could exist, and was busy studying to be a Worldwound wizard, and most importantly there was not a BOY walking around who clearly DID KNOW and wasn't SAYING.  If everything about this relationship were completely different, I'd assume you were holding out against me offering you sex about it.  I'd offer you sex about it if that was something I thought you wanted from me."

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Right then.

This is, in fact, going to take a proper future Law lecture.  But consider the point that if there weren't equal numbers of men and women, or rather, equal parental investment in men and women as a means of producing grandchildren, there'd be other strategies that genes could influence people towards, hence heritable strategies, that would yield a greater return on investment, so it wouldn't be stable in the face of natural heritage-selection.

The spellsilver makers are presumably trying to carry out their own process in the way that's cheapest per pound of yielded spellsilver, which means that everything about it should also be the cheapest way to do that step, relative to their options, and there might be alternative ways of doing the same thing but they should all be more expensive.

Keltham may be able to figure out how to do some things with chemistry more cheaply or reliably.  But this potentially changes which steps or ways of doing things are cheapest, not just how to do the same steps more cheaply or reliably.  So Keltham tried to get information about more expensive alternative ways to do the same thing, in case Keltham knows some way to make those alternative roads, cheaper, more easily than he could optimize the standard steps.

There's also the basic point that before you spend a lot of time optimizing something, you should make sure it's an expensive part of the problem.  Cutting the price of something by a factor of two doesn't help a lot if it was only 1% of the original cost.

The prices are sort of like 'how important is this' or 'how much do I even care' labels over the whole process, as well as implying things about other prices being higher if they were the costs of other known ways to accomplish the same thing.

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WHERE DO PRICES COME FROM.  WHAT DO THEY MEAN.  WHERE DO ANY PRICES COME FROM LITERALLY AT ALL.

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Prices are equalizers of supply and demand functions.  The more you offer to pay for something, the greater the supply of it you can get for that price.  The cheaper you offer to sell something, the more people want to buy it.

If you consider all the apples being sold inside a city, then the numbers of apples bought, and apples sold, are always equal.  So the price of apples is the price that causes the amount of apples wanted to equal the amount of apples that can get supplied.  Though, to have this always be true, you might need to include implicit costs, like, if you want a special kind of apple that takes an additional five minutes to get shipped to you, the cost of the apple to you is five minutes plus some copper, not just the copper.

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Oh.

Hm.

Asmodia will think about this (with boosted Cunning and Splendour, she does not say) and then probably return with Additional Questions.

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...it is occurring to Keltham that, if Asmodia has not previously known this, nothing to do with money or economics must have made any sense to her at all.

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No it DIDN'T but that was LESS OF A PROBLEM when she was just studying to fight DEMONS and not trying to CONSTRUCT GOLARION CIVILIZATION in a way that wouldn't result in AN ENDLESS SERIES OF DISASTERS.

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Asmodia.  Relax at least slightly.

Doing this in a way that doesn't produce an endless series of disasters is primarily Keltham's responsibility, plus the Very Serious People in Chelish governance.  Nobody is expecting Asmodia to handle it singlehandedly.

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Asmodia keeps her eternal screaming internal.  It is internal eternal screaming.

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"The curriculum at school to be a Worldwound wizard doesn't have...much else. Because you'll get a good salary as a soldier, and you're a minimum of three years away from doing anything else."

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Does Carissa happen to know whether Golarion in general has the concept of 'price' == 'supply-demand equalizer'?

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"I think I've heard people say things that might've been more or less the same thing as that? I doubt my father would be taken aback if you told him that."

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Security, pass this thought to Sevar:

THEN SOMEBODY WHO KNOWS THIS STUFF NEEDS TO BE INSIDE THIS FORTRESS WHERE ASMODIA CAN ASK THEM QUESTIONS AND THEY SHOULD HAVE BEEN HERE FOUR DAYS EARLIER

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ABADARANS. THE PEOPLE WHO COME UP WITH AND KNOW STUFF LIKE THAT ARE ABADARANS. I THINK ABADAR LITERALLY CHOOSES YOU IF YOU THINK OF IT YOURSELF.

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AAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

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Asmodia politely requests any and all available books of Abadaran theology, now, uncensored, even if they have to be teleported in from the fucking moon.

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Get them to her, keep an eye on her to make sure they're not defection-inspiring somehow.

 

"That does make me think, though," she says, "that it shouldn't work to ban high prices for bread in times of famine, but it does work, so there's got to be something else going on."

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...that sounds like literally the textbook example of something that's impossible?  If you impose a ceiling on the legible financial price of a good, it just adds on other inconveniences that are part of the full implicit price until demand decreases far enough to match supply.

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Yes she noticed that implication of the thing he just said, but every famine she's heard of the country having the famine bans raising the price of bread. 

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So like all the bread sells out in the first minute and then everybody who didn't order fast enough goes to the afterlife, but at least the survivors get to keep most of their money?

Or all the bread sells out in the first minute and then everybody else scrambles to illegally rebuy bread from the fastest bread buyers at the supply-demand equalizing price, and fast-bread-buying is an incredibly competitive and profitable line of criminal work?

Or people stop making bread and instead make 'wheatcake' which is totally not bread because it has a different sugar-to-salt ratio, and therefore can sell at a higher price when oops all the 'bread' they made earlier has sold out at the legal price sorry about that?

...Keltham literally does not see how someplace as uncoordinated as Golarion could do this literally at all, or why they would be trying to, for that matter.

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She thinks mostly the bakers make the loaves smaller. But also they do it because otherwise people will get very angry about rising bread prices and riot, and if bread prices haven't risen they won't riot.

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...and Governance is regulating the price, per 'loaf', of loaves of unregulated size, because this fools people with Intelligence 10 and Governance has Intelligence 16+headbands?

Keltham is frankly starting to see why people in Golarion would be afraid of hearing arguments from smart people.

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...yeah pretty much that.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 14 (11) / Night

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"Um.  Hi."

"...I'm not actually very good at seductive.  Per se.  I don't know if you've already noticed this fact about me."

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They're sitting in the Keltham Seduction Room, which is still mildly pretty at night.  It'd be prettier if it wasn't cloudy out, and the ocean was lit by moonlight.  As it stands, they're lit by Ione's Dancing Lights, which are good for evening quality, but still bright enough to reflect off the window and prevent the dim beach from really being seen, from here.

It's still more romantic than anywhere else in the fortress, anyways.


"It'd be easier to notice in a less romantically crowded environment."

"Civilization does have any gendertropes for people who aren't great at coming up with seductive lines, or coming up with things to say when the silence stretches.  Mostly, the gendertrope is that you declare yourself to be bad at filling silences, and then it's the other person's responsibility to come up with things to say."

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"I mean I have an infinite supply of questions, just... the romantic ones aren't coming so much to mind.  Like, right now I'm wondering, what happens when two people both declare themselves to be bad at filling silences?"

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"You either both declare yourselves to actually enjoy long silences, or you break off your doomed relationship.  People usually try to check that sort of thing before getting to the first date.  That's half the point of gendertropes.  To the extent you can be captured by a simple standard description, you can compare your gendertropes quickly and before spending too much effort on things."

"Us both having an infinite supply of conversation and both being bad at steering the topic back to romance is a separate gendertrope, however.  And then you have to check whether both people are okay with dates that turn into fascinating conversations, that continue later and later, until eventually, sixteen minutes before the hard deadline on bedtime, somebody finally raises the question of whether they were possibly supposed to remove any items of clothing a few hours earlier."

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That sounds great, if not for the part where it probably results in less emotional attachment of Keltham to her.  The Asmodia thing - probably only applies to girls who are asexual, Ione is guessing?  Like you can't have sex with other people, or be able to have sex with other people, and not have sex with Keltham.  Probably?

"I think I'm okay with that happening sometimes.  If it happened always, that would be a problem..."

"I wonder if that happens a lot when Nethysians marry each other."

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"That's not something you've already got lots of data on?  The Nethysian sub-gendertropes, or whatever the equivalent of that knowledge is for Golarion."

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"I know about Nethys only - what I could find mentioned in books.  Books that I could find without mentioning to anybody what I was looking for."

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"Library magic not good for that?"

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"Didn't get that until after I was a wizard.  And then, even after I knew every title that was in the library at the Ostenso wizard academy and could read those books more privately, there weren't any books specifically about Nethys, or books about all the gods either.  Just a handful of books about particular gods whose churches nobody had ordered purged recently."

"I realize now that this was entirely down to old Cheliax but, at the time, it didn't - really help me be less nervous about anything.  I was just thinking about how all the Nethys books were missing.  Not how also all the Iomedae books were missing, and the Milani books, and the Abadar and Irori books, and all the Asmodeus books looked newer than most books in what was left of the theology section."

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"They had something against Lawfulness?"

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"I don't know.  It's not like they'd say so.  I can guess why they might've done that but, you could guess too?  Or maybe not, if you're an alien...  Lawful churches, Lawful people, are the ones who might point to old Cheliax and say, how about if we try something else which is not that."

"Which eventually the Church of Asmodeus did, so it's not like their fears were unfounded."

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"There's a lot of dath ilani proverbs about fears that realize themselves, because that's a kind of - self-sustaining phenomenon that's more likely to persist.  In this case, I'd ask, would in fact the Church of Asmodeus have done that, if old Cheliax hadn't first purged their books, and probably, I'm guessing, some of their people."

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Oh, Keltham.  He really is way too nice for Cheliax... well, Ione just has to make sure he wants her with him after this inevitably blows up.  Until then of course Ione will very carefully and properly act only to delay that day, not hasten it, while that continues to serve Nethys's unknown purposes.

"My fear about how Asmodeans - would treat somebody openly Nethysian - was the same way, I guess.  I didn't - ask the right questions, try any experiments, before this, because I was afraid of how it would look if I asked..."

Ione looks down at her hands.  "Stupid," she says quietly but with some contained heat.

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"If you don't particularly want to talk about this part, I observe that we're not presently discussing romantic things.  If our lives aren't governed by tropes then you do not actually need to tell me your hidden backstory if you don't want to."

He's noticed that Ione possibly seems to be trying to work around to this discussion topic, which, if it's not tropes...

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"It's - relevant to a romance-related thing -"

 

 

"This is really hard to say."

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Then he'll wait quietly and with a neutral expression while she organizes her thoughts to say it, as is only polite.

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"We were a bunch of second-circles pulled out of Ostenso wizard academy and after you explained about heritage-selection it was becoming clear that you knew a lot of important things and you rated more resources than a bunch of second-circles and I thought once that became apparent to whoever was in charge they'd pull us all right out of the project and replace us with women who were prettier or smarter or more knowledgeable or all three, and, I wanted to stay, I wanted to go on learning, so I -"

 

"I tried to make you the best offer I could."

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"It was a sincere offer!  Don't get me wrong!  If you still wanted that from me, as the price of leaving Golarion with you, someday, or even just - getting to go on learning from you, for now - I'd pay it in a heartbeat, and your spell for fair pricing, should show that -"

"If you tell me that, what I offered, is the reason you were interested in me, and you're not interested otherwise, then I'll just do it that way, and I won't be mad."

"But if I'd known then that, things would turn out, the way they did, that what I was afraid of, wouldn't happen, if I thought that there'd be - other options than what I said -"

 

"I wouldn't actually have said, what I said, it's not what I want most, if there's other options, I'm really really sorry."

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"Keltham please say something."

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"I think you're scared of some things that, once again, are not in fact going to happen to you."

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"Okay.  Good."

"Details?"

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"Wasn't actually sure I wanted complete unreciprocated service from you anyways, my new gendertrope was sort of ambiguous about it.  Especially if you're doing it in trade for knowledge and not as a sex thing, because then there are questions about whether you would've gotten that anyways, or what more than the default you were expecting to receive in return...  I was going to check if it was a sex thing before even trying to proceed with testing a relationship like that, because if it's not a sex thing there are so many additional questions."

"Actually now that I say it, I don't know if a relationship like that could work for my gendertrope if it's a sex thing.  But I'm sure it doesn't work for my gendertrope if it's not a sex thing."

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"Okay.  Okay.  I didn't say it was a sex thing for me, please note, I wasn't - trying to lie about that, at all, I wasn't thinking about trying to lie about that, I told you that I wanted to give you anything you wanted from me, because of the value from listening to you and hearing things and that's - that was true - I guess I should've said it wasn't a sex thing but I didn't know you would think it was.  I was just trying to trade - to give enough that I'd be worth keeping around."

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"It's okay, Ione.  I would've asked more questions before I did anything, anyways."

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"Are there... actually other relationship options for us.  Because it sounds like, if not, I don't even - get the option of offering you, what I initially offered, because it wouldn't be a sex thing for me, and you require that."

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"I am, in fact, getting enough sex already and regardless, that I wouldn't particularly want to trade anything for having sex with somebody who wasn't into that or into me."

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"I want to go where Keltham goes and see what Keltham sees and learn what Keltham learns.  I would follow him away from Golarion even if we were never coming back and it'd just be the two of us out there forever."

"I think he's nice.  I definitely like him more than I've liked any boy before."

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"None of which is saying, in that many words, that you want, for yourself and out of your own desires, to have sex with me."

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"There's a cruelty to how you treat women, Keltham, and not the fun kind of cruelty either.  Telling women that - they have to feel a certain exact way, about you, that they have to do everything for exactly the right reasons, or you don't want them."

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"I apologize to the women of Golarion.  For whatever it's worth, if we were in dath ilan, I would be expecting you to be the same way about men, and deciding that they needed to feel certain ways about you or you wouldn't let them offer sex to you."

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"Keltham, what am I to do?  How can I be one of the girls who gets to lay with you in bed at night and have interesting conversations with you, and someday go with you when you leave Golarion?"

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"I would understand how to navigate this conversation so much better if you were just asexual.  I would understand how my own gendertrope feels about hearing that if you were just asexual..."

"Are you?"

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"You're, you're not doing the thing where, I have to say the exact probability I believe, because that gets the most reward, or loses the least.  All I would have to do right now is lie and say I'm asexual.  That would get the most reward.  Or lie and say that I just wanted to serve you and that was a sex thing for me."

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"Truthspells would continue to be a thing."

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"I could tell you I wasn't into truthspells, sorry, no."

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"I might actually have been too suspicious, then, to the point where it interfered with my libido.  Too scared you would turn out to be lying.  I'm having enough trouble believing that everything is real, you faking that would really really really not have been good for me."

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"I wouldn't actually, Keltham."

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"Yes, among other things, Carissa would figure it out and then kill you."

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"I wouldn't.  Okay?  I wouldn't.  I didn't know you'd even think it was a sex thing, I would've said so, you would've asked, it didn't actually almost happen."

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"What sort of person are you attracted to, then, if you're not asexual?"

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"I don't really know, I've been living up until this point surrounded by Asmodeans who I thought would hate me for the Nethys thing."

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"But you don't think you're asexual?  There's allowed to be two people like that on the Project, if our lives aren't being run by tropes.  Asmodia may not even be taking up the item-slot, to the extent that there is one, which there hopefully isn't."

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"I've felt lust a few times, just not really - towards anybody around me in particular that I'd have dared to sleep with."


"...I was also studying, which, you know, slack off on that, get eaten by demons later."

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"But you don't think you can be attracted to me?"

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"I don't seem to be.  I don't, in fact, want to have sex with you.  It seems not fair if that means I don't get to be with you.  I'd do it, happily, but that's not good enough for you!"

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"You're also allowed to be, like, hey Keltham, how about if we spend some time clothed in a bed together, and have some long conversations, and see if both of us start liking each other, rather than that happening to you right away."

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"Is that - a thing?"

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"There was this one girl in my fiction-writing circle, who I'm not going to name, because I'm not going to have the only thing known about her on another planet being that, who believed that we should all just drop the table of gendertropes.  Who believed that gendertropes were dumb, and holding us back, and we should all just describe ourselves at length using the underlying ideas, instead of having standard libraries of ways to describe one another."

"I always thought that girl was wrong, but I never realized HOW WRONG until today."

"YES.  IT'S A THING.  IT'S A COMPLETELY STANDARD FEMININE GENDERTROPE."

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"I was not in fact aware of this," Ione Sala says in complete and utter honesty.


Though, after a moment's reflection, she can see how it would literally never end up working like that between any two Asmodeans.  Asmodeans getting more exposure to other Asmodeans are not going to like each other, more, as a result of that.

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"I shall duly permit you a moment to consider your new options in the light of this new information."

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"...is there a way to tell in advance if that's going to work or not?"

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"Not reliably, but it's conventionally considered a positive sign if you already want to follow around the boy forever for the rest of his life."

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"Right.  Okay."

"Let's do that then.  What's step one?"

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"We are currently doing that.  Right now.  We're having deep conversations while lit by dancing sparkles of your magic, in the warm indoors, while beyond us is visible a dark night and darker ocean.  This would qualify as an instance matching what is conventionally held to be the category for step one."

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"Okay."

"What's step two?"

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PL-timestamp:  Day 14 (11) / Late Night

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"How'd I do."

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"We now have to figure out why in alter Cheliax no one ever develops sexual attraction gradually, if it's not that that's just a wildly pathetic thing to do.

 

On the bright side, he didn't call it for Conspiracy on the spot."

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"Are we under the impression that girls in alterCheliax are somehow told about all of the standard gendertropes?  Because that didn't happen in realCheliax.  It failed to happen so hard that it literally did not occur to me that alterCheliax would do better.  I was not, in fact, aware that this was a thing that Asmodeanism was denying me."

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"We really need to kidnap that bunch of reference Taldane girls but my guess is that this is an Asmodeanism thing and they'll all have the concept."

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"I admit fault then.  AlterIone could have been unusually clueless, too scared to talk to anybody and just reading books instead?"

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"I also admit fault, Keltham said something similar to me and I thought he was just talking about near-asexuals, people who aren't sure if they're asexuals."

"...I propose we statue Keltham tonight and spend a full day trying to catch up on how things work everywhere that isn't Cheliax, now that we have some of our promised intelligence officers and retired out-country agents to answer questions."

"And yes, kidnap some fucking Taldane girls already, anybody, this is ridiculous."

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"And treat them nicely, I'm sure you were about to say."

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"Obviously don't tell them it's Cheliax, we don't want to learn what scared non-Asmodeans look like."

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"If they hate us they're going to be less useful for Asmodia's attempted Law lessons. We'll treat them better than Taldor ever did, and we'll claim to be some random bunch of Taldans who the Crown has no power over. Statue Keltham, and let's line up some decent intelligence briefings for tomorrow."

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PL-timestamp:  Day 16 (12) / Morning

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Another cloudy morning!  Is there any particular reason for the Conspiracy to be doing that, if weather control is a thing?

Maybe if they're, like, getting their usual airplane flights and space launches done?

If so, that's mildly incompatible with the god-war being faked, because if the god-war was faked, they've got better apparently-sky-wide illusion technology than this, and don't need to cloud up the sky to hide things.  Unless the illusion tech can add new lights but not hide others, which mostly doesn't seem to be the way his own illusion spells are trending?

Stretches of cloudy weather in an unknown climate don't seem that improbable on priors, but it's a good thing to notice consciously.

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Keltham should probably be giving a lecture on Markets, for the benefit of everybody who isn't Asmodia, but what he actually wants to work on right away is ACID.  Keltham is so pumped about figuring out how to make massive quantities of acid.  In all the stories where the protagonist wants to do anything scalable with chemistry and therefore has to start by making huge quantities of acid, they're operating in some world that doesn't have magical healing and the whole story is just blah blah safety precautions but this is Golarion and people come back from the DEAD.  In this place Keltham gets to just run right out and make ACID.

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(...the term 'acid' probably has some slightly different connotations when said in Golarion, land of truly horrific combat spells with 'acid' in the title, than in dath ilan, where it sounds like a glamorously dangerous key industrial input.)

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Acid in Golarion has connotations approximately to the effect of 'liquid lingering torment'. But that's okay! They're Asmodeans! They would love to learn about liquid lingering torment!!

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So how would Cheliax be doing about sulfur, in the quantities required for acid on the scale required for refining spellsilver?  Like, more spellsilver, not just current quantities of spellsilver?  Does Keltham need to mine cheap sulfur first, or find somewhere to mine pyrite?

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A thing to note for later review maybe with an Owl's Wisdom, Carissa thinks as people scramble to get Keltham information about the availability of sulfur and the output of sulfur mines,  and the identification of pyrite, and then mining costs and mining techniques and goods transportation and a hundred other things that come up down that path -

- is that probably they should've gone for this first. Just this, the tools to get rich. It's safer than the Law. It's more obviously useful than the Law. It's not going to break anyone inside. And it means Keltham is mostly thinking about things they don't have to lie to him about. It is quite plainly what they should've been doing all along. They didn't because they wanted to stall on a contract to figure out how to get things past him, but they failed at that anyway. And they didn't because the Law is - more hypnotizing, more fascinating, because it feels like the Law matters more than this, the Law that is the reason dath ilan knows all this - 

- it feels like it wouldn't do, for Hell to be always relying on the inventions of other places that are better at invention. But that doesn't mean it was the right first priority. 

 

...something to think about later.

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This sounds like fun, but... also the sort of thing where, once Keltham figures out acid manufacturing here, he'll be able to reproduce it much faster if he leaves Cheliax and flees for Osirion.  The real point here is learning Keltham's Law by seeing it in action, and then being harder on themselves about it than Osirians will be and creating true Keepers of Asmodeus.  That's the way to pull ahead in this race for real.

And Pilar isn't really picking up how Keltham is thinking about any of these things.  They should've maybe asked to have learned more Law first.

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If Keltham manages to DISSOLVE HIMSELF IN ACID he'll need a RESURRECTION and they'll have to get it to him REALLY QUICKLY like maybe within SECONDS because Abadar might be on standby ready to yank Keltham's soul and go "Yo" and "Haha no Cheliax can't have you back" and none of this can be SAID TO KELTHAM but maybe they can come up with some reason why it'd be quite bad for him to die except for the part where the OBVIOUS REASON is to PREVENT HIM FROM TALKING TO HIS GOD and in fact now that Asmodia thinks about it Keltham could DEMAND TO GO DIE EXPERIMENTALLY AT ANY TIME TO FACILITATE COMMUNICATION so they really don't want Keltham THINKING IN THAT DIRECTION AT ALL.

Somehow nowadays all of the people around Asmodia seem MUCH MORE RELAXED THAN SHE IS and Asmodia doesn't know why they're not all already DEAD if that's how RELAXED they are about things.

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"So, Keltham.  You're not actually doing anything with acid today.  Any day where you're actually going to, you're going to pray for a bunch of Resist Energy spells, that's second-circle, up to twenty minutes per caster circle, so you can Resist Energy (Acid)."

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It's fine!  Who knows if that spell even works on the sort of acid fumes that otherwise lead you to end up with horribly scarred lungs!  Keltham bets Restoration works on that, if healing surges don't, and if not, he can always die and come back!

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"KELTHAM.  NO.  BAD KELTHAM."

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But -

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"RESURRECTION IS EXPENSIVE and I will FIND THE SIGHT PERSONALLY DISTRESSING.  Just... get the spells.  Use the spells."

"Use Augury too."

"Have ANY COMMON SENSE WHATSOEVER.  This is your Nethysian safety advisory."

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Ione is sounding exactly like every boring fun-killing deuteragonist in the stories when the protagonist just wants to make an enormous quantity of acid.

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"GOOD."

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...or Ione could just do THAT without consulting Asmodia FIRST but Asmodia supposes it looked like it worked.

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"If you want to die in a fascinating way in a magical experiment it should be a really cool magical experiment that makes everyone who hears about it go 'what that should be impossible five different ways'."

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They haven't even gotten to the magical part yet!  After lunch they'll start playing around with vinegar to find out what they can do to control chemistry with Prestidigitation now that anybody involved has any idea what chemistry is!

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All the more reason to avoid dying dramatically just yet!

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If they can manage to die dramatically after lunch while experimenting with Prestidigitation and vinegar, it will be impossible in only one way (Conservation of Energy) but it's a really big and important way!

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Carissa has never before encountered the claim that energy is conserved. She decides this is not the time to dispute it. 

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If Keltham manages to kill himself using Prestidigitation and vinegar, Asmodia will just quietly go into the Gardens of Erecura and ignore any resurrection attempts until a nice sane Golarion Civilization calls her back a hundred years later.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 16 (12) / Afternoon

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And now they will try out some magical chemistry!  Where the goal is to see whether you can make Prestidigitation do anything interesting to chemistry, once you know what the chemistry is doing.

In particular, they're going to try making vinegar more and less acidic, wood-ash-in-water more and less alkaline, and they're going to see whether things can be turned into salts that shouldn't be salts and then stop being salts when the Prestidigation wears off an hour later!  Or put some actual salt in water, and see if they can change the amount of chlorine that evaporates away, such that the amount of salt recovered via evaporation changes!  Or see if you can stop salt crystals from dissolving in water by Prestidigitating them to taste like more stable things than salt!

...and if it turns out that, for some of those things, Keltham can do that with Prestidigitation and others can't, he's going to teach them about chemistry layer-by-layer in hopes of figuring out which layer of knowledge is necessary.


By the way, to be clear, this general kind of operation is not guaranteed to revolutionize chemistry within three days.  Up to a month can be required!  Sometimes it even takes longer than one month!  Science Maniac Verrez always says that to everyone, and usually does do it within three days, in dath ilani fiction.  Though in one famous reader-trolling incident the next scene in the book took place thirty years later and involved Verrez's grandchildren.  Actually Verrez's consort who is constantly trying to prevent Verrez from getting himself killed talks a lot like Ione now that Keltham is thinking about it.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 10,816 / Evening

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Just kidding!

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PL-timestamp:  Day 16 (12) / Evening

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Those experiments did not all go as Keltham expected.  But he has at least established that (1) anybody can prestidigitate acids more acidic if they know what vinegar or lemon juice taste like, and this works as an actual acid for purposes of eg neutralizing the lye in wood ash, and (2), Keltham is able to do some useless-seeming tricks with ordinary table salt that the others cannot do, even after he tried explaining the chemistry of salt qualitatively in some detail.  Down to the point of talking about electrons, charges, orbitals, fields, albeit with words and not numbers.

Using Communal Share Language (Baseline) and trying to re-explain in Baseline didn't particularly work either.

...well, at least they now have a clearly defined target for further research into How Much You Need To Know Before You Can Use Prestidigitation To Control Chemistry.


Keltham is actually too tired to screw anyone tonight.  He forgot all about scheduled rest hours again, now that he thinks about it.  Possibly for the last several days?  He's not sure.  Things are sort of a blur right now.  Good night everyone!

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Carissa decides to conduct a test of whether tropes are real. 

"We're on a streak!" she says brightly. "No high-urgency messages to the Grand High Priestess for four days straight!"

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"Burn in Hell, Sevar."

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"I'm going to burn the most and become an entirely new kind of devil. How's our wall look."

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"I've added a new purple category for Things Keltham Must Never Be Prompted To Think About which includes 'How about if I just died temporarily so I could talk to my god, Raise Dead isn't that expensive, right'."

"The existing color categories are doing okay.  Where are my normal Taldane people, are they here yet?"

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"Expected arrival tomorrow at the secondary site."

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"If nobody needs me for anything, I am heading off to write up my best guess at Nethysian theology and hope that Takaral left me with some kind of divine inspiration that I can use to get anything remotely right.  Or that I was chosen on the basis of being naturally the sort of person who will make up the right Nethysian theology if she tries.  Wish me luck."

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"I hope you come up with something that is very convenient for me," says Carissa, as it's more honest than saying 'good luck'. "Have fun."

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"Yeah, I don't know, if I was Lord Nethys I wouldn't exactly be trying to make this part easy on the Asmodeans.  But I am sure that Nethys would not have un-fun doctrines.  Seems like a fun god, you know?"

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Once the heretic is gone, Pilar will raise her concerns about all of this work and discovery being stuff that Keltham could duplicate much faster on the second try, if he goes to Osirion.  Maybe they should be asking Keltham to slow down more and teach them more Law first, so they can benefit more from watching him do this?

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" - that's a good point. I think there are a lot of advantages to having work underway on concrete things, though. And we might not have to hold on all that long before we can decisively defeat Osirion in a war - actually, let's have that as a category of project considerations we're tracking separately. What's the size of Cheliax's economic and military advantage, what's the amount of military technology Keltham now holds inside him to unleash fast, how close are we to the state where, if Keltham goes to Osirion, we can just conquer it? If spellsilver's a tenth as expensive, and we get a year's head start, then we can win a war before Osirion has the chance to do any spellsilver refining."

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"Does 'we're tracking separately' possibly mean, in fact, 'Asmodia is tracking separately', because at some point I am going to start demanding valuable magic items from Cheliax or, or something I just feel like there should be something."

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"I wanted to offer you a cookie, but Snack Service didn't think my motivations were pure enough."

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"I am sure there is someone in Cheliax whose entire job is planning to win a war with Osirion if it comes up. I just want him here keeping track of how all this changes the considerations."

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PL-timestamp:  Day 16 (12) / Late Night

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The Possible Doctrines of Nethys, guessed by Ione Sala, Oracle of the Library's Curse, Chosen and Blessed of Lord Nethys and His Instrument:


1.  Nethys is god of knowledge.  Libraries are sacred places to Him.  To destroy or damage a library book is heresy takaral.  Acts of devotion to Nethys include: reading books, though they must actually be desired and enjoyed for their own sake; the discovery and invention of new knowledge of the world; the travel and discovery of other worlds beyond Golarion, or witnessing their strangeness brought here.

2.  Nethys is god of magic.  Knowing more magic makes you a better person.  Not all higher-circle wizards are superior to lower-circle wizards, however, and authority does not strictly follow power.  There are also matters of skill and research to consider, and matters of service and heresy towards Him.

3.  Nethys is god of destruction explosions.  The proper fate of all things is to explode.  Anything that doesn't explode will sooner or later change its shape and form, and become part of something else that does explode.  It is heresy to suggest that anything cannot or should not explode; but it is not heretical to make it to explode later rather than sooner, or explode in one manner rather than another.  Nethys's worshippers need not be eager to explode themselves.

4.  Nethys is god of madness diverse ways of thinking.  Madness can be seen as knowledge corrupted, insanity can be seen as a mind exploded, and so Nethys holds jurisdiction there as well.  The faithful of Nethys are granted dominion over madness as they are granted dominion over knowledge, and may, according to their own whim or kindness, choose to guard others from such, who do not see how their own minds are bound for explosion.

5.  Nethys is greatest of gods.  As the god of knowledge, He is the only being in the multiverse who actually knows what the fuck He is doing.  All other beings, mortals and gods alike, stumble in the dark, except insofar as the god of knowledge chooses to enlighten them of a role they have to play in one of Nethys's vast plans.  Nethys's eventual triumph over all other gods is inevitable, given His domain.

6.  Nethys is a kindly god who only hurts His worshippers as is needful to accomplish His goals, never for the sake of cruelty.  He does not shatter the minds of His believers unless they betray Him and refuse His evident intentions, and protects them from the grimmest fates while they are about His work, to maintain clear incentives for them.  At the end of their lives, those worthy of Him, which is not an unreasonably difficult bar to surpass, will go to His afterlife in which all knowledge is contained in vast libraries, there to study magic ever after with nobody torturing them even a little.

7.  The appropriate attitude of a Nethysian toward her inferiors within or without the faith, is not cruelty, but smugness in her superior knowingness.  Nethys is the greatest and smuggest of the gods.  All other beings know less than Him and are therefore inferior and deserving of His smugness.  When Nethys has inevitably conquered all that there is, His true faithful will get to tell everyone that they were right all along and they told them so.  Nobody will get turned into a paving stone.

8.  As the greatest and smuggest of the gods, knowing far more than His lessers, the touch of Nethys is too fearsome for a mortal mind to withstand.  Asmodeans lie and pretend that this is because Nethys is mad Himself and not merely god over madness, to discourage prayer to him.  This is not so; Nethys is simply greater and knows deadlier secrets than those other gods which can touch upon mortals more lightly.

9.  The ultimate end of the multiverse is that it will explode in the most glorious explosion that there has ever been.  Nethys and His faithful alone will know it and witness it, before they, too, having already learned all things, explode.

10.  Nethys's oracle is Chosen and Blessed of Nethys.  Whomsoever would injure Nethys's dignity through her or block her performance of her duties will find, despite all precautions they attempted to take, that Nethys has perfectly foreseen their futile evasions (see doctrine #1) and arranged an appropriately retributive explosion (see doctrine #3).

 

Submitted by Ione Sala to those Asmodeans concealing from her whatever actual doctrines of Nethys may exist, in the clear communication that to maintain Cheliax's Conspiracy she must maintain some coherent presentation of Nethysian doctrine to Keltham, and the rest of the Conspiracy must be consistent with it, and even so it is one more lie of alterCheliax and in her own opinion a needless one.

Ione will, in due consideration of the Conspiracy's purposes, attempt to construct, from this base, an alter-version, being the Doctrines of AlterNethys, such as may be more gently presented to Keltham.  She will endeavor there to conceal or downplay all points regarding Nethys's moral and strategic superiority over lesser gods, and those greater trends favoring Him.

Should, however, the entire basis of her guessed theology, be wrong in such fashion as may prove harmful to Cheliax's Conspiracy, Ione Sala encourages her superiors to swear and attest to her regarding the actual doctrines of her faith; that she may better serve Nethys, and, through serving Him alone, aid also Cheliax.

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"Okay, before I authorize this lie, what actually is the doctrine of Nethys. I do not evaluate myself as at risk of being seduced by it."

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"Nethys's doctrines as a mortal are obscured in hazes of history.  It is said that Nethys destroyed Ulunat, First Spawn of Rovagug, or granted the first Pharaoh of Osirion the power to destroy it, before he was a god.  It is said that he thought little of all who were not wizards."

"As a god, little is known of His doctrines because anyone that Nethys touches goes mad.  His Heralds, who on rare occasions have been known to send visions, seem to each have different concepts of what is Nethys's way.  In practice, the doctrines of the Church of Nethys are whatever the most powerful caster in Nethys's service says are the doctrines.  Currently that is Nefreti Clepati, who, much like Nethys, is widely believed to be both omniscient and mad.  She is furthermore reputed to be incredibly, incredibly annoying about it."

"Nethys's domains are knowledge, magic, destruction, and madness."

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"Well, that's not the most encouraging god to be meddling in our project. I'll tell Ione this is approved, then.

 

Is there a plan to stop Nefreti Clepati showing up."

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"If there were, it would be the task of gods more than mortals, I think."

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PL-timestamp:  Day 17 (13) / Morning

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All right, Keltham is in fact still feeling a bit burned from yesterday's MANIACAL SCIENCE marathon.

Possibly there are going to be some suddenly-scheduled off-hours this morning.

How are people looking at breakfast?

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Chipper. There's very good pastries, and the sun is finally shining (it's a new moon.)

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So, what if, hypothetically, everybody were to take this morning off.

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There would be no complaints here.

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"I think there's some important person Maillol wants you to know about but I don't think they're so important you can't tell them to hang around until evening."

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Or late morning, at least.  Keltham feels like he would like to spend at least the next hour not thinking very much.  Possibly with having somebody else hanging around being visibly very nice to him, like by peeling grapes for him, or a footrub, or something.  Those being two of the items on the classic list of things you can ask a dath ilani romantic partner to do when you've built up an unreasonable amount of social credit with them.

Presumably this person is Yaisa, since nobody else on his list of existing relationships would have had any significant downtime of their own since yesterday evening.

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"You could ask several girls, and then get two simultaneous footrubs and grapes peeled. I'm not too tired to pamper the most important person in the world for a little while."

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...all right.

Sure.

If that's allowed.

He doesn't feel like it should be, but if that's allowed, it sounds... warm.

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"Yaisa, Meritxell, come take care of Keltham with me, he's feeling in need of a refreshing break."

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"If you'd just say 'for two silver' then you'd avoid making him even more stressed," says Yaisa, "and we'd have less work to do."

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"I am Keltham's; no one else could have that of me at any price. ...except Abrogail, who probably could, if Keltham didn't exist. I have official permission to not try to fit numbers on it yet. You can have two silver, if you want them. Meritxell just wants to be acknowledged as one of Keltham's best lovers for this sort of thing, paying her two silvers wouldn't work either."

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"I want two silvers," says Yaisa. 

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"Done."

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Keltham is now feeling wobbly for a different reason, which is that he'd thought Yaisa's price was inclusive of that sort of thing... well, hence having a first week to work out things like that, he guesses?  He is not very willing to go above his present price, before his wages go up, possibly even after they do -

He's just going to think about this later.  There are proverbs about this kind of jarring clash of financial expectations even when people aren't aliens, and it's important not to let them run over your feelings too much.  This probably wouldn't even feel so jarring if he hadn't otherwise mentally overworked himself the previous day.  Possibly Yaisa literally was just trying to make him feel more comfortable.  Carissa sure was.

"Thank you everyone," he says, instead of anything more complicated than that.

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"I do have to ask, why peeling grapes? Do grapes even taste better peeled?"

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"Many dath ilani, including myself, slightly dislike the texture of the peel, compared to the grape inside.  Not to the point where we wouldn't eat grapes, or would try to peel our grapes.  But yes to the point where if somebody is being gratuitously nice to you and completely optimizing your experience they could do that by peeling the grape."

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"I'll do that," Meritxell says immediately. "I wonder if it can be done with prestidigitation, or does that make it less satisfying."

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"Cheating was still technique last time I checked."

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Fierce smile.

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Carissa flags down a Security and requests grapes, and wine, and fancy chocolates. It's for Keltham. (Alter-Carissa has no authority to request this but she can ask.)

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'Wine'?

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"It's a formulation of grapes that is mind-altering! I expect you're going to have a thousand questions and not want any but I'll have some."

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"I can compress it down to one question actually.  Ione, is anything ill-advised liable to happen if Carissa has some mind-altering grape juice?"

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"Not by Project Lawful standards, let's put it that way."

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PL-timestamp:  Day 17 (13) / Late Morning

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Keltham, now feeling a bit better - he asked Yaisa to stay over, a few extra minutes, after the rest of that was done - heads into the project office to see what's up.

Also, did scrolls arrive for scroll practice?  Keltham was supposed to do that at some point, and then he could stop worrying when he doesn't have emergency spells occupying valuable spell slots.

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Seems like a good day for Keltham to get his scroll practice and to meet a representative of Lawful Good, which they've been pushing off because it's a risk but which Carissa is very sure would by this point have happened in alter Cheliax, and, well, they're not going to get any more ready.

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In Maillol's personal opinion, how stressful is it liable to be talking to a Lawful Good person of Golarion?  Keltham knows how to talk to Lawful Good dath ilani but those people are all... sane.

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"Tried hard to push for somebody you'd be able to like, or at least tolerate.  I won't know if that worked until you tell me."

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...all right, Keltham's going to go try this now, in lieu of having it hanging around his mind, making him feel slightly guilty about forcing somebody else to wait.  Like, presumably they're getting paid something per hour of waiting time, but Keltham doesn't want to feel slightly guilty about making their government pay them to wait.  His mind is still any amount of tired, but social doesn't require the same kind of focus as math lectures or chemistry experiments.

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Gerhard Bakker is a tall man who looks simultaneously quite old - his hair and beard are brightly white, and his face very wrinkled - and quite spry. He's wearing a suit made entirely of metal, apparently without any trouble moving in it, and he's been waiting for Keltham standing, at the window to the office they put him in instead of resting in the rather sumptuous velvet chairs.

"Boy," he says warmly, and clanks over to the chairs, and sits.

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"Man," replies Keltham, likewise sitting.

Most people that old in dath ilan, if they're getting to the point where they have to wear power armor to walk around - Keltham's brain has assumed automatically that's what this is, magical edition, since why else would an old person be wearing a heavy-looking metal suit - are having health problems to the point where their life is sad and not that great and they're heading off into the cold shortly, to wait for a Future with more cheerful days.  Most dath ilani do that well before they require power armor to walk around.

Later he should try to figure out if this is a Conspiracy update somehow.  The obvious thought would be that the afterlives are fake, but he kind of did see Pilar looking pretty stabbed and dead... well, that could've been an illusion.

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"I am here representing Lastwall, and representing Iomedae, who chose me for the war against Evil fifty years ago, though now her blessing rests in younger hearts that can do more with it. The purpose of this conversation is that I may be useful to you, not that I may learn things from you.  Cheliax agreed somewhat reluctantly, to permit me to come here and speak with you; one of their conditions was that I promise not to pass on to my Church and nation more than you, they, and I all think are wise - and that I return not at all, if in your judgment that's wisdom. I am old, and if this is the mission that sends me to Heaven then frankly my wife will thank you for not letting me drag my feet about it any longer. 

 

Do you have questions for me."

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Oh.

Yeah, that makes sense.  Dath ilani do that too, when they're getting about ready to leave modern Civilization anyways.  Missions like that.  Keltham has never met one of those people before.

He might actually be Lawful and Good.

 

"I'm Keltham out of dath ilan, a planet of a single Civilization, which society, I'm told, was by local standards Lawful Good.  There were no alignments there, and no gods, and no clerics, and no magic.  We had to make our own afterlife."

"What do you mean, the war against Evil?  Where I come from, making war on Evil would not be called Good."

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"Good and Evil both live in every human heart; Pharasma might weigh the balance of them, and a Detect Alignment spell might tell us which predominates, but a person has rarely been born in this world who has only Good or only Evil in them. In other places it is elsewise.

Iomedae is the god of the war on that which has no concern for our values and cannot be bargained with. 

The creatures born natively of the Abyss, which pour through the Worldwound into Golarion, are Chaotic Evil, and not in the way that humans who read Chaotic Evil are Chaotic Evil; their values are Evil, not some blend of Evil and Good. An Evil human, even a Chaotic Evil human who values none of the habits of coordination that can build civilization in the absence of Good, won't generally murder someone for a copper piece; demons would. The native inhabitants of Abaddon eat souls, and this they do because the souls are tasty.

It is said that long ago, when the asuras native to Hell ruled there, it was similar with them, and Asmodeus alone possessed the skill to bargain with them across that gap, so much wider than the gap ordinary bargains must cross; and when He purchased the asuras's departure He had the backing of Good, for his promise to make His devils out of the living. But it might be said falsely; the gods hold information about the god-agreements of the ancient past very dear, and it was long before Iomedae's time.

In Cheliax I think the telling of uncertain-stories about ancient god-agreements is discouraged, lest people remember something false and run off with it; but while I do not confidently assess that the risk of that, with you, is none, if you are of a different Civilization entirely then it is beyond my wisdom to guess your errors, and the best I can do is tell you things that lead people often to error, and warn you that they often do that."

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Keltham is internally a bit unhappy he didn't get a chance to talk to Oldguy before, obviously, Oldguy read Keltham's transcripts, including for example a recent report clearly filed by Broom specifically; and Keltham notes to himself that everything here is being Rephrased to the Alien's Terms so that it Appeals To Keltham, and, this being Golarion, it is possibly getting skewed along the way.

"Several questions, but first, I note that saying 'even a Chaotic Evil human who values no habits of coordination won't kill for a copper piece' is, one, obviously shaped to talk to Keltham specifically, two, something that sounds visibly false since not killing for a copper piece is exactly one of the habits of coordination, that you don't destroy a lot of someone else's value in exchange for a tiny gain yourself.  Consider not trying as hard to rephrase things in the Alien's own terms and saying things you think are more plainly true and letting me do some of my own work of translation.  The more you try to talk in my unfamiliar conceptual language, the more liable you are to say things that parse out false in my language."

"Next, what exactly was Good paying Asmodeus to do back in the beginning of things?  Make devils from the living as opposed to what, the dead?  I didn't parse that part."

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"Instead of from scratch, which would make them entities that had values different from those of selfish humans. I can try not to speak in your terms, but it's true, about Chaotic Evil humans, that they don't care about coordination and still won't kill someone for a copper piece, because killing people is unpleasant, if you're a human with human values, even if you are one who is very selfish as humans go."

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"It's unpleasant because the ancestors of humans who went around killing other humans tended to get killed themselves, and so had fewer children to carry their heritable tendencies, and eventually the survivors' children were people with innate tendencies not to kill people even when it seemed like there was a reason.  Because it just seemed unpleasant.  Stuff like that is how the ingredients for Good got into humans at all in the first place.  We would not say, on our terms, that finding it unpleasant to kill people is sufficient to be Good, but that I would find it unpleasant is an instance of how I value a habit of coordination that allows people to live together even though I am selfish."

"Set that aside, because it's drawing on Law I haven't lectured on as yet.  It sounds like Asmodeus was another being of pure Evil with no humanlike goals in him, on this story.  Obvious Additional Questions then include why Asmodeus appears, on the surface of things, to be helping Cheliax, and how the ancient Good beings ended up wanting to help humans, if they had no humanity in them."

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"The Church of Iomedae holds that actually the values of ancient Good beings are alien too, which is why you need Iomedae, who was once human. The Church of Sarenrae would say instead that those ancient Good gods that valued humans drew more strength from them, and won ancient wars. The Church of Desna would say that Desna values, for every agent, that it attain its own priorities whatever they are, which makes Her friendly to humans, though also friendly to demons and useless in the war on Evil. The Church of Dou-Bral, when it existed, would have said that Dou-Bral values joy and pleasure, which happen to be things humans value too.

 

All would say that Asmodeus was, of many agents like Him, the one whose values happened by coincidence to overlap the most with the values of humans, and thus that those Good powers concerned with humans backed Him for that reason. I think the Church of Asmodeus tells it differently, emphasizing that Asmodeus bargained cleverly with Good, winning their support in exchange for an ongoing commitment to their concerns. Again I know little; it was before Iomedae's time, and none of the ancient gods can speak to humans easily."

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"Desna's strategies aren't parsing for me.  If she purely values beings obtaining their own priorities, she should be engaging in wars of extermination to eliminate everything whose behavior tends to interfere with other beings obtaining their priorities, in hopes of a much longer-term better future from her standpoint.  Depending on the exact form of her values, Desna might try to exterminate everything that has priorities that are hard to obtain, so the future will be full of things with priorities that are easy to obtain instead.  Even if Desna can't get everything she wants, because of other gods, she should still be backing Iomedae in a war on demons, if she singlemindedly and not in a human way wants beings to have their priorities obtained."

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"That is a reasonable criticism of Desna; I don't know how She would answer it. If I had to guess I might guess something like that destroying an entity against its will is so undesirable that most plans that feature it won't measure out well. In practice She doesn't try to exterminate humans or demons."

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"What are Asmodeus's goals?"

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"Asmodeus in His concern for contracts wants Hell to be prosperous and invent lots of things and develop complex financial instruments, and participates in such so as to grow His own wealth; Asmodeus in His concern for power wants through His wealth to command the efforts of others for His own benefit; Asmodeus in His concern for Law wants the flaws of mortals to be corrected that He may reveal to them more of His domain and that they will be easier to contract with."

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"Asmodeus isn't obviously benefiting in any way from what he's doing for Cheliax; it's been represented to me that Asmodeus prefers it when I exercise power over Carissa, which suggests that he doesn't want power to be exercised for himself, so much as power of anyone over anyone.  Similarly, Asmodeus's concern for contracts sounds like he wants anyone to make contracts with anyone, not like he wants them to form contracts benefiting Asmodeus in particular.  Is Asmodeus a god of Evil or an Evil god?"

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"When people in Cheliax have values closer to those of Asmodeus, and conduct themselves more like how Asmodeus does, that strengthens Him; He can see them more clearly and anticipate their actions at lower cost. More of them will have the habits of mind suited to being His clerics, so He can select among a higher quality pool, and when it is necessary for Him to communicate, communication is much less costly with an aligned agent. It is the desire of Asmodeus that the people of Cheliax be Evil for His own benefit, and He doesn't care if they're Evil in ways that don't align them more with Him.

- Iomedaens disapprove of this. You might seek an account from one who approves of it, for balance."

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"Don't know where I'd find one of those in Cheliax.  Tell me about the Iomedans' disapproval."

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"There is a city in Abaddon called Awaiting Consumption. They raise humans there, in cages, and when they are grown they set some aside for breeding the next generation, and they consume them, their souls included. By some estimates there are more humans there than in any city in Golarion.

Asmodeus does not think this is His problem. Because of the way He raises people, in Cheliax, they're less likely than people in other place to pledge their lives to the battle against it. But it must be stopped, and Good is the only force in the universe that will do it."

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Pretty clear why Carissa didn't tell him that.  Keltham thinks he approves of the decision.  Good thing that he strongly suspects that what happened to Keltham out of dath ilan in his plane crash is something that works for anyone anywhere, or that news might be enough to shake him -

Keltham catches a glimpse of something out of the corner of his mind, a thought about Zon-Kuthon's afterlife and Owl's Wisdom.  He's pretty sure of what it says.  There isn't much need to think it.

"What was the plan for taking out Awaiting Consumption and Zon-Kuthon's afterlife?  You talk about there needing to be someone to pledge their lives to the battle against it; out of dath ilan we would say you needed someone to win."

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(That is, of course, the teaching of the ACTUAL Iomedae, concisely enough expressed there that a flicker of her attention alights briefly on the room.)

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"The original plan began a hundred years ago with Aroden's manifestation on Golarion, and went wrong when He was murdered and prophecy shattered. He was an older and more powerful god; His death left Iomedae alone in the fight, and responsible also for containing the Worldwound. We will regroup, eventually, and marshal the forces to attack again Abaddon and Zon-Kuthon's afterlife, but right now our resources are barely adequate to not be destroyed ourselves. It is our hope that the wisdom of your Lawful Good society could change that."

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Okay, check the obvious simple paths to victory to see why they don't work.  "Somebody mentioned to me that a misphrased Wish spell could produce a flaming crater a Teleport radius across, which I think is seven hundred miles or something like that?  If they weren't mistaken or exaggerating, that's a fairly respectably-sized explosion even for my Civilization.  What goes wrong if the plan is, say, sending a suicide volunteer into Awaiting-Consumption and doing that?  And if they rebuild the city, do it again."

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"In a god's domain, magic works as that god intends; Awaiting Consumption is part of the domain of Urgathoa, goddess of gluttony, and She would not permit our magic to work in Her lands."

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"Huh.  Why was there any hope at all then, barring new fundamental discoveries in magic?"

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"Well, Iomedae'll probably have to kill Urgathoa first, but gods do succeed at that sort of thing sometimes."

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"Do enormous explosions help with that at all?  Strictly nonmagical ones, say, if the problem is that magic per se stops working."

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"Nonmagical explosions...well, they might kill all the captives presently in Awaiting Consumption. I don't know that she would be able to prevent that."

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"Thing that explodes a lot as soon as anybody tries to nullify the magic on it, or after a few seconds if nobody does.  Can you teleport it into Awaiting Consumption from a safe distance?"

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"...maybe. The explosion itself is still nonmagical?"

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"Correct."

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"I think that is at least likely enough to work that we would do it if we knew how."

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It can't possibly be this easy to get Keltham to teach them weaponry.

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"You would not particularly want to do this if it would possibly not work and leave them with an interesting weapon to analyze."

"I am, on further reflection, unsure that taking out Awaiting Consumption is much of a useful thing to do, unless there's some reason they wouldn't just distribute the production process over a thousand other places we couldn't all hit at once.  As it happens, you misunderstood my original question; I was asking if a very very very large nonmagical explosion would kill or at least wound Urgathoa."

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"It'd take them some time to get millions of humans again if their existing population was nearly all killed, and if they do it outside Urgathoa's domain, which isn't that large, it'd be harder for them to prevent interference. 

 

A very large nonmagical explosion would significantly wound a god only if they had made themselves vulnerable for some reason; by default gods have no physical form that can come to harm."

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"Any obvious shenanigans you could pull that would trick Urgathoa into manifesting physically, if she wasn't otherwise warned of what happened after that?  Actually, pause, how secure are we from Urgathoa listening to this conversation somehow?  I've been assuming in the back of my mind that you would've stopped me if we shouldn't be talking about this, but that was a stupid assumption not to verify out loud.  There was an earlier event making it deducible that Nidal or Zon-Kuthon had eyes on the place the Project was then located, as in, immediate and ongoing monitoring."

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"Urgathoa is not one of the gods who appears to possess particular capacity to surveil humans, which is costly to different gods to different degrees. She will not learn of this conversation through listening in on it, and she does not have an organized Church like that of Zon-Kuthon to carry out large-scale missions on her behalf. There are not obvious ways to trick a god into manifesting physically. They are cautious of it."

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"Talk to me about how Iomedae turned into a god and why there aren't another hundred of her to back her up against Urgathoa."

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"She ascended via the Starstone after becoming extraordinarily powerful during the Shining Crusade, as a paladin of Aroden. Most who attempt the test of the Starstone fail. None among our number have the power that she did at the point where she successfully ascended. We do keep trying, though, in case someone gets through."

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"Was Cayden Cailean very powerful at the point he ascended on what I'm told was a drunken bet?"

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"He was a talented adventurer but nothing like Iomedae. No one is entirely sure how He made it but it's part of why we keep trying."

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"So if this were Civilization there'd be a huge ongoing research project to figure out how the Starstone worked.  Is this by any chance totally not the case here at all?"

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"The magical protections on it also make it very difficult to learn things about. The dead don't remember anything. Iomedae cannot tell us."

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"Talk to me about the magical protections."

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"The Starstone is on its own island in Absalom, behind walls that divinations do not reach. When anyone is inside, no entrance is visible; when no one is inside, an entrance is visible, and you can fly right in. Teleportation in doesn't work. Summons vanish on entering. Animals which are sent die when they enter."

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"How'd that all get there?  Starstone - just appeared one day, with all that stuff around it?"

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"Aroden built it before He ascended. He said that his intent was that the worthiest could ascend."

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"Chickenshit.  That's not how anything works when you're fighting Urgathoa."

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"A reasonable objection. Aroden was Lawful Neutral, not Lawful Good, but still. And even if His intent once made sense, it's possible it doesn't now that He's dead."

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"Okay, look, considering the Cayden Cailean thing - and wasn't there a fourth person Norwhatever who became a god of crime? - Aroden must have had a really weird definition of 'worthiest', leaving out how dumb that is to do in the first place - for that matter, did either of the Cayden Cailean or Norwhatever events happen before Aroden died?  This whole part makes no sense.  And other things I've been told about Aroden didn't sound like he was generally nonsensical."

"Is there a research project aimed at taking down the protections around the Starstone so that proper research can be done to it?"

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"There is not. I don't know how you would do it; no one exits the island alive."

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"I don't mean to sound like a one-note song, but, really large explosion -"

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"It seems like a lot of things might go badly wrong if you tried to explode the protections around the Starstone. I - suppose we can ask Iomedae whether to go ahead, though."

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"Any idea what size of explosion it'd take to blow out the protections?  Or, for that matter, the maximum amount you could probably use without damaging the Starstone?  In units of, say, one million million times the energy to lift your hand from waist-height to head-height."

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"I am not sure that the protections could be destroyed by an explosion at all, and not sure if an explosion would destroy the Starstone, and if it would I have no idea what size of explosion would do it. At that scale you would just destroy the city of Absalom and kill millions of people. I think that this is unlike Awaiting Consumption not really a problem best solved with explosions."

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"Oh right, Absalom.  Somebody went and built a city next to it.  Great.  Okay, tabling that until we have enough money to pay them all to move out, I guess."

"Zon-Kuthon's afterlife, what does that take to fix now that Zon-Kuthon is sealed."

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"We'd need to defeat the magical protections on the walls and take the place block-by-block and kill or rescue everyone in it. Lastwall could do it with a hundred thousand soldiers, I expect. - we do not have a hundred thousand soldiers and those we do have are at the Worldwound or aiding in Nidal."

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"What's your plan on, like - treating somebody who's been in Zon-Kuthon's afterlife for a while?  I'd expect that to be an impossible strain on your resources.  Do you have a way to suspend - however many people are in there - until Golarion's future Civilization has the resources to take care of them?"

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"Not really, but we can send them on - to Hell, to Heaven, to wherever else is right for them. The afterlives are accustomed to taking in those who have great psychological scars; in fact in a sense I think from the perspective of the afterlives practically all of us are so scarred."

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"So, again, not to be a one-note song, but, incredibly large nonmagical explosion on the Zon-Kuthon afterlife, does it help at all?"

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It could maybe take the walls down faster but it would kill all the prisoners???

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"Souls in the afterlife can be permakilled by large explosions, or for that matter, permakilled at all outside of Abaddon?"

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It is in general an incredibly rare occurrence - they are much tougher than normal mortals - but an unfathomably large explosion is the sort of thing that would do it.

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"...huh.  Possibly their next destination would be able to take care of them, I'm not doing too badly here.  But given the number of unknowns, if Hell and Heaven think they can take care of them, then - possibly it's not worth just turning that whole afterlife into a crater, right away..."

"Okay, my current impression is that a lot of things won't be fixed enough if I drop a giant explosion on them.  Awaiting Consumption could be destroyed and scattered, but that would potentially warn Urgathoa about an ambush that we'd otherwise want to spring later."

"Your personal judgment about whether Lastwall should be told what I suspect I might be able to do, in case they can think of something to do with it that I can't and you didn't?  Downside, increased risk of tipping off Urgathoa early - I have been wondering a bit about whether she's liable to attack the Project, but what happened to Zon-Kuthon would maybe be something of a warning sign to her.  Upside, Lastwall being able to actually think of something."

"To be clear on the obvious: this is something that would take secrecy oaths, a lot of truthspells, Lawful Neutral clerics and outsiders verifying things, Broom or Broom's people signing off, not sure if you're cleared about that part, possibly my going outside whatever effect is preventing divine interference here so I can get signoff from my god on it."

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"Of course.  I should think on that for some time, and not give you an answer immediately."

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"I'd also have additional questions about Lastwall's government.  Somebody mentioned to me that they thought everywhere in Golarion had nobles, and made it illegal to talk 'disrespectfully' to nobles, and this included Lastwall, according to them."


Keltham's thoughts are now moving away from their previous state of extremely Lawful reasoning about whether it's possible to achieve victory over Evil, and not just fight it, using his currently available options.

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"Lastwall prides itself on having no nobles, in the sense that other countries have them. Every person in Lastwall serves the greater Good, no matter who their parents are or how much money they have. If the Queen of Cheliax joined our noble cause, she would be given the command of a regiment, to prove herself from there. Certainly it is true that we would not permit anyone to treat her disrespectfully."

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"Define 'treat her disrespectfully'.  If she goes around visibly on drugs and somebody says 'Gosh you look to be visibly on drugs', for example, is that disrespectful?"

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" - it would depend how they said it, I would think, and what relationship they had with her?"

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"Stranger, said it as follows:  Gosh, you look to be visibly on drugs."  Keltham's voice is simply-factual.

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" - I take it it's not the answer you're looking for, but that person would probably get in trouble, for bothering an officer out of the blue. Of course the officer would also be reprimanded, if they were on drugs."

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"Is there - somebody else who is the one person who you are supposed to talk to, if the Queen of Cheliax was put in charge of your 'regiment', and then she seems to be visibly on drugs."

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"You could bring it to the attention of her second in command."

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"If that's translating correctly, her second-in-command would be her direct subordinate?  Somebody who Hypothetical Delinquent Abrogail would have a ton of actual power over, in terms of being able to make that person's life subtly worse if she felt like it?"

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"Yes, that's correct, though we teach that people should not abuse power over their subordinates."

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"How do you incentivize that people should not subtly abuse power over their subordinates?"

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"It's wrong. It makes the world worse. And Lastwall teaches everyone, from childhood, the importance of not doing things that are wrong. And Iomedae chooses only people who act very rightly."

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"What percentage of all managers in Lastwall have been chosen by Iomedae that way?"  It could work if she's pointing out or passing veto on every manager in the system, Keltham supposes, but that's more comms bandwidth than he thought gods had.

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"At the regiment level? Perhaps a third."

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"Sorry, what's a 'regiment' exactly?"

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"Six hundred soldiers, three battalions."

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"I... would not expect this system to work if Iomedae only got to select one in eighteen hundred personnel.  My next thought would be to ask if you previously ran really intense heritage-selection on people to not abuse their subordinates, but that would involve having a system for detecting it and then you wouldn't need the heritage-selection process, and also apparently you accept non-Iomedae-selected out-faction people to run regiments.  I'd be shocked to find you had prediction markets running... why does this system work?  Does this system work?  What stops managers from ending up doing wacky shit if people below them aren't supposed to call them on it and can only report to people underneath the manager in the command directed-bunch-of-connections?"

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"...that for the most part they are Good people who want us to win?"

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THIS IS NOT OBVIOUSLY A STABLE EQUILIBRIUM.

"...did this system possibly work better when Aroden was alive and now it's getting a bit worse every year, or something like that?"

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"I mean, lots of things were better when Aroden was alive, but we're still holding our own at the Worldwound, and in no sense getting worse at that. I think perhaps your view of human nature is too pessimistic. Most people will do the right thing, given guidance and the opportunity."

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"You're not guarding against randomly selected people, you're guarding against that fraction of people who have the greatest desire and the incentive to try to get promoted to management and then break your system for the rewards."

"If I asked what makes your system robust against bad actors attracted by the unguarded rewards of abuse of power, is there any chance that you'd have a neatly argued standard document explaining the system design, or that you could lecture on it from memory?"

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"There are not rewards for command roles in Lastwall! People take them out of duty. If you were selfish you would not benefit from having one."

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"I am... probably going to have to come back to that concept later."

"For the record, that's not even slightly how we do it in dath ilan.  Which, I am beginning to suspect, is not actually whatever weird thing is called here 'Lawful Good', and is instead well-structured according to a mathematical view of reality and full of altruistic people doing altruistic things."

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"We would be very interested in learning what dath ilan does; if it might aid us in the battle against Abaddon and the Abyss, that would be worth a great deal of effort. But perhaps that is not an immediate concern."

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"Your society sounds sufficiently alien that I cannot easily see how to reorganize it, and the same is true of Cheliax, really.  I will, for now, focus on such matters as scaling spellsilver production, and possibly when I know this place better we can see about lesser anti-demon weapons.  I would expect those to just work, in a way that our structures of governance might not, perhaps, just work."

"Should there be an urgent emergency or opportunity requiring a giant explosion, let me know.  If that sort of thing comes up in a way where it needs action on the scale of minutes, try to give me a week's notice that this is something that is true, so we can set up oaths and magitech and also I am not especially certain that my idea works at all."

"Aside from that, I think I should go on doing as I've been doing in Cheliax; the early steps of the technology ladder have a lot in common no matter where you're aiming for later.  If you wanted to create lesser anti-demon weapons, the first thing you would do, in fact, is figure out how to make a lot of acid, which happens to also be the thing you do for scaling spellsilver production."

"Were there things you wanted to say to me, or inquire about from me?  I've been doing a lot of questioning myself and not really giving you a turn, I notice."

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"I am deeply curious about your world, but I do not expect that satisfying my curiosity uses your time well. We also think you should go on doing as you have been doing in Cheliax, though should you come to conclude that Chelish governance is not who you wish to contract with - because they're Evil or for any other reason - the Church of Iomedae would be happy to take you in. Our Church in Ostenso is inside the interdiction zone that protects you against direct divine interference, even."

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"I have to say, neither Lastwall nor Cheliax have been asking me nearly as many questions as a visitor would be asked in dath ilan.  I wonder if I would've gotten more of those in the kind of country called here Chaotic.  I increasingly suspect that both 'Lawful' and 'Chaotic' are just different fragments of math-about-thinking, and dath ilan is neither of those things or both."

"You've answered some of my questions and I would trade you some answers in a friendly way that doesn't cancel out much informal political capital, if there's anything you're just curious about."

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"What is dath ilan like? If a person is injured in an accident and can no longer work, what happens to them? If a child is orphaned, what happens to them?"

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Serious injuries are rare in Civilization.  Serious injuries that eliminate your ability to work are even rarer; there's a lot of thinky work, and anything that damages your ability to think usually leads to the horrified victim electing to go straight into cryonic suspension.  Insuring against rare bad outcomes is cheap.  Keltham's annual insurance premium against that and a lot of other stuff was one four-hour workday's wages.

That said, five percent of the population ends up just... not fitting into Civilization.  They find the work that Civilization offers unpleasant enough and the standard rewards not really fun enough; they'd just as soon not work and not get those rewards.

The planet of dath ilan is something that nobody out of dath ilan created.  Land on which to put houses, land in which to mine metal ores - people who don't want to work have as much prior claim on those resources as people who do.  And if the rest of Civilization hasn't presented you with anything you really want to participate in, if your parents decided to marry some other person who was similarly weird to themselves and roll the dice on the dangers of assortative mating producing weird neurotypes, there is some logic by which you might hold yourself injured by having been brought into a world like that, being the person that you are.  The policy prediction markets, in fact, are targeting at most five percent people going to Quiet Cities, as was voted-upon; which means that the people who do end up going Quiet are persons that in some sense Civilization has elected to sacrifice in that way, as the cost of other people doing more what they want, and other policies not being more tightly constrained.  The Quiet Cities are cheap; someone's moral share of all the rents on all the lands is sufficient to insure against their possible lifelong need for food and shelter and clothing, there.

The gotcha is that you cannot have kids, and then go to a Quiet City; when you have children, the right to be supported by Civilization passes out of you and to them.  They can go to a Quiet City, you can't.  If you're not very confident in your ability to support yourself and explicitly pay insurance premiums, you're definitely not properly confident in your ability to support kids.

Anyone, always, no matter who they are, or what they have done, or what else has happened, has the absolute right to go into cryonic preservation and pick things up again in the Future.

If both parents die and didn't earlier find anyone who seemed like a great fit to take over their kid - and who actually wanted a Sudden Extra Child in that event - the right to raise that child goes up for sale to some fairly competitive bidding among people who want to raise a child but don't want the Moral Responsibility of Creating a Counterfactual Child.  Obviously a subsidized prediction market needs to forecast that the child will end up okay with those parents before they're allowed to bid.

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Well, that doesn't seem very compassionate but it does seem like it might protect against many bad outcomes all the same.

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Inquiring minds desire to know what is more compassionate than that.  Civilization thought it was going pretty hard on the compassion.

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....well, if someone has children and also can't work, Lastwall would help as best it could to feed and shelter them, and if a child is without a home then even people who don't want children would do their best to ensure the child has one, because they are Good. 

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Rogue actor has twenty kids that Lastwall has to support, with no personal consequences to them.  Turns out that's heritable, all their kids have twenty kids.  ?

Keltham can see the Lawful Good case for taking in children you didn't really want, in a world where there's too many kids like that, and not enough people who want kids to bid on them.  Civilization's compassion in this regard is that it got rich enough for that to stop happening.  Probably some of the people working on improving metal refining were like 'We must make our world richer, so that there will be fewer orphans, and more people with enough extra wealth that they could raise orphans if they wanted to!' and then that totally worked, good for them.  Keltham's going to do the same thing in order to get rich, but more as a moral point in favor of Evil than one against Good.  He can respect the Good thing.

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It's true that some people recklessly go around impregnating and abandoning women. Lastwall might send them to prison for that, but wouldn't stop providing them with food. And the tendency turns out not to be that heritable, fortunately; most children created by such a father aspire to be different from him.

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Maybe it's not that heritable on average if you only run the process for one generation.  Keep it up and you'll start to have difficulties; you'll come across cases that are heritable.  Some of the kids born that way will marry each other.

Keltham is confused about why you'd lock people up and provide them with food, instead of shrugging and telling them that if they're hungry Heaven is like right there.

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Well, often young men are idiots, and if they spend ten years in prison doing hard labor then they grow out of it and can contribute to society, which seems much better than denying them the opportunity, though of course you kill them if they prefer that. 

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It hadn't even occurred to Keltham that they wouldn't be allowed to die if they wanted, but good.

Young men aren't idiots in dath ilan because if they want to know which actions have which consequences they can always subsidize a prediction market about that.

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...fascinating. Young men everywhere in Golarion are often idiots. But drunken brawling, or rape, or vandalism, are all crimes that practically vanish by middle age, so if you just keep people out of trouble until they're older they're entirely redeemable.

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Right then.  Never mind.  Keltham apologizes for criticizing anything you've managed to build out of component parts like that.  Keltham is sure that Lastwall would be a lovely Lawful Good place if it had Lawful Good citizens to work with.

Shall they wrap up?

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Sure. He appreciates the opportunity to speak with Keltham, and will be available if Keltham wishes to speak further.

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That's not a candidate to become a cleric of Iomedae, and is in the interdiction zone anyway. But a fragment of Iomedae's attention sends a note of something-of-interest to a larger fragment; Iomedae is tired, and stretched thin, but it'll be seen by a greater part of her, eventually.

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"I want to know whether an actual paladin would have said that thing about Lastwall not having rewards for command duty, as in, literally dispatch somebody in disguise to ask a paladin that.  If the real paladin gives a better answer, I want this fake paladin to regret their inadequacy."

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"Sure, send someone. It didn't ring to me as the kind of thing the paladins I've talked to wouldn't say but I don't know if it's true."

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"KELTHAM MADE FACES.  BAD FACES."

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"Keltham is used to societies incentivizing Good but I actually think real honest paladin orders suck at that, because it's expensive and they're poor, and because they associate money with - greed as a motive - we'll check, but I think there's a Good society there that holds together and is really making that mistake."

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"If Keltham decides we're the Conspiracy and kills himself to talk to his god because REAL LASTWALL WAS ACTUALLY THAT INCOMPETENT I will figure out the Law of Giant Explosions and DESTROY ALL OF LASTWALL."

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"On the to-do list anyway, I expect. But by all means."

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As usual, it's only after ending the conversation that Keltham realizes a tactic he could have used for finding good questions.

"Well, that was tiring at a time when I was already tired."

"I deserve a cookie."

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"What now."

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Keltham first hands Pilar a silver, before taking the cookie even.  "Inconvenience fee slash fee that I'm paying so that I notice when I bother you and don't do that without a reason.  Feel free to negotiate about that."

"I'm wondering if you've got any input on what Cayden Cailean thinks of Lastwall or Iomedae, or a city in Abaddon called Awaiting Consumption which I wouldn't ordinarily mention in front of you but you said you wanted to be a Keeper."

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"I'm not my curse, I don't have input.  I suppose I could see if my curse wanted to volunteer information.  It almost never does, don't get your hopes up."

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"Pilar?"

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"Give me another few seconds here."

Pilar needs a go or a no-go on saying this, NOW, Keltham is noticing the delay, and if he asks what her curse was saying in the meanwhile Pilar may not be able to make up something that sounds quite right.

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- go.

 

 

The curse may well just be trying to lull her into a sense of complacency and eventually betray her, she has nothing to go off but its promise that's not what it's doing, but she can't reason these out one by one on the spot and right now the standing principle she's using is to let the curse talk.

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"Snack service says that Cayden Cailean is willing to accept outcomes that Iomedae wouldn't consider enough of a victory over Evil, and that's the ultimate root of the reason why Cayden Cailean is going in on this but not Iomedae.  Snack service also says that you're willing to accept outcomes Cayden Cailean isn't okay with, and that's the ultimate reason why, while Cayden Cailean won't hinder you, he'll only help you where your interests overlap with Asmodeus's interests.  Snack service says it's only allowed to tell you this because you'd reach the same conclusions yourself eventually, and it's just speeding you up along the way.  Snack service says Cayden Cailean wasn't feeling great about Iomedae's chances of doing something about Awaiting Consumption if you hadn't shown up.  Snack service says not to expect answers to any of your many additional questions."

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"Do you have to put up with this sort of thing all the time?"

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"No, this was pretty bad even for my curse."

It is in fact completely fucking routine but all that other stuff didn't happen in alterCheliax.

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"Think you should get an additional silver here."  He's suiting actions to words already, of course.

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"Thanks.  Have an additional fucking cookie."

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Pilar wishes to note for the record that she bets that this is because of Sevar's remark about not generating any Grand High Priestess reports in four days, and it's happening after exactly enough of a delay that the tropes have preserved their plausible deniability.

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Neither of them predicted that in advance, though. 

 

Nonetheless it is of course written up for the Grand High Priestess. 

 

One theory is that the Civilization they're going to build counts as a victory over Evil to Cayden Cailean, maybe because it'll have lots of sex and drugs? And not to Iomedae, who cares more about, you know, Hell. It's a nice reassuring interpretation. She wouldn't bet on it.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 17 (13) / Afternoon

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Scroll practice!  How does that go?  Anything explode?

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Reading a scroll is sort of like pulling the magic on it off the page like pulling extremely sticky tape off a roll. It is incredibly easy to get it all tangled and stuck to itself, at which point the scroll is wasted, though with the scrolls they got him that's not an explosion, just a waste of a scroll.

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...does he succeed at any point?

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Yeah! About a tenth of the time, maybe getting a little better with more practice but still very chancy even once he's been practicing for most of the afternoon.

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Perhaps he shall try this again when his brain is less tired.

Or if it's just down to practice, then practice it shall be.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 17 (13) / Late Afternoon

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Keltham takes time to hang a first-level wizard spell, no point in missing any practice there either, and then announces an optional lecture on Civilization's Governance.  The topic came to mind, for some odd reason, though his brain is still too tired for chemistry or real math.

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The lecture has perfect attendance despite being optional; that sounds really interesting.

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Yeah, he sort of figured that might be the case.  If it goes on being the case it means there's no such thing as an 'optional' lecture really, but, neeeevermind.


The way Civilized kids get introduced to this - or at least the way Keltham's class got introduced to this, on reflection he doesn't really know if that was universal or special to some quality that Keltham had with all the other kids, it's not particularly obvious what that could've been, but it's been a while -

Anyways, the starting question is:  Suppose that some passing superpowerful aliens, on their way through, tapped Civilization with a powerful memetic field that wiped all knowledge about anything resembling a government structure or social organization.  They've still got stuff like Probable Utility and Decision and the Fair-Division algorithm, but they can't remember anything about Legislators, Delegates, elections, or even that such a thing as Governance is possible.  They're just standing around blankly in the middle of everything that Civilization has built, trying to figure out what to do now.

They have to reinvent even the concept of government from scratch, and they don't particularly know that's what they're supposed to be inventing.

But again, though these people are now utterly ignorant of government, they are not ignorant; they already have concepts like cooperation-defection-dilemmas.  They are standing around in a total void of particular social organization, but they are allowed to be very clever and think very quickly about new orders that would be possible to create within this void, so long as they really do that from scratch.

How do they reason?  What would they try?  What are their goals?  What would they invent and from which first principles?

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Well, says Gregoria, the first thing you need is law enforcement; otherwise society will descend into chaos immediately. It's probably better to deputize people at complete random to apprehend criminals than to take a really long time deciding, but if you have all your other memories then you can pick particularly Lawful people to be law enforcement. And then you need a minimal set of laws, probably 'no murder' and 'no theft'.

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That part about not murdering people sounds like a good idea, but... what sort of power gets granted to the No Murder Enforcers?  Maybe the few people who want to be murderers are much more likely than average to sign up for the No Murder Enforcers so they can secretly compact among themselves to get away with that?  Well, Gregoria did say to pick people at random.  If you pick people at random, and at least half of the people picked agree to serve... then maybe the system works for at least a week or two and isn't immediately blown up by adversarial selection on the candidates applying for the position.

Possibly everybody in the world could immediately agree on the random-number system that said who should be an Enforcer.  Possibly almost everyone except the would-be murderers would decide to respect whatever powers the No Murder Enforcers were given.  These are dath ilani, after all.  They're pretty cooperative.  Most of them.  There's always exceptions.

Still, if this system is going to last for more than a couple of hours, there should probably be some sort of Meta-Enforcers to watch the first set of Enforcers?  There's going to be at least some bad Enforcers randomly picked in the system.  Maybe they can do a disproportionate amount of damage, depending on what powers they have, exactly...

Let's set all that aside for the moment, though, because Gregoria then proceeded to say something really confusing.

'Theft'?  Keltham fails to recognize this concept.  There's a bunch of stuff lying around.  Does 'theft' have something to do with that?

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.... do we have no records of who owns any of the stuff.

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What's an 'own'?  Keltham can determine the color and shape of the various objects around him but how would he determine the 'own' of it?

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Wow okay then Gregoria is grabbing a knife and everything she can carry and getting the fuck out of here before the killing starts. 

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Someone ask the Taldor girls that question.

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It's dath ilan, Gregoria.  Very few people are going to try to kill anyone, and the ones who do will be swarmed by bystanders after a five-second pause while they reinvent the concept of everybody commits to swarm the killer after 5 other people make the same commitment.

Why is she grabbing a bunch of stuff, though?  Was she planning to use it for something later?  Why would you have to grab something now in order to use it later?  Does this have something to do with that 'own' stuff that nobody has explained to Keltham how to experimentally discern as a perceptible property of objects?

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She's grabbing a bunch of stuff because she's pretty sure there's in fact no principled foundation for any distribution of the stuff other than 'people get what they can defend' so she should maintain custody of an amount of stuff that's not worth killing her over and is sufficient for survival.

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Dath ilan, Gregoria.  The average Intelligence of everybody involved in this process is 16, possibly 17.  They remember learning about cooperation-defection-dilemmas when they were very young.

As soon as everybody visualizes the awful outcome from what Gregoria is describing, they will all, automatically, because they do remember learning about cooperation-defection-dilemmas as children, ask themselves in unison:  "Can we do something else which is not that, and end up not there?"

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But, really they're getting ahead of themselves here.

Gregoria seems to be visualizing a world in which if she's touching something, she gets to use it, and if she's not touching something, she doesn't get to use it.  Why would this be the case?  There's stuff lying around.  Why the expectation that she gets to use it if she was previously touching it, but not if somebody else is touching it?  This is a weird system.  Keltham sees no reason to adopt this system himself.  People who need stuff should use it, obviously.

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That seems even more doomed than 'you own what you touch' but she admittedly can't explain why.

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"No one will work."

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What is this 'work' of which she speaks?

In unrelated news, it looks like there's only enough nonperishable food lying around to feed everybody for a couple of years, after which everyone will starve.  But surely before that time comes around, some genius will imagine up something else to do which is not that, and end up not there; it doesn't seem like an urgent problem.

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Yes, the genius solution is credibly telling eighty five percent of the people that if they go work on farms they will get stuff as a result, so they go do that and everyone doesn't starve. Which is why 'you get stuff' needs to mean something.

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Seems like they’re skipping a lot of derivation steps here.  Almost as if they somehow secretly knew which ultimate destination they wanted to arrive at, and were using the excuse of imminent starvation to immediately propose that solution as if it were the only possible one.

There is a key skill taught in dath ilan, called in Baseline 'blahblahblah' -

Actually Keltham did queue a Share Language (Communal) today and might as well use it so he can, at the very least, use words like that one, and have people hear the meaning as well as his definition.  Gather round, tap tap tap, you all have Baseline for three hours.

There is a key skill taught in dath ilan, called in Baseline 'perspective-taking', which is about carefully controlling your own mind to operate as if it were somebody else's mind, putting yourself into their own shoes and mirroring them in order to simulate them accurately.  It has a crucial special case 'perspective_taking-of-ignorance'.

In this case, they're being asked to simulate somebody who does not know, who has had forgotten and erased from their mind, what it means to own a thing.  It is not, if you take that perspective properly, like unto the experience of looking at things, seeing no ownership tag on them, and jumping from there to the conclusion that other people might grab those things and own them, or fight over them and own them.  You just see things, they have shapes and colors but no property of being owned, that concept has been erased from you.

We're not asking "how do people reinvent ownership".  They don't know they're trying to invent ownership.  They're just pondering the question of how they might avoid starving in a couple of years.

They might imagine that people need incentivizing to work on the farms.  Why jump straight to the conclusion about rewarding them with 'ownership' of the grain the farms produce?  Maybe all the grain goes into a big grain storageunit, and they guard the perimeters of their land to keep out strangers, and only people who worked on the farms are allowed to wander into the big grain storageunit and take grain from there, but they still have no concept that the grain is tagged with a property of being owned by anyone, even themselves collectively.  They're just working to grow grain, and guarding it.

The idea is not that this is a better solution but that it is a simpler solution that seems to maybe solve the immediate problem of people starving in two years.  Somebody thinking about just that problem, who didn't have a concept in their minds of 'ownership', might come up with this simpler solution that apparently solves the problem of immediate starvation in two years, before they invented anything as complicated as ownership.  It would take some more difficult problem to motivate that one.

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This kind of perspective-taking, in the special case of learning to think as if you've erased a piece of knowledge from your own mind, is a vital mental skill that appears as a subskill of many others.

It appears, for example, in the art of figuring out which 'premises' and 'lemmas' are needed to 'reason-step-by-step' through a 'mathproof'.  If you know too well that three times three is supposed to equal nine, if you can't 'perspective_take-on-ignorance' and block the great obviousness out of your mind, you'll have a harder time remembering that multiplication is 'defined-out-of' addition.  You will have a hard time coming up with the argument 'built-up-out-of-simpler-terms', the one that says, 'Well, to see why three times three is nine, consider that three plus three plus three is nine', because it will be so obvious to you that three times three is nine that you can no longer slow down and say why that is.  You won't know that three plus three equals six is a critical step along the way to three times three equals nine.

In the same sense, here, they're trying to grab private ownership by individuals out of air, because it's so obvious that they can't properly erase it from their own minds as an available solution, and think of solutions simpler than that, which would also solve the simpler problems as they are being posed.  Not as well, yes, but somebody with an erased mind wouldn't know their solution was worse than some other one.

This skill of being able to blank out a habitual solution from your mind, and look for a simpler one, is also the same sort of skill you'd use to, say, look past 'Ione and Pilar and Carissa went off because of a Conspiracy', where the thought of a Conspiracy seems so ready to hand as a solution, and say, 'Well maybe Ione and Pilar went off with Carrissa to fix some issue that happened because of Ione and Pilar being out of commission for a couple of days.'  If Keltham wasn't confident in his training in this skill of blanking-out, he really wouldn't dare to consider Conspiracy as a hypothesis because he actually would see it inevitably everywhere even in the Ordinary world, as a solution that leaps to mind and blanks out other solutions and can't properly be forgotten.

When Keltham first arrived at the Worldwound, the seventh-circle wizard who showed up for his Teleport told him that he'd be safer and more able to pursue his goals in Cheliax, and able to purchase passage back from Ostenso to elsewhere, and added 'I give you my word'.  Keltham tried to explain to him that, from Keltham's perspective, the apparent implied information being presented to him was along the lines of 'you would probably worry that if you go to this place in Ostenso, you might not be able to pay for passage back, and you wouldn't usually believe me if I just told you otherwise, but you'll probably believe me if I add "I give you my word" about it'.  Keltham's actual state of ignorance was such that even this implied information was not very useful to him, because the main things he was doubting were on the order of 'Are those giant monsters inside the forcefield possibly the real good guys here?' or 'Does any such place as Cheliax actually exist?'

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So reprise:  Somebody has the bright idea of working the farms, defending the grain-store, and only people who work on the farms are allowed to access the grain-store, which is what incentivizes the farm work.  They are, in a certain sense, guarding stuff.  But they haven't really conceptualized it as something tagged with a person yet.  They're guarding the stuff but it's not tagged as 'their stuff' and this indeed is why it must be guarded, anyone else could just come and take it, after all.

What problem might they encounter next, and what solution might they invent for it that isn't just leaping straight to private property?  Blank the solution you already know out of your mind.

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Some people will be lazy and not do their share of the work.

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Kick them out of the guarded farming area.

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People accuse people they just don't like of slacking, to get them kicked out and get more food for themselves.

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But if that actually decreases the farming labor, that will mean less food for themselves later on, because there'll be fewer workers?  Perhaps this is only a failure mode that exists when people don't have enough food to go around...

Keltham is also confused about how people would be able to credibly accuse random others they don't like of slacking; obviously there'd be one person assigned to monitor any particular other person's work and report whether they were slacking or not.  Or rather, if they weren't already doing that, they'd start once the accusations of slacking began.

If his students claim that can't work, are they sure they haven't just disproven the existence of corporations in general?

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If you do that, then the person responsible for monitoring whether someone else is slacking can say 'I'll report you for slacking and get you expelled unless you bribe me'.

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Can't threaten dath ilani. But the person who is slacking could offer the person monitoring favors in exchange for not reporting them; that's just a trade.

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This does seem to prove that corporations in general cannot exist.  Well done.

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Well, they can't pay everyone the exact same thing, at least.

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Keltham doesn't see how giving people different amounts of grain solves the problem where you apparently can't trust managers not to take bribes to deliver inaccurate reports about how much their direct-reports worked.

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Well, the way you do it in Cheliax is pay-for-work, hire hatmakers per hat they turn in, and then no one's making a subjective report on anyone else's quality, they are paying per hat.

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What if that gets you... SLOPPILY MADE LOW-QUALITY HATS?

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The price is agreed in advance, and for each hat, you can pay it or not, so you pay for the hats worth that price and don’t buy the others.

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Carissa sure is bringing in a lot of complicated infrastructure here!  All this talk of 'pay'.  It would take a very great genius indeed to invent an infrastructure as complicated as this sounds, and bring it in as the best solution to the current problem about farming and slacking.

If Keltham tries to extract just the useful part of this solution, it sounds like Carissa is saying that everybody should be assigned their own particular plot of land, to farm, and then we look at whether somebody's produce yields passed a certain minimum threshold, and people under that threshold get kicked out and don't get to eat.  This is better because everybody can see whether a worker did enough work, or not, and so they don't have the same problem with false accusations of slacking or managers taking bribes.

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- maybe. But also you could say they can only eat the grain that grew on their plot. And then they'll want that to be a lot of grain rather than a barely sufficient amount of grain.

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Soooo... if Keltham is getting this right... the key assumption is that people can direct varying levels of effort into farming, and higher efforts yield higher yields, and the higher yields are observable.  So we assign everybody a plot of land, they get to keep all the food from that land, and that incentivizes everyone to... well, actually it incentivizes everyone to work just hard enough to feed themselves with pretty high probability.  This brilliant trick eliminates the need for anybody else to monitor anyone.  Some people will probably die of starvation due to bad luck, but better them than everyone!

Sounds like the work of reconstructing Civilization is all done!  Just tag equal-sized lots of land as belonging to various individual people - where the tags are a kind of social construct about who gets to eat the produce from the land - and we leave it up to whoever eats the produce to grow it.

People seemed to be talking about some system more complicated than that, but Keltham doesn't see yet why it would be necessary.  Once you know which person gets to eat the edibles that grow on any particular piece of land, you're done.

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Some people will trade.

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What, so, like, some people have food, and other people have food, and they both give the food they have to each other?  What a strange activity.  Why would anyone do that?

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Well, say you grew more food than you can eat, and someone else grew too little, and yours is just going to rot anyway, so you say to them, you can eat my food if you also do some work on my farm while I laze around doing nothing.

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They will inevitably SLACK OFF making this project DOOMED TO FAILURE.  Wasn't that the whole reason why land plots got tagged with people in the first place?

Carissa isn't being consistent here in what she claims will go wrong!  She only says things will go wrong with Keltham's ideas, and not that the same things will go wrong with her ideas!  What an 'epistemically-unfair' way of arguing for 'relative-attractiveness-of-policy judgments'!

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The problem with Keltham's proposal was that the slacker-reviewers didn't have any reason to give accurate judgments or even mostly accurate judgments. A person paying another person to work on their land for them wants to keep doing this if the person is doing a good job and not if they're slacking. And they can just tell them to stop, and not trade them food, if they're not doing good work. 

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All right, Keltham admits of the possibility that you would give somebody some of the food from your farm if in exchange they did some work on your farm.  Now has Civilization been fully reinvented?

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What if I'm starving but my crop will be ready in a week, Meritxell says, and I want to borrow some food from someone else for a week.

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This added complexity seems well within the reach of dath ilani.  Sure.  Now we're done though.

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Two farmers have a dispute, Tonia says. One says the other promised to pay for work; the other says that the work was shoddy and the agreement was to only pay if the work was good.

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Sounds pretty sad.  Guess they won't be bargaining again next time.

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That works in a small village but Tonia thinks it won't work if they have too many people for everyone to know everyone else's reputation.

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People should stay to small villages and farm until they have enough food, then.

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Yep, Tonia thinks that's probably just correct about Golarion humans. But maybe the dath ilani will be willing to add a ton of complexity in order to get to not live in villages.

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Adding tons of complexity right away sounds like a bad idea!  What's the next chunk of complexity that enables somebody to solve a problem that current small villages cannot?

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Well, can two villagers combine their plots and be understood to have shared rights to the plot that results. Can villagers exchange their plots for food.

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What customer problems are these new features intended to solve?  We should make sure the customer has an exciting important problem to which some feature is the simplest solution, before we spend a lot of time implementing, testing, and debugging that feature in our next-gen village design.

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Well, combining two plots smooths out your variance in harvests which is good because having insufficient food is more bad than having too much food is good, and one other person is few enough for social enforcement against slacking to mostly work and for people to mostly get the benefits of their labor. And selling your plot for food is something you might do if you were imminently starving because better to be in a bad situation later than right this minute.

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Keltham supposes he's starting to see a bunch of value that could be unlocked by this system, in which, to write down some of the rules so far:

- Food can be tagged with a 'socially-constructed' imaginary arrow that points to a particular person, let's call them the 'owner'.  There's a socially respected rule (not a physical law) saying that only the 'owner' of food can eat it.

This rule of itself isn't obviously very useful on the face of it - if food just came out of nowhere, a rule like this would just prevent hungry people from eating food that's nearby?  Or at least, nobody else has explained yet why you'd want 'socially_constructed-ownership_tags' for food if it just came out of nowhere?

However, this rule becomes (visibly) useful when combined with a new one:

- Land can be tagged with a socially constructed imaginary 'pointer' to an owner.  There's a socially respected rule saying that all food which grows from that land then gets tagged with the same owner, and those food-tags are then respected as above.

This incentivizes people to invest increasing amounts of effort into farming their land, since they get more food and more reliable food in proportion to putting in more effort.  This seems probably more efficient than having a whole group guarding a lot of land and then also expending effort on monitoring how much effort all those people are putting into farming, monitoring the monitors, trying to have an incentive system that encourages the right amount of farming, etcetera.  Though obviously this whole tagging system is also going to have social costs?

Still, it's plausible the tagging system is more efficient.  It has a compact local physical relationship between how much people work and how much they eat, instead of a complicated socially-constructed one involving lots of monitoring and people with power over other people who might go corrupt.

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Now some new rules are being proposed which seem to say things like:

- People who tag land or food can, as a voluntary action, taken under particular circumstances, announce that the 'pointer' should change to point to somebody else instead.
- You can announce today that some of the food your land produces later will, when it appears, get tagged with a 'pointer' to somebody else instead.
- There's a social construct whereby multiple 'atomic' actions and conditions of this kind can be packaged together into a single bound 'molecule' (he's using the same words as in chemistry) that only gets socially respected as a single piece after everybody involved has made the necessary announcements.  You can 'trade' a lot of food for a bit of land, but not in a way where you announce that the food-tag points to somebody else now, and then they can say haha and refuse to announce the change on their land-tag.  You say 'Change the ownership pointer on this food to them and that land to me' and the other says 'Change the ownership pointer on this land to them and that food to me' and the joint declaration only gets socially respected after all tagged parties have announced the same molecule-arrangement of the same 'atomic' actions.

The Taldane word for this would probably be contract, or something like that.  There's a single-syllable word 'contract' in Baseline but the more technical term would be 'multi-signature transaction'.

These new rules unlock potential actions like 'trade some of your land's future food for food you can eat right now' - as might be a good thing, if something went wrong with this year's labor, as sometimes happens.

Though, you know, you could also see how that sort of thing could potentially go wrong?  Especially if any of the people involved were reasoning less than perfectly?  Still, let's ignore that part for now and plunge ahead.

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As of the most recent suggestions, somebody was proposing that two pieces of land could be owned by two people.  Keltham's not sure he could back them on this idea?  This sounds fraught.  If food has a tag pointing at two people, who gets to eat the food if the two of them disagree about who should eat it?  Do both of them have to agree on who eats the food, and announce that socially using multiple signatures, before it can be eaten?  If people end up in angry lasting disagreements, does the food rot?  That seems like a waste.

Keltham thinks the system should say that any socially constructed tag points to one place.

But you could, maybe, allow people to announce a 'multi-signature transaction' whereby the tags shift to point to a new social construct that isn't a person, and instead can be a complicated imaginary construct like FairBot or PrudentBot.  This new construct could say, for example, that both of the announcers will now own 'shares' in the land, and the food produced by the land will be tagged to the people who own the shares, in proportion to how many shares they own; and that these shares themselves now have ownership-tags and those tags can be moved around in 'multi-signature transactions'.

This new persistent complicated imaginary construct, to actually be socially effective, would have to be something that all the people who are supposed to respect the tags and the 'multi-signature transactions', would be able to understand.  If somebody can't understand what the new complicated imaginary social construct does, they can't figure out who's socially allowed to eat the food.  There's obviously going to have to be a socially constructed 'specification-language' for imaginary constructs like these, and some 'persistent contracts' in the 'specification-language' could potentially fail to 'validate', because they don't fulfill all the conditions that society demands from a contract.

For instance, if you try to announce a complicated contract where, under some circumstances, food ends up with no ownership tag and nobody is allowed to eat it and it rots, the people around might tell you that your contract fails to 'validate' and that they won't respect this contract even if it's announced.  They might then, if they feel like being helpful, suggest a 'debugged' version of your contract in which all the food always ends up with a well-formed ownership 'pointer', and say that they'd respect that contract instead.

Any farmer who tries to announce a contract in which they trade a cherry to themselves and end up owning all the food in existence, would similarly be told by other farmers that their contract fails to 'validate', because they haven't fulfilled the condition - in this whole imaginary system that everybody is maintaining inside their own imaginations - that you need 'signatures' from all the parties in a 'molecular transaction' who are currently deemed to own anything whose tag gets shifted around in the 'transaction'.

Likewise if you said that the food produced by land gets owned in proportion to how much work two people put into it, society would tell you that your contract doesn't 'validate' because society can't directly observe how much work was put in.  Society needs all the terms in a contract to be 'evaluable' by society in order for the contract to validate; any fact referred to inside an 'expression' needs to be one that society can observe, cheaply, by the time society needs to 'evaluate' the 'expression'.

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(To be clear, Civilization doesn't literally think that contract specification languages were invented by farmers immediately after they invented ownership as a social construct - it's widely suspected that this wouldn't have occurred until hundreds of years later, after people got in some practice with simpler systems.  This would, however, probably have been the first use-case for the explicit idea of a programming language, invented thousands of years before anyone could build an actual computer.)

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"That's not how actual farmers do things here, just so we're clear," says Tonia faintly.

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Yeah, the Intelligence 10 thing is having really weird effects on their society.  His students are now being exposed to the sort of thinking that happens in a world where they’re normal average people instead of smart people.

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How does this hypothetical society handle contract disputes or contract breaking.

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Well, there's presumably something you have to do if an individual 'defector' from society goes around eating other people's food?  Even a tiny fraction of people like that can do a lot of damage, and of course, you'll have even more of them if you don't build any way of stopping them.  There's probably some kind of 'police investigator' whose job it is to hunt down food thieves, and then that person has to eat...

Well, they probably get a small fraction of food from a lot of farms?  And the 'police' don't protect any farms that don't contribute those little bits of food?  And thieves target those farms and only those farms that don't have police investigators.

If you need that mechanism anyways, the 'police' then have to decide what is thievery in the first place, and keep track of where the tags go.  So probably the 'police' would be the main ones where you'd want them to tell you that the contracts 'validate'.  Though, obviously, you'd also want the other people in your society to agree on not coming over and taking your food.  You wouldn't want any contracts which were complicated to the point where other members in society couldn't figure out that they shouldn't eat your food.

The notion of a contract breaking is a weird one?  For a contract to 'validate', the police should always be able to figure out what to do in any case of observable terms.  The contract might say that, if somebody doesn't do some deed - or rather, something the police can observe about that, like some contracted observer saying that somebody didn't do a deed - some land or food they own, then belongs to somebody else?  And the person who didn't do the deed, might lose reputation about that?  But contracts shouldn't 'break' so much as describe what happens in unpleasant contingencies as seen from a police perspective.

If the police can't figure out what a contract means - if there's a 'dispute' the contract doesn't imply how to resolve - then they need to do more careful validation next time!  But, sure, you could have some sufficiently respected group of five people, whose majority would decide what would happen in the hopefully very rare cases of contracts that validated and shouldn't have.

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And if the police is corrupt everyone who is paying them, since they're doing that voluntarily, can just start paying someone else instead?

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As long as they can collectively outfight the Hypothetical Corrupted Governance Military, yes.

This is easy while everyone's a farmer.  The police outfight individual thieves, all the farmers together win against the police.

If all this social complexity enables you to build more powerful weapons, and the police have those weapons, and nobody else has those weapons, then there is perhaps a bit of a problem.

If you count the rehearsal festivals for it, Civilization spends more on making sure Civilization can collectively outfight the Hypothetical Corrupted Governance Military, than Civilization spends on its actual military.  And even then there's some real and awful questions about whether, for example, the military plus the Keepers could take the rest of Civilization.

There's an order of Meta-Keepers whose job is specifically just 'keep an eye on the Keepers', and in real life that's probably worth anything.  The Keepers hopefully can't win against all the rest of Civilization plus its usual military; and the usual military is in fact specifically designed to resist Hypothetical Corrupted Keepers.  One similarly tries to make it hard for the Keepers collectively and the Military collectively to trust each other in a pact to take over together, especially when they were already betraying their oaths to Civilization.

It's hard to have a really simple reason why Governance couldn't possibly go corrupt, once your weaponry reaches the level of 'giant flaming craters'.  Civilization has thrown complicated solutions at this because they don't have simple solutions, and nobody is happy about that.  But 'just don't build overly powerful weapons' isn’t an answer, because how do you stop rogue groups from building those, possibly in secret, if there's such a prize to be won by being the only group with overly powerful weapons?

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What is Keltham's estimate of the probability Governance secretly was corrupt, Meritxell asks.

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Which failure mode?  What counts as “corrupt”?  There was probably at least one person somewhere in Governance who was corrupt?

The whole thing being secretly full of, Keltham doesn’t know, people getting paid much more than their theoretical salaries with secret mansions full of full-time sex workers?  That seems legit unlikely?

Keltham once tried to do his own totally separate checks on what Civilization could be hiding in the ways of massive secret projects.  It looked to him like at most 2% of the economy was being hidden off-the-books… at least in ways that didn’t require a really massive conspiracy with tons and tons of data being falsified and lots of people outside of Governance being in on it?  Which would be a lot easier for them if they actually had a good reason?

Keltham doesn’t know, here, the parts of Civilization he got to see were pretty nice to him!  Especially by Golarion standards!  He supposes he’d be ticked to find out that actually half the female population was masochists, but he was prevented from finding out that he was a sadist in order to leave more masochists for people in on the Conspiracy?

It seems legit hard to hide a massive Government Conspiracy in dath ilan, unless there's a good reason that gets the Keepers and lots of civilians who’d notice an anomaly in their section to go along with that?

Keltham is really having a hard time evaluating this probability!  If they’re hiding mansions they’re good at that!  It leaves him mainly with ‘priors’, plus his guess that a Dark Conspiracy doesn’t train people to think nonconformingly and be ready to defeat the Hypothetical Corrupted Governance Military.

Maybe 2%???

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To Chelish ears that sounds kind of outrageously low.

 

Though it's hard to argue that dark conspiracies don't usually encourage you to think nonconformingly and be ready to defeat the government militarily.

 

 

"If there were a conspiracy," says Gregoria, "with the sort of people that exist in Golarion, it wouldn't be to divvy up all the actually-plentiful masochists unfairly and have mansions with full-time sex workers."

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Keltham is sincerely confused about what the point of the Dark Dath Conspiracy would be!  Does Golarion wish to enlighten him?

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"It would be to just have painful sex with people who don't like it, since there aren't any masochists," says Gregoria flatly. "And to not pay them, because why would you pay them. And to frame people who offended you for crimes, and to murder people and make it look like an accident. I don't think there's a Conspiracy in Cheliax but if there is, Her Infernal Majestrix is not hoarding masochists."

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Obviously Abrogail isn't hoarding masochists!  There are masochists right here!  Not being hoarded!  They are, allegedly, plentiful enough here that nobody would need to hoard them!

And what is the actual point of this Dark Conspiracy?  Keltham can imagine that there are some 'criminal-sociopaths' in Governance with sexualities not quite like his, who can get off on inflicting pain on somebody who isn't responding sexually to that and to whom it doesn't mean anything emotionally except as something to hate.  He can imagine that if some dark group of dark conspirators had managed to secretly take over dath ilan anyways, the criminal-sociopath-sadists among them would be having sex with nonmasochists so long as they were at it.  He's not seeing that being the whole point of the Conspiracy.

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"I think mostly people want power for - its own sake? For the sake of being able to do whatever they want? Because they did one murder and were already going to be frozen if they got caught so why not do anything at all to avoid getting caught?"

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Keltham is following you on the part where somebody who did one true-murder and will be suspended if caught, would prefer to become sole ruler over the world, in preference to being caught and frozen.  The part where there are enough people like this, successfully and stably cooperating with each other while defecting against the rest of Civilization, that they can take over the Government and the Keepers -

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Look, Keltham was raised in a way where, if one single member of the Hypothetical Conspiracy had managed to broadcast to the rest of Civilization the whole truth about the Conspiracy's grimdark misdeeds, and told everyone where to look for evidence and proof, and then demanded a billion gold pieces in exchange for that, plus that the next few attractive true-murderers of the appropriate sex be turned over to them for sadistic purposes, as would be less than one ten-thousandth the number of victims under the previous regime, etcetera, the obvious thing to do would have been to pay them after overthrowing the Conspiracy.

There is very plausibly a non-Dark Conspiracy using 2% of Civilization's resources on something important and terribly secret.  You can tell this because Keltham has - in fact, now that he reflects on it - been brought up in a way that would make him feel like this is the obviously right and proper thing to do, if you have some important thing to be running a non-Dark Conspiracy about; and everybody would owe the Keepers and upper Governance gratitude for having taken on this secret duty.

If there was a Dark Conspiracy, Keltham should have been raised much more on a diet of messages about how, in Hypothetical Dark Conspiracy Dath Ilans, if you try to blow the whistle on them instead of joining them for scraps at the table, they will inevitably catch you and turn you over to their sadists to be made use of, and then tossed to the true death when they're done with you.

And not raised, as Keltham actually was raised, on a steady diet of fictional messages about how, in a world like that, you need to keep the secret and organize with your friends and overthrow the Dark Conspiracy.

Nor should he possess the decision theory about how to coordinate counter-conspiracies like that, how to wait for an obvious beacon-time to naturally occur, like a solar eclipse or something, and have 10% of the population shout "NOW!" followed by the other 90% shouting "NOW!" and suddenly turning on their hypothetical Dark Overlords.

The Dark Conspiracy that supposedly rules dath ilan is really impressively faking the part where the ordinary people like Keltham are being brought up in a way that makes the Dark Conspiracy's life more difficult and dangerous.  If they're trying to countersignal to Keltham how Ordinary they are using costly signals, that plot really-ass succeeded.  Keltham wouldn't do that if he were the Dark Conspiracy.

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...probably the Dark Conspiracy pretends to be the non-Dark Conspiracy using 2% of Civilization's resources on something important and terribly secret, if there's room for one of those? 

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They're really really not doing it the way Keltham would do it, even taking into account that they could be trying to fool him about that.

Dath ilani kids get their parents fooling them about certain things for years, until the kids figure it out on their own, despite the actual coordinated Conspiracy of adults trying to fool children about those things, with the purpose specifically of training dath ilani children to break out of false realities.

If nobody had ever done that to Keltham, he really wouldn't have jumped up and said, aha! Civilization clearly ought to be elaborately training children to break out of false realities and isn't! this must be the work of a Dark Conspiracy!

It's not something a Dark Conspiracy would be wise to do even taking into account that this is exactly what they'd like you to believe.

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(It is at this point that Asmodia truly and properly appreciates how much Pharasma must personally hate her and her life.)

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Sure, Gregoria finds that pretty convincing. She really only strongly objected to Keltham's lack of imagination about what Conspiracies do when they exist; it sounds like he has pretty good reason to think they don't. 

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Well, to be fair, Civilization does not have records about really serious large-scale Conspiracies, and if Golarion does, it is very possible that Keltham needs to be educated about this!  This is more than usually likely to be a point where Golarion has something to teach the silly naive dath ilani!

For that matter, if Civilization actually is run by a Dark Conspiracy, Keltham plausibly would have been raised with huge obvious blind spots about it that somebody from Golarion could see through.  It's a great place to probe Keltham hard and try to catch him out in some blatant error he apparently isn't realizing for some odd reason.

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- they will totally take that as a challenge.

 

No blatant errors yet, though.

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So this whole question, Keltham admits, is not something he has actually given much thought before.  There is of course no standard rationale you're told in Civilization for why the Keepers and Governance couldn't possibly be corrupt.  That would be ridiculous in the light of elementary Security reasoning: obviously, if you're inside a Dark Conspiracy, any standard rationale like that you get, will be corrupt.  Any dath ilani who wants to reason this out should do that on their own or with a few personally-known trusted friends, obviously.  Probably even a Dark Conspiracy wouldn't think it could get away with having standard social beliefs and arguments about how they couldn't possibly be ruling society from the shadows; individuals would be smart enough to reinvent the incredibly simple argument from 'security-mindset' about how no such standard arguments should exist, and that actually would be a giveaway.

It's an unduly fascinating question, which Keltham should really extract himself from, and get back to his original intended lecture topic, which was the forms of Governance.

He's totally not going to do that and will go on talking about this anyways.

So!  On a few moments' 'first-reflection', it seems to Keltham that estimating the probability of Civilization being run by a Dark Conspiracy boils down to (1) the question of whether Civilization's apparently huge efforts to build anti-Dark-Conspiracy citizens constitute sincere work that makes the Dark Conspiracy's life harder, or fake work designed to only look like that; and (2) the prior probability that the Keepers and Governance would have arrived on the scene already corrupted, during the last major reorganization of Civilization a few decades ago.  Keltham basically doesn't think it's possible for criminal-sociopaths to take over Keepers and Governance that start out actually functioning the way they currently claim to function, nor for criminal Conspirators to successfully conceal a major Conspiracy from a functional society not run in toto by that Conspiracy.

With respect to point (1), Keltham would first like to observe that a tyranny like this - he uses the Taldane term 'tyranny', it's shorter and feels like it has more of the right connotations than the nearest Baseline term - doesn't seem like it could most effectively secure its power by electing to construct a veneer of Civilization and hiding behind that?  Where that veneer involves raising the non-Conspiracy kids knowing enough Law that they won't submit to threats, want to overthrow Conspiracies, and know mathematical protocols they can personally verify that sure seem apparently useful for overthrowing Conspiracies?

A more sensible tyranny should try to have a population of technically literate but obedient order-followers, frightened of retribution, knowing how to do chemistry but not knowing the Law of 'decision-theory' whereby they could try to coordinate with each other or that would make it obvious they should ignore 'threats'.  Law-knowers who start out in a world of threatenable people, which makes it be not a 'threat' but only the ordinary optimal strategy for the Tyranny to kill any Law-knowers, will find it obvious that they should conceal their knowledge and wait for opportunities to strike.  But Civilization is a whole society of Law-knowers, and those will find it obvious that they should all coordinate in shouting 'NOW!' and ignore threats past that point.

This seems, to Keltham, like not the optimal way to arrange a tyranny that wants to hold power and exercise as much power as possible?  Such a tyranny should restrict knowledge of Law to a tiny clique of the smartest people who are allowed to know how the Law of Coordination works.  It should run heredity-optimization at a level where it's not trying to make the average people as smart as an average dath ilani, so people aren't smart enough to correctly rebuild broken decision theories that their society educated them with.  The median dath ilani on the current system probably is smart enough to do that, reinvent the basic results of correct decision theory if maybe not all the math, even if the rest of society is telling them to use a broken decision theory instead.  So maybe more like Intelligence 14 than Intelligence 16-17?  Then the tyrants form a separate breeding group with heredity-optimization for much higher 'thinkoomph', the equivalent of wizards-with-headbands compared to Intelligence 10 people.

This, obviously, is not what Civilization looks like!  Keltham can observe that just from direct introspection on how smart he is!  And how much stuff he knows!

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(Is that what the successful ilani Cheliax will look like? She doesn't actually like it, but that might be a personal deficit, a lack of appreciation for tyranny where it comes from limiting what people have the chance to learn and realize. She is pretty sure that the kind of tyranny that suits her personally is the kind where everyone gets a decent education and can then rise as far as their strength will take them, landing in the place they deserve. But she can see how that would be much harder to actually implement than keeping most people confused and ignorant. But surely if you were a dath ilani tyrant, with all their resources, you could do the thing you actually preferred most...)

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Suppose that Keltham is wrong about his point 1.  Suppose that the optimal strategy for a tyranny in full control, is indeed for some reason to hide behind a veneer of Civilization full of costly signals of non-Conspiracy and disobedient people like Keltham.  Under this assumption, the optimal strategy for a Dark Conspiracy looks like what you think Civilization is supposed to look like, and therefore the two cases are not distinguishable by observation.

Then we have to consider the prior before evidence, which means, considering the question of how you'd end up with a Dark Conspiracy in charge in the first place, and how likely those scenarios look compared to Governance Uncorrupted.

To Keltham it looks pretty impossible for an existing, well-functioning structure of Keepers and Governance to be taken over by infiltrating criminals.  Because, like, the Keepers and Governance have considered that.  Some people out there are having so much fun making sure that no small group of criminals can take over the Keepers and Governance.  It would take unshared magic and mind-control and even then Keltham isn't sure it could work, they game things like that, they wouldn't be unprepared.  There will be cutouts and warning signs and hidden counter-conspiratorial groups.  One of the Alien Invasion Rehearsal Festivals had the aliens taking over every 'network-connected' 'computer' in Civilization simultaneously.  Governance runs prep like that but more of it.

So - plowing ahead quickly on this reasoning and thinking things through out loud - it seems to Keltham that the main way you get Corrupted Keepers and Governance, is not by criminals successfully infiltrating and taking over some earlier system that looked a lot like Uncorrupted Keepers and Governance.  There must be some Corrupted earlier system that is run by criminals in toto, and which then - hypothetically - builds a more sophisticated system of Corrupted Keepers and Governance, to even more strongly hold power while looking even more to the rest of Civilization like it's totally not that.

At this point Keltham wants to deploy some sort of inductive argument from people doing, like, the obvious stuff they ought to do at every historical point along the way?  A high-functioning society that isn't corrupt to start with will have some well-calibrated estimate of how much its pre-Governance can be trusted, how robust they are to various kinds of criminal infiltration?  If a government looks like something that it's possible for clever criminals to take over, you won't give that government the sort of powers that criminals could use to entrench themselves, obviously.

Golarion has these kinds of problems because Golarion has wizards and clerics.  Because one thousand people are most of a country's combat potential.  Criminals rule in Golarion because ordinary people can't stop them, not because ordinary people could've totally stopped them but decided not to for some reason.  You shouldn't expect to see the same phenomenon in a nonmagical world.

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It doesn't seem very obvious that without magic weapons technology turns out such that ordinary people could stop any government they didn't like. And, well, usually when people try that it's not that they fail so much as that decades of bloodshed ensue.

 

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Okay, but, to be blunt here, point the first, have they tried that literally without magic in a world where magic has never existed to give rise in the first place to horrible governments where a few people are in charge of everybody else, because why would nonmagical people ever do that in the first place?

Point the second, Keltham doesn't know how Golarion ended up with average Intelligence 10 - that one seventh-circle wizard Keltham talked to at the Worldwound thought it might have something to do with Earthfall - but maybe at Intelligence 10 people actually are stupid enough to put a few people in charge of everyone else and then too stupid to ever manage to get together and come up with Something Else Which Is Not That.

However at average Intelligence 14 - or whatever it was before dath ilan's nascent pre-Civilization figured out 'natural selection' and 'heredity-optimization' and started deliberately increasing 'thinkoomph' further - you can probably invent and run 'policy prediction-markets'.  Maybe just a few of them, without 'computers' to do lots of calculations in a golem-like fashion, but some.  And then the 'policy prediction-markets' can tell you which actions will have which consequences when it comes to trying a different government system or different strategies for forming one.

Frankly it does not seem to Keltham that you should need 'policy prediction-markets' to avoid decades of bloodshed ensuing, especially if it has happened more than once, you should be able to have everyone get together and decide to do Something Else Which Is Not That.  But with 'policy prediction-markets' you can definitely do it; anybody who makes an incorrect prediction about how to form a new government will lose money.

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This really seems too optimistic but they admittedly haven't lived in a world that would try it.

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"That 'policy prediction-market' business sounds kind of important actually?  Can you possibly say how those work?"

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Shouldn't take long!  Keltham would have needed to explain those to explain Governance anyways!

A prediction market is when lots of people bet on something observable, instead of it being a bet between just two people.  Let's say that a prediction share pays out 1 gold (100 copper) if it rains at any time tomorrow, or pays out 0 copper otherwise.  Then Alis can say 'I'll sell up to 1000 shares of Rain Tomorrow for 60 copper each' if she thinks the probability of rain tomorrow is noticeably under 60%, and Bahb can wander up and say 'Sure I'll buy 500 of those at 60' if he thinks the probability of rain tomorrow is noticeably over 60%; and then if some clouds show up at evening today, Karal says, 'I'll buy your 500 shares at 75', and Bahb thinks that 75 sounds around right to him, so he sells his shares to Karal and pockets a 15-copper profit per share.

Blah blah market-makers hang around and sell or buy based on technical market trends about what the public information looks like, instead of on the basis of having private information, so people can buy into the prediction markets at only very slight premiums, even if nobody else has private information right then.

Blah blah you can subsidize a market by saying you're willing to buy or sell at your starting estimate of 60% or whatever, and then anybody who disagrees with you about that in either direction will wander up and buy or sell from you.

Blah blah this is a very simple automatic market-making algorithm if somebody wants to subsidize a market continuously and isn't worried about losing a bunch of copper whenever it rains out.

Blah blah you can ask a bunch of separate questions for 'what's the chance X happens if we do this, or this, or this'.  You only end up doing one thing Y; the market on 'does X happen if we do Y?' pays out 1 gold if X happens; all other markets are negated and everybody gets back their original investment (as it was kept in some standard store of value like equity in a huge basket of well-known corporations).  

Civilization aggregates votes into Delegates then Electors then Representatives then Legislators.  Legislators negotiate among themselves about what Civilization wants to have happen.  They debate arguments from Very Serious People about which observables to measure to get at unobservable outcomes.  The actual step of predicting which policies yield which observables is done by a policy prediction-market.  Then, usually, the Legislators do whatever's predicted with the highest probability to lead to observables that seem like they should strongly tie to a good actual outcome.

Unless the 'best' policy according to the market looks like it'll have bad effects for which nobody has figured out how to predict observable correlates.  Which, like, does ever happen, but causes a lot of Very Serious People to start shrieking angrily at the Legislators and each other about 'civilizational inadequacy'.

A few years or sometimes decades later, the observables come in, and the prediction market on the action actually taken pays out.

The point being, it's not the job of Civilization's leaders to foresee the future.  Answering 'What happens if we do this?' is the job of all of Civilization, including whoever's currently closest to being like Nemamel.  Answering 'But what results do we even want, really?' is more the job of the top level of Governance.

Incidentally, if there was actually a Dark Conspiracy in dath ilan, they'd have to be messing with the prediction-market results in order to make sure their own preferred actions got taken - presumably by making all the other actions not taken look worse, rather than having the taken action look better, so that people didn't notice the actual actions taken were resulting in systematically off predictions - so basically all the major market-makers in prediction markets and all the home traders would have to be in on the Conspiracy, since otherwise, they'd notice something off about the market movements they were obsessively watching all day.

Once Project Lawful gets to the point where anybody besides Keltham knows anything about Prestidigitation-chemistry and spellsilver mining, and once they've got more experiments they're considering trying than they have the resources to try, Project Lawful will obviously set up and subsidize an internal prediction market on which chemistry experiments will pan out.

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Asmodia asked LITERALLY YESTERDAY how to aggregate lots of people's different predictions for 'who will Keltham try dating next' into a single estimate and was FOBBED OFF with some simplistic rules about writing down a series of estimates on a sheet of paper tacked onto a wall!

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Kids usually do start with that before they buy into prediction markets -

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Asmodia is not a KID she is a SECOND-CIRCLE WIZARD with 18 INTELLIGENCE and a +6 WISDOM HEADBAND who was headed for the WORLDWOUND and starting THIS EVENING she is going to run an ACTUAL FUCKING PREDICTION MARKET about who Keltham tries dating next so that Project Lawful has ANY EXPERIENCE with doing this CORRECTLY before they have to use prediction markets to decide between EXPENSIVE SPELLSILVER MINING EXPERIMENTS.

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...okay.

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Asmodia, is alter Asmodia this invested in this?

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"...uh, sorry."

 

(If alterAsmodia wasn't this invested before, she is now.  Well, alterAsmodia having visible, uh, Tendencies about Things was going to happen somehow.)

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Apology accepted!  It's fine to care about things.

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Now, to return to the more somber topic:

There's a loophole in the logic saying that, in nonmagical societies, the rest of the world can outfight the world's military.

'Economically_scalable-weapons.'  The class of weaponry where you can just go on spending more money if you want the weapons to be even more destructive.

Once those kinds of weapons are invented, a handful of people could, in principle, cow all the rest, if those other people submitted to threats.

The last time Civilization underwent a major reorganization, a few decades ago, it was being reorganized out of something that already had scalable weapons, since there's no record since then of scalable weapons having been discovered for the first time.  You could imagine that this reorganization was a cover for a Dark Conspiracy that already ruled everything, to set up Keepers and Governance that it controlled, and then it hid away all the history books suggesting that things had ever been different...

...And then, apparently, taught everybody not to submit to threats, once they were hiding?  This, by assumption, apparently, is totally the best course of action for them to hold on to power?  They should build a fake Civilization and hide behind that?  Great idea!  The best idea!  Even the smartest Dark Conspiracy can't think of any better ones!

But again one must ask, how did this Dark Conspiracy arise in the first place?  How likely is the most likely historical pathway for that, compared to historical pathways that lead to Governance Uncorrupted?  By the time a society is able to build complicated expensive powerful nonmagical weapons that a handful of people could use to outfight the rest, this society should have had, decades earlier, centuries earlier, far more than enough mathematical sophistication to run a 'paper-cryptographic_protocol'...

That probably didn't translate.

And Keltham should probably try to describe in any case some of the actual countermeasures that Civilization is known to have in its arsenal against Dark Conspiracies.

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So!  A few decades ago - if the history books Keltham has read are not all fake - Governance, in whatever form it existed in that time, said that it needed to do something incredibly suspicious-looking and not explain why.  Whatever Civilization then existed said, roughly, 'okay, fine, but we're going to go to some extreme lengths to try to make sure you can't benefit from doing that for bad reasons'.  The entire current Government got fired and barred from politics permanently.  Then literally everyone old enough to do correct extended arithmetic, participated in the equivalent of an enormous public coinspin, using calculations carried out by hand on paper and transmitted from person to person by in-person handoff, carrying out a mathematical process whose mathematical properties any adult could verify.  No machines were used, no instant-communication devices, because you couldn't trust the machine-makers to not be in the Dark Conspiracy, any such machines would be a single vulnerable point for the Dark Conspiracy to attack.

This algorithm selected new random leaders from among everybody who wanted to be eligible for the new project in charge of rebooting Governance from scratch.  Any nonrandom or popularity-based election process might be something a pre-existing Conspiracy could get control of and exploit - not by faking the results, but by steering people to vote for Conspiracy candidates.

In a 'paper-cryptographic_protocol' like that, you and your trusted friends could theoretically be inside a bubble-surface formed of all of your friends' friends who are all in the Conspiracy and working together to fake all of your inputs and discard all of your outputs.  But from most people's perspective this should be unlikely; the Conspiracy would need to include all of your friends that you randomly selected, or all of your randomly selected friends would need to have all of their randomly-selected friends in the Conspiracy.

You can basically prove, using a protocol like this, that the only way for the Conspiracy to fake your results selecting the interim political leadership, is if you and all of your friends are inside an enclosed bubble that the Conspiracy runs.  And this is possible but not likely.

The only technology you need to run this process is paper, ink, writing, and math that 95% of dath ilani adults can understand.

A society should be able to do that long before it can build really powerful nonmagical weapons of the sort that a few people could use to threaten the rest of the world into submission, even in a Golarion-like world of people who submitted to threats.

So - when weapons like that are invented - a nonmagical society should already have a trustworthy Government in place to handle the possibilities implied by those weapons.  If they're not already very sure their Government isn't a Dark Conspiracy, they can reboot the government using a 'paper-cryptographic_protocol' before they let the government build any weapons like that.

And before scalable weapons are invented, the nonmagical citizens can directly outfight a nonmagical military, just by outnumbering it, because the military can't just use bigger and bigger weapons to fight back.

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Keltham realizes they've grown up in Golarion where governments are terrible, but this is a phenomenon produced by the existence and misuse of magic that hugely concentrates military power into a few people, not something you should expect to see in nonmagical worlds like Keltham's.

Why would a nonmagical world put up with being openly ruled by grimdark criminal-sociopaths, if they could collectively outfight their rulers?

And if a nonmagical world couldn't arrive at justified confidence of its Governance not being a giant hidden Dark Conspiracy, why wouldn't it just reboot its Governance using randomly selected volunteers and a 'paper-cryptographic_protocol'?

This argument seems like it should be valid at every historical point up to the invention of scalable weapons.  And obviously you would, at that point, reboot Governance just to be sure!

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Keltham does admit that the main hole in this entire argument is sort of obviously the Keepers, who can't clearly be rebooted in the same way as Governance, because you can't just appoint random people to be able to do the sort of things that Keepers do.  At least in theory Keepers aren't allowed live weapons, except under direct Government supervision checked by randomized volunteers, because, like, super obvious precautions yo.  But the Keepers have talk-control, and maybe the Meta-Keepers aren't being honest about training Governance upper echelons to resist talk-control.  If that's true, it's not something you can fix by rebooting Governance.

So, yeah, if Keltham's world is run by a secret Dark Conspiracy it's sort of obviously the Keepers, and they're doing it by repeatedly talk-controlling all the new leaders who get delegated.

Call it 2%.

Because if they were actually doing that, they wouldn't just WARN PEOPLE that talk-control was a THING.

YES even taking into account that maybe that's exactly what they want you to think.  They still wouldn't just TELL YOU.  It's like how, if the Chelish Dark Conspiracy orchestrated the whole weird thing with Asmodia to try to scare Keltham out of ever asking to try on an artifact headband, they would actually just not tell Keltham about intelligence headbands being a thing in the first place.

In the dath ilan being run by Hypothetical Corrupted Keepers, the rest of the world wouldn't know that Law was a thing.  It would be run by a secret elite of Law-users.  Everybody else would just, like, not know any math.  Or only know about math as something you could use for engineering bridges, and not know that some kinds of math could be used to organize your thoughts better.  Or if they did have any concept of Law, they'd be introduced only to some corrupted version of decision theory which claimed that the Lawful thing to do was give in to threats and accept offers of 1 copper piece in the Ultimatum Game and not bother to vote in elections.  And preprogrammed with some sort of canned reply to anybody who presented them with better decision theory, about how getting higher payoffs in dilemmas was like totally not what decision theory was really about, and only selecting particular decisions a particular way was truly Lawful even if agents like that systematically and predictably-in-advance got lower payoffs... okay, maybe this part isn't so plausible as a consistent world.

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"Talk-control could work better on people who know Keepers can do talk-control, somehow."

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"The Keepers could have some form of mind-control that isn't like the one they're showing you, working by a totally different method.  Like magic.  And what they're showing you is so that, if anybody else discovers the real magic of dath ilan, people say 'oh that must be talk-control' and alert a Keeper."

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"Or," Meritxell said, "there could be people in on the Conspiracy who'd be uncomfortable with hiding the entire concept of talk-control, but are willing to agree to various uses of it so long as they aren't lying about the fact Keepers can do that."

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"Or the talk control thing could have been publicized before the Conspiracy took hold."

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"It's definitely not that last one, the Keepers could just announce that knowing about talk-control had turned 'socially-infohazardous'* and have the knowledge not get passed down to the next generation."


(*)  Social-infohazard lit. 'exfohazard':  Information that conveys ordinary positive advantage to individuals who know it, but has net negative value to society because of how that knowledge affects people around them.  E.g., exact knowledge of how to construct scalable weaponry cheaply would be an ordinary advantage to an individual who knew it, but disadvantageous to everyone to have everyone know.  Strongly distinguished from the much weirder case of 'individual-infohazards', like spoilers for a movie you were eagerly anticipating and haven't watched yet.

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How can you describe THAT MUCH POWER and be sure no one is misusing it!!!!!! The upsetting thing is that for all she knows maybe dath ilani really are like that!!

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And if there are, per Meritxell, people within the Conspiracy who are only okay with talk-control being used for restricted purposes, so long as Civilization in general is told and warned about it existing... uh, that sounds exactly like how the Keepers are supposed to be?  Like, that's not even a hidden Non-Dark Conspiracy, that's... just what the Keepers are supposed to regularly do?  Hide dangerous knowledge and only use it for sufficiently important purposes?

Obviously there ought to be somebody whose job it is to do that!  Why would they need to hide in a sensible society that recognized the reason for their existence?  They could just go out in the open and be like 'yo we're the Keepers, anybody who would otherwise need to start a conspiracy to hide dangerous information for good reasons and only use it well and properly can just come to us instead, we'll handle it for you and probably give you a substantial reporting bonus'.  That's exactly what the Keepers are.  They're the Non-Dark Conspiracy.  A world only needs one of those; two of them would just get in each other's way.

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...right but if they're also doing some things Keltham wouldn't approve of, but that they think is acceptable, that'd look exactly like this, right.

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He's sure the Keepers are doing some things Keltham wouldn't approve of?  The question is whether they're knowingly doing things that Civilization in aggregate wouldn't approve of, or that practically nobody in Civilization at large would approve of, even if they knew everything else the Keepers knew and could reason as clearly as Keepers could.

And if the Keepers make a habit of doing that, and secretly run everything to cover that up, the rest of Civilization shouldn't be, like... teaching children how to coordinate against Dark Conspiracies and break out of false realities and fight the Hypothetical Corrupted Governance Military?

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Yeah, that does seem like a weird thing for them to do.

 

So, 2%. 

 

 

The chance that Cheliax has some kind of Dark Conspiracy going on is a lot higher than that, Gregoria says dryly.

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Ione and Carissa did have some persuasive arguments, though, about talk-control working better if people know it exists - that's already known to be true for a lesser case of talk-control called 'hypnosis', though that only works on very few people, which is sad because it's so fascinating and so useful for the few people who are 'hypnotizable' - or talk-control actually being a cover for some other form of magic.

Even taking that into account, though... basically Keltham's brain is reporting that it's not convinced here.  Dath ilan is too nice of a place to live, even for weird people like Keltham who disagree with it.  Civilization trains its children too thoroughly to be able to fight Dark Conspiracies and Hypothetical Corrupted Governance.  Maybe call it 2.5% instead of 2% pending consideration of some of the points raised here.

Cheliax obviously seems like it'd have some Dark Conspiracies.  Heck, dath ilan probably has some Dark Conspiracies.  The question is whether those Dark Conspiracies are running everything unbeknownst to Abrogail Thrune or Aspexia Rugatonn or Contessa Lrilatha.

...which would be a lot more likely if tropes, in fact.  So, good thing it's currently looking like no tropes.

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No tropes seems really great. ...does saying that bring down the tropes.

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Only if they exist.

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Anyways Keltham should get back to his lecture on Governance.

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Keltham was supposed to start by telling them all to use their presumably-Civilization-trained skill of 'perspective-taking-of-ignorance' to envision a hypothetical world where nothing resembling Coordination had started to happen yet.  Since, after all, you wouldn't want your thoughts about the best possible forms of Civilization to 'cognitively-anchor' on what already existed.

You can imagine starting in a world where all the same stuff and technology from present Civilization exists, since the question faced is what form of Governance is best-suited to a world like that one.  Alternatively, imagine an alternative form of the exercise involving people fresh-born into a fresh world where nothing has yet been built, and everybody's just wandering around over a grassy plain.

Either way, you should assume that everybody knows all about decision theory and cooperation-defection dilemmas.  The question being asked is not 'What form of Governance would we invent if we were stupid?'

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Civilization could then begin - maybe it wouldn't actually happen exactly that way, but it is nonetheless said as though in stories - Civilization could then begin again, when people envisioned running out of stored food a couple of years later.  Standing around all these beautiful complicated machines that people remembered how to operate, but required multiple people working together to operate, which nobody was yet incentivized to operate.

Or Civilization could begin for the first time, when the Hypothetical Newly-Created Educated People imagined trying to build shelters for themselves, or sow food-plants to grow; and thought to themselves that there would be less point in doing that, if others would just move into the shelters as soon as they walked away, or eat the crops that they had sown.

And people then would say to themselves, "What if we tried something else which is not that?"

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It begins with the idea of coordinating at all, co-operation, simultaneous action, that two people can work a machine that requires two people to operate.

It begins with the Hypothetical Newly-Created Educated People simultaneously hunting a large prey animal, a stag perhaps, that requires multiple hunters to bring it down relatively safely.

It begins with multiple individuals aggregating as if into a larger compound agent - a macroagent which can choose among all its available compound actions in the cross-product of the action space, instead of individuals choosing as if in isolation and expecting others to do the same.  There is then, of course, the problem of Lawfully dividing the gains, when the macro-agent dissolves back into individuals to individually consume those gains; but this is a matter of Law, and the people do remember Law.

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It continues into a new problem, the problem of motivating such socially-useful actions as 'producing food', for if nobody does this, soon nobody will eat.

You can imagine lesser solutions, collective farming of collectively guarded fields, monitors on hard work and rewards of food access.  But these are simultaneously too 'simplistic' and 'overcomplicated', the very opposite of an 'elegant-solution'.  People can work harder, invest more effort, for a usually 'monotonically-increasing' reward, a function operated directly by the Environment, by 'physical-law'.  There just needs to be some system whereby, when people work, they are themselves the ones to benefit from it.

But this requires a far more complicated form of coordinated action, something that 'bounded-agents'  lack the computational power to consider as a giant macroaction of their 'collective-agent'.  The optimal macrostrategy must be lossily projected down into simplified mental rules for individuals, a notion of imaginary-ownership-tagging: if one person sows food-plants within a field, and waters them and protects them, everybody around them will behave as if the resulting food-crop is tagged with an imaginary pointer to that person, saying that the food may be consumed by them alone.  Or only consumed by those others the food's 'owner' designates, at their own decision... that seems like it should obviously be an option built into the system too...

And once you create an imaginary structure of coordinated action that elegantly-complicated, the consequences and further-required-features inevitably explode; the explosion that results is Civilization's basic form nearly in toto.

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People could often benefit from other people doing various things for them, but they must of course do something for the other in exchange.  If things have socially-constructed tags pointing to people, who alone may use or consume those things, why not let people announce that the pointer now points to someone else?  That's one way of doing something in return, for somebody who did some task for you, that was easier for them than for you.

If fields can be owned and an owned field produces owned produce in the future, why not let people announce that some of the future produce can point to some other owner?

Often the announcements of changed imaginary ownership are meant to be traded, executed one in exchange for another.  Then a new version and feature-expansion of the system can eliminate the uncertainty about whether the other will announce their bargained ownership change, after you announce yours: imaginary contracts, that molecularize the atomic actions into a transaction that executes simultaneously on both sides, only after both sides announce the same contract.

Do people want to work on some larger endeavor - specialize in different aspects of farming, and collectively challenge a larger farm?  Let the tags, in the eyes of society, point to persistent imaginary constructs, specified in some contract specification language; a corporation is one such persistent contract.

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Let this system expand, let people use it enough, and there will predictably come a point where there aren't lots of untagged resources nearby for somebody to tag in society's eyes.

Once there are not plenty of new plots of land to tag and farm, people may indeed begin to ask, 'Why should this land be owned by them and not me?'

Because they did some work on that land?  If that's the rule, then won't people who foresee the predictable scarcity later, run around trying to plow small shallow furrows through every potential field within the reach of running, trying to tag as much land as pointing to themselves as possible?

And when all that land has been used up, wouldn't the people who were slower runners and didn't end up with any land - wouldn't new children born into this world, for that matter - ask themselves and perhaps ask out loud:

"If this elaborate imaginary social construct doesn't offer me any benefits for going along with the pretense - if the system says that little or nothing has an imaginary tag pointing to me - then in what sense is this even coordination, from my perspective?  Why would I cooperate in the coordinated rule of not eating things tagged as pointing to others, if the result is that there's nothing for me to eat?  Where's my fair share of the rewards for playing along with this pretend game, for cooperating with what this imaginary tagging system says is my part and my action in it?"

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This concept, incidentally, took some arguments to persuade into tiny Keltham, when he was first hearing about all this.  Tiny Keltham had a very strong instinctive sense that objects just were owned by people, and that what made a system fair and right was entirely that only the people who owned objects could do anything with them or transfer them to other people.

It was hard for tiny Keltham, at first, to see past his instinctive suspicion that people asking 'What's my reward for cooperating with this system?' were about to use that as an excuse to storm onto his hypothetical farm and eat his food that he'd worked to produce, and call that their share, without doing any work themselves.

Older children's attempted arguments about 'put yourself into that other person's shoes' repeatedly failed on Keltham, who kept replying that he wouldn't take anybody else's stuff period.

But tiny Keltham was eventually persuaded - by a Watcher, then, not by an older child - by the argument that it is an internally-consistent imaginary tagging system to say that some single person Elzbeth owns all the land in the world.  Everybody else has to work those lands and give Elzbeth a share of anything that grows there, since by default it would just end up tagged as hers, unless they agree to pay half their gains to her.

The question then becomes, why should anybody else except Elzbeth play along with this imaginary system, once it gets to that point?  Why shouldn't everyone who isn't Elzbeth, all just wake up out of this bad dream, and do something else which is not that?

Keltham asked if maybe the system had started out with everybody owning an equal amount of land, but Elzbeth had been a really clever asset-trader and ended up owning everything in the world after a series of voluntary transactions; in which case it seemed to him that fair was fair.

The Watcher told Keltham that, even if the last generation had gotten the world into that state through a series of voluntary transactions, the children born into it might look around and see that no land was tagged to them, that everything was tagged to Elzbeth.  They would ask what they were receiving in exchange for playing along with that particular delusion, and why they should not imagine some other tagging system instead, in which their coordinated action in playing along would actually receive any reciprocal benefit or reward.

And tiny Keltham growled and stomped around for a while, but finally conceded that, fine, the pointers were imaginary and yes it took more than just a consistent tagging system running on strictly voluntary transactions to make the whole thing be fair or right.  The elegant core structure was necessary-but-not-sufficient.

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The unimproved land, the raw resources, these things must be tagged with ownership for the owners to have an incentive to improve them.  It doesn't mean that this tagging need be considered as free to the new owner.

Discard the obvious-first-solution-that-is-wrong of charging somebody an amount of food or other worked goods, to tag previously untagged land, and redistributing those payments equally among everyone in the world.  Even leaving aside the question of how that system initially starts farming anything at all, it inevitably arrives at a point where there's no untagged land left or it's impossibly expensive.  Whereupon the next generation of children, being born with no land tagged to them and no payments for newly bought land coming in, will again begin to ask, "Why should I play along with this imaginary arrangement at all; where's my payoff for coordinating my action with yours?"

More sensible then to regard people as renting land and other raw-resource sources, at their unimproved price of course, but still an unimproved price set by competitive bidding - albeit perhaps for long-term leases, etcetera.

When you are born, you conceptually acquire a share in this whole system -

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Of course tiny Keltham immediately demanded his accumulated profits from his share of all the land-rents in the world, and demanded also to know why he had never been told about this before.

The Watcher again had to be brought in to explain to Keltham that, conceptually speaking, his share was mostly going into maintaining a lot of non-rival non-excludable goods, or services that Civilization thought should be provided to literally everyone even if in principle they weren't public goods.  The value of unimproved land wasn't as high as Keltham was imagining in the first place; dath ilan still had whole forests just lying around not being used for anything -

Tiny Keltham said that he had absolutely not consented for his share of the land rents to be used for non-rival non-excludable anything, and from now on he wanted it delivered to him in the form of actual money he could spend on what he wanted.

...could he please wait and listen to the whole story before getting angry? said the Watcher.

Tiny Keltham was incredibly suspicious, but he did already have a great deal of experience with adult craziness turning out to be more reasonable than he had at first thought.  Tiny Keltham agreed to go on listening for a while longer, then, before he started trying to persuade all the other children that they ought to band together and overthrow Civilization to get their fair share of the land rents, in the form of actual money, delivered to them right now.

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Because, you see - it was said to tiny Keltham - returning to the Hypothetical Newly-Created Educated People, at some point their system is going to grow large enough that even with everybody receiving benefits for their participation in the system, there will still be defectors.  There will be people who just don't want to go along with the system, and try to eat food with a tag on it that points to somebody else.

Now the nascent Civilization needs police that can outfight any individual thief; and, since Newly-Created Educated People aren't stupid, they know they obviously need to ensure that the collective of all of them can always outfight the police.  Neither of these 'features' are cheap, and neither easily lend themselves to private ownership -

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Tiny Keltham said that he'd be happy to pay for the police to protect him, out of his share of the land-rent, once it was being paid to him in actual money, and he didn't see why Governance had to take his money and use it without his permission supposedly to protect him with police.

Why couldn't people just pay for police who sold their services on the market like everybody else?  Or if it was much more efficient to police larger regions at once, why couldn't his sub-city in Default provide police, and then Keltham would help his parents pay their share of the house-rent out of his share of the land-rent being paid to him directly -

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Because the police have weapons, tiny Keltham!  What if the police for a sub-city decide one day that, in this sub-city, it's fine to raise kids of Keltham's age, and force them to work in exchange for only enough food to keep them alive?  What if the police decide that nobody in the city block is allowed to hire different police, and take all their stuff to make sure they can't afford them?  What if somebody dies and their head doesn't get cooled and preserved fast enough?  That's the kind of thing that Civilization as a whole has to prevent, as a universal regulation with no opt-outs, so it doesn't happen anywhere in Civilization.  Even if you thought people should be able to opt-out of any and every protection as adults, you'd still have to check to make sure they weren't having kids.

In fact, tiny Keltham, your subcity does contract with a police agency to do a lot of ordinary policing, and it does appear in your parents' rent on the 'foundation' for their 'house-module'; but Governance has to provide oversight of that policing, and that costs money.  Cryosuspension emergency response on constant standby service costs money.  Protecting the Waiting Ones in their frozen sleep costs money.  Maintaining the election system to pick people to run the Government that regulates armed police costs money.  Quiet Cities to host the 5% of people who can't be happy working in Civilization, and who are thus held injured by what Civilization has chosen to become, cost actually quite a lot of money.  No, most people won't need the Quiet option; but everyone, when they're born, can be considered as needing an insurance policy against that happening to them, and that insurance policy costs money.

Subsidized policy-prediction_markets to make all those institutions work boundedly-optimally cost money.

When you add up everything like that, which Governance has to do for everyone or can't just sell to individuals separately, it actually does eat all the rent of unimproved land plus all of Governance's other revenue streams.  Lots of individual philanthropists fund Governance on top of that, so that Civilization can have a bigger Government than basic rents alone will support - so that there can be Annual Alien Invasion Rehearsal Festivals, say, or so that Quiet Cities can have nicer things.

(Most philanthropies in Civilization with room for more funding accomplish roughly the same amount of marginal good per marginal labor-hour, according to most people's utility functions.  If you've got a fairly conventional philanthropic utility function, you get to pick whichever random charity or impact-certificate market best matches your personal taste there, including just throwing your money at Governance.  It's like buying individual-stock equity investments; there's more volatility, but all the expected returns are the same.)  (In Civilization, that is.)

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Tiny Keltham demanded to see the actual accounts of which 'essential public services' his share of the land-rent was getting spent on.

He was promptly provided them, in easy-to-read format for children with lots of helpful pictures.  Lots of dath ilani children demand to see those accounts, at some point.

With great focus and concentration, tiny Keltham managed to read through twenty-two pages of that, before getting bored and running off to play.

(This placed him in the 97th percentile for how far most children read at that age.)

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The explanation to tiny Keltham resumed the next day with the workings of Governance.

Conceptually and to first-order, the ideal that Civilization is approximating is a giant macroagent composed of everybody in the world, taking coordinated macroactions to end up on the multi-agent-optimal frontier, at a point along that frontier reflecting a fair division of the gains from that coordinated macroaction -

Well, to be clear, the dath ilani would shut it all down if actual coordination levels started to get anywhere near that.  Civilization has spoken - with nearly one voice, in fact - that it does not want to turn into a hivemind.  This is why 'dath ilan' deliberately doesn't have Baseline's agency-marker on it, like the name of a person; dath ilan is not allowed to become a person.  It is high on the list of Things Dath Ilan Is Not Allowed To Do.  There was a poll once - put forth either by wacky trolls or sincere negative utilitarians - over how many people would, if they were voting on it directly, vote to put the agency-marker back into 'Dath Ilan'; 98% of respondents said no.

Dath ilan has decided to definitely not turn into a hivemind.  If it ever starts to get even close to that, everyone in Civilization will decide in nearly unanimous accord that they would rather do something else which is not that, and end up not there.  Conformity levels are bad enough already, according to their democracy's collective vote on the desired levels of that!  And predicted to get slightly worse over the next 10 years, according to the prediction markets that aggregate all of Civilization's knowledge into a single opinion that represents what Civilization as a whole can be said to know about any future observable, which few sane people would dare to question too much even in the privacy of their own thoughts!

But for moral purposes, for purposes of understanding what 'Civilization' represents as a decision individuals make to coordinate among themselves, it represents moving partway towards aggregating all coordinating parties in dath ilan into one macroagent that weighted-sums their utility functions together, at a weighting that ends up giving every subagent a fair share of the gains according to their individual utility functions.

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If something like this macroagent actually existed, any time the macroagent faced a decision it had to make globally for one reason or another, it would make that decision in a way that reflected the preferences of everybody inside it.  "Nobody anywhere gets to run a city where some children don't get to learn Baseline, even for the noblest possible purposes of scientific experimentation to see what happens if you raise kids speaking only your new improved language instead" - this is a decision made over everywhere; if there's any loophole somewhere, something will happen that most people in Civilization think should not happen anywhere.

(This example, to be clear, was selected on the basis of its controversy; propositions like "all children get to learn some human language during their critical maturation period" pass with much higher supermajorities.  "Children don't have imaginary-ownership-tags pointing to their parents", goes the proverb out of dath ilan; there are limits to what Civilization thinks a guardianship-tag on a child should allow a parent to do.)

The system of imaginary ownership-tags, likewise by its nature, is something that needs at least some global structure.  It can potentially divide into compartments that fit sub-social-systems, say where a family is tracking who owns what in an informal way that property-registers don't track.  But there's not much reliability in owning the food in your refrigerator, if anybody anywhere in dath ilan isn't part of the system and can come in and eat your food in a way the police will shrug and not do anything about.

There is, at the top level, one system of private property.   In the eyes of the rest of Civilization, weird experimental cities that are trying something else still have all the stuff inside them tagged as belonging to a persistent-contract representing that city; the rest of Civilization will not come in and eat their food unless the city's persistent-contract says they can.

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Now in practice, dath ilani are still mostly human, and therefore way too computationally bounded to aggregate into even a not_too_visibly_incoherent-bounded_approximation of a macroagent.

Conceptually and to second-order, then, Civilization thinks it should be divided into a Private Sphere and a Public Shell.  Nearly all the decisions are made locally, but subject to a global structure that contains things like "children may not be threatened into unpaid labor"; or "everybody no matter who they are or what they have done retains the absolute right to cryosuspension upon their death"; or the top level (in most places the only level) of the imaginary system of ownership-tags and its contract-specification-language.

The vast supermajority of Civilization's real economic activity takes place within the Private Sphere, supported and contained and constrained and structured by the Public Shell.  It's not that activity inside the Private Sphere is uncoordinated.  It's that the decision as to how coordinated to be, and who to coordinate with about it, can be left up to each individual, computed locally - so long as they don't kill anybody, or take stuff that doesn't belong to them, or try to raise their own flaming-ass children with a proper conlang and without flaming-ass Baseline contaminating their innocent smol minds.

Conceptually speaking, this division overwhelmingly factorizes the computational problems of the approximated macroagent, and simplifies the vast majority of dath ilan's decision problems immensely.  It reduces the mental expense of almost all day-to-day life back to something individual humans can handle.  Indeed, dath ilan does not want to become any more of a coordinated macroagent than that!  Its prediction markets say things-defined-as-bad will happen according to its aggregate utilityfunction, so dath ilan isn't doing that.

This does however leave some amount of decision-power to the Public Shell.  Some words must be spoken in one voice or not at all, and to say nothing is also a choice.

So the question then becomes - how, in practice, does Civilization aggregate its preferences into a macropreference, about the sorts of issues that it metadecides are wise to decide by macropreference at all?

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Directdemocracy has been tried, from time to time, within some city of dath ilan: people making group decisions by all individually voting on them.  It can work if you try it with fifty people, even in the most unstructured way.  Get the number of direct voters up to ten thousand people, and no amount of helpfully-intended structure in the voting process can save you.

(More than one thing goes wrong, when 10,000 people try to directly vote to steer their polity.  But if you had to pick one thing, it would be that people just can't pay enough individual attention to the things that their polity tries to have them directly vote on.  When they start to refer their votes to purported experts and specialists, the politics that develop there are removed from them as individuals.  There is not much of a sense of being in control, then, nor are the voters actually in control.)

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Republics have been tried, from time to time, within some city of dath ilan: people making group decisions by voting to elect leaders who make those decisions.  It can work if you try it with fifty people, even in the most unstructured way.  Get the number of voters up to ten thousand people, and no amount of helpfully-intended structure in the voting process can save you.

(More than one thing goes wrong, when 10,000 people try to directly vote on leaders for their polity.  But if you had to pick one thing, it would be that voters don't individually have enough time to figure out which strangers they should vote for or why.  When they start to refer their votes to purported experts and specialists, who are also strangers, the politics that develop there are removed from them as individuals.  There is not much of a sense of being in control, then, nor are the voters actually in control.)

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There are a hundred more clever proposals for how to run Civilization's elections.  If the current system starts to break, one of those will perhaps be adopted.  Until that day comes, though, the structure of Governance is the simplest departure from directdemocracy that has been found to work at all.

Every voter of Civilization, everybody at least thirteen years old or who has passed some competence tests before then, primarily exerts their influence through delegating their vote to a Delegate.

A Delegate must have at least fifty votes to participate in the next higher layer at all; and can retain no more than two hundred votes before the marginal added influence from each additional vote starts to diminish and grow sublinearly.  Most Delegates are not full-time, unless they are representing pretty rich people, but they're expected to be people interested in politics and who spend a lot of time on that.  Your Delegate might be somebody you know personally and trust, if you're the sort to know so many people personally that you know one Delegate.  It might be somebody who hung out their biography on the Network, and seemed a lot like you in some ways, and whom you chatted with about politics in a forum visible to the Delegates' other voters so all their voters could verify that their Delegate hadn't been telling different people different stories.

If you think you've got a problem with the way Civilization is heading, you can talk to your Delegate about that, and your Delegate has time to talk back to you.

That feature has been found to not actually be dispensable in practice.  It needs to be the case that, when you delegate your vote, you know who has your vote, and you can talk to that person, and they can talk back.  Otherwise people feel like they have no lever at all to pull on the vast structure that is Governance, that there is nothing visible that changes when a voter casts their one vote.  Sure, in principle, there's a decision-cohort whose votes move in logical synchrony with yours, and your cohort is probably quite large unless you're a weird person.  But some part of you more basic than that will feel like you're not in control, if the only lever you have is an election that almost never comes down to the votes of yourself and your friends.


The rest of the electoral structure follows almost automatically, once you decide that this property has to be preserved at each layer.

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The next step up from Delegates are Electors, full-time well-paid professionals who each aggregate 4,000 to 25,000 underlying voters from 50 to 200 Delegates.  Few voters can talk to their Electors (more than very briefly and on rare occasions), but your Delegate can have some long conversations with them.  If a lot of voters are saying the same thing to their Delegate, the Elector is liable to hear about it.

Representatives aggregate Electors, ultimately 300,000 to 3,000,000 underlying votes apiece.  There are roughly a thousand of those in all Civilization, at any given time, with social status equivalent to an excellent CEO of a large company or a scientist who made an outstanding discovery inside their own field.  Most people haven't heard of any particular one of them, but will be very impressed on hearing what they do for a living.

And above all this, the Nine Legislators of Civilization are those nine candidates who receive the most aggregate underlying votes from Representatives.  They vote with power proportional to their underlying votes; but when a Legislator starts to have voting power exceeding twice that of the median Legislator, their power begins to grow sublinearly.  By this means is too much power prevented from concentrating into a single politician's hands.

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Surrounding all this of course are numerous features that any political-design specialist of Civilization would consider obvious:

Any voter (or Delegate or Elector or Representative) votes for a list of three possible delegees of the next layer up; if your first choice doesn't have enough votes yet to be a valid representor, your vote cascades down to the next person on your list, but remains active and ready to switch up if needed.  This lets you vote for new delegees entering the system, without that wasting your vote while there aren't enough votes yet.

Anyone can at any time immediately eliminate a person from their 3-list, but it takes a 60-day cooldown to add a new person or reorder the list.  The government design isn't meant to make it cheap or common to threaten your delegee with a temporary vote-switch if they don't vote your way on that particular day.  The government design isn't meant to make it possible for a new brilliant charismatic leader to take over the entire government the next day with no cooldowns.  It is meant to let you rapidly remove your vote from a delegee that has sufficiently ticked you off.

Once you have served as a Delegate, or delegee of any other level, you can't afterwards serve in any other branches of Governance.  Similarly a Delegate can never again be eligible for candidacy as an Elector, though they can become a Representative or a Legislator.  Someone who has been an Elector can never be a Representative; a Representative can never become a Legislator.

This is meant to prevent a political structure whose upper ranks offer promotion as a reward to the most compliant members of the ranks below, for by this dark-conspiratorial method the delegees could become aligned to the structure above rather than their delegators below.

(Most dath ilani would be suspicious of a scheme that tried to promote Electors from Delegates in any case; they wouldn't think there should be a political career ladder, if someone proposed that concept to them.  Dath ilani are instinctively suspicious of all things meta, and much more suspicious of anything purely meta; they want heavy doses of object-level mixed in.  To become an Elector you do something impressive enough, preferably something entirely outside of Governance, that Delegates will be impressed by you.  You definitely don't become an Elector by being among the most ambitious and power-seeking people who wanted to climb high and knew they had to start out a lowly Delegate, who then won a competition to serve the system above them diligently enough to be selected for a list of Electors fed to a political party's captive Delegates.  If a dath ilani saw a system like this, that was supposedly a democracy set in place by the will of its people, they would ask what the captive 'voters' even thought they were supposedly trying to do under the official story.)

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The Nine Legislators of Civilization have two functions.

First is to pass worldwide regulations - each of which must be read aloud by a Legislator who thereby accepts responsibility for that regulation; and when that Legislator retires a new Legislator must be found to read aloud and accept responsibility for that regulation, or it will be stricken from the books.  Every regulation in Civilization, if something goes wrong with it, is the fault of one particular Legislator who accepted responsibility for it.  To speak it aloud, it is nowadays thought, symbolizes the acceptance of this responsibility.

Modern dath ilani aren't really the types in the first place to produce literally-unspeakable enormous volumes of legislation that no hapless citizen or professional politician could ever read within their one lifetime let alone understand.  Even dath ilani who aren't professional programmers have written enough code to know that each line of code to maintain is an ongoing cost.  Even dath ilani who aren't professional economists know that regulatory burdens on economies increase quadratically in the cost imposed on each transaction.  They would regard it as contrary to the notion of a lawful polity with law-abiding citizens that the citizens cannot possibly know what all the laws are, let alone obey them.  Dath ilani don't go in for fake laws in the same way as Golarion polities with lots of them; they take laws much too seriously to put laws on the books just for show.

But if somehow the dath ilani forgot all that, and did not immediately rederive it, the constitutional requirement that a Legislator periodically speak a regulation aloud to keep it effective would serve as a final check on the cancerous growth of legislative codebases.

Plenty of Legislators pass through their whole terms of office without ever speaking any new regulation into existence.  Their function is not to make regulations.  Civilization already has regulations.  Legislators mostly maintain and repair those regulations, and negotiate the changing preferences of Civilization about which final outcomes it wants to steer for using its policy prediction markets.  New system features are terrifically expensive when everyone governed by them has to remember every relevant line of code.  If you want any new feature implemented in Civilization, you'd better be ready to explain which old features should be repealed to make room.

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The second function of the Nine Legislators of Civilization is to appoint the rest of Governance:  In particular the Chief Executive, certain key officers below the Chief Executive, the five Judges of Civilization on the Court of Final Settlement of which all lesser Courts are hierarchical prediction markets.  The Chief Executive in turn is the one person finally responsible for any otherwise unhandled exceptions in Civilization, and the one person who supervises those who supervise those who supervise, all the way down.

The key principle governing the Executive branch of government is the doctrine of Sole Accountability, being able to answer the question 'Who is the one person who has or had responsibility for this decision?'  On this topic Keltham has already spoken.

From the perspective of a Golarion polity not being efficiently run by Hell - from the perspective of Taldor, say, or Absalom - they might be surprised at how few committees and rules there are inside of Governance.  Governance does not try to ensure systemic properties via endless rules intended to constrain the particular actions taken; nor by having committees supposedly ensuring that no one person has the power to do a naughty thing by themselves.  Rules and committees make power illegible, let people evade responsibility for their outputs inside the system, and then you really are in trouble.  Civilization's approach is to identify the one person responsible for achieving the final outcome desired, and logging their major actions and holding them Solely Accountable for those; with their manager being the one person responsible for monitoring them and holding them to account.  Or, on other occasions, Civilization's approach is to state desirable observables, and have policy prediction markets about which policies will achieve them.  (Though even when it comes to following a policy prediction market's advice, there is still of course the one person who is Solely Accountable for following that advice else throwing an exception if the advice seemed weird; and the One Person whose job it is to correctly state the thing the prediction market should predict, and so on.)

This is the systemic design principle by which Civilization avoids a regulatory explosion of endlessly particular and detailed constraints on actions, meant to avert Bad Things that people imagine might possibly happen if a constraint were violated.  Civilization tries instead to state the compact final outcomes, rather than the wiggly details of the exact strategies needed to achieve them; and to identify people solely responsible for those outcomes.

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(There are also Keeper cutouts at key points along the whole structure of Governance - the Executive of the Military reports not only to the Chief Executive but also to an oathsworn Keeper who can prevent the Executive of the Military from being fired, demoted, or reduced in salary, just because the Chief Executive or even the Legislature says so.  It would be a big deal, obviously, for a Keeper to fire this override; but among the things you buy when you hire a Keeper is that the Keeper will do what they said they'd do and not give five flying fucks about what sort of 'big deal' results.  If the Legislators and the Chief Executive get together and decide to order the Military to crush all resistance, the Keeper cutout is there to ensure that the Executive of the Military doesn't get a pay cut immediately after they tell the Legislature and Chief Executive to screw off.

...one supposes that this personal relationship could also be the point at which the Keepers are secretly staying in control of the military via talk-control, yes, yes, fine.  But at some level of paranoia it ceases to be productive to worry about this sort of thing, because how are you even supposed to rearrange your Civilization such that this becomes any less probable?  The problem isn't the exact structure, it's that such a thing as talk-control exists in the first place.  A slightly different arrangement wouldn't help with the paranoia there.  The Dark version of this Conspiracy has a hidden Keeper controlling the Executive of the Military, not a clearly labeled one!  Right?  Right?)

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And that's Governance!  By dath ilani standards it's a giant ugly hack in every aspect that isn't constrained down to a single possible choice by first principles, and they're annoyed with themselves about it.

A lot of other dimensions, if they heard what passes for a political complaint in dath ilan, would probably try to strangle the entire planet.

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And the key point behind the whole mental exercise, of beginning over from scratch, is this:

This is what an approximation of an attempt of a world to coordinate with you, should look like; this is how much of the gains from trade, you should at least expect; no more inconvenience and injury than this, should you expect from your government.

And if Governance ever gets too far away from that - why, forget it all, rederive it all, and start over.  All of Governance is a dream, just as much as ownership-tags are a willing collective hallucination; if it turns into a bad dream, it's time to wake up.  Your next-best alternative to Governance, if it departs from this standard, is at least this good.  So, if that time comes, you can do Something Else Which Is Not Governance.

They run an annual Oops It's Time To Overthrow The Government Festival, in dath ilan.  Sometimes you have to defeat the Hypothetical Corrupted Governance Military.  Sometimes the Military is still made of nice people who aren't going to fire on a civilian population, this rehearsal; and instead you have to distrust the Network and all of the existing politicians and Very Serious People and organize your own functional government from scratch by the end of the day.

And the point of all that rehearsing is to decrease the friction costs to overthrow the Government; because lowering the cost of overthrowing Governance decreases the amount that Governance can be inconvenient or injurious at people, before, Governance knows, its people will overthrow it.

Well, and the other point is to more accurately estimate those friction costs.  They are, by dath ilani standards, quite high, on the order of 5% of GDP depending on how much institutional expertise gets lost and how many days people have to miss work.  Nobody would lightly suggest overthrowing the Government.  That's like losing twenty days' worth of income for everyone!  One shouldn't do that without a really strong reason!

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Tiny Keltham was not ultimately satisfied with this explanation once it completed.  Tiny Keltham did, in fact, start trying to band together with other children to overthrow Governance.  Tiny Keltham convinced four other boys and one girl to go in with him on that.

And what happened after that point would be a story for another day.  But let's just say that if, in fact, all of the grownup adults in Golarion are secretly collaborating to construct an elaborate false reality around Keltham, it would not be his first time.

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Well, what was Civilization SUPPOSED to do there, slap down tiny Keltham immediately?  You don't want to discourage that kind of initiative and spark!  Adorable smols banding together to try to overthrow the entire world government should have an educational and fun experience about that!

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"So they....played along in order to show you how futile it was?" Gregoria asks. 

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"Gregoria, try to let go of the Conspiracy hypothesis here for twelve seconds.  When a group of six adorable children set out to overthrow Governance, you don't need a special additional effort to make their attempts seem futile to them.  They are not, in fact, going to win."

"Now imagine you're a Civilization that thinks that these children are showing a spark of individualism that's important to prevent all that Law from turning dath ilan into one giant 'hivemind' - uh, group intellect.  Which I was vehemently against, obviously, but your average dath ilani is only slightly less vehement about that."

"The fact that these children's efforts are going to be massively futile is a problem.  There was a prediction market about how to end up discouraging us all the least."

"Which I know about because my parents used to tell this story for years at parties with their own generation, afterwards, until I moved out of home one year earlier than usual for my age cohort."

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"They...tried to make you think you were succeeding at overthrowing the government?"

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"That is somewhat closer to what happened, yes."

"Buuuut oh look it's dinnertime, we should all go do that, shouldn't we?  Yes we definitely should."

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PL-timestamp:  Day 17 (13) / Evening

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Dinner does not get them to stop having questions about dath ilan's government! What sorts of things do you tell your delegates about? The whole thing actually sounds kind of like the Chelish system of baronies and counties and duchies, except more intentional; maybe there's a way to preserve Cheliax's existing system but turn it into that?

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Keltham kind of didn't bother his Delegate all that much?  He didn't particularly want to change Civilization by voting at things?

Keltham just paid off one of his friends to do some research on the Network to find him a Delegate.  (Professional political matchmaking is not looked kindly upon for all sorts of reasons; it would be an absurdly concentrated target for corruption attempts.)  His friend came back with a 52-year-old-but-not-grandfather-troped Individualist type, formerly the beloved manager of some small company, living fifteen minutes away in Default, who was just starting out as a Delegate after retiring.

Keltham went to a dinner party with three other potential voters to check the guy out, he seemed pretty gung-ho on pushing out the Private Sphere against the Public Shell relative to the current balancing point.  Keltham tossed the guy his vote along with a spreadsheet of Keltham's personal preferences over some Civilizational desiderata, yes he was serious he'd like to see much less altruism in future generations, and then mostly forgot about it.

Now and then Keltham would check in, and see that his guy's Elector had switched votes to a Representative who was negotiating with one of the Legislators to switch their vote in exchange for influence on the next Chief Executive being an ex-business-manager type instead of an ex-trader and with less of an emphasis on pondering that person's effective-philanthropy bets and more emphasis on how they'd run their business.

...Keltham was not under the impression that current Counts would take well to their Barons handing them spreadsheets of utilityfunction weights, or Barons warning Counts they were about to change their allegiance to a different Count.  He thought that Counts would tend to have militantly strong views about keeping their current jobs.  Is Keltham wrong about this?

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Oh no they totally would, they'd be furious. But they're going to be furious about most possible solutions, here.

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Welp, they can try to pay an unreasonable amount so people will be more cheerful about it, but Keltham expects that some point or another it's ultimately going to come down to 'You can have ten pounds of spellsilver in exchange for going quietly, or you can have zero pounds of spellsilver and also have to pay for a Raise Dead afterwards.'

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....it might come down to that but it's not very smart to be saying that now, because, well, then if any of them find out they might decide they'd rather stop things getting to that point.

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They'd better leave it out of any reports they file about dinnertime conversations, then, and Keltham will be sure not to say it during class.

You can't actually make spellsilver cheap enough to produce +6 intelligence headbands for everybody and not have your society change at all.  Especially insofar as your current 'social-system_design' is, in fact, stupid.  But anybody who can't work that out on their own gets to be taken by surprise, Keltham supposes.


How was the Share Language (Baseline) and Keltham's use of Baseline loanwords thrown into Taldane, by the way?  It made his life easier, definitely, but he's not sure how it felt from the other end.

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It mostly made sense? The extra specificity seemed worth the occasional needing to mentally rewind several sentences and try to piece together what they were saying. 

 

Probably various people will catch on that they're going to lose their hats, and some of them will rebel about it, but if they find out at different rates it'll be harder for them to coordinate on rebelling about it.

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Well, if they don't tell any other Counts about it, maybe they can have some of the ill-gotten stuff of any extra-'extractive' Counts who didn't go quietly.

Keltham does remember how all majoritarian coalitions are theoretically unstable because a subcoalition could kick somebody out and redivide that person's gains among themselves - if for some odd reason they weren't using logical decision theory, that is.

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People will be doing those calculations, yes. As long as the Project has the backing of the Church and the Queen the outcome's not really in question, but it's still better not to advertise anything worrying.

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Are there places or people outside the classroom to whom Keltham should avoid saying particular things?

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Probably he shouldn't say this stuff to the spellsilver consultants or people like that? Security's been screened and anyone Asmodeus has chosen is safe obviously.

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He had in fact worked that out himself, but Keltham thanks them nonetheless for the advice.  Why trust what you can verify? as the saying goes.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 17 (13) / Still Evening

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After dinner, Keltham, who previously sent off a certain letter discussed with Carissa, now receives a reply on the evening Teleport!  It comes with a package, even!

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To Keltham out of dath ilan:

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I cannot, alas, afford the time to properly monitor and control your possession's shaping, at this remove.  As such, take all this advice with a grain of salt, and consult Subirachs perhaps.  She can forward further questions on to me, if she cannot answer them herself.

Your basic concept of treatment appears to me sound.  I am in fact impressed with you for inventing it, including such details as warning your possession that she is not at all to punish herself - though I would have phrased it as saying that the responsibility for punishing her while she was chained lay entirely with myself, and I would not tolerate my prerogative being usurped.

I would be greatly interested in hearing if there is Law governing such matters, known to you.  I do not expect, under the circumstances, that dath ilan taught you how to torment one's possession while she is chained to a bed - but I wonder if they taught you other principles that were relevant?  What shaped your intuitions to suggest that?  Most people I need to correct about that sort of thing, and then even after they are corrected they do not really seem to understand.  If there's favor due for my answers and actions in the rest of this letter, I'd call in some or all of it for a detailed reply there.

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Your concern that teaching your possession to show you truthful pain, might in the end not teach her truthful pleasure, is likewise sound.  The objective is to train her to allow any of her real reactions through unimpeded, when you demand it so, not only pain.

I am enclosing a collar which increases sensitivity to tickling.  This is loaned to you, not given, but I do not expect to need it back anytime soon.

If you can press from your possession screams of pain and laughter both, that she cannot think about and cannot stop arising from herself, I expect you can make some progress on teaching her body to show its true reactions once more in the realm of pleasure.  There are cheats for that directly, items enchanted whose touch causes ecstasy, but to use those cheats comes with its own dangers.  It seems prudent to try things this way first.

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When it comes time to test her pleasure again, do not neglect the fundamentals of Carissa's sexuality: real power over her, real possession of her, that no other could take her from you if you wished to keep her, that you have gone and will go to great lengths to keep her, that she could not escape you, that whatever kindness she has of you was your own choice between that and cruelty, that nothing within or without would restrain you from greater cruelty if you felt any wish for it, and so if she happens to receive kindness that is your true gift to her unobligated.

My imagination of Isidre is yelling at me not to press you too far, too quickly - but be it clear that if I were Keltham testing his possession's capacity for pleasure, I would be forcing her firmly into the bed-chains, allowing and indeed demanding her sincere resistance and then overcoming whatever resistance she offered; to do otherwise would pointlessly handicap myself.

I enclose a 5-charge rod of Curse of Magic Negation.  A charge will last one and a half hours when applied to your possession; I would advise enhancing it with your own Bestow Curse (3rd circle) targeted narrowly on her ability to overcome the resulting Spellblight of Negation.  (You will also need to have requested a Remove Curse, to negate your own Bestowed Curse afterwards.)  A Bull's Strength and Cat's Grace should do for yourself, and allow you to physically overpower her once she cannot cast magic against you.  The 1st-circle wizard spell Ray of Enfeeblement is a possible backup here, but it is better if you can overpower your possession without handicapping her apart from her magic.  Don't flinch back from fighting in a way that requires you to heal yourself during or herself afterwards; there is nothing you can do that Subirachs cannot undo.  Being overpowered now and then by her Keltham is good for a Carissa.

I enclose an order commanding Security to drag Carissa Sevar to your bed, should you so wish, in case it's easier that way the first time.  You will however be more likely to get the results you desire if you can manage to do it yourself and without flinching.

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A possibility for avoiding that flinch:  Quietly take one of Carissa's stray hairs, and then ask one of your other relationships to Alter Self and Disguise Self to Carissa's appearance, so that you can rehearse the subdual, with your target voluntarily not using her magic.

I enclose a signed requisition permitting a woman of your choice to borrow a rod which will extend the duration of Alter Self when used by her.  I'd expect there to be one of those on-site, or if not, it can come by Egorian.  Feel free to try other games of that variety using the same requisition.

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It would be foolish in any of these regards to do any such act for your possession's sake rather than your own.  She is liable to notice the difference.  What you cannot enjoy for yourself, want for yourself, you should not do.

It would however be equally foolish to want something of your possession and not take it, for what you think is her sake.  She wants above all for her owner to be Evil, powerful, and unrestrained.  Without those qualities it is not possible for somebody to really be in possession of her.  Kindness means nothing from a boy obliged by binds of Goodness to be kind.  It is necessary to find your caged cruelty and free it, to lay forcefully to rest her fears over whether it is your will or hers that governs, before she will be freed to fully appreciate those other times when you choose kisses and gentleness instead.  Others could give her a soft touch, did she wish that.  She would, in fact, have a hard time finding another boy to face down the Queen upon the throne and extort control of her from Cheliax.

Think first of your own wants, and when you are done thinking of those, you should find that there seems hardly any need to think of hers.

-- Abrogail Thrune II, Queen of Cheliax

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PS:  It's fine to owe me favor, or call it due; and better yet if you wish to repay by answering my question in the third paragraph.  Any morsels of Law about this matter would be greatly precious to me.  But one hears reports that you may be more comfortable if I disclose what some prices would ordinarily be, and you may pay those instead do you wish.

These amounts are not particularly significant to myself - my time in writing this letter would cost more, if I knew how to put any sensible price on it, which I don't - at least, not short of you using your god's spell on me?  I would much prefer the answer to my question, even if it's only that you don't know how you knew.

Yet, as I'd have you understand our ways, I will also stretch out my hand for yours.  So:

Collar that increases tickling sensitivity:     Loan-price 20 gold / week.
Metamagic rod of spell extension:              Loan-price 150 gold / week (for outright loan, however, not occasional borrowing).
Rod applying Curse of Magic Negation:     Loan-price 30 gold / week + 300 gold / charge used.

    Stay Evil,
      Abrogail

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...he may possibly require a few additional minutes to come to terms with this Letter and fully process it.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 17 (13) / Night

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Yo, Carissa.  Good time for Keltham to try that Security test with the heating-stone and keeping Detect Magic running?

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Works for her!

 

Carissa is intensely curious how Keltham will handle pain. Optimistically, maybe dath ilan has been lying to him and he'll realize there's a place for it. Pessimistically....maybe dath ilani are different and pain is actually just bad for them? In which case she's going to need to figure out how to use them in Hell. It would be incredibly wasteful to just have all resentful dath ilani turn into paving stones because no one can figure out anything better, and she's not optimistic anyone else is going to figure out something better.

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Keltham would be so confused if he knew what Carissa was thinking!  What is there to be curious about?  Pain is ouch and bad.  If it's severe pain you use mental disciplines to dissociate from it as much as possible.  Masochists apparently get sexually aroused by it and submissives feel dominated by it, both facts entirely irrelevant to Keltham who is neither.

Dath ilani try to keep themselves simple, so that their theories of themselves can be simple without being false.  "All self-models are potential traps but complicated self-models are actual traps," goes the proverb out of dath ilan.  If dath ilani seem complex to the eyes of another world, it's perhaps because they are using some unfamiliar simplicities, shorter words in Baseline.  'Pain is bad and I don't like it' is a perfectly reasonable way for a mind to be, and correspondingly a helpfully simple thing for a theory of the self to accurately say.

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Keltham notices that part of him is less than cheerful about the fact that Carissa was available, since now an ouch badthing will happen to him.  Keltham notices that part of him is scared he's going to perform so unimpressively that Carissa will fall out of love with him.

Keltham proceeds to the cuddleroom anyways.  (It's not that this is a sexy thing per se, but that the cuddleroom is in fact where the heating-stone from Subirarchs's collection happens to be.)

"Carissa, I notice that I'm more scared of performing poorly on this test and you thinking I'm unworthy than I am wincing about the upcoming pain.  Any strictly truthful remarks that come to mind about that?"

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"...dath ilani answer,  I expect you won't be very good at it so if you're in fact not very good at it then that won't shift what I think of you, because I could just go ahead and think it now. And you'd properly be compared to other people who just learned cantrips, anyway, not combat wizards with years of training, and even if you do badly by that comparison it's not like I picked you for your security wizarding ability."

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He notices himself wanting to say lots of things to Carissa, asking her if this is something he really needs to do, telling her about the letter from Abrogail, and what he thought about that, and how that's why he decided he needed to do this...

Explain in detail his theory of how, in fact, he has to do this tonight, because otherwise it's just going to go on nagging at him with the anticipation making it worse...

While Keltham is noticing himself wanting to do all these things, he has gone ahead and touched the heating stone to his left arm, spoken the command word once to attach it and again to turn on the heating effect, and cast and caught Detect Magic.

Of this there is also a discipline out of dath ilan, which is to just go do the thing.

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At first it doesn't even hurt too badly; it's like touching a hot plate of food, not like touching an open burner. At first. But when you touch a hot thing like that, you put it down, and if you don't, then it does start hurting. 

Every round Keltham needs to make a concentration check with a steadily increasing DC. He rolls surprisingly well, actually; it's a full minute before he loses the spell, and even then it's a close thing. 

 

It's about twenty seconds after that that he rips the awful thing off his arm.

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If by that you mean that Keltham speaks the command word to detach it.  Ripping it off is a mistake he won't make; he visualized that process in advance.

 

Before Keltham channels positive energy to heal himself, he'll see whether he can still cast and catch Light under his present circumstances.

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It takes a lot more deliberate effort to concentrate than usual, but yes!

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Keltham will give himself a further minute to experiment with trying out the disciplines that are supposedly supposed to help with dissociating from pain.

(There are lessons you can sign up for, in dath ilan, to get actual practice with that in advance; they are considered Ill-Advised Consumerism for most normal people who probably won't need them, because, like, you will remember that pain.  Had Keltham known of his future trip to Golarion, obviously, he would have taken those lessons and a lot of other lessons too.)

...has Carissa been reacting to any of this, at all.

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She's pretty sure she should NOT look like she's taking detailed notes for future reorganization of Hell purposes. That would raise questions she is not planning on answering right now. 

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So she will just be patiently adorably attentive. And have a healing spell of her own ready in case he forgets how in a panic or something. He's not handling it that badly, but, still.

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At least Carissa doesn't look openly horrified at his performance.  Not that she would... yeah, it's not actually much in the way of likelihood-ratio.

 

Channel Positive-aspected healing energy and done.

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Snuggle. "I am very curious what you thought of that," she says truthfully.

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"Tell you in a moment.  Part of me is a lot more worried about what you thought of that.  I'm being nice to that part, so you first."

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"It's longer than I expected, to the extent I was forming expectations, which I was trying not to because it'd stress you out? Also I really really want to problem solve you being nervous what I'll think of you but probably this is not the time."

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"I'm aware.  My guess is that it gets resolved by time, by success at mining spellsilver, by sufficient deep-down confidence in not-Conspiracy that I start actually trusting truthspells, and by some advice I recently got from Abrogail.  Advice that made me think again about whether I'd been holding back and delaying on flinchy-feeling things I should do to adapt to Golarion."

"This was part of that, and -"

"I don't know what I was expecting.  It was an ouchy badthing, very ouchy, very bad, it made it hard to concentrate.  I would probably need more practice to dissociate from it per standard disciplines, well enough to even leave it on my arm for ten minutes, never mind maintaining Detect Magic through it."

"I'm not... really feeling like more of a native to Golarion as a result.  Maybe I should have taken more time to focus on the injury, and experience the fear that healing wasn't real or wouldn't work.  So I'd have updated more on injuries being temporary and pain being less of an important signal, after I healed myself."

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"Huh. 

 

A thing I get out of pain is a sense of - myself, as something distinct from all the inputs I'm getting, as something stronger than those, and it's a - not a nice feeling exactly but an important one, one I seek out - I don't know if that's what you mean by 'dissociate from it' -"

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"Nnnnooooo, that's sort of - denying the pain's meaning, denying it as something that's a part of you as opposed to just being there, severing the feelings and thoughts downstream of it?"

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"Huh. And - a sense of delight and power from the fact that this is happening and you're enduring it and the thing you are is untouchable by it?"

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"Nnnnooooope."

"Nooooot even slightly."

"That's, like, somebody who's not a Keeper but who has a lot more 'dignity' than I do, seeing evidence that... say specifically a 'startup founder' realizing their brilliant company is inevitably failing?  Updating and throwing away one of their most cherished hopes?  A kind of awfulness that means something, that you want to not look away from because the details are part of reality and your pride is to accept reality whatever that is, and where the unpleasantness is part of the process of you becoming a different and better person; and to update correctly in the face of that is your skill and your art and your mastery, which you would execute correctly even if everything else was turning to ash around you."

"I cannot say that I have ever in my life heard it suggested that anybody would want to relate to physical pain that way.  It's something you'd want to experience as little as possible.  The details of it are the last thing you want.  If you were paying attention to it, it would be so you could do the thing where you pay a lot of attention to an emotion and question what it means and look at the perception in so much detail that you've killed the emotion, which, to be clear, is something that's generally considered a hazardous thing to do to one of your emotions."

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" - so, uh, it might be that this is a fundamental difference between dath ilani and Chelish people, but when you say that the first thing I jump to is actually just that dath ilani are wrong about this and missing out."

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"Preeeettty sure it's that fundamental difference one."

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"If you can choose how you relate to things at all, even a little, with practice, I don't see why you wouldn't relate to physical pain that way. Not seek it out, maybe, but have the skill to relate to it in that fashion when it comes up."

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"I'm not sure I can.  It feels like a 'type-error'.  It's pretty easy to imagine - the direction I'd have to move in, even if for now I've chosen not to go there, to become somebody who could burn his current personality to ash by borrowing Asmodia's headband for an hour, and take pride in his 'dignity' for accepting the hurt and updating."

"Doing that with pain?  I don't - know what series of mental changes I'd even try, to do that, regardless of whether or not I want to."

"Physical pain doesn't mean things the way that thoughts do."

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"Sure, but the way I relate to it does mean things, and pain as I experience it is - a combination of whatever raw input I'm getting and how I'm relating to it."

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"I'd definitely have been proud of myself if I'd been able to run through ten minutes holding Detect Magic on my first try.  I'm thinking that you mean something else, by all this, but I want to check to make sure I'm not in fact overcomplicating things and missing something that's supposed to be very simple and obvious."

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That is not what she means!! What she means is that suffering is a fundamental part of the human experience and that relating to it with strength and joy and satisfaction feels about as basic and fundamental as being able to relate to anything else that way! But she's not sure she should say that!

 

"That's not the thing, no. I mean, that is very satisfying, achieving something despite it being painful, but I mean - something you can do even if you, I don't know, accidentally injure yourself by walking into a table. Just orienting to that experience as something - like a startup founder getting bad news - it really seems to me like something anyone ought to be able to do -"

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"Well, any sex worker in Civilization who can do that - even if she's not sexually aroused by the pain, so long as she's - present, participating, doesn't hate it, isn't just enduring it for money, if it means something to her that isn't negative and doesn't completely trash the rest of sex - is no doubt very very very rich."

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"- I wonder if this explains the Good people who hate Hell, if they're - like you that way, and assuming everyone is like them -"

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"In Baseline, 'typical-mind fallacy'.  We got training in not doing that, not assuming everyone else was like ourselves.  So presumably everybody in Golarion by default runs off and assumes everyone else's brain works like their own."

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" - yep, that sounds about right." But it's a pretty big problem how Hell is where everyone should go.

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"Think I'll try attaching the stone to my arm again, just to see if I can possibly do your thing even though it seems like I obviously can't."

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" - huh. I really hope that works."

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"97% it won't, but don't worry, we get training in being able to do things without being influenced by our belief we can't do them.  Don't suppose it counts by the way if I'm also doing this out of my masculine 'gendertrope', and to prove that the pain isn't able to drive me away from doing this again."

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"Maybe? If the way you related to pain was having as part of your gendertrope that you are tough and pain is irrelevant to you, it can't touch the thing that you are, that'd be - closer to where I am than the thing you just described."

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"Just the tough part.  I expect that pain in sufficient quantities can touch the thing that I am, break it or erase it in the flood of negative 'feedback', 'neural-circuits' being 'neural-trained' out of existence by the constant enormous 'error-signal' everything gets."

"What I'm proving is that this quantity of pain is not that amount.  There's a saying out of dath ilan, 'I have a price, but I'm not cheap.'"

"Now quiet a moment while I actually try this, I want to concentrate."

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Obedient quiet Carissa!

 

(It can't possibly be this easy but it would be really nice, if it could.)

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Keltham puts the stone on his arm, dissociating from the part of himself that wants to flinch and destroying-by-reflection the fear of just that action itself which is not itself the pain.

He waits until his brain understands that the stone itself is not the pain.

He tries to put himself into the frame of mind of somebody who relates to the coming pain as if that were dignity, as if he were proud of how it cannot touch him, leaving the core of him unchanged.

What's the equivalent for pain of 'I am not my beliefs, I am that which updates them, I am not my plans, I am that which chooses them'?  Keltham is not... his pain, he's the thing that is unmoved by it?  Negative neural feedback does in fact sort of move people though??  Keltham is not his desire not to be in pain?  Keltham sort of thinks he is made out of, among other things, desires like that one?

"Carissa, temporary not quiet: do you know what the equivalent should be of 'I am not my beliefs, I am that which updates them, I am not my plans, I am that which chooses them' for pain?"  (This, the second layer of Impartiality, Keltham speaks in Baseline.)

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That feels like such an important question and she's never thought about it at all - "I'm not sure, but maybe - I am not what I sense, I am that which - makes sense of it -"

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All right then.  'I am not my sensory input, I am that which interprets it.'  He doesn't really see that helping?  But he'll try to take that mental posture anyways.  And take pride in being unmoved by the pain, a sense of delight that it cannot destroy him...


Keltham speaks the command word twice.

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Carissa prays very very sincerely to Asmodeus to show Keltham whatever it is, if Asmodeus even knows it, that Keltham needs here. 

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He takes slightly longer to get to the point of calling it off, this time. 

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...and remembers this time to look at the burn left on his arm, the seared tissue that he let just go on getting damaged and damaged.  Remembers to feel the fear that he's maimed himself for life, that healing won't work for him this time, that physical injury is real and lasting and scary and destroys your life ever after, until you have to go step into the Future and leave your friends behind not to be seen again unchanged, because your life is so much less happy now and your friends wouldn't want you to stick it out just for them...

And heal.


"Yeah, that... basically didn't work even while I had enough concentration left to try to make it work.  The pain kept calling my attention back to it.  Trying to say that I was the mind interpreting pain, instead of identifying with the 'sensory-input', didn't help; telling myself that I was strong and delighting that I could pass through it didn't help.  What helped was either dissociating from it or my attention briefly going elsewhere before it got yanked back."

"But actual plus side, I remembered to experience the fear of injury, and watch healing work against that.  I think I'll have an easier time asking for martial-arts training from Security, now."

(Because Keltham is rather in doubt of his own ability to subdue and chain even Meritxell, with just a Bull's Strength and Cat's Grace, and dath ilani self-defense-only or group-safe-subdual skills.)

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"Huh. Well, I'm sorry it didn't work. I think that might mean there are certain kinds of devils you don't get to be but I'm not sure that was on your agenda anyway. 

 

If Security does their jobs you shouldn't - need martial arts training? Though I'm sure they'll help if you want."

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"It seems important to 'truly-living-in' Golarion that I - stop mentally living in a place where major injuries can't be healed and result in permanent decreases in quality of life.  I expect martial arts training to help with that, if it's the kind of training that you wouldn't do in dath ilan because consequences."

He's going to learn that first, get over the simple shock of inflicting and receiving physical violence; and then come back to the question of how he feels about violently physically subduing Carissa, given that it means something deep and positive to her and her sexuality.

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- nod. "Makes sense. And I guess we might eventually want to go places not surrounded by bodyguards, once Nidal's defeated, and any other gods that need it."

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"That thought had not particularly occurred to me.  I think that's more a question of having endless spellsilver and enchanters to make our defenses, rather than being able to punch harder than anything that tries to punch us or, you know, toss a dozen fireballs at us... which I am not really seeing the punching thing helping with, but what do I know."

"My bedtime should be soon.  Did you want - to try the heating stone yourself, while my handy healing is around?"

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"Yes, I do."

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Keltham hands it over to her.

"Probability you do this on the first try?  I've got mine but it'll be overridden by your probability as soon as you say it."

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" - thirty percent? It wouldn't be a test to be Security if most people with the relevant combat experience could do it on the first try, or even if they could mostly do it on the tenth."

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"Huh.  Fair point.  I was at seventy, so if you don't do it I'll know I was undercorrecting for Carissa being less exceptional in this quality relative to Golarion security wizard candidates than she'd be in dath ilan."

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"I do bet I won't ask you to take it off at any point in the ten minutes, just, I bet I slip up at the cantrip at some point."

 

And she tries it. 

 

 

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There is something there, even if Keltham's not the kind of entity that can understand it, the sharpness of it, the ways that every instant becomes momentous and significant, the parts of her mind she can feel come alive as she tries to marshal more of herself towards the task than she ordinarily could.

It's awful, of course, but she doesn't mind, she really doesn't, she wishes Keltham could have this -

 

She loses the cantrip six minutes in. Doesn't ask him to stop, just makes a small sad sound and tries a different cantrip. Holds that one until the end.

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"Do you want healing on that?"

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Why does he always have so many questions. 

 

Noncommital sound.

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"Yes, yes, you're right, I shouldn't have asked you anything, I should have noticed there was something I wanted without you prompting me to check that within myself, I still haven't been out of my Lawful Good world for two weeks okay."

"Let's try you out on a different task that requires concentration, while you're in pain."

He'll attach the heating stone somewhere, turn it on, and see if that impacts her skill.

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Carissa is - confused, for a little while, until she puts together - oh, he thought that was hot, watching her in pain. That makes sense. That makes the whole attempt much better, somehow, if Keltham was enjoying it - it's like Abrogail petting her and telling her she suffered beautifully -

- also, she can at this point make him apologize for being Lawful Good just with noncommittal noises, which is progress, if not nearly as good as him actually being Evil.

 

She will do her tired and distracted best to please.

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Him seeing her in pain will more than make up for any hitches in her skill, when it comes to succeeding in her task.


(Any unorchestrated reactions there, at this relatively low level of awful pain?)

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Yes! Getting your Carissa extremely tired from ten minutes of very difficult magic practice is a good way to get her to forget to overthink everything about her life and reactions and relationship!

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He is really really happy, and will tell her so, once she's all finished, and he's taken off the heating stone from her and healed her.  Carissa in so much pain with her hips writhing as she tries to serve him, is the hottest thing that there is, and he's proud of owning her, and he felt powerful for making her do this, in pain, just because he wanted it, and he's proud of himself for having done some of the work on reshaping her with pain to naturally express feelings again, and he's so in love with her and he doubts any other woman will ever be able to compete.

If this is something that's in Asmodeus's utilityfunction and Asmodeus helped Keltham get it for Asmodeus's own purposes, Keltham still acknowledges the favor owed.

Ending the day like this was the correct decision, including the part where he went through some self-inflicted pain he'd been putting off and now doesn't have to put off anymore.  He feels generally better, and though it's not a promise and only time will resolve the prediction-market, he predicts good skill for his next day's work on the Project.

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You know what would be nice, is if it was someone's job to tell Carissa telepathically if this was actually a good outcome or if she's just absurdly susceptible to people saying nice things while they hurt her. Abarco didn't say any nice things while he hurt her.

Probably it's fine. 

 

"Not sure you said proud of owning me. Before."

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"Probably not.  But Abrogail's letter to me called you my possession a lot and, you know, fine.  If that means I get to keep you."  He boops her on the nose.  "Socially_constructed-imaginary-ownership_tag pointing to Keltham.  If any food crops grow on you, nobody else gets to eat them."

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She beams at him wordlessly for a while. 

 

She is pretty sure that is actually quite good news for the project and doesn't just seem like that because aforementioned susceptibility to people who are nice while they hurt her. 

 

 

 

"Love you. Love you so much. Not totally sure you understand, still, but - yes. Imaginary ownership tag points to Keltham and you'd be - terrified, by all that means - but 's good. 's really good."

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"Any parts I don't already know about need to be spelled out and agreed to by me before they take effect.  Knowing this, any terror that needs to be handled at that time is my future self's problem."

"...unless there is still cause for my present self to be terrified given that, in which case you should notify me so; the Law governing these matters does tend to imply that, if I would predictably panic later, I should panic now.  Problem #6 on conservation of expected evidence, emotional conjugation thereof."

"Should no such further notification be required, however, you are permitted to just cuddle instead of replying."

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Snuggle. "Yes, course. It's not - stuff you're supposed to do, anyway, just - stuff that wouldn't get you kicked out of any cities, because people would see the imaginary-tag and go, ah, well, in, that case, it's all right - I'm not making any sense, am I? All my sense goes and flies away when you hurt me enough. No terror. You don't need to be scared."

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Good good.  There shall be additional snuggles then.


In time Keltham shall stagger off somewhat tiredly to his proper bed; the thought that he could also just go to sleep in his cuddleroom will not, in fact, occur to him.

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Her boyfriend is a ridiculous alien.

 

But one who said that he considered himself to owe Asmodeus a favor, if Asmodeus helped him get this.

 

She puts herself together and drags herself out of bed.

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"Cookie from Snack Service.  Apparently you recently had some sort of unanswered wish or question that I can help you with, somehow.  Not my curse, me."

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" - huh. I....don't know. Security, can we get a thought transcript?"

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Message:  They could, but Security is guessing this is about the part where Carissa Sevar recently thought that she wished somebody had the job of telepathically telling her whether this was a good outcome?  Security did notice that part, what with him being telepathic but that not, in fact, being part of his job.

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Oh. Right. Probably. 

 

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Pilar will of course wait patiently for further instruction or questions.

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"I thought a couple of minutes ago that I wished there was someone whose job it was to tell me if I'd done well or not. I have to say it's very weird that Cayden Cailean is watching my sex life closely enough to catch that."

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"It's a very weird to be called upon by Cayden Cailean to give somebody else Asmodean theological advice when I'm not a priest of Asmodeus but... I kind of do think I know..."

"Should I say it, sir?"

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"Go ahead."

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"Ask your superior, the one set over you.  If Subirachs doesn't know, she'll ask the Most High or the Queen.  Your superiors will tell you how well you did, and then whatever they say is the truth, and you're done, and it's not your place to worry about it any more because that would be contradicting what your superiors told you."

"It's one of the nice things Asmodeans get to have.  That's not why Asmodeus wants it that way, but it's definitely what He wants."


"...Snack Service suggests you take a nap first, though."

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" - all right. 

 

 

If your curse ever turns on us I'm going to figure out how to torture a curse and then I'm going to really really enjoy torturing it to death."

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Pilar thinks, but doesn't say, that if Sevar managed to really really enjoy torturing anyone or anything to death it would probably be good for the condition of her soul.

 

...because saying that would be insolent to her superior.  That must be why Pilar isn't saying it.

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Carissa will go take a nap. It probably is good advice, and, anyway, it's late.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 17 (13) / Long Night

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Carissa sleeps half an hour, wakes up, contemplates sleeping some more, decides that actually she's just dawdling.

 

Goes to Subirachs. 

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Subirachs has had this matter brought to her attention by Security and has already reviewed transcripts.

Her judgment is that Sevar was not going into subspace, she was correctly estimating that this was excellent good news on the surface of things.

What lies underneath the surface of things remains questionable and it is unfortunately among Sevar's primary jobs as leader of Project Lawful to question it, so she cannot just relax and take her superiors' word about how well things are going.  Subirachs can confirm that Keltham's overt behavior looked like excellent news to her.  Subirachs cannot, and the Most High and the Queen probably cannot, speak to whether all of this is some incredible plot by Cayden Cailean of which Asmodeus is unaware.  If that's so, it would in fact fall to Sevar to not just watch for that possibility but think about it.  She cannot take on the duty of a simple slave, here, alas.

But if Sevar is wondering whether she was just imagining things, no, she wasn't, that looked like progress to Subirachs too.  Producing that kind of progress is not all of Sevar's given duty, but it is a large part of it.  Especially when it comes to the sort of duty that anyone has any idea how to do.  And by "anyone" Subirachs means the Chosen of Asmodeus, because nobody else seems to be able to make any progress on it except Pilar and Yaisa as prompted by Snack Service.

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This particular progress felt almost entirely self-prompted by Keltham, maybe with some help from Her Majesty, whose letter he seemed to find fascinating. But it does seem like good news. Possibly corrupting Keltham will just work and in a couple of months they'll be able to mostly stop lying; they should proceed on the assumption that's not going to be the case, though.

 

Does Subirachs have advice or correction.

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Intelligent slaves can sometimes learn to take joy in more complicated judgments of their superiors than 'you did that perfectly'.  There's also 'you did that as well as mortals ever do under their circumstances'.  Even Pilar, when she got back from Elysium, had Aspexia Rugatonn list out everything she did wrong, and was assigned punishment - before Aspexia Rugatonn told her that she'd done as well as mortals ever do, and reminded Pilar that pride was also among Asmodeus's domains.

If tomorrow this all ends and they all go to Hell for it, and learn that it only worked to Cayden Cailean's own plans in the end, Subirachs thinks that Hell would not account them disobedient, nor more incompetent than usual for mortals.  They did receive visions of Asmodeus and orders out of Hell, and they followed them, and worked as best they could at what seemed to be their task despite their doubts.  If you are past the whiny idea that Hell should accept that as a full excuse, and not punish you at all for failing, then Subirachs imagines that Hell would be accepting about it, if not forgiving.

Obedience and working diligently at one's task are what Asmodeus demands of mortals.  He is glad perhaps when His mortals succeed in advancing His interests, but obedience and diligence to His instructions are what it is Asmodeus's nature as a god to demand.

Sevar was instructed by her superiors to seduce Keltham to Asmodeus; she dangled before him the prize of her sexuality to conquer; he found himself challenged, driven, proud upon the matter; and Keltham has now, 'self-prompted', attached a heating stone to her while making sexual use of her, named himself her owner, and taken pride in how he's already reshaped her through torment.

Some types of slaves of Asmodeus - including, Subirachs thinks, Sevar herself - are more useful to Asmodeus when they allow themselves to ever feel pleasure about a job apparently well done.  You can see how it could go wrong if those slaves went around telling themselves about jobs they thought were well done, all the time; but when your superior tells you that you have been a good slave, it is just plain allowed to be proud of that, it is true because they say so, over and done.  This is what Pilar was trying to tell Sevar is one of the nice things that Asmodeans are allowed to have.

Pilar, being strong in her faith, was able to set aside her continuing fear of Cayden Cailean's machinations, after the Most High told her that she, Pilar, had done as well as mortals ever do, in willingly returning from Elysium - that Pilar had done her own part as a slave, well enough to deserve some pride, whatever the manipulations of gods around her.

That Pilar had done well was then unshakably true for her, not because Pilar believed the Most High was infallible, but because her superior had told Pilar so, and that is how slavery works under Asmodeus.  It wasn't Pilar's place to question her having done well.  That you can sometimes be certain of having done well, is one of the nice things that Asmodeans get to have; that's not why Asmodeus does it, but it's definitely how He wants it done.

Sevar has done well.

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It feels - not dath ilani - and Carissa's first instinct is to just not think about that right now but it feels like it won't land like it should, like a complete and wonderful and comforting answer, until she's thought it through, so -

 

Can something be unshakeably true?

 

- obviously there is an objective fact of the matter about whether Carissa is doing well enough, and she and her superiors could be wrong about it. They could mistakenly think she is doing well enough, when actually she's not doing well enough and tomorrow it'll all come crashing down. 

 

But they can't be wrong about whether Carissa is a good Asmodean, whether she did a good job as an Asmodean, is what Subirachs is saying, what Pilar was saying. Because that's not an objective fact of the world, to be falsified by it. It's a - ownership-tag, like property rights, something about the world that is how it is because we say that's how it's so, and she hasn't yet worked out all the desirable properties that produced Asmodeus's specific system of tagging but -

- but the tag for Carissa says she did well, here, and even if she screws up tomorrow it'll say she did well up to this point, that is just true and Subirachs has the power to make it so.

 

 

Right.

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"I think I understand, now. I am pleased to be of service to Lord Asmodeus and to Cheliax."

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"I intend to commend this continuing progress to the Queen's attention, and suggest that she reward you by sending here a subordinate enchanter to assist on your crafting projects."

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Oh, that would be nice. Both the Queen being informed part, which was obviously going to happen but still Carissa's pleased about it, and the project help, which will maybe let her only do the interesting parts of making the Glibness swords - if she can explain to someone else the obvious things you have to do when you're making a sword tiny...

 

 

Asmodeans, she thinks, aren't supposed to deserve rewards for good work? She doesn't ask, it'd be halfway insubordinate, but the question is there, if Subirachs is reading her mind.

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"Asmodeans don't think they deserve rewards for good work.  You do it or you get punished, and you don't ever start thinking you're owed anything for your work."

"It is sometimes useful to your superiors, and at other times simply their whim, that you receive rewards even though it is impossible that you deserve them."

"On this occasion, it is useful because it will remind you that your superiors hold the power to reward as well as to punish, which is something that often matters to someone's emotions when it comes to it being made true that you have done right because your superior says so.  It is useful because it will nurture your pride.  There's also the fact that what you're actually getting is, in fact, assistance that will make you more useful to Cheliax, advance your project for Cheliax, and free up some of your time that was going to be spent on things less important to Cheliax."

"I am explaining all this explicitly, as should not usually be done with a slave, because it is something you must learn alongside the uses of pain - a little less urgently, perhaps, but it will not go well for the Project if you do not know how to use rewards alongside torment.  Including that the rewarding not be done in such a way as that it comes to feel deserved; which, for those less Asmodean than Pilar, often follows along immediately from reward coming to feel expected."

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"I understand."

'as should not usually be done with a slave' reminds her of something that she doesn't know what to do with, something that still feels confusing, but she has no idea how to put it into words. It's something about how she's not Keltham's slave, because of how she's running an elaborate conspiracy against him, and actually she thinks that the true key to who Carissa is has as much to do with the conspiracy as it does with getting hit, but she's not not his, if he learned the whole truth tomorrow and agreed to stay then it really would be real - she isn't sure what answer she's looking for here, or even what question she has, but it's a vague uneasy that is not obviously just 'vague unease because I'm being a heretic' or 'vague unease because I stupidly fell in love'.

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"You remarked earlier of how you were trying to really be Keltham's slave, because you desired that, if he wholly converted to Evil, you selfishly wanted for that Keltham, your greatest accomplishment, to consider your punishment warranted to be one you could withstand."

"You are being a true slave to that Keltham, the Keltham-who-will-be.  He would want his current self freed of his chains."

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- nod.

 

"All right. I want to do one more practice run of 'Keltham gets around to asking questions about slavery', I think Asmodia wanted to do the predictions collector that Keltham told us about in lecture, I want to test the new arrivals in person on their understanding of the objectives here and -

 

- and I was thinking I should take my punishment for thinking dismissively of Asmodeus tonight, when Keltham's going to be noticing things consistent with my having been in pain in the morning anyway."

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"You're also thinking you should take your punishment tonight, I would guess, because - I have not seen it in your thoughts and perhaps neither have you, but -"

"You saw that even Keltham was getting around to doing painful unpleasant things.  Part of you wondered deep down if you're really as strong as you think, having not yet gotten around to your own unpleasant thing, somehow.  You are better at enduring torment, but are you better at getting around to it?"

"You saw that Keltham was learning how to use torment, faster than you are, indeed.  Some inner part of you is feeling competitive.  Your inner part thinks it's because he's dath ilani, but it's not, it's because he's actually getting around to practicing and pushing his limits."

"You instinctively don't want to start expecting rewards.  You're justly afraid of what will happen to you if you do that.  There are wordless parts of you that are starting to appreciate that pain now has a use in preventing yourself from flying too high and incurring worse pain later.  That wordless part of you is in fact correct about that.  It is indeed wise for you to take your punishment now, after having just heard of your good work made true and your undeserved reward, given that it must come to you at some time or another."

"These are not certain guesses.  But they are obvious ones."

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" - yes. I think you/re right. 

 

 

 

 

I think that I should go to a temple in Ostenso, just an ordinary one that won't recognize me, with a punishment code for thinking disrespectfully of Asmodeus."

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"To humble your pride?  That's a true question.  I can guess your intuition here but not know it yet; you did not think it in words."

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" - sort of? To stop thinking of punishing myself as something that has to be done exactly right, for me to benefit from it, instead of something that I have to get good at benefitting from, regardless of what exactly it is."

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"Chosen, you are slaver now and not only slave.  You need to think of torments as tools that have effects.  Rugatonn assigned you this task specifically so that you would learn to use torture, not only because you were starting to be reckless.  If you learn how to benefit from any random torment you are given, you will not have learned something useful for ruling over Project Lawful, because they won't have that skill."

"Bluntly, Sevar, you have a mental block on choosing torments and not just enduring them.  You have a block against it even when that makes no sense from the standpoint of either Asmodeus's interests or your own.  You refused me specific input on what instruments I should requisition to lend to Keltham, though admittedly with some fortuitous results.  You refused me specific input on how to punish you for your failure in the game you designed, after I told you that you would regret not being specific."

"You will not go in with a punishment code for heresy and leave the exact choice of torment to the temple.  You will think about what exactly could be done to you, you will think about its probable effect on you, you will decide on a punishment that you think will teach you not to disrespect Asmodeus in the future, you will actually undergo this punishment.  You will not let them assign you some torment you didn't choose, and then try to learn the intended lesson regardless.  It's a reasonable thing for an Asmodean to want to learn, but it is not what Aspexia Rugatonn told you to learn."

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" - acknowledged."

 

But she doesn't WANT to try to come up with specific - that's really stupid, now that it's out in the open -

- but she doesn't expect the specifics matter. That's...also probably stupid? Of course the specifics matter. In any other kind of teaching the specifics matter a lot. 

Is there a better objection lying there?

 

 

If you were trying to explain what Abrogail did to Carissa, you would not get anywhere by saying that she let Carissa run around for a while, then lit her on fire a couple of times, then carved runes into her skin, then petrified her. Those are all things that happened, but they aren't the operative ingredients of the thing that happened. Abrogail started with an aim in mind - to drive Carissa into a particular state - and then picked tools that produced that state. 

 

Why is it hard to relate to herself that way? She wants to get Carissa into a particular state - she wants to become the competent ilani Asmodean that she'll need to be for all the work she has ahead. So what are the tools for that job?

...well, obviously, lectures from Keltham, and from the High Priestess, those are tools for the job. But they're not punishments. 

Having someone sear Asmodeus's holy symbol into her skin with a hot poker is not counterproductive for making her the competent ilani Asmodean she's supposed to be. It's unpleasant, so it's serving one of the purposes of punishment. It can drive her to the state of miserable desperation where she wishes she had not erred. It is obviously a satisfactory response. But - it feels stupid? It feels unsatisfactory, as a result to 'how do you make Carissa better', like, you'd never come up with that if you were starting from scratch -

 

If she were starting from scratch, and someone thought disrespectfully about Asmodeus, what would she do, after she explained their error? Maybe have them talk to a devil much smarter than them, and be punished for every error in their understanding; that seems like it'd inculcate the appropriate sense of how those who command us are wiser than us, and have thought more deeply, and we should not assume them stupid. But she's already got a bit of a problem where punishments need to feel big and dramatic to suit her, and that's simply not sustainable on a society-wide scale....

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Well, now the Chosen seems to be trying to invent the entire ilani theory of torture from scratch on the spot, and Jacint's not going to interrupt that or comment on it until Sevar gets visibly stuck.

...possibly some of the problem here may be that Sevar has been tortured by Abrogail and taught by Keltham, and is now trying to hold her own concept of corrective torture to that frankly ludicrous standard in both respects, to the point where everything she can think of as a beginner seems so awful that she can't think of anything?  That kind of perfectionistic mental block can develop in professional-level slaves, or so Jacint has heard.

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Carissa is actually thinking that since she's just starting out it'd be all right if whatever she comes up with is only half as useful per unit of time as Abrogail at torture and half as useful per unit of time as Keltham at teaching. You don't get the Starstone by standing at the moat daydreaming about it. 

 

What things can you at least sometimes get from torture.

- person regrets having done the thing they did. In this specific case Carissa already regrets it because it was incorrect; she isn't sure she needs additional regretting it

- no, better to think, she isn't sure why she needs additional regretting it. What does regretting it past the point of having been corrected achieve? Possibly it inculcates habits against similar mistakes? Not only will you not make this mistake again, you won't make related mistakes either? Or maybe there's something like - you have both a conscious and a subconscious system for arriving at beliefs, and arguments speak to the conscious one, and pain speaks to the unconscious one, and to actually stop making mistakes you need them corrected on both levels? That feels - right, it feels like the sort of premise you could build something like Cheliax on and explain it to someone like Keltham, so assume for now it's true -

- the dumbest most straightforward kind of punishment to align the subconscious with truth would be, when you think something wrong, you instantly receive a painful shock, until your brain learns not to have thoughts like that. Unfortunately Cheliax doesn't have the resources to deliver punishments instantly, which is why much of what punishment is must be internalized - you instantaneously feel a sense of terror at the thought you just had, and unpleasant anticipation. of the eventual punishment, and that dread is what keeps your mind in line with truth. And then the actual punishment is just to deliver on the promise and keep the dread around for next time. 

- but there seems to be a problem with that? Peranza's problem could be diagnosed in part as that she has installed self-punishment for so many of her thoughts that even when she's allowed to think them she can't, and everyone thinks she's at the highest risk of having a meltdown and becoming unsalvageable. So punishment needs to be designed to avoid the failure mode where the subconscious correction fires excessively, even at thoughts that are necessary for achieving Asmodeus's goals. Possibly Cheliax as it exists now isn't very good at avoiding this failure mode because it only comes up when you drop someone into a context sufficiently far outside the one they're familiar with. 

- Pilar doesn't flinch with dread or terror from any of her thoughts, and is a very good Asmodean. She knows she'll be punished sometimes, but she doesn't mind that; her internal attitude towards it is not one of dread. That seems better. How do you get that. 

- Carissa seems to have dismantled lots of her very important internal processes for punishing herself for thoughts. Some of this she did at Abrogail's behest, because thoughts and feelings are tied closely together and Abrogail wanted her to stop looking away from her feelings. Some of this she did because the flinches kept getting in the way of figuring out how to do her job. That does put her, though, in a dangerous position; she might fail to flinch away from something she was really really supposed to flinch away from, and end up condemning Asmodeus. It is worth hurting herself very badly, to avoid that. It's just not obvious what kind of hurting her will in fact avoid that. 

- She feels like this is an extremely hard case for punishment and not actually a particularly good place to teach her how punishment works! It makes sense for her to be assigning and conducting torture sessions for normal people who it won't be a catastrophe to punish either excessively or insufficiently but it seems like really, someone qualified should be assigning torture sessions to an extremely complicated case who it's catastrophic to err with! 

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"Chosen, you are trying, again, to accomplish too much with one torture session."

"You are not going to accomplish half as much as the Queen in the same time.  The thought is almost absolutely absurd.  You have been frankly spoiled for how torture works for everyone else.  The Queen, if she was explaining exactly what she did to you, would - know how her carving a series of runes into your skin, gave you a sense of approaching dread as the runes visibly approached completion, or rather, even I know that part, but she would have some plan encompassing that sense of approaching dread, whose diminishing time was a vital part, a reason why your thoughts had to be under an apparent time pressure right then.  The Queen would have some reason why that carving was exactly as painful as it was, maybe about how much your thoughts were focusing there and on other things she wanted you to think.  I don't know because I'm not Abrogail fucking Thrune!"

"I hope for Abarco's sake that the Queen has at no point read a full transcript of his rape of you, because she will think that he was doing every single part of it completely wrong.  I don't know how she'll think it was completely wrong.  If I knew that the Queen would have previously made me a para-Duchess of Cheliax and attached me to her personal service.  I can't hope to match her, I am, after all, nothing but a seventh-circle priestess of Asmodeus specializing in slavery."

"If you were literally anyone else but the Chosen of Asmodeus, I would tell you to completely give up hope of ever matching the twentieth part of the prowess of Abrogail Thrune."

"As it stands I am telling you to temporarily reduce the scope of your ambitions."

"Rugatonn's words to you were, 'You have flown very high and very far, and I think there is starting to be in you some of the recklessness that you saw in Asmodia.'  Asmodia solved her problem by lighting her hand on fire for thirty seconds.  Said also the Most High, 'Consult with Subirachs and devise a punishment for yourself that you expect to restore your cautionary judgment about when to decide in your thoughts that Lord Asmodeus would be a fool.  If enduring that torment makes you weaker, if it fails and must be repeated stronger, you will have only yourself to blame for either end.'"

"Mark how the Most High did not say that you were to be tortured into absolute loyalty to Asmodeus henceforth, or that you were to never think any such thoughts again.  She challenged you to devise a punishment that would restore such cautionary judgment as you might have had before flying so high and far.  Ordinary caution such as any good Asmodean might have.  And if your punishment proves too light?  Did the Most High say that you would then be deemed a failure and cast into Hell?  Did she say that in this event the Project would descend into catastrophe?  No, she said that you might need to be punished again and stronger."

"You already regret your error.  That does, in fact, do most of the work.  You still need to be punished to complete that regret, to let something deep inside you know that what was above you was displeased and retains the power to punish.  Something deep within you needs to be reminded that your fears are real and not just a payment to be indefinitely deferred."

"Having Asmodeus's holy symbol seared into you with a hot poker is not something I would assign for this case, myself.  But it would work, given that you already regret the error, or rather, it would work if you could manage to stop thinking of it as stupid.  Of course it feels stupid.  You're a child taking her first steps and the standard to which you're holding yourself is Abrogail fucking Thrune."

"It's not how you would restore Carissa Sevar's caution in her thoughts if you were thinking out a plan from scratch?  What then?  Speaking to a devil and being punished for every error of thought?  I doubt Gorthoklek is allowed to offer us such a powerful assistance as that, or that lesser devils even could.  That's not a plan for restoring Carissa Sevar's ordinary cautionary judgment.  That's a plan for how Keltham freed of his chains would remake Pilar Pineda into a devil native to Golarion."

"But if that seems to you more like it's on the right track than being seared with a pentagram, then perhaps you could ask yourself what would be some vastly less ambitious form of that same plan, such as might be prescribed to Tonia for some serious heresy of thought and to restore a similar ordinary caution."

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This is overwhelming and stressful and INFINITELY WORSE THAN BEING TORTURED and Carissa hates it, hates how her thoughts are bouncing around between ideas, wants to yell at Subirachs, which would at least cause the torturing-of-Carissa to happen without further deliberate effort required on Carissa's part, wants to slap Subirachs which would get to it even sooner -

 

 

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- instead of that she crosses to the fireplace, in which a fire is burning merrily, and steps in, and curls up in a ball and cries. 

 

 

 

This is probably not the best solution to any of her problems but it does solve them! Technically!!

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She notes a slight flash of pity in herself about how Sevar is trying to learn all this in weeks instead of years, and reflexively crushes the emotion without very much thought other than that.

Subirachs dispassionately watches Sevar burning in the fireplace, continuing to monitor her thoughts by way of Security.

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There's some insight here to incorporate into the broader picture, about how being in all-consuming pain is much much better than other things such as not knowing how to do your job, but she can't flesh it out right now properly, because of the all-consuming pain. The mostly-consuming pain. The quite a lot of pain which is nonetheless still leaving a shred of the internal monologue she'd been kind of hoping to shut up. 

 

Carissa's working theory, she thinks rather distantly at Subirachs, is that Carissae are not meant to decide their punishments, because their standards for themselves are too high; this seems like possibly another shard of ilani Asmodeanism, not that she can flesh it out properly either. A punishment from someone else she can endure more or less gracefully, but a punishment for herself can only ever be inadequate, unless it has destroyed that within her which finds everything inadequate, which they do not want.

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Subirachs waits until Sevar has burned longer than the punishment she would actually have needed to assign herself, then crosses over to the fireplace with quick steps, and, not without a touch of cruelty, taps Sevar with Resist Energy (fire) followed by Cure Light Wounds.

"Enough, Sevar.  I think you are not likely to disrespect Asmodeus in your thoughts again, now that more suffering has come of it for you than simple regret.  All that is needful to complete the regret is that the punishment be real.  Nothing more than that should have been necessary.  It is one reason why Rugatonn gave you that first assignment; almost anything you tried should have worked."

"If you cannot punish yourself because it is never enough, that is a known slave psychology which would, unfortunately, be a deal safer in a more ordinary slave.  It is likely to be connected to other issues."

"You should, at the very least, be able to invent suggestions for me, and then believe me if I tell you some suggestion is good enough.  If you cannot believe me about that, it may indicate a flaw in your subordinacy by which not even your superior can punish you enough to set you right and make you clean.  And that, Carissa Sevar, is making life harder on yourself than Asmodeus wants of you.  Do think about that.  Very few people in all Cheliax have occasion to be told it.  Ever."

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She might need that repeated. It had a lot of steps.

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Then she will repeat it all slower.

Subirachs can be patient, when an important slave has otherwise been performing well while loaded down with an unreasonably vast workload.

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"I think I understand. I'll - try to do better." Try to just have a default suggestion which she can put forward with no expectation it will in any way be better than the default thing; making it good for her is her problem.

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"You will perhaps acquire more expertise about that as you learn the uses of torment on other personnel within your small tyranny.  On whom you will need to practice, if you cannot practice on yourself.  Do realize, there are people here besides Keltham and his women who can make mistakes.  The next time one of those infuriates you, consider experimenting."

"...that seems like a topic for another time, however.  For now, I'd suggest that you go take this night's sleep."

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"Yes, High Priestess." She's right, though. Carissa is falling behind on cruelty lessons.

 

Hopefully just because she's juggling too many things.

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While Sevar sleeps, Asmodia sets up their first prediction markets!

There's three rolling prediction markets on whether Tonia, Peranza, or any other researcher, break in the next week, which Tonia and Peranza aren't to know the current forecasts on.  Asmodia requested, and Maillol backed her, that every Security be required to bet at least one silver in all three markets, since they're the ones reading people's thoughts.  If the third market starts to go high, she'll start creating markets for the other girls.

Security was not, in fact, particularly reluctant to start betting in this market!  Peranza is running at 10%, Tonia at 5%.

There's a market about whether Yaisa ends up with an incredibly interesting background or problem or superpowers on account of tropes, since she apparently matched one of Keltham's fetishes.  Ione initially bought this market up to 60%, but strong counterbuying pressure has dropped it down to 23% since.

There's a market with three possible outcomes - the generalization seemed obvious enough to Asmodia - about whether Cayden Cailean is actually backing the Project in exchange for a Hell that Cayden Cailean considers improved, or if Cayden Cailean / Pilar's curse is planning to outright betray the Project at some point, or if something else is going on.  Nobody seems willing to bet on any outcome besides 'something else' and it's possible this market may end up being shut down and refunded.

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Meritxell thinks there should be a market on some lower-stakes stuff, for practice - who Keltham'll want to sleep with next, or what he'll next lecture on, or whether he'll ask a question about [slavery/infanticide/how people get sorted into afterlives/elemental binding/other species], which would be helpful for prioritizing practice on their answers for those things.

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Asmodia is worried about betting fatigue being a thing, and the extent to which none of them really have much solid information about Keltham the way that Security have solid info about people's secret thoughts... but if Meritxell is willing to step forward and say that she has guesses about some of these markets, Asmodia will set them up.  Worst case, nobody wants to bet against Meritxell and things get refunded.

The who-will-Keltham-sleep-with-today market is one that should be run where Keltham can see it, or maybe just see the previous day's results, and he can make sure they're doing it right!

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Yes, Keltham will be charmed they're trying the prediction-markets thing and will correct them if they've got it wrong, and maybe some of the girls who haven't had much character development can do really well in the markets and get his attention that way. 

 

Gregoria asks if the project is in fact served by more people sleeping with Keltham. It kind of seems like it has enough of that.

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"We're about to introduce the new students and some of them were chosen for usefulness for the Keltham sex corruption project, so I do hope he's not tired of variety. - I'm not even sure men get tired of variety. You can stop being prickly about it, no one's going to drag you into his bed until he's Evil enough to do it himself. I think betting fatigue is a real risk but I'm most concerned about betting fatigue among us, Security's job is objectively boring ninety percent of the time and the former Project girls can bet too. Of course, maybe only Project girls are any good at betting, but that'd be interesting in itself."

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They could try running a policy prediction market on this!  Let's say, Project's chance of continuing past its second month if Keltham sleeps with at most two more girls, whichever are most useful for corruption, versus if Keltham sleeps with more girls than that.

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"I really feel like if anyone has any basis for guessing either way on that they could just tell me their basis but - sure, let's try it."

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...though they're going to have to think up some policy prediction market that Keltham is allowed to know about, too, so that the researchers don't seem anomalously familiar with policy prediction markets later.

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Carissa has learned not to argue with Asmodia when she says things like that even though it doesn't seem strictly necessary to her. "Could set up a public one on whether, if Keltham proceeds at full speed, some people will have breakdowns about realizing they're made of lies? - that looks different in alter Cheliax but we should probably figure out what it does look like in alter Cheliax, now that we've warned him about it."

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Asmodia does NOT want to try to figure out what FAKE BETTING PATTERNS on this vital alter-Cheliax issue would look like until she knows what NORMAL betting patterns look like.

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Sure. It's the obvious thing Keltham'll want information on, though, so they'd better get some harmless markets about how to approach spellsilver in first.

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For policy prediction markets, Keltham will want issues where it's not clear what policy will be taken - you can't bet any more on what happens if Keltham proceeds slowly, they already decided to be fast - unless Sevar is worried that Keltham will say he's reconsidering and run a policy market again -

Um, sure, they can ask Keltham for two different things he's considering doing about spellsilver so they can practice running a policy market about it.


When are the new researchers being brought in, by the by?  Asmodia is looking forwards to some parts of that.

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Tonight, for secret orientation; the day after will be their apparent arrival as far as Keltham knows.

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They're being introduced to Keltham TOMORROW?  Overnight is a relatively short schedule for Asmodia to finish drilling everyone on real/alter differences.  Did anyone already tell Keltham that they were going to arrive tomorrow?  Asmodia needs to drill them on alterCheliax facts.  Asmodia needs to make sure they're in exactly the right alternate universe before Keltham meets them.  Asmodia needs to make sure that they understand the basic Lawful principle that Keltham uses to accumulate events that are at all noticeably less probable or more probable in Ordinary versus Conspiracy worlds, and that even when Keltham sees something unlikely within Conspiracy as he currently imagines it, that narrows down the possible Conspiracies he could be inside.

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 Keltham has not been told when they're arriving and if her professional recommendation is that it wait longer it can wait longer. They have in principle been briefed on all that, but Carissa bets they don't in fact understand it.

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Then Asmodia will SLIGHTLY RELAX because at least she will not be under DEADLY TIME PRESSURE on this particular occasion.

...are the newcomers under the lighter punishment regimen immediately, or should Asmodia light them up when they fuck up in alterCheliax drills?

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Normal punishments at least until they're introduced to Keltham; she doesn't want their first introduction to Project Lawful to simultaneously be that it's much more important than anything they've done before and that they won't be seriously punished for failure.

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...good.  They should fear making a mess on her wall.


(Hopefully Asmodia can get that part done before she knows any of them well enough to start slightly caring about them.)

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And if they can't handle themselves under pressure better for that to come to light before they meet Keltham.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 17 (13) / Still Nighttime

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"Evening, newcomers.  My name is Asmodia.  Just Asmodia.  I have no family worth mentioning, and don't come from anywhere important enough that I'd want to adopt that as a second name.  Eighteen days ago I was one of the top students at Ostenso wizard academy, second-circle, and headed to the Worldwound shortly."

"You, perhaps, are a Worldwound veteran, a cleric of Asmodeus, or the heiress of a county."

"None of that matters to your standing in Project Lawful.  Here, only three people in this fortress can override my orders to you, and they are Ferrer Maillol, fifth-circle priest of Asmodeus, Jacint Subirachs, seventh-circle priest of Asmodeus, and Carissa Sevar, also known in certain circles as the Chosen of Asmodeus.  Of those three, the only one who's actually going to override me is Carissa Sevar, because she is the only one of those three who understands my job well enough to tell me I'm fucking it up."

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"You see that wall behind me, with the writing in green, orange, red, purple, and one sentence in black?  That's my fucking wall.  It's my life and it's also the life or death of Project Lawful.  Written on that wall are the most important things Keltham knows about the alternate world of alterCheliax that we're creating for him.  Green is for important facts that are true in both realCheliax and alterCheliax.  Orange is for things true only of alterCheliax that I currently believe we're fairly safe on.  Red is where Keltham is asking questions, where he thinks something might be wrong, or where I think he might decide something wrong's later.  Purple sentences are places where we haven't told any particular lies, but if Keltham thinks too much in that direction we still lose, and so nobody is to prompt his thoughts there if possible - Keltham dying in order to meet his god, for example."

"Black is inconsistency, places where Keltham has been exposed to information that destroys our lie if he looks in the right place, thinks in the right direction.  There's one sentence written there in black, we think we got away with it, if Keltham hasn't spotted the moon's wrong phase by now he's almost certainly never going to, and that sentence in black bought us days of rest and recovery and background work and ability to catch our breath that we all desperately needed."

"You know why the person who's responsible for that black sentence got away with it?  Because she's the Queen of Cheliax.  If you are responsible for a black sentence going up on my wall you will not get away with it."

"You will also not have a good day if you're responsible for a red sentence going up.  You will have a check-in with me every single time I write an orange sentence on there, that wasn't there before, that I or Carissa Sevar did not tell you to put there.  You will possibly have a chat with me if there's a new green sentence on there I end up unhappy about, because every fact like that can no longer be modified or contradicted now that we've told Keltham about them.  Unfortunately we can't all just shut up around Keltham either, because he would notice that.  That's not something that happens in alterCheliax, see.  Any time your alter-self from alterCheliax would tell Keltham something, you're going to have to tell him something.  If hesitating in alterCheliax would be improbable, you will not have time to request and receive orders and you will need to make something up.  Fun, isn't it?  If you want to fucking survive, if you don't want your soul torn apart in Hell after your death, you will come to me for help before you get into trouble."

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"Is your pride offended, that I'm talking to you like this?  You think you're above me, and that I'm some petty thing assigned a petty job who's gone mad with the petty power that implies?  Then you haven't understood a copper's worth of what Project Lawful is about.  My soul is the property of a Count of Hell, last that Cheliax heard of it, and the reason for that is that Barons of Hell can't afford me.  You think you could summon a Count of Hell to buy your soul, because you're heiress of a county, because you're a Worldwound veteran?  They'd laugh at you and then destroy you.  Hell doesn't care for your petty mortal accomplishments.  Neither does Project Lawful."

"My soul got sold before anybody including Hell realized how valuable it was going to turn out to be.  Now you're going to have to sell an option on your soul to Carissa Sevar before we start making you valuable, enabling her to buy back your soul for not much more than the trivial pittance you'll sell it for, because otherwise Hell cannot afford to buy you without bankrupting their ability to pay out for other souls in Golarion.  As happens to be important for the government of Cheliax to continue operating."

"That insane price, that incredible value to Hell, reflects what Project Lawful is going to make of you.  What Project Lawful has started to make of me, though I'm still a work in progress.  It comes from learning the Law, mostly from Keltham, but also from me, because I'm the other one besides Keltham who can and will teach it to you.  Your county, your service at the Worldwound, the soul markets in Dis don't care shit.  They care that you might be able to master what gets taught here.  Period.  And in that, there is no mortal of Golarion who is my peer except Carissa Sevar, and only Keltham out of dath ilan above us both."

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"You hate me?  You're thinking about how to get rid of me?  Pray to Asmodeus that you fail.  There's a note on my Security file from Aspexia Rugatonn saying that anybody who manages to lose my services to Cheliax is going to have an incredibly bad time, which, if you're wondering, is because Aspexia Rugatonn has required of me that I train her successor.  And even that fate would be a pleasant one compared to what Abrogail Thrune will do to you, in person, followed by speculators in Dis's markets spectacularly angry about lost investments, if you fuck up my job."

"It will probably occur to you, at some point or another, that I seem to be insane.  I'm not going to bother telling you that, if you had my job, you'd go insane too.  You wouldn't.  You are the cream and elite of Cheliax.  You'd approach everything in a calm and professional manner, and then you'd fucking fail.  In the unlikely event you could actually do my job, yes, you would also be insane."

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"I've never had much faith inside me, but I like to think that, somewhere out there, there is a goddess in much the same position I am, who has to maintain the real universe against all the fools trying to muck it up.  And if so, I have a feeling, somehow, that whoever that goddess is, she doesn't get much support from Pharasma."

"The universe I maintain was envisioned and created by Carissa Sevar.  She is not in the Boneyard.  She will not judge you after you die.  She is here, judging you now."

"Evening, newcomers.  Welcome to Project Lawful, fresh meat.  My name is Asmodia, and I'm going to annoy the shit out of you any time you try to have any fun with this.  And you're going to suck it up and take that, because, unlike Pharasma, Sevar is on her fucking job."

"And Sevar doesn't like it when anyone gets in the way of my job."

"I've got an even shittier job than that goddess does, in a lot of ways, but at least I've got that."

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"To the left of me we see Ione Sala, heretic and betrayer of Asmodeus and now oracle of Nethys - that part is true only in realCheliax - or in alterCheliax that weird adorable girl touched by Nethys - false, orange - who borrows books from the Ostenso academy library inside a Forbiddance - green.  You don't pick on her for any of that, because it presently looks like Nethys is maybe possibly in with Asmodeus on this - Ione gave us thirty seconds of warning about Nidal's assault on the last Project site and plausibly saved the entire thing.  Your current orders are not to fuck with her."

"In alterCheliax, Ione is the Project's Nethysian Safety Officer, charged by Keltham to make sure we don't hurt ourselves or go insane.  She does much the same thing in realCheliax.  She has zero actual Project authority.  If she gives you a warning, you should probably listen to her even if she's being smug about it."

"Ione herself will tell you that she is Chosen and Blessed of Nethys.  She'll also tell you that Nethys is smuggest of the gods, and that it's heresy to suggest that anything cannot or should not explode.  If any of you know actual Nethysian theology you are not allowed to tell her about it, because that, apparently, would be even worse."

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"To the right of me we see Pilar Pineda, by far the most loyal person to Asmodeus of anyone here, whose soul got misdirected to Elysium and who came back to Cheliax willingly, trusted of Aspexia Rugatonn, probably going to be the only sane person left after everybody else on this Project goes mad.  Heard any rumors about how Project Lawful supposedly cleansed Egorian of spies?  That was Pilar.  She did it over the course of a day while the rest of us were taking a break."

"Pilar is the oracle of Cayden Cailean.  Her oracular curse goes by the name of Snack Service and delivers us cookies, cake, and apparently good advice about how to corrupt Keltham to Asmodeanism."

"I wish to Pharasma I was joking about any of that, but I'm not."

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"Here we have Meritxell.  Meritxell was at the top of our year in Ostenso.  Meritxell is the most normal person who has ever fucked Keltham.  I would personally bet on Meritxell being the second-to-last person on this Project to go insane."

"Gregoria, Peranza, Tonia are the next most normal survivors of Project Lawful.  They probably have some other personality traits but I can't be arsed to remember what they are right now.  All of them have prices in Dis that would buy literally one hundred of you."

"Yaisa, failed Project Lawful girl.  Now Keltham's full-time personal whore, except that around him we call her a sex worker.  She's played a minor part in corrupting Keltham.  If we pull any of this off and it looks like Yaisa was at all important to the process, she'll end up a Duchess somewhere after the new Cheliax conquers Golarion, as will be our standard reward for moderately good service, according to the Queen."

"Not present are Paxti, Pela, and Jacme, failed Project Lawful girls.  They're still around the fortress and Keltham may check in on them sometimes.  Don't fuck with them either, because I say so is fucking why.  If you do anything that wouldn't have happened to them in alterCheliax, which changes them or their attitude in ways it wouldn't have changed in alterCheliax, I'm the one who cleans up your fucking mess.  Part of that process will be my making sure you don't create future messes."

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"Now, I'll turn you over to Carissa Sevar, Worldwound veteran, fourth-circle wizard in magical capacity but with spellcraft to match seventh, the first person who spoke to Keltham in Golarion, first of what became known as the Project Lawful girls, now commander of Project Lawful, lover of Keltham, lover also of Abrogail Thrune, sometimes called Chosen of Asmodeus.  Sevar isn't allowed to sell her soul to Hell yet, for some still-unknown reason, but the last time she tried she asked for permanent arcane sight, permanent Tongues, ten pounds of spellsilver, and three Wishes.  The devil they summoned said not yet but tried to lock in that price for future occasions."

"Welcome to Project fucking Lawful, you poor fuckers.  I haven't even gotten to the really weird parts.  Our Nethysian Sanity Officer warned us that we needed to let the lesser weirdness sink in for a while, before we tried to tell you about the 'tropes'."

"Anyways, Carissa Sevar.  The Chosen of Asmodeus doesn't usually stand on ceremony, but on this particular occasion, I'd suggest that you fucking kneel."

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Asmodia walks a few feet to the side, and kneels herself, along with everyone else present.  With Eagle's Splendour still burning in her, she manages to make the motion look as graceful as it should be.

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"The world that Keltham comes from is richer and more sophisticated than ours, richer and more sophisticated than Hell, likely richer and more sophisticated than anywhere known to the greatest powers of our world.

The purpose of Project Lawful is to learn the engineering knowledge they possess, to make Cheliax wealthy and competent to conquer the rest of the world, and to learn the Law they possess, to improve on the teaching of devils in Hell and perhaps on the teaching of mortals so that more of them possess the nature to become powerful devils.

Keltham, you've been briefed, is a Lawful Neutral cleric of Abadar. He desires to trade openly and honestly with all who will deal honestly with him. He wants to ensure that the knowledge he has of dath ilan benefits everyone in Golarion, not because he thinks of himself as Good in his own right but because he got that knowledge free from dath ilan, and feels obliged to spend it how they would see fit, were they here. Dath ilan is unbearably Lawful Good, having engineered their society in that direction with every tool you might think of plus some you did not know were possible, like heritage-optimization. This is what makes alter-Cheliax necessary; the real Cheliax, Keltham would not trade with, and he'd kill himself and go to Osirion if he came to consider it likely he is being deceived. 

Alter-Cheliax is a harder problem than you think, which is why Asmodia has absolute license to correct and train you in inhabiting it. If Cheliax were ruled by Abadar, how much would fifth-circle wizards be paid? You don't know? Keltham wants to know right now, what's your guess? It'd be strange to not have a guess. You might think your guess can't be wrong; after all, nowhere is Cheliax ruled by Abadar, and so it's the sort of thing that can't be known except maybe somehow to Nethys. But your guess can be inconsistent, with what Keltham understands of the productive economic contributions of wizards, and their scarcity, and who pays them, and how many Security are assigned to Project Lawful. If your number is too low then the salaries Keltham has been quoted for the project don't make any sense and teleportation ought to be more accessible and it's more suspicious that there isn't immigration to Cheliax from Osirion or Taldor. If your number is too high, then the logistics of staffing the Worldwound don't make any sense and the expected revenue from spellsilver improvements ought to be a lot higher. 

Why not just give him the real number? Because in Cheliax fifth-circle wizards needs must have sold their soul, and that wouldn't be true in alter-Cheliax, and it changes the numbers.

Everything is like this. The core art that dath ilan teaches is the art of seeing all the world as a single, interconnected web, every strand of which tugs directly or indirectly on every other strand. Dath ilani are trained in seeing how a tug on one thing - one price, one technology, one number quoted in one book - ought to imply things far across the web about Governance and intelligence distributions and metal refining. There are no safe lies to Keltham because we do not know all the content of the lies we're telling, and there are no safe truths because truth is entangled with the fact that Cheliax is run by Asmodeus and not by Abadar. 

Dath ilan is probably run by an Evil conspiracy of its own, of course. But we cannot contact them, and if we could they'd crush us utterly and repurpose us to their own ends whatever they are."

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"There are a number of errors I anticipate from new additions to this project. One is reasoning too much about why all of the absurd scary things you've been told are less absurd, or less scary, and should not transform all your thinking quite as much as they might look like they should. You might reason, for example, that every secret project in Cheliax probably had ambitions of world domination, that the stakes are probably not quite as high as that, that Hell might tell us falsely of our great value, that nothing you hear is ever really true and so nothing I say should really sway you all that far from whatever posture you walked in with. 

The last time I spoke of the unique importance of this project, and the unimaginable rewards for successful service, Her Majesty arrived to confirm that the project was as important as claimed, and the rewards as real. It is my sincere hope that we will not need to repeatedly waste her time because no one can believe the stakes are real without her personal attention. You will have to unlearn the habit of not believing things; I will assist you, in that, by not saying them unless they are true. Lies are the poor substitute that Cheliax uses on people too stupid to make correct inferences from the truth anyway, employed by people themselves too stupid to think of truth and lies as fundamentally different things. On Project Lawful we are attempting to make you competent to make correct inferences from the truth, and that requires telling it.

You may have heard that there is a lot of heresy on Project Lawful. There is more than you thought, even after Asmodia just introduced you to our resident Nethysian and our resident cursed by Cayden Cailean. The core heresy of Project Lawful is this: the project is premised on the idea that some people can think true things, unabashed, untrained in hiding from all their thoughts with frightening implications, possessed with real competence at thinking, and still be Asmodeans. That means that you are going to have to try thinking, and some of your thoughts will be heresy, and you will have to keep thinking instead of stopping.

This is definitely going to destroy some of you. Those more pessimistic than I think it will destroy all of us in the end except Pilar. Even if it is so that people can think true things and still be Asmodeans, no one has yet tried to construct an Asmodeanism made up entirely of true things, and you'll find yourself believing a bunch of nonsense that doesn't hold together, and then some of you will panic and throw it out. I'm pretty sure there is a beautiful consistent comprehensible truth on the other side, and I am perhaps Chosen by Asmodeus for this work, and I still sometimes find myself lost in what are definitely heresies, in Asmodeus's sight.

The important thing is to keep in mind that errors, while they will be consistently corrected, are only catastrophic if they happen in Keltham's view. Your minds are being constantly read, your loyalty is being closely monitored, but your punishments will be tailored narrowly towards improving your performance, so long as your errors are not deliberate betrayals. You are valuable; I will soon own the rights to your souls; I want you to be stronger and better. I want you to be the best of Cheliax and to grow into the best of Hell."

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"Another error I anticipate is getting too excited to be in a high-stakes project for the fate of the world and perhaps also Hell, and coming to think of yourself as the main character of such a story. Part of the Project is seducing Keltham, so as to show him what Asmodeanism has to offer that Abadar does not; power, and cruelty, and service not traded-for-at-market-rates but won and held. If everyone is seeking their individual importance then many of you, like many of the original girls, will throw yourselves at Keltham seeking to be the one who awakens him to Asmodeanism.

If that is not what you would do in alter-Cheliax, you must not do it. If you don't actually find him attractive, you must not do it.  Until you've satisfied us you understand alter-Cheliax fully, seducing Keltham, or trying to have an interesting backstory for him, must meet my and Asmodia's approval. You may not present to Keltham a face any stranger than you have in the real world, adjusted for alter-Cheliax frequencies of traits occurring; he will be suspicious, if everyone around him seems to want him when they weren't selected for that, if everyone around him has interesting traits that ought, by rights, to be very rare. 

Many of you will sit in the back of the classroom, do the math exercises, do a good job and ask insightful questions, and never feature in a single report to Egorian. This is a commendable trajectory, you will be amply rewarded for it, and it is much much better than trying to get Keltham's attention and fucking up."

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"The final possibility I anticipate is betrayal. Errors, we are attempting to handle with a light hand, because you are valuable, and it is our desire to preserve your value. You will be corrected because it is important that you be right. You will learn and improve and, hopefully, you will play your part in strengthening Cheliax and Hell. If something is necessary for your growth and confidence and success, you are reasonably likely to get it. 

If you deliberately and intentionally try to sell this project out, self-interest and consideration for your value will take a backseat to ensuring that you regret that as much as it is possible for you, or for a lump of bleeding flesh with distant memories of being you, to regret anything. Other countries would love Keltham, and would pay you generously to deliver him; you will not survive trying that, and if you somehow do Hell will still make sure, when you reach them, that it was not worth it. Her Majesty has arranged already that anyone who intentionally betrays this project will suffer as much as possible, forever, even if this cuts into the profit Hell would otherwise have of you.

I don't expect you to believe this, even after I just said that on this project I won't lie to you, but I say that because I dislike it; one of my own pet heresies is that Hell is wasteful, and could make better use of even the most contemptible and useless of souls. I do not desire that anyone make the kind of mistake for which you will suffer forever. It is not a fate I will condemn you to gladly. I am warning you so that you can avoid that. 

It is absolutely an order I will give, if you do betray us. If I got squeamish, Her Infernal Majesty would order it for me, and I don't like wasting her time.

 

 

 

Are there any questions."

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Security reports that they have rather a lot of internal questions, with several people thinking things along the lines of 'I'm already thinking true things and am a good Asmodean', 'This is even more heresy than I was personally warned by the Most High to expect', some amount of nervousness by those who came more voluntarily that they have in fact made poor life choices, and nobody who thinks it especially prudent to voice any of those questions out loud in context.

Most of them are planning to feel out other project members, to determine if they can how they are meant to react to all this, rather than directly confronting Sevar about anything, which would be merely stupid.  Nobody is planning any overt disobedience, which would also be merely stupid.

It has been successfully pressed into them that Cheliax considers this project important and they are not to fuck it up.  If nothing else, the fact that Sevar is still alive after saying all this in front of Security is making an impression.

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About as good as you can expect, really. "All yours," she says to Asmodia, and heads out; she'll still watch, obviously, but they'll be more able to learn not in the presence of someone they've just been informed is very important.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 17 (13) / Yes It's Still Nighttime
PL-placestamp:  Osirion / Black Dome

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"Prediction markets work," Merenre says, ecstatic. "Ninety percent chance they have them in Keltham's world of origin and the rest is mostly 'they have something in that genre but even better which I'm not thinking of'."

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The Pharaoh of Osirion has a really appalling headache, because of Abadar directly communicating detailed information again. He's grateful for the detailed information but sort of vaguely wishing that 'conduit of the will and knowledge of Abadar in the Material Plane' and 'person in charge of running Abadar's country' were separate jobs. And that he had the second one. 

 

"The Chelish prediction markets are even smaller than ours and ours only work a little bit, they're not really better than just having you guess. And Cheliax doesn't have a you. I hope."

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"Oh, yes, the Chelish prediction markets are probably doomed," Merenre says cheerfully. "Unless there's something substantial missing from what You conveyed, they don't have good liquidity, and they're far too small for anyone to earn good money by spending all their time betting on prediction markets, which I think is the key ingredient for prediction markets to be better than useless. The only thing Cheliax is achieving is making themselves perfectly legible to You, and doing their small part to rebuild Prophecy out of contracts so as to restore it to Abadar. But they almost certainly got the idea from Keltham, and that is almost certainly because Keltham's world has it; it's one of the early things you'd reinvent, if you were reinventing, and it's not something you'd invent like this from scratch if you weren't accustomed to it. So prediction markets work, which is why Keltham told Cheliax about them, and Cheliax knows they're ill-equipped to lie to Keltham, which is why they now set up their own presumably-secret markets on whatever the markets are on."

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"I, uh, actually think that the interesting part of the picture here is what the markets are on. 'whether Yaisa ends up with an incredibly interesting background or problem or superpowers on account of tropes, since she apparently matched one of Keltham's fetishes.' 

 

I mean, what????"

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"I see no further than what I said."

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"What is a tropes."

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"Have we called in the Chelish specialist?"

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"They'd never heard of it."

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"Is it a...sex...thing? It's got to be a sex thing."

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"Do you want a market on that?"

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"Are we sure that this isn't just leaking our intelligence directly to all of the gods - I was not aware that prediction markets were an avenue of vulnerability like that -"

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"Only We can see the mortal world so clearly where it is engaged in contracts and bets, and only through Us can Abadar convey what We see." Otherwise this could keep happening to SOMEONE ELSE. 

"And it's very costly, obviously. We're spending thousands of years of normal-intervention here. Another god willing to pay such extraordinary costs might be able to spy on us, but not through the markets; They'd see through whatever lens They see through best. That said, 'are 'tropes' a sex thing' does not sound like a useful market in light of the limitations of low-liquidity markets previously discussed."

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"How about, uh, 'whether Cayden Cailean is actually backing the Project in exchange for a Hell that Cayden Cailean considers improved, or if Cayden Cailean / Pilar's curse is planning to outright betray the Project at some point, or if something else is going on.'"

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"They're plausibly right about that one, something else is going on. Cayden Cailean wouldn't tolerate Hell in anything like its present form. I think they're operating from the assumption that Keltham's presence means they already win, but I'm actually at less than 10%, on them winning. They can't sustain this for long. So Cayden Cailean's unlikely to be negotiating the terms of His surrender. I don't think He can use his oracle as a slave towards values she doesn't have, it's not in His nature. As for why He's helping fence out Iomedae - I have no idea."

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"I think it has something to do with Nefreti's songbird story."

 

 

 

There's a long silence.

 

"I have no further analysis; perhaps if We needed to do fewer things that cause terrific headaches I'd be able to think more."

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"The songbird is...Cheliax? And Cayden Cailean is - metaphor-Cheliax, which sent the songbird to metaphor-Osirion, which is...Asmodeus?"

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"We have a pretty strong consensus in the direction of the songbird being Keltham."

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"I strongly suspect that trying to make sense of Nefreti Clepati not only won't work but is the kind of thing that can't work; if she wanted us to understand what's going on she would have told us what was going on."

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"Then why tell us the songbird thing at all??"

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"I don't know! It was almost like she wasn't talking to Us. This is worsening my headache. What's the third market."

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"Whether Tonia or Peranza or some other girl cracks this week. Which is a nice bump to the odds they can't sustain the deception for a full month; they're already worried about people who try to comprehend any other ideology breaking down."

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"Tonia, Peranza, are those among the families we grabbed?"

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"Tonia yes, Peranza no. Tonia's parents don't know anything, they're farmers who keep their heads down. We wouldn't previously have identified either girl as particularly likely to defect but we have very little on the internals of Project Lawful. I don't think the trading in Dis tracks it all that closely."

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"Are we deferring to them on the odds of the girls having a breakdown?"

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"...my instinct is that they're underestimating it, because they don't have a full picture of the threat surface - of how many things about human values are incompatible with Asmodeanism, about how many lies Cheliax is telling. I expect no one in Cheliax could even list all the lies. But - I'd still give good odds they make it through this week.

Worse odds they make it through a month."

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"Then we'd better start preparing for once Keltham arrives here. Which - means preparing for war, I think - Your Majesty, are you up for this -"

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"I have no reason to expect tomorrow to be any better," says the pharaoh through gritted teeth.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 17 (13) / Endless Night
PL-spacestamp:  Cheliax / Ostenso coastline / Fortress of Law

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(Asmodia has now delivered rather a long lecture on alterCheliax.  She's tried to explain the basic concepts of how Keltham is not looking for things inexplicable in alterCheliax but less likely there than in his concept of the Conspiracy, using the example of Ione telling him a library book was missing.  She's explained that Keltham didn't see Manohar giving Asmodia her headband as especially being a sign of the Conspiracy, but that he'll be narrowing down which Conspiracies are then more likely on the assumption that this is a Conspiracy.

She's conducted a number of individual interviews that have stretched on for a while.

She probably won't be able to finish this all in one night without a Security, or one of the interviewees, or Asmodia herself noticing that their own universe is not being incredibly consistent here.)

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Yeah, Asmodia doesn't think she's going to manage to get this one done on time, unfortunately.  These supposedly smart people are not instantaneously understanding the Law of Probability and all of its consequences for some weird reason.

So apparently the new researchers aren't going to be introduced to Keltham tomorrow!  Day after, maybe?  They can spend tomorrow's daytime reviewing previous Keltham lecture transcripts.  Or maybe a bit of time at the secondary site, hanging around the abducted Taldorian girls pretending to have been likewise abducted themselves; that'll get them some experience pretending to be non-Asmodeans to other non-Asmodeans.

They should not spend too much time around the existing girls before then; Keltham will certainly be on the lookout for signs that Conspirators know each other too well.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 18 (14)

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Keltham now has an enormous quantity of Resist Energy (Acid) spells!  And a couple of Protection from Energy (acid) spells!  And some of the cheaper raw materials and reagents he's requested have arrived!  Today is an Acid Day!

Keltham is going to experiment with regularizing the reactions using Prestidigitation, including more arcane endeavors to modify stuff like the binding forces of outermost electron orbitals, or more mundane attempts to Prestidigate more precisely adjusted exact temperatures inside a reaction vessel.  Though he's improvised some attempted means of measuring temperatures inside pressurized boiling acid containers - haha oops that sure exploded!

Ione maybe did have a point about having some appropriate spells up.  That would have been a lot more painful and possibly a lot harder to heal if it hadn't just been the boiling-liquid damage he took there.  Resist Energy (Fire) should work to prevent a repeat, right?

Back to figuring out how to precisely regulate the steps of acid manufacturing and purification using Prestidigitation!

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Break time!  Lunch!  Asmodia wants to run a daily practice prediction market about who Keltham sleeps with each night which Keltham doesn't get to see until the next day!  Keltham will quietly smile to himself and set up a market like that and see how long it takes the women to work out that they should only trade at extreme bid-ask spreads when people might be betting using private information!

Asmodia wants to experiment with policy prediction markets too!  Asmodia wants to bet on which avenues work out for mining spellsilver!  Keltham will explain that this sort of thing works better when anybody actually knows anything but sure!  Maybe they can get the spellsilver mining experts to bet too?  It's actually kind of complicated when the policy prediction market is trying to do a continuous quantity like 'when spellsilver manufacture drops in cost by how much' but they can arbitrarily declare the threshold to be a 25% cost drop in one month, and have policy markets on whether that's more likely to get done if Keltham invests his effort in manufacturing cheaper acid for the current process, or in perfecting spellsilver extraction that works on the alternate spellsilver ore.

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Afternoon!  MORE ACID!  MAKE ALL THE ACID!  PERFECT ALL ACID MANUFACTURING PROCESSES!  FASTER REACTIONS!  HIGHER YIELDS!  HIGHER PURITY!  ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE WITH PRESTIDIGITATION or maybe it would be if Keltham could actually solve or remember any quantum-mechanical equations for anything besides the hydrogen-atom equation.  But Keltham is nonetheless making SLOW PROGRESS and has only doused himself with boiling acid again TWICE.

Keltham is trying to explain what he's doing to some of the watching researchers while he does it, but it's not going great, what with nobody except him actually understanding any chemistry let alone physics, and Keltham not really having time to slow down and explain.  Which, yes, makes Keltham the only experimenter, and no that's not particularly a fast way of getting work done.  But Keltham thinks he'll have an easier time explaining, once Keltham himself has some idea of what can be done with Prestidigitation really.

...Actually in retrospect they could have run a policy prediction market on how fast research would go, depending on whether Keltham tried to explain chemistry first so others could help, or tried to do things himself to understand where he needed help and what to explain?  That was something the other researchers might've had an opinion about.  Oh well.

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Break for spellcasting practice, Keltham still wants to be a proper wizard.  He continues to feel weird about bugging his god for spells every morning and would feel better about that if the spells had a price list.

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More ACID!  Keltham needs OXYGEN!  Even if he can manage to make element-20 'taste' like it has 5-of-18 electrons in the outermost shell instead of 2-of-18 using Prestidigitation, you still can't get sulfur trioxide from sulfur dioxide without OXYGEN!  But Cheliax has already discovered WATER and can produce WATER at SCALE and WATER contains OXYGEN!  All they need is a sufficiently controlled form of what the locals charmingly refer to as Lightning-aspected energy, which, surely, somebody will have on hand -

...that's not something anyone has on hand, apparently?  It was literally built into a sex toy!  No Keltham's not using the actual sex toy until he knows it's replaceable, it has limited charges and they're going to need a lot of that stuff.  Also for cuddleroom purposes you'd probably use alternating current rather than direct current Keltham thinks?

Haha right then, set aside Lightning-aspected energy for now, they're just going to build a magnet-based generator and power it with a primitive-ass hand-crank, unless somebody can get a controlled-directional-Lightning source to him before then.  Keltham can leave directions on how people could possibly experiment with that, if he's not doing this full-time tomorrow.

And then they run that energy through pure water to create hydrogen and oxygen at the two terminals, that should give Keltham the ability to turn sulfur dioxide into sulfur trioxide if the element-20-to-23 Prestidigitation trick works, and he can dissolve sulfur trioxide back into boiling concentrated sulfuric acid to create... an EXPLOSION probably!  But an EXPLOSION of PROGRESS!


...where's Asmodia.  Keltham hasn't seen Asmodia for a while.  Did she get dissolved in acid at some point?

She went off to teach some of the incoming students arriving shortly some of the Law that Keltham has already taught, in hopes of saving him time?  That makes sense.  Good thinking there.  They didn't really do very much that needed Asmodia today.

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Good night everyone!  He will probably be sort of tired tomorrow.  Sorry about all the exploding boiling acid if that bothered anyone.

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"I have no words."

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"In a sense I think that was unambiguously the best day the Project has ever had. He didn't have any questions for us and he taught us, uh, quite a lot of things that appear to have the potential to be very important."

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"How is everybody in his home dimension not already dead?"

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"Maybe that's how they selected so hard on Wisdom."

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"I feel that if dath ilani had been selected hard on Wisdom we should not have seen what we have seen this day."

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"He's probably not going to keep this pace up but if he does we will just let him, tell him Asmodia's teaching the new arrivals, sit back and make sure he doesn't die."

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"Think I might've mistimed one of my own Resist Energy spells and gotten some lung damage off inhaling acid fumes.  Should I go get that healed, or do we want to see anything about what happens to me if I don't?"

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"Go get it healed. If for some reason we want to know what happens to you if you inhale acid fumes we can try it on someone less valuable."

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She obeys, of course, and heads off, though she's a bit puzzled about what her valuableness has to do with it.  She could always get it healed later.

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"I now see new unfortunate romantic possibilities that I was not seeing a minute earlier, and which I wish, indeed, I had never seen."

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"At his current rate I think Keltham will be kinky enough for Pilar in, like, two more weeks."

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"Yes, but what if their romance ends up being, not that of rapist and victim, but Nethysian mad experimenter and willing experimental subject?  The tropes wouldn't have brought them together based on a fake compatibility, is what I'm worried about here."

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"At this point, I'm just praying that all of us doing whatever we are naturally inclined to in bed will somehow make him Evil because lying doesn't seem to work and so far the truth is working quite well. If Pilar wants to be dipped in acid she can be my guest."

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"Well, you can probably feel a little less worried about what Lord Nethys might be trying to accomplish here, because that's seeming sort of... obvious."

"I'm worrying at this point that I may end up as a heretic too, just like the rest of Project Lawful.  Only in my case that would make me a Nethysian heretic.  One who has started to believe that some things should not, in fact, explode."

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"Well, you know, if you ever get in the mood to renounce your god and sell your soul, we're here."

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"Hm.  Let me think about that.  Hm.  Hmmmmm."

"Hmmmmmmmmm."

"Still thinking.  It's such a difficult question."

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"If a thousand years from now Evil Keltham and I are ruling a layer of Hell acknowledged as objectively the most awesome place in the multiverse you can't say you weren't warned."

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"I hope your worldview doesn't disintegrate in another week after Keltham proves using cold, absolute, indisputable Law that the objective awesomeness of an afterlife is determined by its number of books."

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"Hell probably has more books than other places since it has more slaves to make them."

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"Doesn't count if they're all copies of the same book.  Writing new books is a bit harder to do with slaves..."


"...I suppose your vision of your Hell layer actually is one where the slaves write new books, isn't it."

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"If it's valuable, then I think it ought to be possible to have my slaves do it! And writing books is obviously valuable!"

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"I sincerely and unironically wish you good luck with that."

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PL-timestamp:  Day 19 (15) / Morning

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The Lady Eulàlia Avaricia de Seguer is, unlike the rest of the horde she is being inducted with, not excessively impressed at mentions of Her Infernal Majesty, and is in fact fairly judgmental of anyone who brings Her Infernal Majesty up to make a point; it's classless, the behavior of people who have had exactly one encounter with real power in their lives.

That said, she hasn't met Her Infernal Majesty, and is not under the impression it'd be good for her, and she is on her best behavior. That means she has been exceedingly patient with the power-drunk teenager who wants to help her reify her backstory to make sense in alter-Cheliax, and brought no servants except for her familiar, a chinchilla named Ira.

And good sense means she hasn't asked any of her growing list of questions. In particular, she'd kill several of her siblings for an answer to why, precisely, the Chosen of Asmodeus is named such, and in what sense Asmodeus chose her, but you can't just ask that. And she'd kill a lot more people than that for an actual working understanding of Keltham, the center of this whole thing, who everyone seems to regard as some kind of appalling hybrid between a paladin and an uncontrollable natural disaster. But she suspects already that Project Lawful does not have one, and if there's to be one she'll have to develop it herself. 

 

Which shouldn't be hard. The power-drunk teenager was impressed that the Lady de Seguer was competent to fake any sexual reaction she felt like, and her bluff is easily much better than anyone else's here. The plan for that is apparently swords of glibness, for some reason, which sounds like a plan made by a wizard.

 

All this to say, she's splendidly dressed and very much looking forward to meeting Keltham, and she's tolerating the food in the breakfast-hall for it, even though it's not very good food and she has a Ring of Sustenance.

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"I see we've got some new faces this morning!  Hi, I'm Keltham, I'm not from around here, didn't grow up around faces like yours, and it's probably going to take me upwards of a week to learn faces and names.  After I'm done talking, please use Prestidigation to alter the color of a trace over your clothing to read out your name in Taldane.  Somebody will get you actual paper within an hour so you don't have to keep doing that.  Carissa, you're in charge of making that happen on take two if it ends up not happening the first time."

"Welcome to Project Lawful!  I don't know if you've reviewed the section of transcript explaining why that's a terrible name, or at least, explaining that to the extent it can be explained without additional math not yet covered, but rest assured that the terrible name wasn't my idea."

"Project Lawful, or just the Project for short around here since we only have the one, is an endeavor to bring the knowledge of my homeworld of dath ilan to Golarion, so that Golarion can have the sort of nice things we had in dath ilan.  Even nicer things, once you get going, nicer things and faster, because dath ilan didn't have magic and had to do everything the hard way.  Here when you've got no idea which metal is 'vanadium' and no particularly bright ideas for finding out, you just go 'flush this down the toilet, I'm gonna try Prestidigitating element-20 to act like element-23 and see if that works for catalyzing the production of sulfurious acid'.  That's part of my project to drop the cost of spellsilver by a factor of ten.  There were originally some ideas for dropping the cost of spellsilver by a factor of two, but I explained I'd only settle for that if I absolutely had to, because just halving the cost of spellsilver is probably not enough to achieve takeoff on the process of building enough intelligence headbands that more people can be wizards and make more intelligence headbands until all of Golarion has +6 Intelligence, which is approximately what it would take to get Intelligence, alone, into the vicinity of dath ilan's mental stats.  I suspect we had more going for us than just Intelligence, but getting the average enhanced Intelligence up to 16 would be a start."

"By the way, I hope none of you are the sort who have always really wanted to see an explosion of boiling acid from up close, because Ione was complaining really loudly after the last one, yesterday, and I think she wants that to not happen again even if we have Resist Energy (Acid) and Resist Energy (Fire), so you might've missed your only chance there."

"Now, I know the question on all of your minds.  'But Keltham,' you're thinking, 'we're all Evil here, and as much fun as it might be to watch explosions of boiling acid from up close, we're not going to do that just to bring intelligence headbands to all of Golarion, we'd like to become incredibly rich.'  I don't know actually if this part has already been explained to you here, but the basic idea is that the Project forms a business, the business is one of which you can all own shares that vest over time if you do your work well, your share ends up being something like a thousandth of the Project or twice that if you're an unusually valuable employee, then, if our schemes all work out, the Project ends up being worth a billion gold pieces and you end up worth a million gold out of that.  That's how things are done in dath ilan.  Don't rely on that as if it were wealth already in your possession, is another common wisdom out of dath ilan.  In your case, you haven't even been hired yet."

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"Whether you get hired - and at what salary, and at what share of the Project to be earned - will depend on your ability to master Law, the basis of all my knowledge out of dath ilan."

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The new faces are attentive; they've Prestidigitated their nametags. That beautiful woman over there has 'Lady Eulàlia Avaricia de Seguer' on her deep blue silk dress in what looks like gold embroidered thread. That woman over there with a distinctly nonhuman bone structure and weird skin coloration has 'Sibilla'.

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A dath ilani audience would have smiled at some point, or looked horrified, or something... right, apparently he'll have to repeat the process of training the newcomers out of that form of Chelish dignity wherein everybody has a fixed expression of attentiveness in order to eliminate all feedback for teachers and managers.

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The Lady Avaricia's snap impression of Keltham is that he has absolutely no class at all, and that if he can't tell her apart from everyone else then she's going to get a hair appointment this afternoon and be blonde tomorrow. It should not be hard to tell her apart from other people.

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"The Law is what gives an ilani their power.  The structure used by all thought, all living cognition.  It's everywhere outside you and inside you.  It binds the galaxy together, you could say, in the form of the Law of gravity..."

"That was a dumb introduction.  Sorry, I'm improvising here.  Rollback, retry."

"You know how to use math to describe the mechanics of hanging spells, the balances of forces that go as the inverse-square, the inverse-cube, that oscillate with a frequency.  Intelligent people, who are good at math, go become wizards, since that's the high-paying profession that uses math."

"Math can, in fact, be used for more than magic.  A lot more."

"Math, it turns out, can be used to describe how to think.  And thinking better gives you a deeper power over reality than any spell could.  It's like a Wish spell, in a way, except for the part where it actually works and does what you want, if your Art is strong and your Way is true."

"By and large, you don't learn to hang spells by doing explicit calculations while you're in the middle of hanging them.  There usually is not time, your hands are busy so you can't use a paper scratchpad.  By working paper problems separately from the actual process of hanging your spells, however, you develop an intuition for where to put the balance between an inverse-cube force and an inverse-square force, that an inverse-cube repulsion and an inverse-square attraction will almost always have a balancing point, while an inverse-cube attraction and an inverse-square repulsion is unstable."

"Most of the process that produces a higher level of mental skill in an average INT-17 dath ilani than in an average INT-17 Golarionite is not that the dath ilani is constantly doing explicit calculations with numbers.  It's that they have, in offline training, usually as a young child, worked through many toy examples of thought processes slowly enough that they can see what the numbers would be for those, how the Law would apply, and in that process somewhat corrected their thoughts towards the shape of Law."

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"Then, from Lawful thinking, comes the skill to uncover the Laws of the outer world.  I am trying to apply such of that Law as I merely remember to the problem of dropping the cost of spellsilver production by a factor of 10.  But my memory is very incomplete, and in some cases will be wrong, and there are important things that I never learned at all."

"I have some ideas about how to cheaply produce huge quantities of high-purity sulfurious acid, as they call 'sulfuric acid' around here, because it's a precursor to an incredibly large number of industrial processes.  Civilization went through hundreds of millions of tons of the stuff every year.  That's not an exaggeration, our actual production figure was 300 million tons per year, if I'm recalling it correctly and converting units correctly, or a third of a ton per year per person.  So there are stories out of dath ilan in which somebody like me ends up on an alien planet somehow and then has to figure out how to produce a lot of acid, basically the exact situation I am now in, and the stories go into detail on exactly how to do that, even if you don't have any magic."

"Even so, I don't remember a lot of key points there.  And when it comes to other things, what I have are not blueprints but hints."

"Hints can be worth an awful lot, in this business, compared to striking out completely blindly.  Hints can save you incredible amounts of time if you could've otherwise gotten to the same place all on your own without the hint."

"Somebody who would never get the answer on their own, however, is probably not going to get it even with the hint."

"So you need to learn to be the sorts of people who could wield Law-inspired and Law-reshaped thought and no small amount of actual numerical calculation, to experiment and discover the Law of the world.  And then further wield Law-inspired thought to apply the Law of the world to engineer new processes, new technology.  Ones not exactly like the processes out of dath ilan.  Golarion processes will use magic for a shortcut, where that's possible and economically feasible."

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"We are improvising everything here, improvising it rather rapidly.  My teachings on Law are not optimal for you, they are how I remember being taught when I was young, as soon as I was old enough to understand, which is rather younger than things begin in Golarion.  My Law, I now suspect, was taught to me in a very careful way so as not to damage me in certain ways.  And I cannot remember all the cautions, I cannot reproduce the exact training, and if I could remember it exactly it would still be a training input adapted only to me, to Keltham, and the outputs I had previously output."

"When Manohar dropped an artifact headband on Asmodia for a couple of hours, she deduced an enormous amount of Law from hints I'd previously given the class, started seeing the world in a whole new way, and then, apparently - we're still not sure if this was really related to the Law epiphanies - got into a state where she could no longer be really sane without a +6 Wisdom headband, which she is still currently wearing."

"Being here is not safe.  It is not impossible that we will do some form of damage to you that makes you no longer able to hold yourself together in Golarion, and leaves you nowhere to go but Hell.  It is not impossible we'll do some form of damage to you that Hell doesn't currently know how to fix, and we'll have to figure out some way to stop time for you and suspend you, turning you temporarily into a statue for example, until the future Civilization of Golarion can figure out how to cure you."

"I was told you'd already be told that.  If not, or if it wasn't told to you fully, let me know, and I'll see about having that process revised in the future.  It's too late for you to back out of being part of the Project's secrecy bubble within Cheliax, you cannot go back to anything that isn't under heavy Security; but it is not too late for you to decide that you don't want to risk your mental integrity."

"I am not going to ask you to decide that now in front of everyone; if that's so, you can let me know in private."

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"Then there's all the weird shit.  Ione, our Nethysian Safety Officer, has advised me that I probably should not go into the really weird shit for now.  Some of the very weirdest shit is looking hopefully like it might have been much narrower in scope than I previously thought."

"If, however, any of you are the Demon Lord Nocticula in disguise, we may have to revisit the question of whether it was in fact weird shit of somewhat broader scope.  Yes, we're on to you, Nocticula, no, that wasn't anything you could possibly have prevented, it was just weird shit, sorry."

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These people are too disciplined to look wildly at each other trying to figure out whether anyone is the Demon Lord Nocticula! They will rigidly not do that! Keltham's lecture is producing rapid whiplash between excitement and terror; the characterization of him as a cross between a paladin and a hurricane is starting to make more sense. 

 

Lady Avaricia feels that this place isn't classy enough for Nocticula, though it's entirely possibly she'll show up once they fix that.

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"Nethysian advisory.  Keltham, most of these people are now trying to figure out which of them is Nocticula in disguise, and this is not, in fact, a very nice thing to be trying to figure out."

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"Ah.  Yes.  Sorry.  That scenario isn't very likely.  I've tried to make several predictions like that before, and none of the ones as far-fetched as the Nocticula scenario have come true - all the predictions that did come true were things that arguably could've happened anyways.  Call it something like 2% probability - meaning the sort of thing that would happen 1 out of 50 times, if transcripts or Asmodia haven't covered that for you."

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"Nethysian advisory.  They're still pretty worried about a 2% probability when it comes to something like one of them secretly being the Demon Lord Nocticula."

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"Fair, but us running into something with overpowering Splendour has been heavily foreshadowed at this point and I'm not that sure the tropes aren't real... sorry, that's more weird shit I wasn't supposed to go into."

"Anyways.  Welcome to Project Lawful.  If you're worried about whether it's always going to be like this around here, the answer is:  Yes.  Yes, it is.  I'm trying to be upfront about that before you actually go deciding to work for me."

"Any questions?"

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"Are we allowed to know which of the Project Lawful rumors are true," says Xanthippe Abelló, who was previously at the front in Nidal and has Heard Some Project Lawful rumors, and gotten Asmodia's approval for the alter-Cheliax existence of fully a third of them.

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"First of all, probably yes."

"Second of all, what rumors?"

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Xanthippe takes a deep breath and starts rattling them off. 

"If you join Project Lawful you can offer to sell your soul for a Wish and the devil'll tell you that's unfair in their favor.

Asmodeus has declared that the greatest of Project Lawful will be a new archduke of a new layer of Hell.

Project Lawful participated in the fight with Zon Kuthon.

Project Lawful is a Kuthite project that escaped to Cheliax.

Project Lawful killed Aroden.

Project Lawful girls are all mystic theurges like Nefreti Clepati.

Project Lawful is led by a secret ninth-circle wizard who was pretending to be a third-circle unit wizard at the Worldwound.

Project Lawful runs on enchanted cake that makes you a sorcerer."

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"Maillol and I are going to have some words about this."

"So our current model is that Nidal's attack on Project Lawful kicked off the god-war that got Zon Kuthon sealed.  Furthermore, our current model is that my god, Asmodeus, Nethys, and Cayden Cailean, were aware that attack was coming, and in fact deliberately triggered that attack, with timing appropriate to get me out of the worst harm's way.  We did not participate significantly in the godwar itself, and are not ready to support the Nidal fight."

"I don't know what a 'mystic theurge' is."

"If hypothetically Carissa were secretly a ninth-circle wizard, and I knew this fact, she would presumably have good reasons to keep it secret, and I wouldn't be able to tell you about it, so I can't confirm or deny that one."

"We are not a Kuthite project that escaped to Cheliax."

"The rest of these are not only false, but cause me to wonder at the unLawfulness of the mental processes that must have first produced them and then considered them plausible enough to propagate.  What with, for example, Aroden having died one hundred years ago if I'm not mistaken, Asmodeus being extremely limited in comms bandwidth, Wishes potentially producing flaming craters the size of Teleport radiuses, and how would they even know about the cake - oh, the experiments in the Palace in Egorian, right."


"...I have to say, I am incredibly not impressed with Chelish Security here."

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"I could add to that list of rumors, if for some baffling reason that's productive," says Lady Avaricia, who thinks that sharing rumors is incredibly not classy and does not want anyone in the room confused about the fact she thinks so. "I assumed it was deliberate disinformation for idiots, because other countries are desperate to find out what Project Lawful is all about."

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"You know, there's a version of that policy which would make sense, but that's even worse news because it implies that there was more accurate info in the process of escaping and which they needed to bury.  Including something specifically about the cake that they needed to bury."  Though why you'd target that disinfo at idiots...

"I'll look into it later.  Not your job to worry about."

"Other questions?"

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No other questions!! They've been told Keltham likes it when you ask questions but not encouraged all that hard; he wouldn't expect them to be coming pre-prepared.

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(Fuck, now they need to know what actual rumor about cake was escaping that alterCheliax thought necessary to bury.  Asmodia should have seen that one coming, and admits fault in it.)

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All right, back to breakfast then!


Keltham himself shall sit down with Carissa; they need to plan out what the process looks like of getting the newcomers up to speed.  If he was a real CEO he would have already planned that out, and been free to mingle with the newcomers as would make them feel more welcome.  Well, he's not a real anything except a real Keltham, didn't already plan that out, and now needs to plan it before he can figure out how to schedule the rest of the day.  His brain is a bit tired for doing more ACID.

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"It was a really impressive amount of acid. You could have us, led by Asmodia, give all the introductory lectures, while you watch and correct anything we're missing? That seems restful and would also give you a sense of how thoroughly we've grasped things. Alternatively you could throw them in the deep end, continue lecturing on Utility, see where they get confused."

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Message to Asmodia (CC: Carissa):  Asmodia, what'd you already teach them yesterday?

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Reply:  Law of Probability only, so far.  I'm planning to burn any off-hours I and they can spare, on catching them up to anything I can figure out how to teach, especially while you're working on other things.  In hopes that you will recognize all the tremendous value I am generating, even compared to the other tier-1s, and award me a greater share of the Project.

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Message:  You understand that I make no further promises there and that it's not a matter of just a couple of weeks of working, right?  Even at the high-leverage start.  I am paying relatively generously and neither you nor Ione get to have everything you want just because you asked.

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Reply:  I know and understand.  Just as I know and understand that if I actually do end up deserving a greater reward, Keltham out of dath ilan will make sure I get it.  If I'm not rewarded, it means I was wrong, not that he was.

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...okay.

Message:  I'll do my best to live up to that.

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It occurs to Asmodia only after she has spoken that - well, she's not sure it's not progress on corrupting Keltham, what just happened?  Him being encouraged to hold all power in his own hands, to be the only decider of who deserves what, and right in every argument about that?  But it... didn't feel quite like progress, somehow, on corrupting him.

Maybe bad things happen when a fake Asmodia speaks from her heart.

Hopefully not too much damage was done.  Asmodia knows what it is like, now, to have a Plan to protect, and she wouldn't want to hurt Sevar's own Plan.

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"Should we go ask Maillol pointed questions now, or are you figuring it's too late for that to help and it might as well wait?"

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"Might as well wait, yeah.  Not much I can do about it now."

"Going back to topic - dath ilani kids learn from older kids, and solidify their own understanding by teaching younger kids.  It's thought that the natural processes of heredity-optimization that produced humanity would have, in some sense, designed younger kids mainly to learn from older kids.  Though the things being taught were a lot less complicated then."

"You're not kids, but the part where you can solidify your own understanding by teaching others... seems like it should probably still hold?  So, yeah, I guess, you teach the new candidates, I step in as needed.  Wouldn't be surprised if I was stepping in a lot."

"Alternatively, I could launch straight into 'Science', as the procedures for uncovering the Laws of the world are called out of dath ilan, if Asmodia managed to get enough basic Probability into them that they can handle the math for that."

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"That admittedly sounds much more interesting than getting the new people up to speed." And important for the Conspiracy. 

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"Yeah, but we'd have to abort if they weren't able to handle the Probability parts..."

"Well, I suppose that means we can just try them on Science and see if they can, in fact, handle the Probability parts, and if not, abort and reschedule.  After all, as the saying goes, why pass up the path of possible greatest reward based on a mere prediction of failure, when you can quickly and cheaply test that?"

"...yeah, I'm gonna be using Communal Share Language (Baseline) on them.  Now that I'm occasionally speaking Baseline again, I'm reminded how much the long message length of snappy dath ilani proverbs in Taldane makes my head hurt."

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"I have a feeling you'll manage to give them an interesting and memorable first day."

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PL-timestamp:  Day 19 (15) / Morning Lectures

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Maniacal-experimental multi-author subthread for this morning's lecture:

to Hell with SCIENCE!

(longer than usual for a lecture; relatively self-contained; you have the right to flee back to the main thread if saturated)

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PL-timestamp:  Day 19 (15) / Afternoon

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Well, that sure was a fascinating lunch discussion full of interesting topics!  And questions!  Some actually pretty basic questions!  Mostly relayed through Ione!  Keltham has definitely learned the important fact that he needs to actually back off and not try to plunge the new candidates directly into the same classes as the current hires!  But it's not a 'failed' experiment, the PLAN failed, yes, the HOPE failed, but the experiment itself is just data.

Keltham now has FOUR basic phases to cram into his limited supply of days and hours!  And they are:

- Teaching Law to the current hires, including some Keeper-only classes;

- Overseeing the current hires teaching the new candidates;

- Doing Science! to acid synthesis, spellsilver refining, roads, medicine, and all other important subjects;

- Having a personal life including wizard practice, scroll practice, also now learning martial arts from Security, and dating Carissa, Yaisa, Meritxell, Ione, and Asmodia.

...This would be a really good time to be a sufficiently advanced wizard that he'd only need to sleep two hours per night.  But that, apparently, is not within the cards for a while.

 

......The thought occurs to Keltham that, at this rate, he may end up participating in his first threesomes and orgies - rather earlier than those would usually come, in the natural course of increasing sexual complication - just for scheduling reasons.

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"I think alternating days is a good idea for the Law lectures anyway, I've seen lots of the girls staying up late going back over the notes and having more time probably lets things sink in more. I have no idea how to help you with your sex life. ...I guess perhaps you would benefit from having it pointed out that you don't have to, like, do a whole evening date every time and can also just pull someone aside for a blowjob at lunchtime? I don't know if that'd actually feel like keeping up with your personal life more."

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"Yeah, at some point I'm going to have to slow down and ask myself what I really want, whether I'm really getting it, and what the whole point is, but not now.  Maybe after I'm dating a few more girls."

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Anyways!  He's gonna go hang his spell for the day, get in some scroll practice -

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PL-timestamp:  Day 19 (15) / Middle Afternoon

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- talk to Chelish experts about agriculture and plant breeding, to see if they're missing anything there he can plausibly quickly fix -

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PL-timestamp:  Day 19 (15) / Dinner

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- have dinner with all the researchers, show the newcomers where dath ilan is located inside its universe -

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PL-timestamp:  Day 19 (15) / Evening

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- and spend his evening making extensive use of Yaisa.

Tonight is the 7-day anniversary of their first week's arrangement, for twenty-five gold per week, including Keltham having... control, of certain things.

How's she feeling about continuing that arrangement indefinitely?

nsfw To be clear, Yaisa has not been authorized any orgasms at any point in the last week, has been used only occasionally, and has sometimes been given assignments.  This morning, for example, Keltham told her to spend the whole day playing with herself without coming, when not otherwise occupied, and maybe if he felt like it, he'd let her come this evening, on their one-week anniversary.  As of asking her this question about continuing their arrangement, Keltham apparently hasn't felt like it yet!


To be clear, Keltham feels like Yaisa should have a fair look at what she might be getting into, here.  At least, that's what his brain firmly claims is the reason why he's being so mean to poor Yaisa.



Also to be clear, there's been an additional two days that Keltham doesn't know about inside Yaisa's existence.
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Yaisa is in favor! - she thought about whether she could demand more money from Keltham because he clearly thinks he's being very mean to her but she doesn't think she could say under Fairness she ought to get more money, not really. 

 

 

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He's pretty happy about that!

nsfw Happy enough, even, to let Yaisa -

...apparently he's not that happy?  Yet?

It just feels - weirdly wrong and awful that Yaisa might think she was owed an orgasm, that she'd deserved or earned one, if they start off their relationship this way?  That Yaisa might start expecting orgasms on future celebratory occasions or anniversaries, and feeling wronged if she doesn't get one?

Keltham probably wants to see this girl come again at some point, but is weirdly afraid of doing that tonight.

Keltham briefly considers whether to force his brain into doing this anyways, but backs off.  He doesn't think you're supposed to refrain from doing things you might have enjoyed, out of fear of where it might take one's relationship; but he is uncertain of himself still, and there is also a heuristic against forcing yourself to do things you feel afraid of doing.  He can always make Yaisa come next time, when it'll definitely actually be just because he feels like it, and not because he owes it to her or that's an informal rule of their relationship.

He should tell Carissa about that part, later.  Probably Carissa will be happy?  At least Keltham is guessing so, anyways.  Carissa is always happy when...

..well, it feels, sometimes, like Carissa is always happy when Keltham is cruel to somebody.  But it's presumably more that she's happy that Keltham is being Evil and learning to do what he himself wants, that Keltham is discovering his own sexuality, and that Keltham is being more the way that Carissa hopes he'll be towards her.

Keltham will, of course, ask Yaisa explicitly whether he's allowed to tell Carissa about how he's being mean to Yaisa, for that information is also Yaisa's.  (He won't mention his private wobbliness about the direction Carissa is taking him.)

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"Hmmmm." She pouts thoughtfully. "....yes, if you sometimes give me secret gossip on what's up with you and Carissa so I can smirk knowingly when the new kids repeat ridiculous rumors."

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Keltham will ask Carissa for authorization about that and get back to Yaisa.

...are these rumors theoretical, or...

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- no there are totally lots of rumors about Carissa. Like that she was created from scratch by the gods to be perfect for Keltham, that's one that Yaisa's heard, or that Asmodeus Himself chose Carissa to drop Keltham on, or that Abrogail gave Carissa to Keltham as a slave, or that Carissa is pregnant with Keltham's child....

 

 

(The Project decided that it was better if Keltham knew some things consistent with someone thinking of Carissa as chosen by Asmodeus, just in case some hidden correlate of that ever came to his attention.)

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Oh, right.  He should actually schedule some Alter Selfs to take place where he can see them.

Yaisa okay with doing that tomorrow?  He probably won't date her tomorrow, but it doesn't need to be a date, just a quick switch where Keltham can see it.


Carissa wasn't created from scratch by the gods for Keltham.  It's nearly certain that whatever force selected Keltham to arrive in this universe did so in a way that very strongly matched him and Carissa to each other, and selected Carissa for him to land on.  If anything, from a local perspective, it's more like they should see Keltham as having been created from scratch for Carissa.

Keltham's got no idea if those forces explicitly negotiated with Asmodeus.  Keltham would guess no on the explicit negotiations, but yes on Asmodeus and the other gods rapidly figuring out what was going on and making decisions that would've contributed to the tropes selecting this place for his landing, including some things that the gods would only do if the Keltham-steering forces looked to be sufficiently beneficial for them.

Or if for some weird reason Asmodeus would've tried to shut down the whole thing if Keltham had landed on anybody who wasn't attractive to the Queen of Cheliax, then Keltham could've landed on Carissa at least in part for that reason.  But the Keltham-steering forces might have needed to predict Asmodeus doing a lot in exchange, to serve whatever goals Asmodeus was able to deduce predictably-to-the-steerers from seeing how Keltham had been steered already.

Negotiations like that don't have to be explicit when you're a god.

What's 'slave'?  Keltham heard Yaisa use that term before and he can tell from context that it's a sex thing, but not the details.

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(Yaisa didn't follow that but probably someone was taking notes and the anxious genius types will puzzle over it later, whatever.)

 

A slave is... a person who is wholly the possession of another, if you're really hardcore about it regarded by Civilization itself as their property as much as their shoes are. Yaisa is not herself that hardcore; lots of people use it just for aesthetically reminiscent relationships that didn't involve paying Civilization to go along with this. When you call someone 'slave' in bed you're not necessarily bringing in the whole thing, just the thing that's hot about it. Probably Keltham is now going to have a million questions Yaisa can't answer because her exposure to this concept is all from disrecommended romance novels titled 'slave of a barbarian' and so on.

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Yeah, that's been mentioned to him as something he might want to negotiate with the government of Cheliax about.  Though only at the point where Keltham wants that for his own sake, and he's not quite there yet.

Is 'The Queen just gives Carissa to Keltham as a slave' something that especially seems within the realm of plausibility?

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....no, it's completely ridiculous, so is 'Carissa was created wholesale by the gods', people don't come up with rumors because they're plausible they come up with them because they're fun to whisper and tend to make other people say, scandalized, "no, that couldn't possibly be" but then doubt themselves because they're on Project Lawful.

 

And, like, it'd be true most places, so it has that for credibility?  Some places have, uh, kind of a lot of slavery, not that Yaisa wants to have that conversation which does not sound hot at all. 

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He's confused but will queue it up on his Carissa questions list.

Actually, he should be heading off to bed about now anyways.

Sleep well, Yaisa...

nsfw ...and spend an hour teasing yourself in the morning.  Keltham's probably not going to use her, that day, to be clear, Keltham is just being mean.

Oh, that thought seems to have turned him on again?  Well, he can make some quick additional use of Yaisa before he heads off to bed.
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PL-timestamp:  Day 19 (15) / Night

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Keltham repairs to his bedroom, from his cuddleroom, and asks Security to drop Carissa a note to come by if she has a moment.

Only if she's really got a moment, though.  Yes, Keltham understands that he's got the ability to give her orders, if he wants to, he just wants there to be actually in practice a way for him to give her less-than-maximum-priority requests.  It's too nervewracking the other way.

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Then she'll make him wait for fifteen minutes while she reviews the Yaisa transcripts and tries to make sure the stuff about godnegotiations doesn't translate to anything new and important. She thinks it doesn't, for once, though they should put it in the report to the Grand High Priestess in case she's wrong.

 

Then she'll change into sleeping clothes, since Carissa who doesn't have a ring of sustenance was about to go to bed, and go find her boyfriend.

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(Keltham possibly looks slightly sleepy.  A healthy teenager who's previously had a lot of dath ilani healthcare can pull a lot of fourteen-hour days, it is a thing that is within the capability of a teenage human body, but he may start to look a little worn at some point.)

Keltham wants to share a thing about Yaisa with Carissa.  Yaisa says yes but wants secret gossip about him and Carissa so that she can look knowing when the newcomers repeat weird rumors.  Yes, no, Keltham should make decisions like this himself but it's fine to ask Carissa if she has input, or Keltham should make all those future decisions unilaterally without asking Carissa for any input at all.

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"I won't be hurt if you decide unilaterally but as you decided to ask, yes, that's fine. Though also I copied some spells off Lady Avaricia after dinner in exchange for some interesting tidbits about myself so the gossip may be less valuable than Yaisa hoped."

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Keltham will share his sexy Yaisa details, then.

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"Sounds like someone's having fun."

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"Hopefully two people are having fun, but her price would've gone up if she wasn't, or so I hope... eh, I'll just remember to ask her that explicitly at some point."


He'll also tell Carissa about the Carissa rumors; repeat what he told Yaisa about divine pseudo-negotiations after the fact; and ask why there would be a lot of slaves in other countries and Yaisa wouldn't want to talk about that.  Are they doing this particular form of perversion dreadfully wrong, outside of Cheliax?

(It sure does look like something that could go horribly wrong, as Keltham has thought on multiple occasions.)

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"In a lot of places when you conquer a place in war you take the people there as slaves, as payment to the soldiers for their work in fighting the war. In - general this custom replaced the custom of killing them. I wouldn't expect Yaisa to know this but my best guess is that slave, sexy sense, came from people looking at slaves, bad sense, and going 'okay but I'm sorry that's really hot', which is why people who are cautious of their phrasing, like Abrogail, might say 'possession' instead, so as not to mix them up in language.

 

 

In more places than that, including parts of Cheliax, slavery can be a status for a person convicted of a serious crime against another person that justly denies them the protection of Civilization and that they don't have the means to make right. Say I burned down your fields, the local temple might award me to you as compensation for the wealth I destroyed."

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...okay, what's a slave when it's not a sexy thing?  Or does somebody who burns somebody else's fields get awarded as a sex!slave?

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"The word just means 'a person who has forfeited the protection of Civilization and is the property of another'. Usually you figure out with them what they're going to be obliged to do and it's not too horrible because if it is then they'll be like 'well fuck this' and go right to Hell, which you obviously aren't allowed to stop them from doing. Probably if your fields just got burned you want a farmhand! But it's often a sex thing, because, unlike in dath ilan where I'm getting the sense practically everyone would go 'well fuck this' and go straight to Hell, at least half of people in Golarion will go 'sure, beats having to wash all your dishes'."

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Do Chaotic Evil, or Chaotic Neutral, people ever get awarded as slaves.  Those afterlives didn't sound so nice.

Do Neutral Evil people ever get awarded as slaves.

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Yes. Not in Cheliax, which gets very very close to everyone to Lawful, but yes. 

Like Awaiting Consumption it's kind of something Carissa didn't expect Keltham would benefit from learning about. Also, selfishly, it seems likely to make him run screaming from the entire concept.

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Yeah, it's okay.  Dath ilani know how to decouple between Things and Other Things Which Are Not Actually That Thing.


Message:  If there's Chaotic Evil, Chaotic Neutral, or Neutral Evil people who were taken as slaves after their country lost a war, Golarion Civilization and possibly Keltham are going to go in and replace Governance inside the countries holding them at some point.  Is this a fact that needs to not be spoken where Chelish Governance can overhear it, say because it implies that Civilization or Keltham will come into conflict with factions Cheliax considers itself to be friendly with?

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Message back: Messaging because - maybe at some point we'll need to do this for real. But not on this. Cheliax hasn't conducted a war of conquest in three hundred years.

Even when we were dysfunctional before the Church came in we weren't like that. 

I don't think any countries that meet that description are our allies at the Worldwound but even if they are, the Worldwound alliance would prohibit us attacking them there, not - for unrelated reasons going to war with them, and certainly not permitting someone else to do that.

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Okay.  He should maybe go to sleep now.


...please don't say things like 'forfeiting the protection of Civilization'.  Civilization doesn't exist here, and if it did - it wouldn't think like that.  Probably Golarion Civilization won't think like it either.  Even if it's mostly Kelthams, Lawful Evil instead of Lawful Good, it still won't think like that.

He still hasn't gotten around to meeting any Intelligence 10 people at this point, but - when he does - he strongly suspects that -

He should actually just not do that.  Shouldn't actually meet anybody with Intelligence 10, not for a while.  It's probably not good for his mental health if he starts thinking of the rest of Golarion as being inhabited by children, some of whom are being taken as slaves.  Kelthams were children too, at some point, and needed protection themselves, even from themselves.

 

(The concept that actual literal children would be taken or held as slaves has obviously not occurred to him at all.)

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I don't think they're much like children. And - I wouldn't say they never need protection from themselves but I think it's mostly a kind of protection you give them by making all the afterlives a soft place to land, not by trying to blunt all the edges of the world.

 

But - yeah, I do think they might seem like children to a dath ilani, so maybe you shouldn't meet them. And Civilization here's going to have to be different here, to be something that functions with them, if we don't just headband everybody. 

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They'll just headband everybody.  Spellsilver doesn't look to be a kind of thing that Civilization couldn't produce by the millions of tons if it felt like it.

Goodnight, Carissa.

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Goodnight.

 

 

Carissa is very curious what Keltham will do once they headband all the people who are way below 10 intelligence and only get to 12 with the most expensive headband in the world, but now doesn't seem like the time for that conversation, and hopefully by the time that situation actually arises Keltham will be eviller and think that enslaving all the stupid people is perfectly reasonable. 

 

They can shift all the planning around 'we have avoided telling Keltham around slavery and that could explode' to reflect that it'll only explode if he learns about Chelish slavery, or maybe slavery of children.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 19 (15) / Long Night

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Carissa Sevar would really really like to spend this night making glibness swords but she should be responsible first. 

 


"I'm here to request correction, if you have any."

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"If I'd found myself foolishly thinking clever-sounding thoughts about Hell's instructions to the Chosen - rather than Hell's instructions to myself, a slave of the Church - what are your thoughts about whether I should, in general, dare to speak to you of such?  Hell's instructions to Church and Crown are suggestive that it may be Asmodeus's will, that you come to comprehend His instructions to you for yourself, without such as myself presuming to instruct you on them.  But perhaps my thoughts are foolish, and you will know them for such, and think something valuable in the process of refusing them..."

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Well that sounds like a serious and important question of the kind Carissa can sense she's mostly been dodging for more immediate ones, lately.

 

She is doing a good job at her duties. The project is making interesting and valuable progress; Keltham does not seem suspicious; he's been corrupted a thoroughly respectable degree; morale is high and the markets on who will collapse aren't too pessimistic.

She is not doing a particularly good job at the duty that Hell actually set her, to find in herself desires that have no place in Axis. She's definitely gotten Eviller. She's pretty sure that running the project is about as Lawful Evil as an action can be. She is exercising power over other people to see the will of Asmodeus done, and trying to awaken in Keltham that which will let Hell claim him; she's being very Evil. But the instruction wasn't just to be more Evil. And it seems likely that the traits that make you rise in Hell are not just 'having done tons of Evil things unhesitatingly as ordered', that she is not yet the right shape for the greatest of her ambitions. 

 

It does seem that Asmodeus intended her to find that path without steering by the Church, or their instructions would have emphasized less not being proactive. But -

 

"It seems to me that my current efforts to obey Hell's instructions to me are inadequate," she says carefully. "So I would desire your thoughts, on the principle that - when I seem to be making little progress is a good time to seek out perspectives that might help me find my way."

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"Your efforts are incomplete.  It's been less than three weeks since Hell instructed you.  You are serving Asmodeus well in this world and being raised high within it.  Keltham must be contained now, he must be corrupted on a time limit.  If I thought you were wrong to prioritize the first line of your instructions, I would have advised you to take some time off your long nights and find somebody you hated enough to enjoy experimenting on, keeping in mind that you could name nearly anyone short of a Count and the Crown would wrap them up and hand them over.  But if you're really a good Asmodean, and I'm starting to think that you are, then you have relatively more time in which to do such things - is my own possibly foolish thought.  You should not pass up obvious opportunities to make progress, for you should not dally on any of Hell's instructions, but you are allowed to prioritize."

"Your efforts may possibly be inadequate as well as incomplete, but it's not obvious to me that they are.  They're clearly imperfect, but then, you're not Irori, and won't succeed in perfecting yourself without divine aid.  You are, apparently, the sort of slave that needs to remember that and not think otherwise."

"There's a difference between knowing that you're falling short of perfection, as is worthy of some punishment even in a good slave, and failing to recognize the progress you've made as possibly making you not a bad slave, who might not be judged worthy of severe punishment.  That judgment lies in the hand of your superior, to be clear, it is not your place to decide that you are doing not too badly.  But you didn't leave that judgment to me, you called yourself inadequate.  That was wrong of you, by the way."

Jacint slaps the Chosen hard enough to hurt, but not very much compared to being lit on fire; slaps don't do that.  "There.  You've been punished."

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"I understand." Mostly; there's always a small discombobulation, a sense that there's something there Keltham would have questions about she couldn't answer. She tends to listen to that instinct but she does not need to listen to it about this, because they are not going to tell Keltham anything like this, not for a long time, and when they do he actually might have better instincts for it than she does.

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"The thought that I had - after seeing how much you couldn't be the one to decide your own punishments -"

"Well, it came to me while I was reviewing the transcript of what you said to the new candidates.  About how, I forget your exact words, they might need to unlearn old habits of Cheliax, and consider that you might be Lawful enough that your words to them were actually true.  It's forbidden to suggest out loud that your superiors are lying to you, it isn't wise to think it too much... and that makes it hard to notice or even imagine that what your superiors are saying is true."

"What if Hell's instructions to you are not meant to work against your own interests?  What if you're not Irori and can't succeed in perfecting yourself without divine aid?  I think if you were to leave Asmodeus and walk the path of Irori, you would need to learn to punish yourself, with only nothingness above you.  And to survive that, if you could survive it at all, you would need to find the part of yourself that can never punish yourself enough, if the judgment is left to your own hands, and tear that out of your soul -"

"Or you could leave your punishments to your superiors.  Maybe it's not the case that you'd be better off with Irori and you're not allowed to think that.  Maybe Irori's Way is actually not the best path for you; a path that you might have been tempted to punish yourself into walking, if left to your own devices, but a path you cannot walk as yourself and remain whole.  What if Hell's instructions to you are not meant to work against your own interests?  It is heretical to think otherwise; that may make it hard to notice when it is actually true."

"That was all of my foolish clever thought."

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Oh.

 

 

 

 

Carissa feels slightly dizzy; it is strange to realize you were lying to yourself and hadn't noticed. 

'remember that you are not Irori' is an instruction you would give to an Asmodean whether or not they were like Irori, whether or not that path was one they could walk. Because of course walking it means not being Asmodean, and possibly breaking, within you, that which makes you usable in Hell. If anything 'remember that you are not Irori' is maybe an instruction you'd more give to an Asmodean who is capable of being like Irori, since otherwise, why not let them try and fail? 

But there is a good reason not to let Carissa try and fail, namely that she's needed for this whole operation. And - maybe Asmodeus doesn't actually want his useful servants smashed apart on the rocks of their own idiocy, so He warns them against it, and if they listen, good, and if they don't, then their destruction is wholly the product of their disobedience, which seems - pleasing, somehow, to Carissa, in a way that is perhaps the shadow of how Asmodeus feels about it. 

Maybe she doesn't just need to learn to wield submission as a tool to entice Keltham, maybe she actually needs to believe in it. 

How would she tell?

 

 

Well, she could try it and see if she becomes more able to accomplish Asmodeus's goals. The fundamental-assumption of Keltham's lecture this morning, that she's pretty sure half the students missed because he never stated it, so obvious it was to him - that going out and checking is the way to arrive at truth. Lots of smart people disagree with that; they argue that truth is found in mathematics, in logic, in theories, not in the mud where you never know anything for sure and have to do a lot of math just to guess how unsure you are. But dath ilan didn't even bother teaching it to their young children, because it was so intrinsic to everything else. You go and check. 

Subirachs is not a source of advice Carissa can use to figure out everything herself; Subirachs is Carissa's superior, and the answer is what she says it is. Carissa doesn't actually understand why Asmodeus wishes it so but she can feel the outlines of a reason, maybe, sort of, and she doesn't actually have to know. Carissa should not follow the path of Irori, not just because it would be disobedient but because it wouldn't work; it would not make the project succeed and make Carissa someone who can fix even Hell if she needs to. 

- that might be right. Not Carissa's job, anyway, to assess if it's right. Subirachs will tell her if she's doing better or doing worse.

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"I think you possibly are meant to assess whether I'm right, unfortunately for you, in the particular exact matter of interpreting the will of Asmodeus spoken by Hell to Carissa Sevar.  I don't think I'd have had my clever thought in a thousand years, if I hadn't read your transcript.  Perhaps I'm still wrong or failing to see fully.  I'm not smart enough, not Lawful enough, that the Chosen of Asmodeus should defer to me in a matter of understanding."

"But to whatever extent we do understand Asmodeus's instructions - even if it's because you told us so - the matter of how well you are doing in obeying them, and how much you need be punished for deficiency, is something that you must leave to your superiors.  Trust to your superiors, even knowing they'll sometimes be less than perfect themselves, because their judgments make what is right.  Matters of Irori and Asmodeus I am only guessing upon.  If you ever try to punish yourself as much as you think is needful, you'll destroy yourself; of that, I'm now sure."

"I have no more advice or correction to offer you this night, Chosen."

"Your third-circle enchanter-assistant has arrived.  The Queen confirms that she is pleased."

"Go with Asmodeus."

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Carissa departs respectably like a reasonable person whose priorities are Asmodeus's.

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GLIBNESS SWORDS TIME!

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Glibness is that rare phenomenon: a sorcerer spell wizards can't cast. In general, one might expect there'd be lots of sorcerer spells wizards couldn't cast; after all, sorcery is inborn, sometimes from unions with bizarre magical creatures that themselves have abilities no wizard can replicate. In practice this is very rare. Sorcerer spells tend towards configurations that a wizard, watching carefully, can see how one might emulate, and almost every sorcerer spell has eventually and painstakingly been found in a stable configuration that a wizard can build for themselves.

 

Not so with glibness. Glibness, to all appearances, doesn't have a stable configuration; it can only be cast spontaneously. You can never hang it on a scaffold. 

(For this reason there's a school of thought that argues song-sorcerers, who can cast Glibness, aren't actually sorcerers at all; Carissa doesn't know much about that but suspects it of being stupid, people trying to throw something that reflects their own weakness out of the category 'sorcerers' rather than understand it better.)

 

But the fact you can't scaffold glibness doesn't mean you can't enchant a magic item with it!! Enchanting a magic item with a spell usually requires casting the spell, but it's also technically possible (if trickier) to build the channels in the magic-item-scaffold through which the spell would flow if you cast it, without casting it. Many people don't do that because they're lazy and it's trickier but it's not even that much trickier, unless you're also using a double scaffold so that you can get the project done faster, which, yes, admittedly they are doing that here, and which does make it a smidge difficult, but not that hard.

The other tricky element of what they're doing is putting Glibness in a sword. The standard way to do this would be a Wondrous Item but Carissa doesn't have time to retrain so she just invented a bunch of adaptations to arms-and-armor enchanting that make it work when you're doing something nonstandard like this. ...probably her assistant, who does have Wondrous Items training, can skip that part, and just do it as a slotless charm. 

 

Does that all make sense?

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"Yes, Chosen of Asmodeus.  I will not fail you."

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This is going to be so much fun!!!!

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...she may notice at some point that the assistant enchanter seems unable to do some of the fine detail work that Carissa Sevar doesn't think should be that hard!  Perhaps he's lazy?  Or rather, he definitely seems to be trying quite hard right now, but perhaps he's been lazy his whole previous life up until this point, and that's why he seems to have such miserable Spellcraft?  You'd seriously get the impression this person couldn't remotely use spellsilver from a distance of even two feet away!  What kind of third-circle wizard is he?

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- Carissa isn't sure what the point of sending her an enchanter who is bad at enchanting is? This isn't meant to be an object lesson, it's meant to be a way to get everyone glibness swords as soon as possible, and they're going to take four days each even going at a good pace!

 

Does giving him her armillary amulet help him see what he was doing wrong.

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It helps, but it's pretty clear that this person isn't actually going to be able to create slotless/sword-based Glibness items without Carissa coming in here and helping like every day on the most important detail work.

...maybe Abrogail wanted to give her an excuse for needing to take a little time every day to do some enchanting?  That would be very thoughtful of the Queen!  Just like her, really!

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Or maybe Abrogail sent her someone who sucks so she would get frustrated and torture them to death. That seems more like Abrogail, actually.  

 

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HE'LL TRY EVEN HARDER BUT TRYING HARDER DOESN'T ACTUALLY LET YOU DO MICROSCOPICALLY DETAILED WORK PERFECTLY IF YOU'RE NOT CARISSA SEVAR

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- Asmodeus didn't give her spellcraft powers! She just did things and then got better at doing them!! He should try it!

 

-- actually, she's getting frustrated and not having fun and not making sword progress, so what he should do is watch and try to learn something while she spends the rest of the evening making glibness swords, which is fun, unlike trying to get people to understand things, which is terrible.

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He - he can do some parts of this work - he can help -

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Right but if she has to pay attention to him then she'll be annoyed and not having fun, and she could really use some uncomplicated fun right now, so she's just going to do this and he can watch and then on his own time he can try to copy it and see how far he gets!

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Acknowledged.

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Anyway aside from them not having been able to send her a good enchanter this is a very refreshing break from her stressful dayjob. 

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He watches her nearly inhuman Spellcraft with horrified attentiveness.

He couldn't match the Chosen with two more wizard circles and twenty more years of practice.  Couldn't make these tiny swords of glibness even if he trained for a year to make just that one item type.  But he can maybe possibly if he works until exhaustion show the Chosen that he can prepare the lesser parts of her work for her, present her with prepared materials that she'll be able to complete with two hours less of her time, if he works for ten hours before then.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 19 (15) / Still Night

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The Most High has apparently decided that Asmodia is cleared to know who Broom's god actually is: "Otolmens", the god of preventing the universe's inconsistencies from destroying it while all the other gods run around making Her work harder.  Oh, Aspexia Rugatonn doesn't quite describe Otolmens that way, in so many words.  But it's kind of... obvious.

Keltham must not be told this, because you don't want to go around suggesting to people that they might have the capability to destroy the universe and steer their thoughts in that direction; Keltham must be allowed to think that Broom's god just works to prevent Wish spells gone awry and lesser such disasters.

This also feels obvious?  Asmodia had completed and Predicted the thought before she even got to that section of the letter.

(shielded:)

Otolmens couldn't possibly be her sponsor, could She?  It - doesn't feel - somehow - like a sort of thing that Otolmens would do...

Still - if each of the Special Girls corresponds to some god involved in this, if that's how tropes work, then maybe Otolmens is the one that Asmodia corresponds to?  Even if that doesn't make Otolmens the one who saved her in Hell and to whom Asmodia owes gratitude or fealty?

Asmodia will think about it.

If there's someone somewhere in all the universe who cares about her - then Asmodia wouldn't want to see that universe destroyed.

"Otolmia" doesn't have a bad ring to it, either.

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She'll also, after some amount of internal deliberation and review of thought transcripts, recommend Korva Tallandria for a lot of Fox's Cunnings tonight.

Asmodia isn't sure why she's doing that, making the decision that's actually best for Cheliax.  It's not in Asmodia's own personal interests, to do that.  It would be better for Asmodia if Korva failed out of the regular classes because she couldn't keep up with the math.  That way Asmodia could steal Korva and put her to work exclusively on the Wall...

...why isn't Asmodia doing that?  It obviously isn't out of being Good; they're all working to serve Evil, here.  Asmodia could get away with the disloyalty, her thoughts can't be read.

Asmodia doesn't know.

Well, whatever.  Asmodia doesn't always need to know the reasons why she acts the way she does, right.

Asmodia recommends Korva for a lot of Cunning spells tonight, and files a request for a +2 intelligence headband that Korva can wear at nighttime.  The Project could also really use a +4 intelligence headband that people in general can pass around at nighttime or when Keltham isn't looking.  The newcomers could be that smart, for all Keltham knows; and there's not much chance of them being able to keep up otherwise.  There's limits to how many enhancement spells the Project's harried third-circles can do, with so many more people.  Project Lawful uses mental stats the way some projects eat spellsilver or gold.

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Sure, authorized. Asmodia can have a favorite among the new kids if she wants a favorite among the new kids. 

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Meritxell gathers around a bunch of the new students to condescendingly reteach Probability since Asmodia shouldn't be the only one doing that. 

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One of the new kids, who in fact looks older and scarier than Meritxell does, is going to say out loud that Meritxell could maybe use an extra Eagle's Splendour for purposes of making herself understood.

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Well then that one can leave, and Meritxell will teach the ones who don't object to her teaching style.

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That's fucking cold.  Even most of the crueler teachers don't do that.

The rest of the new kids will listen attentively.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 20 (16)

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Actual chemistry lecture this morning!  The newcomers should probably at least try to attend; it's not relying on math from Keltham's earlier lectures.

This is the Periodic Table of Elements.  It's ordered by protons, and organized by the arrangement of electrons as they fill up the least energetic orbital positions.

Keltham will spend much longer, this time, describing the electron orbitals; and how covalent bonds allow shared electrons to fill more of their shells; and how this lower-potential-energy state, where more electrons are closer to stronger attractive charges of protons, makes molecules tightly bound together in a way that takes heat to pry apart.

When you could-in-principle rearrange all the atoms in a reaction into a lower-energy state at the end, releasing heat along the way, it implies a potential more stable state the system might get into, and stay in afterwards.  To get there, you need a high temperature, so that the vibrations of heat will break apart some of the original molecules and let them randomly recombine, sometimes into the lower-energy state.  Ideally, you pick a reaction temperature that easily breaks apart the feed molecules, but doesn't so easily break apart the more tightly bound final forms.

The reaction they're trying for with sulfuric acid is:

Stage 1: burn sulfur to sulfur dioxide, this is exothermic but requires a high starting temperature

S + O2 => SO2

Stage 1.5: purify the sulfur dioxide?? Keltham doesn't actually remember how to do this, unfortunately

Stage 2: catalyze sulfur dioxide to sulfur trioxide, in the presence of oxygen, using Element-23 oxide as a catalyst

SO2 + V2O5 => SO3 + V2O4 (probably)
maybe SO2 + V2O4 => SO3 + V2O3 and then V2O3 + O2 = V2O5??

Stage 3: cool and dissolve the sulfur trioxide in sulfuric acid to form oleum

H2SO4 + SO3 => H2S2O7

Stage 4: react oleum with water to form concentrated sulfuric acid, twice as much as previously existed

H2S2O7 + H2O => 2 H2SO4

He's not really sure about the details, in the case of the sulfuric-acid synthesis pathway.  But a reason the vanadium catalyst might help in the first place - is if it's relatively hard to tear apart an O2 molecule, for example, and the exoergic reaction of a single SO2 to SO3 isn't enough pull to tear apart a single O2 molecule - it could happen with two SO2 molecules at once, cooperating to tear apart an O2 molecule that's already heated and vibrating, but then it's less likely for all those molecules to be in the right positions.  But V2O5 could resist the tug more weakly, giving up an O molecule to a demanding SO2 molecule; and then giving up another O molecule and turning into V2O3; and then swallowing down a whole O2 molecule to go back to V2O5 again.  Possibly.  For example.

The main point of this process, as Keltham understands it, is that it's liable to produce relatively high-purity sulfuric acid at scale.

It will also - he suspects - be much easier to do, much much easier to do reliably, if they can learn to really use Prestidigitation.

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Prestidigitation can alter color, taste, stickiness.  Keltham has now verified that Prestidigitation can modify acidity and basicness in order to modify the reaction of vinegar with wood ash (lye).  He's previously verified that Prestidigitation can produce temporary magnetism but only for so long as Keltham is concentrating, and even that he can get a material to reject a magnetic field using Prestidigitation.

All of this is of a kind with the shapes of the electron orbitals, the potential energy surfaces that determine possible reactions and reaction rates.

Prestidigitation should definitely be a sort of thing that can break the rules of chemistry.  They can maybe make Element-20 'calcium' behave like Element-23 'vanadium' for purposes of turning it into something that behaves like vanadium oxide, without Keltham needing to somehow figure out which Golarion metal is 'vanadium'.  Though vanadium oxide is donating oxygen molecules within the chemical reaction, so the oxygen part ought to be real.

There could maybe be a way to directly Prestidigitate sulfur dioxide to quickly react with oxygen at high temperatures, and turn into sulfur trioxide without need of a vanadium catalyst, if they really knew what they were doing.  There may be, conceptually speaking, something sulfur dioxide could taste like, which would make it react more easily with oxygen and slide down the exothermic gradient to sulfur trioxide.

Keltham is guessing that energy is probably conserved, even in the presence of Prestidigitation, which means that they probably can't do very much work of a form 'make this very tight binding loose' because it should properly take energy to shake loose of a binding like that.  But even small changes at the potential energy surfaces can do a lot to eliminate reaction barriers.

...though there's already hints that you need to be able to... sort of understand that stuff, or visualize it, on some level, to get Prestidigitation to know what it is you want it to do?

How are people doing on that.

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Uh, how should they be visualizing 'electrons' and 'orbitals'? Are these...tiny beads on strings?

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Keltham's not sure how far they're going to have to go into Law to get Prestidigitation working for them.

Layer one:  There's tiny little pointlike particles called 'electrons' with 'LEFT' charge being pulled towards nuclei with 'RIGHT' charge.  Identical electrons can't be in the same place at the same time, so there's only so much room for electrons to crowd around each other, as they get closer to a nucleus.  Actually electrons can only be at certain exact distances from nuclei for, uh, reasons, so there's only so many 'orbitals' for them to live in.  The lowest distance can only contain 2 electrons.

Atoms with more protons, like Element-8 'oxygen', are strongly electron-stealing or 'electronegative' and tend to tear away electrons from weaker nuclei like Element-4 'beryllium'; the electrons are still shared, still orbiting around everywhere, but you'll find more of them around the oxygen nucleus and less around the beryllium nucleus.  Which in turn will make the oxygen side of beryllium oxide more LEFT-charged, since it's got fewer protons than electrons, since the electrons are crowding around the part with more protons to attract them; and the beryllium side more RIGHT-charged.  This means that beryllium oxide is liable to go forming crystals in which the beryllium RIGHT sides of one molecule can get closer to the LEFT oxygen parts of another molecule, and the crystal structure will have its own strength - though not as strong as the underlying molecules, which is why it's easier to break substances with a hammer than transmute them.

If knowing layer one is enough to get Prestidigitation working, everyone's lives will be a lot simpler.

Layer two is about why two electrons can fit into the lowest orbital; it's because they need to have different ????-states and there's only two possible ????-states.  Similarly, the next shell out, that can contain up to eight electrons, is actually two possible states of one kind of orbit, and six different possible kinds of another orbit.

The electrons have magnetism going on, and there's a way that electric charges and magnetic fields have a nature that fits together.  A wave that propagates through the coupled electric and magnetic fields is a photon; when you have a lot of photons together, that's light.

Layer three is that the electrons aren't actually pointlike particles moving around, they're clouds of complex numbers with an equation that propagates the cloud, and the reason electrons can only orbit in certain distances and patterns is that their waves would interfere and cancel each other out otherwise.  This is the point at which you could start to calculate where the orbitals go, though that's rapidly going to get harder for anything beyond one electron orbiting one proton.

Layer four is learning what the clouds are made of, and starts to get into underlying 'realityfluids'.  And 'anthropics'.

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......hopefully that doesn't turn out to be necessary for Prestidigitation.

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(Actually she kind of hopes that it does. Then they'd know what anthropics are.)

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We can hope!  Hope is cheap since it doesn't affect actual outcomes!

Keltham hung a Silent Image earlier today!  Here's what sulfuric acid actually looks like.  You can see how those dangling hydrogen atoms on the end could potentially be ripped loose from the electrons holding them in, repelled by the positive charges at the center, and go off as positively charged protons to mess around with other chemical bonds and break them and dissolve them, which is what makes an acid acidic.

Here's what electron orbitals actually look like.

Protons are heavy and RIGHT-charged and clumped together by more powerful forces into nuclei despite the repulsion of similar charges; electrons are LEFT lighter and cloudlike, attracted to protons, self-repelling, and no two of them can be in the same place at the same time with the same ????.  The heavy protonic nuclei settle into a configuration of least energy, taking into account the attractive electron charges and that the protonic nuclei repel each other insofar as not electron-neutralized; the heavy protonic nuclei act as a sort of backbone for the light electron cloud.

It's actually less complicated than the weird twisted interactions found in hanging spells, in some ways?  There's a lot fewer interactions, really?  It's just that these are different interactions, and the math is a tad deeper than any individual force described in second-circle wizard textbooks.

Also they can't just manually manipulate the forces, they've got to subtly influence them with Prestidigitation to make bulk chemical interactions go differently.

Also also nobody's ever done anything like this before, so far as Keltham knows.  So they're gonna have to try a lot of stuff, and it's not actually clear which level of understanding is gonna be required to do what.

After lunch it'll be time for more experimentation using various things Keltham requested, using cheap materials he could identify, that will chemically react in ways that Keltham knows about!

Can they, for example, alter various substances, so that, when plunged into a hot fire, they burn with a different color of flame?  Not alter the flame's color directly, Prestidigitate the material so that it burns with a different color when lit?  That's a fairly direct test of their ability to mess with orbitals and potentials; it's electrons moving between orbitals that emit light of a particular energy and hence color.

Are they ready to get a lot of identical NO answers to 'Did that work?' while carefully observing for signs that anything observable went even slightly differently?

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That is actually the kind of thing Chelish wizard education prepares you for unusually well.

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A fair number of people are now trying incredibly hard to be the fastest to figure it out.

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Well so is Keltham.  It doesn't matter how unfair the competition is, he's still competing.

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...and yes, Keltham is first to Prestidigitate materials to burn with different colors of light.  Yay?  If he was feeling competitive about that?

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Feeling competitive is beneath Lady Avaricia, but winning is not. 

 

She's studied under an alchemist; her education has generally been more varied than that of the other students. And none of what Keltham said was that complicated, if you're not overawed by him, which she isn't.

Can she imagine this flame burns like salt, even though it didn't? More complicated than that? Can she imagine it tastes like salt? Can she imagine what's going on in salt, what its electrons are doing, and -

 

- she doesn't get it as fast as Keltham, but she gets it.

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Well, now he's actually interested in this 'county's heiress'-type person.

Everyone pause.  Does Eulalia have any guesses for what she knows that the other students might not know?

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"I know all kinds of things they don't know, since they're peasants. Relevantly I was thinking about how salt burns in different colors. Prestidigitation can be used to make food salty. That was insufficient."

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"What sufficed for you, if thinking about saltiness didn't do it?"

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"I kept thinking about saltiness, but in more detail - about what structures salts form, what alchemical properties they have, how different salts make different colors, what specific salt I was pretending to burn."

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"Do you remember the last thing you thought before it worked?"

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"That green would go better with my nails today so I should burn copper."

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He doesn't really get this person, but that's fine on a level where Keltham hardly even notices it.  Dath ilan has lots of weirdos.

"Huh.  All right, time to slow down in at least that section and do slightly less maniacal experimentation.  Let's have you peel off somebody and try to teach them to do what you do, but note down what you're trying to teach them in what order.  Any tier-1s want to volunteer for that?"

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"Sure." Otherwise she'll be worrying about Lady Avaricia/Asmodia or Lady Avaricia/Ione explosions. 

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Willa had been trying to influence her Prestidigitation with complicated math in her head in the hopes it might be enough like real chemistry. Maybe unsurprisingly, it wasn't getting anywhere. A little while after Eulàlia's comment though, she decides it's time to escape her solution space.

She gets out a copper and licks it. And now she has some green flames too, how about that!

She immediately starts licking her other coins to try to branch out, but it seems to be harder going getting anything but green.

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All right, somebody else should definitely just try that.

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Doesn't work for Pilar.

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Works for Asmodia.

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Right, well, that's actually very encouraging in terms of being able to eventually figure out what's going on here.  Much more informative than everything just working reliably, when you think about it.

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Feeling competitive is NOT beneath Korva. If she isn't competitive with everyone else here about SOMETHING that isn't math, she's pretty sure she's going to fail out of the project, and possibly in some important sense kind of fail out of hell.

Prestidigitation she can do, though. She doesn't want to copy the copper thing, now that it's been done, because it's much less impressive to be second at something. What other things burn weird colors that aren't green. Potash, she's pretty sure, but she doesn't know what potash is doing at the tiniest level other than that it's a kind of salt.

...sulfur burns blue, she's pretty sure, and it's definitely a pure element because Keltham was talking about it. She's just gonna go for broke and try to directly simulate sulfur. Sulfur has a lot of prestidigitation-worthy traits, actually; it has a smell, a little like eggs, and she's seen it before, knows its texture and the shapes it forms and a few of the things it mixes with, knows that it makes some mildly poisonous smoke - 

After a few minutes of intense focus and blocking out everyone else, she gets a blue flame, and then starts coughing.

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Somebody hit her with a Dispel Magic and see if that immediately stops the coughing, he'll do a radius healing after that and after any lingering smoke has had some time blow away.

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It takes a little bit for her lungs to calm down again, but after that she seems fine.

"Uh. Sorry."

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Giant positive healing energy burst!


"For what?  You didn't kill yourself at all, let alone in an unusually expensive way, and I think we probably want to plow ahead and not be too cautious until the first really costly injury.  Nice blue flame, by the way."

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"Keltham -"

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"No, I'm sticking to theme on this one.  Premature caution is expensive, slow, and not fun.  We keep pushing until we find out what's actually dangerous.  If we get through all of Project Lawful with zero experimental fatalities it means we were being much too safe."

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Korva personally thinks that dying prematurely sounds way way way less fun than being the level of cautious that it takes to avoid that!! Actually it sounds terrifying!! She barely knows anything yet, so there's no actual reason to resurrect her, which means she would be stuck in Hell not having made adequate use of her time as a mortal, which might mean an extremely boring eternity as a paving stone when compared to all of the people who actually got a head start on making something of themselves!

Obviously this just means that she's going to have to look out for her own safety, though, since it isn't remotely reasonable to expect Keltham to look out for it. Finding his assistants' lives expendable is really perfectly par for the course for the sort of person that he seems to be.

She's a little baffled by the claim that he isn't evil yet, though.

She'll just... nod.

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Keltham has all the best opinions! Needless fretting about possible grisly death would probably make this so much slower and also less fun.

She is game to race ahead licking stuff and making fire until some of it blows up in her face, and then to race ahead some more.

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"And just to clarify explicitly, any casualties get resurrected.  Even people who have not yet signed contracts with Project Lawful, who are second-circle wizards, who Cheliax couldn't afford to resurrect as a matter of routine, especially not during a war.  Yes?"

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"Yes.  Would anyone have seriously thought -"

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"Not everyone had a nice comfortable life before coming to this fortress, Keltham."

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"Fair.  I stand corrected."

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She really needs to figure out whether or not this is a sex thing for her, at some point.

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Quietly, but not too quietly - it's a conversation they could have in alter!Cheliax, the version of it reserved for real!Cheliax would happen at night:

"It cannot possibly come as a surprise to you that no one likes you and that most people remember you as an obnoxious stereotype."

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"No one ever remembers anyone else as more than a vague stereotype, unless you've attracted wildly more of their attention than is smart."

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" - so, you want people to assume you're frivolous and obnoxious since they'll round you off to something and it's not particularly dangerous?"

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"Oh, no, I am frivolous. And obnoxious."

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In alter Cheliax she wouldn't light this person on fire. She probably wouldn't even be tempted.

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"I think there's a dath ilani way of looking at it, actually, if you like that better, if it allows you to feel like your vague sense that I'm more important and better than you've accounted for is grounded in something. People who have better Sense Motive than Bluff don't choose what to claim; they choose how to be."

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"I don't - have - a vague sense you're better and more important than you're pretending to be." I have a vague sense that you're not doing something that makes sense to me and that's a threat to my project. 

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"Huh. I am better and more important than I'm pretending to be. Do you want me to walk you through what should have tipped you off?"

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"I'd be delighted."

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She counts them off on her fingertips. "It took me most of the last two days to decorate my room until living in such privation would not impair me, and I still finished the transcripts and associated exercises faster than most of the students who don't have some kind of disability where they repurposed all their brains for math and can't use any of it for anything else.

I attended every one of Asmodia's lectures and despite the fact she is an idiot child in shoes far too big for her she had no complaints for you about me.

Salts are pairings of 'elements' on opposite sides of Keltham's 'periodic table', the possibility of which I looked for as soon as he introduced it because of the alchemical teaching that every salt is in two parts and that's why they dissolve in water so readily. 

Your outfit isn't bespoke and it's nice enough it ought to be, I'm surprised that tailor let you walk out of the shop with it fitting so poorly. I suspect they spent the rest of the week agonizing over whether they were going to get in trouble with their superiors for letting you walk out like that or if they'd have gotten into more for trying to have you stay when you were evidently in a hurry. I didn't see you, at the palace, but I have a friend who did, and that's how she knew that you'd been important for less than a week, with the timing matching Nidal rather neatly."

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It's always hard to know if peasants get subtext but she thinks everything crucial must have gotten through, there. 

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(some time later)

...and that's about all the experimentation he's got in him for today!  Keltham finds today's results very encouraging!  There were a lot of bizarre phenomena that nobody understood!  But not a steady stream of YES or NO either!  With that amount of variation, there's going to be all kinds of handles they can use to find hypotheses that compress these mysterious details!

Also they actually did manage to Prestidigitate materials that would burn a different color!  This is very encouraging and strongly suggests that Prestidigitation chemistry can in fact be a thing!

The first target remains large-scale high-purity sulfuric acid synthesis, which would all by itself noticeably contribute to bringing down spellsilver costs and can be considered as a prerequisite step to trying to refine spellsilver out of less costly ores.

Keltham has left behind some descriptions of common chemical reactions made with identifiable materials.  He suspects he may end up taking a slower day tomorrow, and has other things to do today.  People could, only if they genuinely actually have the spare time and energy and don't need time off more, try to experiment with measuring the reaction rates of known reactions.  And, if they can measure those rates precisely enough to make it worth it, check to see if they can make particular reaction pathways happen faster, slower, more reliably, that sort of thing.  It'll probably be easier to make flames that burn cooler rather than hotter but that's only an informed conjecture...

Oh yeah, temperature.  Keltham is still trying to figure out how to build a thermometer.  The last attempt exploded and was sort of a stupid idea anyways.  That part's actually sorta important.  They'll be doing a lot of temperature-measuring.  More precise measurements mean consuming less material inputs to generate effects large enough to notice.  There doesn't happen to be a Measure Temperature spell, does there?

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There does not. Alchemists use mercury.

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...somebody wanna explain what 'mercury' is?

[...]

Okay, wow, that sounds like Element-80 and... maybe that stuff is safe to be around if Restoration works against it, but Keltham wants to poison some mice with it and make sure Restoration actually works, there.  Element-80 has a horrific safety rep in dath ilan because, at least in dath ilan, it's incredibly hard to get out of a person once it gets into them.

If Restoration works to let mercury-poisoned mice lead otherwise productive and happy mouse lives, maybe they'll risk it.  But it might take a little time to be sure of that?  Unless it's already a known fact that a Restoration gets rid of all the sickness - possibly insanity, Keltham doesn't remember if Element-80 was one of those - that would otherwise be caused by Element-80 poisoning?

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Restoration heals damage; Neutralize Poison prevents further damage; possibly there are subtle long term effects, it's not like anyone would've checked. Alchemists are kind of crazy.

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Okay but what do the survey studies show about the causal structure of -

Rephrase.

Were they crazy before they became alchemists, and if they die and come back are they suddenly less crazy?  More importantly, does anybody in Golarion actually have any reliable knowledge about anything in this subject area?

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.....no? You just kind of hear, you know, stories about crazy alchemists. It's not like anyone went and talked to all the alchemists about their craziness histories. The first one would melt you with an acid bomb when you knocked on their door.

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Why is his life like this.

All right, you know what, what Keltham is actually going to do here, is file an actual request for this query to get routed to actually knowledgeable people ASAP, because it is possible that definite knowledge exists, here, even if nobody on this Project is specialized for it.

Thermometers that won't irrevocably poison you and drive you mad are in fact an important requisite of chemistry.

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Not to mention, with all of magic and all of physics to work with, you'd really think there'd be something with a measurable linear dependence on temperature that was not 'the density of mercury'.  Like seriously.  Maybe he can build a resistance thermometer and calibrate it off a mercury one?  Though resistance thermometers probably don't work at, like, another ten times the temperature distance between frozen water and boiling water, such as you need for metallurgy... actually, Keltham would be sort of surprised if the Element-80 thermometers worked for that either.

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Anyways!  This was in fact an encouraging day and an encouraging set of results, full of detailed surprises to make hypotheses about!

Good afternoon, everyone!  Enjoy whatever it is you do when Keltham isn't watching!

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Maybe an hour or so later, Keltham shall summon his Carissa to his cuddleroom.

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....aww man she wanted to work on her Glibness swords. This is slightly visible on her face when she's fetched and Elias Abarco smirks at her, which it'd probably be unprofessional to light him on fire for. ...not unprofessional to arrange for someone else to do it, though.

 

Anyway. Carissa comes to the cuddleroom.

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She'll be promptly stripped and chained to the bed, and only then, of course, will Keltham explain.

Keltham is planning to start his Golarion martial arts practice, you see, and Keltham keeps forgetting to ask how wizards end up more resilient to damage, or for the six major theories thereof, which seems like an important sort of fact to know.

It was established rather some time earlier that Keltham is only permitted to obtain this information by tickling it out of Carissa.

He's just finally gotten around to remembering the question on some occasion when it is actually a good time to do that.

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She pouts. It's not meant to be convincing distress even to Keltham. "Begging for mercy - allowed, or the same sort of thing as saying 'no' and not allowed?"

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"Not allowed.  I don't want you trying to figure out exactly what doesn't sound like a request, while being tickled, and I don't want to fight my own brain around any edge cases that slip through..."

"Whoops, scuse me.  My internal Abrogail is telling me that was not the correct answer, and she kinda has a point."

"Ahem."

"Don't be ridiculous.  You can obtain mercy by telling me about the six theories.  Why would I want to hear anything else out of you?"

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"Oh no. You have an inner Abrogail. I should just surrender now. ...I won't, though."

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"Well, allow me to help align your actual behavior more closely with your sense of what it should be."

Keltham will then actually output that behavior!  His own sense of what he should do is not usually far off from what he does.

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Carissa will hold out for a respectable bit of time just out of principle. 

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Right, but what are the actual theories here?


(Keltham has a sort of wordless sense that only tickle-torturing people for information you're genuinely curious about would be a sexual-epistemic virtue, if dath ilan had already invented virtues about that sort of thing.)

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Yeah, yeah, okay. 

Theory one: Magic healing makes people tougher, over time. This explains why combat veterans tend to get much tougher. The idea is that the healing does more than just fix you. This would imply that rich nobles are much tougher than normal people because they can get frivolous magic healing, and indeed they do tend to be. 

Theory two: People are directly tougher in proportion to how powerful/important they are because the universe thinks that powerful people should be harder to hurt and kill. This one is out of favor because of how it - treats the universe as something that decides that? Why would that be the case?

Theory three: In a normal person, the relationship between the soul and the body is of a particular character, like the soul is a cloak worn by the body. Some kinds of uses of magic or spells cast on the person or exercises of power draw the soul closer to the body, and make the person tougher. 

Theory four: God-treaties have most people weak and easy to kill, but people who are particularly important harder to kill because this makes the future less noisy and more predictable, which is no longer relevant because of Foresight.

Theory five: There's an underlying factor of Selfhood that affects the strength of your alignment aura, how hard you are to kill, and how hard it is to affect you with certain magics; this is technically compatible with the 'soul' theory but the proponents hate each other. 

Theory six: This is actually just one powerful wizard she put up with once in order to get some spells off him, but he thought that just as combat and adrenaline make you able to channel more magic, they make you internally channel more vital essence which is what makes people healthy.

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...okay, if this is the actual state of speculation, either Keltham is really missing something, or people in Golarion really don't Science, or the correct answer is an infohazard getting buried.

Theory one seems like it would be incredibly easy to test in opposition to the others, by just taking a normal unimportant kid and healing them once a day... well, maybe you need to get hurt for the healing to count, but that test could at least rule out the version where regular healing does it without injury being needed first?

And if the pilot experiment returned NO on the added toughness, get one of the higher-grade masochists, or just use anesthesia, and test it with actual injuries on someone, starting after they were adults at age 13, and could sign up for an experiment?

Do clerics who use five bursts of positive energy per day, somewhere that needs the healing, end up some of the toughest people around?  If not, are any of those clerics masochists who could injure themselves first or have their sadists do that before each healing?

Does being incredibly rich make you tougher, as it would if it was just importance?  Are there any famous cases of people losing all their money and then immediately losing the extra toughness?  Did the girls on Project Lawful suddenly get much tougher once they were much more important?  Should they get a dagger right now and test whether Keltham is important enough to have the extra toughness?

Have they quantified strength of aura, quantified how hard it is to do a standard amount of damage to a paid volunteer, and checked whether aura strength looks directly proportional to extra toughness?

How can people possibly not already know whether some of these theories are true or false?


Keltham won't explicitly mention his suspicion about the correct answer being a buried infohazard, but will ask Carissa about the obvious tests or checks on the other theories, flexing his tickling-fingers in a threatening way as he does.

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"If anyone has done most of those experiments they haven't advertised the results. Clerics are tougher than average but not five times tougher than other people with similar careers, but they mostly do not self-injure before doing a healing surge and I don't know anyone who has tried it. If it goes by importance it's not in a 'you immediately become tougher when you get a promotion' way."

Notably it's at least a little tricky to tell how tough people are and it does vary a lot even among wizards of the same circle, unlike strength of aura which goes directly by caster circle. Keltham probably is hard to injure, she'd expect.

She agrees that none of this is how Civilization would explore the question. It's - pretty normal, for questions here.

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Right.  He lets Carissa out of the chains.

They're going to go test right now how difficult Keltham is to injure.  He's had practically no healing that involved injuries, has probably had a relatively very small amount of healing compared to other clerics just from channeling like seven or eight total energy bursts, and is incredibly important to multiple gods crowded around his Project like enormous light-drawn moths.

Some of these theories die today.  As in the next five minutes.  Golarion is presumably just bad at disseminating information [or is deliberately keeping a secret] because native INT 20s with +6 Intelligence headbands cannot possibly be this silly.

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"It's not impossible someone knows but really, everything is like this, it's not confusing that it's like this!"

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"I'm only not updating to Conspiracy immediately because I can't see why the Conspiracy would be hiding that, and why they wouldn't have made up a more plausible state of confusion, and why their unfalsified theory set would be theories I could personally test within five minutes.  What is wrong with this planet?  If it even existed before I materialized here."


"How we gonna apply a standard amount of attempted injury?  I'm thinking using standard weights to apply a measurable amount of force to a blade laid across my arm, but maybe you've got better ideas."

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"I - have no idea how much a 'standard weight' amount of force does to a blade laid across someone's arm but...sure? Or you could get the heating stone off Subirachs again?"

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"Nah, heating stone is too optimized for higher pain per unit injury.  Though I'm going to be really amused in the case where the relative difference in our apparent pain tolerance was off by four bits because you were sixteen times less damageable by the heating stone - to be clear, I'm not under the impression I'd have otherwise been able to compete."

"Man, I can visualize exactly the mechanism I want to set up here, to put a weight on top of a vertically held knife and push it downwards.  But there's no snaptogether pieces I could use to make it quickly... oh hey, that spell you use to feed yourself grapes.  Unseen Servant.  Have you got one of those around or prepped, that you're willing to use on this, and does it have a stable constant max power output that would be enough to injure yourself using a knife?"

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"You can use an Unseen Servant to carry something that weighs less than 20 pounds, or shove along the ground something that weighs 100. It moves much slower than you'd want for a knife fight but maybe that'd be fine for this?"

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"What's an example of something that weighs '20 pounds'... that I know about... or around how much do I weigh in 20-pound units... or if you've got the Servant running, you could just push on my hand that hard... I'm not actually totally clear on some of these precise units..."

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Sure, she will push on Keltham with all the force the Unseen Servant can muster.

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Around a hundred newtons maybe, or a bit less?  That ought to injure an ordinary dath ilani if you put that much weight behind the edge of a kitchen knife, never mind the point.  Let's go grab a kitchen knife and try that, first on Keltham, then on Carissa, then maybe on Pilar if she's around, she's also a masochist, right...

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(Being around an important hypothesis that would be incredibly cheap to test, and hasn't been tested yet, for a while, for no visible reason he understands, is making Keltham feel indignant.  Or as close to 'indignant' as most dath ilani ever get to that emotion?  Neurotypical dath ilani don't usually feel that emotion as Golarion knows it, but what they'd feel around a long-untested cheaply-testable hypothesis might come close.  This is not how society is supposed to work!  Not how people are supposed to act!)

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There's just so many of those!! If you spent a while trying to stab yourself about all of them you'd never do anything else!

 

 

"I have a dagger, you don't need to get one from the kitchens." It's in her Bag of Holding.

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"Right, let's find Pilar, if she's willing, so that we can try this all at once and all get healed with one channeled surge -"

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"Already here."

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"Great!  Can I try stabbing you with a dagger for SCIENCE?  Healing will be provided afterwards, though I might ask you to wait for a half-minute while Carissa and myself get stabbed too."

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"That sounds like something you could try, yes."

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"Great.  Carissa, you're up, let's try Pilar, you, myself in that order and see how much damage gets done before I heal it.  Thigh seems like a relatively safer target?  Edge first, then try the point if the edge doesn't penetrate."

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If Keltham ever gets curious about the wrong thing they're so doomed.

 

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Keltham (cleric 7, 32hp), Carissa (wizard 7, cleric 1, 26hp), and Pilar (wizard 4, oracle 4, 27hp) seem to - all be about as difficult to injure with a knife, which is notably a lot harder to injure than Keltham was a month ago.

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Healing surge...

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"Okay, that argues against toughness-from-healing, and shoots down my first metahypothesis about how the confused epistemic state was persisting, which was that the extra toughness came from healing, and this truth was considered socially infohazardous because rich people who wanted to be tougher would outbid poor actually injured people for cleric exposure."

"But then why are rich people ending up harder to injure?  Possibly the reason for the persistent confusion is that we've got multiple things going on?  And if one of those things is still toughness via healing exposure, part of the confusion persistence could be infohazard control too.  Um.  So I guess I was actually jumping the gun on thinking that part out loud."

"Who do I check with about social-infohazards, Broom, Aspexia, Lrilatha...?"

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"....prediction: whether or not Broom knows he'll tell you you don't need to. I'd ask Maillol to write Egorian and then it can get escalated as needed by the Most High or Contessa Lrilatha's secretaries? I - expect it's not an infohazard, I think you're assuming it is because it should be easy to tell but high-level people who haven't had lots of magic healing are rare."

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"...All right, I'll tell Maillol."

"Shit, Carissa, I'm sorry.  If I'd known, I would have stabbed myself before I prayed to my deity, and then stabbed myself again before I tried my first healing surge.  I didn't realize it was a kind of data that would be so hard to obtain."

Keltham seems genuinely sad about this!

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(Of course he does!  He had no way of knowing, but he accidentally wasted an irreplaceable scientific opportunity that could have contributed to settling a long-standing confusion in Golarion!  What dath ilani wouldn't apologize?  He's not that selfish, nor blind to normal social norms.)

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- Carissa has literally no idea what to say to this! "It's - okay? I'm not nearly as invested in this as you, honestly."

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"If I continue to stand around here, is anybody going to stab me again?"

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"Wasn't currently planning to."

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Pilar will head off, then.

Seems like their Heretical Safety Officer ought to hear about this?  Or, to be more precise, Ione should hear about it from Pilar, so that Pilar can see any interesting expressions Ione makes.

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"Actually, this is now causing me to wonder if I would've otherwise been a lot more injured, even with the Resist Energy (Acid), by that exploding explosion of boiling liquid I was standing right next to... might owe Ione a reluctant nod, there.  On the plus side, less caution needed in future SCIENCE! experiments!"

"Anyways.  I wasn't expecting that result.  I thought I was going to have to do something more elaborate before I started being slightly injury-resistant.  But since I got the unexpectedly more convenient result, I'm going to go see about getting retaught martial arts by Security, until I've used up my three healing surges left on the day.  Not private if you want to watch... though, what's your own martial arts level?"

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" - I'm a wizard. If I get into a hand to hand fight something has already gone horribly wrong. In a fight I -" 

They've made some progress on planning the hypothetical escape. She snap-casts Gaseous Form.

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He'll take a sudden unplanned step back!  And hold his breath, inconveniently on an exhale!  His mind goes to spells he could use as counters, if Carissa is about to make a point by subduing him; but Keltham has stopped prepping spells like Sanctuary, so he's basically got nothing.

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- rematerial Carissa. "And then I'd leave. Best combat strategy is running away. You'll recall that when I couldn't run away because you were in danger, I did a destructive cancellation of my Fly spell over the guy's head so I would break his neck when I fell on him."

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"Yeah, I remember."

"...the Security wizards probably have unarmed combat skills, though, right?"

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"Yes definitely. They're not supposed to run away, and they're supposed to be competent to do their job even if someone does an antimagic field or something."

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"Kay.  Dath ilani get, like, asymmetrical unarmed combat training for emergencies only.  Sequence one, how to defend yourself from a single attacker, hopefully without injuring them, trained in a way that does as little as possible to increase the combat potential of somebody misusing that skill for assault.  Sequence two, how to coordinate with at least five other people with the same training, to immobilize somebody without them hurting themselves or you."

"I'm off to see Security about retraining in that.  Don't mind if you want to watch, doubt you'll see much interesting or impressive on day one though."

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"I might go stab Pilar, I think you disappointed her."

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"Yeah, I got that vibe off her incredibly straight expression, somehow.  I don't even know how, but I did."

"Problem is, I don't have the kind of relationship with her that I have with you.  I'd feel really odd about stabbing her if it wasn't in a scientific context.  I don't think I'm ready to initiate a relationship with Pilar, anyways.  But even if I were, it sounds like I might need unarmed combat retraining to start one off correctly?"

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" - you know, yes, I think you might. All right. Good luck with your unarmed combat training."

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Right, well, let's go get a bit more psychologically acclimated to Golarion, then.  Where do Security wizards do martial arts practice around here?

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They have their own barracks and a training yard beyond them.

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Welp, Keltham's here for retraining.  He's got three healing surges he can use on the day, don't blow through them all at once.

Specifics of required training lean towards 'physically subduing Carissa Sevar after disabling her magic in a surprise attack'.  They're not to mention this to Carissa.  If anybody's wondering what's up with that or if it's really okay, he's got a letter from Abrogail Thrune about it.

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That's terrifying.

 

Awww, how romantic. Yes, they can absolutely teach that. If he's going to be mostly fighting with boosted Strength he should mostly train with boosted Strength; it does change some tactics.

 

Also, specialized non-combat clerics can convert unused spell slots to healing if they just untie the spell instead of casting it, discharging all that positive energy.

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Oh, interesting.  That'll potentially get him through more rounds that require healing at the end, if he can do that.  He's got a lot of truthspells just lying around.  Also, is that kind of conversion less expensive to his god than if he does the whole channeled healing surge thing?

He didn't actually queue up Bull's Strength for today, or Cat's Grace.  Seems worth doing some training even if he doesn't.

Current pain tolerance level: managed to keep up Detect Magic for one minute with the heating stone, took it off his arm maybe eighteen seconds after that.

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They've put some thought into the face Chelish security should show him. Obviously, they want him when he decides to escape to find it plausible he could overpower them if he got the jump on them. Probably they want to be substantially better than random civilians at hand-to-hand combat, but not actually all that scary when they can't spellcast, and probably lots of their combat skill is aimed at disrupting spellcasting, which they'll teach Keltham even if he plans to otherwise suppress his girlfriend's magic. 

 

They're happy to do this for as long as he wants to or has healing, and can call in a cleric for more healing, after that, if he wants.

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Keltham's going to have weirdly overoptimized defensive skills if nobody puts a little effort into blowing through those.  Conversely, his form is going to go hugely bad as soon as he tries to go on the offensive or grab anybody, leaving openings somebody could drive a truck-sized fist through.

He's not going to find it particularly plausible if Security wizards can't take him.  Anybody with Governance-level combat training should be able to take him.  Anybody with the nearly-mythical quality of having Been In A Real Fight should be able to take him, which is why Keltham's so concerned about Carissa being able to take him even with her magic disabled.

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Yeah, they didn't figure they could get away with "Security are complete amateurs", just "Security are possible to beat once you have some real combat training". Carissa probably could take him, in their professional assessment, just because she seems like the kind of person who's scary when cornered and who has been in some real fights. But that's fixable!! It is the foundation of much of romance, that men are stronger than women and can beat them in a fight.

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...if men get the drop on women, disable their magic with a magic item used in a sneak attack, and have already cast physical enhancement spells on themselves?  He's pretty sure a symmetrical attack by Carissa would work on Keltham, if everything about their relationship were completely different.

The point of this isn't that he can beat Carissa in a fair fight, it's that he could and would do whatever it took to beat her unfairly.  Beating her in a contest of physical strength is something that any physically specialized male could do, and that doesn't qualify random muscular guys to own her.

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Anyways, Keltham will go on trying to upgrade to Having Been In A Real Fight...

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...until he's out of healing except for one unconverted truthspell, which seems like a natural time to stop.

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...it's sort of weird, actually, he would have thought he'd want to be with Carissa, after this, but his brain is saying "Asmodia" instead.

Does she happen to have the time?

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Actually, no

Sure, Asmodia has totally been in her room studying this whole time, and was not doing very important Conspiracy things just before then, and did not frantically run in here ten seconds before Keltham arrived after his intended destination became clear.

What's up?

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He's been getting martial arts retraining from Security, all healed now but he's still feeling a bit psychologically worn, and for some odd reason his brain returned an answer of "Asmodia" when queried for who he wanted to snuggle after that.  Probably relatively quiet going-to-sleep snuggles, if that's okay.  He doesn't know if that's something that would interest her and it's obviously okay to say no.

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Sure.

(It's - probably not quite the same as Keltham having been through a torture session, and seeking her out afterwards - that, she feels instinctively, would be crazy high up on the Chelish Relationship Escalation Scale - like well past the point where the Church arrests you for being in a relationship that healthy - but -)

(Fuck it, she doesn't know.  Whatever.  Either the tropes have fated them to fall in love or they haven't.)

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He doesn't say much.

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She holds a warm thing in her arms, big spoon to his little spoon this time, and wonders whether her future self will try to sabotage it all, if it starts looking like Keltham is actually heading towards Hell.  That's probably what being in love would mean, right?

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PL-timestamp:  Day 20 (16) / Long Night

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High Priest Ferrer Maillol will speak to you now, Lady Eulàlia Avaricia de Seguer.

(It's not a request and doesn't sound like one.)

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She has no particular idea what he wants but one doesn't mess with High Priests; that's not a title one got two weeks ago because Project Lawful's handing authority out like candy.

 

She goes in.

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This place is very cold, and very flat, and has no particular distinguishing features.  Miles away there is smoke in the air, as from a chimney. 

 

Farther miles away there's a big soap-bubble force-field kind of thing.

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Worldwound. 

 

She's not in fact an idiot. 

 

She is confused. There's a Forbiddance. Someone could have knocked her unconscious and carried her outside it. Or it could be an illusion. Well, trying to will away an illusion is cheap. She looks at the ground in front of her, closely. Tries to disbelieve it, to brush aside the magic standing between her senses and reality. 

While she does this she curtsies, perfectly, just in case she's standing in the High Priest's office.

She hopes she's standing in the High Priest's office. It is miserably, horribly, cold.

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It is in fact an illusion, obviously, but a sufficiently high-level one that Lady Avaricia can go on feeling horribly cold for a while.


"Welcome to the Worldwound, Lady Eulàlia Avaricia de Seguer, heir of Girona County.  Three weeks ago I ran an installation here.  Miss it quite a lot, in fact."

"Serving out a tour of duty here is something that excellently tempers a Chelish citizen.  Makes you wonder why your mother didn't send you here, really.  You could have learned so many valuable lessons."

"Do you know why your mother didn't send you here, Lady Eulàlia Avaricia de Seguer?  Why most noble children don't get sent here, as would be, in my own opinion, immensely beneficial to the Chelish state?"

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Because it's horrible and full of demons and peasants. 

 

She has a feeling she should not voice that guess. 

 

"We'd die like flies, High Priest. It's well known that a young noble in a situation where they plausibly might die by freak accident always will."

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"Your mother can certainly afford a resurrection spell, if you die like a fly once or thrice.  But if you want to act stupid about it, go ahead.  Just means the conversation takes a bit longer.  Cold's not bothering me."

"I'll be astonished if you're not thinking that the real answer is that this place is beneath you."

"That, in fact, is why the Crown doesn't instruct the nobles that they've got to send their children here before they can inherit.  It'd serve the Chelish state, but not the Church.  It wouldn't be good for Asmodeanism."

"Do you believe you already understand why not?"

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"It would teach Cheliax's leaders the habits of peasants, drudgery and idiocy and mindless obedience. I am not persuaded that serves the state, let alone the Church. I think people are best ruled by their superiors, actually, and it's not all in the blood."

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"They tried sending noble children to the Worldwound, back when.  It was an obvious enough idea for preventing Chelish nobility from going the way of the weak, useless fops in other countries."

"Problem is, this place doesn't kill noble children.  It breaks them, in a way that even True Resurrection and Greater Restoration can't fix."

"To be specific, it breaks their pride."

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"Pride has always been the one of our Lord's domains that I've understood the least.  My specialty among our Lord's concerns is tyranny, and that alone."

"I genuinely don't understand what He sees in people like you.  Never have.  Always seemed to me like I could eat a pile of raw meat and vomit a more useful tyrant than most Chelish nobles."

"One thing I'm sure of, though.  Whatever it is that the likes of you possess, it's not real pride.  Not what our Lord really wishes mortals were like, just some seed or shadow.  I can't imagine that a proper devil reshaped to our Lord's will could have their pride broken by the Worldwound."

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"But then, not every child of nobility has their pride irrevocably broken by the Worldwound, among the ones who do get sent there, punished or cast away.  The vast majority of them, yes, but not all."

"Maybe you'd be one of the ones whose pride the Worldwound couldn't break.  No more than it could break a devil reforged in Hell to our Lord's true will."

"Can you guess how the Worldwound breaks children with false pride, child?"

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"The living conditions are miserable, and everyone around you is a peasant, and even if they're impressed at first they stop being so, if you can't actually hurt them, and then you pick up the habits of peasants," like I said, "and end up no better than other people."

 

She wouldn't dream of correcting a priest about theology but she thinks that if you think of it as 'pride' you already have a problem. The thing you want is to be superior to other people. Not smarter than them, necessarily, or richer than them, not necessarily possessed with authority over them, just worth more than them. She is worth more than other people; pride is just knowing it.

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"Even the noble children of Cheliax, as far beneath Hell's standards as they fall, are not that weak in their pride."

"The Worldwound breaks pride by being real.  Run into a superior force of demons, you've got to flee, doesn't matter what arguments you invent for why they're beneath you, they don't care.  They don't argue with you and win, they don't strut their contempt as they ignore you, they're just straightforwardly trying to kill you."

"It's that lack of caring, that breaks the noble children.  Not the way that other people make a point out of ignoring them.  The way the world around them doesn't notice their existence on a fundamental level.  The demons don't give a shit, the cold doesn't give a shit, the work shifts don't give a shit.  You can survive them, but you've got to change to survive them on their terms."

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"Learning to survive at the Worldwound is like waking out of a dream, Lady Avaricia.  Like seeing through an illusion."

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"And for most noble children, it turns out their pride was just part of that dream."

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"Can we send my sister there?"

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For all that he reacts, you could get the impression that she tried speaking to something that doesn't care about her existence at all, like the cold that her senses tell her is freezing her to the bone.

"You understand why I'm taking my valuable time to tell you all this, kid?"

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I, too, am surrounded by peasants, and a situation that I can't command to be less annoying. 

 

"I assume you'd like me to make a more interesting mistake than that, because it'll be useful to your project if I learn to be commanded by peasants without becoming one."

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"Project Lawful is far more lethal and unforgiving than the Worldwound.  One accidental word that gets Keltham looking in the wrong direction is as deadly to Cheliax's interests as a full Worldwound breach, except more irreparable, because we can't just teleport in the army to fight it back."

"That deadly stray word doesn't look as lethal as a five-story fire-spitting demon.  That's a problem."

"I don't give a flying fuck about whether you make it out with your pride intact.  The moment your mother handed you over to Project Lawful, your usefulness to the Church as a proud heir to Girona County was finished.  You come out of this as a Duchess, or you end up as a heretical future paving stone."

"Wake up, kid.  Keep your pride in the process, lose it, whatever, the Church no longer gives a shit.  Seemed like a priest ought to tell you that, since maybe you'd been told differently, at some point."

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This really does not seem like the kind of lecture one argues with. She waits to see if he has more to say.

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"When you end up in my office with pain being applied to you, it indicates you've made a mistake.  Whimsical cruelty is more Subirachs's thing."

"You poked a dangerous thing you shouldn't have poked.  Guess which dangerous thing I'm talking about?"

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She's actually not sure at all. 

 

 

She explained her reasoning on the salt. She's - pretty sure that's it for interactions with Keltham.

She was arguably rude to the Chosen of Asmodeus, though she was actually trying to be helpful while remaining in character, there, and would in fact never be rude to the Chosen of Asmodeus deliberately.

She - ignored most of lunch because the chefs here can't cook duck and she has a Ring of Sustenance anyway?

"I confess I do not understand my error, High Priest."

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"That's an improvement over all your wrong guesses so far.  At least you didn't guess something stupid, like that it was Sevar."

"Out on the Worldwound there's a distinction between what goes on at base, and how you act when you're out on patrol.  You want to play Asmodean games on base, push somebody into a corner, take advantage of them, or just be cruel for your own amusement?  That's being a good Asmodean, so long as it doesn't significantly impair their combat efficiency."

"Playing games while you're out on patrol?  That's serious."

"I've never had the job before of breaking a county heiress, but I've had the job of correcting some rich asshole's son who just didn't get it.  He didn't have a mode he could go into for not playing Asmodean games.  Couldn't switch it off when our Lord's interests depended on that to hold the demons back.  He played the enigma, dropped ominous hints, on patrol."

"Eventually he ran out my patience, I corrected him hard enough to reduce his combat capability, demons ate him, I wrote up a brief report and Egorian never sent me any questions."

"You're here because Asmodia came into my office saying that she didn't understand why you were calling the others 'peasants' around Keltham, couldn't figure out if that was a game the real Lady Avaricia was playing, or alter-Avaricia's game, or what.  Asmodia reported that she couldn't predict what you were going to do next around Keltham, because you had not explained any such game to her while setting up your alter-Avaricia persona.  She didn't request you to be corrected, if you're wondering, Asmodia just requested orders from me.  She was rightly unconfident of her own ability to steer from there."

"You want to play games with the Chosen of Asmodeus, test her on her ability to decipher you, critique her outfit?  I won't stop you.  Could be good for her.  Sevar's new to her role, used to work underneath me until a couple of weeks ago in fact.  Maybe learning to play the game against you will be good practice for her."

"But do it when Keltham's not around."

"Or if you're doing it as alter-Avaricia, clear it with Asmodia first, so that alter-Sevar can play whatever part she's supposed to play."

"Anything you do around Keltham needs to be completely transparent and predictable to your superiors."

"When you are near Keltham you are out on patrol at the Worldwound."

"Clear?  We are playing a lethal fucking game, we do not have time for surprises from you, we do not care about you, and you will adapt to those conditions immediately or be removed as a liability."

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The Chosen of Asmodeus started it!!

 

She is not stupid enough to argue. "I understand."

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"You'd better be right about that."

"Your next move is to report to Asmodia, explain what you were thinking before, and set up a pre-approved gameplan for alter-Avaricia that takes into account whatever the Abyss she was doing today."

"Now, you do give off the impression, maybe it's a false impression, but who knows, of somebody with a short attention span who thinks all this is beneath her.  Somebody who might be distracted by fiddling with her nails, or maybe just wander off."

"To make sure that doesn't happen while Asmodia is talking to you, your arms and legs will be removed."

"If you impress Asmodia with your good behavior under those conditions, your limbs may be Regenerated afterwards."

"Any questions before you're taken away?"

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She keeps her face still. There's not a lot of point in complaining that she has a very safe and predictable conception of alter!Avaricia, had it in mind all along, and would have told the idiot-child-on-a-power-trip all about it if the idiot child had asked her instead of asking Maillol. Going to Maillol instead is precisely the thing that an idiot-child-on-a-power-trip would do, and having pegged someone as an idiot-child-on-a-power-trip you don't get to be surprised or offended if they behave like one.

You can either avoid even faultlessly provoking idiot-children-on-power-trips or you can accept the consequences. 

Relatedly, if your superior is a grouchy old man who hates nobles because they don't spend enough time in the freezing cold fighting demons, which is what all people should be doing, you're not going to argue him out of that; you have a superior who hates you and is going to persist in that, even if you're right and he's wrong. Being right doesn't give you power; power gives you power. 

 

(She is right, though.)

She can't help it if they're reading her mind but she can have the good sense to show none of that. "I don't particularly have questions, High Priest."

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They are.

"The problem is that you didn't get it approved in advance, Avaricia.  It doesn't matter how predictable your concept seems to you.  If you don't actually explain it and get it pre-approved, it still ends up a wonderful clever surprise and you get to see that beautiful look of suppressed confusion on those peasants' faces."

"Your superiors don't need to be able to predict you.  They need to have actually predicted you."

"Take her away."

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"I'm going to note for the record in case it makes any difference that I did not actually ask for this, and then move on."

"So.  Why was alter-Avaricia calling the rest of us peasants in front of Keltham?"

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"I actually thought this had been adequately communicated earlier, but perhaps I was being too diplomatic, and therefore too indirect.

 

The Lady Avaricia, in alter-Cheliax, was raised as the heir to a Chelish county, and raised believing that because she is much better than everyone else, it is her duty to study hard and become wise and govern them responsibly. Yes, her mother is Good. She has been warned she'll probably end up Good too, once she's a Countess, but it's considered healthy not to try to rush there deliberately, when you're young and your decisions don't yet affect other people. 

The Lady Avaricia is not an idiot, and it would have occurred to her, at some point, to wonder if it was true she was much better than everyone else and that it was reasonable for her to rule over them. She studied the matter carefully and concluded it was entirely true. Most people are terrible at planning, barely if at all literate, impulsive and violent, sexist and stupid. If you ask them how their county ought to be governed they propose less taxes and more public-goods." She uses the Baseline, rather pointedly. "Lots of them want to conquer Andoran; the most popular complaint about the Church is that it's not out there killing more infidels. It's not just an impoverished upbringing; my tutors' children, raised alongside me, are stupider, and have worse judgment, and handle themselves worse in negotiations. My best guess is that half of nobility is in the blood, and the other half in the bearing, and you actually do need both. 

Now, 'better than everyone you've ever met' need not translate to 'better than everyone in Cheliax'. If nothing else, there's all the other counties, and there are Dukes, and I have never been given reason to believe I rival the Queen in any of my strengths. And so the Lady Avaricia, advertised a secret project, joined eagerly, not because she wants money - she has all the money she could reasonably want - but because there might be people there who are as good as her. 

The Lady Avaricia was disappointed. The project had some children with the blood, maybe, to be nobles, but not the bearing; some who can surpass her in how fast they do arithmetic in their heads, or how desperately they want to impress the teacher, but none who actually see as far, none who can pay attention from as many angles, none who are doing anything other than trying to race down the track Keltham laid out at top speed, none who are venturing off the track every few minutes because they see so many connections, between what's being spoken and what they already knew. And Keltham, himself a child with no leadership ability to speak of, selects for his favor those who hang on his every word, because that feels, to him, like those are the ones who really understand it.

The Lady Avaricia does not blame them. They are all peasants. None of them were raised to rule because none of them were going to. The skills they lack would have been less useful to them than the skills they possess, if they'd gone off to fight demons like they were supposed to. But she is disappointed, and she is aware that she is unlike them, and she does not care to be like them; if nothing else, she thinks it'd be a loss to the project. 

All this but my mother's alignment, wall-girl, is green. Should we go on to the parts that are orange?"

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"It's on the wall now in green, I guess, if it doesn't look like we can revise it retroactively.  Maybe it should have been orange and that's the issue here."

"We lie to Keltham as little as possible, but the truth isn't safe either.  The fact that Asmodeus is Lawful Evil is on the wall in red, not green, because, true as that fact is, Keltham has correctly seen that fact as an anomaly in the light of other lies we've told him about Asmodeus."

"Keltham makes deductions using Laws we don't know.  I'm trying as hard as I can, and I can't begin to read far enough ahead of him.  To him, what you're describing about Avaricia isn't a fact about her, it's a fact about an equilibrium of forces we don't understand that hold Avaricia in place, like a balanced element inside a spell being hung.  Forces out of real-Cheliax that even we in real-Cheliax don't understand."

"There's an Avaricia like that in real-Cheliax.  Does that Avaricia exist in Taldor?  Does she exist in alter-Cheliax?  Does she have a Lawful Good mother?  Keltham has met a fake paladin that we intended to be realistic, that paladin would not have seemed like Avaricia's father."

"It's not enough for your version of Avaricia to be above others.  The others have to know that they're below her.  She doesn't hide that she thinks she's better than all of us, on her first day in that strange place, she flaunts it openly and without caution, because for others not to oppose her then and call her out on it, confirms her place and her power."

"There's probably a less Asmodean version of that pride in Taldor, that's still pride.  Maybe only among children whose mothers are not Lawful Good, I don't know if it's in Lastwall.  I - I'm not sure how I know this, but I would bet at a very high probability that it's not in dath ilan.  That Keltham will see it as something very strange and hard for him to understand, he will kneel down to peer closer, he will ask questions, he will be driven to understand it.  Ione is not wrong that there is something of Nethys about him and his world -"

"I'm still not explaining this right.  Keltham can feel the difference between fiction and reality, I think, on some level below all his Law and math.  He knew that Manohar hadn't really put an artifact headband on me, and his thought transcripts showed that it was just - how it felt to him."

"What you did feels to me... well, it feels like fiction, first and foremost, a pose, a mask.  And that's bad enough even if your alter-Avaricia would do it, because Keltham is so watchful, for signs of fiction being woven around him, we should have picked a different alter-Avaricia instead."

"Much worse is that it's fiction out of the true Cheliax, and not the alter-Cheliax we've been constructing."

"If even I can sense that, I'm very worried that Keltham can sense it too."

"Which is why you need to, yes, spell everything out very very explicitly and not take me by surprise about the way that alter-Avaricia - suddenly thrusts out a huge new theory of what it's safe for Keltham to believe about the equilibrium that produced an alter-Chelish heiress who is very much like a real-Chelish heiress."

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"Have you met nobles in Taldor?"

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"Obviously not."

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"They are not actually less prideful on casual inspection than Chelish nobles. How exactly you signify it goes in and out of fashion, of course, but they are like that. And some of them are Lawful Good. Not Lastwall Lawful Good, if Lastwall is your concept of Lawful Good you're going to have a hard time explaining why there are nobles at all, but 'it is our duty to benevolently govern our inferiors' is a Lawful Good ideology, if out of fashion among Cheliax's specific political opponents right now. 

I did, actually, listen to your entire incredibly tedious speech about people being the products of all the equilibriums that hold things in the place they are, and nobles with a conception of their duty of benevolent governance is already implied by nobles existing at all in the society you built. That's where nobles who have to justify themselves to other people land. 

It is mildly interesting that it sounds pretend to you and probably to Keltham, you sure might want a plan to handle that. Mine would be 'go talk to Taldane nobles until you figure out what you were missing that made reality seem fake to you'."

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"Those are harder to kidnap, excuse me, rescue than the Taldorian refugees we have in the Facility.  I'll file a request to see if the Crown has any captive Taldorian nobility on hand anyways that I could try talking to."

"I'm afraid, Avaricia, that we still have a problem with respect to you and my wall.  You seem to think that you can say what ought to work and then argue me into agreeing.  Problem is, the one who has to believe your story isn't me, isn't reality itself, it's Keltham."

"Keltham does not know all these things that you know.  They are - complicated, like saying - not just that a ship comes in, but that it comes in from Absalom - and if Avaricia seems strange enough to him, if her perfectly reasonable and even true arguments ring wrong to him, the way he doubted that masochists really existed -"

"You believe that you're in the right and what you're doing is safe and fine because the arguments for it are so right.  You're not getting it.  We are fighting a precarious pitched battle in which we are outnumbered and there is no margin at all for error, because what is at stake is not whether we win but how fast we lose.  We are desperately trying to lose slowly enough that we can get enough Law from Keltham before he leaves us, or maybe, even, bring him all the way over to Asmodeanism first."

"Oh, that reminds me, you may want to check in with Sevar at some point about what Keltham ought to end up thinking is Asmodeus's concern of pride.  Keltham getting really unpleasant associations about that off you seems like it could interfere with Sevar's game and not just mine."

"To return to point.  We're playing an absurdly complicated and delicate game, not all of whose considerations are known to you.  There are gods playing that gameboard, and stranger things there haven't been time to explain to you.  You need to plan out all large moves explicitly, spelled out, to me, carefully, in advance, as you take your first steps onto this gameboard; not argue to me afterwards about how your moves were the clearly correct ones after it's too late.  Unless and until you prove to be better at my job and able to take over running my Wall; and if you think that's terribly likely I'd invite you to start a prediction market about it.  You'll outbid me, I'm sure, but I won't mind taking your money and I expect a lot of Security will want in on the action too."

"You're currently a limbless torso propped up fetchingly against a wall because Sevar is running an experiment about mercy, possibly a temporary one.  Blundering in here like this on an ordinary Asmodean project, throwing your pride around and expecting others to follow in your wake afterwards, would ordinarily get you a much more severe reminder.  I am considering recommending for that at this point because you do not seem to understand how to coordinate with others on this Project.  You don't make huge moves like that with a hundred implications, and then explain to me afterwards why they were clearly the right moves because sure nobles are like that in Taldor.  It is not your place to decide that the win condition for your idea is the fact that nobles are like that in Taldor.  You come to me or Sevar with the idea, you politely sell it to us, we check implications you don't understand, we maybe approve it, then you do what we expected you to do and nothing more surprising than that."

"Avaricia's an asshole, fine, it's maybe too late for alter-Avaricia not to be one too, but she can't be a revealing asshole.  Talk to me about what alter-Avaricia hoped to gain by offending her classmates in front of Keltham, keeping in mind that if she was just lashing out blindly then maybe alter-Asmodia and the other tier-1s would logically recommend to Keltham that alter-Avaricia not get hired or not be given a tier-1's authority."

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"At this point I think I do need to get to the parts of who alter-Avaricia is that should be orange on the wall. Alter-Avaricia is not scared of you. She does not expect that if she disagrees with you you'll escalate until she is no longer capable of objecting. She does not want this job that badly, if taking this job is going to require appeasing people she thinks are worse than her. Alter-Avaricia is not in this for the money, she is not in this for the power, she is in this for the chance to meet people who might be interesting, and they haven't impressed her yet and she doesn't feel like pretending they have, even if it means Keltham doesn't hire her.

And if the game you want to play is 'no, you should in fact act like you're scared of us and act like you're desperate for Keltham to hire you, because we'll arrange to make you regret it if he doesn't, because we'll take away everything you previously had in life and make sure this is the only thing that matters to you', well, then fine, you're in charge here. 

Every other one of your new hires is desperate for Keltham to hire them. Because they don't actually believe that being a massive threat to national security who is also useless ends well, and the fact that the last batch of rejects are presently being treated well is nowhere near enough assurance on that front. You probably literally could not give them sufficient assurance on that no matter what you tried; they're stupid, but they're not that stupid. They're people whose lives are on the line and they can't entirely act otherwise.

They're not going to be able to act like this is something they tried that might work out or might not but which would leave them perfectly fine if it didn't work out. Luckily, Keltham does not seem to have caught on about that; maybe he thinks the incentives he's offering are powerful enough to explain all their desperation. 

You seem very invested in making it clear to me that I'd better be desperate for Keltham's approval, that I'd better in fact think of whether I'm hired or not as the sole determining factor of whether I have any opportunity to do anything at all with this life or the next one.

As Maillol put it, 'The moment your mother handed you over to Project Lawful, your usefulness to the Church as a proud heir to Girona County was finished.  You come out of this as a Duchess, or you end up as a heretical future paving stone.'

 

So the question is: do you want me to act like that?

 

Or do you want me to act like a genius kid who has never had a job and didn't expect to ever need one, who if she fails to impress Keltham spends a couple years under house arrest and then goes back to ruling a county, who knows that and therefore expects the project to impress her as much as she needs to impress it? Who isn't scared?"

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"I must say, I never realized until now how much of a life disability 18 Splendour could be, if it wasn't in a headband and you had no way to take it off."

"Stop trying so hard to persuade me, Avaricia.  Every time you do that, I have to redirect attention away from what you're actually saying, and make metaphorical Will saves against being the sort of person who just believes anything told her by somebody with 18 Splendour."

"What I'm hearing from all of this is that alter-Avaricia doesn't make alter-Cheliax look so great, or act like she's trying to impress Keltham, and that's a better look to his Probability-Sight because somebody like that should exist and alter-Avaricia should logically be her.  I'm concerned that you're vastly overestimating how much Keltham expects somebody as rude as Avaricia to exist in Golarion in the first place, I'm worried that he'll deduce something from that we don't want even if it's something that's not true, the more it surprises him the more it narrows down which surviving realities he's still in and that's our loss condition on the whole Project, he does not need to think that 'Governance' would send him anyone rude they could have just all been filtered out earlier..."

"As for how worried you need to be about failing out of Keltham's Project, Sevar's going incredibly far out of her way to make that less scary than usual.  If that's not unscary enough for you to act unafraid then you're a liability, because we're all going to end up in more stressful situations than that, places where we might blow the whole Project, before this is over."

"I'm still considering whether we should be trying to undo any of these moves, but let's say we don't.  Are you considering a romance arc where Avaricia gradually gets more impressed with Keltham and switches from being rude to him to trying to please him more?"

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"No, I was planning to keep not giving him the time of day. Seems implausible for all the girls to fall all over him. Maybe eventually he realizes he doesn't have to put up with that."

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"All right, good.  I'll tell Security to monitor your thoughts about that for signs of changes, though.  Among the considerations you haven't been read in on, for sheer lack of time and to avoid distractions, is that there's something like an unshattered prophecy about Keltham landing in a plane containing women who might fall for him.  Keltham is very aware of that possibility and knows that it operated for himself and Sevar, but we've been trying to conceal from him how much detailed evidence there is about a lot of other cases, places where Keltham made predictions and we've hidden from him that those predictions came true."

"I don't think you'd be one of his girls, there's no evidence of any particular god having chosen you for that.  But if you act hateful towards Keltham and then fall in love with him, well, I don't need to spell out how stereotypical that would be, do I?  If you do fall in love we'll almost certainly have to hide it from him, under those circumstances."

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"Noted.  

 

I don't hate him, I'm just continuing to reserve judgment about whether he's worth my time, as an individual separate from the things he knows about a more mathematically advanced society. 

I don't hate you either, I just have arrived at a judgment on the same question with respect to you and it's that you are a peasant in a job that needs a ruler."

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Asmodia doesn't bother trying to conceal her smile.  She's genuinely amused, and wants Avaricia to know it.

"Oh, we have all sorts of special Project Lawful girls around here, in the jobs that require them.  We have Nethys's chosen safety officer, Cayden Cailean's chosen faithful Asmodean who delivers warnings and cookies, the asexual who stands back and watches it all - Keltham doesn't know I'm a true asexual, by the way, that would be too much confirmation of one of his predictions, he thinks maybe I'll start to desire him at some point - and, of course, Carissa Sevar herself."

"Possibly there's room for a ruler in the mix, somewhere, if you don't hate him."

"If you think the Wall needs a ruler operating it, though, I suspect you're just wrong, what with the god who improved my ability to do that having chosen me instead of you."

"Now.  Supposing for now that we accept your story.  Keltham asks you why you referred to Meritxell as a peasant.  After all, though Keltham doesn't say this out loud, Meritxell was, according to the story that she gave him, the daughter of a priest of Asmodeus who went looking for high-Intelligence fathers, and grew up in a temple.  He's quietly wondering whether 'peasant' means something other than what we told him, or if we were lying about everyone's backgrounds."

"How does alter-Avaricia respond?  You tell me that, like literally answer me as you would Keltham, and then I'll try to figure out what kind of Probability update Keltham would do about that."

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"Peasants are people who were raised to work a job for their daily bread. It's a very different mindset from mine. People like Meritxell think of themselves as different from people who grew up on a farm, and there are differences, but they're a lot smaller than the difference between being raised to work a job and not. 

 

I still wouldn't've called her that after she'd done a Worldwound tour, if she'd done one. War is the sort of thing that changes - the things about you 'peasant' says."

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"'So I'm a peasant,' says Keltham, 'and the Chief Executive of Civilization is a peasant, and only people who go to the Silent Cities - no, it was Quiet Cities - are not-peasants... I'm confused, is being a noble not work or does it not get paid?  And why would the Worldwound change that, fighting at the Worldwound is work...'"

"Yes, I can tell my model of Keltham isn't perfect, you're welcome to predict out loud what he'll say and if you do a more accurate prediction maybe you get my job."

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"It sounds like your civilization doesn't have this distinction, if you and the Chief Executive of Civilization would be in the same category by it. Nobles don't work for pay; their lands might grow more productive, and earn them more tax revenue, if they're governed wisely, but that's different from getting paid money in exchange for work; doing nothing in particular with your lands and just living off their rental income is perfectly respectable, if you don't have something better to do. Peasants get money from selling things they made, or selling their labor; soldiers are paid by the crown for their service in defense of the country or at the Worldwound the world; those produce different mindsets. Though honestly historically the origin of the distinction is probably that soldiers, if they're mad at you, will overthrow you, and peasants won't."

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"Obviously my language doesn't have this distinction or the Taldane word would've translated for me, says Keltham... no, I don't know it doesn't translate."

"Keltham just focuses directly in and asks you to explain about the mindsets in detail.  It's not what he actually does, at this point, he asks some weird sideways question but I don't know what."

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"Peasants like passing tests. They want to please their superiors. They want to show that they belong and that they're clever and worthy. They are often insecure about that. They tend to be nervous about saying the wrong thing and sometimes even about thinking the wrong thing. What if their friends judge them? 

Soldiers have noticed which kinds of tests are important to pass because you'll die otherwise, and which aren't that important. They want their superiors to have good reason to be careful with their lives. They want to show that they are competent, and they don't want to overstate their competence because that's how they end up in a situation they weren't prepared for. They tend to be nervous about actually, literally, dying, because they got into a dangerous situation and weren't ready.

Nobles have noticed which kinds of tests are important to pass because projecting competence in that specific domain will achieve specific goals that you have. The domain they operate in is small; they all know each other. They don't care about their reputation in the sense of vague unease about who will like them, but in the sense of which specific traits which specific other people know they have; they care a lot more than peasants about not appearing to bow down to unjust authority, and not seeming eager to please.

 

And then, with your approval, I would say something flattering about how it seems possible to me that dath ilan lacks this distinction because they train everyone to be nobles without land. Which, to be clear, I doubt; but were Lady Avaricia trying to win Keltham's favor, she'd say it."

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"Is she?  Why?  I thought the plan was for her to not seem to seek his approval."  Her flattery won't land, but that's irrelevant if alter-Avaricia wouldn't know it.

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"You've got to give a boy a little opening to try to prove himself, even if he's almost definitely going to fail, and yourself a little reason not to call him a peasant, or at least to suggest your judgment is pending. But it'd be lying, so I'm asking. 

He totally is a peasant."

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"My model of your attempted flattery is that it would entirely fail; Keltham would neither be flattered nor understand that you were trying to flatter him.  The mindsets you describe for peasants, soldiers, and nobles will all sound equally alien to him.  None will sound like the careful Lawful structures that Civilization teaches.  Parts of all three will sound like things he was specifically trained out of.  The game alter-Avaricia is playing with him, with her lie, is outside his ability to conceive."

"My model of Keltham nods with a confused expression and heads off to ask Sevar a lot of questions."

"Sevar... can probably do a fairly good job of recovering Keltham's sense that alterCheliax makes sense as a consistent universe, even though what you told him made no sense to him... but my fear is that it builds up in him a sense over time, that there is a strange reality you exposed him to, and that Sevar is trying to put him back to sleep by soothing the sharp edges away..."

"Maybe I'm underestimating Sevar here; she knows that as well as I do, and can maybe not give the appearance of soothing him.  She's guided him through a lot of dangerous-sounding revelations successfully.  I'll send her the transcript of what you said, and Sevar will decide if that's a path of explanation she wants to send Keltham down."

"If Keltham was actually playing this game hard against us, he'd find Tonia and ask her next, not Sevar.  But that would be a new class of game moves from him; his suspicions haven't apparently risen that high."

"My guess is that Sevar vetoes the lie."

"Different pathway.  Keltham successfully reads the open contempt out of your voice when you talk about peasants.  He asks about that."

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"I think I'm better than them. This might be impolite but I think it's also just true and I can defend it at length if its truth is relevant."

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"Keltham gives you a confused look.  He asks you what it means for you to be better than - well, first he asks you what the word 'impolite' means, which has translated into some completely other concept in Baseline, and then he asks you that."

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"I think I'm smarter, wiser, prettier, know more, think more clearly, make better decisions, and if I end up deciding to join the project will be more of an asset to it."

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"Keltham has seen your Intelligence and Wisdom scores and is confused about your belief that they're the highest on the Project.  He doesn't think it's a Conspiracy sign, though, because it's so obviously contradicted based on evidence the purported Conspiracy seems to have voluntarily given him.  He goes off to ask Sevar what's up with you, and Sevar explains to him about overconfidence and people overestimating themselves, which Keltham then remembers getting taught about in a class when he was seven years old."

"That seems basically innocuous to me as a sequence of events.  I predict Sevar approves.  I mark that it lowers the chance that Keltham hires you.  You can possibly get in anyways if you keep on outperforming at chemistry."

"Keltham asks you to do something, at some point, and you say that you need to paint your fingernails instead - feel free to substitute in whatever you'd actually say there.  Keltham completely fails in every possible way to take anything resembling a hint, and asks why your fingernails are more important than washing the sulfur bins or whatever."

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"Well, I don't want to wash the sulfur bins, and would rather do things that are fun for me than do that, which is not fun for me."

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"I have a sense that there's something that potentially blows up, somewhere in this vicinity, but I don't know what to ask you that will expose it.  Maybe I ought to call in Ione, she has a good and possibly divine sense about things that might explode..."

"Something like, the way that all the rest of us have acted towards him, will have created an implicit sense in him of what behavior Cheliax expects from subordinates, or as he would see it, employees.  You're going to violate those implicit rules, and it's going to bring the existence of those rules into sharp relief and the focus of his attention.  You're - going to violate the rules in a way that shows off that you're better than them and the people who obey them; Keltham - asks you why the rest of us are jumping to obey him when you're not, and have given him such a reasonable-sounding reason why he shouldn't be obeyed?  It's not what I predict actually happens, but maybe that question still gets at the - repulsive energy at the center of the molecule, that would make things fly apart and release heat..."

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"Respectfully can you shut up for a minute, I'm thinking."

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"Not how respect works, Avaricia, but you have the minute."

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She is quiet for a moment.

 

"Keltham is accustomed to a world with practically no coercion, right, that's the core of it. He hasn't noticed any of the other students are utterly terrified of being rejected. He says things like that the homework is 'optional'. When he gives orders, they're followed, and he throws lots of money at everyone, and in his world there wouldn't be - couldn't be - any threat there. He has not thought about how much coercion everyone everywhere is subject to even in alterCheliax. Yes?"

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"Sevar's domain, my understanding here is inferior to hers.  But yes.  Keltham does not know where alterCheliax - no, where the true Golarion is, inside the spread of possibilities.  He's given Sevar explicit permission not to tell him right away, when the truth will seem that dark to him."

"He hasn't noticed in part because he cannot read our expressions, he cannot read our voices, unless we show it to him very loudly by Chelish standards; the edges of that which slip around our control are wholly invisible to him.  It may be related to how he has difficulty telling apart new non-dath-ilani without nametags."

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"So the problem is that anyone acting genuinely uncoerced around Keltham, anyone declining to shovel his acid pits or inhale his noxious fumes, shatters the whole illusion. I don't care if that's Sevar's domain, it needs to be on that wall. 

 

Have you considered that maybe you have your job because everyone with sense refused it?"

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"I have my job for the same reason that Sevar has hers, because literally nobody else can do it, and I already told you all that the job drives anyone who does it insane."

"Keltham thinks we're shoveling his acid pits for our generous salaries and the promise of vast wealth if the Project succeeds.  Or that Ione is there in hopes of following him when he leaves Golarion - that part's probably true - or that Pilar is in it because it's what Asmodeus wants from her - again true - or that Sevar loves him and wants to create Lawful Evil Civilization here."

"Dath ilan has histories about people like us, doing grand projects like this, who aren't there out of fear, and who'd inhale his noxious fumes for money if there was going to be healing afterwards."

"Showing him that the world is not like that would be a huge step, Sevar's game alone, her call absolutely and her timing on it.  I expect we're supposed to time it for after Keltham is turned more than halfway Evil, if he ever is.  If you can't figure out how upset the Chosen of Asmodeus would be about you usurping her moves there, I'll have Security float your torso over to her and Sevar can explain in person."

"'We're doing this because we're getting paid' and 'nobody is threatening us' are already on the wall, almost the first sentences I wrote, but I'll rewrite them at greater length and larger letters.  I suppose it's hardly adequate to the depth of the orange."

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"That's the wrong thing to write on the wall. You don't want us to act like we're not being threatened; if not threatened, I don't shovel acid pits. You want us to act like the consistent obedience Keltham has experienced from everyone up to this point was the product of some kind of - non-threat-based-social-habit-against-insubordination that you haven't invented."

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"The existing Tiers were slated for the Worldwound, before Cheliax pulled us for the Project.  We are all the sort of people who were expecting to accept much harsher regimens of obedience, as Keltham has now heard, in exchange for pay and the chance to grow as wizards and because somebody had to do it."

"In honesty, Lady Avaricia, I find myself thinking that the truth of alter-Cheliax was that Avaricia was an interesting candidate but a poor fit for Keltham's Project.  She's not the sort to shovel acid pits, not for knowledge like Ione, not for Asmodeus's interests like Pilar, not for pride in outperforming like Meritxell, not angling for vast future wealth like Asmodia, not in exchange for more present wealth than she ever imagined like Tonia, certainly not for love like Sevar.  What other motive could alter-Avaricia have, in alter-Cheliax?"

"It'd be unfortunate to see you go, and take your knowledge of alchemy with you.  Maybe Keltham would be willing to create a non-acid-pit-shoveling position for you, I don't know how dath ilan feels about that."

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"Alter-Avaricia wanted to see if anyone here was smart or competent. I'm indeed reaching the conclusion that none of you are, and that your project is so doomed it's probably better to get clear of it now than die spectacularly with it when it dies spectacularly next week. But I assume you disagree with me, and think that if she talked with her fellow project-members she'd think some of them were smart and competent after all? And in that case she'd stay; competence is a precious thing."

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"I fear, Lady Avaricia, that we are too busy about our god-given tasks to prove our worth to you.  I hardly know how I'll find time to train the Most High's successor, when the Most High presents me with a suitable candidate, at this rate.  Sevar must scarcely ever get to see her other lover, the Queen, as she plans out the new form of Asmodeanism..."

"I have the strangest sense that I ought to send you out with Pilar Pineda on some sort of life-changing journey?  But Pilar's also busy.  I'm not sure she's even around, right now, tonight might be her weekly night for sweeping Egorian clear of any new spies."

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"- that's not how to impress people if you haven't tortured them at length first. Just so you know."

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She was sort of hoping Pilar would suddenly be here, with a cookie and a solution, but apparently not.

"I'm not trying to impress you, Avaricia.  Carissa Sevar doesn't, Keltham out of dath ilan doesn't, I rather doubt I can.  Just being wry about how you'll never match a fraction of our actual accomplishments."

"But it's not my job to correct you.  Only to correct your story."

"My sense is that this story currently ends with Keltham choosing not to hire you, unless you keep up an Abyss of a lead in chemistry."

Asmodia's sense is that Avaricia is a liability to Project Lawful and alter-Avaricia should quit it in disgust before real-Avaricia blows it up, but this need not be said aloud.  It is, in fact, not Asmodia's decision.

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"If you have some other specific personality you are authorizing me to have instead, I'm listening."

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"I'm a peasant and Sevar's wearing a dress that isn't bespoke enough.  Neither of us seem likely to be able to envision a coherent alternate way for nobility to be.  Maybe Maillol or Subirachs will have ideas that aren't just 'In fact, inexorable logic has now revealed that alter-Cheliax nobility is as useless as Taldor nobility, given that nobody in alter-Cheliax is threatening them into working.'  I'm drawing a blank."

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That's not what she said.

What she said was important for the project and this idiot peasant is too self-righteous to even hear it.

 

This is such a waste of time and she can't just walk away from it. 

 

"I see. Well, absent authorization to do otherwise, I will as ordered act as I would in alter!Cheliax. It is my sincere and heartfelt hope that this will not continue to be as confusing to you as it was today."

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Message:  Security, take her away and give Sevar the transcripts when she's got a free moment.  Not worth interrupting her, but I do not consider this situation successfully handled by me.

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Security will do that.

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Carissa is blissfully ignorant of all this and engrossed in her favorite activity, glibness sword making. 

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Security will store Lady Eulàlia Avaricia de Torso somewhere conveniently nearby, then, and silently and respectfully leave the Chosen a clearly-marked-nonurgent note over a transcript sheaf, to check at her leisure.

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Well this sure is some children unproductively sniping at each other. 

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"Look, when Keltham wanted to get to know Her Infernal Majesty, she arranged a duck pond, where she sat feeding the ducks and looking burdened by her duties, and talked to Keltham for ten minutes and he was very rude and she corrected him gently and wished him good luck. Do you think you're above that?"

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"- no! No one told me to do that! Are you authorizing that deviation from alter-Cheliax?"

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"At this point I am somewhat inclined to declare that, yeah, another weird difference between alter!Cheliax and real Cheliax is that for no particular reason you're pleasant to work with. If I declare that what will you do."

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" - I suppose work out with Meritxell why I call her 'peasant'? Maybe she calls me some mildly derogatory, yet lighthearted, term for the alterCheliax nobility."

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Carissa finds herself tremendously tempted to declare that yes, great, that's this situation solved and she can go back to the swords now.

 

She has a sneaking suspicion that's not the case. 

 

Where's Asmodia gotten to.

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Sitting in front of a pile of Taldorian books, one of which she's reading, with the Chelish intelligence officer assigned to Project Lawful standing nearby.

(There isn't time for Asmodia to have read all of the books in the 'has read' pile, but nobody will notice this fact.  Probably Carissa Sevar was just working on her glibness swords for a while!)

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"Do you want Avaricia off the project?"

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"I admit, saying that feels to me like failure, and I don't like failing.  But I'm not able to salvage this situation on my own, and if my superiors don't have better ideas, I'm sure not stepping forth to declare I'll take responsibility for keeping her."

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"I can just tell her we're authorizing the lie that she's a pleasant person who doesn't behave rudely, but I wasn't sure if you had hesitated to do that because you expect it to cause problems somewhere else."

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"It's inconsistent with her previously shown behavior, we'd need a backstory about how and why she was trolling.  I guess that's doable, it may lose us a quarter-two but so does any other recovery I can see, but -"

"We've got two problems here, fitting her into alter-Cheliax, and her lack of subordination."

"The whole thing with the nobility is too large.  We don't want Keltham looking at things that are this large and confusing to him, I don't think.  By the time he had answers that would satisfy his curiosity, he'd have learned far too much about Golarion and advanced the timelines toward Project failure."

"I'm not having much luck predicting what he'd learn, either.  First I asked what Keltham would deduce from the existence of Avaricia, and then I gave up on it and asked what I would deduce myself if I landed in another plane next to an Avaricia, and I'm not making much progress on that either, besides that I clearly wouldn't be in dath ilan or Lastwall."

"My most brilliant idea so far is to try cursing her with reduced Splendour to see if she's a manageable subordinate without all that driving will and persuasiveness.  I reviewed the transcript of my earlier interview with her and, you could make a case that she told me what she'd do, but she didn't spell it out and I failed to notice how much we weren't discussing any exact details.  I was distracted by her acting like a stereotype, my being certain that was a pose, and my not wanting to admit that I couldn't figure out why she was pretending.  Part of me was still scared of her, and she knew that and used it, and I didn't want to admit failure about it by calling her on it.  I should have told her that this was a serious occasion and to stop with the games, or gone to Maillol to admit my inability to handle her, then."

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"Well, if we don't want Keltham looking closely at the whole concept of nobility -and I agree we probably don't - then maybe there's just no way to have nobility on the project for him to repeatedly get a close look at. Though separately it seems good for you to get some practice at noticing when you're avoiding a problem because it'd be embarrassing to admit you have it. 

My current guess is that she knows how to play many different games but not necessarily how to stop playing games."

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"I don't think anyone on this Project knows how to not play games at all, besides possibly Keltham, and he does that by not knowing they exist.  He's probably got Law for it too, sure, but right now it's by not knowing our games exist."

"The frustrating thing about this is that I can see that Avaricia's deficiency is a Law deficiency.  Keltham could teach her to stop with the constant Splendour and then she'd be useful, if Keltham were already on our side.  I could teach her to be corrigible, if I was ready to teach the next Most High, which I'm not.  She's here too early!  She wouldn't be as much of a shock to Keltham if she'd arrived later in our timelines when he was more knowledgeable or more corrupted.  I'd maybe be able to handle her if I had more task experience."

"What I want to do is tell Avaricia that she's won, proved that she's superior to Asmodia and won the game and shown that Asmodia can't possibly manage her along with the others, so now she gets to go to Hell and be impressed by the competent devils there.  That's not what's best for the Project, probably, but I'm having some difficulty thinking past it."

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"Not what''s best for the project because we'll make faster progress on chemistry if we have her? I'm not particularly willing to trade any chemistry progress for strain on the wall. Or not what's best for the project because weird students mysteriously quitting is definitely likelier in Conspiracy?"

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"Because it would be a weird coincidence Probability-wise if what was the most fun to think about was also the best strategy for repairing my wall."

"In terms of - things that are, in a way, close to reality, but also things that don't look likely in Conspiracy - suppose she keeps acting like that, she gives her theory of nobility, the rest of us are like 'what the fuck are you talking about, nobles are supposed to be moderately competent people and not such overt assholes on Government projects even if they're assholes, we don't want to work with this person', it's obvious Governance made a mistake by sending her here, Keltham doesn't hire her, none of this is anything a competent Conspiracy would cleverly plan."

"She's created somebody who's plausibly an annoying asshole from alter-Cheliax.  Maybe the least nitwit-clever thing we can do is just let that play out in the obvious way where alter-Cheliax doesn't hire her."

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"Does she cooperate with that?"

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"Ask Security or Maillol, not me.  Impersonators and Dominate Person are both things, as are threats of real torture."

"If sending her to Hell is a political problem, why not turn her into a statue for a couple of years until the Project is no longer classified?  I don't think Keltham would find it too surprising that her mother could arrange about paying for Security around her, or unusual ways to keep secrets, to explain why she's not at the fortress and not quickly accessible?"

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"I want to think about it but it seems - plausibly workable, and only requires keeping this up for the rest of the week."

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"Separately, I request the ability to call in Korva Tallandria on this, or other Project personnel as they seem like they would have relevant knowledge on future problems.  Korva seems like somebody who'd have ideas based on our interview and her thought transcripts.  But commanding others' assistance at doing my job is not explicitly within the scope of my current authority, and today I've learned a valuable lesson about the importance of not surprising your superiors and getting explicit authorizations."

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" - sure, go ahead."

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"That's all I had."

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- well, she'll go back to making swords. But more uneasily.

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The problem with this entire plan, of course, is that it relies on a non-dath-ilani being able to predict how a dath ilani reacts to anything, at all.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 21 (17) / Morning

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Keltham's taking this day a bit slower.  He's hopefully potentially given the new candidates anything they can do with their time, if they want to play around with known chemical reactions and try to master Prestidigitation chemistry on their own, and they've got math to catch up on too.

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He'll spend the morning being mean to poor Yaisa...

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PL-timestamp:  Day 21 (17) / Lunch

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...have lunch brought to him privately, so he can eat quietly, and disappoint anybody anticipating or dreading a Keltham-Avaricia encounter...

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PL-timestamp:  Day 21 (17) / Early Afternoon

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...do all the things, wizard practice, scroll practice, reading magical theory books...

They've turned up some alchemy books for him too, by now, and... wow.  Just wow.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 21 (17) / Late Afternoon

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Keepers-only lecture to Meritxell, Pilar, and Asmodia.  Small class, less to keep track of, and Keltham's brain isn't totally happy with existing a whole day at a time without giving anything visible back to his Chelish hosts.  He'd feel better if he was renting an apartment-module and location-foundation more explicitly; part of his brain still thinks he's a guest in somebody else's house, invited in on the expectation of interesting discussions.

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He'll lead with a children's fable about different ways to relate to the possibility of being wrong and finding out truths.  Being able to notice and choose between the ways you'd relate to the act of realizing mind-shaking truths would probably be one of the keys to avoiding ending up as a failed Keeper, or, Keltham supposes, trying to become a Keeper on purpose.

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Here's another children's fable about a child who insists that there's an invisible Non-Translating-Fictional-Creature in their closet, but always refuses to bet on any observable that, you might normally think, would tend to go along with there being an Invisible Creature in that closet.

The point of this fable is to learn to distinguish between subjective states of:

- Really actually modeling something as true in an uncomplicated way, and unhesitatingly deriving the valid consequences of that and anticipating them to happen to you as future experiences; eagerly betting on those if you think others don't have even more information.

- Thinking you ought to believe something, for reasons that include deliberative arguments for why the thing is true; while other parts of you have some wordless other model in which the thing isn't true, the corresponding observables shouldn't actually be anticipated to happen to you, any bets like that will lose money and any promised rewards won't really be delivered to you.

This will create a kind of internal tension that shouldn't be too hard to learn to categorize over and learn perceptual reflexes about, if you can spot it on a couple of previous occasions... actually that seems like something that should be heavily Wisdom-loaded?  If somebody thinks they've caught themselves doing this, or is wondering if they're doing this, they should quickly ask for an Owl's Wisdom so that they can see the internal feelings sharply and learn to recognize them on future occasions.

- Endorsing a verbal statement for social or other reasons that give you a non-accuracy-maximized payoff structure for the outward verbal behavior, such as, for example, your friends saying things and you wanting to smile and agree with them.

If you fail at some other mental exercises kids are taught, there'll probably be an internal pressure to believe the verbal statement: that's a very short route to smiling and agreeing that doesn't create painful internal dilemmas about violating the rules against lying, and your brain knows that.  Don't rely on being able to notice how the actual-belief pressures are running into contradictory evidence or counterarguments; you want to catch this at the introspective stage of noticing the pressure-to-endorse at all, and just switch off that pressure.  Not believe the opposite, reversed stupidity isn't intelligence after all, but switching off the pressure.

To sum up, the idea is roughly that you want to explicitly categorize and notice the subjective difference between:

- What you ought to believe, which is also usually the feeling of a verbal argument supporting something;
- What your brain is actually modeling and anticipating happening to you;
- What you think you'll be rewarded for believing, especially socially.

You want to notice when the first two get out of alignment and start producing standard symptoms of internal disalignments along those fault lines.  As for that awful third thing, of course, you want to notice the feeling and destroy/switch-off that pressure inside yourself; leaving only an observation about some bad incentive structure that needs to be repaired if it can be, and ignored if it can't be.

This is all standard stuff for dath ilani children and doesn't turn them into Keepers.  Does it sound like something that's liable to cause people to fracture in weird ways if you teach it to somebody from Golarion and they already grew up as adults not knowing it?

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Obviously YES but if she SAYS THAT then Keltham will ask for an EXAMPLE and if she says NO then Keltham will TEACH THIS TO EVERYONE TOMORROW.

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"I think my mother doesn't love me," says Meritxell aloud, a little wonderingly. "Um, that might - I don't actually know - that that's an example - because, because it's not like it'd be better to figure out when you're five -"

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"Okay, if you figured that out in the first minutes of having this in your head, but not earlier, I can see how there might possibly be a problem."


"...I'm also not seeing how to progress past the nine-year-old level of Lawfulness without people acquiring the ability to make internal distinctions on this level, either."

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"Do we actually have any other ideas besides just dropping it on everyone, seeing if they can handle it, and if they can't handle it, they can go to Hell."

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"I try to teach people a bunch of other stuff first, and hope that makes it better rather than worse."

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"Is that how you expect it to work?"

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"Not particularly."

 

"...we could run a very small conditional prediction market about the results of the two approaches, is what my brain keeps suggesting, but I don't - actually expect that to help us very much, there's just too few of us."

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"I'm up for being taught literally all of this stuff immediately, and seeing if that turns me into a Keeper, or at least, someone who can figure out exactly how dangerous it all is and how to handle this whole situation."

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"You're that confident it can't hurt you?"

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"Yes, and if not, I'm confident I'll survive, and if not, I'm fine going to Hell."

"Is there any path forwards that doesn't involve somebody taking that risk, at some point?  Because I'm the obvious person to do it."

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"I think the alternative is supposed to be taking all of the risks more slowly so that we can take fewer of those risks at one time, and learn from experience on some of them before taking on some of the others.  There's a difference between acknowledging that we have to take those risks eventually, and saying that we're certain the best path is for you to take all of them at once."

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"Premature caution is expensive, slow, and not fun.  How about if you make a very sincere effort to break me and we see if that does literally anything?"

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Pilar, are you sure this is how alter-Pilar -

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He had me stabbed in the thigh yesterday and then healed it right away and didn't do anything else so YES.

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"I think I'm just going to give up on a certain internal struggle and, since your literal sanity is at stake here, double-check to make very sure that you mean the version of that where I'm telling you everything that I'm scared will break people from Golarion."

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She's only even pretending to be pretending to be in denial about anything!  And she's still annoyed by this boy insisting on spelling everything out!  There's a reason it's called subtext!


"Tell me everything that you're scared will break people from Golarion."

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"I'll... consider it.  Not the sort of decision I'd want to make instantly."

"Meritxell, I'd try saying this by Message, but apparently then Asmodia just sees where the Message is going anyways, and my further actions would make your answer deducible anyways.  You want to continue the lesson, or go off and mull things and see what else shakes loose?  Details by Message if you want those private."

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"I'm fine," Meritxell says curtly. " - actually I'm not fine but I don't want to miss out on the rest of the lesson."

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"The alternative isn't you missing out on the lesson, it's that we break and resume another day and you don't miss anything -"

"You know, never mind, I shouldn't even have asked you, these things would be expected to have latent effects, not just immediate effects, and it's stupid not to give those another day to develop and observe before piling anything else on."

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"You're insulting Meritxell here."

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"Overruled, sticking to my theme.  This isn't just a challenge to your ability to learn Law without getting hurt, it's an experiment where I'm figuring out how to teach Law.  When you're experimenting it is sometimes considered wise to apply one experimental manipulation at a time so you can distinguish their effects."

"In my current state of uncertainty, that seems wiser than the equal and opposite advice, which is to start by testing all of your interventions simultaneously to see if any of them do anything."

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Pilar, back off.  You know Meritxell's lying, Keltham doesn't.

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"Fair.  Apologies."  It seems like the right Kelthamism for the circumstance.

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Lesson suspended for the day - for reasons of experimental distinctions, not because he thinks Meritxell couldn't handle more.

Meritxell has first claim on his evening, if she expects it to be useful to her to be around a dath ilani while any further thoughts are playing out?  It's the same offer he'd make to Carissa, whom Keltham does not particularly think of as weak, under similar circumstances.

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That's very sweet of him. She ...kind of wants to get drunk and have sex without talking about anything at all, is he up for that?

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Uh, sure.  He hasn't witnessed this 'drunk' thing and is kinda curious.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 21 (17) / Evening

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Meritxell hopes that her SACRIFICES FOR THE PROJECT are APPRECIATED and appropriately REWARDED. 

She's going to get drunk but much less drunk than she appears to be getting, and then cry on Keltham and tell him that he's smart and pretty and nice and it's tragic how he won't hurt her just because she's not into it. 

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He'll awkwardly hug her, awkwardly have sex with her, and wonder why in the flaming violet blazes anybody would voluntarily take this mind-affecting drug.

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"I deserve a medal or something."

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"Yes, yes, good job. You should actually go sober up."

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"'m not drunk. - I mean, yes, sir."

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PL-timestamp:  Day 22 (18)

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ACID DAY!

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The Lady Avaricia, since her superiors hate her and are trying to kill her, will reluctantly be impressive on acid day. Keltham might have been unimpressed with the alchemy books because of their habit of venturing bizarre claims with no evidence to back them and bizarre theories with no sense of what tests would approve or disprove them, but she's used to that and has spent a while thinking through which of their claims make more sense in light of Keltham's 'chemistry', and how they're best translated into chemistry terms. 

She wouldn't want to dominate the class, though, if anyone else has sketched out likely chemical structures of various alchemical compounds based on what the standard introductory textbooks say about their characteristics. No? Well, probably that's because they were instead working out why there are such differences in the reported boiling temperatures of various alchemical mixtures, in light of what Keltham's taught about chemistry? Also no? Maybe some of them want to improve her speculative work on which Golarion-substances are which elements?

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Keltham seems appropriately impressed with Lady Avaricia's work!  If he's upset or even, in fact, noticing Avaricia being incredibly dismissive and condescending towards everyone else here including him, it doesn't show!  At all!

Much progress on acid synthesis is made today!  Not to the point where they can complete a full production cycle on using sulfuric acid to make twice as much more sulfuric acid!  But they're not going to be able to do that until Keltham can improvise something with linear reaction to temperature, that doesn't break down at relatively higher temperatures, calibrate it off one of those incredibly scary and dangerous 'mercury thermometers' that was sent to him, and figure out what temperature is... converting units to obvious landmarks... higher than the melting point of water by 450% of the difference between the melting point of water and the boiling point of water.

Maybe there's something he can do with the thermal expansion of a metal, instead of the expansion of liquid mercury... that requires him to have something to use as a measuring stick, though, and the measuring stick needs to not also be expanding... well, he could use the difference in expansion between different metals, maybe, you could hope for that to be linear... but you'd need a pretty fine-grained view of the differences, going from melting-water to boiling-water will only expand a metal by on the order of 0.1%, if he's got figures roughly right, and using another metal as the reference point would diminish that even further...

Does Lady Avaricia have any ideas for that?  Also any ideas for identifying element-23?

If they had a way to measure the target temperature and element-23 - and possibly some way to distill Element-8 'oxygen', though maybe regular air works for that, Keltham isn't sure, or regular air works if you purify it - though all the spells Keltham has read about so far seem unfortunately aimed towards producing a sphere of air, clear of say burning sulfur, and not so much purifying air that you can then use to burn sulfur - but maybe you can pump air out of the purified sphere and it stays pure - or maybe a sufficiently extreme cold spell or Ice-elemental spell would let them liquify air and distill out the oxygen - then they could maybe even complete a full production cycle on sulfuric acid / 'oil of vitriol'!  If all goes well, they'll even be able to produce the more expensive high-purity high-concentration 'distilled oil of vitriol' that people usually buy from Hell or the City of Brass!

'Lady Avaricia' is her most preferred form of address, check?  The name on her nametag is complicated.

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One doesn't usually leave other names off a first introduction or a 'nametag', as that'd be denying information to the sort of person who knows how to interpret it, but it's fine to call her something shorter, such as Lady Avaricia.

Mercury thermometers can measure up to three, maybe four, times the difference between the melting point and the boiling point of water. She's not herself worried about their dangerousness but he could do all manipulations remotely with unseen servants if he is. She thinks people've tried almost everything that's cheaper to get than mercury and it's actually just much better; there's not a lot of likelihood they're going to trying at random invent something better in that temperature range, and if she were going outside it she'd probably try mercury admixtures.

The first thing she'd try to find element-23 would be to ask an alchemist supplier for false-spellsilvers that are acid resistant - is she right that element-23 is acid-resistant, it looks like it ought to be.

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If they can figure out element-31, element-49, and element-50, then mixing those in proportions of 68.5% element-31, 21.5% element-49, and 10% element-50 will create a famous weird alloy that melts at slightly under the melting point of water and... probably goes higher than mercury before it vaporizes?  And is relatively not toxic, though you still wouldn't want to, like, drink a glass of that?  That's what Civilization uses when it wants metal that's liquid at room temperature.  If anybody knows about a light metal with a very low melting point, that's possibly element-31...

...like, probably not doable, but Keltham thought it was worth mentioning.  If they knew about element-31 they could use it in thermometers directly, for that matter, unless Keltham is missing some reason why that would work with mercury but not gallium.

The problem with identifying element-23 isn't going to be finding candidates, it's going to be figuring out which candidate is right.  Keltham can't really think of any easy element-23 tests.  He doesn't have the melting point memorized, or the density, and he's drawing a blank on any other famous chemical reactions that involve vanadium.  It should be relatively light but it's not the lightest metal.  He's not even sure offhand if it's acid-resistant, the stage of the process where it's used doesn't involve a completed acid.

If Keltham can Prestidigitate calcium or some other nearby metal into behaving like vanadium by directly manipulating the similarity of its outer electromagnetic shell, and build a spectroscope, they could maybe burn the fake vanadium to see how it looks under a spectroscope, and burn real relatively-light metals under a spectroscope, and figure out which real metal looks like fake vanadium.  Possibly.

Have they got something that breaks up light into component frequencies, or 'colors' as they'd have it here, along a linear spectrum that runs from red to blue within its visible part?

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- you can do that with most crystals. 

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"I have diamond earrings in my room which you may borrow, assuming I'll either get them back intact or be given compensation to replace them."

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All right.  The tech behind a spectroscope seems relatively simple.  Next on the plan is building a spectroscope, seeing how it plays with Prestidigitated and natural materials as they get burned within a flame of standardized temperature - they should see about getting a 'bound fire elemental' for that possibly, it seems like the sort of heat output that might be possibly more standardized than burning wood or candles - and then seeing if Keltham can Prestidigitate calcium ash or a different metal into burning the color spectrum that element-23 should burn, given its orbitals, and that'll give them a reference point for looking through fake spellsilvers.

Is there any sort of magic for magnifying things enormously, like Keltham might use to zoom in on a less than 0.1% divergence in the thermal expansion of two different metals?

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There's not magic for that which anyone here knows of.

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Consider that general research field marked as important.

Among the general facts that Civilization knows is that there is a LOT you can do with sufficiently finely applied forces.

If there were some way to make people ten times larger, wizards ten times smaller, and then look inside of people's bodies, for example, you could probably use just a Mage Hand to apply permanent reversible male contraception, eg via tying a little bow-tie knot in the channel that conducts sperm to semen.

Oh, uh, in case nobody's mentioned it to the new candidates, very cheap contraception that can be afforded and used even by very stupid people is one of the standing requests from Chelish Governance.  Without that, increasing agricultural yields relative to reference farmland, or improving anti-plague measures relative to a reference urban density, might only get you larger or denser populations until they get hungry again or sick again.

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- that's actually clever. She approves.

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All right, this was a long day but it feels at least to him like they are on an exciting journey of discovery that hopefully soon reaches something saleable.

Thanks Lady Avaricia, if she was trying to impress him, she succeeded.

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"If I were trying to impress you I'd be glad to hear that, I guess."

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Keltham will avoid suggesting in the future that she might be trying to impress him.

Good night, everybody!

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"Sevar, Asmodia, Pilar, can we have a moment?"

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Sure can.

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"We're doomed."

"She's a trope."

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" - is she? I think she's just an obnoxious person who inconveniently had a more well-rounded education than the rest of us."

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"She's a dath ilani 'eroLARP' trope, and Keltham has already recognized her and is dealing with her however dath ilani tropes say he's supposed to."

"She's next going to turn out to have a sexual fetish that conveniently matches up with him and will be touched by a god."

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"Well I guess at least you're making predictions. He did seem to be - 

- not confused."

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"That's really not good.  We have to - figure out some way to undo the evidence that presents for tropes, make Keltham think she's not really whatever trope she is -"

"Except even that - that itself would be too suspicious - after I told Keltham I wasn't really an asexual.  If, oh, it turns out on another look, Avaricia is not really whatever she is - that's way too much of a trend -"

"This really isn't good."

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"I DON'T WANT HER IN THE HAREM EITHER."

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"Dies in an acid explosion? Too easy to just resurrect her. Quits in a huff? There's still that..."

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"Her quitting would look pretty uncharacteristic for tropes... or a competent Conspiracy... but not for Conspiracy trying to hide tropes, what with that being exactly who we are."

"Ione, are you sure."

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"Can you think of some other reason why the incredibly Lawful Good society of dath ilan, with nothing like nobility, would have a recognizable concept for extremely arrogant, condescending, rude, dismissive people like that?"

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PL-timestamp:  Day 23 (19) / Morning

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Okay this time Keltham remembers to request Glimpse of Beyond during prayer, and to send out early messages to Carissa, Meritxell, and Yaisa requesting them to prepare Alter Self during their morning spell prep and see him immediately thereafter.  (Yaisa didn't particularly remind Keltham after he forgot to keep their appointment last time, but maybe the switcharound is for the better Security-wise.)

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They do so and show up at approximately all the same time. "Doesn't Keltham have several additional girlfriends?" Yaisa wonders aloud. 

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"Am I missing anybody in particular obviously on this list?"

That would be a pretty worrisome fact if so.

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"...Asmodia? Ione?"

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"Do you have reason to believe I've fucked either of those people?"

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"....just that you vanish to your cuddleroom with them in the evenings frequently."

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"I've been on... a date with Ione that didn't go to the cuddleroom, and I think I've gone to bed with Asmodia twice?  Like actual bedroom bed, not cuddleroom bed.  Do you have reason to believe this isn't the case, and if so do you remember which night it was?"

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" - just what Paxti said. She - might've said 'bedroom', because they're...the same thing."

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"I doubt they'd mind doing an Alter Self too even though you definitely haven't been mind-controlled to forget you fucked them."

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"Neither of them have signed that contract!  For obvious reasons!  I guess I could ask anyways, but -"

"Carissa, on your own view of reality, how confused am I supposed to be right now?"

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" - I am not surprised that the rumor mill among the bored girls who got removed from the project mixed up dates and cuddleroom sessions, so it's not very confusing to me? Rumor mills are just like that; they're not following you and Ione around on a date to find out where it ends. I feel like if there were a Conspiracy here probably they would have told Yaisa not to say the Conspiracy out loud to you for no reason. But that said I suspect that both Asmodia and Ione would be willing for a fairly trivial amount of money to do an Alter Self if it gives you peace of mind."

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"Okay, you know, let's just get this Self-Altering done.  And then I'll track down Paxti and see what she thinks happened.  Just to make sure that nobody is accidentally sliding between nearly-neighboring parallel universes, because that is very an 'eroLARP' trope."

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Why is her life like this. Or rather why is dath ilani fiction, which her life needs to be not mistakeable for, like this.

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They all cast Alter Self and turn into boys! To Glimpse of Beyond/Glimpse of Truth they still look like their normal selves! They all turn back as the spell wears off (you can stop it early but then you risk Keltham worrying about whether the duration matters). 

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Actually!  Keltham will cast Glimpse of Beyond - unwarned, but Carissa has probably guessed it's coming, since she's the one who suggested that - and verify he can see the correct original people beneath them.

And then Keltham will immediately turn around and look the other way once he's done that, and ask how long the spell needs to stay up.  If it's not long, they can change back now.

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Ah, okay, cool! They'll all do that. Most girls find it kind of uncomfortable to be boys, and vice versa. 

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Yeah his sexuality was apparently less than totally okay with seeing that.

Somebody needs to hurry up on that Male Bisexuality Enhancement, this is ridiculous.

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Keltham goes looking for Paxti.

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Paxti did notice Ione and Keltham slipping off on a date at dinnertime.  She heard about the Asmodia/Keltham date from Pela.

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Okay, but did she see Ione and Keltham going from dinner to a cuddleroom?

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...no?

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Keltham will go ask Pela what she thinks happened between Keltham and Asmodia.  What does Pela think she knows, and how does Pela think she knows it?

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Pela has a familiar, a bird, and it was out flying and saw them. It wasn't spying, that'd be creepy, it was just getting some air, and she has a little page of pictures for it to point at because it's good practice to communicate with your familiar, and it pointed at 'Keltham' and 'Asmodia' and 'bed.'

...did she do something wrong?

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Not particularly.  Keltham is trying to figure out if people are going sideways through alternate universes, or, if that's not what's going on, get a grasp on how 'rumors' operate inside Golarion.

Did Pela herself tell other people that Keltham and Asmodia were having sex, or that he'd gone to his cuddleroom with Asmodia, or just describe to them what her familiar had said?

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Well, over lunch Jacme said that Keltham must be sleeping with half the students by now, and Yaisa said it wasn't half, and Paxti said it was Ione Carissa Meritxell Yaisa at a minimum and then Pela said Asmodia too, her familiar was out flying and saw them together in bed, and everyone said huh, and then they started speculating about who Keltham would sleep with next. They know he's not sleeping with Pilar because she'd look way cheerfuller.

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...okay that sounds sort of like maybe 'rumors' happen when people don't rigorously distinguish their observations from their inferences.

Keltham guesses that sounds plausible???


...he'll keep an eye out for signs that there's some kind of massive trope-related sideways reality slippage going on and the Conspiracy is trying to hide it from him, he guesses.  Though under the circumstances, this seems less like classical Conspiracy, and more like something where people like Yaisa don't know and will blurt things out in front of him??

...Keltham wishes he had some sort of reference magical world with Average Intelligence 10, known to have no Conspiracy or tropes, so he could know whether 'rumors' were a totally reasonable phenomenon to be occurring there.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 23 (19) / Late Morning

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How's Meritxell doing on her Possibly Dangerously Destabilizing Mental Technique Acquisition experiment?  Any further awful revelations since then?

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Yeah, she's got a bit of a list. 

- her mother never loved her

- she thought that getting the best grades and being the smartest would make her mother love her, but it wouldn't have worked

- when the baby died, and she had a stomachache for a month, those were probably related, even though she thought she wasn't sad because it was only a baby

- the reason she doesn't have close friends is that she feels uncomfortable when people are nice to her 

- she doesn't really want Keltham to want to hurt her, she wants him to look at her like he does at Carissa, and Keltham hurting her probably wouldn't even accomplish that

 

"There's a couple more but they're, uh, kind of private, unless you really need more examples for some reason."

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Understood, and he's sorry for having had to ask.  He's grateful to Meritxell for reporting to him on this; he needs to know what's happening.

Meritxell's report... basically sounds right, it sounds like a bunch of things somebody would notice after suddenly acquiring Law-shaped skills you didn't have for the rest of your life, and a lot like what happened to Keltham after he got hit by an Owl's Wisdom.

Well, her personality and emotions just got yanked around some, how's she doing general sanitywise?  Any signs of instability or tension spreading beyond the specifically high-tension thoughts?

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"I have no idea how I'd tell. I don't wish I wasn't on the project. Even when I'm really upset this is better than being at the Worldwound. I - am pretty upset. If there'd been a way to not have this happen for another couple months until we'd settled into a steadier sort of pace, that would've been nice."

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"Heard."

Keltham had before a momentary sense that Meritxell realizing that her mother never loved her, just then - didn't ring quite right, it felt like Asmodia and Manohar - but he couldn't see any reason for the Conspiracy to do that, or for Meritxell to lie about it - and then her list seemed right, maybe even too right, or something, but it laid that sense to rest some - and then Meritxell talking about wishing those realizations could've been delayed another couple of months, again rings false, somehow -


"You still want to be in the Keeper sessions?"

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"Yes." Stubbornly. "Maybe I'm the way I am because I thought it'd get me things I can't have, but noticing that doesn't make me not that way, apparently, and if I drop out then I'll just be wondering what the next thing like that is, because there's got to be more. - I'm trying not to pick around trying to find them, but it's one thing to not be trying to find them and another thing to not be trying to learn things where I'll find them - does that make sense -"

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"I think so?"

Why is this ringing false.  He can't put a finger on it at all, it just feels like - somebody else's world, held together wrong, Meritxell knows what she should say but there's no deep pattern talking, a deep pattern would have a different shape - this one is like - somebody trying to put together the shape of disturbing revelations that they think should be there -

Meritxell knows she shouldn't try to be a Keeper, on some level, that she doesn't belong in the class with Pilar and Asmodia, and is trying to be there anyways?  She found revelations inside her that weren't the real revelations, the right revelations, but would prove to Keltham and herself that she could be a Keeper??

...It feels like that would be enough falsehood, at the center, to explain his feeling of falsehood???

Or he could be drawing a complete false positive on his anomaly detectors.


"Meritxell, I intuitively feel that you're in danger in the Keeper class.  It's possible that some part of me still thinks Pilar and Asmodia are Trope Girls and you're not one and only Trope Girls can do this safely, it's possible that some other part of me knows something that it's having trouble making fully clear to me."

"This could be a bad idea and could end up with you in Hell, but assuming you don't want to otherwise never get an Owl's Wisdom again, one of the thoughts that occurs to me, is that you could take an Owl's Wisdom and focus specifically on why you want to be a Keeper and whether that's smart for you."

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" - huh. 

 

 

 

- I'm going to just think about that for a bit, instead of saying 'sounds like a good idea, I'll do that', even though it does sound like a good idea and I probably should do it.

I'm going to be so annoyed if they get to be Keepers and I don't. I know that's not really a good enough reason in itself but I can't imagine how frustrated I'll be every single day, if there are secrets I was too fragile to have and that Asmodia gets to have."

 

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"That is famously not a good reason to become a Keeper.  It's known that before you even get to be a Keeper trainee, in dath ilan, they check to see how much you've mastered the mindset of being fine knowing about questions that rank-one Keepers get answered and you don't.  Anyone who is disturbed by not knowing secrets, it is said, should definitely not be a Keeper, because then they'll find out about all sorts of questions they can't get answers to."

"Asmodia, one gets the impression, could be handed a box saying 'the secrets inside this box will destroy you' and she'd be like 'welp obviously I should not open this box then'.  This, it is said, is among the first fundamental requisites of being a Keeper.  Pilar - would have some sort of Asmodeus-related thing going on but I get the impression she does have a mode like that."

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That - seems like a way to have all the people who rule your society be MISSING AN INCREDIBLY FUNDAMENTAL HUMAN VALUE, Meritxell thinks, but does not say, because she doesn't really want to have that argument right now, or rather have that argument bounce off Keltham's insistence that actually for some reason dath ilan isn't missing something. 

"I don't try to find out things I'm not supposed to know. But I'd rather know more things than less things, even if knowing more things also means knowing more things I don't know."

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"Keepers definitely want to know more things rather than less things, they just - know how to operate inside a world full of ideas, concepts, structures of information, that were - crafted too much, designed too much, by minds running too far ahead of them, to the point where those ideas are deadly to less tightly woven reasoning processes.  I mean, even regular dath ilani know that's how the world works, you can tell because I know it.  That's what happens when you have people deploying and crafting ideas at - an overly crafted level - you have very stable geniuses who can think of things and not be driven mad themselves, but then those ideas - which less stable people would've bounced off, been deflected from, before they finished them to a quality level where they become dangerous - can get buffed up to finished structures that - well, I don't actually know."

"Look, there's an experiment that gets done every five years, just to check that things are still the way they were, settle rolling prediction markets with a five-year periodicity.  A bunch of relatively smart people who are going into cryosuspension anyways, volunteer to hang around a bunch of rank-one Keepers.  Not being deliberately told infohazards, just overhearing rank-one Keepers casually talk among themselves.  And, like, actually listening to those conversations and trying to think about them, not just sticking their fingers into their ears and playing safe, because that was the experimental instruction."

"And, yep, normal people sure do end up unstable and unhappy and depressed and frozen up and anxious and starting to believe increasingly weird ideas built out of pieces of that fascinating stuff they overheard."

"The same thing happens, we're told, when rank-two Keepers checking out early are placed to overhear unfiltered rank-seven conversations.  Assuming they're otherwise experimentally-instructed to go ahead and think about those things, of course."

"Keepers are still operating in a world full of dangerous ideas that will destabilize their minds, that they're not allowed to know yet.  They're just sufficiently super-adult to be totally fine hanging around dozens of boxes saying 'reading my secrets will destroy you'.  Instead of children, who shouldn't be told that the box exists.  Or ordinary dath ilani adults, who could be safely given a box, but would be disturbed and weirded out about having it resting next to their bed every night, and would be noticeably better off not being given the box if they were never supposed to open it anyways."

"Or sometimes just, there's secrets deadly to society as a whole, even if they're not deadly to the people who bear them.  And that's - something Keepers respect, because it's their job, the duty they're taking up, as the trade they made to be told.  Or just because they're - what you'd call Good, I'd guess, though I doubt it's anything at all like Lastwall."

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" - and that is an important theological revelation," Meritxell says. "- sorry. I appreciate that you're trying to give me advice and it's probably good advice and yet what I want to do right now is run to Subirachs and tell her that because it's possible that it's an important teaching of Asmodeus that was taught to me much worse than that because no one knew that was true, to teach it that way. 

...I should probably also talk with her about the Keeper thing."

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"Uh huh.  How sure are you that you're not about to destabilize Subirachs?  Maybe there's a reason you weren't told that theological revelation in the form I spoke it just now."

"You want to be a Golarion pseudo-Keeper trainee?  It's your job now to see that possibility yourself without my having to point it out to you, Meritxell!"

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She flinches. " - okay, one, if you want us to not check theological realizations with a priest then you are going to break Pilar, actually, arbitrary amounts of caution or having to write it up straight for the Most High in all Golarion are fine but she belongs to Asmodeus and she's not going to do well having to judge for herself which things His church ought to know about. And two, I need you to not give me advice and tests at the same time, not right now, everything's kind of painful and confusing right now and I can either be trying to think clever thoughts that'll make you impressed with me or trying to be confused out loud at you but if you're looking for the first then I won't be able to breathe enough to do the second, and if you're making decisions off how I sound when I'm confused out loud then I need to be confused out loud anonymously at someone who won't. That's why I wish it'd happened in a couple months, your sense of me wouldn't be dominated by this."

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"Risking the top person in the entire Church sounds crazy to me, especially given the way most of Golarion seems to be structured.  Who overrides Aspexia Rugatonn if she goes nuts?  I'd consider Lrilatha or - Gorthaklok? - a more obvious candidate if they're allowed to do that.  If not, we ask Subirachs or Maillol if they're willing to throw themselves in the line of fire."

"Discard the entire notion of thinking clever thoughts that impress me.  You don't have the spare capacity to juggle that and the rest of this problem."

Keltham is going to look and sound a lot more forceful right now than Meritxell has previously seen him, by a pretty wide margin.

(If she can't take this much pressure she should not try to be a Keeper.  Keltham is sure it gets worse than this.  Keepers are exactly the people you don't have to be careful with.)

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Meritxell doesn't actually seem further intimidated. "If she goes nuts Asmodeus un-clerics her. That's - the entire point of clerics, it's that you know every day.  But also, the reason you take it to her is that she almost definitely already has a procedure for this, because you are not the first weird situation the church has dealt with. I don't know what the procedure is, I don't actually even think it'd be worth guessing, but I do predict that 'we didn't tell the Church about this implication of dath ilan that's of great theological importance or else heretical, because we thought the containment procedures we could come up with ourselves were better than yours' would not impress her."

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"Good point if that's reliable."

"Proposed protocol.  You write up a description of what you think you learned, that doesn't give away the contents of what you learned.  That's the header; body text is the contents of what you learned that you think is theologically important.  That gets routed to Lrilatha first, who can decide whether to route it to Aspexia or Subirachs next.  If Lrilatha isn't allowed to output any action, it gets routed back to you, I review stuff to make sure it discloses the dangers appropriately, and then it goes to Maillol because he can be overridden by Subirachs if he goes unstable."

"If you're concerned about spending social capital, I'll attach my own note that I requested this because we've got no clue what the procedures are around things that are maybe possibly infohazards, and whatever object-level route the information flows along here will hopefully be future-reusable without wasting important people's time."

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" - I would like your own note, yeah, because that's a terrifying amount of important peoples' time for what, if it's not heretical, I expect to amount to 'a better way a specific precept gets taught in wizarding schools'. But the process seems reasonable for things more important than that, and worth establishing in advance."

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"All right.  I propose you go do that, I write my own cover note, we exchange docs when we're done, package them together and send them off."

"I'll do my daily wizard practice and scrolls practice, once I finish my cover note.  Should be less time than your docs."

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"Sure."

 

 

 

 

Meritxell expects any Asmodean will see it, from Keltham's description, but she spells it out just in case. Dath ilan might have pretensions of Lawful Good, but that's Asmodeanism, at the very core; that hierarchy is natural and wholly inevitable, that it'll impose itself - if one doesn't try to impose it externally - in the wholly unavoidable form of ideas that make people useless and confused, and among people who've mastered those ideas deeper, truer ideas that'd make those people useless and confused; a hierarchy you cannot climb above your appointed place in because it's made of your own weakness. It's proof that the inevitable human condition is as a subordinate, with either the strength not to look up at what you should not see or a strong hand keeping it from you.

It must be something she didn't properly believe, for it to be such a relief to learn. But even if others lack that particular failing she thinks there's something in this of interest to the church.

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Security's frankly kind of confused about what the Secure thing to do is, here, but fine, if it's going to Contessa Lrilatha he'll wait on otherwise reporting it through channels.

Keltham could ask to see what Meritxell is sending off; Meritxell probably needs to write a fake version of this.

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Yep, she's on it. Alter-Meritxell was confused in school about the teaching that there's hierarchy among humans in a way even ideal conditions couldn't alter, and that in a necessary hierarchy it's a great virtue to learn to live in your place rather than seeking a higher one. This felt adjacent to various false things she was assured it was not, and the explanations she got were unsatisfactory, though she assumed it was probably a case where there was a good answer her teacher didn't happen to know. She wonders now if the enclosed description of Keltham's is the thing Hell was saying, there. 

 

If Security thinks that's still too risky she could alter it further? They don't have a full theology of alter-Asmodeanism for her to work off; they'd need Sevar.

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Okay, you know, given the way this actually seems totally safe, Security's making the call that Sevar needs to approve the alter-Asmodean version Keltham sees.  Indulging Keltham's attempts at Security thinking was fine back when avoiding a lie wasn't going to cost the real Cheliax anything, but a risk to Sevar's game is more than this nonsense is worth.

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Yes, please do alert her of heresies currently being entertained on Project Lawful.

 

She thinks they want to claim 'hierarchy in Hell' rather than 'among humans'. She doesn't have a full justification of this, but it seems like claims by the Church about what Cheliax should be like will prompt more questions from Keltham he could reasonably expect someone to be able to answer.

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Keltham's got his cover letter ready for her and is otherwise continuing in his scroll practice.  He checks over her own work when he's got a moment, writes some corrections to her version of what he said, and hands it back.

To be clear:  Keltham is not saying that Meritxell needs to get an Owl's Wisdom right away.  She is clear to wait on this message getting routed, so that she can, very likely, talk with Subirachs about this.

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Yeah, Meritxell thinks that unless she shouldn't talk to Subirachs for some reason it's better to do it before she gets an Owl's Wisdom.

 

Her letter is all ready and can be sent off.

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Make it so.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 23 (19) / Afternoon

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Spectroscope improvisation day!

Let's see if they can get this to the point where they can both see the lines of emitted spectra from heated materials, and also, see the corresponding absorption lines when you shine light through!  That's because photons are emitted by electrons falling from orbitals energized above minimum, back down; and electrons can correspondingly absorb photons of that frequency to jump up.

Once they've got enough spectrographic detail, they can probably start to figure out where Golarion materials are on the Periodic Table; Keltham doesn't actually remember how the regularities work, but he knows they're there and don't require advanced math to notice.

Incidentally, do Golarion miners already have ways to tell exactly which minerals and metals are in which bits of ore?  Because if not, they can just burn ores under a spectroscope and find out exactly which elements could be mined from that kind of ore, in principle, if they could find a way to extract it.

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None of these people know anything about mining but the question and idea can be passed on to project consultants who are. 

 

Does it matter what kind of light you shine? Are all magical lights going to be just as good as each other?

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The light has to cover the full spectrum from red to blue for absorption lines to be noticeable, but they can determine whether light has that property by shining it through the spectroscope.

...of course that's assuming magical light behaves the same way as regular light at all, but if it doesn't, they can use mundane fire.

Also dath ilan has specialized burners that generate less light-noise when you put materials in them to burn under a spectroscope - less light from the fire and more light from the burning material; probably something about the fuel.  If they know of magical fire sources that burn with less luminous flame, that's potentially useful for spectroscopy.

In related thoughts, they seem to be making progress here and spending multiple days on this stuff.  Project Lawful is getting to the point where they could use an expert alchemist on call to answer pure alchemy questions, even if they're not Lawful and not able to mentally organize the research.  Or an early-professional alchemist if a real expert would be too expensive...

Uh, Keltham may possibly have been something of an idiot here, is it perhaps the case that an expert alchemist in Golarion does not cost the same amount per week as ten Security wizards?

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(There's some brief panic about whether to change these numbers? No? Okay -)

 

- the alchemist would be more expensive than a Security wizard but way cheaper than ten, yeah. 

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Okay, then Keltham wasn't quite as stupid as he was worried about, but yeah, they're getting to the point where having an alchemist on-staff and Security-cleared seems worth it.

Back to spectroscopy.  The 'diamonds' in Lady Avaricia's earrings are kinda tiny for this purpose, they need either a much larger version of this crystal or to find a different crystal... there should definitely be some cheap crystals that would work for this?

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Really big diamonds are ludicrously expensive. Quartz might work? Quartz is cheaper.

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Let's try it.

And if quartz doesn't work out of the box, let's try Prestidigitating it.

Keltham's got to remember to just cheat the shit out of everything, there's no point in not cheating when you've got magic.

Can somebody tell him about 'bound fire elementals'?  If Keltham is right that they have max temperatures rather than max added heat, keeping the sulfuric acid process at the reference temperature (above water-melt by 450% of the difference between water-melt and water-boil &c) could be as simple as getting exactly the right quality of 'bound fire elemental'.

Depending on how tunable they are, they could also be useful for the fire source in flame spectroscopy.

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Fire elementals are sort of grub-like creatures from the Elemental Plane of Fire. They do burn at a specific temperature rather than output a specific heat; they generally need to be in a metal containment box when on the Material Plane, which lets the heat through but doesn't allow various contaminants to affect them or allow them to wander off lighting everything on fire as they go; they're not generally used for light for that reason. Larger ones burn hotter. 

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Helpful that some of the new candidates knew fire elementals did have a temperature, though obviously if that wasn't true nobody would need fuel for forges.

If they can get a fire elemental close to 450%-of-etcetera, that might solve one of the major steps towards synthesizing concentrated oil of vitriol.

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(Asmodia is not especially happy about yet another ORANGE STATEMENT going up on her wall, now they have to make sure that Keltham doesn't see or read about the way that fire elementals are actually used.  But Sevar already told Keltham fire elementals exist, way back in the first hours when Keltham asked about the hot water in the archduke's villa, and fire elementals are obviously-to-him useful... so, Asmodia supposes the best avenue is to lock them in a box and make sure they never try to talk to him.)


(Why does she feel weirdly bad about that.)

 

(She guesses she knows why she feels weirdly bad about that.)

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PL-timestamp:  Day 23 (19) / Evening

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Keltham gets in some martial arts practice after work, and then spends the evening with Carissa, having some uncomplicated sex with her.  He doesn't want to have complicated sex all the time.  His Carissamodel is telling him to not even ask her if that's okay with her - although also it is fine and in fact she prefers it that way - but he needs to not ask and just look to his own desires.


He'll then mention - without giving any of Meritxell's specific details, obviously - his sense and his worry that one of his Keeper candidates basically, like, manufactured a bunch of uncomfortable realizations inside herself, and made herself be distressed about them, because she thought that was how a Keeper would work.

He could be wrong.  It just didn't ring true to him.  Feelings like that have ever been wrong.  He's not particularly thinking Conspiracy, his brain obviously did suggest that but the Conspiracy has zero visible motive here.

Pulling this anonymous candidate from the Keeper program on that basis seems - like taking a decision away from her.  Maybe she'd be fine.  Maybe this is something that lots of Golarion Keeper-candidates will do, maybe they all have to get past that.  Maybe all of his other candidates will also exhibit a bunch of warning signs and if Keltham removes everyone like that he'll have no Keeper candidates left.  He wouldn't have been disturbed the same way if that pattern had shown up in his regular ilani-in-training, that's like a normal sort of mistake a kid would make - but -

Keepers are supposed to be better than this, according to Keltham's cultural standard.  Keeper candidates are supposed to be better than this before they start trying to be Keepers.

Keltham has a bad feeling about this.

...It's just, not the kind of clear-cut clearly-correct bad feeling, where it actually seems like you plainly ought to listen to it and stop.

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"Is the bad feeling, if it's accurate, that this person is going to hurt herself? That she's going to end up in a position like Keepers have, holding power over others, and use it in a way that hurts them?"

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"I guess - mostly like - that she won't succeed at what she's trying to do..."

"I suppose if I put it that way, it's not my business to tell her to stop, at all.  It's just, Keeper training is very high on the list of interesting things to try where you don't try it unless the prediction market says you are extremely likely to succeed, but -"

"I still have the bad feeling after I've said all that."

"Maybe I'm worried that she does succeed and it turns her into something she shouldn't have been.  She has very nearly zero context on all of this.  Maybe no matter how much I keep telling myself it's her risk to take, my brain just doesn't believe it's reasonable to try to delegate management of a risk about which I know something and she knows nothing."

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Carissa leans on him quietly while she thinks, on several levels, about this. 

 

"What does it mean, to turn someone into something they shouldn't have been?"

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"I don't know because, like, either that's secret, or just not a thing I happened to look up answers to, and I don't know how to put it into words because - you don't really have very much of a model of how minds work yet - and this isn't a very explicit model even within that, it's an intuitive sense of something that mastered Law skills but got itself twisted up into an unpleasant weird unnatural shape in the process, because those skills - didn't resonate with it, weren't natural to it, and it forced itself to master it anyways."

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"I'm not sure that anything I'm thinking of is relevant, or helpful, but - a thing about Abrogail, from the kind of person that she is, is that if she participated in shaping someone - if part of the structure of their mind is something she built, when they were in her power, when it was her responsibility - then she'd be very upset about them getting put back together wrong. It seems likely, to me, that that'll also be true about you, once you get to the point where you want to do that, feel competent to do that. And I wonder if - it's wrong for Keltham, to participate in shaping someone while suspecting that they're not going to end up shaped right, even if - even if that's hard to ground in being wrong for them or being wrong for Good..."

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"I'm not sure I'm Evil enough, yet, to just make the decision my way because I don't want to hurt someone.  I'm not sure I want to become Evil enough that I go around just not hurting people and protecting them because I want to."

"She's her own stuff.  She's not my stuff.  I don't necessarily get to decide what to do with her."

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" - yes, but maybe back up a little? I'm - not particularly thinking you ought to kick her out, I think Hell can fix it no matter how bad it is so I'm not worried for her sake and for the Project's sake it's probably good to see what happens if people who want it, but are not necessarily ideally shaped for it, try it. And she's her stuff, like you said. But even if 'this is bad for Kelthams' isn't a reason you want to use as an input to decide, it seems important, if it's right."

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"Yeah."

"Fair."

"I feel so much like I'm trapped in an awful void of not knowing where anything is, how anything actually works, and if any of my fears are real."

"...which is what ordinary pre-paradigmatic Science! feels like, I guess, when the objects of discovery and manipulation are people that you care about at all."

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- hug. "- now I'm thinking of solutions to that but they all seem like very stupid solutions that would actually be a hilariously bad idea. For example you could declare Keeper training is only for people who are incredibly annoying so you won't get attached to them emotionally."

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"So, what, ask Governance to send us somebody who I'd find very annoying, but who had a lot of mathematical talent and a Lawful frame of mind?"

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"Oh no. I changed my mind. This is how we get Keeper Avaricia and I don't want Keeper Avaricia."

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"You think Lady Avaricia is annoying?"

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" - do you not find her annoying?" 

 

And here she'd been assuming Ione was WRONG about the TROPES thing.

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"- she seems like a pretty standard '????????'* which, I guess, doesn't really have much of a Taldane translation now that I go looking for it."

"Um, person who finds it hugely painful to be the slightest bit tactful to anyone or hold back her thoughts, and is constantly noticing how everything in Civilization is falling way short of her standards for how it ought to look namely perfect.  You don't meet any of her standards either, but she thinks that way about everyone, so it isn't anything personal, or really about the person you yourself are at all."


(*)  Dath ilan doesn't quite have the concept that some other places might call by names like 'autistic', because it's a pretty different phenomenon when the weirdos in question have INT 22 and WIS 16, and also are embedded in a larger Civilization that doesn't think about weirdness the same way as some other places; namely weirdness = difference = specialization direction = exploit for comparative advantage.

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- and is that a romance trope. This is a very important question.

 

 

" - huh. That does seem like it ...describes her. I haven't met anyone else like that but I wouldn't make that a strong prediction about how rare they are because they sure wouldn't go to the Worldwound. And is the idea that dath ilani - don't find it annoying because they know the complementary ways to act? Or because it's common enough you know they're not doing it at you?"

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"I guess the second one, that it's not directed at me?  It hadn't particularly occurred to me that I should find a ???????? annoying especially while they were in the middle of helping me out with chemistry research.  But sure, if she treated only me that way and seemed to feel like everybody else except me did meet her standards, that would be annoying, yeah."

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"Huh, okay. - I don't have an issue working with her in class, you don't have to like people for that, but I definitely wouldn't expect to end up friends and in fact was assuming she disliked me specifically-rather-than-generally. 

I wonder if she knows she's a ????????."

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"I mean, presumably Lady Avaricia knows who she is, what with her having lived that whole life from the inside and all.  Not having a word for a category to categorize yourself with, or not knowing the statistical commonality of other people resembling you in some dimension, isn't the same as not knowing what you are.  Asmodia didn't have a word for 'asexual' or 'demisexual', but she knew that she'd only felt a couple of flashes of possible sexual attraction over the course of her life."

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Carissa decides not to make the observation that Avaricia's weirdness might also be explainable-including-to-Avaricia by her being the heiress to a county; Asmodia's right they don't want to look too closely at that. "I'm sure she has noticed that she thinks everyone else is deficient and disappointing, but I wonder if she's noticed that other people don't feel that way about each other, and wondered why she is different in that respect. ...I know to a dath ilani that's an extremely obvious mental move, but it's not, really, in Cheliax, any more than I thought to check whether Avaricia disliked me specifically or generally. You can be quite smart and lack that habit entirely."

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"Fair.  I'll check in with her at breakfast tomorrow.  Nice thing about ???????? is that you don't have to bother with being at all tactful yourself, around them.  They're not going to be happy with you no matter how carefully you phrase anything, so there's no point in bothering, and they don't expect you to do any better."

"Lady Avaricia should actually be easier to be around than most other people, once you understand all the places where you don't need to put in any effort because the normal social thing you'd be trying to do is impossible?"

"...though I should probably explain to everybody else that it's nothing personal, and they shouldn't try to be tactful to Lady Avaricia or make her seem socially happier with them."

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"That does seem like a helpful announcement to make."

 

 

......probably not a romance trope. 

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PL-timestamp:  Day 23 (19) / Long Night

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"So the good news is, Keltham doesn't think you're annoying."

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Obviously Keltham doesn't think she's annoying. He's not as full of petty resentment as the rest of the people in charge here.

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"He has concluded that you have a not-uncommon innate personality type where you cannot bear to be tactful or courteous, ever, to anyone, but don't care if anyone's courteous to you either, and are perpetually disappointed with the world for not meeting your standards. He's used to such people and doesn't mind hiring them, and wants to make an announcement to the class so that no one mistakenly thinks you're being rude to them specifically rather than as the instance standing in front of you of the general inadequacy of the world."

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"I am trying to figure out what that implies about dath ilan and not getting very far."

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Shrug. "Not your job. Your job is to have that personality for the duration of the project. This is, as I'm sure you realize, very good news, don't ruin it by trying to convince Keltham that actually you think you're superior to other people for political reasons."

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You keep rounding off what I think of you to things that are easier to tell yourself aren't true.

She's not going to say that to the Chosen of Asmodeus. 

"Understood. Is anything more known about this personality that I have."

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She hands her the transcript. "This is it. Listen carefully when Keltham explains it to the rest of the class, and then work with what you have. All that Splendour's got to be good for something."

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"It makes your underlings with excessively fancy headbands nervous when I improvise."

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"- oh, grow up. Yes, if you stress Asmodia out she might light you on fire, even if you didn't have any other obvious plays to make instead. Nothing really bad will happen as long as Keltham's happy." She has a vague floating sense she'd have given a different answer a week ago but she's not sure which Carissa is right and this one seems Eviller, so, probably that's fine.

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"Understood," she says again, and waits to be dismissed.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 24 (20) / Breakfast

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"Good morning, Lady Avaricia.  How is the Project disappointing you today?"

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"Really, Keltham, I'm still coming to grips with the fact that the government went and looked for the most promising students in the whole country and this is what they turned up! None of these people are all that clever or all that competent! I'm used to people not being clever or competent but usually there isn't any reason they should be! Also I'm not sure why you'd call your egg preparation deviled eggs if it's not deviled eggs. There's nothing wrong with calling it 'local artisanal stuffed egg presentation' or something."

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"Just to verify my flailing attempts to read you, I'm reading the deviled eggs part as sarcasm because of how I asked the question, but the part about you being disappointed in the competence of the people here is sincere, check?"

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"Yes. Should I just simplify your life and tell you at all times if I am being sarcastic."

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"Yes, if it's important.  Do I really strike you as being reliably able to figure that out on my own?"

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"No, you don't, but usually people are insulted when you point out that you are giving them special assistance because of their apparent incompetence."

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"Yeah, about that.  Want to hear a theory based on knowledge out of dath ilan that doesn't actually describe you correctly, is hopelessly wrong about a lot of important details, and that I obviously didn't quite understand when somebody smarter than me in dath ilan explained it to me, but might nonetheless help all the other idiots on this Project feel less insulted by you?"

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"They shouldn't feel insulted by me! They should feel disappointed in themselves! - yes, sure."

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Huh.  That's not what a usual ???????? would say, but maybe it works out differently if you grow up in Golarion and nobody around you knows what a ???????? is.

"Dath ilan has a number of people who sound to me a lot like you do, what with my being too stupid to tell the obvious differences.  They're called '????????' and are disproportionately represented in more technical fields.  Nobody within 6 INT of themselves ever meets their standards, and obviously only very few people like that will ever find some way to spend their whole day being around people 6 INT smarter than themselves.  All of the people they know and most of the things they can afford are imperfect, and they are constantly seeing the imperfections.  Ever keeping quiet about that feels like they're pretending, lying, not allowed to be themselves."

"Civilization has recognized protocols for dealing with ???????? so they can stick around on your Project being slightly less horribly incompetent at chemistry than everybody else.  Key point one, it's understood that the ???????? doesn't hate you personally.  They act to everyone like that, unless they're randomly dealing with somebody who has +6 INT on them.  It has nothing to do with your individual details, except insofar as all details of your personality are broken and wrong.  Key point two, nothing you do is ever going to satisfy them, give them what they're looking for, or make them act socially happy around you, so you can actually just relax and stop trying.  They don't even want you to try, since your horrible parody of an attempt to interface with them socially is just going to annoy them even further.  You might as well just be your own self around them and speak your own mind to them."

"Leaving aside how much I messed up my attempt to interface with you socially, there, does it sound around as true as any other understanding I could reasonably manage to arrive at about you, given how badly I'm likely to be at phrasing it?"

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" - I guess? At least, it's true that if everyone around here got a high-tier headband then they'd be impressive and pleasant to be around, and it's true that I don't particularly care for everybody to try to be friendly, and if you said it to my mother, who actually isn't incompetent, she'd probably say that it sounds about right. Though I could shut up about the project, if you wanted me to, it's just that then everyone would go around being wrongly pleased with how well the project was running."

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"Huh.  Frankly, I'm surprised that your mother meets your standards.  I was going to pitch that nothing on Project Lawful would ever satisfy you, but that if Golarion could develop its own Golarion version of Civilization, that might eventually generate some people you could bear to be around and you'd have the wealth to be around them..."

"Does your mother have, like, an artifact headband or something."

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"She has a very good headband. Not something like the Queen's that was custom made in Hell, but it's +4 to intelligence and charisma. I was very excited about your proposal for making spellsilver cheap and giving all of the people in the world +6 headbands, I think I'd probably like a lot of them if we pull that off."

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"First of all, it's also going to take a lot of Law education, second, +6 to INT takes the average person up to INT 16."

"Based on dath ilan's experience, I would not say to get your hopes that high.  What you're describing isn't even dath ilan, and you would not be happy living in a random city area in dath ilan."

"But there are any places in Civilization where you'd be happier, and Golarion can have some of those, maybe."

"Anyways, I was thinking I should make a quick announcement to the Project about how to interface with you.  You want to be there so you can issue corrections, or not be there so you don't have to listen to me mangle it?"

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That feels like a test. Too bad she has so little to go on here. "I'll be there."

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Then Keltham will make a general announcement that Lady Avaricia hates all of everything rather than them personally and they don't even have to try to be polite to her!*


(*)  Not the way Keltham phrases it, but...

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Lady Avaricia seethes in peaceable silence.

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Any corrections with respect to all the stuff Keltham horribly screwed up, Lady Avaricia?

 

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She'll see if anyone does anything really obnoxious because of how they interpreted what Keltham said, and then correct if relevant.

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He's sure they will!

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...Ione wants to think something along the lines of "That could have gone a lot worse" but she is not entirely sure that it has not.

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Is Lady Avaricia actually a trope?  Or for that matter, actually a '????????'?

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Pilar should know her curse can't answer that!

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After breakfast, Keltham receives reply mail from Egorian.  The basic guideline is that anything which seems maybe-possibly-dangerous, especially if it intersects with Asmodean theology, should be routed to Aspexia Rugatonn.  Unless it seems to be actively driving mortals mad, in which case Contessa Lrilatha should Teleport in.  Meritxell is cleared to discuss this topic with Subirachs; it was not in fact dangerous, but Keltham was correct to check and is encouraged to continue checking.

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(Aspexia Rugatonn was in fact a bit nonplussed, and slightly worried, about how Meritxell seemed to think this was an important theological revelation.

There are all sorts of reasons to sort mortals and devils into hierarchy?  Most of which are benefits for the tyranny, rather than benefits allowed to accrue to the slaves inside it; and the greatest reason by far, is that Asmodeus wishes it so.  The notion that hierarchy exists for the benefit of the slave is very much the sort of lie that Aspexia is worried will disintegrate in the wind of Keltham's Law - a point she dares not press yet within Project Lawful, because it is not clear that Sevar herself is ready to hear.

Well, it would be to the benefit of Pilar, perhaps; for all those many reasons including the one that Keltham described.  But most mortals are not Pilar, and Asmodeus does not withhold His hand from them therefore.

It is perhaps a useful fact that Meritxell finds this theological presentation more persuasive?  Useful, but also disturbing, for it accepts dath ilan's premises into itself; not least the premise that secrecy is made for the slave's benefit, and so that what should be done, is whatever is to the slave's benefit.

Future such revelations should indeed go to Aspexia before Subirachs, if there is no emergency.  There is not so much distance in possibility, between the strange case of something proving unexpectedly persuasive to Meritxell, and some such revelation proving strangely persuasive to Subirachs.)

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PL-timestamp:  Day 24 (20) / Morning Lecture

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Lecture subthread: the alien maths of dath ilan, dealing with Laplace's Rule of Succession.

It should be possible to abandon this subthread and return, if necessary, without missing out on plot-critical developments.

CW:  Dubious infinitary mathematics.


 

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Eventually Keltham does succeed in deriving (this time using dubious infinitary arguments, instead of clear and simple combinatorics) that indeed:

If you start out thinking any fraction of LEFT and RIGHT between 0 and 1 is equally plausible on priors, and you see experimental results going LEFT on N occasions and going RIGHT on M occasions, the prediction for the next round is (N+1)/(N+M+2) for LEFT and (M+1)/(N+M+2) for RIGHT.

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Worth pointing out explicitly:

You could see this whole fragment of mathematics, of Law, as something that learns.  If you show it 100 examples of balls with 70 going LEFT and 30 going RIGHT, it'll start to predict future probabilities of LEFT and RIGHT around 70% and 30%.

It only learns a very restricted class of things compared to entire people.  It can never learn, if you show it the sequence LEFT LEFT RIGHT LEFT LEFT RIGHT repeated 20 times, that it should predict LEFT with very high probability on the next two rounds, followed by RIGHT with very high probability.  It'll just predict LEFT with probability approaching 2/3 and RIGHT with probability approaching 1/3.

This, of course, is because people contain much more complicated and powerful fragments of Law within them, enabling people to learn much more complicated and powerful fragments of reality.

Even dath ilan doesn't know that much Law.

It's the knowledge a god would need to build a mortal from scratch.

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(Certain parts of Civilization do, in fact, secretly know that much Law.  It's unfortunately only one piece of a much larger, insanely lethal challenge.)

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- well now she wants to know whether the gods know how to build mortals from scratch. 

 

Not the point, probably. 

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Keltham is having similar thoughts!  He'll wonder out loud about whether Golarion's gods know enough Law to do any significant editing?  If the newcomers haven't read the transcripts for this part yet - or it was less clear from the transcript than in-person - Golarion humans were obviously copied off some ancestors or cousins of dath ilan visible from Golarion's multiverse, the same way Keltham himself was able to appear here.  Keltham can eat Golarion food and that doesn't happen unless the proteins inside are the same and that requires common ancestry.  Similarly, the humans here birth half women and half men, so nobody tampered with that part.

If anything Keltham's sort of surprised that people here aren't more edited.  He wishes he knew what the gods' original edits to mortals were, whose reversion or failure was described as mortals gaining "free will".  That would provide a lot of hint about what level of innate-Law-editing the gods were capable of deploying.

He's guessing it was relatively shallow, though?  Not really anywhere near the level of 'make a mortal from scratch'?  Humans here wouldn't have shared ancestry with dath ilan if gods here could just make mortals from scratch.  The fact that the gods' edits eventually failed, and that people basically turned back into humans afterwards, says that it was probably much more like imposing extra structure on top, maybe magical structure.  Not really remaking and rebuilding things like a 'programmer' could do inside a 'computer', probably not even 'compiling' new 'genes'.

Well, that seems to square with the rest of reality as Keltham observes it?  None of the gods here seem powerful enough to be freely wielding Law on that level.

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Korva is pretty sure that the gods did create mortals from scratch at some point - even with the claims about heredity in some of the past transcripts, which she has read, she's still extremely dubious about the idea that no higher power has ever shaped a lower one from nothingness or near-nothingness - but it does seem possible that no mortal has ever developed the power, and if it can be done with math at all, then it makes sense that it's the sort of thing a mortal could do. If Keltham does know some sort of building block towards mortals shaping mortals from scratch, that's the sort of thing that would go some way in explaining why the gods are so obsessed with him.

It's terribly inconvenient that this would actually be an important thing to study, given that Korva hasn't been following along for the past several minutes and is once again despairing of her future. Although if even dath ilan hasn't figured it out, then it seems pretty improbable that the collection of people here will.

...maybe she can at least study the history of beings whose creation might have been directly observed or heard of secondhand, and whatever is known of the changes that occur to humans after death. There. Not useless.

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Thaaaat's going to have people quiet, nervous of heresy. "There are other races that are different from humans but similarly patterned, so on your theory I imagine the gods copied the shared-ancestry that also produced dath ilan and then made changes to produce, say, elves, or halflings."

 

 

Aaaaand probably don't list the very large number of other species that are people, lest that get Keltham thinking about fire elementals. 

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"It's said that the First World is what the first attempt at creation was like, so you might study the fae if you were trying to understand how the gods shaped humans," Meritxell says. "Aside from the thing where you definitely should not study the fae."

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- you know, actually, also, who's to say that dath ilani weren't copied off of Golarion humans and then sequestered in some place as some random guy's experiment, like OKAY YES SHE'S THINKING ABOUT HERMEA, given that Golarion obviously has more planar and possibly even more interstellar reach and there are various people who would absolutely do this, and that's why dath ilani apparently don't know anything about their history. Egotistical, much?

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"Yeah, there's an awful lot of things in Golarion I'd run off and go look at, if it was safe for me to leave my fortress, and I didn't have more critical-pathy things to do with my time."

He does grok the concept of a critical path, though, that is also common wisdom out of Civilization for people building startups.  At some point he may start to develop cabin fever, but Day 20 is not that point.

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"Your regular reminder that I will do anything, to go along with you at that time."

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"Yes thank you I'm aware.  But as with sexual attraction of you towards me, my own desire to have you follow me around forever, telling me not to do things, may also take some time for me to develop."

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"Okay, just saying, you will die in ten minutes if I'm not there and you will somehow manage to get your soul stuck in the process."

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"Ione, I'm not saying no, I'm saying our 'moirallegience'* has not yet progressed to that point."

"Anyways."


(*)  Not the literal Baseline term.

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By way of finishing up the morning's lecture, Keltham will also explicitly spell out the point that - outside of particular metahypotheses you're deliberately reasoning inside - it's generally considered a bad idea to assign Probability Absolutely Zero to anything.

Like the way that the Rule of Succession metahypothesis implicitly assigns Probability 0 that the ball just always goes LEFT or always goes RIGHT, because then you can never ever learn that thing, no matter how much evidence is presented you.  The Rule of Succession never figures that out for real, no matter how many cases of LEFT it sees.

If you assign Probability 0 that...

Good examples of somebody-might-think-they-were-probability-0 statements are harder for an outsider to come up with when they're relatively new to Golarion.

If you assign Probability 1 that grass is green, and then you go outside and suddenly all the grass looks blue to you, well, obviously you just conclude that your eyes are deceiving you.  Sure, you're vastly more likely to see the grass looking blue, if in fact the grass looks blue.  Maybe it's a million times more likely.  But it's not infinity times more likely.

If you say there's Probability 1 that grass is green, you're saying that's infinity times more likely than any hypothesis where it's not green.  And the evidence of your senses is always finite, they could always be mistaken.  So if you have an infinite prior, that's like being something that can't notice the truth, ever, no matter how hard and how many times you're hit over the head with it.

Thankfully, human beings are just more complicated things than the sorts of hypotheses that assign Probability 0 to the ball always going LEFT.  Even if your conscious deliberation somehow gets wedged into weird states where you claim to be infinitely sure of things - which, like, Keltham finds it hard to visualize anybody thinking that could possibly be a reasonable thing to do in the first place, like, how would you ever be able to Lawfully justify a claim to be able to guess something strongly enough that you could make guesses like that infinity times and be wrong zero times - but they did teach Keltham not to do that, so it's probably a sort of thing that people ever do, especially when they're kids -

- even then, a human being is a more complicated thing, and there'll be metahypotheses inside you that some part of you is still processing, still able to learn the thing that you claim to assign Probability 0.

If you say to yourself that you believe absolutely that the ball can only ever have some propensity to go LEFT or RIGHT, independently on each round, and any fraction between 0 and 1 is equally probable - and then reality shows you LEFT RIGHT LEFT RIGHT repeating forever - there will still be some part of you that notices.

Because you're not actually a kind of thing that can really assign Probability 0 or Probability 1 to anything, in all of your parts, just by saying that's what you're doing.

There'll still always be some part of you that can learn from sufficiently blatant evidence, that you're hit on the head with sufficiently repeatedly.  If it's a sort of thing that humans assign probability greater than 0 - equivalently, if it's a sort of thing that humans can learn - in the parts of you that your conscious decisions can't cripple enough.

This was also told to Keltham when he was a child, and emphasized to him.  He's not quite sure why it's important, no sane person would assign Probability 0 to any interesting proposition in the first place, but it sounded like a warning so he's repeating it.

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That feels - disquieting, somehow. She's not sure it is something to be thankful for, and she's not at all sure it'd be true of devils.

 

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"1 + 1 = 3?"

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"Drugs, talk-control, hidden superbeings who created you from scratch to be mistaken about that.  In Golarion, Suggestions and more classified forms of mind-control magic, gods directly messing with you, hidden superbeings who could mess with gods."

"If one day you started adding 1 and 1 and getting 3 every time, including for things like physically adding an apple to an apple in a basket and getting three apples, you would eventually decide your old memories had been mistaken.  It's a kind of pattern you would be able to notice, if it were true.  So the probability that all of yourself assigns to it isn't 0."

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You know, some of these warnings do actually make more sense as things to specifically emphasize to people if dath ilani education actually was created by some process that was specifically reacting to things that had been seen on Golarion. Just saying. Well, thinking.

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Some of these emphases would make more sense if the dath ilani Keepers were specifically trying to counter Asmodeanism.  As taught in Golarion.

Maybe - faith in gods in general?  Pilar is less sure about that part.

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"And on that note of irreducible epistemological existential terror, let's break for lunch!"

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Well, that was one of the most unnerving mathematical experiences of Asmodia's life to date.

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Otolmens was also unnerved by some of that so-called MATH.

The fact that it WORKED is even WORSE!

Mortals using INVALID reasoning to arrive at CORRECT answers may be all too close to using VALID reasoning to produce WRONG answers.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 24 (20) / Afternoon

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When it became obvious that Keltham would benefit from an alchemist Cheliax started reviewing candidates. Alchemists, of course, don't tend to advertise all their breakthroughs; that's a great way to inspire people to send spies and steal all your hard work and secret recipes. If you drop by every alchemists's workshop and ask them how much they have independently catalogued properties of gases and metals, the floor will fold under you and drop you into a pit of acid. 

If you have been urgently dispatched for this task by the Crown, you presumably have a Fly spell active, and you can remain in place and present your credentials and ask again, less politely. 

 

 

By the day after Keltham asks for an alchemist they've screened some, and picked one, and packed him off to Ostenso with a Bag of Holding stuffed with several thousand of his acid-damaged notebooks. 

He is carefully not looking at anything in particular about this place, in the hope that this'll make it less necessary to kill him afterwards.

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This is Keltham!  He seems like an obvious mad-experimenter alchemist apprentice though slightly off in several ways.  He comes from a world that has zero knowledge of magic and far vaster knowledge than Golarion of everything that isn't magic, and he's going to use that knowledge to cheaply produce vast quantities of distilled oil of vitriol and drop spellsilver refining costs by a factor of ten!  They're rapidly advancing in applying his otherworldly knowledge to Golarion!

Today's frontier of research:  Recreating an otherworldly instrument that will burn materials in flame and send the resulting light through a crystal, to show the exact colors of light inside, to determine what fundamental constituents are within nonmagical matter!  Is that a sort of thing that'd be useful to alchemists in general, by the way?


(Elapsed time until he acquired knowledge that Cheliax would kill him over:  47 seconds.)

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Well. That's not great but he'll just have to be very useful to this project so he's kept around for it. 

 

That....is indeed the kind of thing that'd be useful to alchemists. In general.

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Keltham is continuing to talk rapidly, obviously excited about this meeting!  He is pleased to be introduced to what is, by his standards, an otherworldly mad scientist much like himself!  Has the alchemist done a lot of experimentation on human subjects, by the way, and if so, what kind?

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- yes, mostly for potionmaking rather than metal refining or distilling? He can't actually think of a useful human experiment he'd run on refining or distilling but for potionmaking you need human subjects for testing dose, testing effect duration, testing toxicity, testing side effects, and so on, it doesn't extrapolate reliably from rabbits. 

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Interesting!  What's the most toxic thing he's found so far that way?

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- he's not actually a poisons expert and doesn't work with anything as lethal as, say, bluering, his potions experiments have mostly been on concoction miscibility - the known problem where taking multiple alchemical concoctions simultaneously has hard-to-predict side effects, some of them deadly and some of them actively desirable, so if you could only figure out how to reliably get the desirable ones you'd be very wealthy selling to adventurers. Unfortunately minutia of dosing that vary person-to-person and day-to-day seem relevant to concoction miscibility, and of course test subjects tend to expire of mistakes, so it's a difficult area to make progress in, but worth it when you have the subjects on hand.

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The government doesn't require him to buy resurrection insurance or anything on them, does it?

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That is the most baffling question he has ever been asked and he does not like this entire line of questioning, in retrospect. "- depends. Is that how it's done on your originating planet?"

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His home planet doesn't have resurrections.  No magic, remember?  They put people into very deep cold instead and will do something with them later.

You can get people who'll let you kill them in alchemy experiments, but they're very expensive, obviously.

What does the need for resurrection insurance depend on?

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- uh, sometimes your experimental subjects are old or sick and going to die anyway. And in that case you don't need resurrection insurance. 

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Uh huh.  And how much do subjects like that cost?

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....fifty gold?

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That does sound cheaper than resurrection insurance!  Much cheaper!  Makes you wonder why he'd use any resurrection-insured subjects at all, really.

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.....well, it's much harder to get those subjects.

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Uh huh.  So they're much cheaper than resurrection insurance, but much harder to get.

And how much does resurrection insurance cost for him?

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...it depends a lot on what specific experiments you plan to run.

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Whatever he was working on last week will be fine.

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- he wasn't working on this last week! He doesn't do that much with admixtures! He thinks a couple years ago when he last had a theory worth testing it was ...1000gp?

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Keltham must have really not liked that answer!  His whole face starts to change.

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"You failed at the point where you told Keltham that buying killable test subjects is much cheaper than resurrection insurance on them, but also they're much harder to find.  If that had been true, their price would have gone up until the supply increased and the demand went down."

Asmodia has now read an Abadaran book!

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"All right, in this game of yours how expensive are test subjects? And do you have to pay to resurrect them?"

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The girl who looks like and dresses like a second-circle Ostenso wizard academy student is speaking very levelly.

"This is not a fucking game, alchemist.  You just failed a live-fire test, one you thought was real.  The only reason you're not in a lot of pain right now, is that we do not expect putting that much fear into you to help you keep your composure around Keltham.  Project Lawful has higher priorities than the Asmodean condition of your soul."

"But if you'd actually fucked up, tipped Keltham off, if he'd ended up in Osirion constructing weapons for them to use against Cheliax and that was your fault - you would have personally pissed off, among others, the Queen of Cheliax, a Count of Hell who bought my soul on the speculation that Keltham would make it more valuable, and, probably, Asmodeus Himself."

"Keltham has not, so far, probed any of the outside experts brought in.  He has asked questions like that of Project employees, which is what we are to him.  If you are sticking around then he will probably ask questions like that of you at some point.  You're either ready for it when it happens, or you are a liability who should never be introduced to Keltham in the first place."

"50 gold pieces for a death volunteer didn't sound impossible to me, given that slaves with a lot of lifespan remaining cost 75gp, but that slavery is mostly illegal in alter-Cheliax.  But if that's true then you only use dying subjects and never buy resurrection insurance on healthy subjects.  Everything about alter-Cheliax MUST be consistent."

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"How about I just don't deal in human subjects at all."

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"Are there alchemists like that in Taldor?"

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"I would assume so, what with how human subjects are expensive and irrelevant for most of what we do!"

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"Then we may be able to get away with telling Keltham that lie."

"Why don't you work with human subjects?  You don't come across as particularly squeamish in conversation and attitude.  I suppose I've never actually met somebody who is, but Keltham will have."

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" - because it's a dead end? People have been trying to crack potion miscibility for as long as there's been alchemy. The first person to get it will be richer than the gods. But if you buy a hundred fucking slaves and feed them all your perfectly optimized concoction adjusted for their body weight and sex and astrological sign and hair texture and whatever else you thought of, you'll get a hundred different results, and five of them will drop dead, and if you try repeatedly then everyone'll be dead by the end of the month. It's worth a try whenever you think you've thought of something new that it's possible no one else has found, but it's a stupid waste of time and money to try to build a career off. The interesting progress in alchemy is all in ores and oils, and rabbits are cheaper than slaves for practically all testing."

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"Is that what a Taldorian alchemist who doesn't work with human subjects says?  Because that sounded at least a little Chelish to me.  Especially the part about slaves."

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"If you pay a hundred elderly volunteers, they'll all be dead by the end of the month. If you want an alchemist from Taldor why didn't you hire one of those, I've never been to Taldor."

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"It seems like they'd make that difficult for us. Try it again, with an Eagle's Splendour, see if that helps your bluff any."

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"I think we also bring in the fake paladin.  I have a sense that some of this would have twigged Keltham's sense for - real Evil, not what we've told him is Evil - and that's something nobody else here knows how to fake caring about."

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Carissa gestures at Security to do what Asmodia said. "How do people become an alchemist, how did you become one?"

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"I was apprenticed to one, and I was the least incompetent of his apprentices - do they have apprenticeships in Taldor?"

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"Yes."

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Asmodia has a nervous feeling - as expressed within her state of continuous low-grade panic - that at some point Project Lawful is going to fuck up on account of nobody on staff being really actually Good, knowing what that's like inside instead of outside.

Not something that could be fixed easily, or at all, in any obvious way.  But just because you can't fix something doesn't make it be not a problem.

...why is her brain suggesting that they ask Pilar?  Pilar's curse isn't that frequently helpful and couldn't be trusted anyways.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 24 (20) / Mid-Afternoon

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Keltham returns from having taken a couple of hours' break for wizard practice, scroll practice, and walking around outside but still within the Forbiddance.

On his return, he finds... they've got an alchemist for him already!  Apparently somebody saw this one coming and started the Security screening process earlier.  Good for them!  Well, time to introduce himself and his work, then!

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This is Keltham!  He seems like a pretty extreme mad-experimenter alchemist apprentice, the sort who's obviously going to end up dead within weeks if not days.  He's not just slightly 'off', everything about him is way off in more directions than you can easily count.

Today's frontier of research is a spectroscope, which burns matter and uses a prism to refract the light into component colors, or shines light through the burning material in order to check for absorption lines within the colors.

Why is that important?  Well, light is made of particles called photons, the color corresponds to the energy of the photons, and the emission-absorption lines correspond to increases or decreases in energy of the 'electrons' that are constituents of the 'atoms' that are the almost-perfectly-stable constituents of matter.  The electron orbitals are a huge determinant of how matter behaves chemically, how it gets transformed by acid or what other atoms it combines with into semi-stable molecules.

Part of their major project here is to see whether informed use of Prestidigitation can greatly change the reach of what's possible in chemistry.  Prestidigitation can change color, stickiness, taste; these are all things that plausibly depend on electron orbitals.  They've already verified that Prestidigitation can change the reaction rate between acidic vinegar and basic wood-ash lye.  Lady Avaricia was first other than Keltham to Prestidigitate matter such that it would then burn with a different color of flame; Korva Tallandria managed to get matter to not only burn with the color of sulfur but to smell something like sulfur and to produce coughing like sulfur dioxide.

Keltham is hoping that by using a spectroscope on Prestidigitated matter, his researchers will be able to get direct feedback on how their Prestidigitation is changing the behavior of electron orbitals.  That seems like it could be one of the key steps in learning to make elements behave like other elements that Keltham doesn't have time to identify in known Golarion materials, or even behave like elements that can't exist as ordinary matter.  It will enable them to regularize the transformations that Prestidigitation applies to materials, even if two different researchers think copper tastes slightly different to them.

Keltham is mentioning all this, of course, because he's sure that the alchemist is wondering why, if you can use Prestidigitation to control chemistry that easily, nobody's ever done it before.  They've had some indication that you may need to know something about electron orbitals, before people seem to be able to conceive in the right way about which transformation they want to apply, by controlling the taste of something, that would also make it burn a different color - his researchers weren't able to do that right away; as of yesterday, some researchers still couldn't.  But also, Keltham is guessing that it would be a great deal more difficult to map your way through Prestidigitating chemistry if you didn't understand the underlying atomic interactions, started out by trying to Prestidigitate complicated tastes into other complicated molecules instead of atomic tastes into atoms, and couldn't use a spectroscope to see what your early attempts at Prestidigitation chemistry were changing about the electron orbitals.

Besides making distilled oil of vitriol and refining spellsilver, are there any other non-magical chemical transformations that would be hugely profitable to improve or that would be vital to the economy of Cheliax or other countries?


(Elapsed time before he learned knowledge that any government in Golarion would kill and soul-trap him over:  Three and a half minutes.)

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- yes, yes, there are some. For nonmagical reagents, the ones used at large scales where it'd be important to invent a cheaper version are bleaching powder, used in cloth production, and soda ash, used for glass, textile, soap, and papermaking. There's a standing large prize for a process to produce alkali from sea salt; likewise there are efforts to make naphtha, pitch oil, and sal ammoniac. 

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Keltham doesn't have memorized that many processes for producing chemicals at scale, alas.  He knows one bulk process for producing an alkaline substance, the same way he knows a process for bulk-producing the most industrially important kind of acid.  Lady Avaricia is trying to identify Golarion materials in terms of the underlying constituents of matter that Keltham is familiar with; she'd be the one charged with figuring out what 'soda ash' and 'bleaching powder' might be in his terms.

Oh, also the alchemist shouldn't take it personally if Lady Avaricia thinks he falls far below her standards or seems rude.  Lady Avaricia is one of those people who can't bear to conceal outward appearances, and thinks that everyone and everything is terrible; it's nothing personal if she thinks it about him, and says so out loud.

What sort of incredibly finicky processes are there for producing small amounts of very expensive things, such that substantially higher demand would exist if the cost decreased?  Spellsilver itself is one of those things from Keltham's viewpoint; it's being produced in very small quantities via a finicky process that Keltham hopes Prestidigitation can smoothen and regularize, and there'd be demand for much higher quantities of spellsilver if those were available.

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This is so much better than the conversations with fake-Keltham. He can name some candidates.

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If there's one of those that has relatively less expensive inputs and is just labor-costly because it's hugely finicky, the Project might want to practice on that.  And if there's none of those with expensive outputs, they could try perfecting via Prestidigitation some processes that sell for less.  If his researchers maybe want to mess around with it whenever.  Rather than, you know, the boiling-acid version that should only be done in groups, and with Resist Energy cast.  Keltham has given them some known chemical reactions to mess with, to see if they can steer around reaction pathways, but those reactions are pretty elementary and not that finicky to start with; there'll be some different game for mastering the trickier processes.

Their current problems along the way to completing a distilled-oil-of-vitriol production step, include:

- Figuring out if they need to purify oxygen for step one, where they burn sulfur to turn it into sulfur dioxide, or if regular air works.  If regular air doesn't work, they'll need to liquefy air to distill it; or use a controlled-lightning process on water to make combined Element-1 and Element-8 gas.

Also, it would be helpful to know if any of the "create a bubble of breathable air" spells work in a way where they can extract purer regular air from that, which will be useful in chemical reactions.

- Either figuring out some known Golarion metal is element-23; or getting something else to act as 23 for purposes of its oxide catalyzing SO2->SO3; or directly Prestigitating SO2 in a way that makes it easily combine with oxygen at high temperatures to form SO3.  They also need to know if pure oxygen or at least pure air is required for this step; Keltham suspects you can't just use atmospheric air here, but he's not actually sure.

- Measuring temperatures for purposes of getting the SO2->SO3 furnace to above the melting point of water by 450% of the difference between the melting and boiling point of water.  Mercury thermometers don't go that high and are kind of dangerous anyways, unless they're very certain that healing or Restoration works to solve a long-lasting poisoning problem with mercury.

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Restoration should fix damage from mercury, he can't think why it wouldn't. 

(He avoids suggesting a quick human-subject test to be sure.)

He does happen to know that bubble-of-air spells make air, rather than pure oxygen; pure oxygen has been isolated and he has a secret technique for doing so, as well as one for measuring temperature, which he'd be willing to share with this project for half its proceeds.

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Half the proceeds from what, exactly?  Selling the purified oxygen if the Project can figure out how to make his process scalable, and they can't find a better process that's more scalable and not derived from his?

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Half of the proceeds from selling, or selling the secrets to making, the alchemical products and ores-refined-alchemically and oils-produced alchemically this project is hoping to produce.

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Doesn't particularly match up with Keltham's model of how hard it would be for him to produce oxygen, or find another alchemist who knew how.  There's a lot of stuff with oxygen in it.  Water is 8/9 oxygen by weight and Keltham knows how to split it.  There's no way that saving a couple of weeks on hammering out the issues in a reconstructed method of dath ilan would be worth half the proceeds of the Project on all chemical sales forever; oxygen simply isn't that important an input.

Keltham has in fact heard about Golarion's concept of bargaining, and could potentially try doing things that way by countering with a ludicrously unfair offer of his own?  But first Keltham wants to make sure that he's not missing some key facts that would make this a sincere and fair offer, one that Keltham shouldn't be trying to bargain down from.

Keltham's got truthspells, and also a spell that causes people to only say prices that would be fair given their knowledge, if the alchemist wants a quick way to prove that he's being honest about something or just prove that the entire offer is one that's fair relative to his own model of things.

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The alchemist doesn't know what Keltham means by a 'sincere and fair' offer. It's sincere in the sense that if Keltham takes the offer he will share all his secret techniques; it's fair in the sense that it's 50-50, which is ....in some sense the fairest possible division of anything?

(Is that what Good people think????)

 

He knows secret techniques for other chemicals and is willing to teach them too for half the proceeds. Notably alchemists don't usually teach their techniques at all, certainly not to someone who wants to scale them; why, then you'll never make money off it again! You sell the results and keep the process secret. He is only offering to sell the techniques at any price because this project does seem promising.

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Keltham is not particularly expecting the alchemist's personally derived secret knowledge, relative to more public and commonly known alchemical knowledge, to contribute even 0.1% of what Keltham remembers from an entire alternate world with a vastly more advanced comprehension of nonmagical materials science.  As produced by literally millions of alchemist-equivalents with 20+ Intelligence, freely sharing results with each other, and paying 'patentgratuities' on useful discoveries in proportion to how useful they were.

If the 'patentgratuity' methodology was applied to the Project, they'd end up paying him for the two weeks of time that ended up being saved by their using his secret oxygen production technique, or more if it later turns out that it'd have taken longer than two weeks to get lightning-based water splitting going.

The basis on which Keltham had been planning to do this was more prenegotiated though: if the guy proved as valuable as a regular Project employee, Keltham was going to offer him the 0.1% share of the Project that non-elite employees get; if as valuable as an elite Project employee, the 0.2% that elites get.  That'll be harder for him to sustain over time, as the younger Project employees learn more new methods and math, but earlier contributions are also more valuable.  Those shares of the Project do need to last through all the employees that will prove worthy of them; later employees will get offered more like 0.01%.

If the alchemist isn't happy with either of those, the Project will pay his regular consult fees, not give him a share of the Project, and use only what's public knowledge in Golarion.  Keltham assumes the guy has already signed the standard non-disclosure agreement saying that he cannot, without the Project's permission, use or talk about stuff like Prestidigitation chemistry?  Also, can the guy use Prestidigitation because if not he may need to spend a week picking that up.

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0.1%???? A thousandth? For an alchemy project without an alchemist on staff?

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Has somebody possibly not explained the scope of the Project to him?

The plan is to use the knowledge out of Keltham's world to revolutionize all nonmagical farming, medicine, clothmaking, mining, metallurgy, manufacture, roadmaking, etcetera, all of which actually scale up much further than Golarion has taken them so far.  Probably also use the methodologies out of Keltham's world to revolutionize a bunch of magical stuff too.

Roughly, the plan is to turn Golarion into its own version of his Civilization, as the people of Golarion may want to become that, and the Project is step one of it.

If all dreams fail and the Project ends up being worthless - as does not particularly seem likely at this point to be the case - then the alchemist still gets to keep his usual and customary fees, and the people on the project can sign non-disclosure about whatever secrets of his he revealed to them along the way.  Alternatively, if the Project plays out to the extent of being able to capture one gold piece of value created for everyone in Golarion, it ends up worth something like a billion gold pieces, on that theory, and 0.1% is worth a million gold pieces.

This is what the god-war a couple of weeks ago was about, FYI; it started with Zon-Kuthon trying for a decapitation strike on the Project two days after Keltham arrived in Golarion.

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Right, okay, then.

 

He does want the nondisclosure agreements in the case the project fails arranged first.

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Naturally!

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Also he would absolutely LEAVE if that was POSSIBLE but he's not going to say that.

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Keltham will work up a nondisclosure agreement shortly, they can stick to public knowledge about alchemy until then.  Most of them this afternoon are going to be working on completing the spectroscope as equipment.  Can Keltham turn him over to Lady Avaricia, so Lady Avaricia can introduce to him the basic concepts out of Civilization, and he can see if his public knowledge works for helping her to complete her project on relating Golarion concepts to dath ilani ones?  Again, it'll seem like Lady Avaricia hates him, but it won't be anything personal, and he doesn't need to be guarded or tactful around her either.

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- yes, he can do that. Is it her husband's title or her parents'?

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Parents, Keltham thinks, something about a county she's heiress of.

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- right. He appreciates the clarification, such as it is, and would be happy to work with the Lady Avaricia on the spectroscope, if it pleases her.

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Literally nothing's going to please Lady Avaricia until the Project scales to the point of distributing artifact headbands with +6 intelligence, to people who were otherwise nearly the smartest innate prodigies in the world before then, whereupon they may begin to barely meet Lady Avaricia's standards.

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"Just get over here and assist me already, I don't prefer you standing around."

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....great. He'll do that. He's so looking forward to being part of this fascinating project.

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Message to Lady Avaricia:  Guy seemed slightly weird, please observe and report back if he seems even more horribly incompetent than you'd expect from the next-best alchemist to pass their Security screen.

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She's desperately curious what specifically about that Keltham thought was weird, but doesn't ask. 

 

 

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They'll almost get a spectroscope working before Keltham calls it a day!

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PL-timestamp:  Day 24 (20) / Evening

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Martial arts practice.  It's getting a little psychologically easier each time, as his mind accepts that injuries to himself and others just are not permanent.

He can't feel about pain what Carissa feels, he doesn't think.  But there's a triumph in making it through, walking away healed and less afraid, step by step becoming somebody who's Been In A Fight.

...the thought of fighting Meritxell at all, let alone Meritxell transformed into Carissa, still seems flinchy.  He might possibly need to equip Meritxell with a dagger, or something else that makes her look more dangerous, and be attacked by her first, before he'll feel okay about fighting back.

It'll probably go away, that hesitation, after the first time.  Things like that are usually like that.  Right?

Using Bull's Strength and Cat's Grace to train martial arts is like soaring.  Keltham would say, like flying, but eventually he'll be able to Fly - or cast it from scroll - and probably that'll be a totally different sort of soaring experience.

At 4th-circle, Keltham can't sustain those enhancements through a whole training session - nor would he, he should also train fighting unenhanced - but Keltham begins and ends with them, each time.  Because elementary hedonics.

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He'd thought to date Ione, tonight, but ended up feeling not in shape for it, after martial arts practice.  It's by far the most mentally strenuous thing he's done repeatedly since he came to Golarion.

He summons Yaisa instead.  Tells her to be slow and gentle, to make him feel cared-for, and lets her do all the work.


He should probably talk to Meritxell soon, if she's amenable, fight her soon, and get that part over with.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 25 (21) / Morning Lectures

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All right, Keltham knows this is probably going to be a bit stressful, but...

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The new researchers are coming up on the end of their trial week tomorrow.

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Keltham, in retrospect, has not been stress-testing them to the same extent as he stress-tested the current researchers before they got hired.

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They've now been introduced to the simplest of inductive Law-fragments, the Rule of Succession.

Armed with that, they should be able to figure out how you'd go about deciding whether two different sources of LEFTs and RIGHTs had the same frequency, or a different frequency, if the datasets weren't so different as to make it obvious at a glance.

...and say what it is that an experimentalist out of Civilization would say, and not say, in their report summarizing their data.  It's not going to be, "I decided these two sources were the same" or "I've started betting these two sources are different."

...and maybe talk about a certain general symptom of error that might appear, abstracted beyond just the Rule of Succession, if two different experimenters had ended up performing different experiments with different properties, without anyone realizing that earlier, when somebody went through the reports out of Civilization side-by-side.

If they can keep going, and find even more to say, they're welcome to do that.

Split up and try it on your own.

Everyone should have been told earlier this morning to prepare one Fox's Cunning and one Owl's Wisdom; you may use those at will.  Researcher-candidates will also get an additional Fox's Cunning supplied by staff.

You've got until lunchtime.

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Note, this test does not completely determine your final relationship to Project Lawful.

Keltham has been watching them this whole week, not just now.  Keltham doubts his saying this will affect Lady Avaricia in any way, so he will mention, for example, that Lady Avaricia could completely blow this one, and still get in on the strength of her chemistry work.  People can also end up rising or falling in tier over time, if they're hired.

So don't stress out too much over this one test...

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...is what Keltham would like to say, but yeah, realistically, he knows they're going to stress out about it.  He apologizes for that part.  Last time the researchers ended up not knowing exactly what they were being tested on, and that... was not really a better way of doing things, he doesn't think.

There'll be a predictable two-hour recovery period after lunch, before they start the afternoon's research.

 

The whiteboard now reads:

Wielding the Law of Succession, that after N lefts and M rights, the odds of LEFT vs. RIGHT are (N+1) to (M+1):

- Figure out how you would analyze whether Source 1 and Source 2 of LEFTs and RIGHTs had the same propensity p for left-vs-right, or different propensities p1 and p2.  Assume it's not obvious at a glance.

- Say what an experimentalist out of Civilization would say or not say in their summary of their data.  (It won't be, "I decided these two sources were the same" or "I'm betting these two sources are different.")

- Talk, if you have the time, about a general symptom that might appear - not just in analyses using the Rule of Succession - when two different experimenters end up performing an importantly different experiment-on-reality and end up with two datasets generated by importantly different sources, as might turn up when someone out of Civilization was analyzing their datasets or experimental summaries side-by-side.

- You are welcome to say more, if you have more to say.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 25 (21) / Morning Test of Doom

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A stupid thing you could try - it might not work, but it seems like a place to start - is take the first set of outcomes as your starting guess for the second set of outcomes, and then do the math they learned already to adjust the first set for each additional trial, and then you'd end up with your new estimate. ...would that produce the same result if you did it in either direction? It should. So the difference in estimates from each individual estimate to the combined estimate should be equal, if they were tests that ran the same length, which wasn't specified......

 

 

...is this really better than eternal torture....

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Willa's Story

Someone reading Willa's thoughts might be surprised to find out that she isn't afraid, she's excited. Willa's good at tests, the tricky 2-4-6 thing from earlier this week notwithstanding.

And this one isn't like that, it's pretty well defined. If anything's going to get in her way of being special, it won't be a test like this. She keeps her boosts back for now, she can at least see how to start already...

If the first data set has N Lefts and M Rights, then that would inform a set of relative Posteriors:

p^N*(1-p)^M

For some probability p that each ball goes Left.

Then you would want to normalize those to sum to 1 if possible, you could use the result Keltham already got for that because it's a pretty hard problem on its own; she looks in her notes and finds that it's M!*N!/(M+N+1)!. So for the first data set the Hypotheses of left probability have their own probabilities:

P1(p) = [p^N*(1-p)^M]/[M!*N!/(M+N+1)!]

Similarly, if we say the second data set has L lefts and R rights, we can deduce the same probability function there:

P2(p) = [p^L*(1-p)^R]/[R!*L!/(R+L+1)!]

Willa feels sure somehow that the right solution involves using these two functions together somehow. She could instead just use the first one and then feed the other data into it, but why should one data set be treated differently than the other? The situation is symmetric, so the Law should treat them symmetrically.

So what's the important thing here? It's tempting to say that the functions want to be the same, but that's wrong. Both functions could have no data at all and both would be the same flat line, and she'd know nothing at all about if they were the same.

To KNOW FOR SURE the ps are the same, or different, you would have to know p exactly. The function would have to be a lone spike of probability somewhere in each case. Like if P1 was a spike at p=0.5, and P2 was a spike at p=0.6, then you have a 0% chance they're the same. Similarly, if they're both spikes at p=0.5, there's a 100% chance (as long as the model is right in the first place...)

But how do you actually process the P functions to get those 100% or 0% or anything in between chances? Well, what do you always do with probabilties? You multiply them. So then... you'd have to multiply these functions together. With an integral?

Willa's been feverishly learning calculus since she saw it used to such powerful effect, she thinks you'd integrate the two of them multiplied together, and it would be a definite integral. You'd be integrating over the little probability, the p, so dp. The bounds would have to be from p=0 to p=1, the set of possible outcomes.

Would you have to normalize? Scary, she isn't sure. She'll think more about that part later.

INT([p^N*(1-p)^M]/[M!*N!/(M+N+1)!]*[p^L*(1-p)^R]/[R!*L!/(R+L+1)!],p,0,1)

What a mess. But a lot of this doesn't even have p in it, it can seamlessly escape the integral. Goodbye denominators! To Abbadon with you!

INT([p^N*(1-p)^M]*[p^L*(1-p)^R],p,0,1)/[M!*N!*R!*L!/(M+N+1)!(R+L+1)!]

Rearrange a little bit, combine like terms...

INT(p^(N+L)*(1-p)^(M+R),p,0,1)/[M!*N!*R!*L!/(M+N+1)!(R+L+1)!]

And now it's the same form Keltham had again! She can use exactly what she used to normalize them earlier! She doesn't even have to do any work! She feels like cackling. She doesn't of course, but she'll remember this later and cackle.

[(N+L)!(M+R)!/(N+L+M+R+1)!] / [M!*N!*R!*L!/(M+N+1)!(R+L+1)!]

Clean this up...

[(N+L)!(M+R)!(M+N+1)!(R+L+1)!] / [(N+L+M+R+1)!*M!*N!*R!*L!]

So this could be an answer. But calm down. Don't get overexcited.

OK, that's impossible.

But she still had to be a little careful here. First, was she supposed to normalize? She thinks how the flat probability distributions would've looked. P(p) = 1 from 0 to 1 would be the flat one, that normalizes properly, she knows. If she integrated that times itself, obviously she'd get 1. Concerning. So she has some normalizing work to do still then.

What if it was P(p) = 2 from 0 to 0.5, for each? Then she'd get 2, from 2^2=4, then 4*0.5=2. Makes sense, they're twice as much like each other. So the idea is at least relatively correct, good, good. Think of her answer as a Rating for now, rather than true probability.

Rating = [(N+L)!(M+R)!(M+N+1)!(R+L+1)!] / [(N+L+M+R+1)!*M!*N!*R!*L!]

It occurs to her now that if you assume each true probability can be anything between 0 and 1, the chances they line up exactly should be 0. In a way, it's nonsense to say they can be "the same", at least when working in this framework.

But they can still be nearer together or farther apart. Maybe what she's looking for is the expected difference in probability, or something like that. The half-full ones were twice as good. And clearly, the half full ones are twice as near together. So distance apart is inversely dependent on rating, almost surely.

What's the average distance apart for rating 1 then? That's the key to all this, she can work from that to get everything. But there's something tricky here, she feels a tinge of suspicion.

Owl's Wisdom.

And she realizes she's at least a little wrong. The 0.5 and 0.6 spikes she thought about before would have rating 0, and they're very definitely 0.1 apart. Darn. Is this the end of the road for the two-function method? But this sort of thing would have to happen no matter how she does it, wouldn't it? If she's working from an initial prior that the true p1 can be anything between 0 and 1, and the true p2 can be as well, then the odds of them ever being the same must always be zero.

She's so tempted to ask Keltham what the heck this problem is even supposed to be then, but she forces herself not to. This must be part of the test.

So let's think about this a little more, in a new and strange direction. Imagine she had a prior not about p1 or p2 individually, but about them being the same. If her prior was 1/2 say, that's sorta like saying p1 or p2 can each be one of two values with equal chance, and they might line up or might not. And 1/3 chance of being the same would be three different values, and so on.

So maybe the chance p1=p2 is something you have to get both from the prior probability "Q" that p1=p2 and from the data itself. Maybe her rating is useful after all? Let's think of some cases.

0.5 spike and 0.6 spike. Rating zero. Chance they're the same, always zero. Full-flat and Full-flat. Rating 1. Chance they're the same? Well, the full-flats are like having no data at all, which means the chance must remain Q, the prior you started with. Half-flat and Half-flat. Rating 2. Well, you definitely don't multiply, since Q might be more than 0.5, and 2Q would then be more than 1. Bad. But the chance is definitely more than Q. 0.5 spike and 0.5 spike. Rating... rating infinity. Has to be, infinitely squished together so infinitely big rating. Probability has to be 1.

So what sorta function looks like that? Multiplying is dumb, what about an exponent? But Q is less than 1 and big Rating is good, so maybe...

Updated Probability of Same = Q^(1/Rating) ???

It's a wild guess, but it gets points for being a simple guess, at least. So this would mean half-flats with rating 2 would give you SQRT(Q). 0.5 upgrading to 0.707. It seems plausible? It's at least something to use as a backup plan, it's not a terrible try.

Can she work it out from first principles now that she has a better idea what she's doing? Or maybe find that it's wrong and see something better? Owl's Wisdom runs out, and she decides to cool off for a little, do some sanity checks on her Rating to make sure it even makes sense. It gets better and better as both cluster to the same side, and worse and worse as they cluster to opposite sides. OK, good.

She's pretty sure now that the problem needs a Q. The way it's framed doesn't make any sense without it. If there were buckets, you could make guesses about bucket priors and it might be doable without a Q, but there are no buckets, and buckets are mean and nasty anyway. They went over that. And if you take a totally random 0 to 1 as the prior for both, then the answer to the question is just zero, and it's boring. You need a Q.

But how do you go from Q to anything useful? As necessary as it is, it's kind of an obnoxious object. She thinks about it hard, doesn't get anywhere, and then decides it's time for Fox's Cunning.

Let's go back to those half-flat functions: 2 from p=0 to p=0.5, 0 elsewhere. Imagine I'm given Q=0.5, and that function for each data set. What do I conclude?

It's difficult because the probability weight of the functions together is sort of fundamentally a line shaped-thing, and the functions apart is an area shaped-thing. But she knows it isn't an infinite update in favor of them being not the same, that'd be silly. The two full-flats make for no update at all. Maybe she can use that? With the full flats, the Rating is 1, and Q isn't updated at all. That means Same and Not-Same had the same likelihood there. For the half flats, the Rating is 2, so in a sense the likelihood of Same has doubled. The likelihood of Not-Same... maybe that can't really change? The total probability area can't really be effected by the little probability line.

So imagine a Rating of 2 is a 2:1 update. That feels right, in a comforting way. Her ratings are just likelihoods, basically. So...

Updated Probability = 0.5*2/(0.5*2+0.5) = 2/3

Great, that makes sense. Or generally...

Updated Probability of Same = Q*Rating/(Q*Rating+(1-Q)*1)

Yes, yes. She's going to register a second instance of cackling to be saved for later now. So in summary...

Prior Probability of Same = Q
Set 1: L Lefts, R Rights
Set 2: N Lefts, M Rights

                (N+L)!(M+R)!(M+N+1)!(R+L+1)!
Rating = -------------------------------------------- = Likelihood Ratio of 'Same' vs 'Not Same'
                      (N+L+M+R+1)!M!N!R!L!

Updated Probability of Same = Q*Rating/(Q*Rating+1-Q)

In Civilization, they wouldn't even give a prior Q as a guess in most cases, just the "Rating", aka the Likelihood ratio. But she figures it's good to be very clear about how one should handle their Q, if they had one and wanted to do something with it.

Do her old sanity checks still work? Rating of zero gives update to zero. Rating of infinity gives update to one. Rating of one still gives "update" to Q. And this is more like the real language of probability than her first guess, it's actually justified, at least sort of. She thinks that for now this is as good as she can get with the main part of the problem.

But this is so so so important. She gets her second Fox's Cunning from staff, and then spends the first minute of it looking over everything she's done again, just in case. Nothing else catches her eye, so she starts thinking about the rest in truth now. So she starts writing paragraphs after all the equations interspersed with notes:

"Now imagine that the p you're looking for really is the same, and you have some medicore Prior Q of that to start with. Let's say p=0.5. But one experiment is leaning right a little, and one left a little, so their true probabilities are p1=0.45 and p2=0.55."

"With small amounts of data in both experiments, the probability functions won't be very sharp. They'll just be soft hills, taller in the middle, and the Rating you get by combining them will still be higher than 1, and update Q in the correct direction, towards 'Same'. But as you took more and more data, the functions get sharper and sharper, like her imaginary spikes. Eventually you'll have spike-like functions at 0.45 and 0.55, and they'll barely even intersect! The rating would be terrible, much less than 1, and update Q in the wrong direction, towards 'Not Same.'"

"So at first, if the experiments just had a little data, comparing them would suggest the right result. But as they got more and more, the problem would get magnified, and it would eventually start suggesting the wrong result instead. It almost seems like a paradox: more data should be making things better, but it's making things worse."

"It's because even if the data is real data, the probability functions from it are sort of lies, if you think they're referencing the true behavior and not just the data from the experiment. p1 and p2 aren't really quite the same thing, they're both just nearby shadows of the same p. So really, the Law isn't lying to you. It's saying p1 and p2 are probably different, and they are! But that's just about the experiments, not about p itself."

"So when you look at an experiment, you should maybe limit how spiky you let your probability function get for the true p. You need to force it to be at least as wide as the inherent errors in the experiment are big. Exactly how wide you force it to be, and how to do that with Law instead of with handwaving, is probably the subject of another problem."

It seems like a big difficult problem, and she's fresh out of Foxes and Owls. So that's that with that for now.

But as lunch approaches and she looks her paper over, she feels confident. Maybe some of this is wrong, it's possible, but she doesn't think it could be wrong enough to sink her.

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Korva's Story

Korva misbudgeted her time last night; her requested books about the history of wizard education had come through, and she, idiot that she is, had spent time reading them, hoping that she could make up the five hours it would probably take her to fully understand the Rule of Succession early tomorrow. If not for the instruction to prep specific spells, she might have tried to pull an all-nighter understanding the math (which she did do earlier this week, before their ostensible day off). But even though she can't actually prep Fox's Cunning or Owl's Wisdom, she didn't want to be the only person who couldn't prep anything, couldn't even prestidigitate her name tag. She managed to cram a little work in during breakfast, after spending more effort than usual prepping her spells, but if anything it made her feel more confused.

She should have realized that this was going to be a test day. Stupid.

She has her notes, but there's no time to do the necessary work to fully understand them. She could try copying the exact math that Pilar and Asmodia did, without understanding which parts are different in this problem, but Keltham will see through that immediately, and - honestly she's not sure she can do the math, actually, she looks at it and tries to read the problem and there's just - nothing, no understanding left in her brain. She tries copying the literal symbols that she wrote down in her notes, in case that jogs something loose, but it doesn't seem to; she keeps staring at it without comprehending.

She's going to die.

No, worse than die; she's going to be rendered completely useless for the entirety of her existence. Maybe she should take some comfort in the fact that this cruelty to her must be making Keltham more evil than he already is, but she doesn't think that's the sort of contribution to evil that gets you a duchy, or a spot in the library of oaths, or a few more years of mortal existence. She hates Keltham, violently and passionately, for stealing her perfectly good life from her and buying her like a slave, without so much as checking beforehand whether he would want to use her or cast her aside like so much refuse. He is able to do so, and so he did, and it doesn't really make any sense to be angry about people using the power they have to hurt you however they want, but she hates him for it anyway. She wants to punch him, or maybe cut his head off, or maybe rip his eyes out, or maybe just scream at all of the gods who are so obsessed with him that he's a self-important teenage idiot, that he's nothing special among his people and only very coincidentally of any interest to theirs, that he's a cleric (a fourth circle cleric!) of Abadar, who is nonetheless too careless to realize that he owns his trading partners like chattel, and that any talk of paying them is farcical, and that in general he deserves to be in the same stupid, awful position as the rest of them, and not only doesn't have the basic residual humanity to feel embarrassed about his wholly undeserved position, he doesn't even notice that it's undeserved. Hasn't even noticed that he's an incredibly shitty teacher, even though he's been trying to cram months of lessons into them in a matter of weeks, because he ASSUMES that adults can learn things that much faster than children, even though they CAN'T, there's NO reason to think they could, they can't do it with languages and they PROBABLY CAN'T DO IT WITH MATH EITHER, unless they are GENIUSES who are doing WAY MORE WORK THAN THEY SHOULD HAVE TO DO to make up for his SHITTY ASS TECHNIQUE.

Except that some people can. The other people in this class can.

The only person she hates more than Keltham is herself. Her hatred for herself is blinding, searing, like being shot through with a piece of the sun. She thinks that she might feel a small piece of what Asmodeus feels about her, some tiny percentage of the full weight of the agony of being human, and a not even very impressive human at that.

 

The only thing she can think to do at all is to write something. Not math; she doesn't have any math in her. She has words, ugly and shifting and imprecise and disgusting and human, but Keltham prefers wrong answers to no answers, so she will at least try to give him the stunningly wrong answer that she has.

There are two tables, each of which produces sets of RIGHT and LEFT. She wants to know whether they output the same or different frequencies of LEFTs and RIGHTs. The first thing to note is that, per previous lessons, you can't know; a Civilization experimentalist would, what - they would have multiple possible specific underlying frequencies of LEFT and RIGHT for each source, to be hypotheses, and then calculate the likelihood of getting each specific dataset in each of the worlds where a given possible frequency was the true frequency. And then they would - what - you need to compare them, but you're not supposed to use hypotheses that rely on comparisons between multiple data sets -

That also doesn't use the Rule of Succession, obviously, because she's only dimly aware of what the Rule of Succession even is. It's something to do with breaking the space of possibilities into infinite pieces, which you'd think would allow you to identify the specific hypothesis that is most likely, maybe, for each of the datasets. And then - how would you present it. The most likely frequency, plus how likely this dataset is if you have the true frequency - maybe, although that has as much to do with the size of the dataset as with whether you're right - 

And then given that information, you - you - well, you can at least say how likely it is that the data sets have the same frequency. And then you'd have to... calculate it. Somehow.

 

Her paper is wet.

 

She looks at the calculations in her notes, one last time, and her brain just slides off of them. Might as well be written in Celestial or ancient Azlanti.

She writes her stupid, probably-incoherent verbal description of how a Civilization experimentalist might structure their analysis, doesn't do any actual calculations, buries her head in her arms on her desk, and waits for someone who thinks that the garbage never cries in Taldor to kill her and replace her with someone less distraught. One of the other students will target her later anyway, even if security doesn't.

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Alexandre's Story

So the simple solution is that he lists a set of possible starting theories, doing his limited best to carve up all available regions of idea-space visible to him, then describes which sequences he would consider evidence for each theory, then describe how to compare the relative ratios; again, this is all simple things Keltham taught them. He'll also want to come up with a way to mathematically describe 'all theories have unexpectedly low predictive power'; that ought to be very simple given that Keltham already told them what it looks like...

... The obvious way to note an error is just them getting very different results. In particular, getting results that form very different curves; if it looks like slightly different concentrations along a curve when you combine them, or one of them being thrown by one odd result, those are checkable things, but if, in general, it looks like the thing they are measuring has a different shape, probably the thing they are measuring has a very different shape; if they can’t predict each other, a very plausible outcome is that they aren’t the each other they’re trying to predict, he can put that into math...

And Alexandre will quietly enjoy himself, producing not really a general solution for the problem, because given that individual people will start with their own individual beliefs, many of which they are not explicitly writing down anywhere, he does not think he can do that, but something that, given a little work to turn his neat little descriptions into pseudocode, would work quite well as a computer program for interpreting results and adjusting your priors into posteriors based on them, if any computers happened to exist in Golarion that could run it.

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Dath ilan commentary

...Alexandre's methodology would work great if Golarion had a hypercomputer that could check an infinite variety of infinitary metahypotheses, yes.

It's getting anything done with a finite amount of computation that makes SCIENCE!analysis be nontrivial.


But it sure beats not even knowing how to solve the problem using a hypercomputer, and frankly, not all of the researcher-candidates are getting anywhere near that far.

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Carissa's Story

Carissa should have put these students through more stressful things so they wouldn't be so stressed out by tests. That's a failure of Chelish education having failed to give students something to be more scared of than math -

- unless the problem is that the students are scared of Hell, and therefore not solvable that way? But they're not even sending the rejects to Hell! 

She entertains the temptation to order everyone to believe that they're not going to be executed for math inadequacy, just so that when this situation inevitably happens anyway they'll know it's their own fault for disobeying orders. Somehow, though, it doesn't seem like that would actually fix the problem.

 

Carissa has a headband that amounts to Fox's Cunning all the time, and has taken to preparing three or four Owl's Wisdoms a day; it's an unfair advantage but life, and death, and everything else, are unfair.

Keltham wants a rule for calculating a likelihood ratio between the 'same' theory and the 'not same' theory. 

If they're in fact the same, then she can add up the lefts from both experiments and the rights from both experiments and get odds of left:right of (N1 + N2 + 1):(M1 + M2 +1). If they're different, then the odds for the first experiment are (N1 + 1):(M1 + 1) and the odds for the second experiment are (N2 + 1):(M2 + 1).  

Then to get the propensity from the left:right ratio you have to do that deeply unpleasant thing with the factorials, which is going to make everything else messy. She digs it out of her notes. 

p: M!*N!/(M+N+1)!

p1: M1!N1!/(M1 + N1 + 1)!

p2: M2!N2!/(M2 + N2 + 1)!

pcombo: (M1 + M2)! (N1 + N2)!/ (M1 + M2 + N1 + N1 +1!)

 

Right, okay, so the odds ratio between the SAME and NOT-SAME theories is just pcombo/p1p2. Which looks hideous, (N1+N2)!(M1+M2)!(M1+N1+1)!(M2+N2+1)!/ (N1+N2+M1+M2+1)!M1!N1!M2!N2!, but conceptually it's not all that hideous. 

 

Presumably if you'd done this experiment you'd want to report the actual data, and the counts of 'left' and 'right', and also your likelihood functions on the actual propensities, and then your likelihood function on SAME: DIFFERENT. 

She feels like the third question is getting at something particular, not just as the general principle that if your two data sources are different then you wouldn't want to combine them and treat them as more observations from the same process, but she's not actually sure what in particular. Presumably you could just notice that the dense bits of your likelihood function for each look very different from the dense bits of your likelihood function for the combination, and that if you ever notice that it's a bad sign.  - are they supposed to formalize that? It seems surprisingly hard to formalize, but she does have almost two hours to go....

 

Some of the new students look miserable. To be fair she's not at all sure that without a headband she wouldn't be just as miserable. She's going to - not try to formalize that, she thinks, and instead fold up her notes and hand them in to Keltham and then tilt her head at him invitingly and head to the library.

 

 

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A median dath ilani's Story

The median dath ilani has - by Golarion's standards - some power that Golarion knows not, or aptitude that it knows very little.  It isn't easily captured by the INT score that is measured by Detect Thoughts.  Even if you add in whatever "Wisdom" is measured by Detect Anxieties, there's some residual that isn't measured still.

It's not just about the training the dath ilani undergo in childhood.  No, really, it's not.  They have been doing a lot of mate-selection, and not just since there've been prediction markets about what kind of children would result.

 

If somehow you took the median dath ilani, and exposed them to only a few fragments of Law such as Keltham has already taught, a few stories about cognitive science such as Keltham has already told, if they'd had only that little true education by the time they'd reached adulthood -

- the median dath ilani would still be told of the Law of Succession, and think spontaneously, without any outside prompting, of how you could use that to guess whether two sources were the same or different.  Just look at the scores if you use the Law of Succession twice, separately, versus using the Law of Succession on both of them together.  The difference between those scores is the likelihood ratio for different versus same.

If you get 4 LEFT and 1 RIGHT off one source, and 4 RIGHT and 1 LEFT off another source, then analyzing them separately gives you scores for each of 4!*1!/6! = 1!*4!/6! = 24/720 = obviously 1/30 just look at the factorials.  Analyzing both datasets together gives you 5!*5!/11!, which you can see intuitively is going to end up around 1/1024, minus over a bit for the product being 1/2 * 1/3 * 2/4 * 2/5 * 3/6 * 3/7... instead of just 1/2^(10).  (It's actually 1/2772 if you bother to calculate - not as nightmarish as it looks, you can cancel a lot of factors.)

Point is, you've got a set of two likelihood functions for two separate datasets, versus one likelihood function on the combined dataset, where, if you started with a uniform prior on three propensity spaces, and multiplied by all those likelihood functions, the two separate functions would destroy all but 1/30 of the probability on each of the two separate spaces, and the combined likelihood function would destroy all but 1/2772 of the uniform probability on its own parameter space. 

It's not to the point where if you literally pulled a coin and flipped it 5 times twice, you'd conclude shenanigans from seeing 4 LEFT and 1 RIGHT the first time, versus 1 RIGHT and 4 LEFT the second time.  That's just a likelihood ratio of 1/900 vs. 1/1024.

But if the problem is more mysterious than that?  If you are less certain at the start that your data is coming from a single source across both cases?  Then you'd be looking at an update of more like 2772:900 ~ 3:1 that they were two separate sources, after that.  If it wasn't pretty plausible to start, it's not plausible yet now, after so little data.  If you were already pretty suspicious, you're now quite noticeably more suspicious, though.

 

The median dath ilani - even given only such education as Keltham has already provided - fewer hints than that, even - would spontaneously generalize the principle of taking alarm if two experiments seemed to have nonoverlapping likelihood functions.

Suppose the likelihood functions are over a simple hypothesis space - such that likelihood functions form clouds naturally visible in that space - such that there is a natural way to informally see boundaries around narrow subvolumes of the clouds.

You can't say it in an absolute way, apart from some prior and arbitrary concept of how to draw boundaries like that and divide up the space.  You could always throw some random points into an otherwise compact cloud and say that you thought they should be in there.

But informally, it's natural enough to see 376 LEFTs and 624 RIGHTs, look at the likelihood function P(data|propensity=p) = p^376*(1-p)^624, and say, "That cloud has 90% of its density between p=35% and p=40%."

If you widen to the amount between p=30% and p=45%, that's 99.9999% of the likelihood density.

And then let's say that you run a different experiment, and it turns up 602 LEFTs and 398 RIGHTs.

Informally - for there is no way to say it formally, without introducing an arbitrary note of subjectivity; we are looking to cues that the data gives us to look outside our hypothesis space, and there is a limit to how much you can ever formalize that, without invoking enough Law to create a mortal from scratch - informally, you look at that and say "No way in superheated toilet paper are those the same two data sources".  The overlap of the two clouds in likelihood-space is virtually zero.  They have each eliminated practically all of the probability from any hypothesis that could non-stupidly account for the other, and those two different stories cannot exist in the same world.

You do not "combine the data from the two experiments to estimate the parameter".  No, not even in sane worlds where all you do to combine the analyses from two experiments is just multiply their two likelihood functions together.  Sure, you can multiply p^376*(1-p)^624 by p^602*(1-p)^398 and get p^978*(1-p)^1022, but you obviously shouldn't do that.  The first trial concentrates 99.9999% of its survivability between propensities of 0.30 and 0.45, and the second concentrates 99.9995% of its survivability between 0.53 and 0.67.  There's no overlap between what the two datasets say are the livable regions of the parameter space.

These two experiments were not conducted with the same world feeding them their answers, though, ultimately, they were conducted inside the same greater Reality.  Something is wrong in one place or both.

It's just one of those things that, like, is incredibly important to doing real Science! and jumps directly out at you, once you start thinking about experimental reports in terms of likelihoods, which, in fact, the median dath ilani will do even if nobody explicitly tells them so and even if their entire world tries to tell them otherwise.

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Asmodia's Story

Did Asmodia always have that strange thing in her, that the median dath ilani possesses?  Did she have it before Otolmens touched her?  Did she have it before her hour-long epiphany wearing an artifact headband?

Whatever that strange quality is, Asmodia has it now, somehow, outside of dath ilan.

And if she is not a dath ilani yet - not any kind of ilani, for being so untrained - she is now recognizably an untrained ilani.

Point being, Asmodia already thought through all of Keltham's questions earlier, during the Law of Succession lecture.  He'd certainly hinted heavily enough that he was going to ask questions in those directions.  Practically spelled it out, even.

Asmodia writes down all the obvious stuff.  Thinks a bit more.

Writes down some speculations about, well, maybe you could also update the Rule of Succession on the first data-bunch, ask how well it expected to score, and then further-update the Rule on the second data-bunch to see if it scored around that well; and also do the reverse; and if in either case the further-updated Rule scored much more poorly than it expected to score after the first update, that might indicate a problem.

But it's not really a three-hour question?  Is she missing something?  If she's not missing something, Asmodia is sort of worried about how much Keltham is softballing the new researchers, here.  This seems like really basic and obvious Law of Probability.  What's the catch?

She spends a while staring at her paper, but when Carissa Sevar hands in her own version, Asmodia sort of quietly sighs to herself, and hands in her own as Keltham walks out with Sevar.

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...Security notifies the Chosen of Asmodeus that Korva Tallandria seems to have broken down in tears in the middle of the classroom, thankfully after the Chosen left with Keltham.  Is this happening inside alterCheliax?  If it happened in alterCheliax they'd - probably tell Keltham, right?  And if it's not happening in alterCheliax, everybody in the classroom needs to be told it hasn't.

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- huh. 

 

It doesn't seem inherently implausible that a student in Taldor would start crying. Some of the kidnapped Taldane students cry. However, Keltham will probably go talk to Tallandria, if he learns this, and that seems like a situation where a slip-up might happen. Presumably she's being mind-read? Is she in any state to talk with Keltham if he shows up wanting to talk to her?

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Tallandria is currently experiencing an amount of self-hatred that seems appropriate for somebody as pathetic as herself?  She's currently imagining being shot through with pieces of the sun until only the tiny fraction of her that isn't pathetic remains, and feeling out whether she could learn to be okay with being a paving stone.

Given that she's crying in the first place, in front of the other students, and that this is incredibly incredibly bad for her self-interest, Security is concerned that Tallandria wouldn't be able to run Bluff on Keltham even though her soul depends on it.

Dominate Person?  Toss her to Subirachs for attempted reforging?  They also haven't tried flogging Tallandria until her morale improves, which would be the first resort anywhere sensible if they're not pretending to be fucking Taldor.

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How about they don't tell Keltham about this, and tell the other students it's not the case in alter-Cheliax, and pull her out an hour before time's up to see if she can be put back into condition to Bluff Keltham.

 

Also they should loop in Asmodia, who she thinks liked Tallandria.

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...should Asmodia possibly be going back in and telling Tallandria that she's at least got a place working on Asmodia's Wall, if Keltham doesn't want her?  Tallandria was pretty helpful about analyzing Nobility Equilibria after she was called in.

Asmodia is mostly worried because she doesn't know if she'd be sabotaging Tallandria even further by telling her that, which is why Asmodia hasn't said it already.  Does Sevar know how people work?

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Well, it seems hard to sabotage the girl any harder, plus even if she pulls it together and figures out the math they probably don't want to allow someone with composure problems to have Keltham-contact anyway, so Asmodia might as well go in and say it.

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Right.  Asmodia will go write down "If Keltham doesn't hire you, I'm planning to assign you to work on my Wall" on a piece of paper and hand that to Korva.  She's not sure if Korva is in shape to hear a Message that's spoken once and can't be reread.

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Korva lifts her head up and reads the paper.

 

It makes sense. She's shit at math, evidently, but she dimly remembers that she also gave herself even odds of failing out last night, and she was planning to perfectly calmly angle for a support position of some kind - maybe writing out Keltham's lessons in a form that somewhat dimmer people have a prayer of understanding, once she's put more hours in and figured out what's going on with them herself. But the shadows that real things cast on other pieces of reality - she's good at that. And she'll learn things, which is the sort of thing that might make her soul non-worthless again.

The biggest immediate problem now, then, is the crying. Which - well, from a wall perspective it's not a problem? She knows, on about two seconds' thought, exactly why her alter-self is crying, and she could probably bluff Keltham dead, about this particular thing. Which is convenient, because she still feels much nearer dead than she'd like.

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...Security will relay to the Chosen that Tallandria seems much more together immediately after reading Asmodia's note.

(Possibly the newbies still don't, like, particularly believe Sevar about some things?  Maybe it's time to start using mind-control on them, Security does not see how Sevar could have made herself any clearer.)

Tallandria is thinking particularly that she could bluff Keltham about why she's crying.  Tallandria's thoughts went immediately to particular stories that seem reasonable to Security, and about how her general composure will seem more consistent later with her having had a breakdown now.  Possibly relevant if they want to tell Keltham now that Tallandria's broken down, and... tell him one less lie, he supposes?

(This Security has never had an easy time intuiting the exact outlines of Sevar's 'minimize lies' policy, and is just throwing everything to her.)

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Conspiracies are probably more likely to cover up crying breakdowns which they could easily cover up than to not do that, so it earns them some points, if Tallandria's bluff is really good enough, especially in light of the fact that the Taldor girls do sometimes have crying breakdowns. 

 

Hit her with a splendor, just in case, and then tell Keltham.

 

....she should ask Subirachs about the idea of using Suggestion to make all her underlings believe she's not going to have them permanently reduced to rubble for no reason. It's very appealing but maybe there's some reason this isn't standard which isn't just the cost of the Suggestions.

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Among the few things that dath ilan has in common with Cheliax, is that it takes a fair amount to make an adult dath ilani break down in tears in public.  Math tests won't do it, even math tests with their future careers at stake.

When Keltham allowed himself to cry about how a hundred and fifty million people weren't going to die for his having entered their world, he sent Carissa out of the room first.  Not from thinking that he was doing something bad that must be hidden - Keltham did not try to hide from her afterwards that it had happened.  But their relationship being so new, he wasn't sure how the alien might emotionally brain-update about him if she witnessed it directly; and that anxiety played into a different social convention out of dath ilan, that he and Carissa hadn't yet had the conversation that you have before you cry in front of someone, or show other signs of great emotional distress.

Dath ilani do not break down and weep in front of strangers.  It's not that they hide weakness.  It's that you don't lay that on someone who hasn't agreed to do emotional labor about you.

If it happens anyways, something is really wrong, wrong on a scale that transcends bothering all of the people around you.

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Keltham will listen to the Security notification with a deer-in-glarelamp expression, and then turn to ask Carissa for advice.  In particular, should they possibly go get Maillol.  Maillol seems like he might know how to handle this situation.

Sure, as Founder, this is his responsibility, possibly even his fault.  It doesn't mean Keltham actually knows how to handle this situation worth a noodle.

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" - I don't know that you have to handle it? Maillol has experience commanding teenagers, so I guess he'd be the person to ask if you want to ask somebody, but the emotional wellbeing of every person here isn't your responsibility. In dath ilani companies if an employee of yours started crying would that be your job to solve?"

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He's the Founder.  Everything is his job to, at the very least, make sure somebody is solving.  If there's no one person whose job it is, then it's Keltham's job.

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" - all right. Let's go ask Maillol. Emotional support and guidance is normally a priest sort of job anyway."

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Keltham's reflexes out of Civilization do not particularly call for him to walk places to talk to emergency responders during mental health emergencies!  That's what phones or Security are for!  He'll start striding quickly towards the classroom while asking Security to have Maillol meet them there.  Is the situation in the classroom currently stable?

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...yes, Asmodia happened to be nearby and took temporary responsibility for Tallandria.

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(...he would've guessed Ione, failover to Pilar, especially since Asmodia had already handed in her work.

Slightly confusing but not obviously important, possibly indicates something along the lines of 'Asmodia asked Security to keep a lookout for anything she could impressively assume responsibility for handling'.  No obvious Conspiracy correlates.

Keltham is noticing it simply because he is trained to notice confusion.)

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DON'T LIE to Keltham don't even ambiguously lie to Keltham!!!!! We don't have protocols for 'mental health emergencies' because even alter!Cheliax doesn't have those!!! Asmodia seems to be trying to be helpful to Tallandria, fine, Asmodia DID NOT follow some established taking-responsibility procedure!!!! 

 

 

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Security clarifies, in case Keltham was getting the wrong impression here, that Cheliax doesn't actually have any standard procedures like Security is sure Civilization has, and Asmodia isn't trained in anything like he's sure Civilization does.  Security doesn't particularly know what to do either when somebody bursts into tears but isn't violent.  It's not really a Security issue per se.

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Yes, thank you, it wasn't very much of a ray of hope but it was hope and something needed to destroy it.

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Carissa, snap horrible decision before they get there, does she think Tallandria is still worth hiring?

Tallandria would've been on his list as a tier-2 even if she'd completely failed the exam, tier-1 if she'd done okay on it.  But at least in Civilization, this would be a symptom of somebody who ends up requiring tons of emotional support, and being a distraction, and it would be a famously bad idea to have her in your high-pressure startup.  'You mostly can't improve people, you can only filter them,' goes the proverb out of dath ilan.  Mainly if somebody can't handle the pressures of Civilization you want to encourage them to go to a Quiet City, or the Future, depending, and not have more kids who can't handle Civilization.  But somebody in Governance thought Tallandria would be a good pick for the Project, for some reason, presumably, and she did do well in chemistry.

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"I think you should not hire her, because she started crying in the middle of an exam. This project already started a godwar. It's - not a reasonable expectation of people who are emotionally fragile, to handle the sort of things that are going to happen well. And - it'd plausibly disqualify her from taking the Worldwound oath, if it'd happened before that, and that's the - benchmark our society has, for people who can handle really really serious things..."

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That's what he figured.

Nobody tell Tallandria that she didn't even need to pass the exam, unless it somehow seems like a very good idea for her to learn that fact.

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Message to Korva:

Tallandria, I've been informed that Keltham is sending Maillol in to escort you out.  That's going to happen here exactly the way it would in alter-Cheliax, even without Keltham present, so everybody can see it and have the same story inside their minds.

Keep in mind that you're useful to me, even if to nobody else.  I don't intend to let you end up as a paving stone, ever, if you serve me well.

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Why the fuck would Maillol escort her - well, if Keltham thought that was a reasonable thing to do, then sure, but why the fuck did Keltham think that that was a reasonable thing to do. Why did people even tell Keltham.

- not the point. She'll go. She's not crying much anymore, although her makeup is messed up and her face is still kind of red and puffy, and her heart rate might be spiking despite the assurance.

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Ferrer Maillol will enter the classroom, wordlessly looking sad and grandfatherly, and hold out a gentle hand to Korva Tallandria.  His body posture indicates without words that it's time for her to go.


Possibly Lady Avaricia has Sense Motive high enough to see through his Bluff.  Definitely nobody else, even with everybody in the entire classroom getting the bonus from knowing with certainty it's a bluff.

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Korva is mostly confused about why everyone (including Keltham, apparently), has decided that this is worthy of a crown fucking trial. In places that aren't Cheliax people do, actually, cry in only moderately stressful situations sometimes.

She'll go with Maillol just fine, though, and try to stay very firmly in the mindset of her alter-self, who is also confused about why people are having a crown trial about this, and is additionally really embarrassed. As opposed to her real self, who would probably be terrified if she were allowed to have emotions right now.

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Asmodia picks up Korva's exam paper - Keltham will no doubt want to see it, it's data about what sort of person fails like this - and follows Korva out.

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Damn, Alexandre wishes he could lie like Maillol. Well. He'll get there some day. (Lord Asmodeus willing.)

Goodbye, Korva Tallandria, down in flames and no one to blame but yourself. One day when you're a paving stone in Hell, Korva, you may know that Alexandre Esquerra once thought of you as his most formidable rival. Briefly. Now to see how the rest of the class burns out.

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Keltham is here in case Korva Tallandria has anything she wants to say to him.  Otherwise, she can go with Maillol.

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Well, she's in the middle of being escorted away by Maillol, for some reason, so it's not going to occur to her that Keltham might want her to interrupt that to say anything to him, especially since a student breaking down in tears isn't a big deal, and he probably has more important things to deal with. But she'll wipe her eyes, smile, and half-laugh at herself, sadly, because that's what she intuitively feels like she would do if she were moderately embarrassed about being a crybaby in front of Keltham in a situation where the stakes for being a crybaby aren't actually that high.

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It'd be more reassuring if he knew the likelihood ratios from different internal states of possible mental health emergencies to an 'eye wipe, smile, and half-laugh'.

He'll nod at her in reply, and watch her go.

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Fun fact!  Dath ilan has zero customs whatsoever against somebody leaving in the middle of a math exam, if they notice they're about to burst into tears but are otherwise still able to act as an agent in the world!  Who would even be able to stop them?

Obviously Korva Tallandria was too disabled to leave under her own power.  Or didn't trust herself to do that, and waited for escort while staying where other people could see her, despite knowing that would cost them in distraction and possible emotional distress of their own.

Just saying, here.

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"How does this affect Tallandria's hiring chances?" Asmodia asks, because obviously nobody's told her anything about anything.

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"Negatively.  Why do you ask?  Also, any particular reason you were called to assume temporary responsibility there?"

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"I'd been tutoring Korva up until that point and thought she had a lot of promise."

"I want to hire her myself, same arrangement as you made with Yaisa.  Well, different job, obviously."

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"Common wisdom out of Civilization would say that you're possibly getting sucked into somebody else's emotional spiral of doom, shouldn't try to fix people unless you are personally an actual professional people-fixer, and that there's a dozen obvious traps here that I wouldn't expect anybody in Golarion to understand.  Those include the most compassionate workplaces implicitly defiltering to get the most dysfunctional people who couldn't get jobs anywhere else, and compassionate people training people to malfunction by rewarding them with support and companionship when they do."

"I'm not going to veto directly.  Talk to Maillol, though.  I predict he'll be against it, and if he says no you'll have a constipation of a time persuading me to say yes."

"I suppose I should ask what you'd hire her to do, though."

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"Possibly, help put my math lessons into a form where people who are neither Keltham nor Carissa Sevar nor Asmodia can understand them.  I had that thought even before her breakdown over math specifically."

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"You could potentially hire, say, Jacme, for that, and not risk getting sucked into somebody else's emotional spiral of doom."

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"I expect Korva to be better at it."

"Are you vetoing this?"

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"No.  It wouldn't actually be my choice in Civilization, who you get to hire, and I'm reluctant to exercise whatever further power I have here.  Delegating to Maillol, mostly, whether he still wants her around in this fortress."

"I know that I don't understand terribly well how things work in Cheliax, know that I may be making a lot of wrong inferences based on how things would work in Civilization, and do have any inhibitions against ripping a life-rope out of somebody else's hands when somebody else is throwing them one."

"Just - be careful, Asmodia.  In Civilization this would potentially be the start of a story about the grim doomfate of Asmodia.  Not in a tropes way, a reality way.  You'd better not be Evil enough to take her on out of compassion unless you're very sure that you're Evil enough to cut her loose.  Next on the list of proverbial traps here is that if somebody doesn't want to go to a Quiet City, or Hell, I guess in this case, and you're the only place they have to stay that isn't that, that's a trap for you as much as for them.  And neither of you are likely to be happy in the trap together."

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" - to me this all sounds like dath ilan desperately trying to implement patches for having bred their population for Good incredibly aggressively for generations, where Chelish people will simply fire someone if they are not an asset in a typical week, and not hang out with them if they are unpleasant to hang out with. Asmodia, if Korva's not actually very good at this but cries on you about how you're the first person to ever be nice to her, are you going to be conflicted emotionally about hiring Jacme instead?"

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"I won't be, and I'm confident of that," alterAsmodia states honestly, and, so far as she knows, in green.


Asmodia doesn't wonder whether that claim has become unreliable, now, for her, until after the words leave her lips.

She doesn't take them back after.  There are limits to how much of her heresy she's willing to show openly.

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Carissa does not like how much of this situation was unpredictable to her - why'd Tallandria break down, why's Keltham taking it this strongly -

- but she thinks that Keltham arriving at the strongly-held stance that you should as a matter of principle never inconvenience yourself to keep someone else out of Hell/Quiet Cities (what an ominous name) is a positive development on the whole though she really really wishes she had more of a handle on all of the moving parts.



"I think it's a good idea to have Maillol looking out just in case, but - Cheliax doesn't have that conventional wisdom and in this specific case I think it's because making that error would be incredibly rare. In Good countries you get - people living sad small lives so they can care for their aging parents and disabled siblings who don't care to go on to Heaven yet. Here kids are raised better.

 

- also people here might...cry more...I wouldn't want her in my unit at the Worldwound because sometimes your friends who don't have a resurrection arranged will get killed in front of you and you need to be able to keep doing your job, I wouldn't want her on the Project because sometimes we get attacked by Kuthites and have to take a sword for Keltham, but I don't particularly expect incompetence in jobs that definitely don't require those things." A lie, but one she's pretty sure is true in Taldor, going off observed crying frequency of kidnappedrescued Taldane girls.

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"Like I said.  Leaving it to Maillol to decide if it's okay for her to be in the fortress."

He'll wait until Asmodia is gone before mentioning to Carissa - by Message, because he doesn't particularly want Security to hear - that you might have thought Keltham's dad would have been one of the more relatively selfish people in dath ilan, but Keltham's dad still got caught in a trap like that anyways, for three years or so, before Keltham's dad met Keltham's mom.

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- hand-squeeze. 

 

She honestly has no idea what exactly this supposed trap is but - maybe it's revealing too much, to say that. 

"May I ask you for a favor?"

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"You can ask, and I can take responsibility for saying no if I don't want to, because if even I can't do that, it's embarrassing for Civilization in front of Golarion."

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"If I am ever making you sad, and you think you'd be better off not dating me, leave. If I cannot expect you to be that Evil I'm going to be worried all the time."

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"Think that falls under the category of if I can't, it's my own fault, no?  By Chelish standards."

"It's - obviously what I'd try to do?  I wouldn't want to do that to you either.  You are not the sort of person my dad got temporarily doomtrapped with.  But it's hard to promise anything for certain when you're afraid your 'genes' might predispose you to a mistake."

"I'll tell Ione she's the one person responsible for calling me out on it, if she thinks that's happening anyways."

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"If you do that it's your own fault. Anyone would agree. 

 

But I'd like to cry on you, when you push me that far, and not wonder if I'm causing you to make some kind of mistake your overly-Good society bred you for.

Probably Ione would catch it."

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"Totally different kind of tears, Carissa, unless I'm very mismodeling one of you or Tallandria."

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Korva is pretty sure that Maillol's office lives more in real Cheliax than in alter-Cheliax, so she allows her real self to have some thoughts, though it's still not - well, actually, the emotion her real self seems to want to feel is the kind of quiet clarity she gets when the internal screaming breaks off to make way for thoughts that matter again, so sure, her real self can have emotions again, if it's going to be responsible with them.

Her honest assessment of herself is that she obviously fucked up the math test, but she acted in ways that were perfectly resonant with how alter-Korva would have acted. Nobody else acted how she expected their alter-selves to act, though, except for Asmodia, so she suspects that project leadership is going to have a much dimmer view of her guesses at what alter-Korva would have been doing, and she's going to need to course-correct, if they let - well, Asmodia said she was stealing her, so she probably should actually figure out what the appropriate course correction is and not worry about the scenarios in which that's a pointless exercise.

She bows her head, clasps her hands, and waits for instruction.

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Real Maillol has no particular reason to speak to this failure.  Apparently Asmodia wants her for something, so any useful conversations are pending on Asmodia.

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Asmodia will be there soon enough!

"Highpriest Maillol, Keltham is leaving it to your alter-self to talk me out of my intent to employ Korva Tallandria, citing it as your own decision whether Korva can stay in the fortress."

"Is your alter-self opposed to this sufficiently that alter-Asmodia couldn't talk him out of it?"

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"Think my alter-self would plausibly tell you that he was monitoring the situation and stood ready to withdraw his permission for Tallandria to be there at any time."

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"Sir, I'm not asking you what your alter-self would plausibly say, I'm asking you what your alter-self would say.  Keltham thinks in probabilities, not places where you definitely wouldn't -"

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"Good catch."

"I think my alter-self is a little tougher to talk around to this, if you don't have a better excuse than Tallandria possibly helping to write your math curriculum.  Unless she can actually do that."

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"Security said she thought she could.  I am far more confident in her ability to contribute to my Wall, however, that’s why I actually want her."

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"Asmodia, we're not actually discussing whether Tallandria can work on your wall, we're discussing whether or not Keltham knows she's still in the fortress."

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"Yes, sir."

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"Not sure what kind of mistake you were making there.  Smells a bit like alter-Cheliax becoming too real for you.  Whatever it is, fix it."

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"Acknowledged, sir."

"Tallandria, is there Keltham-visible work alter-Tallandria could do, that would talk alter-Maillol into letting me keep you around?  For that matter, does real-Tallandria even want to be visibly still here?"

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"Alter-Tallandria can, in fact, write expanded versions of Keltham's math curriculum, which will be useful if the project ever scales up enough to require employees who aren't our top dozen people. I would like to remain here and attend your lectures and any other math review lectures given by other researchers, even if I can't attend Keltham's, since it'll help with that goal."

She's... also baffled as to why crying during a math test would lead to expulsion from the compound, but that seems more like a Wall question.

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"Mm.  Not actually easy to figure out alter-Maillol here.  My first reaction... it took alter-Asmodia around eight minutes to argue him into that, assuming she was being stubborn enough about it, and then alter-Maillol told her fine but Tallandria had better be producing and not causing any more fuss."

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"Has Keltham ever seen you take eight minutes to be argued into anything and then change your mind about it?  Real-Maillol tends to weigh things up quickly and -"

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"All right, fair catch again.  It can be hard not to think of alter-Maillol as weaker, and yes I get that Keltham doesn't see him that way."

"You spent - let's say about as long as this actually took - and then I made my snap decision that I was going to let you try it, let you fuck up if that was what happened, and let you get hurt enough to learn a lesson but not enough to affect your job performance before I intervened."

"She's all yours, Asmodia.  Real-Cheliax too.  Note that Security reports Tallandria was thinking we're fucking up alter-Cheliax realism by even having this be a notable deal there, you might want to debrief her on that."

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"Keltham definitely also thought it was a large deal, but I'll prioritize asking Tallandria about what the web of connections is like there and what Keltham might figure out later."

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Asmodia will then take Korva away, to the other side of the fortress, the hidden side, to her Wall.

She has a new pet now!

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Well, that certainly could have gone worse.

Korva will follow Asmodia out, and then wait to speak until spoken to. Even if Asmodia was right to see promise in her, she's still going to need to work hard to show her that it wasn't a mistake, after that little performance.

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Asmodia's secret lair has high-quality tea and snacks!  She is, in fact, a minor Power in this fortress.

After Asmodia has set out some snacks for both of them:

"All right, Korva, tell me about your theory of how everything we did was wrong for alter-Cheliax and what you think needs to be done in the future to be consistent with it."


Asmodia is feeling weirdly cheerful and excited about this!  It's probably having her own pet.  Practically her own slave!

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Moderately deep breath.

"I think it's bizarre that everyone decided to act like it was an emergency, worth the time of both the High Priest and of Keltham himself. In other countries, in other places, I don't think people would have done that - not in a school, anyway, because crying during a difficult test just wouldn't be that uncommon, especially under moderately stressful conditions like the ones that we're operating under. Maybe in the middle of a secret government project, but it still doesn't sound right."

"Apparently Keltham thought that this was a huge deal, too, though. If he's the one who assumed that, and other people followed his lead, well - we've just accidentally confirmed a bunch of things that caused him to make that assumption, without us understanding what those things were, which is sort of terrible. If one of our people decided that it was a huge deal, and Keltham went along with what he was being told - well, I guess in that case we at least have more control over the situation, although we still have to figure out why alter-Cheliax is like that."

"I am totally baffled at the idea that crying during a test would lead to expulsion from the compound. I didn't even think we were allowed to leave the compound after failing out, the other dropouts are all still here. I have no idea what his model is of why silently crying during a math test might make someone a danger to keep in the same building, and if we have any more information on that, then I want it, because I don't have it now. I'm also baffled that everyone involved would make that snap judgement without at any point asking what caused the crying fit, instead of assuming, although maybe the alter version of the High Priest was expected to ask about that, and maybe he did."

"I was expecting everyone to pretty much ignore the crying. I thought Keltham might ask about it, in which case I was prepared to give him an explanation of why alter-Korva was crying. I really didn't expect it to go any further than that. I think that in most places - including Taldor, and including Cheliax of the past - teenage girls actually just cry sometimes, and this is moderately embarrassing for them if they do it in a serious situation, but it's not much of an update about them at all, besides, yep, that sure is a teenage girl, and in some situations it isn't even that."

"Now, of course, we have to find out what Keltham thinks happened. If we were following his lead - well, we want as much information as we can get about what his thought process was, then, so we can determine whether to correct it - if it makes assumptions about the way people are here that are going to turn out to be wildly, obviously wrong if he ever interacts with people who haven't been carefully screened for being the most emotionally stable people we have, or for that matter if any of the other current students here ever have similar emotional reactions to Keltham's math tests, which doesn't seem impossible - or whether and how to confirm whatever assumptions he made about me, and by extension the rest of us. If he was following our lead, then... gods, I still need to know why he thought the High Priest might expel me from the compound. But I suppose we could, hmmm... well, he did warn us that some of researchers might go insane, or had gone partially insane already. Is it possible that everyone assumed that that was happening to me and reacted in line with how they've been reacting to other events in that bucket, or with how they would have wanted to react to those situations with hindsight?"

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"Hold on, let me get a transcript en route."


Asmodia goes outside to page Security, she needs a transcript of this whole situation from the start, urgent priority since situation may be ongoing and recovery may be required.

(And strike the section of transcript where Keltham says Korva was slated to be hired even if she failed the math test; that's not vital info to Korva's understanding, and they don't need one more lie to Keltham / Korva doesn't need one more thing to conceal from Keltham that she knows.)

Advise Sevar that there's a question in progress about how likely students are in alter-Cheliax to cry during math tests, and whether somebody is going to need to tell Keltham at some point that something he thought was happening, was not happening, but we're still in the middle of figuring out what was happening.

When Asmodia is back:  "I think I'm going to recommend to Sevar that we not lean as heavily on the Taldor framework in the future, or at least, not tell newcomers so much that's what we're doing."

"This isn't as bad as the case where Avaricia suddenly decided she knew all about how nobility in Taldor worked and therefore she must be authorized to act a particular way.  You needed to improvise and you only improvised as much as necessary, good job on that, but still."

"People need to stop thinking that, if they know how something in Taldor works, they know how it works in alter-Cheliax."

"Alter-Cheliax is clearly not in fact Taldor.  Even a short visit to the Facility showed me that relatively educated women in Taldor have much worse Bluff than we've already shown Keltham in upper-tier Ostenso wizard students.  Keltham already knows that incoming students are accustomed to showing very tight emotional control by dath ilani standards, and that he has to repeatedly tell students to give him any feedback on how he's doing."

"That's probably not why he thought a big emergency was going on, but nonetheless, he already knows it."

"It's occurring to me that people - know which reality they all live in, and agree on that, because they spend years inside it together, and what we have here is a situation of everybody trying to improvise pieces of reality.  Telling people that we sometimes take inspiration from Taldor is one thing, but it's just not true that when you know something true about Taldor you know something that's authorized to say here."


Asmodia is weirdly not more-panicked-than-usual about this, the way she'd normally be?  Maybe because she has a minion to help her now!

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"I think there are a lot of problems with the Taldor framing, yes. In this case I think the crying thing is more general - I think that lots of places have people occasionally cry in stressful situations, including the real Cheliax. Reasoning being that I am from the real Cheliax, and I started crying. That makes me pathetic, by our standards and perhaps by Keltham's, and we can give Keltham a story that's consonant with that, but I think there must be a way to make it consistent. The big problems are - if Keltham later sees me acting in a way that isn't consonant with what he assumed we all agreed that my mental state was, or if someone else starts crying later in a way that makes Keltham suspect that it's actually less of an emergency than he assumed, which seems - unlikely, but not so unlikely that it isn't a way that we could get unlucky, in a project where everyone is operating at this level of stress."

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Security brings in the transcript, which Asmodia quickly skims.  It includes more of Korva's thoughts than Asmodia had seen before, but not, unfortunately, Keltham's.

Resigning herself to being a paving stone?  Ouch.  That's - bringing up bad memories of, like, all of Asmodia's entire life before the Gardens of Erecura which Asmodia has mostly been trying to forget about of late, as is probably healthy for her since alter-Asmodia doesn't have those memories anyways.


"All right, new read on this whole situation, Security speculated that Keltham was supposed to be notified in alter-Cheliax, probably because they thought it was a, large event, as it would in fact be in Cheliax, also because Keltham has previously been pretty unhappy about not being told things, Keltham was told but not in a way that signaled it was a large event, Keltham reacted to it as a large event, Keltham asked Sevar what she thought about it, Sevar thought it was a large event."

"Maillol hasn't told Keltham at any point in this transcript that he thought it was a big deal.  Maillol may have acted or emoted in a way that doesn't show up in the transcript, I'll have it checked with him.  But this situation may be partially recoverable if Maillol calls back Keltham asking Keltham why he thought this was a major emergency.  If we think that's a good idea."


Asmodia passes Korva the (briefly censored) transcript.

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She reads it.

"Hm. 

"If he thinks I'm having some particular pattern of 'emotional spiral of doom' - I'm not sure I can act consistently with that, not knowing what it is, which makes it risky to keep me around anyplace where he can see me. The safest thing to do in the short term is going to be to remove me from anywhere that he can make direct observations of me, let him think that nothing more complicated than his existing hypothesis actually happened, although that might break down if he does decide to ask further questions about the specific reasons for it. There are longer-term risks from confirming everything he thinks is happening and then letting him see some other element of human behavior here that comes into conflict with it, but I'm not sure whether those are outweighed by the amount of mistakes people might make in the recovery - the high priest would have to have a strong sense of what happened in alter-Cheliax and why his alter-self's assessment of it is, if we want to take that route, which might be just as fraught."

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"The safest thing is to figure out what we're doing in alter-Cheliax and do exactly that.  Every time we ask what's safe for the Conspiracy, we act like the Conspiracy."

"Right now, in alter-Cheliax, it sounds like maybe Maillol is gently talking to you with his great Asmodian priestly competence at that, like the expert emergency response personnel that he is, finding out what really happened.  He definitely didn't talk for five minutes, and then snap-approve me taking responsibility for you so that he could get you out of his office."

"We need to figure out what really happened in alter-Cheliax, and then we need to figure out what alter-Cheliax tells Keltham about that.  It's fine if that contradicts whatever theory Keltham has now.  What it has to not do is contradict the way he's seen Maillol, Sevar, myself, Security, you, act about it."

"The naive Conspiracy plays along with whatever Keltham believes.  The real alter-Cheliax, the alter-Cheliax that's true to itself, the alternate plane of existence where there's an actual alter-Cheliax if there is such a thing - the real alter-Cheliax doesn't play along."

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"Okay. What I was thinking at the time was - I misbudgeted my time last night, spent too much time and mental energy that I didn't have on things that weren't making sure I had the Rule of Succession down pat. I did some work with the Rule of Succession during breakfast, but I wasn't getting it and I was getting frustrated. Then we got the test, and I knew I didn't know how to do it, and - I guess I panicked, panicked in some really specific way that meant I was fine at some kinds of thinking but stopped being able to read math. I don't know how to explain it better than that. I realized that I was going to turn in something totally worthless, and I wouldn't get the job."

"That's all green, what really happened. Now, specifically in alter-Cheliax - alter-Korva had gotten her hopes up about getting the job. Her older sister died in the last year, and she's still grieving it. She'd been hoping that if she was hired, she would be able to make the money necessary to buy her a resurrection, and get her back. The grief hit her fresh again, when she realized it couldn't be fixed, combined with the knowledge that it was her own fault for being stupid and making dumb mistakes. She realized she was crying, and she put her head down about it."

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"Older sister real?  Keltham - I can't predict if he'd try to rez her once he's got a spare 10,000gp, but we need to be ready if he does."

"Also if she's not real, veto because we're not being faithful to the Probability of dead sisters."

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"Real older sister, really dead. But I don't think we should use the real one; the real one was executed for apostasy, not dead of consumption like alter-Korva's, and we can't trust her to take orders. I do have a cousin about the same age who really did die of consumption; plausibly we could use her, or maybe a completely different actress if we think that people who have actually been in Hell for a few years are going to be harder to control in the relevant ways. Which seems... possible, given we're lying about what Hell is like."

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"No shit, Korva.  Your alter-sister is doing great in Hell and you're in no hurry to rez her.  If you accumulate enough money and pull working for me that you can actually rez her, and you feel like doing that, do it off the books where Keltham can't see."

"Do we - think that someone in alter-Cheliax, Korva in alter-Cheliax, doesn't break down in tears just because they can't get the job?  They also need a dead sister they were hoping to rez?  If you're telling the complete truth about what drove you to a breakdown here - and if you were foolish enough to be concealing anything else, you'd better unconceal it right now, because there will be a Security check later - then it's just true that you encountered a stressor large enough to break you in real-Cheliax.  Any time we can go with something very close to the real story, we usually try to do that, because it often has a ring of realness to it that a more dramatic story lacks."

"The stakes for getting the job are higher in realCheliax, but people in alter-Cheliax suffer less crippling penalties for breaking down in tears.  Plausibly that balances out."

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"No, I didn't cover why I started crying in real Cheliax. In real Cheliax, I also realized that I wasn't going to get the job, but in real Cheliax I thought that meant both being kicked off of the project and being required to stay in the compound not doing anything else, or else be killed and sent directly to Hell. And - I didn't feel like I'd learned enough, being mortal, I felt that I would look very worthless in terms of real skills to the devils in Hell, and that they wouldn't want me. Not just the way they wouldn't want a project girl; I thought that I had been turned into someone worthless by the project, someone who could have been moderately valuable if I'd just gone to the Worldwound and been a normal wizard, but who was instead going to be frozen at what I knew in young adulthood, because I'd been pulled onto this project and then cast off with nothing else to do with myself, nowhere else to grow. Even if project leadership didn't kill me, I wouldn't be allowed to do anything real, the sorts of things that might have made me more valuable in Hell. And I hated myself, and my circumstances, so much, in that moment, realizing that I wasn't inherently worthless but might have been rendered so, or nearly so, in the last week. That's why I started crying. Because I was upset about what the project might have done to my eternity."

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"I truly don't envy Sevar her own job.  Prediction, Sevar's going to have an additional lecture about this, where she tells everyone how much she is going to make sure anybody in her fortress stays useful to her, including them being tutored in ringmaking or other advanced wizard skills, which Paxti and the others are.  If that's what it takes to get people not to break down on math tests in ways they wouldn't in alterCheliax."

"Prediction, it's still not going to work.  People in Cheliax, their whole previous lives, they're all fucking... I don't even know what word I want to use here.  'Scared', I guess, and the fact that everyone's required to believe they aren't scared means that they can't think about whether or not a situation is actually scary."

"I'm going to try selling Sevar on how much we show everybody else that nothing bad was allowed to happen to you and then maybe at least this crop of newbies will actually fucking believe the Chosen of Asmodeus about fucking anything."


"Which does still leave us the question of whether the job-stressor part and the fear of failing out of the Project and being stuck in the fortress was enough to get to alter-Korva."

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"I don't think so, not on its own. If you're not worried about it hurting your eternity, the fortress isn't a bad place, and alter-Korva doesn't have other reasons to care that much about the money that everyone keeps throwing around. There's probably something, if we've fenced ourselves in everywhere else, but it doesn't ring true to me."

"I do think - if the claim that my alter-self is in no hurry to rez my sister and isn't sad about her death was an order, then I'll take it and work with it, but in case it's the sort of thing I'm supposed to dispute, I think it's wrong. My sister has a young son that she's missing the childhood of, and alter-Korva would miss her, too. People in other countries - even Good countries - do, actually, grieve and feel sad about it when people die, even when they think they went to afterlives where they're having a wonderful time. I think it we build into alter-Cheliax that people don't grieve here, ever, that runs a risk of running into problems, too."

" - also I don't think you can resurrect people who were executed for apostasy, but that's - sorry. Not what we're talking about."

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"It's illegal by default, but if the Project drops spellsilver prices by a factor of ten, I expect that to not be an obstacle to Project Lawful girls.  Well, researchers, if any of the male candidates make it."

"Sevar might overrule me if she sees some way it plays into her own game of corrupting Keltham - like, if she's sure Keltham will choose not to resurrect your sister, and expects that to be good Evil progress - but I am reluctant to make that be the story, given that we can't actually rez your actual sister.  Keltham could ask to scry your sister.  It's a truth that leads into too many other possibly required lies."

"There's nothing else in your life, alter-Korva's life, that she'd have been emotionally attached to doing, if she could only get a million gold pieces to do it with?"

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"No. Not that I've thought of. When Keltham assumed we wanted money I was offended at the wrong assumption; when Pilar told me I'd get a duchy if we won, I was annoyed with her for assuming I would want one. I've been thinking about why alter-Korva was even here, given she couldn't have been kidnapped into it, and I think I can piece together enough half-reasons to justify it, but - not reasons to cry about failing. Not ones I've thought of, other than wanting her sister back.

"I could probably think of some things that people who weren't me might want. They'd be harder to play, if he ever saw me again, because I not only don't want them but am learning that I apparently feel contempt for the idea of wanting most of them."

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"I wish I could be on all of the Telepathic bonds constantly monitoring all of the situations and think quickly enough that in a situation like this I could actually talk the entire thing through with you fast enough to determine that you were not crying in alter-Cheliax."

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Otolmens is not messing with the correctly-thinking mortal AGAIN after what happened LAST TIME.

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"Option one that I've been able to come up with here, alter-Korva is weak, cracked under ordinary pressure."

"Option two, alter-Korva did have something she desperately wanted to do, she doesn't want to talk about it, Security truthspelled her just in case but that doesn't mean the rest of us know.  Mostly, we don't mention that to Keltham because it's private to Korva, we just tell him she hoped too hard.  If Keltham presses, which I predict he won't, Security tells him that it's about your dead sister who committed a murder and got executed over it, it's illegal to bring her back without a Crown order and you thought you could get that by outperforming."

"I predict Sevar vetoes option two, but want to give you a chance to sell that over option one.  I'm halfway inclined to veto it myself. on grounds of how much it sounds like you might be a romantic interest fated to Keltham by unbroken prophecy, like Sevar, which is... one of those complexities we didn't want to try to explain until you'd all mastered the basics.  But I think we may just need to press ahead and explain the tropes tonight, at this point."

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"A - can I -

"You know what, no, I don't think alter-Korva wants to resurrect a sister who committed murder. I think I can manage weak. I am weaker than most Chelish people. If those are our options, that seems like the more plausible option, and if we don't act like it's absolutely unthinkable for largely untested students to turn out to be that weak, under these conditions, then it doesn't even fence us into making it implausible if someone else happens to crack later, too."

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"All right.  We're rather in the middle of a Wall disaster recovery here.  So I'm going to have Sevar updated on what we think was going on, check if she approves a Maillol interrupt."

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Carissa's hanging out with her boyfriend trying to make unforced conversation about unrelated things!

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Keltham will have moved on to unrelated things, then!

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...though probably not without having expanded at least little on concepts like, yep, Carissa sure did call what happens to overly Good people if they try to improvise taking care of other people with mental health problems.  A lot of dath ilan is set up to route people like that into actually adequate situations for them, like Quiet Cities designed not to drive them crazier or unhappier in a hundred subtle ways; or, failing that, make it really clear to them that it's 100% okay if they want to just go into cryonic suspension, their friends and family will be fine, it's not their duty to stick around.

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Maillol knows what he's doing, right?  He should definitely know what he's doing much better than Keltham would.  Keltham can't improvise a handling mechanism better than what Cheliax already has in place.


...at least, Keltham could, possibly, think that, if he didn't know that everything about Golarion was simultaneously broken by his standards and that their mental health system is probably just "Hell takes care of it" which Keltham needs to remember is okay.

And not what he should be focusing on from either a Good or an Evil perspective.  Good says, help all of Golarion and not one person close to you, Evil says, don't make Dad's Mistake.

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But if they are supposed to be talking about unrelated things, Keltham will talk about unrelated things!

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Maillol has decades of experience with helping people deal with shock, grief, death, and so on, at the Worldwound; Keltham probably finds something inadequate about how Golarion handles sad people because has anything not been disappointing to him yet but she really really does not think this is something he could handle well. Also priests are sort of intrinsically comforting, because they're known quantities - Asmodeus chose them, they're going to be predictably His servants. 

- unrelated things.

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Keltham did need to check whether Sevar thought that the level of distraction being imposed on the other researcher-candidates was high enough that it should partially invalidate the test from Keltham's perspective.  His model of Sevar's model said no, but he needs to check with her.  Seriously, like in real life, with respect to how normal researcher-candidates work, not Invincible Carissa or Chelish Dignity should-universe answers.

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- she doesn't think so? Her guess is that they mostly if they noticed at all rather than being absorbed in their math went 'wow that's weird I wonder what went wrong' and then Maillol came in and they figured they didn't need to worry about it. He could give them a little extra time if he wanted. 

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...that doesn't square up with anything else about how Keltham was imagining people or societies worked, but at this point Keltham is just going to wait for Maillol to report back, rather than quiz Carissa about it.

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Here's Maillol!  Looks slightly worn and sad, but not much more so than his usual self.

"Keltham.  I need to ask, do you have particular reason to believe that Tallandria was having - how did you put it - a mental health emergency?  Near as I can tell, Korva Tallandria cracked under test pressure in what seems like a very ordinary way, excepting only that I would've thought a screened candidate for this job would've been tougher than that -"

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"Okay, hold on.  Stop.  Come to a complete halt.  Go into reverse."

"What do you mean, cracked under test pressure in a very ordinary way.  Ordinarily people don't - crack?"

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"Nobody in dath ilan ever bursts into tears while taking a math test?"  Maillol is certain that this happens in Taldor.

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"Possibly if their 'appendix' suddenly bursts, but then you say out loud you're having a medical emergency, you don't - become mentally disabled to the point where you don't even trust yourself to walk out of the room and need to stay around other people who can subdue you if necessary -"

"Okay I think we probably all need to back up and check a lot of basic assumptions.  You first, why would anybody burst into tears while taking a math test?"

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"Korva, sudden emergency question, do people in Taldor just walk out of exam rooms if they're about to cry, because in retrospect, it's incredibly obvious that's what they do in dath ilan unless they're completely disabled."

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"No.  Not unless they're having a bigger breakdown than the crying itself, and outright throwing the test. I'm - not certain but I'm pretty sure, for most tests."

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"Right."

"Well, it's obvious that we were all living in different realities, and now it's time to desperately make like there were only two of those and not three."

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Maillol is trying to explain the underlying patterns of, forget the math part, teenagers breaking down crying during any kind of test in which they don't know the answers and the future of their career is at stake.

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When you don't know the answers and your whole future career is at stake is not a good time to start crying.

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Yes, that is why people who can't master the "not crying on important math tests" life skill are less great candidates for the Worldwound.  Outside the Worldwound the stakes are not that high all the time, and Tallandria apparently hadn't been exposed to any situation this high-stress in her life before.

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Okay, but if it's an actual emergency self-management situation requiring a temporary fix, there's, like, twelve different things anybody could do to switch off or dissociate an emotion...

...none of which anybody in Golarion has any training with, causing them all to have the emotional management options of, like, ten-year-olds, except insofar as they have sheer brute willpower for plowing through anyways.

 

Right.

Updating.

 

Keltham still doesn't get why Tallandria didn't just walk out of the room.

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Because - social conventions are heavily against just walking out of a room during an exam.  It's the sort of thing that gets somebody dropped from their hard-to-get-into wizard academy, and if the rules were any different on Project Lawful, nobody told Tallandria that.

Maillol realizes this may not make sense to Keltham for a while.

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"Carissa, is there a fast explanation here relative to your model of my model?"

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" - probably, like, half of people are the kind of person who has sufficiently poor emotional management skills they start crying during an important test. Maybe six in ten girls, two in ten boys, yes I know that doesn't make half when I started being more specific in my head those are the numbers that came out. The wizarding academies try to filter it out because at the Worldwound not having emotion management skills will get people killed, I expect the project also filtered for it so Tallandria must have never done it before, but it's not rare generally.

Sometimes one might start crying during a test, recover, and finish the test, and this would be much less problematic for their continued presence in their wizarding academy than leaving the room during the test; one might even cry during a test without anyone in charge noticing, if the room doesn't have several Security who've been told to communicate as much as possible to Keltham."

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Keltham will now attempt to adapt for the fact that his entire worldview, all of his social reflexes, all of his thinking patterns, his deep implicit ideas about who is supposed to do what when, that his ideas of what he is supposed to think about and what a Startup Founder is supposed to think about, are all inhabiting a different reality that is not this reality!


"Okay, so if Tallandria wasn't - having a complete mental breakdown - does her cracking during math tests correlate with a rare Golarion neurotype that is very talented at chemistry, and if I don't hire people who crack on math tests, I don't get to have any top-percentile chemistry talents?"


It's actually pretty hard!  Especially when you can only do it one piece at a time wherever your mental attention happens to be focused that instant, and your mental attention is also being focused by patterns from the wrong reality.

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".....no? And I have no idea how you got there? I think you probably shouldn't hire her, like I said. I'd think it was fine to hire her for a normal chemistry project but not one where we get attacked by Kuthites and might all end up half-Keepers."

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"Okay, but the conventional wisdom out of Civilization is that a project like this one would end up with a lot of very weird people, and you still want to exclude the mentally unstable ones but you've got to be really careful that you're not excluding, like, Lady Avaricia..."

"Does Golarion possibly just not have the whole thing where four top chemists in the world marry in pairs and their kids marry and one of their kids is an unbelievable genius chemist and the other one manages to commit true-suicide at nineteen."

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And it's not that the one murdered the other?

 

"If I heard that I wouldn't be very surprised but I also don't know of it as a - known phenomenon?"

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"So basically your planet doesn't have any geniuses except maybe via artifact headband, but, on the flip side, it's fine to go harder on screening mental traits in your employment process..."

"Not the most urgent question, I guess."

"I'm - continuing to feel very much out of my depth, here.  Carissa, Ferrer, you're both satisfied that things are proceeding here - basically as they should be proceeding, in Golarion?  I'm not supposed to administer a new math test to her in private and see if that makes a difference?"

 

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"I bet she'd do better on a new math test in private, at least plausibly so, but the whole reason I think you shouldn't hire her is that this is an incredibly weird isolating destabilizing project and you should hire people who are unusually stable and capable for it."

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(It took him a split second to remember Keltham expected the lower-ranked person to speak first, and cross that with the Chosen being beneath him in alter-Cheliax.  But Maillol did remember in time to speak in the correct realAsmodian order, which is also the correct alterCheliax ordering.)

"I'd mostly say things are proceeding as they should.  Except for a slight concern about how this makes two of them."

"Asmodia first, though that was seemingly very different in nature.  Then Tallandria, who plausibly could have looked like a stable candidate up until this point, and than cracked for the first time when she was under more pressure than ever before."

"Neither case by itself would worry me the way the two do side-by-side."

"I am having Tallandria privately go through a light Security screening, to truthspell her about whether she's said everything she knows to be relevant.  But if there's nothing in there that Security decides we need to know, they don't tell us."

"My understanding is that Tallandria has had relatively little Law exposure.  And I do think there's a tendency for more talented wizards to be a little less stable, sometimes, in Golarion.  The state did send us an assortment of interesting people."

"I only ordered the screening because - how did you put it?  'Why trust what you can verify?'  I have made it clear to Security that any previously undisclosed involvement of Law-based reasoning in Tallandria's breakdown is something we need to know about."

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"Well handled, then.  On that part of it, I don't know enough to judge your performance on the rest."

"What'd you decide about Asmodia's request to hire her?"

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"Unless you know something I don't about Tallandria being more volatile than she looks, I'm leaning yes, but with my watching the situation.  Closely enough that, if it starts to go wrong, I can shut it down after Asmodia learns a valuable life lesson and before she loses significant usefulness to your Project."

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"What does shutting it down, in that case, entail for Tallandria?"

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"Stowing her in some other high-Security installation that could use another second-circle, and isn't quite as massively vital to the future of Cheliax and Golarion."

"Or Hell for a couple of years.  Which I personally think is an option Tallandria ought to be jumping on, given that she has a rare option to do that and get resurrected at state expense.  But that's an option I haven't pressed, beyond gently mentioning that it exists.  Compared to most people, priests of Asmodeus are known to have unusually correct opinions about that."  Maillol smiles slightly, but visibly.

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"Why are most people wrong about that, though..."

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"Let the Church know if you ever figure that out."

"Any else?"

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"No.  Thanks."

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"It's my job."  He departs.

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"Seeing him always makes me feel bad about how much nonsense our project gets up to that he has to write reports to Egorian about."

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"I figure any week we haven't started another godwar yet is a week Maillol ought to be grateful to us.  After all, he's the one who said that the key to happiness is to start with low expectations, and then, presumably, never update them so you're constantly pleasantly surprised.  That part he didn't say explicitly but I don't see how else this trick would work."

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"Yes, I think that's it. Wouldn't work for a dath ilani, but works quite well, if you're Chelish. I don't know if he's managed to keep them so low as to be pleased with the lack of a godwar, though."

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"Yeah, if we don't start another godwar soon, or some sort of project disaster, Maillol may start taking current conditions for granted.  Then his" hedonic treadmill "niceness demand level will adjust.  We can't let that happen."

"Any gods out there that would be really easy for us to annoy?"

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"Hmmm. Calistria's supposed to be quick to anger?"

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"And what pisses off Calistria?"

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Raping people. Abusing your wife.  That's probably not the most strategically useful answer to give. "If I were desperately trying to translate into dath ilani I would claim that She hates it when someone defects against you and you don't defect back, but I suspect that if for some reason you were to spend a week studying Calistria's teachings you'd tell me that's not the right translation exactly."

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"Right then, well, there's one god whose teachings I agree with too much to offend in that particular way.  Though I continue to have no idea how she's not Lawful Neutral."

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"And that's today's first crisis done with!  Welcome to Project Lawful by the way.  At least we have cookies."

Why is Asmodia feeling so weirdly cheerful about having Korva assist on her Wall?  It's not the first time Asmodia's had minions!  Asmodia in Ostenso would sometimes force other students to do things for her!  Because if Asmodia didn't sometimes do that she'd obviously be one of the academic victims who got forced to tutor and serve more vicious students!  Is it just that she's got more leverage over Korva than Asmodia has ever had over anyone before, and now she can invest in training Korva to be more useful and have that actually pay off?

(The Chelish dialect of Taldane does have a word for 'friend'.  It just doesn't use it for anything.)

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"Yeah. Uh, sorry for causing you a headache already. So - I know you have visible and invisible things to juggle, but are there specific things we know we need to get out ahead of right now, while we can?"

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"I think at this point, I sit you down and explain to you about the tropes.  It's an unexplained part of the entire Wall, from your standpoint, and you can't work without knowing."

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" - right. What, uh, are those." And are they going to cause her to turn out like Yaisa, somehow, she really really really doesn't want to be another Yaisa.

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"All right.  So.  Um."

"This is something of a long and very weird story.  I'll try to separate facts from inferences," and try to lead you away from thoughts about whether the gods who once were human are trying to fake out Cheliax into believing in this whole story, just in case I was right about that originally.

"Keltham landed near the Worldwound at a point where he would run out of the cold into a Chelish installation.  He didn't land in the middle of the ocean, or for that matter, materialize a hundred yards off the ground, or in space, or in the Plane of Elemental Fire.  If you think about a cloud of probability density spread out evenly across all of Golarion's surface, to say nothing of our larger multiverse including other planets and other planes, it's very obvious that Keltham didn't land at random according to a cloud of probability like that."

"Something put Keltham where he landed, something that, one infers, cared about what would happen after he landed there."

"We then have the question - besides Keltham not just dying on the spot, in what other ways was this force maybe selecting where to put Keltham?  Maybe not just within Golarion, but inside our whole multiverse, maybe even many possible multiverses?  Keltham seemed to believe that dath ilan knew for sure that existence was very wide, much wider than just our multiverse and dath ilan's universe that he showed us."

"When Keltham ran out of the cold into that Chelish installation, the first person who could cast Tongues to speak with him, it turned out, was Carissa Sevar."

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"Keltham and Sevar, I'm told, are matched improbably well in terms of their romantic compatibility.  Sevar is, to this day, the person who understands Keltham best out of everyone who's tried, including the Queen of Cheliax with whatever ludicrous levels of Splendour she can bring to bear.  Experienced honeypot instructors specializing in Lawful Good targets are saying that they do not understand why anything Sevar is doing works as well as it does."

"And Sevar... frankly strikes me as being more at risk of falling in love with Keltham for real than she'll admit to the rest of us.  I'm guessing here, yes.  But if my guess is right - you would not expect an average Chelish woman, a random Chelish woman, to fall in love for real with Keltham.  You wouldn't expect a random Chelish woman to be tempted."

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"From Keltham's perspective, Golarion is even more improbable on that level.  Keltham has sexually sadistic tendencies.  His Lawful Good world tried to make sure he never found out about that.  Keltham thinks that's because dath ilan has no masochists.  He thinks masochism itself is unlikely, that it's not a kind of thing that - that heritage-selection would produce naturally - he thinks that people who want to be hurt, who enjoy pain, who want to be taken and forced into submission, would end up in dangerous life situations having fewer children.  If the sadists of dath ilan knew what they really wanted, they'd just be sad, so it was dangerous-information to them."

"You could counter-argue, and I think Sevar has, that tendencies like that could actually help people survive, if they ended up in situations very common in Golarion.  Dath ilan, maybe, has fewer of those situations.  Or maybe Keltham is right, and the gods intervened to make masochism be a thing in Golarion."

"The point is that from Keltham's perspective, he ended up in a world where sexual desires of his that had no counterpart in dath ilan - desires where, Keltham thinks, he would not expect a counterpart to exist in most reasonable parts of reality - could find fulfillment here.  The masochists he ran into are wizards, meaning he can try harder to hurt them without damaging them too much.  Keltham has healing powers he can use on his masochists afterwards.  These are all things that dath ilan doesn't have, that dath ilan thinks ought to be unlikely, that they wouldn't expect to find in a random world.  All of them make life much more convenient for somebody with Keltham's sexuality."

"And even if Keltham is wrong about Golarion having been selected for that - even if most worlds out there are just like that, and dath ilan is the weird one out for having no healing magic and no masochists - there remains the implausibly good match with Sevar in particular."

"You might speculate, then, you might infer - though it is not of itself an observation, as Keltham teaches to distinguish - that whatever landed Keltham here was, possibly, trying to set him up with a romance."

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"It's... not a very nice romance, really.  Not the nicest romance Keltham could possibly have had.  He did end up in Cheliax with all of his romantic interests constantly lying to him about everything."

"It's not something you'd do to Keltham if you were just trying to be nice to him, make sure he found sexual and romantic fulfillment."

"It's something you'd do to Keltham if you were putting him somewhere that a romance novel would start up around him, a novel with a dramatic, conflict-riven plot."

"In particular, a dath ilani romance novel.  With common patterns, 'tropes', out of a dath ilani romance novel."

"Keltham doesn't know all his love interests are lying to him.  But he knows he landed in a situation where he's around a number of different interesting girls with interesting different backgrounds and special powers.  That, he found suspicious, after he arrived.  He doesn't know how weird it is that Pilar Pineda was selected as Cayden Cailean's oracle and bestowed with cookie powers.  He doesn't know that Ione is the one oracle chosen of Nethys.  But he knows that he's around other girls with special powers, an improbable and surprising number of them, and that is to him an obvious signature of a dath ilani romance novel."

"Or as dath ilan calls it, an 'eroLARP'."

"Keltham has tried making predictions about how events would happen around him, if he had in fact been selected and placed somewhere that further events would develop, by unbroken prophecy, in the way of an 'eroLARP'."

"We are concealing from Keltham how many of those predictions have, in fact, come true."

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"In alterCheliax, Sevar is not the Chosen of Asmodeus.  There is nothing special about Sevar that is causing Hell to delay its purchase of her soul, or, as we've presented that to Keltham, 'making afterlife arrangements'.  Then Sevar should be able to make her afterlife arrangements and get her own Arcane Sight."

"Keltham predicted that, when Sevar went off to try to sell her soul, something mysterious would happen that prevented her from selling her soul.  He didn't know about Sevar's previous failed attempt, he just predicted that she'd fail that time, because it would be what happened in a dath ilani romance novel."

"Sevar turned out not to be able to sell her soul again.  They arranged for her to get permanencied Detect Magic somehow, no I don't know the details.  Sevar came back apparently all cheerful about having sold her soul, for Arcane Sight plus enough spellsilver to have an excuse for being able to make Keltham-corrupting magic items later."

"Keltham had a panic attack about whether there was some incredibly clever reason that the government of Cheliax would need to lie to him and fake selling Sevar's soul and somehow fake the Arcane Sight, because that would be what happened in an 'eroLARP'."

"Sevar managed to talk Keltham down from his being, in fact, completely right about all of everything," including Sevar being a hidden cleric, very likely, just based on how the rest of that went, but Asmodia's not going to get into that.

"That was one incident.  There were others, particularly including a conflict with the Queen of Cheliax, that I am apparently not allowed to know all about," presumably because Keltham won embarrassingly hard.  "From Keltham's perspective, he successfully managed to avert all of the antagonisms with the Queen that his 'tropes' would predict, casting severe doubt on his whole 'eroLARP' theory."

"From everyone else's perspective, I'm told, practically everything that Keltham predicted actually happened, but in a way where we prevented him from seeing it."

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"Welcome to Project Lawful.  At least we have cookies.  And if we ever run out of cookies, one of Keltham's likely romantic interests can suddenly appear with additional cookies - namely the extremely devout Asmodean, who was chosen as oracle by Cayden Cailean, whose curse, which we call Snack Service, has really been quite helpful in, for example, ridding Egorian of Lawful Good spies, and giving apparently good advice about how to corrupt Keltham further, and also offering snacks.  Wherever Keltham was placed inside Golarion or somewhere larger than that, it somehow rendered that a totally reasonable thing for a Chaotic Good god to do around a Lawful Evil project."

"If we're inside a dath ilani romance novel, it's probably not one that takes itself very seriously.  Hopefully I don't get smote for saying it.  But, you know, the sort of being who could do all that, could probably see me thinking it even if I didn't say it.  So I might as well say it."

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"Do you, uh, want me to voice my first ten objections to this theory, so that you can explain to me why they are stupid."

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"Oh, yes."

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"Okay."

"Independent of what I might think of all of the specific pieces of evidence you just brought up - am I getting it right that Keltham is the one who came up with this theory, and he came up with it because he felt like he was in a dath ilani romance novel, after Cheliax spent an enormous amount of resources providing him with a harem of vulnerable pretty wizard girls who could keep up with him intellectually but also hung on his every word and wanted to have sex with him, specifically because the Crown was trying to bribe him into helping us by making his stay here as closely resemble his wildest fantasies as possible. Because that seems like the sort of thing that might skew someone's sense of whether they were in a romance novel."

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"They provided him the harem within hours of him arriving in Golarion.  Transcripts show it was Sevar who first made the suggestion, after reading Keltham's mind about how his own Civilization hadn't valued himself and his kind of people, and how he'd wanted to become rich and give dath ilan's next generation hundreds of himself whether dath ilan liked that or not.  Sevar's proposal was to seduce Keltham with a sense of himself and his kind of person being valued by Cheliax more than Civilization had.  Maillol made the call after getting a vision from Asmodeus, which I don't think had that specifically in it, but we could ask him."

"Keltham wasn't a cleric then, so we have a full transcript of what went through his mind at the point he realized why there were so many pretty girls around him.  Namely, he thought Cheliax wanted his heritable variations for high Intelligence.  He thought that was a totally reasonable thing to do with an alien visitor and that his Civilization would try the same thing."

"The first point at which Keltham showed overt outward signs of suspicion was when he had everyone in the class independently rate how much we thought we had an unusual background or a weird problem for him to solve, that he'd find out about if he romanced us.  And also, we had to guess what we thought everyone else's average answer would be."

"We didn't have eyes on his thoughts then and didn't understand why, didn't know how to game anything.  The call was made to have us answer independently, in hopes that would look right to him.  Keltham's prediction, which came true from his perspective, was that there'd be 3-5 special girls only some of whom knew about some of the others."

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"I'm not suggesting that the harem of pretty girls is his explicit reason for believing any of this; he's not that stupid. I'm suggesting that being surrounded by a harem of pretty girls might still affect his sense of how similar his overall situation is to a romance novel, and that it might affect the sorts of theories one generates about their circumstances."

"As far so many of his girls being special - which couldn't have been the thing that originally roused his suspicion, unless I'm misunderstanding the timeline here - almost all of them are special by way of being oracled by particular gods, right? It was already otherwise obvious that multiple gods were trying to court Keltham. And if the person you're trying to court is a teenage boy who is more  vulnerable to love than most, who sure seems to be making pretty full use of the harem that was provided to him, and whose information about the world and contact with other people is being filtered by Cheliax - well, I don't think that it's a particularly surprising tack to take. The fact that it matches something that happens in the specific romance novels that Keltham has read and remembers, the ones that made an impression on him, is information about Keltham, information about how to make an impression on him that other gods could, in principle, have accessed. That doesn't require us to actually be in a romance novel, it just requires the romance novels that Keltham reads to reflect something of how one might go about courting him in reality."

"Whenever Keltham interacts with information about the world that isn't either part of the web of lies we've spun up around him, or a consequence of a god trying to court him - not literally always, I guess, but often - he doesn't seem to act like it's narratively consonant, or like the world makes sense to him as a story. Sometimes he acts like it can't possibly be true, sometimes he acts like it just doesn't make any sense to him, and sometimes it's so alien that he automatically writes a different version of events in his head, one that has only a very tenuous relationship with whatever is actually happening."

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That's a dangerous line of thinking, if Asmodia's earlier guess was right about what her patrons might be trying to conceal.

"At the point where Cayden Cailean decides that His best option is cursing the Project's most devout Asmodean with snack powers - which Keltham reacted to with considerable surprise and astonishment, not with a sense of being courted, so far as I can see - we have to ask if Keltham was put somewhere that this was made to be a clever thing for Cayden Cailean to do, I think?  Obviously Cayden Cailean from His own perspective is trying to accomplish something.  There's a question of what.  But there's a larger question of how it came to be the case that this thing could be best accomplished by giving Pilar cookie powers."

"We don't believe this theory because Keltham believes it, we believe it because the theory's predictions keep coming true.  Keltham guessed, knew, that I was an asexual before any of us knew what that was, because we appear in dath ilani romance novels like that, so I lied to him and told him that I'd felt a couple of flashes of desire in my life."

"And I have, at this point, met Keltham.  He likes confusing people.  Supposedly it's to train strong minds that don't weakly rely on being told how reality works.  I think it may be what dath ilan does with all its repressed sadism.  Either way, the part where Keltham is in a really strange world to him fits with his theory.  The part where we're all lying to him and he has to figure that out fits with his theory, which is why we keep trying to convince him that he's not in an eroLARP.  Though one of the rays of hope for Cheliax is that Keltham has also said it's possible that he's just the oblivious boyfriend of our story about mastering his Law."

"The other ray of hope is that Keltham is already going outside of what dath ilan thinks is good sexual behavior.  Maybe this is a story about our corrupting him, and we just have to do that before time runs out on his inevitably seeing through the lie."

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"I don't mean that Keltham is confused by us lying to him. I mean that - okay, the theory here is that all of Golarion, possibly the entire set of planes we have access to, was created for the benefit of telling this specific inane story about a normal teenage boy from another universe who is suddenly extraordinary and surrounded by extremely special girls who are fawning over him, which is all secretly a plot by the forces of hell to corrupt him to Evil, which might or might not work depending on our author's taste for tragedy or comedy, and also whose side they're on in the first place. Do I have that right, the scope of this theory?"

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"Keltham thinks that reality is very large and we were selected for him, not created.  Which does make a difference to the Law of our strategic playing, though only at the level where the Most High oversees all our moves.  In particular, it matters whether, if we consider doing something that would cause Keltham to have retroactively never arrived here, the alternative we're negotiating against is this world having never existed, or this world never getting a Keltham."

"Leaving that aside, I'd point out that Keltham is, in fact, a normal teenage boy who suddenly ended up in a very weird-to-him universe where he's extraordinary and has a lot of extremely special girls fawning over him, as is secretly a plot by the forces of hell to corrupt him to Evil.  This part is not, in fact, in question.  It's an observation, not an inference.  The question is why.  And the theory is that it's all part and parcel of the same force that put Keltham down at the Worldwound where Sevar would be the first person he'd talk to."

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"Sure, I agree that it happened. I suppose the idea of selection vs creation does punch some kind of hole in what I was about to say, but I'm going to say it anyway, just so it's said, because I haven't figured out how to think about the selection thing yet."

"If our world had been created specifically in order to engineer this story about Keltham - there's a lot going on in this world. It has a lot of elements that don't obviously match to any kind of story, but also a lot of elements that match to stories that are less stupid than this one. It sure looks, to me, like whoever created this world had better taste than an entity that would have this story as its endgame. Better stories have been told before, and more detailed, interesting, and sensible elements of reality have been introduced than the ones that make up whatever the Abyss is happening here. Probably that won't make sense as an objection when I've considered all the implications of the selection thing, or - whatever the reasoning was behind us having the ability to cause Keltham to have retroactively not landed in Golarion, given that he's already here, but - whatever."

"Raise you an alternative theory, not one I think is obviously true, but one that I've been thinking about for a couple days now and think ought to be considered. Have you heard of Hermea, beyond the name?"

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"I don't even think I've heard of the name.  Ostenso academy does not leave time for anything except studying and plotting."

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...Korva is also from an elite wizard academy, but that's not worth commenting on.

"It's harder than most countries to find information on, maybe because it's one of the few countries that gives Cheliax a run for its money in terms of actual functionality as a society. Near as I can tell, though, Hermea is a young island nation, founded post-prophecy, run by a gold dragon - obviously lawful good - that only accepts the best and brightest applicants as immigrants. A society of only smart people, wise people, talented people, careful and meticulous people, and their children; a society that aims at the sort of heredity optimization that Keltham sometimes talks about, a glorious experiment meant to push the limits of what humankind is capable of."

"Keltham's obviously not from Hermea. But suppose that Hermea isn't the only experiment of its type. Suppose that someone or something more powerful than a gold dragon managed to seed another planet with another set of humanity's best and brightest, to see what they would create. Found some way to bathe the planet in antimagic, to push them in other directions. Found some way of shielding them from the interference of other gods. And then suppose that that shielding cracked, somehow, and one of our gods was able to pull one of these dath ilani here. Perhaps you'd pick a dath ilani who would be most useful to your servants here on Golarion, one who would find the environment of his ancestors to be something that matched his particular fantasies and suppressed desires beyond his wildest dreams. Certainly you would ensure that the circumstances of his arrival here were useful to your followers, as opposed to allowing him to immediately die. Suppose that Keltham was selected for us, rather than us for Keltham."

"It explains Keltham's observation that he's obviously a human like us, who eats our food and was born of some similar ancestry. It explains his planet's hidden history very neatly, if the planet doesn't have any. It explains why Keltham would have a latent desire for sadism despite being from a planet where people have apparently never heard of sadism or masochism. And it's less, uh, wild than supposing that we're living in a specifically dath ilani romance novel."

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"The fact that Keltham's world sealed off their history - has never been far from my own mind," what with Asmodia having a strong sense, somehow, that it is her duty alone to also prevent the actual world of Golarion from ending up destroyed, "because of how it seemed to imply that - they must have encountered something incredibly dangerous, something dangerous just to know about, that they had to seal off all their history just to prevent anyone from hearing about again -"

"As for your brilliant new theory that dath ilan has no history, because their world was just constructed like that, not very long ago - do you know what I think of that?"

"Well, I'll tell you."

"I think it's ridiculously obvious in retrospect, is what I think."

"Keltham has given arguments about how his world could have ended up with their incredibly Lawful Good system already in place at the point where they sealed their history.  Why it had to end up there, given that they had no magic.  Those arguments always seemed a lot more stretched to me than everything else Keltham says."

"So, yeah, obviously, if you look over all of the larger reality, most of the places where everybody grows up believing that their world sealed off their history a while ago for mysterious reasons, are places where their whole world was created then.  I'd say there'd obviously be some elaborate excuse but it doesn't sound like Keltham's world even had an excuse.  And those worlds will also have an incredibly powerful and mysterious conspiratorial group, that knows the forbidden truth, and secretly controls the government, who were put there by whoever created that world to keep it on track for its intended purpose why did I not see this earlier."

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"Well - I am getting the sense that you've been very busy, these past few weeks. But - we don't have a reason why that's stupid, then?"

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"I'm not seeing a reason.  But then, I'm not the only one with eyes on this problem, so maybe somebody else thought of it, and saw a reason it obviously couldn't be true, and didn't tell me about it."

"If in fact that's just a brilliant idea that nobody else involved had at all, well, let me put it this way.  If your ambitions previously involved living the rest of your life without ever once coming to the attention of the Most High Aspexia Rugatonn or Her Infernal Majestrix Queen Abrogail Thrune, you probably just blew it."

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"Well, we can't have everything."

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Having her own Korva is great!  She's so useful!  Asmodia never wants to give up her shiny new Korva!  She'd purchase three more if they were available!  They actually help with things!

"What do we do now?  File a report with the Most High?  Tell Sevar as soon as she's not busy wrangling Keltham?  Maaaybe but I have the feeling that, if we were Keltham, we'd be thinking of something else to do with this theory besides just running off and telling our superiors oh right I know we make advance predictions!  What else does the Tallandrian Origin Theory of Dath Ilan predict, even in probabilities?"

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"Okay, um... oh, I remember one of the things that originally got me thinking about this was - how Keltham peppers in warnings against ways of thinking that often sound pretty clearly like things you'd observe in Golarion, even though he says he doesn't see the point of them, has never seen the point of them, and can't imagine anyone actually being that silly. Like the thing about certainty. That's not itself an advance prediction, but - if someone on his planet has knowledge of ours and is specifically warning against mistakes that we make, even if almost nobody on Keltham's world makes them, I wonder whether we're going to eventually see things that seem even more targeted at ways of thinking that are promoted on Golarion."

"...dath ilan having fewer plants and animals, but mostly ones we recognize. Because - because it'd be harder to move absolutely everything from our world to a different world, right, and if it wasn't relevant to the project, you probably wouldn't bother? I'm - trying to think of probabilities for these but I'm not sure the math part of my brain is entirely back up and running yet, and - I don't really know how you'd assign meaningful probabilities to these sorts of guesses anyway, exactly. I know you do one probability for each question for the world where dath ilan has nothing to do with us and really is old, and a different probability for the world in which it's an experimental offshoot. But - it's not like I know how many plants and animals a normal - hm, no, if it were a totally different planet I'd expect it to mostly have different animals than ours. I think. And about the same amount. Except that we already know that dath ilan also has humans, which suggests about the same kind of life."

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"Don't worry about making up probabilities on likelihoods.  Keltham didn't tell the rest of us how to do that either.  You might as well say 'more or less likely' and leave the Law part to me once I know what I'm trying to do with the Law."

"Dath ilan has humans but no other sapient species.  That's lower variety right there.  But we could ask Keltham if his world has badgers or archaeopteryxes or bats or giant hamsters or octopi or squirrels or ujaheim... I mean, I'd have to think about the context in which to ask him, but that's an obvious thing to check.  And see if his world has lots of animal species that Golarion's never heard of, but that sound like they wouldn't be all that related to the humans..."

"I think the really big question is whether, if dath ilan is that close by, a Greater Scry would let us look at it.  Maybe one of the people Keltham's shown us in a Silent Image, like his writing-circle friends or, what was her name, Merrin."

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"Yeah, that's a good thing to check, now that you say it I'm surprised we haven't done it already. Although - can you scry people in an antimagic field, does it interfere with the sensor? Because I think they must be suppressing their arcane magic, somehow, in this scenario, and some ways of doing that might interfere with a scry."

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"There's also the question of whether, if the creators there are much more powerful than golden dragons - we're willing to risk the scry being traced back to us -"

"Korva, we're not talking about something that's just slightly much more powerful than a golden dragon."

"Dath ilan isn't a country.  We talk about it like it's a country, because their Civilization acts like it's one country, but it's a planet, with as many people on it as all of Golarion, Keltham showed you the view after getting into space.  The antimagic field would have to be wrapping their entire planet.  Maybe their entire star system, because Civilization set up outposts on dath ilan's moon and on the planet nearby.  I mean, their Conspiracy could be lying to Keltham about that, I guess, but -"

"Keltham thought that history had been screened off decades ago, not millennia ago.  Even if a gold dragon kidnapped a hundred people with Intelligence 18, which people in Golarion would've noticed - well maybe not if it was right in the middle of Aroden's death.  But it doesn't sound like Keltham thought his world started out with much fewer people, a hundred years ago, and then bred really frantically to get a billion people... I guess the kidnappers could be duplicating people, like in Keltham's hints about 'anthropics'..."

"I think the fundamental question is where their knowledge of Law could've come from.  The dath ilani wouldn't have had time to create it, there, it would have to be stolen from somewhere else."

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"...yeah, you're right, the timelines don't add up. Although, hey, that's something this theory predicts, that there is some incident in our past in which a bunch of really smart people disappeared at the same time, that neither of us currently knows about. If we do find something about that later, well."

"But they couldn't have gotten to a billion people in a hundred years, no, and if they were copying their population would be way more samey than ours is. - I guess we don't know that it isn't, Keltham's hardly been exposed to the full variety of Golarion's humanity. But it still doesn't really work, does it, even people who are as smart as our smartest wizards with headbands couldn't - forget about the math, he talked about flying machines, he's surprised by disease, he doesn't know how his people got past our level of metalworking because they already had it, when the screen was put in place. They had to have had time to build all of that."

"I can think of explanations, there, but it's hard to say how contrived they are. Maybe there were two phases to the project, one before the screen and one after; maybe it had always been planned that way, or maybe they screened off their origin story because it's about us, and they knew that if anyone ever found a way to unwisely contact us, the whole project could be jeopardized. Maybe there are multiple worlds of stolen people, and - but that doesn't work either, the population still doesn't fit, forget that."

"Could they have - supposing their patron is a god, could that god be the source of their Law? If the god had found some way to sequester a population away from other the other gods, to hide them - Keltham talks a lot about how the gods have a much better understanding of Law than we do, that Lawful gods are things that understand the Law perfectly. If there's some - force, interference from the Chaotic gods, or something, which is why our gods can't just tell us what Keltham is telling us, given that they already know - would that still have held, on a world that had a single godlike protector, and no balance of power between opposing factions?"

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"So, several major important concepts, here."

"One, wrapping an entire planet or solar system in an antimagic field doesn't sound to me like any one god.  That takes something on the scale of Pharasma, or whatever other beings are out there like Pharasma.  Rovagug, maybe, had to be on that level, because otherwise Pharasma would've easily squashed it.  So there's more than one thing like that in reality, and if there's two, there's more."

"Second - I don't know what the rules are like, but - it can't be as simple as Asmodeus and Abadar and Irori and Nethys and Cayden Cailean setting up a world somewhere, and cultivating the kind of knowledge that Keltham knows.  They could've done that earlier, if it was possible, if it was allowed.  If it's happening just now, it would - have to be because of prophecy breaking - and then we're back to there not being time, again, unless they're just pouring knowledge directly out of Axis and that has to break the rules - maybe something out of Azlant, another and hidden Aroden, emerging from hiding after prophecy shattered, would know that much -"

"But what makes more sense to me is if they're just - from outside, they're just not governed by our rules at all."

"Third, we still have the question of why Keltham is landing in a romance novel.  Why not just throw some dath ilani who knew all that stuff better, straight to Egorian, and let Egorian torture or enchant them to give up all their knowledge?  Why a teenage boy who died in a flying-item crash and only had a loose idea of how to synthesize one kind of important acid, why stick him next to Carissa Sevar, why bounce him to an asexual like he'd find in an eroLARP, and while we're on the subject, why did Asmodeus tell us not to enchant him and why did Cayden Cailean curse Pilar Pineda with cake powers?"

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"I don't know why Asmodeus told us not to enchant him. I'm not going to try to figure out what Cayden Cailean is doing, not right now, I don't think I know enough about him but I know that he's one of the human gods, he might just - think it's funny, or something."

"But I think there are good reasons to pick a teenage boy who isn't one of his people's best and brightest, if there's some reason I haven't thought of why you can't just enchant him and have to trick him instead. Because we couldn't run this operation on their best and brightest, they would see right through us in an hour, and they wouldn't want to work with us. Keltham is smart, and well-educated, but he's careless, he doesn't know all the right questions to ask, he lets things hang in the air that probably wouldn't get past an even smarter or more experienced person."

"I don't know why someone wouldn't have done this before. I agree that there would have to be a reason, and that the timelines don't work for the whole thing being after prophecy. I did think - I don't know whether something could have happened during Earthfall - but that's a really long time ago, it doesn't at all explain why their history would have been sealed off so recently. So -

" - did he say how many decades? It's not right when prophecy broke, is it?"

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"Keltham didn't say.  But that's definitely a probabilistic prediction right there.  Not a certainty given your theory, but more probable - more 'likely' - if it's true than if it's not.  If the timelines matched to within a single year, I'd be certain - not literally probability 1, but fifty times surer than I was before, in the 'posterior' -"

"I am so tempted right now to declare that alter-Cheliax would just tell Keltham about this theory so we could ask him about it, but that's a larger decision than I can make and I don't think I'd be making the decision for the right reasons.  I'm just so desperately curious right now."


"To be clear, this is all well past the point where we'd do literally anything before reporting to Aspexia Rugatonn, but we should loop in Sevar before we do that and see if the Chosen has her own ideas to include in the report, or maybe shoots the whole thing down with some objection we didn't see."

"What's your thought on whether Keltham was placed by something with unbroken prophecy, and whether that required searching through a lot of worlds like Golarion to find one world where events would play out like they did?  If that's true - does it mean that some other part of your theory is false, or less probable?"

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"I'm not entirely sure I understand the question. We mean 'worlds like Golarion' as in - the way that Castrovel is like Golarion, or the way that shadow Golarion is like Golarion, or just - copies of Golarion with different people on them, or - ?"

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"Whoever placed Keltham had to search through enough - different somethings - that they could find somewhere where Keltham would land next to Sevar and then bounce over to an asexual, some girl who Nethys would want to oracle, some other girl who Cayden Cailean would give cake powers, and also Sevar would try to sell her soul and fail and the government would cover that up from him."

"It could be millions of slightly different Golarions, which Keltham's transcripts suggested he - thought he knew existed?  For some reason I'm not sure anybody followed, but if anyone did it would be Sevar."

"The part I follow is just that you have to look through a lot of places to find one place like that, if you're not just creating it... actually, now that I'm really thinking about it, it has to be more like, trillions of trillions of trillions, not just millions.  Every time you ask for another thing that only happens with 0.1% probability, you have to look through a thousand times as many worlds, and there've been many things like that.  Maybe that's how Keltham knows, like, he looked up at the night sky once when it wasn't cloudy, deduced how large our whole multiverse was using unknown Law, and then knew there weren't enough planets like that for his senders to have found one, unless reality was further expanded in a particular direction..."

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"Okay, I'm sorry, this isn't the important thing, but what exactly is an asexual."

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"Somebody who doesn't experience sexual desire for men or women, period, no matter who or what you dangle in front of them."

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"Well, that only multiplies the number of worlds if it's rare, then, which I'm not actually sure of."

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"It's more like, one of the obviously Special Girls, which I sort of admit I am, is an asexual.  And then also that Special Girl is the one who - this part is politically complicated, so pay close attention for your own safety."

"If you ask Carissa Sevar, she'll tell you that I came back from Hell with some sort of superpower that Hell told me not to talk about, but Keltham predicted that anyways, which is how she now knows."

"If you ask me, I'll tell you that I don't have any superpower like that.  I'll point out that Keltham also said that the Special Girl who was asexual would sometimes be the one who didn't have any oracle powers and would just be very good at math."

"Also Keltham's - prophecy, it's basically prophecy at this point - said that the asexual would be the one who stands back and watches it all."

"Worlds with asexuals are maybe easy.  Keltham's world has them too.  It's more that Keltham's sender had to drop him off at the Worldwound of a planet that would teleport him into a villa near Ostenso, whose wizard academy would have a top graduate slated for the Worldwound, who was an asexual, and would have the politically complicated quality, and would be the right sort of person to end up running my Wall."

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"Do we have a transcript of the conversation where he said that, I think I want to read it. Because I notice that one of the reasons that I'm not persuaded that it's rare is that I also don't want to have sex with anyone, ever, and I notice that I have now been assigned to the Wall section. Not that I find that convincing, but it's information you might want to have. So. That's out there, now."

"Anyway. If I'm going to make a really solid argument about this, I'm probably going to need a written list of every prediction Keltham has made relating to the patterns and likely plot twists of the romance novel that he finds himself in, and which ones have come true and which ones haven't. But my snap judgement is - landing on Sevar, that's obviously not chance, but neither is it prophecy; it sounds like personality filtering of the same kind that gods probably do to identify clerics. If Asmodeus grabbed Keltham, it stands to reason that he would drop Keltham on the Asmodean person most compatible with him in the ways necessary for Asmodeus's goals. I'm pretty sure you said the first prediction Keltham made was the question about his harem having interesting backgrounds or problems to solve, but being an oracle isn't that; as far as I've been told, there's no reason to believe that either of the oracles was particularly special until after coming into contact with Keltham. They're not even clerics, which would constrain their alignments a really improbable amount - I tried to look something up about it after I heard about them, and I don't know yet that there are any known constraints on who can become or be made an oracle. So I'm not inclined to give him many points for that, either. "Special" is a corner fortune-teller's prediction, it's too vague to give very many points for. Still not very sure that being asexual is rare enough that 'one of the eight girls was an asexual' is particularly surprising either, or a higher rate than we would normally expect, and I'm not giving him points for it until someone convinces me that it is. The Chosen of Asmodeus being unable to sell her soul..."

"I have no explanation for that one, it's legitimately bizarre that he would be able to predict that. But it's one prediction, not many."

"So I don't think that unbroken prophecy is necessary to explain most of the predictions I've heard, and if it's only one, I'm inclined to think that there's a less-bizarre explanation that I haven't thought of yet, especially if he's been making a lot of them. But if he is right, and there are - let's say trillions - of Golarions, then - "

"I don't entirely know how that interfaces with my theory. It's a little hard to wrap my head around, someone writing a romance novel not by writing it, but by - what, paging through every possible string of words that could make up a book, and selecting the one that read most like a romance novel? I - guess I'm inclined to say that if more fundamental features of reality do start looking like they would make more sense if they were a romance novel than in any more normal situation - not Keltham's personal interactions, which we and lots of other powers are manipulating constantly, but like, I don't know, the cultural practices of nations, the distributions of traits on our world other than masochism, something that doesn't have as many obvious alternative explanations as masochism - if the world in general starts to look like that, then that should move us towards the romance novel theory and also away from my theory, because if we're being selected that way then I don't think there's any reason why we would also expect Keltham's people to have originally been from Golarion, if you can just generate trillions and trillions and trillions of worlds that all independently have humans in them and every possible combination of events."

"Probably. I guess. Unless dath ilani are all subconsciously into the things that caused their ancestors to have lots of the sex that resulted in their slightly less distant ancestors, and write romance novels that reflect their ancestral environment, even though they have no records of it. Which would loop us back around to - I don't even know."

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"I'll get you the transcripts, though... I suspect that it has a lot more impact when you're living through it yourself.  I found my own personal interactions with Keltham and his predictions to be, uh, extremely convincing, especially given the way I had to hide all of Keltham's correct predictions from him.  I'd guess it was that way for, like - Sevar, coming back from having faked selling her soul, and hearing Keltham call her out on having faked it.  That probably left an impression on her too.  And then there was some whole thing with the Queen of Cheliax that we are not really getting to hear about for... what I suspect to be... obvious reasons... but, uh, maybe if the Queen shows up, don't say right in front of her that you think the tropes aren't real, it might not be... entirely wise."

"So... now that the topic of Special Girls has come up..."

"Keltham's romance with me isn't predicated on him ever having sex with me.  It's apparently fine for him if we just lie in bed clothed and talk, or sometimes hug."

"And you, possibly, hit on an important possibility that was missed by myself, Carissa Sevar, Aspexia Rugatonn, and the Queen of Cheliax."

"Would you, possibly... um.  Be on track for your own divine empowerment?  Though if not, you could also call that a successful prediction of the eroLARP theory, that Keltham would only end up with one asexual..."

"I'll just ask about your current opinion on Keltham as a boy."

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"I think he's callous, cruel by the standards of his own society, annoying, careless, thoughtless about the consequences of many of his actions, kind of a shitty cleric of Abadar, kind of a shitty teacher, unnecessarily full of himself, that his judgement of me after one very mild bout of tears was that I am some kind of emotional leper who is going to infect the entire project and take advantage of everyone around me, that he's a sadist who gets off on injuring people badly enough for them to need magical healing, that he's already dating like eight girls and shouldn't have time for any more, and that in the middle of my crying fit about an hour ago, I fantasized about cutting out his eyes in retribution for having placed me in this position."

"I'm over that, to be clear, I'm not actually at all tempted to hurt him. But I'm kind of ticked off."

"I am fully aware that this is a romance novel pattern. I might forgive him, I might get to the point of enjoying working with him, but if you see me change my assessment of him to the point of wanting to have a serious romantic relationship with him, or, gods forbid, falling in love with him, and I'm not doing it because someone has a metaphorical knife to my throat, throw out all of my arguments and consider it a major piece of evidence that we're in a romance novel. Or that someone is mind-controlling me to make you think that. But I'm very confident that it won't have happened naturally."

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People who seem to passionately hate you at first, and then fall in love with you, are also a frequent plot development in State-approved Chelish romance novels!  Of the sort that are safe lunchtime discussion topics in Ostenso wizard academy when Paxti and Ione start going on about them!

"So I know that having an enemy who hates you, and then they fall in love with you, and then you get to wreck them, is a romance novel pattern.  But now that I think about it - do you think it'd be a dath ilani romance novel pattern?  Though maybe we're in - the kind of romance pattern that their Keepers get to read about, and Keltham only got to read the censored kind..."

"How about, if Keltham doesn't know, that you hate him, for a while.  I mean, that might be a good idea even for other reasons, but... definitely it's a good idea because we're still hiding the tropes from him..."

Asmodia is feeling sort of queasy, for some reason.

"The problem is, Sevar's going to think that would be incredibly important for her corruption plan, if there's some way to get Keltham to be into it.  She'll offer you anything you want, to go along with it, if it gets that far.  You could ask for your sister back and Sevar would make it happen in a heartbeat, but - Sevar's not actually going to take no for an answer, I don't think."

"At least nobody's going to try to nudge Keltham into that until after he's been raping Pilar for a while, I think you're safe until then, at least.  It's not a certain thing the corruption plan ever gets that far at all.  You might not even be one of the destined girls period."

I'm sorry.

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"Well, if she's not going to take no for an answer, then I guess it doesn't matter whether I'd trade it for anything."

"I do think that particularly hating your love interest is a more general - it's not just a Chelish thing. I don't think. I think there's something with - it's a way of introducing conflict to a story that otherwise wouldn't have it. But dath ilani writers might be better at coming up with conflicts and not need a crutch like that."

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"Sevar is a lot more concerned with the Project succeeding than with us being good Asmodeans.  If she thinks she can get a 10% better chance of success by having you on her side and not just forcing you into things, she'll go full heretic on whatever it takes to get you on her side."

"I - do think we probably have at least a month, before it becomes a possible issue, even at the rate Keltham is going."

Having a love interest who hates you, and them not falling in love with you, and you getting control of them anyways, is also a romance novel trope.

"Anyways, I think we're at the point where we actually do loop our superiors in on things, if Sevar is free."

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(Keltham is now working up the Project's non-disclosure agreement with the professional alchemist who was brought in.)

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" ...callous, cruel by the standards of his own society, annoying, careless, thoughtless about the consequences of many of his actions, kind of a shitty cleric of Abadar, kind of a shitty teacher, unnecessarily full of himself, that his judgement of me after one very mild bout of tears was that I am some kind of emotional leper who is going to infect the entire project and take advantage of everyone around me," she reads aloud off the transcript. " - the point I do want to make, Tallandria, is that at least half of those traits in my assessment are not innate but are purchased through really quite a lot of effort. 

Actually, based on some of the things he said this morning, my current theory is that our lives are being made significantly easier by some ways dath ilan weakened him for us in advance. The - warning about emotional lepers thing felt like that. What kind of Lawful Good society thinks that way? If I imagine the question being put to a paladin, 'I'm supporting my ill friend but it's stretching me beyond my means', I imagine them saying - and maybe we should have someone run out and check this right now - 'good for you, but remember that if you take ill yourself you help no one, so pay yourself enough attention to stay healthy'."

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Korva isn't really clear on whether she's supposed to say anything to that or just listen to the lecture, so she's going to opt for just listening to the lecture, until that's cleared up.

(Asmodia didn't ask whether she thought the Chosen was doing a good job. Obviously she is. She asked what Korva's opinion of Keltham was, in the context of wanting to date him.)

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"So what's dath ilan doing? A wild guess that recently occurred to me is - I think it is the conceptualization of Golarion Good people that Good is effortful, that it is not intrinsic to human nature, and that we ought to fight our intrinsic selfish nature in order to do the right thing. Dath ilan instead seems to have tried to breed people for - what would you even breed for, if you were breeding for Good?"

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"If they're from outside the reach of Pharasma, they may simply not have our concept of Good as something to target.  Keltham didn't have a concept that meant Evil as in the alignment, for the word to translate into, and that's why this whole Conspiracy wasn't blown in the first hour."

"They're not breeding for Good, they're breeding for - something else they, or the Keepers, or the real master of the experiment, decided to target."

"I don't think we know very much, from the transcripts.  Intelligence, probably also Wisdom, and they thought Keltham was too selfish."

"...servitor race?"

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"Doesn't quite fit. They seem to have had the impulse to service trained out of them as well, and not just sexual service. 

 

But I think at minimum they selected on - a kind of interpersonal squeamishness, a deep dislike of harming the person right in front of you. Built the kinds of people who'd have a hard time in war because they'd think about how all the enemies have wives who'll weep for them, who find it painful and stressful to fire people, who - are manipulable by people being sad at them. And then they noticed what a horrific weakness that is and tried to counter it by telling everyone very forcefully that they must tone down their natural impulse towards sympathy for sad people, and show them only indifference; that it takes expertise to ease human suffering and non-experts shouldn't even try...

Tallandria, you're supposed to talk, when I speculate on these things. Three peoples' random guessing will be worth more than one."

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"Oh. Um, well, compassion for suffering right in front of them, right, you could probably measure and select people for that, and - maybe like, if the entire world were made of people from Lastwall, except smarter, and also they had solved all of their problems, but they still had the - discipline, left over, from when they did have problems, and they were still all kind of organized in many of the same ways? Except that really doesn't mesh with how Keltham is at all, he doesn't act like someone from a planet that was just sort of, uh, residually full of military norms."

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"He really doesn't! Until he reacted so strongly to you crying I actually hadn't considered the angle that they'd be running into problems from excessive Goodness, even though of course they would. But it does seem that they pointed a lot of indoctrination at - some people are Problems and you mustn't try to help them, that callousness is a virtue both from the perspective of Good and from the perspective of Evil."

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"Personally, I'm trying to throw out everything I know about Good and Evil, and start over to envision a society that sees the entire world using a different alignment chart created by some being who wasn't Pharasma and maybe doesn't use nine sorting categories at all."

"It's actually quite hard, and makes me feel like I might understand Keltham a little better.  Our world's structure - must be absolutely strange to him."  Even when he tries to throw out one of his basic assumptions, he just makes a different wrong assumption instead...

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"And we sure would be having some problems, if it wasn't. I do want someone to send to a Good priest somewhere and present them the question about the sick friend."

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"Taldorians in the Facility too."

"Do we have any atheists who haven't been executed yet, to ask?  Dath ilan doesn't have gods.  Whatever built the place, it didn't want worshippers."

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"I think atheists here are fundamentally different in character from atheists in places where there aren't any noticeable gods."

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"Is it possible that the people who have problems as significant or more significant than ever having cried are also all unbearably - Keltham's sideways conception of Good, and all kill or remove themselves, which would ding them but avoid dinging anyone else, and then the rest of the population isn't actually any better at handling interpersonal problems in a way that wouldn't make them Evil, than people on Golarion, they just don't run into those problems at all because all of the weak people are dead. And then they're not Good in the sense of having any resistance to Evil, just in the sense that they've somehow cut out everything that normally makes it convenient."

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"They've got to turn up the occasional person who doesn't care at all about hurting other people, in a population of a billion. But maybe they don't turn up any - dilemmas for Good, yeah, any people who are weak and useless and who Good says you're supposed to be compassionate to anyway?"

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"Yeah. Especially if people usually weed themselves out well before the point where they would actually be causing what we would consider significant inconvenience for other people."

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"From the perspective of the superpowerful being running the place, it wouldn't want any experimental failures hanging around clogging the place up, using resources, or reproducing.  The story the population was given about what they're doing may tell us something about their natural temperaments, what they're doing doesn't tell us as much."

"I also note that the place may be non-Pharasman enough that the whole thing with people going into the cold to wake up later, isn't suicide, or if it's suicide, isn't that being's equivalent of Evil, or if it's Evil doesn't send you to a particular afterlife based on that."

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"I wouldn't expect it to get counted against them as suicide, they think of it as more like petrification to be unpetrified by a civilization that has the resources to deal with you, even if they're wrong and the bodies are all destroyed that's how they're imagining it."

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"That's fair, I don't think we really have any evidence on their afterlife situation. They wouldn't have any way of seeing whether they were going anywhere, without magic. But - 'we have all of the weak people petrify themselves' is also not something that rings like what a Golarion nation that was aiming for Good would come up with, even if Pharasma doesn't specifically disapprove of that specific step. Which - I guess we've already established that, yeah, they're not aiming for a Golarion understanding of Good."

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"By far the most important information we need out of all this, is what it says about that superbeing's concept of romance novels."

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"I don't know, I think it's also very relevant to my project of corrupting him. If we knew the thing he was scared of, here, we could have Korva pretend to be it, and validate his impression that all compassion is a grievous weakness or whatever exactly his impression is. I don't want to risk that at my current level of confusion.


As far as the romance trope goes - if dath ilan has something about winning over people who hate you I'd much sooner point him at Lady Avaricia, who I expect can play the part a little more cleanly and who is also doing the 'openly disliking Keltham' thing."

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Asmodia bets that doesn't work unless Avaricia hates him personally the right way, and requires that Avaricia even be a Special Girl at all, but Asmodia's not pointing that out to Sevar if it keeps Korva out of trouble for longer.

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"Maybe there's - a way to corrupting Keltham through Law?  Or by learning his Law?  That feels like - it should be part of the romance novel - and what I'm thinking in particular, is, we tell Keltham, and we're not in fact lying to him, that one of the Project Lawful girls came up with an interesting theory about dath ilan, though she wants to stay anonymous for now.  We copy to Keltham her advance predictions based on Tallandrian Origin Theory, like about the distribution of animals in his world."

"And, if we can zero in to where she's getting those predictions right, we can at some critical point reveal to Keltham her theory - that his world was created by a superbeing, that the Keepers were placed in control all along, and that dath ilan's real masters didn't like his selfishness because that made him less useful to something else's experiment."

"You'd have to time it right, but as a step in his corruption - it feels like that could be Korva's role in the romance novel" which doesn't require Keltham to hurt Korva and makes her be valuable as something other than a torture-doll.

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"I'm not firmly opposed but it sure doesn't happen in alter-Cheliax, Asmodia."

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"Does it not?  What does alter-Cheliax do when alter-Tallandria tells me about her theory?  I'm worried about what it does to Keltham, if she's right.  I probably write a report to the Most High, because that's how infohazard protocols work in alter-Cheliax.  Alter-Tallandria is nervous about coming to Keltham's attention, after their last interaction.  I still know how beings who aren't Lawful need to make their predictions in advance.  We don't want to add it to Keltham's plate while he has so much else on his mind, either; even if we're right, it's something that can wait."

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It kind of feels like in alter-Cheliax Asmodia is somewhat less fiercely attached to Tallandria but she doesn't know where she got that intuition and maybe it's wrong.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 25 (21) / Early Afternoon

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Time to rate tests.  He called Carissa back in for this part, for second and independent opinions.

Willa Shilira... just kept talking about probabilities everywhere and it was hard for Keltham to make out what was prior, likelihood, or posterior - there's a reason why well-designed languages have three different words for those!  And Willa is expressing things in strange awkward ways, mathematically speaking!  But she could be saying the correct things awkwardly and therefore, probably is.

Alexandre Esquerra... seems to have a solid grasp of the basic way to apply math in principle but to have not quite grasped what mortals can't do at all, let alone without computers.  Still, that's better than a lot of other exam submissions.  If you look at it as 'tried to invent a new way of expressing his ideas about Probability and didn't completely screw that up', it becomes some evidence of Golarion genius / dath ilan averageness.

Lady Avaricia has apparently caught up to Meritxell in her grasp of Law, as to be expected of a ????????.  But Avaricia was a trivial-proof for tier-1 regardless.

Nobody matched the standard set by Carissa or Asmodia, but that's only to be expected.

...Korva would have made it in easily as tier-2, based on what she wrote down before she cracked.  She did have any idea of what the Law meant at all, and that combined with her chemistry work would've been more than sufficient.

Keltham feels awful about that.  Like he made some basic mistake, like there was supposed to be some better outcome than this.  But, well, that's what everybody warns you happens any time you deal with mental health events in any capacity other than 'I am an actual trained professional doing what I have been trained to do'.

The cleric of Asmodeus whose report claimed him to be excellent at mathematics, may in fact be excellent-for-Golarion at math, but doesn't seem able to relate his proofs to the structures of Lawful thought.  He proved the Rule of Succession rigorously using integral calculus, instead of the discrete calculus that Keltham used, which is hella impressive for somebody who'd never heard of the gamma function up until that point.  But then... couldn't answer any of Keltham's actual questions about how to use the Rule of Succession inside of Science.  He's not made any progress on Prestidigitation chemistry.

Fail him out?  Tier-2 in case they run into a purer math problem at some point?  This person seems maybe useful if they run into just the right kind of problem, but Keltham can't guarantee that, and it's famously bad for mental health to hire people and then not have enough work for them.

Carissa, thoughts?

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"Failing him out seems fine; it seems like he treats every question as practically in isolation anyway, so if we later present him with a pure math problem I doubt he'll be impaired by not having followed along with the lecture up to that point."

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"Assumes he's otherwise willing to stay around the Fortress, and if we're asking him to do that I think we pay some option-value fee to him.  But if he's willing, then sure."

Any other opinions Carissa has about hires, non-hires, and tiers?

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She's inclined to err on the side of leaving more people in, some of them might catch up later or think of something from an original angle. So long as they seem to be basically following along and understand the fundamentals of what is being covered. 

She's not seeing any new tier-1s here aside from Avaricia.

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He would've guessed Willa Shilira for tier-1 based on her combined math and chemistry performance.  But even in dath ilan it's easier to promote people later than demote them, and he'd guess that effect to be exacerbated in Cheliax where there's no explicit emotional disciplines against loss-gain asymmetry.

Offer Willa tier-2 at first, but be ready to jump to tier-1 if she counter-negotiates?  It shouldn't make a Lawful difference to where she ends up, but could make an emotional difference to her trajectory whether she's tier-2 on watch for promotion or tier-1 on watch for demotion.

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" - yeah, sure, that works." 

 

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They'll finish agreeing on job offers while the Doom-Tested candidates are still well inside their promised 2-hour break time.  The decisions didn't end up very ambiguous, in the end.

Keltham will, trying not to sound diffident about it because new gendertropes, note that he's been feeling slightly more distant from Carissa over the last week or so.  If he already knew an order he could give her to solve this Problem, or could drag her off to his cuddleroom and hurt her to fix the Problem, he would've already done that; this Problem is not being produced by Keltham's hesitation to do something he already knows he wants to do.

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Huh. Carissa has also noticed this but on her end it's straightforwardly that many evenings Keltham is sleeping with other people, which she assumes he wants to do and intends to continue doing. Possibly it'd be good for there to be something going on between the two of them which does not have the property shared by both 'kinky sex' and 'serious conversations about bad things in the world' where Keltham wants to do them incrementally and not rush to the end state, and which are therefore things to be rationed rather than indulged on impulse whenever one feels like it.

 

She's not sure what a good candidate thing would be. There's the problem where many topics of conversation turn into the 'serious conversations about bad things in the world' failure state. She has been working on training into Wondrous Items to decompress in the evenings, but that's not a good shared activity. She could.... watch his magic practice and give extremely Spellcraft-loaded advice but isn't sure he'd find that fun. 

 

It's also possible that how much he's in the mood to give orders varies for him week-to-week? She thinks that's true of some people and can mess up a relationship founded on giving orders. Some people vary all the way to 'in the mood to take orders now' but Carissa suspects she'd have noticed, if Keltham were like that. But if he has even the weaker version, then querying 'what do I want to do with Carissa' might come up empty. 

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During his first couple of weeks here, they were fighting large problems together and making progress on them together.  Now it's more - split up, Keltham working on chemistry, things in the Project feeling more routine.  They're both still working but they're not fighting together the same way.  Carissa being tied to a bed - doesn't always give her the same chance to, impress him, maybe.  'Impress' is not exactly the right word, but -

Of the things Carissa's described, her watching his magic practice and giving him extremely Spellcraft-loaded advice sounds closest to being right, to him.  It's something they can work on together, succeed on together, and someplace where she can remind his brain that she's Carissa Sevar.  It's - maybe something for him, like his being dangerous is, for her, that she's got ludicrous Spellcraft.  Not just that she's a valuable possession, but that she's - somebody who could have had the Queen of Cheliax, if Keltham hadn't gotten to her first.

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"Well, I'd be happy to watch your magic practice and give you advice. Once you get good enough at magic you'll be able to be impressed by the things I can do, which is something I'll look forward to."

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Then let's try it.

How is Keltham at Spellcraft, by Carissa Sevar's standards?  He's been a wizard for, like, two whole weeks now!  And is smart and already knew some math!

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He's appalling, but she's used to that, for some reason the wizard academies barely teach this and so everyone's appalling. Usually less appalling, but still. She will avoid being rude about it and will instead just give pointers ordered by importance to address.

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Just to be, like, super clear here, because Golarion, if Keltham went and got Lady Avaricia for a second opinion, would Lady Avaricia be pointing out more things that Keltham was doing wrong and being less encouraging about his overall state of competence?

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"I would be very surprised if she noticed any errors I didn't notice. Her Spellcraft's nothing impressive herself - well, she's third-circle at eighteen, which is actually very impressive, but for a third circle wizard her Spellcraft is actually notably mediocre."

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"It's more that I wanted to explicitly verify you were telling me about what-all you noticed.  I mean, not all you noticed, but not soft-touching my overall performance level."

Keltham will hang four cantrips under her supervision, one Silent Image, and then, if her supervision helps for that sort of thing, do some scroll practice.

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She isn't failing to mention things that might be useful to spare his feelings, that seems like it'd make it kind of pointless to have it be her doing it. She will have lots of opinions.

 

Fundamentally, Spellcraft is about anticipating the ways that magic hung in any particular state is obviously going to behave, so that you can move it to desired states without it thinning out, swinging wildly, sticking to other parts of itself, curling up, etcetera. Once you understand exactly how the magic is going to behave the way you understand how your own fingers are going to behave, the way you can reach out for something without calculating exactly how far your hands have to travel to get there, then you're going to be able to cast more or less any spell you've seen the structure for. Obviously there are lots of explicit heuristics that can be taught, and a good understanding of tension and flows and the way attraction-that-falls-away-with-the-square-of-distance makes things behave, but you also have to get an intuition for it. 


It'd be really nice if he could cast Arcane Sight and see what she sees, but she can't think of any way to do it. ...maybe he could sell a devil a millionth of his soul for Arcane Sight. 

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"Joke rather than serious suggestion, right?  Because how would that work, sell them my soul with 1/1,000,000 probability?"

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" - you know, I had in mind a joke, but now that you say that I don't know that that isn't allowed."

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"I'd want to be pretty sure of the random number generator, write into the contract that it doesn't work if the random generator proves to be fixed, and have an option to buy back the contract at some reasonable markup like fifty times the price of Arcane Sight," Keltham is not insensible of how much this would basically be a weird loan allowing him to capture an unreasonable amount of value himself, "but if Hell will basically sell me Arcane Sight now in exchange for probably a large payment later when I buy back the contract, it seems like plausibly a nice cheat that cheating people should cheat about."

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"I do not know if Hell will do that but I do love cheating at things in order to get more magic. We could at least write Lrilatha and ask if it's worth trying."

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"I'll route to Subirachs first, we don't need to bother Lrilatha unless Subirachs doesn't know already."


(So is Carissa Sevar any good at, like, teaching Spellcraft.  To Keltham.)

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Moderately? She's clearly noticing a bunch of things that aren't even worth particularly trying to pick up at his level, but she has a much deeper model of what goes wrong every time anything goes wrong, and can show him with an illusion - see, when you did this, that bit was dragging in a way that'd be a real problem if you'd been subsequently trying to close that loop -

She clearly hasn't done a lot of teaching before but she has done a lot of paying attention to Keltham and thinking about how to explain things to Keltham before and it's sort of the same skill.

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Well, but are there concrete results in terms of skill acquisition.  Can he now, like, hang two first-circle spells in the same day, or cast one of the more difficult practice-scrolls without failure...

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Yep, with her assisting he can get harder practice scrolls down.

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At the current rate of progress, how long until he can cast third-circle wizard scrolls like Major Image?

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She hadn't been aware that was a specific aim of his. If they're willing to burn through a bunch of failed scrolls trying he could probably land it tomorrow. They might burn ten along the way, but he's rich, right?

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He'd be able to show them proper high-resolution video of dath ilan with actual sounds!

What's the cost of a Major Image scroll like?

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375gp.

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What the superheated toilet paper, why, since when do ten casts of Major Image cost roughly the same amount as an intelligence headband.

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Paying a wizard to cast it for you ten times would of course be much much cheaper; the expense is that scrolls use spellsilver or magical inks with similar properties to hold the magic for you so you don't have to be competent to hang it, and they require quite a lot of the reagent they use.

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This is frankly insane and, yes, Keltham should've checked that before spending a lot of time on scroll practice.  Though it's probably good Spellcraft practice in general, since it lets him keep going past his daily wizard magical capacity.

Is there a loanable magic-item Keltham can rent which would let him cast a few Major Images?  For that matter, what was the rent-price of Goggles of Detect Magic, or of Arcane Sight, now that Keltham has any money?

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Probably rentable for a day for a couple hundred gp, though there are few enough such goggles that it'd be a matter of going and asking individual wizards who have them -- in Cheliax most wizards get Arcane Sight off Hell instead, so the goggles are even less common. 

 

Magic items that let you cast spells with a duration 'concentration' are generally not possible to make.

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So long as he's asking things anyways:  Is using direct Prestidigitation for all of his wall-writing purposes, in fact the sort of thing that trains his magical abilities at all.  Keltham just started doing that at one point, but then every time he did it, he was in the middle of class and it was the wrong time to stop and ask questions of Carissa about that, and at other times, he wasn't remembering to ask.

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It'll probably make him better at Prestidigitation; it might improve his Spellcraft slightly but Spellcraft is one of those things where past a certain point that varies for each individual, you mostly only improve through deliberate practice not through incidental exercise of the skill. Carissa at the Worldwound made magic items for eight hours a day, which uses lots of Spellcraft, but then to actually improve at it she'd spend another several doing exercises where she tried to build her scaffold with a missing rung or something.

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Right then.

What sort of exercises should he be doing.  Has he in fact been practicing in anything like the right way at all.

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Yes! He has been given and is doing all the right exercises for someone who is new at it!!

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Ah.  Okay then.

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"You'll get there. You're actually progressing very very notably fast. If you were at a wizarding academy you'd have them talking about how quickly that one learns and whether to move him up a year."

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Notably fast for 18 intelligence and already knowing all relevant math and having Security wizards if not Carissa Sevar watching him with Arcane Sight while he practices?  Or just around as fast as that should be?

 

(Keltham is not unaware that he has Protagonist Syndrome, and is monitoring its progress vigilantly in case it suddenly turns acute.  Well, more acute.)

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Probably just around as fast as would be expected from that. 

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Not 'yay' per se, but, his expectations remain calibrated in that case and don't need updating.

...separate question, if renting goggles costs a couple of hundred gp for a day, does that mean their actual cost is over 72,000gp, because that's what you'd earn off them in 360 days per year even if natural interest rates were 100%/year, or does it mean there's some kind of huge extra cost associated with renting anything?  And in the second case, can you, like, rent them for a whole week for only 25% more money?

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- a big share of the cost, renting to a person you don't know well, is a guarantee that if they're lost or broken or cursed or something the replacement cost will be paid. You can buy guarantees like that from the Church of Abadar. Rentals would be lots cheaper if they were to someone you trusted enough the guarantee wasn't needed. She imagines there's some relationship between the duration of the rental and the cost of the guarantee but doesn't know details actually. 

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This sounds like a weirdly low-trust equilibrium for a planet with truthspells and priests of Asmodeus.  Keltham suspects there's possibly something here about inadequate scales and institutions, like, there's no central Magic-Item Rental Agency that can form long-term customer relationships with people who could then rent lots of separate items much more cheaply...

Dropping spellsilver costs by a factor of 10 is probably a more sensible thing to get started down its critical-path first.  And maybe there's not that much market to be unlocked, with lots of short-term non-recurring magic-item rentals.  But it also could be the sort of thing where there's a lot of economic potential-energy pent up.  For want of institutions that can establish durable trust, wizards not making magic items that could be rented much more often, to many more people, more cheaply, while still making a higher overall rate of return.

Well, he'll also focus on his Spellcraft, though.

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(Would alter-Cheliax have a higher trust equilibrium? Taldor sure doesn't. Osirion? Someone check rental prices in Osirion.)

 

"- I would be pretty excited about magic item rentals, because I like making magic items. It would be an economic transformation that would suit me particularly. So if you have more ideas on them I'd be interested."

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Well, the obvious startup idea if this were dath ilan...

...Would be to find everyone who has a magic item that they do not strongly need on a daily basis, nor need suddenly on demand, nor would be crippled by needing to replace; and have a single company, that is the organization all the lenders trust, to be loaned those magic items, and to compensate them fairly for damage or loss.  All the renters know that, when they need to rent a magic item for a period, they can contact that company and see what it's got.  Instead of having a lot of isolated lenders and renters who don't have durable business relationships with each other, everybody has a durable business relationship with that startup.

Depending on how the scale ends up working out, you can amortize Teleport costs between rentals, like, instead of needing to teleport an item from Corentyn to Ostenso, the item goes on the daily or weekly trip from Corentyn to Egorian along with all other items rented from Corentyn, and then from Egorian to Ostenso along with all other items rented in Ostenso.  When items get requested often enough, the startup buys a copy of that item itself, instead of continuing to try to Teleport it around.

Zooming back out, the general question is how many magic items that somebody else would pay to use, that have daily uses or continuous uses rather than limited charges, are lying around somewhere being not already used on a daily basis.  Because that's a waste of that item.  Also or alternatively, which items would have daily or weekly rents high enough to quickly pay back the cost of their creation, even if there's no unused copies lying around.

That's the economic potential-energy within the whole system - a way that resources could be rearranged to generate higher earnings - and the question is just how to make the system slide down that potential-energy gradient, like catalyzing a chemical reaction.

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" - permission to try that, if I ever have enough free time?"

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"I had it in mind as more of a Project project, but you could make a play for managing it, assuming you're not too busy from being my second on the entire Project, which, in fact, you will be."

"If somehow the whole thing doesn't play out and the contracts end, you can take the idea and try to run with it, sure.  But there's a whole lot more advice out of Civilization you ought to hear first, if you were actually going to do that."

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"Okay, okay, I'll be patient. I just really like magic items."

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"Got any ideas for making that stinking spectroscope work?  It'd be nice if we could check candidate skill at learning to manipulate electron orbitals with Prestidigitation, and have a more objective measure of how good they were and how fast they were improving, before final tier assignments.  I have a couple of wacky ideas for getting the spectroscope running, but I don't want to contaminate you with mine."

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Alchemy is not actually the area that comes most naturally to her but she'll try to come up with some ideas.

 

Alternately, if they were doing a magic item spectroscope, then she has tons of ideas, though it'd be very expensive and not a scalable solution.

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Prototype first!  Scale later!  But Keltham is under the impression that item crafting takes more than a couple of hours, and he is looking for a way to get it within hours.  If he fails at that, it'll be time to drag out the magic item spectroscope plans.

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Fair enough! They can spend some hours trying at the non-magical version.

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Oh, he didn't say anything about it being non-magical.  Just that it wouldn't be a magic item.

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Carissa is deeply tempted to cheat here by demanding advice from Avaricia but she'll have to just try with her own more muddled understanding of alchemy.

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...also he thinks the whole thing with Carissa being impressive and correcting his Spellcraft, is, in fact, working.

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Oh, good. 

 

- then he'll be delighted to hear she has yet more objections to how he grabs Prestidigitation after he casts it.

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He is in fact delighted!  Making clear verifiable Progress is fun, and dath ilani are heavily shaped away from taking offense at corrections, in their high-trust society where corrections are rarely offered for malicious reasons.

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PL-timestamp:  Day 25 (21) / Mid-Afternoon

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All right, you primitive screwheads, listen up!  This is now day three of trying to build a spectroscope.  Back in dath ilan, any startup that failed to build a prototype of anything in three days would be shut down by its funders as clearly hopeless.

Keltham was specifically hoping to have a spectroscope on hand while evaluating hiring and tiering, so he could see who was making the most progress at learning to shift the electron-orbital behavior of materials using Prestidigitation of color-taste-smell-stickiness.

Their present situation may be summarized as follows:

They don't have a professional glassmaker on-site, nor on-site glassmaking equipment to build a prism out of optical glass.  Specifying and ordering a prism from off-site would probably take several days and probably not be quite right on arrival.

They have a large piece of cloudy quartz that was successfully Stone-Shaped into the right rough shape of a prism, and then further cut flat with overkill magical slicing spells.

Despite Prestidigitation supposedly being able to change the color of things, Keltham has not been able to clear this quartz in a way that makes it suitable for use in a spectroscope's prism, nor change the flat surface of it into a diffraction grating.

They have tiny pieces of nice clear quartz that would, if they were larger, probably work to build a spectroscope.

Keltham's plan is therefore as follows:

Step one, use their spectroscope to burn a piece of clear quartz and get a reading from the spectral lines off that.

Step two, other people will practice Prestidigitating bits of cloudy quartz 'clearer', burning those under their spectroscope, and trying to shift the absorption lines of cloudy quartz towards being entirely the dominant spectrographic lines recorded from the clear quartz.

Step three, Prestidigitate their large shaped piece of quartz clear, and use it to build their first spectroscope.

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Step four, send their spectroscope back in time to step one.

Now, Keltham isn't sure that part will work, but, if Civilization's teachings about the fundamental nature of reality are true, it shouldn't be that hard for him to use Prestidigitation to create a small time-loop -

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"VETO."

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"VETO."

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"I agree in these objections."

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"If the only problem with the diamond is that it's too small we can get a True Resurrection grade one, they're about thrice as large across."

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"Why would you even say that in public, Keltham, why in Pharasma's name would you?"

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The problem, Lady Avaricia, is that they don't just need a size, they need a shape, and even thrice as large across would probably not be large enough -

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"Okay, he's trolling."

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"Correct!  Though we do, fundamentally, have a problem where we could maybe use a spectroscope to build a spectroscope but we don't have a spectroscope and therefore can't use a spectroscope to build the spectroscope we'd need in order to build a spectroscope."

"Besides time travel, can anybody else think of an obvious solution there?"

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Gregoria's thinking she missed what was wrong with the solution where they wait a couple days for a glassmaker to send them some attempts at following their instructions.

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"What I'm actually going to do is use Silent Image to create illusions of spectroscopy stations for everyone.  If a Silent Image of a mirror works as a mirror, a Silent Image of a spectroscope should work as a spectroscope, or so I reason.  If an illusionary mirror works as a mirror, a light-exclusion hood should work as a hood, a light source should work as a light source, and a prism should work as a prism."

"I'll also create illusions of prisms the correct size and shape to do the job, illusions of evenly frequency-distributed light that's good for testing absorption lines, and illusions of diffraction gratings."

"I'm going to maintain my concentration on that for as long as I can, and, before the spell ends, you need to manage to either Prestidigitate quartz to clarity, or Prestidigitate a surface to behave like a diffraction grating.  If possible, also Prestidigitate a light source to behave like an evenly-frequency-distributed light source, but that may legit be harder."

"And if we can't get that done today - take note of how far you got in deliberately shifting the frequency lines, where you started, where you ended up, and how much progress you made."

"Assuming, of course, that this whole clever plan does not completely utterly fail on step zero."

"Carissa, you said you had an illusion spell prepped, right?  You're on learning to make your own illusionary spectroscopes that work, in case we're stuck with illusionary spectroscopes for a while, so that I'm not the only one who can cast them using my one first-circle wizard spell per day.  I mean, fine if you can teach others here after that, but you being able to learn it yourself would give us some breathing room.  You have good concentration."

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- sure, she'll try to learn that. 

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This seems like the kind of thing that couldn't possibly work but they'll try it.

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Cleverness results:

- Keltham's spectroscopy stations sort of suck; not really in a way where they work, per se.  But maybe in a way where they literally work at all and you can try to guess where the spectral lines might maybe possibly be?

- They can't get their shaped quartz clear to where it's better than the sucky spectroscopy station's illusionary prism, but they're getting it clearer.

- Carissa learned how to make illusions of Keltham's illusionary spectroscopy stations, and her illusions of his illusions are at least no worse.

- Diffraction gratings are really neat, nobody besides Avaricia has ever seen that rainbow-holographic sheen before on something that isn't an oil slick or in some cases an absurdly expensive magic item, buuut they can't Prestidigitate a surface with that 'color' well enough for it to work inside a spectroscopy station.

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Ione will, at some point, wander over to the visible Security and ask him if he's by any chance got a Major Image or at least Minor Image prepped today.

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Security does have Major Image prepped. 

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If he can maintain concentration for a while, how about if they throw a Major Image specifically at creating an illusion of a clear glass / clear quartz prism, the same size and shape of Keltham's rougher Silent Image of a prism.

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- sure, he can do that. They don't put you on Security if you can't concentrate on an illusion and also do your job.

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Great.

How about if Sevar dispels just the prism part of the illusion that she's maintaining of a spectrography workstation, and then Security puts his Major Image of an illusionary prism where that prism used to be?

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Sure.

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Carissa's illusion of Keltham's illusion of a light source sure is going into Security's illusionary prism and making a nice rainbow on Carissa's illusion of Keltham's illusion of a display axis marked with unreadable wavelengths because Silent Image isn't fine enough for writing!

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"So, uh, Sevar, do we tell Keltham we've got a working spectography station and risk disturbing his concentration, or..."

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"Use it to try cleaning quartz, I'll talk to him."

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...huh.  Somehow Ione wasn't expecting that much of a reward, that she'd get to be the first to use the spectography station on quartz.

Well, she'll go right out and try it, then!


(But is not, in fact, the best at Prestidigitation chemistry, as yet.)

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"Hey Keltham, is there a procedure for if I have a question that is mildly time sensitive, but not important enough to disturb your concentration over, and I don't know how to tell if asking it will disturb your concentration or not."

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"Meta-question too complicated, just ask the object one and I'll ignore it if it's also too complicated."

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"Okay. We added a Security casting Major Image, got it working. Change any plans?"

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"Assuming I'm still needed to go on concentrating for whatever reason, like my light sources are better, go have everybody else carry out the original plan.  Otherwise, tell me I can stop."

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"Ideally you go on concentrating on the stations but not the prisms."

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There's no way in the Abyss he could've done that a week ago, but Keltham will try.

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She'll focus very diligently on trying to match her illusion more closely to his now that there's the spectrometers to make it clearer what the differences are; once she gets that down they won't need his.

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Keltham's white light going through a Security-cast prism creates a rainbow that's - smoother? more evenly lighted in every color? - than Carissa's white light that looks exactly like Keltham's white light to the naked eye.

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Weird. She will - try to imagine her light different and see if any of the differences produce different rainbows.

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Imagining her light looking the same white color tends to produce the same uneven-looking rainbow.

If she wants to try imagining her light looking different colors, she can produce different rainbows.

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What a bizarre constraint on the spell. What if she imagines her light is sunlight. What if she imagines it's firelight. What if she imagines it's Dancing Lights.

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The rainbows of different lights sure are different-looking!

Sunlight's got a lot of green in it and less blue than Keltham's source.  Firelight is mostly orange and red as you'd expect but also has more green in it than you'd think, not nearly as much as sunlight though.  Illusionary imaginary Dancing Lights cast a narrow light band that looks like basically the same color as Dancing Lights themselves.

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"What are you imagining as the light source to get a full rainbow."

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"Light source that's a fairly even mixture of frequencies as produced by am afraid to think too much about it right now but I've seen it so I know what it looks like."

"If you can't get it by seeing mine, try adding and subtracting light sources and colors from each other maybe."

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Fire and the sun and Dancing Lights.

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To the naked eye, if she tries combining the illusions into one, it just looks like sunlight again.  Maybe if she imagined the sun part to be less bright?

Spectrographically, you can't really see the fire-rainbow part inside the sun-rainbow, which already had plenty of red and orange.  But - yep, she can see the sharp line of the Dancing Lights in there!

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She...actually can't readily think of very many other light sources. Mostly light comes from fire, the sun, or her cantrips. Lantern archon? Light cantrip, if it's different from dancing lights?

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The illusionary lantern archon's rainbow looks like dimmer sunlight, an illusionary Light cantrip is also a narrow peak of light the illusionary cantrip's color.

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Okay, she predicts she just actually isn't going to be able to imitate Keltham's light source until he tells her what it is. Though there's no reason not to continue to try various combinations which she strongly expects not to get anywhere: sunlight with blue dancing lights to make up for the insufficient blue? No; dancing lights are too narrow. Overlapping a hundred hypothetical dancing lights at different points on the rainbow? She can't hold them all in her head.

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Don't shut down the party just yet?  Pilar is making much faster progress on Prestidigitating things to burn in different colors, now that she's getting rapid feedback on the subtle results of anything she tries, instead of waiting for the first result visible to the naked eye.

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Sorry, Keltham is actually going to lose concentration about now, and then fall over with a melodramatic ceremonial thud for several minutes before he tries talking to anyone.

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Carissa will wait until he's recovered to ask him questions about light.

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Right, uh, so, sunlight's going to have, like, hydrogen lines in there, and produces more green than blue to begin with.  But the larger problem is that sunlight is missing a bunch of blue from how the air scatters the sun's blue light all over to form the daytime sky.

Firelight, plus metal heated white-hot, plus, ideally, metal heated blue-hot, superposed, would plausibly work for the light source?  If each illusionary component had realistic rainbows underneath the illusion?  He's surprised she couldn't just copy Keltham's light directly.  Maybe there's something here about, if you've seen a real thing, you can make an illusion of that thing.  But if you've only seen an illusion, you can only make an illusion of how a thing looks to you, because that's what an illusion is... maybe... if that made any sense, or rather, if it made the correct amount of nonsense for magic.

Keltham has a feeling regardless that Carissa might be well-served by just messing around with this until she can control the light spectrum of illusionary light period.  Get her magical control to where she's controlling the rainbow underneath the illusion, not controlling how the illusion looks to her eyes.  That will plausibly be the equivalent of a Spellcraft exercise for this, and might be preliminary towards being able to Prestidigitate chemical properties.

Though he doesn't actually know the two manipulations would go through a common route, he's just guessing.

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That does seem like the ideal end-state. She has no idea if it's possible, to feed your visual illusion as input something you can't distinguish visually, not sourced from any real source you're referencing but constituted backwards from what it'd look like through a prism. But it seems like the sort of thing that you might have to try for a long time before you could be sure it wasn't possible, and where you'd learn something interesting from trying.

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Possible step one, overlaying two different light sources to make a new light that looks the same as some other light, but has a different underlying rainbow.

Mixing firelight and white-hot metal until they look the same color as sunlight, for example, adding more or less firelight to the mix, shifting the light's tone redder or bluer, until it looks the same as the sunlight-source.  Possibly, if that's a thing you can even do.  But trying to preserve the part where fire-light + metal-light should have a different underlying rainbow than sunlight.

Then, practice shifting back and forth between 'rainbow 1' and 'rainbow 2' while keeping the appearance of the light source constant.

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She hasn't actually seen white-hot metal. She's seen a forge, but the metal was not heated to the point of glowing white. She'll see if she can get there with light sources she's actually encountered, though.

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Somebody's probably got a spell for it?  It seems like the sort of thing that absurdly overspecialized-for-combat Golarion magic ought to do.

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There's a spell that makes metal red-hot, which is suggestive but she doesn't actually know of a more powerful version that makes the metal hotter. Her understanding is that it is sometimes used in combat but was actually a failed attempt at a utility spell that could replace forging.

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Actually, now that Keltham thinks about, he has a nearly white-hot metal sex toy.  Might not work because it's just an illusion itself, but then again, it might?  Or it might at least give her a light-source that could be combined with firelight to make something that looks sunny but has a different underlying spectrum.

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That'd be great.

 

 

 

(Some people are staring. What. In alter-Cheliax that would be an extremely weird thing to overhear.)

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Oh, stop it.  Do they have any idea how hard it is to do something that Carissa Sevar will find even slightly scary?

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PL-timestamp:  Day 25 (21) / Evening

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Would Carissa Sevar care to try to persuade him otherwise, before Keltham orders her off to his cuddleroom to cuddle?

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No, she wouldn't.

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Didn't think so.  Off with her, then!

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Yep, definitely feeling closer to her now.

They just have to remember to work on common problems where Carissa can also be impressive, hopefully.

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"Well, I'm not expecting to have a shortage of those.

Are you - okay? Happy? Satisfied with the path we're on? Stuff keeps happening and I just want to be sure that you feel like - like you're glad you're here, ideally, but if that's too high a bar, like you're growing closer to the true Keltham -"

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"I am.  A little sad about the Korva thing, but - pretty happy about everything else.  There'll probably be additional hiccups and nothing will be as easy as it looks and everything will take longer than expected, because that's just always true, but - it feels to me like progress is being made, things are within reach, I'm successfully using magic to cheat, and I'll be able to make enormous quantities of acid."

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She is possibly more reassured to hear that than makes strategic sense. "So much acid! I'm having a great time. But for me 'way better than anything else that was ever going to happen' is a much lower bar."

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"Eh.  Not that high of a bar for me either, unless you count whatever dath ilan's Future would've had to offer me."

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"...now I feel distressed at imagining the worlds where Keltham didn't die in a plane crash. I am ...pretty sure that is not a normal emotion and I assume I'm applying the theory of worlds wrong, since you haven't actually explained it except in bits. But what if those worlds exist and he's sad and lonely."

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They definitely exist, yes.  Possibly most of the branching Kelthams identical to him as of the moment of getting on the airplane, are still alive in dath ilan.  People were saying at the end that they couldn't think of any better explanation for what took out the left wing besides a meteor strike, and there's no way Keltham-who-boarded-the-airplane could've been precisely state-correlated with a meteor strike that precisely pessimized.

But that is not what Carissa is asking about, not in the most important part.

"Nobody's hit him with an Owl's Wisdom yet.  He still has a dream, he's energized and pursuing it, that counts for a lot."

"When he gets older and realizes what's actually going on in his life, he might be less happy then."

"But - there's always the Future.  For everyone.  Except this version of Keltham, who is very rare, and even he - got you, and Yaisa, and the Project.  And someday, if Golarion can make its own version of Civilization, this place's own Future."

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"I think we can do it. Maybe it'll be hard, sure, but - we've got forever, right, at some point we'll get around to it just because we were getting bored."

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"It's not quite something I can promise you, Carissa.  If this place is wrong enough for me, in the end - if everything Golarion seems to be, in terms of how much it's suited for me, is misleading - then I might turn statue to wait on someone else making a Future where I can be happy, or touch the Starstone, or go to my god's afterlife, or, if all those things look not good enough for me, walk out of this reality entirely through Abaddon to see what's next in the sequence."

"Even dath ilan doesn't want to be so Lawful Good - is actively pushing against an extreme of Lawful Good - that people are told to live on somewhere they're unhappy, for somebody else's sake.  If you don't want to live in the Now, you leave the Now to the people who do enjoy living there, and go on to the Future.  Everyone gets told that, nobody is to think that they're trapped, nobody is to think that they need to live for somebody else's sake.  Nobody owes that to anyone.  That's part of the point of cryopreservation."

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" - that makes sense but I am having a hard time fathoming the person who'd benefit from hearing it because -

- wouldn't everyone want to exist selfishly, the way you want water when you're thirsty, or air when you're suffocating - why would you have to tell them they shouldn't drink when thirsty just to appease other people -"

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"A number of strange people in dath ilan do not, in fact, want to exist, even in the Future, and don't want anything else to exist either, and they started visibly planning to shut the whole thing down, Civilization I mean, by having lots of kids who were like themselves, so they could become a voting majority and vote to exterminate all life, and there was a big fuss, and the Keepers negotiated with their leaders, and their leaders all told the nonleaders that a deal had been struck, and all of them should just go into cryonic suspension and let the Keepers keep the mysterious deal, and that was really really flaming creepy so there was another large fuss, but, being the sort of people they were, they accepted that and went into cryonic suspension regardless of the fuss, so... yeah."

"It actually makes a lot more sense to me, now that I realize that, among the things the Keepers must have told them, was that it was literally impossible for them to stop existing and true-suicide would throw them into a dangerously unknown distribution of universes."

"So that's not even the question.  The question is just - do you have to exist now, or can you just step through time and exist later instead?  And nobody who's not having fun in the now is obligated to stick around in the now."

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" - but, you exist less, right, if you spend a bunch of time not existing until the Future. Also I am mentally setting that story aside to be horrified about later since it doesn't seem very helpful right now but I'm horrified."

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"Well, you had your version of the Rovagug problem and we had ours."

"And - I'm sort of not getting the 'exist less' part?  If you offered to suddenly inject a bunch of realityfluid into me and have me exist five times as much for the next week, I wouldn't be particularly excited about that because, from my perspective, it wouldn't feel like anything to exist more.  It's not like getting to go on an additional date with you, it's like going on the same date but there's five times as much of it."

"If a Keltham has such a thing as a natural lifespan, even in a world with souls and the chance of godhood, it's determined by how much time he can spend being Keltham before he gets tired of that.  Why spend that limited time you have to be yourself, before you have to move on and become somebody different, experiencing not having fun?"

"Also in a certain pragmatic sense, if you're going to live for billions of years before the stars burn out - and then, I guess, move on from there by death-travel, after your universe gets cold - are you really existing that much less, if you skip over a couple of unhappy decades to get to the Future a few centuries later?"

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"...maybe I've just never not been having fun but that doesn't sound right, somehow. I - think I won't get tired of being Carissa, and if that's a failure of imagination I'd get tired of being Carissa once I've explored all the states Carissa can be in, including the ones which aren't fun, and learned all the things I can learn from them, and grown all the ways they opened up to grow in, and so time not having fun isn't stealing from time that is. 

 

...and I guess if my lifespan is infinite it makes no sense to be defensive of any specific decade but I guess I - don't feel sure enough it's definitely infinite to stop clinging?"

 

And -

 

Can someone ask Snack Service whether it serves Asmodeus for me to try to explain the interaction where I tried to dare Abrogail to torture me until I wanted to die. 

 

This feels ridiculous but also she's pretty sure it's the right question to ask and the right person to ask it of.

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"Snack service says that this isn't one of the points where it has instructions about which rounded rectangle to select."

"I have no idea what that means either."

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That's upsetting and she'll process it later.

 



"I have a potentially relevant thought but it's about Abrogail and something I otherwise might not have told you for many more months. Yes or no?"

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"Maybe - not for now.  I feel like I'm pushing around as fast as I should be pushing, on my sadism and Evil, and we did want to put some governors on how emotional our cuddleroom conversations end up."

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"Mmmkay. 

 

The reason your Rovagug cultists strike me as more horrible than ours is that ours didn't have children they thought would be - broken like them and not want to exist, on purpose. Which seems worse than just being excessively Good and thinking you should do all existing people the favor of destroying them, not that that isn't quite bad."

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"They weren't having fun themselves, but they considered the prospect of Civilization growing to colonize other stars, and eventually disassemble other stars for raw materials, and there being trillions and quadrillions and septillions of people having fun, to be a much more horrifying problem."

"They said their children would understand and agree with them that it'd been worth the disutility of bringing them into existence, so that they could take up the vital cause of exterminating all life before it was too late and the universe ended up with sentient life all over the place."

"Which, you know, it's sloppy generalization, and a generally invalid form of argument to say that you could've solved a problem using a particular heuristic, and therefore that heuristic must be right across all cases."

"But still, one would've preferred them to go with the heuristic of people not having a duty to stick around where they're not being happy."

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" - or the heuristic of just doing what you actually want and not being Good but I guess I can see why dath ilan doesn't want to tell people to adopt that one."

 

 

 

Shiver. 

 

"Existing is great and it feels like this is some kind of fact I could explain if I found the right metaphor even though it can't possibly be."

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"Yeah, I think that's just the utilityfunction, probably, in the end.  We're not coherent and we don't know what our values are, we can learn facts and arguments that change what it is we think we want and even what it is that we actually want, but - all of that is ultimately inside a framework that you're born with, that can never become known to you - and there was a very long and very hard-fought argument inside Civilization, between the 'negative utilitarians' and everyone else, before both sides came to accept that the other side wasn't making a mistake.  The negative utilitarians didn't want conscious life colonizing the universe, if that meant running a risk that people in any significant numbers would ever feel any amount of pain and unhappiness, even a small amount.  That was, so far as anyone could tell, just their utilityfunction and their framework they'd been born with.  If it'd been a question of the very smart people coming up with the right argument to talk them out of it - everything would have been simpler and much much less creepy."

"This is all before I was born, by the way, but an endlessly famous part of history because it's, like, one of the greatest moral stress-tests that Civilization was ever subjected to, and it generated so much drama, and the way it ended sure did not help."

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"It sounds creepy. And - terrifying, for all the people who thought that faction might win and murder them all -"

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"I doubt that was ever in the cards.  I don't think the people of Civilization would've let all intelligent life be ended over their commitment to democracy.  I don't know whether you'd call that Good, or Evil, or Lawful, or Chaotic, in Golarion's system, but it is - who they are."

"The threat that the negative utilitarians held against Civilization was that Civilization would have to put aside democracy to stop them, if they just played out the game the obvious way that was there for them to play it to end all life.  That was - their negotiating leverage, that Civilization could either give up on its system of law and property to stop them, or bargain with them that nobody would ever be allowed to suffer in the future, not even the smallest bit of pain."

"The Keepers took a third alternative and, yes, incredibly incredibly creepy, but nobody called them out on it being wrong, given that it was apparently an option."

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"I mean, if they just explained to them that there's life everywhere and Civilization seems way more concerned than most of the rest of it with avoiding suffering, then that's not even very creepy except for how it's secret. 

 

I hope they didn't - commit Civilization to try to stop other Civilizations that have more pain in them because of having different kinds of people, who want it and grow from it."

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"There's not life everywhere in dath ilan's universe.  Calculations suggest the nearest aliens are half a billion, two billion years away by the fastest you can travel in a non-magical universe, which is the speed of light, which is around... uh, three hundred million yards per second very loose figures in Golarion units."

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"But if you're going to be Good at all why limit yourself to caring about one universe?"

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"Can't see and touch the other ones by any known possible means."

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" - maybe I'm thinking about this wrong, I'm not Good and haven't worked through it much, but - if I think there are only a thousand people, and that it'd be better if they didn't go turn into a billion people, so you kill them all, that's one thing. But if there are infinite people, and there's a group of a thousand of them that's going to turn into a billion, and you kill them to prevent that, and there's still infinite people, that - seems even stupider."

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"Our cuddleroom conversation is literally getting into anthropics at this point, but I'm a finite fraction of everything that exists, you're a finite fraction of everything that exists, if we were an infinitely tiny fraction we'd be somebody else instead."

"I'm no doubt a much tinier fraction now than when I got on the airplane.  This does not bother me."

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" - that would definitely bother me! It sounds like you're saying - it's not bad to be murdered if the murderer first spins a coin and only murders you if it comes up heads - but it definitely still seems bad."

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"You're probably like two trillion times less real than my last girlfriend."

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"And I would like to be more real than that. I might not know how to get it but I still care about it."

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"Think your three options here are to create a lot of copies of yourself, become a god, or investigate whatever weird disturbing options Golarion might have on offer in the foundations of its reality if those have any cracks or flaws."

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"Three seems risky. But one and two are both appealing, once I know how to pull them off."

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"I have straight-up never gotten the thing where some people say they want there to be more copies of themselves, which I guess is good, because otherwise I'd be incredibly sad about however much of my reality I lost in the plane crash."

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"It seems like only part of it being good by my values that I exist is that this specific thread of consciousness gets to experience existing and the other part of it is some other thing to do with charactistically-Carissa thoughts and experiences happening, and the other thing is more satisfied if I exist more. But I will admit I haven't thought about this much.

That said I'd have a hard time being sad about the plane crash or about existing two trillion times less than your last girlfriend, because - that wouldn't change it any -"

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"Does it make a difference if I say that my last girlfriend wasn't a wizard, wasn't a masochist, would not have been as difficult to injure by biting, lived in a world where Spellcraft didn't exist, and all of these things are because she was so much more real than you or I am now?  Would you become two trillion times more real at the price of your magic?"

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" - good question. I don't know. I rather want to ask Subirachs if Asmodeanism has an answer, actually."

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"You're not allowed to leave the cuddleroom yet."  There's still an internal jarring, each time he says something like that, and yet - it is comforting, that she can be here just because he wants her to be here, safely, without cost to him.

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She beams at him. "Yes, Keltham.

Anyway, there is a teaching that mortals are specifically bad at reasoning about really large numbers, and devils aren't, and so it seems possible that once I am perfected as a devil I could tell you exactly how much realness I'd trade for how much magic, and it seems further possible that Hell could tell me already, to at least moderate accuracy. But I am yours, and submit to you in the matter of whether I should ask about that."

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"I know how to reason about large numbers, which is only a matter of knowing how to carry out a whole chain of reasoning using numbers on every step.  But in this case it's not about the large-number part of it.  You value your experience of magic.  You value there being more Carissalike things that are real.  If your value on the second thing scales linearly and is currently strong enough for you to notice it at all, you'd sacrifice your future experience of magic to become two trillion times more real."

"Hell doesn't need to do the part where it reasons about large numbers.  Hell needs to know whether your currently stated preference for there to be more reality in Carissalike things, is a valid part of your idealized utilityfunction, and one that grows as an independent component without limit until it trumps the part of your idealized utilityfunction that wants to go on experiencing being able to do magic."

"And - I would personally say - giving up your sense of joy in doing magic, because you had a sense that you ought to be obligated to become two trillion times more real even if you couldn't feel that at all from the inside, even if what became two trillion times as real was the sad Carissa who lost her magic - that does feel to me like - it has something in common with the thinking of the people who thought they had go on existing in the present in order to destroy the future."

"There's - something of Goodness - in caring too much about what's real, and having that drown out how things feel to you."

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"That's a very interesting answer, and maybe also Hell's answer, in which case I'll believe it. But two trillion Carissae would get to do so many things - I love magic, but I am sure I would love other things too - and there'd be enough of her for all the Kelthams around, and I'd be a little less always on the brink of being gone, and - Hell's answer might also be that, I'm not sure. Not that I'd be obligated to give up magic for there to be more of me, but that I'd chase the opportunity until I caught it, if I saw it out of the corner of my eye.

Also it's not like there wouldn't still be a Golarion Carissa who did magic, right? Just, most Carissae would be ones born into worlds that exist more, like worlds without magic or that didn't have an Earthfall?"

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"I doubt my last girlfriend existed in more different places than future Carissa Sevars will, over say the next subjective million years?  I'd guess she'll probably exist in fewer distinguishably different places, because her reality is more densely concentrated.  Or on a macro scale, I expect the different dath ilans end up less diverse than the branching Golarions."

"I think you're confusing the question of how many importantly distinct versions of something there is, with the ~~~~~~~~ of being any one of those versions.  Probably some of the most individually real consciousnesses in all of reality are incredibly simple minds in simple universes that stay on single tracks and never branch."

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"Does anything important depend on how I answer this question or should I just drop it until I am older and wiser?"

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"I mean, we lead strange lives so I cannot guarantee you will not suddenly be offered a chance to become two trillion times more real at the price of your magic.  And, come that day, it might be important for you to understand, that this is not at all the same thing as creating two trillion importantly different versions of yourself having diverse experiences."

"But, I mean, if you turn out to have the option of asking me first, you probably should."

"Oh, and you asked about permission, I should answer explicitly.  No problem if you can afford the comms bandwidth someday to ask Hell about it, but I predict they answer that they need an unmanageable amount of detail about your psychology, or say '85% likelihood that if we knew everything about a random fourth-circle wizard we'd tell them blah blah blah, but it's incredibly hard to actually learn for individuals'."

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She bets they won't, because Hell doesn't care what she values but what they value in her. But - "yeah, they might. I'm still curious. Thank you."

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PL-timestamp:  Day 25 (21) / Long Night

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(Branched subthread for an event during this Long Night:  Korva explaining her own suggestions on alterCheliax.)

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PL-timestamp:  Day 26 (22)

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Three of the twelve candidates are not being hired.

It's easier the second time.  Maybe also because this group wasn't friends with each other the same way as the Ostensos.  He doesn't have the same sense of splitting people up by assigning them different fates.

A note from Korva says she's fine working for Asmodia and would prefer to skip her exit interview.

The cleric of Asmodeus accepts without changing expression that he can best serve Asmodeus by staying on in this Fortress as a staff cleric, against their potential future need for a Security-cleared pure mathematician.  He accepts the Project's offer to him for the option-value on that without negotiating.

The final rejected candidate says she's totally taking the Hell option, since Cheliax is offering a free round-trip ticket there and back.

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(No, not actually.  She'll just be a statue for a bit.)

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Nine of twelve are hired.

Lady Avaricia is the only immediate tier-1 among them.

Keltham has his eye on some of the others.  They haven't had as much attention and Law-lecturing from him as the first twelve got during their first week; they should not necessarily despair at not being promoted to tier-1s yet.

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(Keltham does privately feel surprised that there'd be Asmodia and Ione out of the first eleven Ostenso students, and Meritxell though she is not quite looking to be in that same class at the moment; and only Lady Avaricia to clearly outperform the rest of a supposedly much more elite candidate class.  It does seem a bit... tropey, if he doesn't just need to offer them more training.  Or maybe these people have too much Existing Expertise and too much Achievement In a Narrow Field and not enough Being Random Very Smart Kids Ready To Learn.)

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Lady Avaricia is so incredibly unsurprised by this. What are they doing next.

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Tier-two is acceptable - for the moment. Once the field shifts from mathematics to crafting, Alexandre will demonstrate his skills and Keltham will amend his folly.

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Willa should be thrilled to have succeeded, but it tastes like failure.

It's not the shares and the money-from-shares that really matter, even though it's really possibly quite a lot of money and it probably should. It's the having lost, to Avaricia of all people, it's the thrill of the test gone to ashes, it's the implied promise that the tier one girls are the special ones. It's painful to think about, that she might just be in the background, forever.

And it's not the kind of thing you can work harder to fix, because she's already been working hard, she doesn't have some extra gear she can tap into that she wasn't already tapping. But she very much wants to be distracted right now. Maybe they'll do more SCIENCE today, and if not, there's always obsessively playing with every aspect of Prestidigitation.

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They're not done yet, signing-agreements-wise!

Keltham has now produced a non-disclosure agreement between the Project's employees including himself, and the Professional Alchemist, if the Professional Alchemist is willing.  Keltham sent it off to Cheliax last night, and they made a few corrections that seem fine to Keltham and sent it back signed on their own behalf this morning.  Cheliax is signatory because the NDA also binds, for example, nearby Security, and anybody who's allowed to read transcripts.

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The Professional Alchemist wanted a long time to read it very closely but eventually declared it satisfactory.

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Yeah, cool.  Keltham admits to being interested in what was worth the protection.

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He does temperature-reading with his familiar, a vampire bat, which has heat vision, and which he trained to distinguish fairly fine detail in heat - down to 10% of the difference between freezing and boiling water. He also has some secret processes he'll show them but that is most of his competitive edge.

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...that does not particularly sound like it would scale.  But it will, during the prototyping phase, plausibly save them some time, if they're ready for the SO2->SO3 step before Keltham otherwise invents a thermometer.

Anyways, welcome to Project Lawful.

They probably don't have everyone they need, now, they're probably also going to need a smith or a glassblower or who knows what else, but they've got enough to keep on storming ahead in what is hopefully a forwards direction.

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For, now that they have basically functioning spectroscopes, they can start learning to modify spectra of light rather than just the way illusions look to the naked eye, modify electron orbital levels rather than just the colors that materials burn, and by doing exercises like those, hopefully, graduate to being able to modify the chemical properties and most-probable reaction pathways of materials via their understanding, and not just hammer from outside on their 'color', 'smell', or 'taste'.

The road ahead of them will not be easy!  Not trivially easy, definitely!  Possibly quite hard!  They'll be performing magical manipulations that don't just do what they want right away, and instead push on weird invisible properties, properties that can only be measured indirectly, in spectroscopic properties or reaction rates.  They'll have to hone their exercises of magical power until they actually do much of anything predictable at all; and then, by observing the little they can observe, often after the fact, they'll have to figure out how to affect complex systemic properties in a way that adds up to a functioning pathway of chemical transformations.  There's math that can guide their way, but only partially, for understanding particular steps; they can't just calculate everything they need to do.

In other words, just like being a wizard apprentice all over again! 

Only this time they will become MATTER WIZARDS.

And then use their MATTER WIZARDRY to produce ENORMOUS QUANTITIES OF ACID.

Then magically perfect the reaction pathways to refine spellsilver cheaply out of less expensive ore, drop spellsilver costs by a factor of 10, probably do some other stuff too, but also get started on making more intelligence headbands for new wizards who can make more intelligence headbands.

And now, begin!

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PL-timestamp:  Day 27 (23)

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PL-timestamp:  Day 28 (24)

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PL-timestamp:  Day 29 (25)